Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “batch simulation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 217 records · Page 12

Mobilization of trace metals from caprock and formation rocks at the Illinois Basin – Decatur Project demonstration site under geological carbon dioxide sequestration conditions

One concern for geologic CO 2 sequestration is the potential leakage of CO 2 or CO 2 -saturated brine containing trace metals into overlying aquifers, which poses the risk of adversely affecting underground sources of drinking water. In this work, rock and brine samples collected in the Illinois Basin – Decatur Project (IBDP), a large-scale geological CO 2 sequestration demonstration project in Decatur, Illinois, USA, as well as synthetic brine samples were used to understand the mobilization of trace metals as a result of CO 2 –rock–brine interactions under IBDP-specific conditions (50 °C and 20.6 MPa). Rock sample characterization indicated that, at the IBDP site, trace metal concentrations were greatest in cap rock samples from the Eau Claire Formation, compared with those from formations above and below this Formation. The natural brine samples collected from the Mt. Simon Sandstone reservoir were highly reducing and saline, with trace metal concentrations up to 680 times greater than the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency-prescribed drinking water standards. Batch leaching experiments indicated that both trace metal mobilization from rock and immobilization from the brine occurred when high-pressure CO 2 was introduced into the rock-brine system. The amounts of metals mobilized from the rock generally accounted for <5% of the total metals in the rock, but for some metals, including Ni, Pb, and Tl, up to 63% of the metals in the rock were mobilized to the brine. Leaching of trace metals into synthetic brines was different from that into the natural brine. The results of this study provided current information on the trace element sources and will help in risk simulations and experimental design to further evaluate potential impact of leakage on groundwater quality, which is important for future GCS projects to consider for monitoring and containment assurance purposes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Graph neural network for neutrino physics event reconstruction

Liquid argon time projection chamber (LArTPC) detector technology offers a wealth of high-resolution information on particle interactions, and leveraging that information to its full potential requires sophisticated automated reconstruction techniques. Here, this article describes NUGRAPH 2, a graph neural network for low-level reconstruction of simulated neutrino interactions in a LArTPC detector. Simulated neutrino interactions in the MicroBooNE detector geometry are described as heterogeneous graphs, with energy depositions on each detector plane forming nodes on planar subgraphs. The network utilizes a multihead attention message-passing mechanism to perform background filtering and semantic labeling on these graph nodes, identifying those associated with the primary physics interaction with 98.0% efficiency and labeling them according to particle type with 94.9% efficiency. The network operates directly on detector observables across multiple two-dimensional representations but utilizes a three-dimensional-context-aware mechanism to encourage consistency between these representations. Model inference takes 0.12 s / event on a CPU and 0.005 s / event batched on a GPU. This architecture is designed to be a general-purpose solution for particle reconstruction in neutrino physics, with the potential for deployment across a broad range of detector technologies, and offers a core convolution engine that can be leveraged for a variety of tasks beyond the two described in this paper.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Simultaneously Improving Process Efficiency and Mechanical Properties in Aluminum Alloys with Applied Magnetic Fields

In the aluminum heat treatment sector, large resistive batch furnaces are used for many heat treatment processes and are generally always running, operating at approximately 20–30% efficiency. The primary avenue for energy savings lies in shortening heat treatment times, which can be 24+ hours for solutionizing (450–625 °C) and aging treatments (150–250 ℃), depending on the alloy and specification requirements. The application of high magnetic fields (<9 T) has shown to significantly reduce aluminum alloy heat treatment times, while achieving enhanced mechanical properties. Here, we explore the effects of thermomagnetic processing on the heat treatment response of a commercial aluminum alloy A390.1. Heat treatment times were reduced by >80%, while achieving ~10% improvement in microhardness, and these improvements persisted after longer thermal exposures simulating use. The microstructural evolution and resulting properties will be discussed.

