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At least 217 records · Page 12

An assessment of possible ozone-solar cycle relationship inferred from NIMBUS 4 BUV data

The effects of solar activity on stratospheric ozone were studied between 1970 and 1976 by the NIMBUS 4 backscattered ultraviolet experiment. Results show that, after correcting for instrument sensitivity, globally averaged ozone decreased by 3-4 percent above 2 mbar to less than 1 percent at 10 mbar, as solar activity decreased from solar maximum to solar minimum. This systematic ozone decrease (at all pressure levels) and the seemingly periodic oscillation (generally a 2 year period) seem to be associated with conventional indices of solar activity, which suggests a solar UV-ozone relationship. However, since the ozone depletion, especially at 40 km, is characteristic of atmospheric fluorocarbon injection effects, the solar cycle ozone relationship should be qualified: it may exist if the solar UV flux varies by 15-20 percent in the shorter-wavelength region (less than 200 nm).

Chandra, S.↗

Solar cycle variation of interplanetary shocks, coronal mass ejections, and stream interactions observed at 0.7 AU

A survey of the Pioneer Venus Orbiter (PVO) magnetometer and plasma data from 1979-1980, shows that the occurrence frequency of interplanetary shocks, coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and stream interactions observed at 0.7 AU exhibits a solar cycle variation. As previously found at 1 AU, the observed number of both interplanetary shocks and CMEs peaks during solar maximum (approximately 16 and approximately 27 per year, respectively) and reaches a low during solar minimum (approximately 0 and approximately 7 per year, respectively), in phase with the variation in smoothed sunspot number. The number of stream interactions observed varies in the opposite manner, having a minimum during solar maximum (approximately 15 per year) and a maximum during solar minimum (approximately 34 per year). The percentage of CMEs and stream interactions producing interplanetary shocks also varies during the solar-cycle and exhibits interesting behavior during the declining phase. While the number of CMEs observed during this phase is decreasing, the percentage of CMEs producing interplanetary shocks reaches a maximum. Also, while the number of stream interactions observed is increasing, but has not reached maximum during the declining phase, the percentage of stream interactions producing interplanety shocks is at a maximum.

Lindsay, G. M.↗

Solar Cycle Fine Structure and Surface Rotation from Ca II K-Line Time Series Data

Analysis of three and a half decades of data from the NSO/AFRL/Sac Peak K-line monitoring program yields evidence for four components to the variation: (a) the solar cycle, with considerable fine structure and a quasi-periodicity of 122.4 days; (b) a stochastic process, faster than (a) and largely independent of it, (c) a quasi-periodic signal due to rotational modulation, and of course (d) observational errors (shown to be quite small). Correlation and power spectrum analyses elucidate periodic and aperiodic variation of these chromospheric parameters. Time-frequency analysis is especially useful for extracting information about differential rotation, and in particular elucidates the connection between its behavior and fine structure of the solar cycle on approximately one-year time scales. These results further suggest that similar analyses will be useful at detecting and characterizing differential rotation in stars from stellar light-curves such as those being produced at NASA's Kepler observatory.

Scargle, Jeff↗

The response of ozone to solar proton events during solar cycle 21 - The observations

It is pointed out that during a solar proton event (SPE), large numbers of high-energy protons penetrate the earth's mesosphere and upper stratosphere and perturb the normal chemistry by ionizing molecules and changing the balance of odd nitrogen, oxygen, and hydrogen. Changes in ozone caused by an SPE are produced very rapidly, typically in a matter of hours, and are confined to a limited geographic area, the region above 60 deg geomagnetic latitude. In this paper, an analysis is reported of the response of ozone to the significant SPE's in solar cycle 21 from the Nimbus 7 launch in October 1978 to date, using data from the solar backscattered ultraviolet instrument (SBUV). Ozone data during 15 SPE's were examined. It was found that ozone depletion occurred during SPE's on at least five dates.

Mcpeters, R. D.↗

Phase coherence of solar cycle minima over two 178-year periods

The phases of solar cycle minima are compared with an 'ideal' sunspot cycle of the mean period of 11.4 years. The observed departures from the ideal model form a pattern over 16 cycles (approximately 178 years) which appears to be repeated over the next 16 cycles. Both in mathematic sign and amplitude the two 178-year cycles are coherent to a statistically significant level of 98 percent. If true, this furnishes a basis for predicting sunspot cycle minima.

