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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12

PASTA: A Parallel Sparse Tensor Algorithm Benchmark Suite

Tensor methods have gained increasingly attention from various applications, including machine learning, quantum chemistry, healthcare analytics, social network analysis, data mining, and signal processing, to name a few. Sparse tensors and their algorithms become critical to further improve the performance of these methods and enhance the interpretability of their output. This work presents a sparse tensor algorithm benchmark suite (PASTA) for single- and multi-core CPUs. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first benchmark suite for sparse tensor world. PASTA targets on: 1) helping application users to evaluate different computer systems using its representative computational workloads; 2) providing insights to better utilize existed computer architecture and systems and inspiration for the future design. This benchmark suite will be publicly released.

HPC, sparse tensor, benchmark↗

An open experimental database for exploring inorganic materials

The use of advanced machine learning algorithms in experimental materials science is limited by the lack of sufficiently large and diverse datasets amenable to data mining. If publicly open, such data resources would also enable materials research by scientists without access to expensive experimental equipment. Here, we report on our progress towards a publicly open High Throughput Experimental Materials (HTEM) Database (htem.nrel.gov). This database currently contains 140,000 sample entries, characterized by structural (100,000), synthetic (80,000), chemical (70,000), and optoelectronic (50,000) properties of inorganic thin film materials, grouped in >4,000 sample entries across >100 materials systems; more than a half of these data are publicly available. This article shows how the HTEM database may enable scientists to explore materials by browsing web-based user interface and an application programming interface. This paper also describes a HTE approach to generating materials data, and discusses the laboratory information management system (LIMS), that underpin HTEM database. Finally, this manuscript illustrates how advanced machine learning algorithms can be adopted to materials science problems using this open data resource.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Mining Thermophile Photosynthesis Genes: A Synthetic Operon Expressing Chloroflexota Species Reaction Center Genes in Rhodobacter sphaeroides

Photosynthesis is the foundation of the vast majority of life systems, and is therefore the most important bioenergetic process on earth. The greatest diversity of photosynthetic systems is found in microorganisms. However, our understanding of the biophysical and biochemical processes that transduce light into chemical energy is derived from a relatively small subset of proteins from microbes that are amenable to cultivation, in contrast to the huge number of predicted proteins that catalyze the initial photochemical reactions deposited in databases, such as from metagenomics. We describe the use of a Rhodobacter sphaeroides laboratory strain for the expression of heterologous photosynthesis genes to demonstrate the feasibility of mining this resource, focusing on hot spring Chloroflexota gene sequences. Using a synthetic operon of genes, we produced a photochemically active complex of reaction center proteins in our biological system. We also present bioinformatic analyses of anoxygenic type II reaction center sequences from metagenomic samples collected from hot (42–90 °C) springs available through the JGI IMG database, to generate a resource of diverse sequences that are potentially adapted to photosynthesis at such temperatures. These data provide a view into the natural diversity of anoxygenic photosynthesis, through a lens focused on high-temperature environments. The approach we took to express such genes can be applied for potential biotechnology purposes as well as for studies of fundamental catalytic properties of these heretofore inaccessible protein complexes.

Chloroflexota↗

A shift between mineral and nonmineral sources of iron and sulfur causes proteome-wide changes in Methanosarcina barkeri

ABSTRACT Iron (Fe) and sulfur (S) are required elements for life, and changes in their availability can limit the ecological distribution and function of microorganisms. In anoxic environments, soluble Fe typically exists as ferrous iron [Fe(II)] and S as sulfide (HS − ). These species exhibit a strong affinity that ultimately drives the formation of sedimentary pyrite (FeS 2 ). Recently, paradigm-shifting studies indicate that Fe and S in FeS 2 can be made bioavailable by methanogens through a reductive dissolution process. However, the impact of the utilization of FeS 2 , as opposed to canonical Fe and S sources, on the phenotype of cells is not fully understood. Here, shotgun proteomics was utilized to measure changes in the phenotype of Methanosarcina barkeri MS grown with FeS 2 , Fe(II)/HS − , or Fe(II)/cysteine. Shotgun proteomics tracked 1,019 proteins overall, with 307 observed to change between growth conditions. Functional characterization and pathway analyses revealed these changes to be systemic and largely tangential to Fe/S metabolism. As a final step, the proteomics data were viewed with respect to previously collected transcriptomics data to deepen the analysis. Presented here is evidence that M. barkeri adopts distinct phenotypes to exploit specific sources of Fe and S in its environment. This is supported by observed protein abundance changes across broad categories of cellular biology. DNA adjacent metabolism, central carbon metabolism methanogenesis, metal trafficking, quorum sensing, and porphyrin biosynthesis pathways are all features in the phenotypic differentiation. Differences in trace metal availability attributed to complexation with HS − , either as a component of the growth medium [Fe(II)/HS − ] or generated through reduction of FeS 2 , were likely a major factor underpinning these phenotypic differences. IMPORTANCE The methanogenic archaeon Methanosarcina barkeri holds great potential for industrial bio-mining and energy generation technologies. Much of the biochemistry of this microbe is poorly understood, and its characterization will provide a glimpse into biological processes that evolved close to life’s origin. The discovery of its ability to extract iron and sulfur from bulk, solid-phase minerals shifted a longstanding paradigm that these elements were inaccessible to biological systems. The full elucidation of this process has the potential to help scientists and engineers extract valuable metals from low-grade ore and mine waste generating energy in the form of methane while doing so.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program Status of Adaptive Surrogates within the RAVEN framework