Kesler, Michael [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000161423128)↗

Single-Molecule Fluorescence Microscopy Reveals Energy Transfer Active versus Inactive Nanocrystal/Dye Conjugate Pairs

Defect-mediated energy transfer (EnT) is a radiative process that occurs between donor defect states in the forbidden bandgap of semiconductor nanocrystals (NCs) and dye molecules bound to their surfaces. The EnT efficiency depends on the number of dye molecules attached to each NC, the donor–acceptor distance, and the dipole orientation factor between the donor and acceptor, all of which vary across all individual NCs in a sample. While ensemble-level fluorescence spectroscopy measurements have provided average values for donor–acceptor distances, dye-to-NC ratios, and EnT rate constants, questions remain about the impact of donor/acceptor heterogeneity on observed EnT efficiencies. Notably, ensemble-level measurements cannot distinguish between bare NCs and EnT-active versus inactive NC/dye pairs in the same sample batch, limiting the ability to design systems with 100% EnT efficiency. To address this, we studied defect-mediated EnT between AlexaFluor 555 dye acceptors chemically bound to ZnO NC donors at the level of single molecules and single NCs. Interestingly, 20% of bound NC/dye pairs are EnT-inactive, likely contributing to residual defect photoluminescence (PL) observed in ensemble-level measurements and reducing overall EnT efficiency. Single particle-level ZnO defect PL and acceptor fluorescence trajectories exhibited distinct microfluctuations, which are absent in bare ZnO NCs. We hypothesized that our observations can be explained with a competitive dye fluorescence quenching pathway, possibly due to charge transfer between the excited state dye and the ZnO NC. Numerical simulations of single-molecule PL traces for this scenario produced microfluctuations consistent with the experimental results. These findings highlight the impact of sample heterogeneity on EnT processes and provide insights for designing light-harvesting systems with optimized EnT efficiency.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Improved Performance of Cu(InGa)(SeS) 2 PV Modules Using the Reaction of Metal Precursors. Final Report

This project “Improved Performance of Cu(InGa)(SeS) 2 PV Modules using the Reaction of Metal Precursors” was a partnership led by the Institute of Energy Conversion (IEC) at the University of Delaware with Columbia University and the Molecular Foundry at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. The aim was to develop pathways to improve Cu(InGa)(SeS) 2 (CIGSS) thin film photovoltaic modules using processes compatible with low manufacturing cost. The CIGSS approach investigated was a two-step process including deposition of metal precursor films following by reaction in hydride gases utilizing IEC’s novel reactor. The process was similar to that under commercial development by the project’s industry partner Stion. When Stion went out of business mid-project the focus changed to a rapid thermal process considered more commercially viable. Approaches to improve the performance of solar cells using the reacted films focused on two material innovations. First, the overall Ga content was increased to increase the operating voltage, which is desirable for scale-up to commercial modules. Second, the processing and performance advantages arising from Ag alloying were investigated. Advanced characterization guided process and material development including control of relative composition gradients. Research on the formation of Cu-Ga-In metal precursors utilized sputtering deposition which is normally used in commercial applications. The work resulted in processes for deposition of precursor stacks with increased relative Ga content and effects of deposition parameters on morphology and phase composition were established. It was shown that the metal precursor films have comparable phase composition and morphology so subsequent reaction follows from the same starting point. The addition of Ag to the metal precursors gave more uniform morphology and improved adhesion of reacted films which enable higher reaction temperature for faster processing. A novel outcome was the discovery of a previously undocumented material phase in sputter-deposited and evaporated Ag-Cu-In-Ga thin films. Hydride gas reaction processes including time-temperature-concentration profiles were developed for different precursor compositions. This enables control of composition profiles to engineer through-film gradients for solar cell optimization with characterization and simulations used to correlate measured film composition profiles to measurements of devices. In particular, the gradient of sulfur at the front of the CIGSS film was found to be critical. The simulations guided process development leading to improved reproducibility of devices improved performance with higher Ga content and higher voltage. With Ag-alloyed precursors, the reaction pathways leading were determined. A significant finding was that Ag-alloying increases the reaction rate to completely convert precursor films to the final chalcopyrite which could enable reduced reaction time to benefit manufacturability. To maintain potential commercial viability, the process under investigation was refocused to a rapid thermal process that could potentially be incorporated into an in-line process for manufacturing. Precursors with different composition were capped with an extra selenium layer and reacted in hydrogen sulfide 5-15 minutes, compared to typically 2 hours in the previous multi-step batch process. Critical RTP parameters were identified to control the reaction. Further optimization would be needed for high efficiency solar cells but pathways to high quality devices with further optimization and improved heating uniformity were developed. The project also developed new optoelectronic characterization approaches with a focus on development and application of spatial- and time-resolved photoluminescence and a custom mapping photoluminescence microscope built. It was shown how critical electronic transport properties strongly depend on the chemical composition of the material and that a wide range of samples show inhomogeneity on a length scale larger than the grains in the films. Additionally, two-photon excitation capability was developed to distinguish bulk vs surface losses. The project advances the state-of-the -art for precursor reaction processes in several ways that could impact manufacturing. This includes validation of approaches to increase voltage and establishment of model-guided control to form optimal composition profiles. The application of process control approaches with knowledge of phase formation and reaction pathways can be critically valuable in designing a large-scale process.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

