Adaptive learning of effective dynamics for online modeling of complex systems
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Engineering↗
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Results for “System Dynamics modeling”
Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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Spatiotemporal energy infrastructure datasets for the United States: A review
Not Available
Tavakkoli, Sakineh↗
Systems dynamics and the uncertainties of diagnostics, testing and contact tracing for COVID-19
Not Available
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
Variance-based sensitivity analysis of dynamic systems with both input and model uncertainty
Not Available
Subramanian, Abhinav↗
Theoretical Examination of the Hydroxide Transport in Cobaltocenium-Containing Polyelectrolytes
Polymers incorporating cobaltocenium groups have received attention as promising components of anion-exchange membranes (AEMs), exhibiting a good balance of chemical stability and high ionic conductivity. In this work, we analyze the hydroxide diffusion in the presence of cobaltocenium cations in an aqueous environment based on the molecular dynamics of model systems confined in one dimension to mimic the AEM channels. In order to describe the proton hopping mechanism, the forces are obtained from the electronic structure computed at the density-functional tight-binding level. We find that the hydroxide diffusion depends on the channel size, modulation of the electrostatic interactions by the solvation shell, and its rearrangement ability. Hydroxide diffusion proceeds via both the vehicular and structural diffusion mechanisms with the latter playing a larger role at low diffusion coefficients. The highest diffusion coefficient is observed under moderate water densities (around half the density of liquid water) when there are enough water molecules to form the solvation shell, reducing the electrostatic interaction between ions, yet there is enough space for the water rearrangements during the proton hopping. Furthermore, the effects of cobaltocenium separation, orientation, chemical modifications, and the role of nuclear quantum effects are also discussed.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Personalized whole-brain neural mass models reveal combined Aβ and tau hyperexcitable influences in Alzheimer's disease.
Neuronal dysfunction and cognitive deterioration in Alzheimer's disease (AD) are likely caused by multiple pathophysiological factors. However, mechanistic evidence in humans remains scarce, requiring improved non-invasive techniques and integrative models. We introduce personalized AD computational models built on whole-brain Wilson-Cowan oscillators and incorporating resting-state functional MRI, amyloid-β (Aβ) and tau-PET from 132 individuals in the AD spectrum to evaluate the direct impact of toxic protein deposition on neuronal activity. This subject-specific approach uncovers key patho-mechanistic interactions, including synergistic Aβ and tau effects on cognitive impairment and neuronal excitability increases with disease progression. The data-derived neuronal excitability values strongly predict clinically relevant AD plasma biomarker concentrations (p-tau217, p-tau231, p-tau181, GFAP) and grey matter atrophy obtained through voxel-based morphometry. Furthermore, reconstructed EEG proxy quantities show the hallmark AD electrophysiological alterations (theta band activity enhancement and alpha reductions) which occur with Aβ-positivity and after limbic tau involvement. Microglial activation influences on neuronal activity are less definitive, potentially due to neuroimaging limitations in mapping neuroprotective vs detrimental activation phenotypes. Mechanistic brain activity models can further clarify intricate neurodegenerative processes and accelerate preventive/treatment interventions.
60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
Mean-field control for efficient mixing of energy loads
In this work, we pose an engineering challenge of controlling an ensemble of energy devices via coordinated, implementation-light, and randomized on/off switching as a problem in nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. We show that mean-field control with nonlinear feedback on the cumulative consumption, assumed available to the aggregator via direct physical measurements of the energy flow, allows the ensemble to recover from its use in the demand response regime, i.e., transition to a statistical steady state, significantly faster than in the case of the fixed feedback. Moreover when the nonlinearity is sufficiently strong, one observes the phenomenon of “super-relaxation,” where the total instantaneous energy consumption of the ensemble transitions to the steady state much faster than the underlying probability distribution of the devices over their state space, while also leaving almost no devices outside of the comfort zone.
25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
Optimizing Signal Timing Control for Large Urban Traffic Networks Using an Adaptive Linear Quadratic Regulator Control Strategy
We discuss how traffic signal control is important for intersection safety and efficiency. However, most traffic signal control methods are designed for individual intersections or corridors. Although some adaptive control systems have been developed, the methods used are often proprietary and not published, making it difficult to evaluate their effectiveness. This study proposes an adaptive multi-input and multi-output traffic signal control method that not only can improve network-wide traffic operations in terms of reduced traffic delay and energy consumption, but also is more computationally feasible than existing centralized signal control methods. Considering intersection interactions, a linear dynamic traffic system model was built and adaptively updated to reflect how the signal control input of each intersection affects network-wide vehicle travel delay. Based on the system model, an adaptive linear-quadratic regulator (LQR) was designed to minimize both traffic delay and incremental changes in the control input. The proposed control method was evaluated in a microscopic traffic simulation environment with a 35-intersection network of Bellevue City, Washington. Simulation results show that the proposed method had shorter average traffic delays in the network when compared with the traffic delays controlled by the state-of-the-art max-pressure, self-organizing traffic lights, and independent deep Q network methods.
