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At least 217 records · Page 12

Understanding grain refinement and intergranular gas bubble evolution in U-10Mo fuel using phase-field modeling

Monolithic U-10Mo fuel undergoes significant microstructural changes in the form of grain refinement and gas bubble formation during burnup, which degrades its mechanical properties. In this talk, I present a phase-field model for microstructure evolution in U-10Mo developed using the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework. Simulations demonstrate that grain refinement initiates at pre-existing grain boundaries (GBs) to eliminate the lattice distortion energy caused by the accumulation of self-interstitial loops. By employing an equation of state for xenon gas, we simulate the evolution of gas bubbles in the polycrystal microstructure. Large, interconnected bubbles are found to form along the triple junctions. The effects of defect production rate, diffusivities and GB mobility on the microstructure evolution are systematically studied. Homogenization is employed on the microstructures to obtain effective elastic constants and diffusivity as a function of fission density. The simulations provide critical insights on microstructure and property degradation in U-10Mo fuel.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Accelerating Thermochemical Equilibrium Calculations for Nuclear Reactor Applications

Thermochemical properties play a key role in modeling and simulation of several key phenomena in nuclear reactors. There has been an increasing interest in incorporating CALPHAD-based formulations in multiphysics simulations including for Molten Salt Reactors where knowledge of phase evolution of the salt and the chemical potentials of various elements are of utmost importance in source term analyses and redox control. However, the size of such simulations is often limited by the high computational cost of full thermodynamic equilibrium calculations. This work discusses the current efforts aimed at accelerating thermochemical equilibrium calculations for multiphysics simulations performed using the open-source finite element / finite volume code Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) [1]. While several methods have been proposed for accelerating phase equilibrium calculations [2], most focus on relatively small systems and often rely on a- priori knowledge of the state-space of the system. Nuclear materials, however, are often multi-component systems owing to the evolution of composition under irradiation and an approach based on a-priori mapping of phase diagram is often not enough. This work is aimed at demonstrating an on-the-fly surrogate modeling framework that uses active learning to reduce the number of full equilibrium calculations that must be performed. By combining with efficient coupling approaches, the surrogate framework helps in reducing the computational cost of thermodynamic equilibrium informed multiphysics simulations of nuclear materials. The performance is benchmarked against full coupling with the thermochemistry library Thermochimica [3]. This work uses a machine learning based approach for constructing surrogate models to predict the stable phases in a multicomponent system. The surrogates were constructed using neural networks and Gaussian process classification. In this work, we compare the relative performance of the two methods. We also demonstrate the use of caching previous calculations by interpolating the values from nearest neighbors. References [1] Lindsay, A.D., et al. "2.0 – MOOSE: Enabling massively parallel multiphysics simulation", SoftwareX, 20 (2022): 101202. [2] Roos, W.A. and Zietsman J.H. "Accelerating complex chemical equilibrium calculations – A Review", Calphad, 77 (2022): 102380. [3] Piro, M.H.A., et al. "The thermochemistry library Thermochimica", Computational Materials Science, 67 (2013): 266-272.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multiphysics Time-Integration for Turbulent Combustion at the Exascale

Turbulent reacting flow systems are often modeled with coupled time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Solving such equations can easily tax the world's largest supercomputers. One pragmatic strategy for attacking such problems is to split the PDEs into components that can more easily be solved in isolation. This generic operator-splitting strategy leads to a set of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that need to be solved as part of an "outer-loop" time-stepping approach. In many combustion applications, the ODEs to be solved can be very stiff, exhibiting timescales that span many orders of magnitude. The SUNDIALS library provides a plethora of robust time integration algorithms for solving these ODEs on exascale-capable computing hardware, yet for many complex applications (such multicomponent fuels or emissions predictions), the chemical models remain too complex to solve using reasonable resources. The Quasi-Steady State Approximation (QSSA) can be an effective tool for reducing the size and stiffness of the simulations. In this talk, I will discuss the use of the SUDIALS library of ODE solvers together with automatic code generation tools to solve complex turbulent reacting flow problems using QSSA models.