The RAVEN code has been under development at the Idaho National Laboratory since 2012. Its main goal is to create a multi-purpose platform for the deploying of all the capabilities needed for Probabilistic Risk Assessment, uncertainty quantification, data mining analysis and optimization studies. RAVEN has demonstrated a good level of maturity in terms of state-of-art and advanced analysis methodologies. Indeed, in the past year the RAVEN code has been released as open-source project and is available to download (raven.inl.gov) free of charge. The main subject of this report is to show the activities that have been recently accomplished with respect the adaptive surrogate modeling: Implementation of the metric system for the assessment of surrogate model validity; Implementation of cross-validation techniques for the global assessment of surrogate models; Implementation of an automatic infrastructure for switching between a high-fidelity model (e.g. physical code) and a surrogate or set of surrogates; Implementation of a scheme for automatic optimization of surrogate model parameters. The aim of this document is to report the status of the development of methods, within the RAVEN framework, to assess the validity of the predictive capabilities of surrogate models. Indeed, after the construction of a surrogate tight to a certain physical model, it is crucial to assess the goodness of its representation, in order to be confident with its prediction. A cross-validation technique has been employed. This report will highlight the implementation details and proof its correct implementation by an application example. The implementation of a way to assess the predictive capabilities of a surrogate allowed the construction of a RAVEN new entity named “HybridModel” that is aimed to switch between an high-fidelity code and its linked surrogate. In addition, leveraging the optimization algorithms that have been implemented in RAVEN last fiscal year, a new scheme has been developed for automatic tuning of the surrogates’ parameters (e.g. penalty factors in support vector machines).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

RAVEN User Guide

The goal of this document is to provide a set of detailed examples that can help the user to become familiar with the RAVEN code. RAVEN is capable of investigating system response and explore input space using various sampling schemes such as Monte Carlo, grid, or Latin Hypercube. How- ever, RAVEN strength lies in its system feature discovery capabilities such as: constructing limit surfaces, separating regions of the input space leading to system failure, and using dynamic super- vised learning techniques. New users should consult the RAVEN Tutorial to get started.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Data Driven Smart Proxy for CFD: Application of Big Data Analytics & Machine Learning in Computational Fluid Dynamics (Part 1)

Simulation technologies can reduce the time and cost of the development and deployment of advanced technologies and allow rapid scale-up of these technologies for fossil fuel based energy systems. However, to ensure their usefulness in practice, the credibility of the simulations needs to be established with Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods. National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) has been applying non-intrusive UQ methodologies to categorize and quantify uncertainties in CFD simulations of gas-solid multiphase flows. To reduce the computational cost associated with gas-solid flow simulations required for UQ analysis, techniques commonly used in the area of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Data Mining (DM) are used to construct smart proxy models, which can reduce the computational cost of conducting large number of multiphase CFD simulations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Social energy: mining energy from the society

The inherent nature of energy, i.e., physicality, sociality and informatization, implies the inevitable and intensive interaction between energy systems and social systems. From this perspective, we define 'social energy' as a complex sociotechnical system of energy systems, social systems and the derived artificial virtual systems which characterize the intense intersystem and intra-system interactions. The recent advancement in intelligent technology, including artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies, sensing and communication in Internet of Things technologies, and massive high performance computing and extreme-scale data analytics technologies, enables the possibility of substantial advancement in socio-technical system optimization, scheduling, control and management. In this paper, we provide a discussion on the nature of energy, and then propose the concept and intention of social energy systems for electrical power. A general methodology of establishing and investigating social energy is proposed, which is based on the ACP approach, i.e., 'artificial systems' (A), 'computational experiments' (C) and 'parallel execution' (P), and parallel system methodology. A case study on the University of Denver (DU) campus grid is provided and studied to demonstrate the social energy concept. In the concluding remarks, we discuss the technical pathway, in both social and nature sciences, to social energy, and our vision on its future.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Mapping Support for Targeted Critical Minerals Exploration and Extraction

