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At least 217 records · Page 12

3D Deep Learning Joint Inversion of Active Seismic Full Waveform and Passive Seismic Traveltime Data for Reservoir Imaging and Uncertainty Quantification

Here, we present deep learning (DL) networks for three-dimensional (3D) joint inversion of active seismic full waveform and passive seismic traveltime data to image reservoirs and their properties and quantify imaging uncertainties. Active seismic full-waveform data can provide high-resolution monitoring images but are collected only intermittently because of their high acquisition cost. In contrast, passive seismic data can be gathered at relatively low cost between regular active surveys, although their imaging quality can be compromised by factors such as low signal-to-noise ratios and limited ray coverage of the target. Although these datasets are routinely acquired together at CO 2 storage sites, their combined inversion within a 3D DL framework has not been previously demonstrated. To our knowledge, this is the first study to address this gap, combining the strength of both data types. For efficient data storage and DL training with large 3D seismic datasets, we use a 3D data matrix in which a random number of passive seismic traveltime data are stored as parabolic envelopes using one-hot encoding and a 3D full-waveform data matrix in which multiple shot gathers are summed. Two network architectures are evaluated: a single-encoder U-Net for single-data type inversion and a dual-encoder U-Net for joint inversion of active and passive seismic data. We also evaluate the single-encoder U-Net for joint inversion by concatenating full-waveform data and traveltime data. We propose a systematic approach for selecting an optimal dropout rate that balances regularization during training and Monte Carlo dropout-based uncertainty quantification during prediction by examining the correlation coefficient between standard deviation and prediction error, along with the training misfit, across a range of dropout rates. 3D DL inversion experiments include five different network configurations, with evaluations under ideal, noisy and dropout-enabled conditions. Both model and data uncertainties are assessed, as well as their combined effects. Across all conditions, the networks consistently predict accurate CO 2 saturation models with low prediction errors, such as a structural similarity index of 0.993 and CO 2 difference of 1.1%. Uncertainty estimates show strong spatial correlation with prediction errors, confirming the effectiveness of the proposed dropout selection approach. The results demonstrate that our DL approach, utilizing compact data representations and appropriate uncertainty quantification, yields accurate subsurface images under various inversion conditions and provides valuable insights into the reliability of predictions.

Um, Evan Schankee [Lawrence Berkeley National Labo↗

Magnetically Coupled Microcalorimeters

Magnetic calorimeters have been under development for over 20 years targeting a wide variety of different applications that require very high resolution spectroscopy. They have a number of properties that distinguish them from other 10w temperature detectors. In this paper we review these properties and emphasize the types of application to which they are most suited. We will describe what has been learned about the best materials, geometries, and read-out amplifiers and our understanding of the measured performance and theoretical limits. While most magnetic calorimeter research has concentrated on the use of paramagnets to provide the temperature sensitivity, recently magnetically coupled microcalorimeters have been in development that utilize the diamagnetic response of superconductors. We will contrast some of the properties of the two different magnetic sensor types.

Bandler, S. R.↗

Site heterogeneity and broad surface-binding isotherms in modern catalysis: Building intuition beyond the Sabatier principle

