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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Cobalt-Free Cathodes for Next Generation Li-Ion Batteries

In this U.S. Department of Energy sponsored project Nexceris, in collaboration with project partners; The Ohio State University and Navitas Advanced Systems have advanced the technical maturity of a non-cobalt containing cathode for next-generation Li-ion batteries. The cathode is based on the lithium manganese nickel-titanium oxide, LiNi 0.5 Mn 1.5 TiO 4 (LNMTO) high voltage spinel. To address limitations with poor cycle and calendar life an microstucturally hierarchical LNMO/LNMTO core-shell cathode powder has been developed that enables the formation of a solid-electrolyte interface that effectively passivates the cathode surface. The microstructural enhancements of the cathode material focus on preferentially enriching the surface with titanium. In parallel, new, optimized binder and electrolyte chemistries have been incorporated to address degradation mechanisms associated with high-voltage systems. Single-layer pouch cell and large-format 2-Ah cell testing have shown that an optimized LNMO/LNMTO core-shell powder significantly improves initial cell capacity and cycle life compared to homogeneous LNMO powder. To support development and the fabrication of 2-Ah cells a novel Hybrid Alternative Wet-Chemical Synthesis (HAWCS) process have been developed. This low-cost, synthesis approach enables the excellent compositional and particle morphology control achieved with co-precipitation without the strict process controls and associated expensive process equipment.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Electrochemical Behaviors of Bilayer Oxygen Electrode for Reversible Solid Oxide Cells

Reducing the resistances of oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) and oxygen evolution reaction (OER) while retaining the stability of an oxygen electrode, even in the presence of air contaminants such as Cr, H2O and CO2, is of paramount importance to the current commercial development of intermediate-temperature reversible solid oxide cells (IT-RSOCs). In this presentation, a multifunctional, coarsening-resistant, air-contaminants-tolerant and yet ORR/OER-active oxygen electrode (OE) for IT-RSOCs is described. The testing results show that new bilayer OE exhibits a much better ORR/OER activity and stability than the single-layer benchmark LSCF-GDC OE. Remarkably, the new bilayer OE also demonstrates an exceptionally high resistance to Cr-attack, a critical issue to the development of commercial meal-interconnect loaded SOFC/SOEC stacks/systems. Theoretical analysis is also presented to understand the fundamental reasons for the improved ORR/OER activity and stability observed under real-world operating conditions.

Huang, Kevin↗
DOE OSTI2023

IMS Rapid Response 2023-2 (RR 2023-RND-2): Magnetic order in layered bismuthide RhMnBi 3 (Final Report)

Microelectronics are technologies (mostly theoretical at this point) to create electronic circuits with components of atomic length scale. One of the key materials innovations enabling this technology is exfoliatable two-dimensional materials. These materials allow thin sheets of only a few atoms thick to be easily created in the laboratory. More and more of these materials are reported every year, but few have been characterized in detail. Thus a major goal in materials research in pursuit of microelectronic devices is characterizing newly discovered materials to evaluate their properties. The goal of this project was the measure and understand the magnetic order in a newly discovered van der Waals magnet RhMnBi 3 . Bulk property experiments indicated very complicated magnetic behavior, with multiple phase transitions between 2K and 300K (room temperature). This potentially indicated highly sensitive and tunable magnetism appropriate for single-layer magnetic switches and sensors.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

An Investigation of Thermal Properties of 2D Materials [Dissertation]