The United States’ dependency on imported minerals poses significant risks to economic stability and national security due to potential supply disruptions. Recognizing the strategic importance of critical minerals, the Department of Energy (DOE) emphasizes the need for a secure and resilient supply chain to support emissions reduction, technology development, and capitalization on clean energy opportunities. The DOE’s Office of Manufacturing and Energy Supply Chains (MESC), in collaboration with the Office of Policy (OP), addresses these vulnerabilities by focusing on upstream domestic critical minerals production, balancing extraction with social and environmental goals, including conservation, environmental justice, and respect for Tribal sovereignty. This report showcases a collaborative effort involving Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne), National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), and the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to map mineral development potential along with key social and environmental datasets. A geographical information system (GIS)-based web map application was developed as a preliminary tool for environmental analysis, integrating 158 geospatial data layers such as critical habitat, land ownership, economic indicators, and environmental concerns. Data were sourced from agencies like the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) and USGS and processed using GIS technology to enhance visualization and analysis. The proposed analysis framework categorizes areas into high, mid, and low concern based on withdrawn lands, special status species, the Economic Development Capacity Index (EDCI) Mining Composite Index, and the Climate and Economic Justice Screening Tool (CEJST). While the application provides broad visualizations, it is not a substitute for detailed environmental reviews required under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA). Users must conduct further analyses and engage with tribal entities and other stakeholders for comprehensive planning. A case study of the Idaho Cobalt Belt (ICB) in Lemhi County, Idaho, has been provided in the report to illustrate the tool's practical use. This report introduces a GIS application and framework to support stakeholders in identifying and prioritizing areas for critical mineral exploration, promoting secure supply chains, and advancing the nation's energy independence through responsible resource stewardship.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NEWTS Integrated Dataset (version 1.0)

The National Energy Water Treatment and Speciation (NEWTS) Integrated Dataset v1.0 provides water researchers, community leaders, and regulators with a unified and standardized energy-related wastewater stream database. This resource is derived from 27 state and federal entities, and scientific publications, and contains more than 400,000 sample records, many of which also provide geospatial information. The dataset includes data for several different energy-related wastewater types including produced water, other oil and gas wastewaters, mine drainage, coal ash leachate, and power plant wastewater. The NEWTS Integrated Dataset was built to support environmentally prudent decision-making, explore treatment opportunities, and identify potential critical mineral sources. A subset of this novel resource is also featured on NETL NEWTS State-Level Database Dashboard. Additional data can be found in the NEWTS EDX Group and the NEWTS Federal Database Dashboard.

abandoned mine drainage↗

The good, the bad, and the ugly: Data-driven load profile discord identification in a large building portfolio

Reducing the overall energy consumption and associated greenhouse gas emissions in the building sector is essential for meeting our future sustainability goals. Recently, smart energy metering facilities have been deployed to enable monitoring of energy consumption data with hourly or subhourly temporal resolution. This unprecedented data collection has created various opportunities for advanced data analytics involving load profiles (e.g., building energy benchmarking programs, building-to-grid integration, and calibration of urban-scale energy models). These applications often need preprocessing steps to detect daily load profile discords, such as: 1) outliers due to system malfunctions (the bad) and 2) irregular energy consumption patterns, such as those resulting from holidays (the ugly) compared to normal consumption patterns (the good). However, current preprocessing methods predominantly focus on filtering using statistical threshold values, which fail to capture the contextual discords of daily profiles. In addition, discord detection algorithms in building research are often aimed at finding individual building-level discords, which are not suitable at a large scale. Thus, here, we develop a method for automated load profile discord identification (ALDI) in a large portfolio of buildings (more than 100 buildings). Specifically, ALDI 1) uses the matrix profile (MP) method to quantify the similarities of daily subsequences in time series meter data, 2) compares daily MP values with typical-day MP distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, and 3) identifies daily load profile discords in a large building portfolio. We evaluate ALDI using the metering data of both an academic campus and a residential neighborhood. Our results demonstrate that ALDI efficiently discovers measurement errors by system malfunctions and low energy consumption days in the academic campus portfolio, and it detects unique load shape patterns likely driven by occupant behavior and extreme weather conditions in the residential neighborhood.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Updates to the Alliance of Genome Resources central infrastructure

