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Results for “Transition Model”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

A parcel-level evaluation of distributed wind opportunity in the contiguous United States

This study examines the potential for distributed wind (DW) energy across the contiguous United States, leveraging advancements in the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's distributed wind model, dWind. The novel modeling approach described here utilizes a high-resolution dataset and analyzes over 150 million parcels, a significant improvement from prior methods that extrapolated results from a smaller random sample. This achievement is enabled through key model performance improvements, such as transitioning to multiprocessing, which reduces runtime by 97 %. This optimized, high-resolution approach allows the inspection of technology deployment potential and impact on a variety of scales tailored to individual properties and regions. The results here align with prior work showing substantial opportunity for energy generation using DW technologies. Key findings reveal a substantial increase from prior results in estimated technical and economic potential for DW. Metrics tuned to highlight economic potential also show increased incentives supporting rural adoption. Results are spatially aggregated for usability and published via the U.S. Department of Energy Wind Data Portal and a custom scenario visualization platform, aiding policymakers, industry, and property owners in assessing DW viability across various scenarios and spatial scales.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Thermodynamically informed priors for uncertainty propagation in first-principles statistical mechanics

Here, this work demonstrates how first-principles statistical mechanics approaches within a Bayesian framework can quantify and propagate uncertainties to downstream thermodynamic calculations. To address the issue of Bayesian prior selection, knowledge of 0 K ground states in the material system of interest is incorporated into the prior. The effectiveness of this framework is shown by creating a phase diagram for the fcc zirconium nitride system, including confidence intervals on order-disorder transition temperatures.

Bayesian methods↗
DOE OSTI2026

Half-ice, half-fire-driven ultranarrow phase crossover in one-dimensional decorated 𝑞-state Potts ferrimagnets: An AI-co-led exploration

OpenAI’s reasoning model o3-mini-high was used to carry out an exact analytic study of one-dimensional ferrimagnetic site- and bond-decorated 𝑞-state Potts models. We demonstrate that the finite-temperature ultranarrow phase crossover (UNPC), driven by a hidden “half-ice, half-fire” state recently discovered in the 𝑞=2 case (Ising model), persists for 𝑞>2. Moreover, we identify unique features for 𝑞>2, including the dome structure in the field-temperature phase diagram, and for large 𝑞 a secondary high-temperature UNPC to the fully disordered paramagnetic state. As the UNPC quickly approaches a genuine transition by enhancing 𝐽, the interaction between the backbone spins, two distinct behaviors emerge: In the site-decorated Potts model, 𝑇 0 is independent of 𝐽 and thus remains unchanged (Type-I UNPC), and in the bond-decorated Potts model with 𝑞>2, 𝑇 0 depends on 𝐽 and quickly shifts toward a finite temperature as 𝐽 increases (Type-II UNPC). These results establish a versatile framework for engineering controlled fast state-flipping switches in low-dimensional systems. Our nine-dan artificial intelligence (AI)-contribution framework assigns AI the meritorious status of AI-co-led discovery in this work.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Low-lying dipole response of Ni 64

In this work, two complementary real-photon scattering experiments were conducted on the proton-magic 64 Ni nucleus to study the dipole response up to its neutron-separation energy of $S_n$ = 9.7 MeV. By combining both measurements, 87 $E$1 and 23 $M$1 transitions were identified above 4.3 MeV. The results of the observed $M$1 transitions were compared to shell-model calculations using two different model spaces. It was found that the inclusion of excitations across the $Z$ = 28 shell gap in the calculations has a large impact. Furthermore, average cross sections for decays to the ground state (elastic transitions) as well as to lower-lying excited states (inelastic decays) were determined. The corresponding $E$1 channel was compared to calculations within the relativistic equation of motion (REOM) framework. Whereas the calculations of highest possible complexity reproduce the fragmentation and overall behavior of the $E$1 average elastic cross section well, the predicted absolute cross sections are approximately twice as high as the experimental upper limits even though the latter also include an estimate of the inelastic-decay channel.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Record acceleration of the two-dimensional Ising model using a high-performance wafer-scale engine

The versatility and wide-ranging applicability of the Ising model, originally introduced to study phase transitions in magnetic materials, have made it a cornerstone in statistical physics and a valuable tool for evaluating the performance of emerging computer hardware. Here, we present a novel implementation of the two-dimensional Ising model on Cerebras Wafer-Scale Engine (WSE) – a revolutionary processor that is opening new frontiers in computing. In our deployment of the checkerboard algorithm, we optimized the Ising model to take advantage of the unique WSE architecture. Specifically, we employed a compressed bit representation storing 16 spins on each int16 word, and efficiently distributed the spins over the processing units enabling seamless weak scaling and limiting communications to only immediate neighboring units. Our implementation can handle up to 754 simulations in parallel, achieving an aggregate of over 61.8 trillion flip attempts per second for Ising models with up to 200 million spins. This represents a gain of up to 148 times over previously reported single-devices with a highly optimized implementation on NVIDIA V100 and up to 88 times in productivity compared to NVIDIA H100. Our findings highlight the significant potential of the WSE in scientific computing, particularly in the field of materials modeling.