Studying the thermal conductivity of 2D materials is important due to the applications of 2D materials in fields such as thermal management, thermoelectricity, renewable energy, and sensors. As such, measurements of the thermal conductivity of these 2D materials become important to measure. Thermal conductivity is often difficult to measure for 2D materials due to their atomically thin nature and many experimental methods for doing so requiring contact with the sample, which can alter the thermal properties. A non-contact method for calculating the thermal conductivity of 2D materials supported on substrates in order to model the thermal conductivity of 2D materials for devices, is proposed and experimentally performed in this dissertation. The optothermal Raman technique is a useful non-contact diagnostic technique useful in determining the thermal conductivity of 2D materials. The optothermal Raman typically does not account for heat losses due to convection or radiation or substrate resistance, which are shown to be important factors to consider when developing an optothermal Raman model. Additionally, the calculation of the interfacial thermal conductance between the bottom surface of the sample and the top surface of the substrate, plays an important role in determining the final value of the thermal conductivity of a supported sample, and will yield differing results based on whether or not the conductance is calculated using an approach such as the Diffuse Mismatch Model (DMM) or calculated directly by varying the laser heating profile (usually done by changing the laser objective). This is shown to be the case for both graphene on Ni, graphene on Cu, and SnSe 2 on Cu. In addition to experimentally calculating the thermal conductivity of a 2D material with the optothermal Raman technique, the thermal conductivity of 2D materials can also be calculated using computational methods. The three-phonon method is a method which can be used to simulate phonon scattering processes and determine the thermal conductivity of semiconductors, wherein phonon scattering is the dominant mechanism which determines the thermal conductivity. The three-phonon method uses relaxation times for phonon scattering with other phonons, electrons, and other material system elements, such as isotopes or material defects, in order to create a single-mode relaxation time approximation (SMRTA), which is used to calculate the final value of the thermal conductivity. An important consideration when determining the thermal conductivity of a 2D material using this method is the device geometry, which is reflected in this work as the phonon-boundary scattering relaxation time. This inclusion is important along with the inclusion of phonon-electron scattering in accurately determining the thermal conductivity of a 2D material. In both the optothermal Raman experiments and the three-phonon method computations, strain is shown to have a demonstrable effect on the thermal conductivity of 2D materials. When a 1.1% strain was applied to the mechanical properties of SnSe, the three-phonon processes yielded a lower thermal conductivity than the no-strain case. For the optothermal Raman experiments, the strain induced in the Cu substrate and transferred to a single-layer graphene (SLG) sample yields a trend where the thermal conductivity of the SLG decreases with respect to strain applied. In the case where the interfacial thermal conductance was calculated directly, the conductance increased with respect to strain applied. This presents strain as a reliable and viable method for tuning the thermal properties of 2D materials for device applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

STILGAR: Subsurface Models for Graymont Pleasant Gap Mine

The detection, location, and monitoring of underground structures are of great importance to national and global security. Tunnels and voids generate seismic signatures detectable at the surface, but using non-invasive seismic data to image near-surface presents several challenges in real-world applications. In this report, we describe the use of a dense surface seismic deployment to generate subsurface models of the Graymont Pleasant Gap mine - a single-layer mine with a complex structure embedded in a high-velocity P-wave limestone bedrock. Our approach consists of three key methods. We use P-wave arrival times from local blast events to perform a tomography inversion with the tomoTD method, constructing a P-wave velocity model of the subsurface. We model the layer above the mine using Rayleigh wave ellipticity and inversion techniques. We leverage ongoing anthropogenic activities to identify and locate noise sources both on the surface and within the subsurface. With this integrated approach we aim to overcome the challenges and enhance our ability to non-invasively characterize underground structures, contributing to improved seismic monitoring techniques.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Mesoscale Organization in Cumulus-Coupled Stratocumulus