chemistry↗

Acceleration of Thermochemistry Solves in MOOSE and Pronghorn

This work focuses on the development and implementation of strategies to accelerate thermochemical calculations within MOOSE-based multiphysics simulations, particularly for applications in MSRs. We highlight the inherent complexity of nuclear materials, which require a multiscale approach to accurately model their behavior across various physical domains, including mechanical, chemical, and thermal phenomena. Thermochemical equilibrium calculations are crucial for predicting material properties and enhancing the fidelity of these simulations. The integration of Thermochimica, a Gibbs energy minimizer, into MOOSE allows for the direct minimization of Gibbs energy at every point on the mesh. However, the computational cost of such integration is significant. To address this, we explored acceleration strategies such as multi-threading support and the use of a thermodynamic ValueCache to reduce redundant calculations. Additionally, we investigated modifications to Thermochimica to enable phase constraints and improve its coupling with phase-field models, which are essential for simulating microstructural evolution and corrosion in MSR. These efforts aim to optimize the computational efficiency and accuracy of multiphysics simulations, thereby supporting the development of reliable and efficient nuclear materials for next-generation reactor technologies.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Pebble-Bed Reactors Running In And Transient Modeling Capabilities Demonstration

This study presents a comprehensive benchmarking and verification effort of several thermal-hydraulic and multiphysics capabilities for high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) applications. The first part of this effort focuses on the running-in verification of Griffin's multiphysics capabilities, specifically for simulating the evolution of Pebble Bed reactor cores from startup to equilibrium. In the absence of validation data, code-to-code comparisons are conducted with Kugelpy, showing good agreement for key quantities like maximum power density and fresh core k-eigenvalue predictions. However, discrepancies in equilibrium core predictions suggest potential issues with cross sections, underscoring the need for further refinement and evaluation. The HTTF system analysis code benchmark involves RELAP5-3D, SAM, and GAMMA+ to assess their predictive capabilities for HTTF behavior under both normal operation and pressurized conduction cooldown (PCC) transient conditions. While there is good agreement in predicting major parameters such as coolant temperature, solid temperature, and flow distribution, discrepancies in transient behavior highlight differences in modeling approaches, nodalizations, and heat transfer models. The HTTF lower plenum CFD benchmark employs nekRS to simulate flow mixing phenomena, successfully capturing relevant flow physics and demonstrating mesh independence in complex geometries. Preliminary results suggest a relatively uniform temperature field but significant unsteadiness in the flow, requiring time-averaging analyses. The GPBR200 system analysis code benchmark uses SAM's core channel and porous media models, incorporating an RCCS loop for decay heat removal. During steady-state and transient conditions, including protected de-pressurized and pressurized loss of forced cooling (DLOFC and PLOFC), both models show good agreement in predicting temperature profiles and key parameters. Notably, while the core channel model underpredicts convective heat transfer effects, both models maintain temperatures well below the TRISO fuel safety limit. These benchmarking efforts collectively enhance the predictive capabilities of the tools used in HTGR design and safety analysis, guiding developments to improve their accuracy and applicability.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

