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At least 217 records · Page 12

Statistical methods for efficient design of community surveys of response to noise: Random coefficients regression models

Research studies of residents' responses to noise consist of interviews with samples of individuals who are drawn from a number of different compact study areas. The statistical techniques developed provide a basis for those sample design decisions. These techniques are suitable for a wide range of sample survey applications. A sample may consist of a random sample of residents selected from a sample of compact study areas, or in a more complex design, of a sample of residents selected from a sample of larger areas (e.g., cities). The techniques may be applied to estimates of the effects on annoyance of noise level, numbers of noise events, the time-of-day of the events, ambient noise levels, or other factors. Methods are provided for determining, in advance, how accurately these effects can be estimated for different sample sizes and study designs. Using a simple cost function, they also provide for optimum allocation of the sample across the stages of the design for estimating these effects. These techniques are developed via a regression model in which the regression coefficients are assumed to be random, with components of variance associated with the various stages of a multi-stage sample design.

Tomberlin, T. J.↗

Determination of monthly mean humidity in the atmospheric surface layer over oceans from satellite data

A simple statistical technique is described to determine monthly mean marine surface-layer humidity, which is essential in the specification of surface latent heat flux, from total water vapor in the atmospheric column measured by space-borne sensors. Good correlation between the two quantities was found in examining the humidity soundings from radiosonde reports of mid-ocean island stations and weather ships. The relation agrees with that obtained from satellite (Seasat) data and ship reports averaged over 2 deg areas and a 92-day period in the North Atlantic and in the tropical Pacific. The results demonstrate that, by using a local regression in the tropical Pacific, total water vapor can be used to determine monthly mean surface layer humidity to an accuracy of 0.4 g/kg. With a global regression, determination to an accuracy of 0.8 g/kg is possible. These accuracies correspond to approximately 10 to 20 W/sq m in the determination of latent heat flux with the bulk parameterization method, provided that other required parameters are known.

Liu, W. T.↗

Understanding climate: A strategy for climate modeling and predictability research, 1985-1995

The emphasis of the NASA strategy for climate modeling and predictability research is on the utilization of space technology to understand the processes which control the Earth's climate system and it's sensitivity to natural and man-induced changes and to assess the possibilities for climate prediction on time scales of from about two weeks to several decades. Because the climate is a complex multi-phenomena system, which interacts on a wide range of space and time scales, the diversity of scientific problems addressed requires a hierarchy of models along with the application of modern empirical and statistical techniques which exploit the extensive current and potential future global data sets afforded by space observations. Observing system simulation experiments, exploiting these models and data, will also provide the foundation for the future climate space observing system, e.g., Earth observing system (EOS), 1985; Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) North, et al. NASA, 1984.

Thiele, O.↗

Distinguishing among tallgrass prairie cover types from measurements of multispectral reflectance

The heterogeneity in surface cover caused by management practices or natural events complicates monitoring the conditions of grasslands and assessing their productivity by remote sensing techniques. Statistical procedures were sought that would allow different grassland surface cover types (bare soil, senescent vegetation, and green vegetation) to be distinguished by using measurements of grassland multispectral reflectance. Two procedures, discriminant analysis and canonical discriminant analysis, were found suitable for achieving this objective. Linear classification functions and canonical variables were derived, which distinguish between the three cover types. A comparison between two sensor systems, a Barnes multiband radiometer and an Exotech radiometer that simulates the Landsat thematic mapper (TM) and multispectral scanner (MSS) bands, respectively, showed that the separability among the three cover types was substantially improved by the additional and improved spectral features of the Barnes radiometer.

Asrar, G.↗

Intelligent guidance and control for wind shear encounter

The principal objective is to develop methods for assessing the likelihood of wind shear encounter, for deciding what flight path to pursue, and for using the aircraft's full potential for combating wind shear. This study requires the definition of both deterministic and statistical techniques for fusing internal and external information, for making go/no-go decisions, and for generating commands to the aircraft's cockpit displays and autopilot for both manually controlled and automatic flight. The program has begun with the development of a real-time expert system for pilot aiding that is based on the results of the FAA Windshear Training Aids Program. A two-volume manual that presents an overview, pilot guide, training program, and substantiating data provides guidelines for this initial development. The Expert System to Avoid Wind Shear (ESAWS) currently contains over 140 rules and is coded in the LISP programming language for implementation on a Symbolics 3670 LISP machine.

Stengel, Robert F.↗

An expert system for reliability modeling

A method is presented for computing the probability of failure of a unit during the next usage or mission based on sound statistical techniques. With the use of logit regression embedded in Lotus 1-2-3 macros, this package computes the probability of unit failure based upon a historical data base. Using this computed probability of failure, the package then makes a replacement recommendation based upon the experts acceptable risk parameters.