Ising model↗
DOE OSTI2024

Solid-to-plasma transition of polystyrene induced by a nanosecond laser pulse within the context of inertial confinement fusion

Laser Direct Drive (LDD) Inertial Confinement Fusion (ICF) involves irradiating a spherical target of thermonuclear fuel coated with an ablator, usually made of polystyrene. Laser energy absorption near the target surface leads to matter ablation, hydrodynamic shocks, and ultimately capsule implosion. The conservation of spherical symmetry is crucial for implosion efficiency, yet spatial modulations in laser intensity can induce nonuniformities, causing the laser imprint phenomenon. Understanding laser imprint, especially considering the initial solid state, is essential for advancing LDD ICF. A first microscopic model of solid-to-plasma transition was built in 2019, accounting for laser absorption in the solid state with a band structure based ionization model. This model has been improved to include chemical fragmentation and a more accurate description of electron collision frequency in various matter states. The latest development involves assessing the model reliability by comparing theoretical predictions with experimental observations. Despite the success of this approach, questions remain, leading to further investigations and observations under different irradiation conditions. This work presents an experiment with a nanosecond pulse, taking into account hydrodynamic effects, and measures transmission dynamics over the entire laser beam area to observe two-dimensional effects. As a result, the objective is to adapt the theoretical model, couple it with a hydrodynamic code, and observe additional effects related to the initial solid state.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Transport and confinement physics: Chapter 2 of the special issue: on the path to tokamak burning plasma operation

Progress in physics understanding and theoretical model development of plasma transport and confinement (TC) in the ITPA TC Topical Group since the publication of the ITER Physics Basis (IPB) document (Doyle et al 2007 Nucl. Fusion 47 S18) was summarized focusing on the contributions to ITER and burning plasma prediction and control. This paper provides a general and streamlined overview on the advances that were mainly led by the ITPA TC joint experiments and joint activities for the last 15 years (see JEX/JA table in appendix). This paper starts with the scientific strategy and scope of the ITPA TC Topical group and overall picture of the major progress, followed by the progress of each research field: particle transport, impurity transport, ion and electron thermal turbulent transport, momentum transport, impact of 3D magnetic fields on transport, confinement mode transitions, global confinement, and reduced transport modeling. Cross references with other Topical Groups are given in order to highlight overlapped topics, such as the 3D effect on the plasma transport in the edge and L-H transition physics. The increasing overlap between the topical groups is a reflection of the progress on integrating the known physics into comprehensive models that are better and better able to reproduce the plasma transport. In recent years, such integration has become increasingly prevalent when considering transport from the SOL, through the edge pedestal, and into the plasma core. In the near future, increased collaboration also with the magneto-hydrodynamic and energetic particles community will be important as we approach burning plasma conditions in next-step fusion devices. A summary of remaining challenges and next steps for each research field is given in the Summary section.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

The insufficiency of the charge transfer model for resonant $\text{XES}$ in $\text{UF}$ 4

Recently, it was suggested that the single-electron charge transfer model (ligand 2p to Uranium 5f transition) could be used to explain the U M 4,5 Resonant X-ray Emission Spectroscopy (XES) of uranium dioxide (UO 2 ) and uranium tetrafluoride (UF 4 ). Here in this report, it is shown that this model produces results inconsistent with a joint consideration of both of the bandgaps of UO 2 and UF 4 and is thus insufficient to explain the observed behavior. An alternative Raman-based model is proposed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Sound Velocities of Stishovite at Simultaneous High Pressure and High Temperature Suggest an Eclogite‐Rich Layer Beneath the Hawaii Hotspot

Compressional and shear wave velocities of polycrystalline stishovite (SiO 2 ) have been measured at simultaneous high pressures and temperatures up to 14.5 GPa and 800°C. By fitting velocities to the finite strain equations, the elastic moduli and density were determined to be K S0 = 306.6(46) GPa, $K$$^{′}_{S}$ = 4.92(10), ∂K S /∂T = −0.024(1) GPa/K, G 0 = 229.0(34) GPa, G′ = 1.07(10), ∂G/∂T = −0.017(1) GPa/K, ρ 0 = 4.287(2) g/cm 3 . Our modeling suggested that, in the eclogite, coesite-stishovite transition can increase P and S wave velocities by 2.4% and 3.5%, respectively. A comparison between geophysical observations and our model shows that the coesite-stishovite phase transition in the eclogite can potentially be responsible for the occurrence of the X discontinuity beneath Hawaii. In addition, our current results suggest an eclogite-rich layer between 340 and 450 km depth beneath Hawaii. The eclogite concentration at the top and bottom of the layer is 41–55 vol% and >77 vol%, respectively.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Characteristic terahertz emissions induced by optically excited collective orbital modes