Marine cloud systems cover a substantial portion of the world’s oceans. Most of these clouds form relatively close to the ocean surface, typically within one to two kilometers, a region referred to by meteorologists as the marine boundary layer. They are composed predominantly of liquid water, although ice particles can occur in mid- and high-latitude marine clouds during winter. In satellite imagery, these clouds appear bright against the darker ocean surface below, reflecting a large fraction of incoming sunlight back into space that would otherwise warm the ocean. Because marine boundary layer clouds cover such an extensive area of the ocean, they exert a significant influence on Earth’s overall transfer of solar energy absorbed by the surface and thermal energy emitted to space, a balance known as the planetary radiation budget. Marine boundary layer clouds are typically thin, and their formation and dissipation depend on a delicate balance between processes acting at the ocean surface below and the warm, dry air above. They are notoriously difficult to simulate accurately in weather forecast models, which often produce too few marine low clouds in midlatitudes and clouds in tropical regions that are excessively bright, meaning they reflect too much solar radiation. The marine boundary layer is frequently characterized by widespread overcast cloud cover that often transitions from a continuous, single-layer deck to more broken cloud fields toward the tropics. These transitions typically proceed through an intermediate stage in which shallow, broken clouds form beneath the overlying stratiform cloud deck. Once broken clouds develop below the overcast, they frequently self-organize into cloud clusters known as marine boundary layer convective complexes (MBLCCs), although the mechanisms governing the formation and organization of MBLCCs remain poorly understood. Accurately representing these transitions in long-range weather forecast models is essential because they influence the properties of air masses advected over the continental United States and Europe, and they become increasingly important for forecasts on seasonal and longer timescales. We employed two complementary approaches to investigate the processes controlling MBLCCs and their impact on marine cloud cover. Long-term observations from the U.S. Department of Energy’s Eastern North Atlantic (ENA) Observatory provided a unique dataset that allowed us to characterize fundamental properties of MBLCCs, including their typical size and frequency of occurrence. These observations were combined with high-resolution numerical simulations performed on supercomputers to examine the evolution of MBLCCs during cold-air outbreaks over the ENA region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Explosion Detection using Transfer Learning via YAMNet [Poster]

The acoustic data of explosions and noise collected on smartphones were fed to the YAMNet model to obtain the scores of each class. The data was split 60/20/20 for training, validation, and testing. A single-layered neural network was trained using the computed scores to predict if the data was an explosion or noise. The trained model was then combined with the YAMNet model. The combined model was tested with the ESC-50 dataset to investigate overall accuracy and class based false positive rates.

98 - NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL↗
DOE OSTI2026

Radiative Cooling Paints: Application on Warehouses and Integration with Phase Change Materials

Despite extensive research on radiative cooling (RC), researchers are still working to understand its best implementation strategy and potential benefits. Understanding this could be an instrumental part of reducing building energy costs and combating climate change. In this work, we introduce two concepts to achieve this goal and broaden the application of RC paints. While building energy simulations for RC are common, most studies focus on single-layer paints in residential settings. Limited research exists on warehouses, and no literature has conducted multi-climate zone analyses or included RC technologies with >90% reflectance. As RC technology advances in efficiency, versatility, and affordability, large-scale simulations across diverse climates are crucial, particularly for warehouses as a passive indoor temperature control solution. Here, a TRNSYS-modeled single-story warehouse assesses the energy impact of BaSO4-based RC paints. Another under-explored RC application is its integration with phase change materials (PCMs), which provide thermal regulation via latent heat storage. Though RC and PCMs have been combined by placing PCMs atop, beneath, or within RC layers, studies focus on either experiments or modeling, with no validation between the two. Here, we develop a simple RC+PCM experimental and modeling setup, placing RC paint atop an aluminum cell filled with a Rubitherm PCM.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2021

Elucidating the Mechanical Energy for Cyclization of a DNA Origami Tile

DNA origami has emerged as a versatile method to synthesize nanostructures with high precision. This bottom-up self-assembly approach can produce not only complex static architectures, but also dynamic reconfigurable structures with tunable properties. While DNA origami has been explored increasingly for diverse applications, such as biomedical and biophysical tools, related mechanics are also under active investigation. Here we studied the structural properties of DNA origami and investigated the energy needed to deform the DNA structures. We used a single-layer rectangular DNA origami tile as a model system and studied its cyclization process. This origami tile was designed with an inherent twist by placing crossovers every 16 base-pairs (bp), corresponding to a helical pitch of 10.67 bp/turn, which is slightly different from that of native B-form DNA (~10.5 bp/turn). We used molecular dynamics (MD) simulations based on a coarse-grained model on an open-source computational platform, oxDNA. We calculated the energies needed to overcome the initial curvature and induce mechanical deformation by applying linear spring forces. We found that the initial curvature may be overcome gradually during cyclization and a total of ~33.1 kcal/mol is required to complete the deformation. These results provide insights into the DNA origami mechanics and should be useful for diverse applications such as adaptive reconfiguration and energy absorption.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Marine Boundary Layer Cloud Boundaries and Phase Estimation Using Airborne Radar and In Situ Measurements During the SOCRATES Campaign over Southern Ocean