An integrated data management and informatics framework for continuous drug product manufacturing processes: A case study on two pilot plants

The pharmaceutical industry continuously looks for ways to improve its development and manufacturing efficiency. In recent years, such efforts have been driven by the transition from batch to continuous manufacturing and digitalization in process development. To facilitate this transition, integrated data management and informatics tools need to be developed and implemented within the framework of Industry 4.0 technology. Here, in this regard, the work aims to guide the data integration development of continuous pharmaceutical manufacturing processes under the Industry 4.0 framework, improving digital maturity and enabling the development of digital twins. This paper demonstrates two instances where a data integration framework has been successfully employed in academic continuous pharmaceutical manufacturing pilot plants. Details of the integration structure and information flows are comprehensively showcased. Approaches to mitigate concerns in incorporating complex data streams, including integrating multiple process analytical technology tools and legacy equipment, connecting cloud data and simulation models, and safeguarding cyber-physical security, are discussed. Critical challenges and opportunities for practical considerations are highlighted.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling of Glycolate Destruction in the Recycle Collection Tank

The Savannah River Site’s DWPF is being upgraded with the introduction of the NG flowsheet. Glycolic acid has been shown to be a superior alternative to formic acid for sludge processing. The new flowsheet improves or maintains necessary parameters such as 1) reduction of mercury, 2) adjustment of feed rheology, 3) pH stability, and 4) adjustment of melter oxidation/reduction potential. Further, the use of glycolic acid virtually eliminates the potential for catalytic hydrogen generation in DWPF processing DWPF process condensates are collected and returned to the Savannah River Site (SRS) CSTF. The RCT collects off-gas condensate during chemical processing, vitrification, and other unit operations performed in DWPF and is the singular return vessel delivering recycle effluent back to CSTF. Each batch of recycle will have a small amount of glycolate from chemical processing and melter off-gas condensates. To avoid potential flammability issues due to thermolysis of glycolate in the CSTF, Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) provided to Savannah River Remediation (SRR) at their request a Task Technical and Quality Assurance Plan (TTQAP) to quantify and mitigate glycolate returns via DWPF’s recycle stream. The request included testing of a process to oxidize glycolate and other organic species that are responsible for hydrogen generation from thermolysis. Following that work SRR provided a Task Technical Request (TTR) that requested process modeling. In 2021 a TTQAP was issued to cover the modeling work. Modeling draws data from laboratory scale studies using chemical simulants and radioactive waste samples. Chemical kinetic modeling was performed to evaluate the feasibility of using sodium permanganate to destroy glycolate in the RCT. The results from the laboratory studies were summarized in a series of reports. Reference 9 is a report of lab scale processing of actual DWPF Slurry Mix Evaporate Condensate Tank (SMECT) and Offgas Condensate Tank (OGCT) samples in the SRNL Shielded Cells. Tests at caustic conditions demonstrated sodium permanganate was effective in converting glycolate to oxalate, and permanganate (Mn 7+ ) is reduced to manganate (Mn 6+ ) with no significant formation of carbon dioxide or carbonate. Equation (1) was found to best describe the observed reaction of glycolate with permanganate under nominal (60 to 145 mg/L in RCT) glycolate entrainment conditions.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Project Development of an Electrochemical Denitration and Caustic Generation System for HLW Pretreatment at Hanford - 26350