Here, we study the generation of collective orbital modes, their evolution, and the characteristic nonlinear optical response induced by them in a photoinduced orbital-ordered correlated oxide using real-time simulations based on an interacting multiband tight-binding (TB) model. The d-d optical transitions under femtoseconds light-pulse in an orbital-ordered state excite collective orbital modes, also known as “orbitons”. Consistently incorporating electronic interactions and the interplay between charge, spin, and lattice degrees of freedom in the TB-model provides a clearer understanding of how these factors influence the generation and evolution of collective orbital modes. The dynamics of Jahn-Teller vibrational modes in the photoinduced state modify the intersite orbital interaction, which further amplifies these orbital modes. In the presence of weak ferroelectricity, the excitation of collective orbital modes induces a strong THz oscillatory photocurrent, which is long-lived. This suggests an alternative way to experimentally detect low-energy collective modes through THz-emission studies in the photoinduced state. Our study also elucidates that quasiparticle dynamics in improper ferroelectric oxides can be exploited to achieve highly interesting and nontrivial optoelectronic properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

A hybrid smoothed-particle hydrodynamics model of oxide skins on molten aluminum

A computational model of aluminum melting is proposed which captures both the thermal fluid-solid phase transition and the mechanical effects of oxidation. The model hybridizes ideas from smoothed particle hydrodynamics and bonded particle models to simulate both hydrodynamic flows and solid elasticity. Oxidation is represented by dynamically adding and deleting spring-like bonds between surface fluid particles to represent the formation and rupture of the oxide skin. Various complex systems are simulated to demonstrate the adaptability of the method and to illustrate the significant impact of skin properties on material flow. As a result, initial comparison to experiments of a melting aluminum cantilever highlights that the computational model can reproduce key qualitative features of aluminum relocation.

Clemmer, Joel Thomas↗
DOE OSTI2025

Assessing Clouds in GFDL's AM4.0 With Different Microphysical Parameterizations Using the Satellite Simulator Package COSP

We evaluate cloud simulations using satellite simulators against multiple observational data sets. These simulators have been run within the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory's Atmosphere Model version 4.0 (AM4.0), as well as an alternative configuration where a fully two‐moment Morrison‐Gettelman cloud microphysical parameterization with prognostic precipitation (MG2) is applied, denoted as AM4‐MG2. The modeled cloud spatial distributions, vertical profiles, phase partitioning, cloud‐to‐precipitation transitions, and radiative effects compare reasonably well with satellite observations. Model biases include the under‐prediction of total and low‐level clouds, especially optically thin/intermediate clouds with cloud optical depth of less than 23, but the over‐prediction of thick clouds, indicating “too few, too bright” biases. These biases counteract each other, and give rise to reasonable estimates of cloud radiative effects. The underestimate of low‐level clouds is associated with too early and too frequent drizzle/precipitation formation. The precipitation bias is improved in AM4‐MG2, where the autoconversion scheme initiates the precipitation more realistically. There also exist discrepancies between models and observations for midlevel and high‐level clouds. Additional biases include the underestimate of liquid cloud fraction and the overestimate of ice cloud fraction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Green microalga Chromochloris zofingiensis conserves substrate uptake pattern but changes their metabolic uses across trophic transition

The terrestrial green alga Chromochloris zofingiensis is an emerging model species with potential applications including production of triacylglycerol or astaxanthin. How C. zofingiensis interacts with the diverse substrates during trophic transitions is unknown. To characterize its substrate utilization and secretion dynamics, we cultivated the alga in a soil-based defined medium in transition between conditions with and without glucose supplementation. Then, we examined its exometabolite and endometabolite profiles. This analysis revealed that regardless of trophic modes, C. zofingiensis preferentially uptakes exogenous lysine, arginine, and purines, while secreting orotic acid. Here, we obtained metabolomic evidences that C. zofingiensis may use arginine for putrescine synthesis when in transition to heterotrophy, and for the TCA cycle during transition to photoautotrophy. We also report that glucose and fructose most effectively inhibited photosynthesis among thirteen different sugars. The utilized or secreted metabolites identified in this study provide important information to improve C. zofingiensis cultivation, and to expand its potential industrial and pharmaceutical applications.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine learning for the identification of phase transitions in interacting agent-based systems: A Desai-Zwanzig example

