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At least 217 records · Page 12

Lightning Mapping and the Nowcasting of Severe Storms

This paper describes a successful research and operational collaboration between NASA scientists and NWS forecasters to improve severe stor m warnings using real-time data from a regional VHF total lightning mapping array (LMA). Key objectives of our research using LMA data ar e: a) Identification of intensifying and weakening storms using the time rate-of-change of total flash rate; b) Improved severe storm poten tial situational awareness; c) Evaluation of the potential of total f lash rate trend to improve severe storm probability of detection (POD ) and lead time; and d) Validation of mesoscale model forecasts of th understorm initiation. The LMA data are distributed for ingest and di splay in the WFO AWIPS decision support system, and archived at each WFO for case studies, event playbacks, and assessments using the NWS Warning Event Simulator. The Huntsville WFO has upgraded severe thund erstorm warnings to verified tornado warnings and avoided a false ala rm on a severe storm through the added information on storm growth, intensification, and decay that can be deduced from the magnitude and temporal trend of total flash rates. We present detailed case studies of the observed relationships between lightning activity and tornadi c storm development as determined by radar reflectivity and velocity fields, and thunderstorms forecast by the Weather Research and Foreca st (WRF) model. From these collaborative studies, forecasters can eva luate the added value of total lightning data within the forecast and warning decision-making process (http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/sport) .

Goodman, S.↗

Context sensitive formulations of antenna pattern correction and side lobe compensation for NOSS/LAMMR real time processing

Large antenna multi-channel microwave radiometer (LAMMR) software specifications were written for LAMMR ground processing. There is a need to determine more computationally-efficient antenna temperature correction methods in compensating side lobe contributions especially near continents, islands and weather fronts. One of the major conclusions was that the antenna pattern corrections (APC) processes did not accomplish the implied goals of compensating for the antenna side lobe influences on brightness temperature. A-priori knowledge of land/water locations was shown to be needed and had to be incorporated in a context sensitive APC process if the artifacts caused by land presence is to be avoided. The high temperatures in land regions can severely bias the lower ocean response.

Chin, R. T.↗

Solutions Network Formulation Report: Improving NOAA's PORTS(R) Through Enhanced Data Inputs from NASA's Ocean Surface Topography Mission

The Nation uses water-level data for a variety of practical purposes, including nautical charting, maritime navigation, hydrography, coastal engineering, and tsunami and storm surge warnings. Long-term applications include marine boundary determinations, tidal predictions, sea-level trend monitoring, oceanographic research, and climate research. Accurate and timely information concerning sea-level height, tide, and ocean current is needed to understand their impact on coastal management, disaster management, and public health. Satellite altimeter data products are currently used by hundreds of researchers and operational users to monitor ocean circulation and to improve scientists understanding of the role of the oceans in climate and weather. The NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) National Ocean Service has been monitoring sea-level variations for many years. NOAA s PORTS (Physical Oceanographic Real-Time System) DST (decision support tool), managed by the Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services, supports safe and cost-efficient navigation by providing ship masters and pilots with accurate real-time information required to avoid groundings and collisions. This report assesses the capacity of NASA s satellite altimeter data to meet societal decision support needs through incorporation into NOAA s PORTS. NASA has a long heritage of collecting data for ocean research, including its current Terra and Aqua missions. Numerous other missions provide additional important information for coastal management issues, and data collection will continue in the coming decade with such missions as the OSTM (Ocean Surface Topography Mission). OSTM will provide data on sea-surface heights for determining ocean circulation, climate change, and sea-level rise. We suggest that NASA incorporate OSTM altimeter data (C- and Ku-band) into NOAA s PORTS DST in support of NASA s Coastal Management National Application with secondary support to the Disaster Management and Public Health National Applications.