An engineering-scale electrochemical processing skid is proposed to perform the denitration of Hanford tank waste, which would help to mitigate a key process concern with the direct feed processing of the Hanford Tank Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP). The reduction of nitrates and organic compounds in the waste feed will directly reduce hazardous NOx and ammonia gases generated during the vitrification process, which in turn will aid in addressing potential regulatory and safety challenges associated with processing large volumes of tank waste. This paper highlights the past legacy work, project layout, accomplishments from Phase 1 and research and development envisioned for Phase 2. An innovative electrochemical denitration and caustic generation (EDCGe) process was demonstrated for the pretreatment of tank waste at the Savannah River Site (SRS) in the early 2000s. The denitration electrolyzer, off-gas abatement system, and caustic generator electrolyzer are being developed with the intent that the denitration electrolyzer will convert nitrate and nitrite anions to nitrogen gas while also yielding other gaseous byproducts, which may include N2O, NH3, VOCs, and H2. The gaseous byproducts will be managed via a tandem off-gas catalyst-bed treatment system. The caustic generation electrolyzer will recycle NaOH from the feed to produce a clean caustic stream for use within the batching tanks at Hanford, aiding in the preparation of waste for WTP. The reduction in hazardous emissions and improved waste treatment processes provides a robust solution for nuclear waste management, contributing to environmental safety and regulatory compliance. The EDCGe technology is being adapted, modified, and updated for the preparation of the Direct Feed-High Level Waste (DF-HLW) flowsheet at Hanford. Phase 1 demonstrated a bench-scale proof-of-concept for reactions involving the denitration electrolyzer and gas phase abatement of ammonia. The electrochemical technology is drawing on the scientific outcomes that were reported in the legacy work. The results from Phase 1 demonstrated the viability of the EDCGe system in reducing the nitrogen species of simple non-radioactive waste simulants. Commercially available alloys used as electrode materials and membranes are being studied for the denitration and caustic generation electrolyzers. The continuation of this project holds promise for broader applications, such as energy-efficient ammonia production, and contributes significant advancements in nuclear waste management. Additional material discovery has been investigated into ceramic Na super ion conductive (NaSICON) materials and off-gas abatement catalyst discovery. NaSICON is of interest for selective transport of Na within the electrolyzers to make a clean caustic stream. Future integration and optimization efforts, informed by Phase 1 results and ongoing research, will continue to drive advancements in nuclear waste management technology. The technology developed for the EDCGe treatment of tank waste will also have broader potential to inform other fields, such as energy-efficient ammonia production, as well as ammonia abatement catalysis through the lessons learned in electrochemical nitrate reduction. The applications and benefits of this research extend beyond Hanford and the Savannah River Site, supported by a collaborative team of scientists and engineers from national labs, academia, and industry, ensuring a comprehensive approach to solving complex waste treatment challenges. The team is leveraging advanced electrochemical technologies, machine learning, novel catalysts tailored for gaseous nitrogen species, and cutting-edge reactor systems to enhance the process efficiency and effectiveness of the denitration process.

Rodene, Dylan [Savannah River National Laboratory ↗

Real-Time Distribution System State Estimation with Asynchronous Measurements

We report state estimation is a fundamental task in power systems. Although distribution systems are increasingly equipped with sensing devices and smart meters, measurements are typically reported at different rates and asynchronously; these aspects pose severe strains on workhorse state estimation algorithms, which are designed to process batches of data collected in a synchronous manner from all the measurement units. In this paper, we develop a novel state estimation algorithm to continuously update the estimate of the state based on measurements received in an asynchronous manner from measurement units. The synthesis of the algorithm hinges on a proximal-point type method, implemented in an online fashion, and capable of processing measurements received sequentially from sensors. A performance analysis is presented by providing bounds on the estimation error in terms of the mean and variance that hold at each iteration and asymptotically. The scheme is also compared with a more traditional Weighted Least Squares estimator that compensates for the lack of measurement data by using, as pseudo measurements, the measurement retrieved during a certain time window. Numerical simulations on the IEEE 37-bus feeder corroborate the analytical findings.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Radon-222 Charcoal Canister Steady State Model Calibrations Performed in a Highly Controlled Environmental Chamber and a Natural Indoor Environment

Charcoal canisters are a common method of 222 Rn screening. The calibrations of different batches of activated charcoal used in different canister designs are typically performed in large volume controlled environmental chambers with known and controlled radon concentration, temperature, and humidity. Radon screening could be facilitated in locations without ready access to environmental chambers if canisters could be accurately calibrated and undergo quality control in less controlled environments. This study compares charcoal canister calibrations from a highly controlled radon chamber with calibrations from a basement storage area experiencing temporally varying radon. In addition, the impacts of exposure time and spectral region of interest selection on calibration accuracy are investigated by comparing calibrations calculated using three different choices. Approximately 30 mo after calibrations were completed, groups of canisters were exposed for different durations of time to investigate measurement accuracy and calibration validity over an extended time. A digital simulation of charcoal canister kinetics was also performed to establish limits on how stable radon must be in a space for equilibrium-based calibration to be performed there. Overall, the accuracy of measurements using calibrations from each space differed by less than 10% after 2 d exposure time, showing that carefully controlled conditions are not necessary for the accurate calibration of charcoal canisters. Furthermore, measurement accuracy differed by less than 2% for different spectral region selections. Accuracy improved slightly with canister exposure duration. Simulations suggest that radon instability is most tolerable near the beginning of canister calibration exposures, but this merits further experimental study.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Online State Estimation for Time-Varying Systems