Goss, Ernst↗

The microwave spectrum of asteroid Ceres

This paper presents new measurements of the microwave flux of Ceres obtained at wavelengths between 3.3 mm and 20 cm using the 12 m Kitt Peak antenna and the Very Large Array. These new measurements are combined with previous measurements to confirm a substantial decrease in flux density at centimeter wavelengths compared to millimeter wavelength. Using a statistical technique adapted from terrestrial microwave remote sensing, this spectrum has been compared with that of various candidate materials and models for the subsurface structure of Ceres. It is concluded that Ceres is largely covered with a 3-cm-thick layer whose dielectric properties resemble dry terrestrial clay. This layer may have formed by micrometeorite impact on hydrothermally altered basic or ultrabasic rock or on carbonaceous chondrite material.

Webster, W. J., Jr.↗

The velocity structure and turbulence at the center of the Orion Nebula

Using the Coude Feed System of the Kitt Peak National Observatory at its highest possible dispersion and a CCD detector with wide dynamic range it was possible to examine in detail the radial and turbulent velocities of the Orion Nebula at the seeing limit. For the first time, multiple components of the spectral lines were resolved and the Gaussian profiles fit to them. Using four different observing runs, two circular areas 2 minutes in diameter were observed, the first centered on the theta sup 1 Orionis and the second centered on theta sup 2 Orionis. The velocity resolution of 1 km/s combined with the angular resolution of 2 seconds allowed observation in detail at line splitting as well as the location and measurement of high internal motions, about -50 km/s with respect to the bulk of ionized matter. Because over 900 different positions were measured, modern statistical techniques were used for the analysis of turbulence, so that the dispersion relation and the structure function could be calculated and compared with predictions of the Kolmogorov theory. The random motions showed correlation with spatial separation, as expected for turbulence; but comparison with predictions of the classical theory for nebular turbulence showed poor agreement. If Kolmogorov theory applies, then the energy must be input at many scales.

Castaneda, Hector O.↗

Accurate low-cost methods for performance evaluation of cache memory systems

Methods of simulation based on statistical techniques are proposed to decrease the need for large trace measurements and for predicting true program behavior. Sampling techniques are applied while the address trace is collected from a workload. This drastically reduces the space and time needed to collect the trace. Simulation techniques are developed to use the sampled data not only to predict the mean miss rate of the cache, but also to provide an empirical estimate of its actual distribution. Finally, a concept of primed cache is introduced to simulate large caches by the sampling-based method.

Laha, Subhasis↗

Statistical properties of solar granulation derived from the SOUP instrument on Spacelab 2

Computer algorithms and statistical techniques were used to identify, measure, and quantify the properties of solar granulation derived from movies collected by the Solar Optical Universal Polarimeter on Spacelab 2. The results show that there is neither a typical solar granule nor a typical granule evolution. A granule's evolution is dependent on local magnetic flux density, its position with respect to the active region plage, its position in the mesogranulation pattern, and the evolution of granules in its immediate neighborhood.

Title, A. M.↗

Unique signatures of synoptic features in Tiros N satellite data

The application of satellite data to the study of synoptic characteristics is analyzed. A radiative transfer model is used to generate a database of satellite information on synoptic features. Canonical discriminant analysis is employed to reveal the differences among synoptic sounding classes; and the fine structures within each sounding class are examined with rotated factor analysis. Diagrams of wind and frontal inversions are presented. It is noted that the applicability of satellite data depends on the method used to analyze it and multivariable statistical techniques may be useful for deriving additional information from satellite data.

White, G. A., III↗

An expert system for wind shear avoidance

A study of intelligent guidance and control concepts for protecting against the adverse effects of wind shear during aircraft takeoffs and landings, with current emphasis on developing an expert system for wind shear avoidance, is reported. Principal objectives are to develop methods for assessing the likelihood of wind shear encounter (based on real-time information in the cockpit), for deciding what flight path to pursue (e.g., takeoff abort, landing go-around, or normal climbout or glide slope), and for using the aircraft's full potential for combating wind shear. This study requires the definition of both deterministic and statistical techniques for fusing internal and external information, for making go/no-go decisions, and for generating commands to the aircraft's autopilot and flight directors for both automatic and manually controlled flight. The development is described of the windshear safety advisor, an expert system for pilot aiding that is based on the FAA Windshear Training Aid, a two-volume manual that presents an overview, pilot guide, training program, and substantiating data providing guidelines for this initial development. The windshear safety advisor expert system contains over 200 rules and is coded in the LISP programming language.