Learning the science of heterogeneous catalysis and electrocatalysis always starts with the simple case of a flat, uniform surface with an ideal adsorbate. It has of course been recognized for a century that real catalysts are more complicated. For the increasingly complex catalysts of the 21st century, this Perspective argues that surface heterogeneity and non-ideal binding isotherms are central features, and their implications need to be incorporated in current thinking. A variety of systems are described herein where catalyst complexity leads to broad, non-Langmuirian surface isotherms for the binding of hydrogen atoms – and this occurs even for ideal, flat Pt(111) surfaces. Modern catalysis employs nanoscale materials whose surfaces have substantial step, edge, corner, impurity, and other defect sites, and they increasingly have both metallic and non-metallic elements M n X m , including metal oxides, chalcogenides, pnictides, carbides, doped carbons, etc. The surfaces of such catalysts are often not crystal facets of the bulk phase underneath, and they typically have a variety of potential active sites. Catalytic surfaces in operando are often non-stoichiometric, amorphous, dynamic, and impure, and often vary from one part of the surface to another. Understanding of the issues that arise at such nanoscale, multi-element catalysts is just beginning to emerge. Yet these catalysts are widely discussed using Brønsted/Bell-Evans-Polanyi (BEP) relations, volcano plots, Tafel slopes, the Butler-Volmer equation, and other linear free energy relations (LFERs), which all depend on the implicit assumption that the active sites are “similar” and that surface adsorption is close to ideal. These assumptions underly the ubiquitous intuition based on the Sabatier Principle, that the fastest catalysis will occur when key intermediates have free energies of adsorption that are not too strong nor too weak. Current catalysis research often aims to minimize the complexity of non-ideal isotherms through experimental and computational design (e.g., the use of single crystal surfaces), and these studies are the foundation of the field. In contrast, this Perspective argues that the heterogeneity of binding sites and binding energies is an inherent strength of these catalysts. Here, this diversity makes many nanoscale catalysts inherently a high-throughput screen wrapped in a tiny package. Only by making the heterogeneity part of the foundation of catalysis models, sorting the types of active sites and dissecting non-ideal binding isotherms, will modern catalysis learn to harness the inherent diversity of real catalysts. Controlling and exploiting diversity rather than avoiding it will help to optimize complex modern catalysts and catalytic conditions.

Mayer, James M.↗

A two-stage optical fusion framework for wildfire severity mapping across the conterminous United States

Accurate wildfire severity mapping (WSM) is essential for post-fire recovery planning, erosion risk assessment, ecosystem monitoring, and disaster risk reduction. Although Landsat and Sentinel optical imagery have been widely used for burn severity assessment, the added value of fusing multiple optical sensors has not been sufficiently quantified across diverse fire events, particularly since the launch of Landsat-9. This study evaluates whether multisensor optical fusion improves wildfire severity mapping relative to single-sensor baselines using Sentinel-2, Landsat-8, and Landsat-9 imagery across 40 wildfire events in the conterminous United States. We tested a two-stage fusion framework that combines feature-level fusion with pixel-level dimensionality reduction. First, feature-level fused datasets were created through early fusion by combining standardized post-fire bands from each sensor into a single predictor stack. Both raw reflectance bands and pairwise spectral transforms were retained to capture within- and cross-sensor spectral interactions. Second, Linear Discriminant Analysis was applied to both single-sensor and fused datasets to produce comparable low-dimensional feature spaces. Six machine-learning classifiers were then used to benchmark model performance with repeated spatially buffered train–test splits. Results show that Landsat-9 was the strongest single-sensor baseline. Among the fusion strategies, Sentinel-2 + Landsat-9 produced the most consistent improvement and reduced performance variability. Landscape-condition analysis further showed that this fusion was most beneficial in shrubland-dominated and high-terrain fires, where it achieved the highest overall mean accuracy and the fewest failures. In contrast, its benefits were less reliable in evergreen forests, mixed vegetation, and low- to moderate-elevation terrain. In operational settings, the Sentinel-2 + Landsat-9 configuration offers a practical solution for post-fire recovery planning, erosion-risk assessment, watershed management, and ecological monitoring when field observations are available and timely satellite-based information is needed.

Landsat↗

The Role of Nuclear Data Sensitivities in Prompt α-Eigenvalue Predictions of Delayed Critical Benchmarks