The paper investigates the problem of estimating the state of a time-varying system with a linear measurement model; in particular, the paper considers the case where the number of measurements available can be smaller than the number of states. In lieu of a batch linear least-squares (LS) approach well-suited for static networks, where a sufficient number of measurements could be collected to obtain a full-rank design matrix the paper proposes an online algorithm to estimate the possibly time-varying state by processing measurements as and when available. The design of the algorithm hinges on a generalized LS cost augmented with a proximal-point-type regularization. With the solution of the regularized LS problem available in closed-form, the online algorithm is written as a linear dynamical system where the state is updated based on the previous estimate and based on the new available measurements. Conditions under which the algorithmic steps are in fact a contractive mapping are shown, and bounds on the estimation error are derived for different noise models. Numerical simulations are provided to corroborate the analytical findings.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A perspective on Bayesian methods applied to materials discovery and design

For more than two decades, there has been increasing interest in developing frameworks for the accelerated discovery and design of novel materials that could enable promising and transformative technologies. The Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) program called for integrating computational tools to establish linkages along process-structure-property-performance (PSPP) chains. The Materials Genome Initiative called for integrating experiments and computations within data science frameworks as a strategy to accelerate the materials development cycle. While these frameworks and paradigms have been quite influential, traditional ICME or data science-based approaches tend to have some limitations, mainly when querying the materials space is costly and very little information is available. Bayesian methods are more suitable in this context due to their efficiency gains. To this end, the materials discovery problem is framed as a Bayesian Optimization (BO). Different examples in which BO has been applied to solve materials discovery problems are presented. The methods/examples discussed include BO under model uncertainty, multi-information source BO, multi-objective and multi-constraint BO, and batch BO. Bayesian Materials Discovery is a promising area of research that is likely to become more influential as more attention is put on autonomous materials discovery platforms. Therefore, a discussion is provided on the potential development of such methods to increase the ability of existing platforms in materials discovery. Here, the ultimate goal is to pave the way to autonomous materials discovery.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Efficient Parallelization of Irregular Applications on GPU Architectures

With the enlarging computation capacity of general Graphics Processing Units (GPUs), leveraging GPUs to accelerate parallel applications has become a critical topic in academia and industry. However, a wide range of irregular applications with the computation-/memory-intensive nature cannot easily achieve high GPU utilization. The challenges mainly involve the following aspects: first, data dependence leads to coarse-grained kernel and inefficient parallelism; second, heavy GPU memory usage may cause frequent memory evictions and extra overhead of I/O; third, specific computation patterns produce memory redundancies; last, workload balance and data reusability conjunctly benefit the overall performance, but there may exist a dynamic trade-off between them. Targeting these challenges, this dissertation proposes multiple optimizations to accelerate two real-world applications: many-body correlation functions to simulate nuclear physics in a large-scale scientific system; the other is the eALS-based matrix factorization recommendation system. To accelerate the calculations of many-body correlation functions, this dissertation presents three frameworks in GPU memory management and multi-GPU scheduling. Firstly, an optimized systematic GPU memory management framework, MemHC, utilizes a series of new memory reduction designs in GPU memory allocation, CPU/GPU communications, and GPU memory oversubscription. Secondly, an enhanced multi-GPU scheduling framework, MICCO, particularly by taking both data dimension (e.g., data reuse and data eviction) and computation dimension into account. MICCO designs a heuristic scheduling algorithm and a machine learning-based regression model to generate the optimal settings of a proposed new concept to manage the trade-off. Thirdly, a locality-aware multi-GPU scheduling framework. This scheduler leverages pipeline batch generation with a looking-ahead strategy by building local dependency graphs for memory transfer reduction and better data reuse, achieving up to 79.92% memory cost reduction and 1.67x speedup. To parallelize the eALS-based recommendation system, this dissertation proposes an efficient CPU/GPU heterogeneous recommendation system, HEALS. HEALS employs newly designed architecture-adaptive data formats to achieve load balance and good data locality on CPU and GPU. To mitigate the data dependence, HEALS presents a CPU/GPU collaboration model for both task parallelism and data parallelism with multiple kernel computation optimizations. In summary, this dissertation efficiently accelerates two typical irregular applications on GPUs by building four frameworks, including CPU/GPU collaboration, GPU memory management, and multi-GPU scheduling.