SiC cladding R&D execution plan

To advance the development of accident-tolerant fuel cladding for light-water reactors, the Advanced Fuels Campaign actively addresses the R&D gap between the specialized technological progress in SiC-based composite materials, led by industrial partners, and the fundamental scientific understanding of material behavior under reactor operating conditions. The laboratory activities are systematically organized based on the Development Strategy document, which outlines critical barriers to the use of SiC composites in nuclear energy applications for the coming decade and beyond. To complement the strategy, this execution plan specifies a detailed year-by-year work package and establishes key milestones for assessing progress in technological advancement. This plan has been formulated in collaboration with principal investigators at national laboratories, stakeholders, and industry partners with the goal of closing technology gaps and readying SiC-based cladding technologies for full-scale commercial testing. The research conducted at the national laboratories is categorized into three primary subjects: (1) addressing challenges associated with the performance of SiC cladding under normal operating environments, (2) identifying the failure limits of SiC cladding under accident conditions, and (3) modeling fuel performance for SiC cladding systems. Comprehensive laboratory activities integrate the development of advanced modeling tools for SiC-based cladding systems with experimental validation via integrated testing of multiphysics phenomena. This document lays out the laboratory plan to support the development of SiC-based technologies, which have the potential for significant operational and safety benefits for the U.S. nuclear industry. This plan aligns with industry developer needs, relevant Nuclear Energy University Programs, and Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation Programs to ensure SiC cladding technologies are matured as efficiently as possible and will be maintained and updated to accommodate the dynamically evolving progress of development, capability needs, and resource availability.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Openpronghorn

OpenPronghorn is a simulation tool specifically tailored for modeling thermal-hydraulic phenomena in advanced nuclear reactors. It is built on the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE), an open-source platform that facilitates the development of high-performance scientific computing applications. OpenPronghorn solves the Navier-Stokes equations, which describe the conservation of mass, momentum, and energy in fluid flows, using the finite volume numerical method. The code supports a wide range of fluid flow conditions that are applicable to nuclear reactors, including incompressible and weakly compressible flows, as well as single-phase and multiphase flows. It is capable of modeling diverse flow regimes, including laminar and turbulent flows, using various turbulence models such as the standard k-epsilon models, the v2f model, and the mixing length model. For multiphase flows, OpenPronghorn employs a mixture a Eulerian modeling approach with mixture, drift-flux, and full Eulerian models, and includes open-sourced interfacial transfer correlations for drag, exchange, and heat transfer coming from the scientific literature. OpenPronghorn's modular design allows it to handle multiscale simulations, ranging from detailed Reynolds-Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) simulations to coarse-mesh and lumped parameter models. This flexibility enables users to perform high-fidelity simulations of specific reactor components as well as system-level analyses of entire reactor circuits. The code can be coupled with other MOOSE-based tools using the MultiApp system, allowing for the transfer of coupling quantities such as mass flow rates, heat fluxes, and boundary conditions between different simulation scales. One of the main features of OpenPronghorn is the it includes built-in validation cases from the open-source scientific literature and supports the implementation of user-defined models and correlations through MOOSE's FunctorMaterial system. OpenPronghorn is designed to be computationally efficient, leveraging the SIMPLE projection method for large-scale problems, and can be run on high-performance computing systems to handle the extensive computational demands of detailed reactor simulations. Overall, OpenPronghorn is a versatile and robust tool that provides critical insights into the thermal-hydraulic behavior of advanced nuclear reactors, supporting the design, safety, and optimization of next-generation nuclear energy systems.

Retamales, Mauricio Eduardo Tano [Idaho National L↗

Development, validation, and verification of multi-pass thermo-mechanical welding simulations using the open-source MOOSE framework: NeT TG4 benchmark weldment

This study develops and validates a sequentially coupled thermo-mechanical welding simulation for the three-pass 316L stainless steel NeT TG4 benchmark weldment using the open-source Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) and the Nuclear Engineering Material model Library (NEML). A diffused ellipsoidal heat source was calibrated against thermocouple data and weld macrographs to accurately model the fusion zone geometry and transient thermal fields. Material hardening is represented using the Lemaitre-Chaboche mixed isotropic-kinematic hardening model, while four annealing models - no annealing, single-stage at 1050 °C and 1300 °C, and two-stage at 800 °C/1300 °C - were implemented to assess the impact of annealing models on the accuracy of the predicted welding-induced plasticity, distortions, and residual stresses. The predictions were validated against experimental measurements and benchmarked against results from commercial software, demonstrating that thermo-mechanical MOOSE welding simulations achieve comparable accuracy with enhanced computational efficiency. This work highlights the potential of using open-source finite element frameworks like MOOSE for advanced manufacturing simulations.