Guest, DeNeice↗

Guidance automation for nap-of-the-earth flight

Low-Altitude/Nap-of-the-Earth (NOE) rotorcraft flight in adverse weather has been identified as a major technology void by both military and civil agencies because of its direct relationship to the needs of the military's new scout-attack helicopter and to various civilian applications including Emergency Medical Services (EMS). As part of NASA's Aircraft Automation Program, Ames Research Center has identified as a major goal the automating and advancing of applicable terrain following/terrain avoidance/obstacle avoidance (TF/TA/OA) guidance technologies to a level where NOE rotorcraft flight can be demonstrated in an advanced simulator and, later, in fully automatic flight. Areas of emphasis to date for achieving automatic guidance include real-time sensor blending and the real-time computation of NOE guidance commands. The present paper reports on the guidance command generation. The applicability of TF/TA techniques to the NOE problem is described, and simulation results are presented that suggest that automatic NOE can indeed be accomplished.

Denton, Richard V.↗

Real-time piloted simulation of fully automatic guidance and control for rotorcraft nap-of-the-earth (NOE) flight following planned profiles

Developing a single-pilot all-weather NOE capability requires fully automatic NOE navigation and flight control. Innovative guidance and control concepts are being investigated to (1) organize the onboard computer-based storage and real-time updating of NOE terrain profiles and obstacles; (2) define a class of automatic anticipative pursuit guidance algorithms to follow the vertical, lateral, and longitudinal guidance commands; (3) automate a decision-making process for unexpected obstacle avoidance; and (4) provide several rapid response maneuvers. Acquired knowledge from the sensed environment is correlated with the recorded environment which is then used to determine an appropriate evasive maneuver if a nonconformity is observed. This research effort has been evaluated in both fixed-base and moving-base real-time piloted simulations thereby evaluating pilot acceptance of the automated concepts, supervisory override, manual operation, and reengagement of the automatic system.

Clement, Warren F.↗

Lightning studies using LDAR and companion data sets

Research was conducted to use the KSC Lightning Detection and Ranging (LDAR) system, together with companion data, in four subprojects: weather forecasting and advisory applications of LDAR, LDAR in relation to field mill readings, lightning flash and stroke detection using LDAR, and LDAR in relation to radar reflectivity patterns and KSC wind profiler vertical velocities. The research is aimed at developing rules, algorithms, and training materials that can be used by the operational weather forecasters who issue weather advisories for daily ground operations and launches by NASA and the United States Air Force. During the summer of 1993, LDAR data was examined on an hourly basis from 14 thunderstorm days and compared to ground strike data measured by the Lightning Location and Protection (LLP) system. These data were re-examined during 1994 to identify, number, and track LDAR-detected storms continually throughout the day and avoid certain interpretation problems arising from the use of hourly files. An areal storm growth factor was incorporated into a scheme to use current mappings of LDAR-defined thunderstorms to predict future ground strikes. During the summer of 1994, extensive sets of LDAR and companion data have been collected for 16 thunderstorm days, including a variety of meteorological situations. Detailed case studies are being conducted to relate the occurence of LDAR to the radar structure and evolution of thunderstorms. Field mill (LPWS) data are being examined to evaluate the complementary nature of LDAR and LPLWS data in determining the time of beginning and ending of the ground strike threat at critical sites. A computerized lightning flash and stroke discrimination algorithm has been written that can be used to help locate the points of origin of the electrical discharges, help distinguish in-cloud, cloud-ground, and upward flashes, and perhaps determine when the threat of ground strikes has ceased. Surface wind tower (mesonet), radar, sounding, and KSC wind profiler data will be used to develop schemes to help anticipate the timing and location of new thunderstorm development. Analysis of this data will continue in graduate student research projects.

Forbes, Gregory S.↗

Rainfall Estimates from the TMI and the SSM/I

The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM), which is a joint Japan-U.S. Earth observing satellite, has been successfully launched from Japan on November 27, 1997. The main purpose of the TRMM is to measure quantitatively rainfall over the tropics for the research of climate and weather. One of three rainfall measuring instruments abroad the TRMM is the high resolution TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI). The TMI instrument is essentially the copy of the SSM/I with a dual-polarized pair of 10.7 GHz channels added to increase the dynamic range of rainfall estimates. In addition, the 21.3 GHz water vapor absorption channel is designed in the TMI as opposed to the 22.235 GHz in the SSM/I to avoid saturation in the tropics. This paper will present instantaneous rain rates estimated from the coincident TMI and SSM/I observations. The algorithm for estimating instantaneous rainfall rates from both sensors is the Goddard Profiling algorithm (Gprof). The Gprof algorithm is a physically based, multichannel rainfall retrieval algorithm, The algorithm is very portable and can be used for various sensors with different channels and resolutions. The comparison of rain rates estimated from TMI and SSM/I on the same rain regions will be performed. The results from the comparison and the insight of tile retrieval algorithm will be given.