Fairbridge, R. W.↗

On 'Bimodality of the solar cycle' and the duration of cycle 21

Data from the well-observed cycles 8-20 are used to study the duration of cycle 21 and the bimodality of the solar cycle which is clearly seen in the scatter diagrams of descent versus ascent durations. A linear fit for long-period cycles suggests that cycle 21 will have a 141-month cycle duration. Like cycle 11, cycle 21 is found to occur on the downward envelope of the sunspot number curve, yet to be associated with an upward first difference in amplitude. Similarities between the two cycles suggest that cycle 21 may also have an extended tail of sustained, low smoothed sunspot number, with the cycle 22 minimum occurring either in late 1987 or early 1988.

Wilson, Robert M.↗

Helioseismic Measurements of Convective Power in Solar Cycle 24

Constraining the parameters under which convection in the solar interior operates has important implications for describing how energy is transported by plasma motions, and various physical models have been employed to provide some theoretical estimates on the expected power spectrum. Past attempts to measure the convective power distributed among large spatial scales have, however, found differing and incompatible values. Here, we present measurements of the convective power spectrum in the upper convection zone for Carrington rotations in Solar Cycle 24 obtained from the helioseismic signal corresponding to East-West flows. We also perform calibration on synthetic data using the global acoustic GALE code to make assessments of the flow velocities at various length scales without the need for performing inversions. This allows us to derive the convective power spectrum from the flow maps and to compare with the results from the raw travel times. These results are compared against predictions of convective power in global models of convection produced by the EULAG code. Finally, we show how the steps in our analysis procedure (for example data segmentation, filtering, etc.) affect our estimates of the convective power by comparing with the synthetic data from the GALE code.

Heliophysics↗

A new sunspot umbral model and its variation with the solar cycle

Semiempirical model atmospheres are presented for the darkest parts of large sunspot umbrae, regions have called umbral cores. The approach is based on general-purpose computational procedures that are applicable to different types of stellar atmospheres. It is shown that recent umbral intensity measurements of the spectral energy distribution may be accounted for by an umbral core atmospheric model that varies with time during the solar cycle; the observed center-limb variation can be accounted for by the properties of the model. Three umbral core models are presented, corresponding to the early, middle, and late phases of the solar cycle. These three models also may be regarded as having the properties of dark, average, and bright umbral cores respectively. The effects of atomic, opacity, and abundance data uncertainties on the model calculations are briefly discussed. For comparison, a new reference model for the average quiet solar photosphere is given.

Maltby, P.↗

Observed Helicity of Active Regions in Solar Cycle 21

We report the results of a study of helicity in solar active regions during the peak of activity in solar cycle 21 from observations with the Marshall Space Flight Center's solar vector magnetograph. Using the force-free parameter alpha as the proxy for helicity, we calculated an average value of alpha for each of 60 active regions from a total of 449 vector magnetograms that were obtained during the period 1980 March to November. The signs of these average values of alpha were correlated with the latitude of the active regions to test the hemispheric rule of helicity that has been proposed for solar magnetic fields: negative helicity predominant in northern latitudes, positive in the southern ones. We have found that of the 60 regions that were observed, 30 obey the hemispheric rule and 30 do not.

Hagyard, M. J.↗

Radial and Solar Cycle Variations of the Magnetic Fields in the Heliosheath: Voyager 1 Observations from 2005 to 2008