The Southern Ocean Clouds, Radiation, Aerosol Transport Experimental Study (SOCRATES) was an aircraft-based campaign (15 January–26 February 2018) that deployed in situ probes and remote sensors to investigate low-level clouds over the Southern Ocean (SO). A novel methodology was developed to identify cloud boundaries and classify cloud phases in single-layer, low-level marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds below 3 km using the HIAPER Cloud Radar (HCR) and in situ measurements. The cloud base and top heights derived from HCR reflectivity, Doppler velocity, and spectrum width measurements agreed well with corresponding lidar-based and in situ estimates of cloud boundaries, with mean differences below 100 m. A liquid water content–reflectivity (LWC-Z) relationship, LWC = 0.70Z0.29, was derived to retrieve the LWC and liquid water path (LWP) from HCR profiles. The cloud phase was classified using HCR measurements, temperature, and LWP, yielding 40.6% liquid, 18.3% mixed-phase, and 5.1% ice samples, along with drizzle (29.1%), rain (3.2%), and snow (3.7%) for drizzling cloud cases. The classification algorithm demonstrates good consistency with established methods. This study provides a framework for the boundary and phase detection of MBL clouds, offering insights into SO cloud microphysics and supporting future efforts in satellite retrievals and climate model evaluation.

MBL clouds over Southern Ocean↗
DOE OSTI2021

Boride-Carbon Hybrid Technology for Ultra-Wear and Corrosive Conditions

This work discusses a study on a surface treatment for creating extremely durable low-friction, wear and corrosion-resistant surfaces for tribological components in harsh conditions. A duplex surface treatment was developed that combines the advantages of ultra-fast electrochemical boriding with those of hard tetrahedral amorphous carbon coatings. The friction and wear properties of the duplex treatment are compared to the boride-only treatment of AISI 1045 steel, while corrosion and contact fatigue behaviors of the duplex layer are compared to that of the single-layer carbon coating on low carbon steel. The duplex treatment yields wear rates as low as 6 × 10−8 mm3·N−1·m−1 and a coefficient of friction of 0.14 when tested against a steel counter face. The contact fatigue impact tests reveal that the high hardness of 1200 HV0.05 of the borided layer in the duplex treatment leads to higher resistance against indentation but is accompanied by a higher incidence of crack initiation, being in good agreement with the finite-element modeling of nanoindentation results. The duplex coatings exhibit resistance to pinhole corrosion as evidenced by a 3 h exposure to 15% HCl at room temperature.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Comparison of Machine Learning-Based Predictive Models of the Nutrient Loads Delivered from the Mississippi/Atchafalaya River Basin to the Gulf of Mexico