Hong, Ye↗

Air traffic management evaluation tool

Methods for evaluating and implementing air traffic management tools and approaches for managing and avoiding an air traffic incident before the incident occurs. A first system receives parameters for flight plan configurations (e.g., initial fuel carried, flight route, flight route segments followed, flight altitude for a given flight route segment, aircraft velocity for each flight route segment, flight route ascent rate, flight route descent route, flight departure site, flight departure time, flight arrival time, flight destination site and/or alternate flight destination site), flight plan schedule, expected weather along each flight route segment, aircraft specifics, airspace (altitude) bounds for each flight route segment, navigational aids available. The invention provides flight plan routing and direct routing or wind optimal routing, using great circle navigation and spherical Earth geometry. The invention provides for aircraft dynamics effects, such as wind effects at each altitude, altitude changes, airspeed changes and aircraft turns to provide predictions of aircraft trajectory (and, optionally, aircraft fuel use). A second system provides several aviation applications using the first system. Several classes of potential incidents are analyzed and averted, by appropriate change en route of one or more parameters in the flight plan configuration, as provided by a conflict detection and resolution module and/or traffic flow management modules. These applications include conflict detection and resolution, miles-in trail or minutes-in-trail aircraft separation, flight arrival management, flight re-routing, weather prediction and analysis and interpolation of weather variables based upon sparse measurements. The invention combines these features to provide an aircraft monitoring system and an aircraft user system that interact and negotiate changes with each other.

Sridhar, Banavar↗

HIRF Avoidance Approach for Advanced Air Mobility Vehicles

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM), including Urban Air Mobility (UAM), vehicles may be required to meet stringent High-Intensity Radiated Fields (HIRF) certification requirements. HIRF can cause interference and even damage to vehicle systems. A recently proposed map-based HIRF avoidance approach can help reduce HIRF protection costs compared to the standard approach. However, it necessitates knowing the locations, frequencies, and transmit powers of high-power antennas within the operating area. This study aims to provide the necessary transmitter data by utilizing regulatory license databases. Using New York City as a representative urban area, fixed transmitter data are presented for AM, FM, TV, satellite uplink, land-mobile radio, microwave link, weather radars, and others. The maximum antenna effective isotropic radiated powers are reported. The associated electric field envelopes at 100 feet (30.48 m) distance are compared against the current rotorcraft HIRF standard. The results show the current standards are far adequate in protecting the vehicles. Maps of regions with high HIRF are illustrated. Data for several other cities are also being considered.

HIRF↗

Assessing High-Intensity Radiated Fields (HIRF) from High-Power Antennas for Air Vehicle Safety

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM), including Urban Air Mobility (UAM), vehicles may be required to meet stringent High-Intensity Radiated Fields (HIRF) certification requirements. HIRF can cause interference and even damage to vehicle systems. A recently proposed map-based avoidance approach can help reduce HIRF protection costs compared to the standard approach. However, it necessitates knowing the locations, frequencies, and transmit powers of high-power antennas within the operating area. This study aims to provide the necessary transmitter data by utilizing regulatory license databases. Using New York City as a representative urban area, fixed transmitter data are presented for AM, FM, TV, satellite uplink, land-mobile radio, microwave link, weather radars, and others. The maximum effective isotropic radiated powers of the antenna are reported. The associated electric field envelopes at 100 feet (30.48 m) distance are compared against the current rotorcraft HIRF standard. The results show that the current standards for protecting vehicles are inadequate. Maps of regions with high HIRF are illustrated. Data for several other cities are also being considered.