42 ENGINEERING↗
A Hybrid Stochastic-Interval Operation Strategy for Multi-Energy Microgrids
Increasing deployment of distributed energy resources intensifies interactions among electric, gas, heating, and cooling systems. Inherent uncertainties ranging from internal parameters to external inputs also impose significant challenges on system operation. A coordinated scheduling method is, therefore, desired for facilitating efficient operation of multi-energy microgrids under multiple uncertainties. In this paper, a deterministic coordinated scheduling model is developed first with detailed modeling of system dynamics and device parameters to fully characterize complex interactions among multi-energy carriers. Then, a hybrid stochastic-interval method is proposed to account for heterogeneous uncertainties in decisions of operational strategies. Specifically, performance and efficiency uncertainties of distributed energy resources, and injection uncertainty of renewable sources and multienergy demands are characterized by interval-based uncertain operation regions and probability distributions, respectively. A scenario-based two-stage algorithm is developed to solve the problem so that multiple uncertainties are preserved in the entire decision-making process. Moreover, adjustable operational strategies are determined to hedge uncertainty by considering operators’ risk preferences. The validity of the proposed method is verified by comprehensive case studies on a test system.
hybrid stochastic-interval approach↗
Grid-Supportive Loads - A New Approach to Increasing Renewable Energy in Power Systems
This paper demonstrates the potential of inverter-based loads to support grid reliability during power system transients thereby enabling reliable integration of renewable energy in power systems. Such loads are referred to in this paper as grid-supportive loads (GSLs). A new GSL model is developed that simulates the transient response capabilities that can be programmed in electronic loads. The model’s design enables it to be easily integrated in widely used commercial power system transient analysis software. Theoretical expressions are derived that explain the workings of the GSL model. The performance, numerical stability, and impact of the GSL model is validated on 9-bus and 2000-bus synthetic power system models using generator tripping and bus fault disturbances. Results on the 2000 bus system show that in the absence of frequency support from wind/solar generation resources, just 20% of loads with grid-supportive capabilities can improve frequency response by up to 2000 MW/0.1 Hz and reduce deviation in frequency at nadir by up to 60% compared to the situation when GSLs are absent. Power system reliability also improves under fault events. Here, it is further shown that GSLs can aid in integrating more renewable generation without degrading the overall transient response of the power system.
24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
ROMNet: Neural-Network-Based Surrogates for Reduced-Order Model Dynamics
SAND2023-05829O ROMNet is a toolbox built on the Tensorflow library for training reduced-order, neural operator surrogate models. The software is used for training reduced order neural operator surrogate models for dynamical systems applications. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.
SciDAC↗
Lulabcodes/Coarse-grained_Sc_Model
This repository contains the source code for the coarse-grained, systemic, and dynamic model of Saccharomyces cerevisiae. Related publishments: Emergence of Orchestrated and Dynamic Metabolism of Saccharomyces cerevisiae. Coarse-Grained Modeling Elucidates Differential Metabolism of Saccharomyces cerevisiae under Varied Nutrient Limitations.
Lai, Yi-Hui (Cindy)↗
NN-OpInf
SAND2026-18878O The NN-OpInf tool is a PyTorch-based approach to operator inference that uses composable, structure-preserving neural networks to represent nonlinear operators. Operator inference is a machine learning method for inferring low-dimensional systems from data and polynomial models for system dynamics. However, many systems do not conform to polynomial structures, which NN-OpInf addresses by parameterizing operators with neural networks. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.
SciDAC↗
Improved Time-Stepping Methods in Global to Regional Ocean Modeling (Annual Status Report 2020)
Time stepping algorithms are an important part of ocean models, and strongly influence both the accuracy of solution and performance. There have been a number of projects investigating various improvements for ocean time-stepping schemes in the Model for Prediction Across Scales-Ocean (MPAS-Ocean), a component of the DOE Energy Exascale Earth System Model. Ocean dynamics include fast surface gravity waves, which are two-dimensional, and slower internal waves, which are three-dimensional, so ocean models use a split time-stepping scheme that separates these barotropic and baroclinic modes for efficiency. MPAS-Ocean runs on variable-resolution horizontal meshes, and must scale to tens of thousands of cores and millions of horizontal gridcells. Ocean models require time stepping algorithms that are customized to these needs, and which are tuned for performance on various resolutions and architectures.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Marine Biogeochemical Dynamics in Coastally Refined Earth System Model Simulations
Interactions between ocean circulation and biogeochemistry (BGC) affect a wide range of important Earth System processes.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Improved Time-Stepping Methods in Global to Regional Ocean Modeling (Annual Status Report)
Time stepping algorithms are an important part of ocean models, and strongly influence both the accuracy of solution and performance. There have been a number of projects investigating various improvements for ocean time-stepping schemes in the Model for Prediction Across Scales-Ocean (MPAS-Ocean), a component of the DOE Energy Exascale Earth System Model. Ocean dynamics include fast surface gravity waves, which are two-dimensional, and slower internal waves, which are three-dimensional, so ocean models use a split time-stepping scheme that separates these barotropic and baroclinic modes for efficiency. MPAS-Ocean runs on variable-resolution horizontal meshes, and must scale to tens of thousands of cores and millions of horizontal gridcells. Ocean models require time stepping algorithms that are customized to these needs, and which are tuned for performance on various resolutions and architectures.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Enhancing grid reliability and resilience through novel DER control, total situational awareness and integrated distribution-transmission representation
High penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) can lead to overvoltage and thermal violations, miscoordination of protection devices and potential adverse control interactions. The challenges are exacerbated by a lack of operator situational awareness of behind-the-meter DERs, and T&D interactions. Furthermore, the large attack surface of a DER environment creates significant cyber security challenges. The motivation is to address these barriers. The main goal is to enable extreme levels of DERs in distribution systems while simultaneously enhancing their reliability and resiliency. This is achieved by a data-driven approach for operation, planning and control of distribution systems with total situational awareness and real-time DER control enabled by a network of edge intelligent devices, a cloud-based analytical platform, and secure communications.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Learning Operators for Structure-Informed Surrogate Models
This report summarizes the work performed under the author's two-year John von Neumann LDRD project, which involves the non-intrusive surrogate modeling of dynamical systems with remarkable structural properties. After a brief introduction to the topic, technical accomplishments and project metrics are reviewed including peer-reviewed publications, software releases, external presentations and colloquia, as well as organized conference sessions and minisymposia. The report concludes with a summary of ongoing projects and collaborations which utilize the results of this work.
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