We discuss the magnetic field strength B(t) and polarity observed by Voyager 1 (V1) in the heliosheath at the heliographic latitude approximately equal 34 deg as it moved away from the sun from 2005 through 2008.82. The pattern of the polarity of the magnetic field changed from alternating positive and negative polarities to predominantly negative polarities (magnetic fields pointing along the Archimedean spiral field angle toward the sun) at approximately equal 2006.23). This transition indicates that the latitudinal extent of the heliospheric current sheet (HCS) was decreasing in the supersonic solar wind, as expected for the declining phase of the solar cycle, and as predicted by extrapolation of the magnetic neutral line near the photosphere to the position of V1. However, the polarity was not uniformly negative in during 2008, in contrast to the predicted polarity. This difference suggests that the maximum latitudinal extent of the HCS was tending to increase in the northern hemisphere in the heliosheath, while it was decreasing in the supersonic solar wind. The large-scale magnetic field strength B(t) HCS was observed by V1 from 2005 through 2008.820. During this interval of decreasing solar activity toward solar minimum, B(t) at 1 AU was decreasing and the solar wind speed V at the latitude of V1 was increasing. Adjusting the temporal profile of B(t) observed by V1 for the solar cycle variations of B and V in the supersonic solar wind, we find that the radial gradient of B(R) in heliosheath from the radial distance R = 94.2 AU to 107.9 AU between 2005.0 and 2008.82 was 0.0017 nT/AU <= grad B <= 0.0055 nT/AU or grad B = (0.0036 +/- 0.0019) nT/AU

Burlaga, Leonard↗

Solar cycle variations of the corona and their implications for dynamics of the interior and the heliosphere

Using a simple potential field approximation to compute the coronal magnetic field from the surface magnetic field, it is argued that six distinctive solar cycle-associated variations of the solar corona can be understood in terms of solar cycle variations in the formation and dynamics of open and closed field line configurations. It is proposed that the X-ray emission of the sun should show solar cycle variations, and that it is possible to detect and study stellar magnetic cycles by monitoring X-ray emission of the stellar coronae over a long time span.

Yoshimura, Hirokazu↗

Stereo and Solar Cycle 24

The twin STEREO spacecrafi, launched in October 2006, are in heliocentric orbits near 4 AU with one spacecraft (Ahead) leading Earth in its orbit around the Sun and the other (Behind) trailing Earth. As viewed from the Sun, the STEREO spacecraft are continually separating from one another at about 45 degrees per year with Earth biseding the angle. At present, th@spaser=raft are a bit more than 45 degrees apart, thus they are able to each 'vie@ ground the limb's of the Sun by about 23 degrees, corresponding to about 1.75 days of solar rotation. Both spameraft contain an identical set of instruments including an extreme ultraviolet imager, two white light coronagraphs, tws all-sky imagers, a wide selection of energetic particle detectors, a magnetometer and a radio burst tracker. A snapshot of the real time data is continually broadcast to NOW-managed ground stations and this small stream of data is immediately sent to the STEREO Science Center and converted into useful space weather data within 5 minutes of ground receipt. The resulting images, particle, magnetometer and radio astronomy plots are available at ~ ~ j ~ g ~ ~ ~ i t , : gAs~ timqe~ co~n~ting ue~s ijnto~ ~ ~ ~ ~ . ~ g ~ solar cycle 24, the separation angle becomes 90 degrees in early 2009 and 180 degrees in early 201 1 as the activity heads toward maximum. By the time of solar maximum, STEREO will provide for the first time a view of the entire Sun with the mronagraphs and e*reme ultraviolet instruments. This view wilt allow us to follow the evolution of active regions continuously and also detect new active regions long before they pose a space weather threat to Earth. The in situ instruments will be able to provide about 7 days advanced notice of co-rotating structures in the solar wind. During this same intewal near solar maximum, the wide-angle imagers on STEREB will both be ;able to view EarlCP-dirsted CMEs in their plane-oPsky. When combined with Eat-lhorbiting assets available at that time, it seems solar cycle 24 will mark a great increase in our ability to understand and predict space weather.

Kaise,r Michael L.↗

Energy Spectra, Composition, and Other Properties of Ground-Level Events During Solar Cycle 23