HIRF↗

Assessing High-Intensity Radiated Fields (HIRF) from High-Power Antennas for Air Vehicle Safety

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM), including Urban Air Mobility (UAM), vehicles may be required to meet stringent High-Intensity Radiated Fields (HIRF) certification requirements. HIRF can cause interference and even damage to vehicle systems. A recently proposed map-based avoidance approach can help reduce HIRF protection costs compared to the standard approach. However, it necessitates knowing the locations, frequencies, and transmit powers of high-power antennas within the operating area. This study aims to provide the necessary transmitter data by utilizing regulatory license databases. Using New York City as a representative urban area, fixed transmitter data are presented for AM, FM, TV, satellite uplink, land-mobile radio, microwave link, weather radars, and others. The maximum effective isotropic radiated powers of the antenna are reported. The associated electric field envelopes at 100 feet (30.48 m) distance are compared against the current rotorcraft HIRF standard. The results show that the current standards for protecting vehicles are inadequate. Maps of regions with high HIRF are illustrated. Data for several other cities are also being considered.

HIRF↗

Solar Polar Imager Concept

During late 2019 and early 2020, the Advanced Concepts Office design team at NASA’s George C. Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) completed a concept study for a Solar Polar Imager (SPI) mission. The goal of the study was to perform a preliminary design of the spacecraft bus containing a minimum set of science instruments and supporting subsystems. The science goal of the SPI mission is to better understand the Sun and the heliosphere by observing the Sun from a high heliographic latitude. A highly inclined orbit (of 75°) allows helioseismology observations from a high latitude, providing measurements in the high latitude regions for the first time. The orbit also allows measurements of the photospheric magnetic fields in the polar regions, as well as direct measurements of the heliospheric magnetic field and solar wind. The high latitude gives the spacecraft a unique top-down view of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that could affect space weather around Earth and allow the velocity and directions of these CMEs to be better quantified. Solar sail technology is chosen as the propulsion option necessary to deliver the spacecraft to a heliocentric circular orbit at 0.48 AU and an inclination of 75°. The sail area is restricted to 7000 m2, the maximum size that can be developed in the near term. The sail is also assumed to rotate at 1 rpm to avoid buckling of the supporting booms. The total launch mass is 349 kg, which consists of 233 kg for the SPI Bus, 52 kg for the solar sail and deployment mechanisms, and 64 kg for the Spin-up Bus/launch vehicle payload adapter. Dropping the Spin-up Bus after sail deployment, the characteristic acceleration of the sail is about 0.22 mm/s2. The resulting total mission time is just over 13 years, which includes a 3-year duration at the 75° inclination.

Dan Thomas↗

Solar Polar Imager Concept

During late 2019 and early 2020, the Advanced Concepts Office design team at NASA’s George C. Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) completed a concept study for a Solar Polar Imager (SPI) mission. The goal of the study was to perform a preliminary design of the spacecraft bus containing a minimum set of science instruments and supporting subsystems. The science goal of the SPI mission is to better understand the Sun and the heliosphere by observing the Sun from a high heliographic latitude. A highly inclined orbit (of 75°) allows helioseismology observations from a high latitude, providing measurements in the high latitude regions for the first time. The orbit also allows measurements of the photospheric magnetic fields in the polar regions, as well as direct measurements of the heliospheric magnetic field and solar wind. The high latitude gives the spacecraft a unique top-down view of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that could affect space weather around Earth and allow the velocity and directions of these CMEs to be better quantified. Solar sail technology is chosen as the propulsion option necessary to deliver the spacecraft to a heliocentric circular orbit at 0.48 AU and an inclination of 75°. The sail area is restricted to 7000 m2, the maximum size that can be developed in the near term. The sail is also assumed to rotate at 1 rpm to avoid buckling of the supporting booms. The total launch mass is 349 kg, which consists of 233 kg for the SPI Bus, 52 kg for the solar sail and deployment mechanisms, and 64 kg for the Spin-up Bus/launch vehicle payload adapter. Dropping the Spin-up Bus after sail deployment, the characteristic acceleration of the sail is about 0.22 mm/s2. The resulting total mission time is just over 13 years, which includes a 3-year duration at the 75° inclination.