Stengel, Robert F.↗

Nimbus 7 solar backscatter ultraviolet (SBUV) ozone products user's guide

Three ozone tape products from the Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet (SBUV) experiment aboard Nimbus 7 were archived at the National Space Science Data Center. The experiment measures the fraction of incoming radiation backscattered by the Earth's atmosphere at 12 wavelengths. In-flight measurements were used to monitor changes in the instrument sensitivity. Total column ozone is derived by comparing the measurements with calculations of what would be measured for different total ozone amounts. The altitude distribution is retrieved using an optimum statistical technique for the inversion. The estimated initial error in the absolute scale for total ozone is 2 percent, with a 3 percent drift over 8 years. The profile error depends on latitude and height, smallest at 3 to 10 mbar; the drift increases with increasing altitude. Three tape products are described. The High Density SBUV (HDSBUV) tape contains the final derived products - the total ozone and the vertical ozone profile - as well as much detailed diagnostic information generated during the retrieval process. The Compressed Ozone (CPOZ) tape contains only that subset of HDSBUV information, including total ozone and ozone profiles, considered most useful for scientific studies. The Zonal Means Tape (ZMT) contains daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly averages of the derived quantities over 10 deg latitude zones.

Fleig, Albert J.↗

An expert system for wind shear avoidance

A study of intelligent guidance and control concepts for protecting against the adverse effects of wind shear during aircraft takeoffs and landings is being conducted, with current emphasis on developing an expert system for wind shear avoidance. Principal objectives are to develop methods for assessing the likelihood of wind shear encounter (based on real-time information in the cockpit), for deciding what flight path to pursue (e.g., takeoff abort, landing go-around, or normal climbout or glide slope), and for using the aircraft's full potential for combating wind shear. This study requires the definition of both deterministic and statistical techniques for fusing internal and external information , for making go/no-go decisions, and for generating commands to the manually controlled flight. The program has begun with the development of the WindShear Safety Advisor, an expert system for pilot aiding that is based on the FAA Windshear Training Aid; a two-volume manual that presents an overview , pilot guide, training program, and substantiating data provides guidelines for this initial development. The WindShear Safety Advisor expert system currently contains over 200 rules and is coded in the LISP programming language.

Stengel, Robert F.↗

Computer architecture evaluation for structural dynamics computations: Project summary

The intent of the proposed effort is the examination of the impact of the elements of parallel architectures on the performance realized in a parallel computation. To this end, three major projects are developed: a language for the expression of high level parallelism, a statistical technique for the synthesis of multicomputer interconnection networks based upon performance prediction, and a queueing model for the analysis of shared memory hierarchies.

Standley, Hilda M.↗

Automatic recognition of intermittent failures - An experimental study of field data

A methodology is proposed for recognizing the symptoms of persistent problems in large systems. The system error rate is used to identify the error states among which relationships may exist. Statistical techniques are used to validate and quantify the strength of the relationship among these error states. As input, the approach takes the raw error logs containing a single entry for each error that is detected as an isolated event. As output, it produces a list of symptoms that characterize persistent errors. Thus, given a failure, it is determined whether the failure is an intermittent manifestation of a common fault or whether it is an isolated (transient) incident. The technique is shown to work on two CYBER systems and an IBM 3081 multiprocessor system. Comparisons to real failure/repair information obtained from field engineers show that, in about 85 percent of the cases, the error symptoms recognized by this approach correspond to real problems. The remaining 15 percent of the cases, although not directly supported by field data, are confirmed as being valid problems.

Iyer, Ravishankar K.↗

Observations of Neptunian rings by Voyager Photopolarimeter Experiment

The Voyager Photopolarimeter Experiment detected the Neptunian rings 1989N1R and possibly 1989N2R. These rings were also photographed by the Voyager imaging cameras in August 1989. The firm detection of 1989N1R has an equivalent depth (the product of the radial width and mean normal optical depth) of 0.77 + or - 0.13 km, while a less certain detection of 1989N2R has an equivalent depth of 0.7 km + or - 0.2 km. Several statistical techniques were used to search for additional material in the Neptune ring system, and none was identified at a high confidence level.

Horn, Linda J.↗

An expert system for wind shear avoidance

The principal objectives are to develop methods for assessing the likelihood of wind shear encounter (based on real-time information in the cockpit), for deciding what flight path to pursue (e.g., takeoff abort, landing go-around, or normal climbout or glide slope), and for using the aircraft's full potential for combating wind shear. This study requires the definition of both deterministic and statistical techniques for fusing internal and external information, for making go/no-go decisions, and for generating commands to the aircraft's autopilot and flight directors for both automatic and manually controlled flight. The expert system for pilot aiding is based on the results of the FAA Windshear Training Aids Program, a two-volume manual that presents an overview, pilot guide, training program, and substantiating data that provides guidelines for this initial development. The Windshear Safety Advisor expert system currently contains over 140 rules and is coded in the LISP programming language for implementation on a Symbolics 3670 LISP Machine.

Stengel, Robert F.↗