Alpha (α) eigenvalues, which describe the logarithmic time derivative of the neutron population in a multiplying system, are integral to time-dependent behavior and diagnostic applications. However, uncertainties in the evaluated nuclear data can significantly impact the accuracy of transport simulations for such quantities. This work explores the use of machine learning models to predict two key outputs, α-eigenvalues and keff bias, using input features derived from α-eigenvalue sensitivities to nuclear data. The criticality safety benchmark models used in this study come from the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments. Three models, random forest, XGBoost, and NGBoost, are trained on both energy-resolved and energy-summed α sensitivities. For the α-eigenvalue bias prediction, NGBoost achieved the highest R 2 (0.9476) using energy-resolved features, while XGBoost performed best using summed sensitivities. In contrast, when predicting the keff bias, all the models showed moderate predictive capability (best R 2 ≈ 0.72), as the mapping from the static α-sensitivities to the static keff bias was less direct. SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis was used to interpret the model predictions. Across both prediction tasks, the features associated with neutron capture [H-1 (n, γ)], uranium scattering reactions (such as 235 U elastic/inelastic), and actinide capture/fission reactions (such as 239 Pu and 234 U) were consistently identified as the most impactful. This highlights the key role of specific nuclear reactions and energy ranges in shaping both time-dependent and steady-state criticality behavior. These results demonstrated that α-sensitivities, despite being computed for time-dependent metrics, can provide valuable insights for predicting both α-eigenvalues and the keff bias. Moreover, machine learning models offer a promising pathway for uncovering important nuclear data dependencies and guiding future data evaluation efforts.

Nuclear data↗

Comparison of machine learning and electrical resistivity arrays to inverse modeling for locating and characterizing subsurface targets

Here, this study evaluates the performance of multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms and electrical resistivity (ER) arrays for inversion with comparison to a conventional Gauss-Newton numerical inversion method. Four different ML models and four arrays were used for the estimation of only six variables for locating and characterizing hypothetical subsurface targets. The combination of dipole-dipole with Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLP-NN) had the highest accuracy. Evaluation showed that both MLP-NN and Gauss-Newton methods performed well for estimating the matrix resistivity while target resistivity accuracy was lower, and MLP-NN produced sharper contrast at target boundaries for the field and hypothetical data. Both methods exhibited comparable target characterization performance, whereas MLP-NN had increased accuracy compared to Gauss-Newton in prediction of target width and height, which was attributed to numerical smoothing present in the Gauss-Newton approach. MLP-NN was also applied to a field dataset acquired at U.S. DOE Hanford site.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Unraveling the Nature of Vibrational Dynamics in CsPbI 3 by Inelastic Neutron Scattering and Molecular Dynamics Simulations

Cesium lead iodide, CsPbI 3 , is an optoelectronic material of large interest for various technological applications; however, fundamental questions surrounding the vibrational dynamics of this material, especially regarding its role in structural phase transitions, remain to be elucidated. Here, in a combined variable temperature inelastic neutron scattering (INS) and machine-learning based molecular dynamics (MD) simulation study, we show that the stable phase at room temperature, i.e., the nonperovskite δ-phase, exhibits phonon modes with weak anharmonicity with only a weak temperature dependence from 10 K all the way up to the transition to the cubic perovskite α-phase at approximately 600 K. In contrast, the α-phase features anharmonic and damped vibrational dynamics, mainly associated with overdamped tilting motions of the PbI 6 octahedra. Crucially, these overdamped tilting modes, which relate to the tetragonal and orthorhombic distorted perovskite phases (β- and γ-phase, respectively) formed at lower temperatures, stay overdamped by more than 100 K above the respective phase transition. This suggests a flat energy landscape of octahedral tilting motions in α-CsPbI3 and with structural fluctuations on the picosecond time scale with tilting patterns that locally resemble the structure of the β- and γ-phases. The vibrational dynamics of α-CsPbI 3 are also characterized by pronounced anharmonic motions with large thermal displacements of the Cs + ions, but these modes remain underdamped at 600 K.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Application of an automatic cloud tracking technique to Meteosat water vapor and infrared observations

The automatic cloud tracking system was applied to METEOSAT 6.7 micrometers water vapor measurements to learn whether the system can track the motions of water vapor patterns. Data for the midlatitudes, subtropics, and tropics were selected from a sequence of METEOSAT pictures for 25 April 1978. Trackable features in the water vapor patterns were identified using a clustering technique and the features were tracked by two different methods. In flat (low contrast) water vapor fields, the automatic motion computations were not reliable, but in areas where the water vapor fields contained small scale structure (such as in the vicinity of active weather phenomena) the computations were successful. Cloud motions were computed using METEOSAT infrared observations (including tropical convective systems and midlatitude jet stream cirrus).