Dan Thomas↗

New design and operating techniques and requirements for improved aircraft terminal area operations

Current aircraft operating problems that must be alleviated for future high-density terminal areas are safety, dependence on weather, congestion, energy conservation, noise, and atmospheric pollution. The Microwave Landing System (MLS) under development by FAA provides increased capabilities over the current ILS. The development of the airborne system's capability to take maximum advantage of the MLS capabilities in order to solve terminal area problems are discussed. A major limiting factor in longitudinal spacing for capacity increase is the trailing vortex hazard. Promising methods for causing early dissipation of the vortices were explored. Flight procedures for avoiding the hazard were investigated. Terminal configured vehicles and their flight test development are discussed.

Reeder, J. P.↗

Assimilation of GOES Land Surface Data: Benefits to Numerical Weather Prediction

A technique has been developed for assimilating GOES-derived skin temperature tendencies and insolation into the surface energy budget equation of a mesoscale model so that the simulated rate of temperature change closely agrees with the satellite observations. A critical assumption of the technique is that the availability of moisture (either from the soil or vegetation) is the least known term in the model's surface energy budget. Therefore, the simulated latent heat flux, which is a function of surface moisture availability, is adjusted based upon differences between the modeled and satellite observed skin temperature tendencies. An advantage of this technique is that satellite temperature tendencies are assimilated in an energetically consistent manner that avoids energy imbalances and surface stability problems that arise from direct assimilation of surface shelter temperatures. The fact that the rate of change of the satellite skin temperature is used rather than the absolute temperature means that sensor calibration is not as critical. The technique has been employed on a semi-operational basis at the GHCC within the PSU/CAR MM5 since 1 November 1998. A one-way nested grid configuration was employed with a 75 kin CONUS domain and a 25 km grid over the southeastern United States. Initial conditions were obtained from the 12 UTC Early Eta Data Assimilation System analyses and lateral boundary conditions from the Early Eta forecast available at 3 hour intervals. The satellite-derived land surface temperature tendencies and insolation were assimilated between two and five hours (1400 and 1650 UTC) of the forecast. We performed the assimilation on the Southeastern domain only. In addition, a control run without assimilation was performed to provide insight into the performance of the assimilation technique.

Lapenta, William M.↗

Volume Averaged Height Integrated Radar Reflectivity (VAHIRR) Cost-Benefit Analysis