Predicting nutrient loads is essential to understanding and managing one of the environmental issues faced by the northern Gulf of Mexico hypoxic zone, which poses a severe threat to the Gulf’s healthy ecosystem and economy. The development of hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico is strongly associated with the eutrophication process initiated by excessive nutrient loads. Due to the complexities in the excessive nutrient loads to the Gulf of Mexico, it is challenging to understand and predict the underlying temporal variation of nutrient loads. The study was aimed at identifying an optimal predictive machine learning model to capture and predict nonlinear behavior of the nutrient loads delivered from the Mississippi/Atchafalaya River Basin (MARB) to the Gulf of Mexico. For this purpose, monthly nutrient loads (N and P) in tons were collected from US Geological Survey (USGS) monitoring station 07373420 from 1980 to 2020. Machine learning models—including autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), gaussian process regression (GPR), single-layer multilayer perceptron (MLP), and a long short-term memory (LSTM) with the single hidden layer—were developed to predict the monthly nutrient loads, and model performances were evaluated by standard assessment metrics—Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Correlation Coefficient (R). The residuals of predictive models were examined by the Durbin–Watson statistic. The results showed that MLP and LSTM persistently achieved better accuracy in predicting monthly TN and TP loads compared to GPR and ARIMA. In addition, GPR models achieved slightly better test RMSE score than ARIMA models while their correlation coefficients are much lower than ARIMA models. Moreover, MLP performed slightly better than LSTM in predicting monthly TP loads while LSTM slightly outperformed for TN loads. Furthermore, it was found that the optimizer and number of inputs didn’t show effects on the LSTM performance while they exhibited impacts on MLP outcomes. This study explores the capability of machine learning models to accurately predict nonlinearly fluctuating nutrient loads delivered to the Gulf of Mexico. Further efforts focus on improving the accuracy of forecasting using hybrid models which combine several machine learning models with superior predictive performance for nutrient fluxes throughout the MARB.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Environmental effects on aerosol–cloud interaction in non-precipitating marine boundary layer (MBL) clouds over the eastern North Atlantic

Abstract. Over the eastern North Atlantic (ENA) ocean, a total of 20 non-precipitating single-layer marine boundary layer (MBL) stratus and stratocumulus cloud cases are selected to investigate the impacts of the environmental variables on the aerosol–cloud interaction (ACIr) using the ground-based measurements from the Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) facility at the ENA site during 2016–2018. The ACIr represents the relative change in cloud droplet effective radius re with respect to the relative change in cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) number concentration at 0.2 % supersaturation (NCCN,0.2 %) in the stratified water vapor environment. The ACIr values vary from −0.01 to 0.22 with increasing sub-cloud boundary layer precipitable water vapor (PWVBL) conditions, indicating that re is more sensitive to the CCN loading under sufficient water vapor supply, owing to the combined effect of enhanced condensational growth and coalescence processes associated with higher Nc and PWVBL. The principal component analysis shows that the most pronounced pattern during the selected cases is the co-variations in the MBL conditions characterized by the vertical component of turbulence kinetic energy (TKEw), the decoupling index (Di), and PWVBL. The environmental effects on ACIr emerge after the data are stratified into different TKEw regimes. The ACIr values, under both lower and higher PWVBL conditions, more than double from the low-TKEw to high-TKEw regime. This can be explained by the fact that stronger boundary layer turbulence maintains a well-mixed MBL, strengthening the connection between cloud microphysical properties and the below-cloud CCN and moisture sources. With sufficient water vapor and low CCN loading, the active coalescence process broadens the cloud droplet size spectra and consequently results in an enlargement of re. The enhanced activation of CCN and the cloud droplet condensational growth induced by the higher below-cloud CCN loading can effectively decrease re, which jointly presents as the increased ACIr. This study examines the importance of environmental effects on the ACIr assessments and provides observational constraints to future model evaluations of aerosol–cloud interactions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Droplet collection efficiencies inferred from satellite retrievals constrain effective radiative forcing of aerosol–cloud interactions

Abstract. Process-oriented observational constraints for the anthropogenic effective radiative forcing due to aerosol–cloud interactions (ERFaci) are highly desirable because the uncertainty associated with ERFaci poses a significant challenge to climate prediction. The contoured frequency by optical depth diagram (CFODD) analysis supports the evaluation of model representation of cloud liquid-to-rain conversion processes because the slope of a CFODD, generated from joint MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)-CloudSat cloud retrievals, provides an estimate of cloud droplet collection efficiency in single-layer warm liquid clouds. Here, we present an updated CFODD analysis as an observational constraint on the ERFaci due to warm rain processes and apply it to the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 2 (E3SMv2). A series of sensitivity experiments shows that E3SMv2 droplet collection efficiencies and ERFaci are highly sensitive to autoconversion, i.e., the rate of mass transfer from cloud liquid to rain, yielding a strong correlation between the CFODD slope and the shortwave component of ERFaci (ERFaciSW; Pearson's R=-0.91). E3SMv2's CFODD slope (0.20 ± 0.04) is in agreement with observations (0.20 ± 0.03). The strong sensitivity of ERFaciSW to the CFODD slope provides a useful constraint on highly uncertain warm rain processes, whereby ERFaciSW, constrained by MODIS-CloudSat, is estimated by calculating the intercept of the linear association between the ERFaciSW and the CFODD slopes, using the MODIS-CloudSat CFODD slope as a reference.