Endlich, R. M.↗

Machine Learning to Select Experiments Driven by Fundamental Science and Applications for Targeted Nuclear Data Improvement

This work describes a blueprint for a process that accelerates progress in science by quantitatively answering the following question: What is the optimal combination of fundamental-science and application-driven experiments to maximally reduce pertinent data uncertainties? Answering this question entails solving a high-dimensional and complex optimization problem that is best solved with advanced statistic techniques often classified as machine learning. We apply this process within the framework of nuclear data with the aim to select an experiment combination that will reduce uncertainties in 239 Pu nuclear data for neutron energies between 1 and 600 keV. In this field, fundamental-physics driven data, called differential, look at one nuclear physics observable at a time. They are contrasted to application-driven, integral, data where one or few resulting values inform a broad set of nuclear data across several nuclides and energies. The candidates for integral experiments are criticality measurements that were refined by a genetic algorithm to be maximally sensitive to 239 Pu fission cross sections in the desired energy range. Twenty-three candidate differential experiments were investigated and span multiple nuclear physics observables (e.g., total, capture cross sections) for isotopes appearing in the integral experiments. The optimal combination among these candidate experiments was investigated via generalized least squares fitting, augmented with Gaussian processes to ameliorate statistical irregularities in data, and the D-optimality criterion. The latter evaluates for each pair of candidates the joint reduction in uncertainties of all 12200 nuclear data appearing in the integral experiments compared to the knowledge we have from 168 past experiments, theory, and nuclear data. We chose as differential measurements those that investigate 63 Cu and 239 Pu total cross sections, based on D-optimality rank and feasibility constraints. Two integral (criticality) experiments were selected: An experiment with Al 2 ⁢O 3 and graphite interleaved with Pu and a thick Cu reflector explores 1–30 keV, while we target the 30–600 keV range with an experiment that swaps boron in place of graphite with a different geometry.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Earned Value Management Software Projects

JPL has been attempting to apply EVM techniques for the last 15 years with mixed success, especially when applied to software tasks. One of the main causes is that software presents particular challenges that were not considered during the genesis of EVM. A small number of tasks have been able to use EVM effectively and derive great benefits. This paper discusses challenges specific to software management and how they can be successfully addressed. Specifically, it details lessons learned from the $28 million dollar Next Generation Navigation Software Project that replaced NASA’s deep space navigation software for operations. The project was able to successfully use EVM techniques during a four year period, producing 12 releases on their promised delivery dates and projects actual costs that were within 0.3% of the planned budget (under), in contrast to performance before the techniques were put into practice.

Hanna, Robert A.↗

Unsupervised Process Anomaly Detection and Identification Using the Leave-One-Variable-Out Approach

Automated anomaly detection and identification can signal equipment issues and pinpoint causes in large-scale industrial systems. For systems with limited failure history, unsupervised machine learning methods can be utilized as they do not require past failures. This study introduces the leave-one-variable-out (LOVO) model, which masks one variable at a time to predict the others, learning underlying process correlations. Detection performance was assessed with synthetic and experimental data, while identification performance used only synthetic data due to its ability to generate labeled anomaly types. For detection using synthetic data, the LOVO model generally outperformed comparative models; while using experimental data, the comparative methods outperformed the LOVO model. However, the comparative methods required selecting a latent size, and these conclusions pertain to using the optimal size. In practice, it would not be feasible to always select the optimal value, and incorrect selections impacted performance. In contrast, the LOVO model does not require a latent space. For identification using synthetic data, the LOVO model was slightly outperformed in interpretability and repeatability but still demonstrated impressive results. These outcomes suggest that the LOVO model is an effective model and may be more easily implemented without the challenging tuning process of selecting a latent size.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Full-stack Quantification of Variability in Predicting Ion Transport Properties using Machine-learned Interatomic Potentials

Machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have become the state-of-the-art for performing accurate, scalable molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. It is therefore crucial to understand and quantify the reliability of MLIPs for downstream property predictions. Uncertainty in predicted properties can arise from limitations in first-principles training data, intrinsic MLIP model errors in representing the data, and the statistical noise introduced during subsequent MD simulations. Using ion transport in Li7P3S11 as a case study, we systematically assess the impact of training set size and selection, neural network stochasticity, and MD sampling statistics on predicted diffusivity and activation energy. We find that when using equivariant MLIP architectures with standard MD protocols, uncertainty arising from MD sampling dominates over model-induced errors. In contrast, MLIP errors relative to the underlying first-principles data are consistently minor. Given this, there are two main routes to improving the accuracy of predictions based on MLIP potentials: adopting higher accuracy reference data generation methods, and improving the MD sampling statistics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Persistent global greening over the last four decades using novel long-term vegetation index data with enhanced temporal consistency

Advanced Very High-Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) satellite observations have provided the longest global daily records from 1980s, but the remaining temporal inconsistency in vegetation index datasets has hindered reliable assessment of vegetation greenness trends. To tackle this, we generated novel global long-term Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Near-Infrared Reflectance of vegetation (NIRv) datasets derived from AVHRR and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). We addressed residual temporal inconsistency through three-step post processing including cross-sensor calibration among AVHRR sensors, orbital drifting correction for AVHRR sensors, and machine learning-based harmonization between AVHRR and MODIS. After applying each processing step, we confirmed the enhanced temporal consistency in terms of detrended anomaly, trend and interannual variability of NDVI and NIRv at calibration sites. Our refined NDVI and NIRv datasets showed a persistent global greening trend over the last four decades (NDVI: 0.0008 yr -1 ; NIRv: 0.0003 yr -1 ), contrasting with those without the three processing steps that showed rapid greening trends before 2000 (NDVI: 0.0017 yr -1 ; NIRv: 0.0008 yr -1 ) and weakened greening trends after 2000 (NDVI: 0.0004 yr -1 ; NIRv: 0.0001 yr -1 ). These findings highlight the importance of minimizing temporal inconsistency in long-term vegetation index datasets, which can support more reliable trend analysis in global vegetation response to climate changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dominant Controls on Preferential Flow and Their Implications for Future Soil Water Fluxes

Abstract Soil water flow, particularly preferential flow (PF), is a critical control on hydrological and biogeochemical processes, including groundwater recharge, contaminant transport, and carbon cycling. However, it remains challenging to predict PF occurrence across large environmental gradients. Here, we developed a deep learning (DL) model to estimate event‐scale soil water flow velocity and the probability of PF occurrence using high‐frequency soil moisture and precipitation data from 33 sites across the National Ecological Observatory Network. The model demonstrated high skill in predicting the binary occurrence of PF (91% F1‐score; 85% accuracy) but the performance was limited in predicting soil water velocity ( R 2 = 0.31). We found that precipitation characteristics (duration, volume, and intensity) were the most important predictors for soil water velocity. Among the non‐precipitation event variables, sand content showed relatively high predictive skill, though differences among non‐event climate variables were generally modest. Lower sand content was associated with increased predicted soil water velocity, a finding that highlights the role of soil structure in producing more non‐uniform flow, which contrasts with traditional uniform flow models. Projecting a reduced DL model under both moderate and high‐emissions future climate scenarios (2060–2099 Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5), we found ∼7.3% increase under RCP4.5 and ∼15% under RCP8.5 of soil water velocities compared to the historical simulation, while modeled likelihood of PF changed little. These findings suggest climate change is not making PF more frequent, but it is making existing PF pathways more efficient with important consequences for associated nutrient and contaminant transport under climate change. Plain Language Summary Water movement in soil is critical for water quality. While often modeled as a uniform flow process, in reality water moves rapidly through cracks and burrows in what is called “preferential flow” (PF), which limits natural filtration and can transport pollutants. We developed a deep learning model, trained on data from 33 U.S. sites, to predict when and how fast this PF occurs based on precipitation, soil, and climate data. The model showed that precipitation characteristics (duration, intensity, volume) were the most important predictors of PF. Lower soil sand content/higher clay content was associated with faster water flow, likely due to clay soils forming aggregates and cracks that water moves through rather than infiltrating uniformly. Further analyses based on climate projections suggest that the speed at which PF occurs will become more rapid under future climate scenarios compared to historical simulation. This highlights the need to represent PF in soil water models when assessing future water quality. Key Points The effect of precipitation peak intensity on soil water velocities declined with increasing precipitation intensity Antecedent soil moisture failed to predict preferential flow (PF), contrasting the high predictive power of sand content Climate predictions suggest that soil water velocities through PF paths will increase ∼15% by 2099