Lightning Launch Commit Criteria (LLCC) are designed to prevent space launch vehicles from flight through environments conducive to natural or triggered lightning and are used for all U.S. government and commercial launches at government and civilian ranges. They are maintained by a committee known as the NASA/USAF Lightning Advisory Panel (LAP). The previous LLCC for anvil cloud, meant to avoid triggered lightning, have been shown to be overly restrictive. Some of these rules have had such high safety margins that they prohibited flight under conditions that are now thought to be safe 90% of the time, leading to costly launch delays and scrubs. The LLCC for anvil clouds was upgraded in the summer of 2005 to incorporate results from the Airborne Field Mill (ABFM) experiment at the Eastern Range (ER). Numerous combinations of parameters were considered to develop the best correlation of operational weather observations to in-cloud electric fields capable of rocket triggered lightning in anvil clouds. The Volume Averaged Height Integrated Radar Reflectivity (VAHIRR) was the best metric found. Dr. Harry Koons of Aerospace Corporation conducted a risk analysis of the VAHIRR product. The results indicated that the LLCC based on the VAHIRR product would pose a negligible risk of flying through hazardous electric fields. Based on these findings, the Kennedy Space Center Weather Office is considering seeking funding for development of an automated VAHIRR algorithm for the new ER 45th Weather Squadron (45 WS) RadTec 431250 weather radar and Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) radars. Before developing an automated algorithm, the Applied Meteorology Unit (AMU) was tasked to determine the frequency with which VAHIRR would have allowed a launch to safely proceed during weather conditions otherwise deemed "red" by the Launch Weather Officer. To do this, the AMU manually calculated VAHIRR values based on candidate cases from past launches with known anvil cloud LLCC violations. An automated algorithm may be developed if the analyses from past launches show VAHIRR would have provided a significant cost benefit by allowing a launch to proceed. The 45 WS at the ER and 30th Weather Squadron (30 WS) at the Western Range provided the AMU with launch weather summaries from past launches that were impacted by LLCC. The 45 WS provided summaries from 14 launch attempts and the 30 WS fkom 5. The launch attempts occurred between December 2001 and June 2007. These summaries helped the AMU determine when the LLCC were "red" due to anvil cloud. The AMU collected WSR-88D radar reflectivity, cloud-to-ground lightning strikes, soundings and satellite imagery. The AMU used step-by-step instructions for calculating VAHIRR manually as provided by the 45 WS. These instructions were used for all of the candidate cases when anvil cloud caused an LLCC violation identified in the launch weather summaries. The AMU evaluated several software programs capable of visualizing radar data so that VAHIRR could be calculated and chose GR2Analyst from Gibson Ridge Software, LLC. Data availability and lack of detail from some launch weather summaries permitted analysis of six launch attempts from the ER and none from the WR. The AMU did not take into account whether or not other weather LCC violations were occurring at the same time as the anvil cloud LLCC since the goal of this task was to determine how often VAHIRR provided relief to the anvil cloud LLCC at any time during several previous launch attempts. Therefore, in the statistics presented in this report, it is possible that even though VAHIRR provided relief to the anvil cloud LLCC, other weather LCC could have been violated not permitting the launch to proceed. The results of this cost-benefit analysis indicated VAHIRR provided relief from the anvil cloud LLCC between about 15% and 18% of the time for varying 5-minute time periods based on summaries fkom six launch attempts and would have allowed launch to proceed that were otherwise "NO GO" due to the anvil cloud LLCC if the T-0 time occurred during the anvil cloud LLCC violations.

Bauman, William H., III↗

Impact of Soil Moisture Initialization on Seasonal Weather Prediction

The potential role of soil moisture initialization in seasonal forecasting is illustrated through ensembles of simulations with the NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project (NSIPP) model. For each boreal summer during 1997-2001, we generated two 16-member ensembles of 3-month simulations. The first, "AMIP-style" ensemble establishes the degree to which a perfect prediction of SSTs would contribute to the seasonal prediction of precipitation and temperature over continents. The second ensemble is identical to the first, except that the land surface is also initialized with "realistic" soil moisture contents through the continuous prior application (within GCM simulations leading up to the start of the forecast period) of a daily observational precipitation data set and the associated avoidance of model drift through the scaling of all surface prognostic variables. A comparison of the two ensembles shows that soil moisture initialization has a statistically significant impact on summertime precipitation and temperature over only a handful of continental regions. These regions agree, to first order, with regions that satisfy three conditions: (1) a tendency toward large initial soil moisture anomalies, (2) a strong sensitivity of evaporation to soil moisture, and (3) a strong sensitivity of precipitation to evaporation. The degree to which the initialization improves forecasts relative to observations is mixed, reflecting a critical need for the continued development of model parameterizations and data analysis strategies.

Koster, Randal D.↗

New design and operating techniques for improved terminal area compatibility

Current aircraft operating problems that must be alleviated for future high-density terminal areas are safety, dependence on weather, congestion, energy conservation, noise, and atmospheric pollution. The microwave landing system (MLS) under development by FAA provides increased capabilities over the current ILS. It is, however, necessary and urgent to develop the airborne system's capability to take maximum advantage of the MLS capabilities in order to solve the terminal area problems previously mentioned. A major limiting factor in longitudinal spacing for capacity increase is the trailing vortex hazard. Promising methods for causing early dissipation of the vortices are being explored. Also, flight procedures for avoiding the hazard will be explored.

Reeder, J. P.↗