Ji, Wendy [Australian Nuclear Science and Technolo↗

Analysis of the High Temperature Engineering Test Reactor Using MOOSE Tools

This presentation shows the development of neutronics and thermal hydraulics models of the High Temperature Engineering Test Reactor using codes in the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment. We show preliminary results of full-power steady state and a loss of forced cooling transient from that steady state.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

Initial steady-state core simulation capability or thermal and pool-type molten salt reactors, coupling reactor physics, thermal-hydraulics, and evolving chemistry

This report presents the development and validation of an initial steady-state multiphysics capability for molten salt reactors (MSRs) under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program in Fiscal Year 2025. The framework integrates neutronics, thermal-hydraulics, species transport, and thermochemistry to capture the coupled dynamics of liquid-fueled systems. Implementation and testing were performed on two representative designs: the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment (MSRE), a thermal-spectrum, channeled-flow reactor, and the Lotus Molten Salt Reactor (L-MSR), a fast-spectrum, pool-type reactor. The modeling suite employs Griffin for reactor physics and depletion, Pronghorn and SAM for thermal-hydraulics, Thermochimica for chemistry, and Saline for thermophysical properties, with benchmarking and validation carried out against historical MSRE data, experimental flow-loop measurements, and reference depletion calculations from Monte Carlo codes. The framework demonstrated the ability to reproduce key reactor behaviors including temperature feedback, reactivity losses, delayed neutron precursor transport, xenon poisoning, and redox potential evolution. The results confirm the feasibility and accuracy of the coupled models in predicting steady-state and selected transient MSR behaviors. This latter ones are used in this report as a proxy indicating that the steady-state models from which the transient starts are accurate. For MSRE, validation showed good agreement with pump start-up and natural circulation tests, while for the L-MSR, benchmarking confirmed hydraulic calibration and consistency of neutronics–thermal coupling. The tools also provided new insights into species transport, noble metal deposition, and salt solidification dynamics. On the Xenon transport front, the code is validated against the steady state Xenon poisoining measurement and showed good agreement with the experimental value. Identified areas for future work include advanced void transport modeling, three-dimensional simulations, improved alloy corrosion models, and tighter integration with high-fidelity Monte Carlo codes. These developments provide a foundation for high-fidelity MSR simulations that can support reactor design optimization, safety assessments, and long-term operational strategies.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

Fuel Performance Modeling Internship Final Presentation

This study examines the performance of U-Zr and U-Pd-Zr annular metallic fuel rodlets and details the current status of modeling efforts regarding U-Pu-Zr solid metallic fuel rodlets which were experimentally evaluated as part of the Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC). The AFC mission is to develop novel fuel technologies and facilitate the implementation of those technologies by industry partners. A key objective is to improve steady-state and transient performance over current fuel types. The experiments of interest in this study included metallic fuel rodlets within HT-9 cladding which were placed in SS-316 capsules and inserted in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR). Certain mechanical and thermal conditions cannot be directly evaluated through experiments and fuel performance modeling is used to shed light on this evolution over time. In this study, BISON Multiphysics simulations are leveraged to investigate the state of the fuel system throughout and after the experimental conditions.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Integration of Online Cross-Section Generation Capability with Depletion and Transient Solvers in Griffin