Deriving closed-form analytical expressions for reduced-order models, and judiciously choosing the closures leading to them, has long been the strategy of choice for studying phase- and noise-induced transitions for agent-based models (ABMs). In this paper, we propose a data-driven framework that pinpoints phase transitions for an ABM—the Desai-Zwanzig model—in its mean-field limit, using a smaller number of variables than traditional closed-form models. To this end, we use the manifold learning algorithm Diffusion Maps to identify a parsimonious set of data-driven latent variables, and we show that they are in one-to-one correspondence with the expected theoretical order parameter of the ABM. We then utilize a deep learning framework to obtain a conformal reparametrization of the data-driven coordinates that facilitates, in our example, the identification of a single parameter-dependent ordinary differential equation (ODE) in these coordinates. Additionally, we identify this ODE through a residual neural network inspired by a numerical integration scheme (forward Euler). We then use the identified ODE—enabled through an odd symmetry transformation—to construct the bifurcation diagram exhibiting the phase transition.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Short-term electricity load forecasting: Application-driven evaluation of machine learning models across spatial and temporal scales

As we transition towards a decarbonized economy, the integration of variable renewable energy resources and new demands (e.g., electric vehicles, heat pumps) into the electricity grid places unprecedented pressure on grid operators to effectively anticipate and manage peak load. In this context, machine learning algorithms are proving to be indispensable for accurate short-term load forecasting, a crucial task to address these challenges. This study benchmarks 6 machine learning algorithms, including three neural networks and three tree-based algorithms, across various levels of spatial aggregation and time horizons (1, 4, 8, 24, and 48 h). The central contribution of this work is the comparison and analysis of load forecasting models not only based on statistical metrics, but also based on a novel error metric, which evaluates the cost implications of forecast errors for power system stakeholders. Results show that tree-based models outperform neural networks, based on statistical metrics, and yield less skewed error distributions for most spatial scales. However, through the lens of the novel error metric, neural networks are the more competitive choice, especially for forecast horizons that exceed 8 h. The study concludes with actionable recommendations to grid operators and highlights the need for the development of error metrics that link forecasting accuracy to operational costs. To promote transparency and open science, the datasets and Python code are open-sourced via a supplementary repository.

Houben, Nikolaus↗
DOE OSTI2024

Noise-induced transition in optimal solutions of variational quantum algorithms

Variational quantum algorithms are promising candidates for delivering practical quantum advantage on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) hardware. However, optimizing the noisy cost functions associated with these algorithms is challenging for system sizes relevant to quantum advantage. In this work, we investigate the effect of noise on optimization by studying a variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) algorithm calculating the ground state of a spin chain model, and we observe an abrupt transition induced by noise to the optimal solutions. We will present numerical simulations, a demonstration using an IBM quantum processor unit (QPU), and a theoretical analysis indicating the origin of this transition. Our findings suggest that careful analysis is crucial to avoid misinterpreting the noise-induced features as genuine algorithm results.

Li, Andy C.Y.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Isotope effects in supercooled H 2 O and D 2 O and a corresponding-states-like rescaling of the temperature and pressure

Water shows anomalous properties that are enhanced upon supercooling. The unusual behavior is observed in both H 2 O and D 2 O, however, with different temperature dependences for the two isotopes. It is often noted that comparing the properties of the isotopes at two different temperatures (i.e., a temperature shift) approximately accounts for many of the observations—with a temperature shift of 7.2 K in the temperature of maximum density being the most well-known example. However, the physical justification for such a shift is unclear. Motivated by recent work demonstrating a “corresponding-states-like” rescaling for water properties in three classical water models that all exhibit a liquid–liquid transition and critical point, the applicability of this approach for reconciling the differences in the temperature- and pressure-dependent thermodynamic properties of H 2 O and D 2 O is investigated here. Utilizing previously published data and equations-of-state for H 2 O and D 2 O, we show that the available data and models for these isotopes are consistent with such a low temperature correspondence. These observations provide support for the hypothesis that a liquid–liquid critical point, which is predicted to occur at low temperatures and high pressures, is the origin of many of water’s anomalies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Transit Rider/Travel Behavior Inventory Survey - Minneapolis-St. Paul Metro - 2010

The Metropolitan Council administered a system-wide transit on-board survey between September and November 2010 as part of the 2010 Travel Behavior Inventory to provide detailed transit usage patterns and rider information to support modeling and planning efforts. The study’s focus was to capture only the most current and reliable data necessary to determine future public transportation needs in the Minneapolis region. The study was structured to collect detailed transit ridership data for different routes during different times of day to develop a disaggregate transit trip table that will support advanced travel demand modeling. The study was designed to leverage existing data sources, such as the 2005 on-board survey, to provide the best quality data to update the Travel Behavior Inventory in the Minneapolis-Saint Paul metropolitan area.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