Beall, Charlotte M. (ORCID:0000000311370835)↗
DOE OSTI2026

Occurrence of seeding multi-layer clouds in the Arctic from ground-based observations

Studies of Arctic clouds often focus on low-level single-layer clouds (SLCs). Here, we use combined observations of soundings and cloud radar during the MOSAiC, ACSE, and AO2018 research cruises as well as from long-term observations at Ny-Ålesund, Svalbard and Utqiagvik, Alaska to investigate the occurrence of SLCs and multi-layer clouds (MLCs) in the Arctic and to assess the rate of ice-crystal seeding in cold MLCs. MOSAiC observations show cloudy conditions in between 70 % and 90 % of sounding-radar cases. SLCs show occurrence rates of 30 % to 40 % with the highest value of 45 % during October. Cold MLCs are most abundant from November to June (40 % to 55 % of cases). Seeding occurs in about half to two thirds of the identified cold MLCs during MOSAiC for which the sub-saturated layer extends between 100 and 1000 m. The seeding rate increases by as much as 20 percentage points as the assumed size of the falling ice crystals is increased from 100 to 400 µm. The observations reveal a stable rate of cloud-free conditions of around 20 % over the covered latitude range. Cloud occurrence during MOSAiC and at Ny-Ålesund in July, when the geographical distance between observations was minimal, shows reasonable agreement. Comparisons of MOSAiC and other research cruises to the central Arctic also indicate consistent occurrence rates of different cloud types despite the likely effect of year-to-year variability. The comparison of data from ship campaigns and land sites suggests that the latter are not necessarily a good indicator of cloud occurrence in the high Arctic.

Achtert, Peggy [Leipzig Univ. (Germany); Meteorolo↗
DOE OSTI2023

Barotropic tides in MPAS-Ocean (E3SM V2): impact of ice shelf cavities

Abstract. Oceanic tides are seldom represented in Earth system models (ESMs) owing to the need for high horizontal resolution to accurately represent the associated barotropic waves close to coasts. This paper presents results of tides implemented in the Model for Prediction Across Scales–Ocean or MPAS-Ocean, which is the ocean component within the U.S. Department of Energy developed Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM). MPAS-Ocean circumvents the limitation of low resolution using unstructured global meshing. We are at this stage simulating the largest semidiurnal (M2, S2, N2) and diurnal (K1, O1) tidal constituents in a single-layer version of MPAS-O. First, we show that the tidal constituents calculated using MPAS-Ocean closely agree with the results of the global tidal prediction model TPXO8 when suitably tuned topographic wave drag and bottom drag coefficients are employed. Thereafter, we present the sensitivity of global tidal evolution due to the presence of Antarctic ice shelf cavities. The effect of ice shelves on the amplitude and phase of tidal constituents are presented. Lower values of complex errors (with respect to TPXO8 results) for the M2 tidal constituents are observed when the ice shelf is added in the simulations, with particularly strong improvement in the Southern Ocean. Our work points towards future research with varying Antarctic ice shelf geometries and sea ice coupling that might lead to better comparison and prediction of tides and thus better prediction of sea-level rise and also the future climate variability.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Urban weather modeling using WRF: linking physical assumptions, code implementation, and observational needs