Griffin is a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE)-based reactor multiphysics analysis application jointly developed by Argonne and Idaho National Laboratories under the DOENE Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program. In FY25, an online crosssection generation capability based on the Self-Shielding Application Programming Interface (SSAPI) was demonstrated for TRISO-fueled reactor problems under steady-state conditions. This fiscal year, that capability was extended to support depletion and transient multiphysics calculations, enabling high-fidelity analyses that generate self-shielded cross sections on the fly from the actual evolving composition and temperature states rather than from pre-tabulated libraries. For depletion, a two-way coupling was established in which SSAPI computes compact-averaged self-shielded cross sections that the depletion solver then uses to advance the Bateman equations, with the updated compositions returned to SSAPI at each step; the depletion module was refactored to support both library-based and SSAPI-based cross sections, and additional logic was added to track daughter isotopes and to exclude minor isotopes for efficiency. For transient analysis, the SSAPI multigroup library was extended with the kinetics data required for time-dependent calculations, the Improved Quasi-Static (IQS) scheme was coupled with SSAPI, and several supporting capabilities were implemented, including a self-shielding treatment that lets control rods and drums move within a self-shielded model, which had previously been impossible and had ruled out rod- and drum-movement transients with on-the-fly cross sections altogether, a new mixing scheme for delayed-neutron precursor decay constants, a checkpoint-based restart workflow, and performance improvements such as pointwise cross-section interpolation and the bypassing of unnecessary Dancoff factor calculations. The implemented capabilities were verified against Serpent Monte Carlo solutions. For depletion, a prismatic pin-cell problem based on a Next Generation Nuclear Plant (NGNP) Very High Temperature Reactor benchmark showed excellent agreement, with eigenvalue differences within 200 pcm over the entire burnup range (up to 140 MWD/kgU) and fission-product and actinide inventories agreeing to within 0.8% and 2.5%, respectively; a heat-pipe microreactor assembly problem with a much higher fuel loading confirmed the same behavior and quantified the bias introduced when the multigroup equivalence effect is neglected. For transient analysis, a pin-cell problem with a step reactivity insertion and temperature feedback reproduced the analytically expected asymptotic power and showed close agreement between the direct and IQS solutions, and a two-dimensional microreactor core problem with control-drum rotation exercised the new moving-drum self-shielding treatment and demonstrated successful coupling of the online crosssection generation with both the direct and IQS transient methods. The capability was further exercised on a full-core pebble-bed problem, in which Griffin was coupled with the System Analysis Module (SAM) to simulate load-following operation of the gPBR with the Doppler feedback resolved at the TRISO fuel kernel temperature. These developments in Griffin provide a convenient, high-fidelity approach to cross-section generation for advanced thermal reactors with geometrically complex and highly heterogeneous configurations, including TRISO-fueled prismatic and pebble-bed systems, and support steady-state, depletion, and transient multiphysics calculations. They also enable self-shielded cross sections to be evaluated directly at the actual coupled state of the system, thereby establishing a foundation for high-fidelity, fully coupled multiphysics analysis of advanced reactors

Park, H.↗

A Multiphysics Evaluation of Annular Uranium-Zirconium Metallic Fuels [Poster]

This study examines the performance of U-10Zr annular metallic fuel rodlets which were experimentally evaluated as part of the Advanced Fuels Campaign (AFC). The AFC mission is to develop novel fuel technologies and facilitate the implementation of those technologies by industry partners. A key objective is to improve steady-state and transient performance over current fuel types. The experiments of interest in this study included annular metallic U-Zr fuel rodlets within HT-9 cladding which were placed in SS-316 capsules and inserted in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR). Certain mechanical and thermal conditions cannot be directly evaluated through experiments and fuel performance modeling is used to shed light on this evolution over time. In this study, BISON Multiphysics simulations are leveraged to investigate the state of the fuel system throughout and after the experimental conditions.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Development of a Griffin model of the advanced test reactor