Li, Bonan↗

Constrained GAN-Generated X-Ray CT Data For Self-Supervised And Foundation-Model Segmentation Of Concrete Microstructures

Three-dimensional characterization of materials using X-ray computed tomography (XCT) is challenging due to the complexity of internal structures, noise, and variations in resolution. Traditional computer vision models often struggle to accurately segment these images, particularly in domain-specific applications like materials science. While supervised deep learning approaches have been developed to address the limitations of conventional algorithms, they typically require large amounts of labeled training data and often fail to generalize across different datasets. Self-supervised, few-and zero-shot learning methods have gained prominence in natural image processing and segmentation tasks, but their application to scientific imaging remains limited due to the unique structural complexity, noise, and textural artifacts present in materials science data. In this work, we investigate how domain adaptation, leveraging physics-based and GAN-generated synthetic data, impacts segmentation performance. We introduce a modified Contrastive Unpaired Translation (CUT) model designed to generate realistic labeled data, which can be used for training, pre-training, and fine-tuning segmentation models for real XCT microstructure data. We evaluate the performance of two segmentation approaches: a self-supervised network (SSL-ALPNet) and a foundation model (Segment Anything Model), assessing their improvements when pre-trained and/or fine-tuned on the synthesized data. Our results demonstrate that leveraging synthetic data significantly enhances segmentation performance, particularly in challenging materials science applications.

Ziabari, Amir [ORNL] (ORCID:000000034776457X)↗

Locomotion in a rotating space station: a synthesis of new data with established concepts

Despite technical problems associated with designing a rotating space station it is still thought that such a device may provide a more tolerable work environment and prevent some of the physiological changes that currently pose a threat to long-duration space missions. In the present analysis four case studies are presented and the results show that centrifugal and Coriolis effects could hinder one's ability to walk or run in a natural way in such an environment. In a rotating station that has a nominal 'G-level' equal to that on earth it can be shown that a person running at 3.8 m s -1 could experience foot 'heaviness' effects that range from 1 to 3 g and fore-aft foot 'forces' that range fom -0.5 to +0.5 g. In contrast the hip region could sense a relatively constant 'force' equal to 2 g. With regard to the body as a whole there would be 'weight changes' that depended on the direction of gait. While these conditions imply that locomotion in a rotating space station would be different from normal gait, it is likely that given sufficient training, astronauts could learn optimal strategies to account for centrifugal and Coriolis effects on individual body segments. The learning process would also entail developing strategies on which route to take when moving from one location to another, since in many cases the shortest route would not be the least energy consuming. Such training would be justified if it were shown that artificial gravity was an effective countermeasure to the problems of muscle atrophy and bone loss.

NASA Discipline Musculoskeletal↗

Using Filter Methods to Guide Convergence for ADMM, with Applications to Nonnegative Matrix Factorization Problems

Nonconvex, nonlinear optimization problems arise naturally in parameter fitting and machine learning. While augmented Lagrangian methods have demonstrated robust convergence for classes of these problems, their convergence for block updates has been relatively unexplored outside of the context of the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). ADMM has seen extensive use in these applications, but may exhibit uncertain convergence behavior in many practical nonconvex settings, and struggles with general nonlinear constraints. In contrast, filter methods have proved effective in enforcing convergence for sequential quadratic programming methods and interior point methods with feasibility criteria. We develop an ADMM-filter method for highly nonlinear and nonconvex problems. Here, we show convergence under mild assumptions for several types of coordinate descent schemes, and demonstrate our algorithm on nonnegative matrix factorization and completion problems in imaging and chemical spectrum analysis.

Nonconvex optimization↗