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model includes urban schemes that simulate the influence of urban surfaces on the atmosphere using parameterizations for flux, and radiative exchanges. Three core schemes – the Bulk urban parameterization, Single-Layer Urban Canopy Model (SLUCM), and Multi-Layer Urban Canopy Model (MLUCM) – represent increasing levels of complexity. Although the parameterizations within these urban schemes are described in the literature, their specific implementation remains poorly documented, thus slowing down model development efforts. This manuscript provides a roadmap to the three urban schemes in WRF version 4.5.2, presenting equations using the same symbols as in the model code, along with references to code lines, and including graphics and explanations that connect the code to its physical foundations. Our thorough review of the urban parameterizations implemented in WRF version 4.5.2 highlighted a handful of parameters that may introduce discontinuities in simulations: (i) in the SLUCM, a 1 mm h −1 rain rate threshold is employed to switch between two minimum moisture availability parameterizations, thus impacting latent heat flux calculations; (ii) in the SLUCM a threshold is used to partition shortwave radiation into direct and diffuse components; (iii) in all three urban schemes, the bulk Richardson number is employed to select the similarity function, which influences the vertical distribution of heat and momentum. We also identified a highly simplified treatment of the radiative balance on roof surfaces. The implications of these simplifications can be assessed through targeted observations across relevant conditions, including varying precipitation rates, cloud cover, and transitions between stability regimes. Furthermore, the widespread application of the Monin-Obukhov similarity theory in these urban schemes warrants model evaluation under highly stable and unstable conditions and in heterogeneous urban settings with variable land cover and building heights on scales finer than model resolution. To address these challenges, we offer guidance on observational strategies, emphasizing the need for multi-parametric measurements to capture potential compensating biases and multi-height measurements that align with the levels where quantities are diagnostic and prognosed in the model (i.e., the lowest atmospheric level of the WRF model). Finally, our inspection of the code revealed implementation bugs that have now been corrected in WRF versions 4.6.0 and 4.6.1. Sensitivity tests over the Atlanta urban area show that these corrections affect surface temperatures, underscoring the importance of performing rigorous documentation and verification of the implementation of parameterizations in model code.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Gearbox bearing crack growth prognostics and uncertainty quantification with physics-informed machine learning

This paper introduces the extreme theory of functional connections (X-TFC), a physics-informed machine learning algorithm, and tailors it to estimate the remaining useful life (RUL) of wind turbine gearbox bearings experiencing fatigue crack growth. Unlike purely data-driven methods, X-TFC embeds a physics model, based on Head's theory in this work, into its training objective. The core of X-TFC is a random-projection single-layer neural network trained via an extreme learning machine, which requires only limited damage progression data and solves for output weights with a least-squares optimization algorithm. A composite loss function balances the network's fit to observed degradation data against the residuals of the governing crack growth differential equation, ensuring the learned damage trajectory remains physically plausible. When applied to a vibration-based health-index (HI) dataset measured during the growth of a crack on the inner ring of a high-speed bearing in a wind turbine gearbox (Bechhoefer and Dubé, 2020), X-TFC achieves near-zero prediction bias. Even when trained on only the first 10 %–20 % of the damage progression data, with sufficient physics weighting its predictions remain monotonic and smooth, delivering high prognosability and trendability. To quantify the epistemic uncertainty, we employ a Monte Carlo ensemble of independently initialized X-TFC models trained on noise-perturbed data, which yields confidence intervals around each RUL estimate and captures both model-parameter and epistemic uncertainty. In addition to a vibration-based HI, we demonstrate that the proposed framework can be directly applied to a supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) data-based HI (Eftekhari Milani et al., 2026) measured during similar wind turbine gearbox bearing crack faults, preserving its accuracy and interpretability. This extension shows the versatility of our approach, which is applicable to bearings of multiple gearbox manufacturers, models, and ratings using only SCADA data. By integrating domain knowledge with machine learning, X-TFC offers a rapid, reliable tool for crack prognostics. Its adaptability to other bearing failure modes, such as pitch bearing ring cracks, positions X-TFC as a powerful enabler of data-driven, physics-informed asset management in the wind energy sector and beyond.

17 WIND ENERGY↗