In the pursuit of a higher fidelity deterministic simulation capability of the Advanced Test Reactor, it is important to have a fast yet accurate deterministic neutronics model. Here, to achieve this, we employed an advanced two-step method. The first step involves generating homogenized cross sections using OpenMC, a cutting-edge Monte Carlo neutron transport code. OpenMC offers excellent modular capabilities, allowing for easy component integration and flexibility in incorporating new designs into the model. The second step involves deterministic transport calculations, which are performed using Griffin, a reactor physics application based on the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE). To ensure the accurate spatial resolution and assignment of material cross sections, a Cubit-generated mesh for the Advanced Test Reactor is utilized as an intermediate step between the OpenMC and Griffin models; Griffin utilizes the mesh for its finite element solution, while OpenMC material identifications are written to the mesh file to be used in Griffin material assignments. Additionally, a Python-based script converts the cross sections generated by OpenMC into the ISOXML format required by Griffin. Initial comparisons using the Griffin diffusion solver indicated good agreement between the neutron multiplication factors obtained from the standalone OpenMC model and the Griffin model, with differences of less than 10 pcm in the 2D geometry configuration; it was later determined that this agreement was likely due to compensating effect and was more likely on the order of –700 pcm relative to the OpenMC solution. However, in three-dimensional calculations, an unacceptably large error (almost 8,000 pcm) was found in the Griffin solution with the diffusion solver. Subsequent calculations using Griffin’s discrete ordinates solver demonstrated substantially improved agreement, within 116 pcm of the OpenMC solution used to generate the cross sections for Griffin. Building on this capability, future work will seek to perform more detailed validation calculations. The ultimate goal is to evaluate both transient and multiphysics simulations of the reactor.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

The Monolithic Heat Pipe Microreactor Reference Plant Model

This work introduces a reference plant model for a generic monolithic heat-pipe-cooled microreactor. The model will serve as a springboard to develop future evaluation models in the licensing process of similar microreactor designs at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. This model has been developed with the Comprehensive Reactor Analysis Bundle and its specifications are based on open literature publications for the eVinci TM design. BlueCRAB is the U.S. Nu- clear Regulatory Commission non-light-water reactor analysis system based on the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment framework, which can couple the Griffin, BISON, and Sockeye applications to resolve the various physics that are essential for the safety analysis of this type of reactor system. The core specifications includes tristructural isotropic fuel, graphite monolith, graphite reflectors, and drums composed of graphite and B 4 C. No moderator or burnable poison pins are used in the design. The fuel enrichment is reduced to control excess reactivity in the core. This core design is not optimized and only serves for testing purposes, since the primary objective of this work is to exercise the multiphysics coupling for this type of reactor system. A three dimensional (3D) core heterogeneous Griffin discrete ordinates (SN) transport model allows the precise calculation of the flux distribution and pin powers. Griffin transfers the power density distribution and obtains a temperature distribution to and from BISON. The BISON model com- putes the 3D core temperature distribution and is coupled to 876 Sockeye subapplications running a heat pipe model. This 3D conduction model is coupled to the various heat pipes via heat flux boundary conditions. The model includes a small gap between the heat pipe and the monolith. Convective heat transfer boundaries with either ambient temperature or condenser temperature as heat sinks are imposed at the model boundaries. The 2D Sockeye heat pipe model uses a vapor- only methodology, which provides the needed resolution for transient calculations and allows the determination of various heat pipe limits. This approach is superior to the superconductor model traditionally used in steady-state calculations. BlueCRAB computes steady-state power and temperature distributions that serve as the initial condition for a loss-of-heat-sink transient simulation. The steady-state results show significant peaking due to the position of the control drum, but this is a characteristic of the particular design used, which is not optimized at this stage. The transient results show the reactor power slowly stabilizing towards a 3% power level after the partial loss of secondary heat removal. Several recriticalities are observed due to cooling through the secondary system but the reactor is self-stabilizing and behaves as expected.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Fusion burn-propagation simulations using the collisional and radiative particle-in-cell code TRIFORCE