Wang, Qihan↗

Bayesian batch optimization for molybdenum versus tungsten inertial confinement fusion double shell target design

Access to reliable, clean energy sources is a major concern for national security. Much research is focused on the “grand challenge” of producing energy via controlled fusion reactions in a laboratory setting. For fusion experiments, specifically inertial confinement fusion (ICF), to produce sufficient energy, the fusion reactions in the ICF fuel need to become self-sustaining and burn deuterium-tritium (DT) fuel efficiently. The recent record-breaking NIF ignition shot was able to achieve this goal as well as produce more energy than used to drive the experiment. This achievement brings self-sustaining fusion-based power systems closer than ever before, capable of providing humans with access to secure, renewable energy. In order to further progress toward the actualization of such power systems, more ICF experiments need to be conducted at large laser facilities such as the United States's National Ignition Facility (NIF) or France's Laser Mega-Joule. The high cost per shot and limited number of shots that are possible per year make it prohibitive to perform large numbers of experiments. As such, experimental design relies heavily on complex predictive physics simulations for high-fidelity “preshot” analysis. These multidimensional, multi-physics, high-fidelity simulations have to account for a variety of input parameters as well as modeling the extreme conditions (pressures and densities) present at ignition. Such simulations (especially in 3D) can become computationally prohibitive to turn around for each ICF experiment. In this work, we explore using Bayesian optimization with Gaussian processes (GPs) to find optimal designs for ICF double shell targets, while keeping computational costs to manageable levels. These double shell targets have an inner shell that grades from beryllium on the outer surface to the higher Z material molybdenum, as opposed to the nominally used tungsten, on the inside in order to trade off between the high performance associated with high density inner shells and capsule stability. We describe our results for “capsule-only” xRAGE simulations to study the physics between different capsule designs, inner shell materials, and potential for future experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

MOOSE ProbML: Parallelized probabilistic machine learning and uncertainty quantification for computational energy applications

Here, this paper presents the development and demonstration of massively parallel probabilistic machine learning (ML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) capabilities within the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE), an open-source computational platform for parallel finite element and finite volume analyses. In addressing the computational expense and uncertainties inherent in complex multiphysics simulations, this paper integrates Gaussian process (GP) variants, active learning, Bayesian inverse UQ, adaptive forward UQ, Bayesian optimization, evolutionary optimization, and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) within MOOSE. It also elaborates on the interaction among key MOOSE systems — Sampler, MultiApp, Reporter, and Surrogate — in enabling these capabilities. The modularity offered by these systems enables development of a multitude of probabilistic ML and UQ algorithms in MOOSE. Example code demonstrations include parallel active learning and parallel Bayesian inference via active learning. The impact of these developments is illustrated through five applications relevant to computational energy applications: UQ of nuclear fuel fission product release, using parallel active learning Bayesian inference; very rare events analysis in nuclear microreactors using active learning; advanced manufacturing process modeling using multi-output GPs (MOGPs) and dimensionality reduction; fluid flow using deep GPs (DGPs); and tritium transport model parameter optimization for fusion energy, using batch Bayesian optimization. These capabilities are part of the MOOSE framework.

97 - MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Optimization-based trip chain emulation for electrified ride-sourcing charging demand analyses

Range anxiety remains one of the key concerns for ride-sourcing drivers to adopt battery electric vehicles (BEVs). To investigate the feasibility of using BEVs for ride-sourcing services, we propose an optimization-based methodology to estimate the daily driving trip patterns of ride-sourcing vehicles based on widely available non-identifiable trip data. Furthermore, we investigate the charging needs of electrified ride-sourcing vehicles using agent-based simulation. The methodologies are illustrated through a case study in the city of Chicago. Through sensitivity analysis on driver working hours and initial charging status, we quantify the range of daily average vehicle miles traveled (VMT) per car and identify the hot spots of current public charging demand and potential unsatisfied charging demand. This study can be used to determine the priorities of future charging infrastructure investment to further mitigate range anxiety and promote the adoption of electrified ride-sourcing services

42 ENGINEERING↗