We report spacecraft measurements of the energy spectra of solar protons and other solar energetic particle properties during the 16 Ground Level Events (GLEs) of Solar Cycle 23. The measurements were made by eight instruments on the ACE, GOES, SAMPBX, and STEREO spacecraft and extend from approximately 0.1 to approximately 500-700 MeV. All of the proton spectra exhibit spectral breaks at energies ranging from approximately 2 to approximately 46 MeV and all are well fit by a double power-law shape. A comparison of GLE events with a larger sample of other solar energetic particle (SEP) events shows that the typical spectral indices are harder in GLE events, with a mean slope of -3.18 at greater than 40 MeV/nuc. In the energy range 45 to 80 MeV/nucleon about approximately 50% of GLE events have properties in common with impulsive He-3-rich SEP events, including enrichments in Ne/O, Fe/O, Ne-22/Ne-20, and elevated mean charge states of Fe. These He-3 rich events contribute to the seed population accelerated by CME-driven shocks. An analysis is presented of whether highly-ionized Fe ions observed in five events could be due to electron stripping during shock acceleration in the low corona. Making use of stripping calculations by others and a coronal density model, we can account for events with mean Fe charge states of (Q(sub Fe) is approximately equal to +20 if the acceleration starts at approximately 1.24-1.6 solar radii, consistent with recent comparisons of CME trajectories and type-II radio bursts. In addition, we suggest that gradual stripping of remnant ions from earlier large SEP events may also contribute a highly-ionized suprathermal seed population. We also discuss how observed SEP spectral slopes relate to the energetics of particle acceleration in GLE and other large SEP events.

Mewaldt, R. A.↗

Observed Helicity of Active Regions in Solar Cycle 21

We report the results of a study of magnetic helicity in solar active regions during solar cycles 21 and 22 from observations with the Marshall Space Flight Center's solar vector magnetograph. Using the force-free parameter a as the proxy for helicity, we calculated an average value of a for each of 91 active regions from a total of 683 vector magnetograms that were obtained during the period March 1980 to July 1993. The signs of these average values of a were correlated with the latitude of the active regions to test the hemispherical rule of helicity that has been proposed for solar magnetic fields: negative helicity predominant in northern latitudes, positive in the southern ones. We have found that of the 65 regions that were observed in cycle 21,49% obey the hemispherical rule and 51% do not. On the other hand, for the 26 regions in cycle 22,65% do exhibit this correlation. In addition, our results seem to support the findings of Hagino and Sakurai (2002) which indicate evidence for a time variability in the hemispheric rule.

Hagyard, M. J.↗

Observed Helicity of Active Region Magnetic Fields in Solar Cycle 21

We report the results of a study of magnetic helicity in solar active regions during solar cycles 21 and 22 from observations with the Marshall Space Flight Center's solar vector magnetograph. Using the force-free parameter a as the proxy for helicity, we calculated an average value of a for each of 91 active regions fiom a total of 683 vector magnetograms that were obtained during the period March 1980 to July 1993. The signs of these average values of alpha were correlated with the latitude of the active regions to test the hemispherical rule of helicity that has been proposed for solar magnetic fields: negative helicity predominant in northern latitudes, positive in the southern ones. We have found that of the 65 regions that were observed in cycle 21,49% obey the hemispherical rule and 51% do not. On the other hand, for the 26 regions in cycle 22,65% do exhibit this correlation.

Hagyard, M. J.↗

The galactic cosmic ray intensity minimum in the inner and outer heliosphere in solar cycle 21

The occurrence of the cosmic ray intensity minimum during solar cycle 21 at widely separated locations in the heliosphere is investigated. The data include in situ measurements by cosmic-ray detectors on the earth-orbiting satellite IMP 8, on the Voyagers 1 and 2 spacecraft, and on the Pioneers 10 and 11 spacecraft, located at distances from 1 to 27 AU. It is noted that Pioneer 10 and the other three spacecraft (Pioneer 11 and Voyagers 1 and 2) are on the opposite sides of the sun, with the latter moving toward the tail of the heliosphere. The data used in the study have been suitably corrected by removing solar flare particle contributions, Forbush decreases, and contamination by the radioisotope thermoelectric generator. It is evident that there exists a time delay in the occurrence of the cosmic ray intensity minimum registered by the IMP 8 and Pioneer 10 detectors, the latter being located at approximately 27 AU. It is shown that the data from the four spacecraft in deep space are on an average consistent with the IMP 8 data at 1 AU when suitably corrected, using 3 percent/AU for the radial gradient and 500 km/s for the average speed of propagation. An overview of the intensity profiles reveals reasonable agreement among them. However, specific intensity features appear at times to propagate with speeds in excess of the average value of about 500 km/s.

Venkatesan, D.↗