The ability to accurately model burn propagation in inertial confinement fusion plasmas is crucial for advancing fusion energy research. This work presents enhancements to the triforce hybrid fluid-kinetic multiphysics code, focusing on its kinetic half, which employs the particle-in-cell (PIC) method with Monte Carlo collisions (MCC). We use a moment-preserving collision model that mitigates numerical noise, particularly in spherical geometries where particle weights vary significantly. Additionally, we refine the treatment of inverse bremsstrahlung to account for electron–ion collision frequency reductions in degenerate plasmas and incorporate a blackbody radiation source to enable realistic photon injection. These improvements enable the simulation of 1-dimensional (1D) spherical fusion burn propagation in deuterium–tritium plasmas. Benchmark comparisons with the hydra radiation-hydrodynamics code confirm that triforce accurately captures the dynamics of hot-spot expansion and burn propagation, demonstrating sensitivity to ignition thresholds consistent with theoretical models. Findings show the ignition cliff to be less steep in our work compared to radiation-hydrodynamic modeling. These results highlight the role of kinetic effects in fusion ignition physics and underscore the necessity of hybrid fluid-kinetic models for advancing predictive capabilities in high-energy-density plasma systems.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dual‐Transformer Deep Learning Framework for Seasonal Forecasting of Great Lakes Water Levels

Abstract The Great Lakes of North America form one of the largest freshwater systems on Earth, and their lake‐wide average water levels (lake levels) can fluctuate by more than 0.5 m on a seasonal scale. These fluctuations pose substantial challenges for coastal resilience, flood risk management, and navigation planning. Accurate seasonal forecasting of lake levels using traditional mechanistic models is challenging due to the complex physical mechanisms and coupled hydroclimatic processes involved. Recently, deep learning has gained prominence in geoscience applications for its ability to recognize intricate patterns within multiphysical data sets. Here, we introduce a novel Dual‐Transformer deep learning framework, tested on the Great Lakes. This architecture integrates two modified Transformer models: the Prophet, which predicts underlying trends, and the Critic, which refines the Prophet's predictions. The final lake level prediction is derived by weighting the outputs of both models through a multi‐layer perceptron, jointly trained with the Prophet and Critic to enhance overall accuracy. Our results demonstrate that the innovative learning framework achieves the highest prediction accuracy compared to established deep learning models when using identical input features. It attains a root mean square error of 4–7 cm in predicting lake levels up to 6 months in advance across the lakes. Additionally, the Dual‐Transformer model runs six orders of magnitude faster than conventional mechanistic models, producing results in less than one second on a typical personal computer. These findings suggest that our deep learning framework has strong potential to advance lake level prediction and carries important implications for water management and disaster mitigation, thereby enhancing the quality of life in coastal regions.

Chen, Yi [Great Lakes Research Center Michigan Tec↗

Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) for heat pipes

Heat pipes are advanced passive thermal management devices that utilize phase change and capillary action to achieve efficient heat transfer. However, due to the complexity of the phenomena coupled in heat pipes, including capillary, phase change, turbulence, and compressibility effects, there are high uncertainties in the predictability of their operational regimes and performance. This PIRT exercise, conducted as a collaborative effort involving the Department of Energy (DOE) Microreactor Program (MRP), the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), and university partners systematically identifies, reviews, and prioritizes critical phenomena affecting the operation of heat pipes based on their importance and knowledge levels. Additional analyses and discussion are provided for phenomena with high importance and low knowledge, such as wick de-wetting, critical heat flux, contact angles, and pressure dynamics. The discussions included the recognizing challenges and proposing future research directions for both modeling and simulation and experimental efforts. Additionally, the report addresses phenomena with medium importance and low knowledge that could impact heat pipe operation during non-normal or transient operation, including frozen startup, laminar to turbulent transition, geyser boiling, wick priming, underfilling conditions, surface roughness of the wick, NCGs trapped in the wick, and the timescales of startup and shutdown. In conclusion, this comprehensive evaluation serves as a valuable resource for guiding future research and development efforts, supporting the successful integration of heat pipes into critical applications such as nuclear reactors, and contributing to the advancement of heat pipe technologies in safety-critical industries.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