The Alliance of Genome Resources (Alliance) is an extensible coalition of knowledgebases focused on the genetics and genomics of intensively studied model organisms. The Alliance is organized as individual knowledge centers with strong connections to their research communities and a centralized software infrastructure, discussed here. Model organisms currently represented in the Alliance are budding yeast, Caenorhabditis elegans, Drosophila, zebrafish, frog, laboratory mouse, laboratory rat, and the Gene Ontology Consortium. The project is in a rapid development phase to harmonize knowledge, store it, analyze it, and present it to the community through a web portal, direct downloads, and application programming interfaces (APIs). Here, we focus on developments over the last 2 years. Specifically, we added and enhanced tools for browsing the genome (JBrowse), downloading sequences, mining complex data (AllianceMine), visualizing pathways, full-text searching of the literature (Textpresso), and sequence similarity searching (SequenceServer). We enhanced existing interactive data tables and added an interactive table of paralogs to complement our representation of orthology. To support individual model organism communities, we implemented species-specific “landing pages” and will add disease-specific portals soon; in addition, we support a common community forum implemented in Discourse software. We describe our progress toward a central persistent database to support curation, the data modeling that underpins harmonization, and progress toward a state-of-the-art literature curation system with integrated artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML).

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-scale Quantitative Risk Analysis of Seabed Minerals: Principles and Application to Seafloor Massive Sulfide Prospects

The potential for mining hydrothermal mineral deposits on the seafloor, such as seafloor massive sulfides, has become technically possible, and some companies (currently not many) are considering their exploration and development. Yet, no present methodology has been designed to quantify the ore potential and assess the risks relative to prospectivity at prospect and regional scales. Multi-scale exploration techniques, similar to those of the play analysis that are used in the oil and gas industry, can help to fulfill this task by identifying the characteristics of geologic environments indicative of ore-forming processes. Such characteristics can represent a combination of, e.g., heat source, pathway, trap and reservoir that all dictate how and where ore components are mobilized from source to deposition. In this study, the understanding of these key elements is developed as a mineral system, which serves as a guide for mapping the risk of the presence or absence of ore-forming processes within the region of interest (the permissive tract). The risk analysis is carried out using geoscience data, and it is paired with quantitative resource estimation analysis to estimate the in-place mineral potential. Resource estimates are simulated stochastically with the help of available data (bathymetric features in this study), conventional grade–tonnage models and Monte Carlo simulation techniques. In this paper, the workflow for a multi-scale quantitative risk analysis, from the definition to the evaluation of a permissive tract and related prospect(s), is described with the help of multi-beam data of a known hydrothermal vent site.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Server-side Log Data Analytics for I/O Workload Characterization and Coordination on Large Shared Storage Systems

Inter-application I/O contention and performance interference have been recognized as severe problems. In this work, we demonstrate, through measurement from Titan (world s No. 3 supercomputer), that high I/O variance co-exists with the fact that individual storage units remain under-utilized for the majority of the time. This motivates us to propose AID, a system that performs automatic application I/O characterization and I/O-aware job scheduling. AID analyzes existing I/O traffic and batch job history logs, without any prior knowledge on applications or user/developer involvement. It identifies the small set of I/O-intensive candidates among all applications running on a supercomputer and subsequently mines their I/O patterns, using more detailed per-I/O-node traffic logs. Based on such auto- extracted information, AID provides online I/O-aware scheduling recommendations to steer I/O-intensive applications away from heavy ongoing I/O activities. We evaluate AID on Titan, using both real applications (with extracted I/O patterns validated by contacting users) and our own pseudo-applications. Our results confirm that AID is able to (1) identify I/O-intensive applications and their detailed I/O characteristics, and (2) significantly reduce these applications I/O performance degradation/variance by jointly evaluating out- standing applications I/O pattern and real-time system l/O load.

Liu, Y.↗

Summary Report on Synthetic Time History Development and Deployment

This report summarizes research work performed at the Colorado School of Mines (CSM) and George Washington University (GWU) in support of the DOE Office of Nuclear Energy Integrated Energy Systems (IES) program. In particular, the work focuses on improving and strengthening two fundamental steps in the mathematical and computational framework that is currently being developed to optimize the economic performance of Integrated Energy Systems. One of the innovative approaches taken by the IES program is that, rather than optimizing the system for a specific year or week or day, the optimization is performed using stochastic synthetic data. Synthetic data is generated by training artificial intelligence (AI) using available but limited data sets. The synthetic data should possess the same patterns as the original set and the same statistical properties, but never repeat the same set of values exactly. The work from CSM focuses on this first step; namely, investigating a methodology to determine the quality of the synthetic data and the right settings for properly training the AI. Once a large set of trustworthy data can be generated the problem of stochastic optimization can be tackled. The optimal IES configuration is highly dependent on the rare high peaks or deep depths of the net demand (grid electricity demand less variable renewable energy [VRE] production). Using an unbiased random sampling of the synthetic data, these extremes are very difficult to generate and therefore the optimization can be unrepresentative and inaccurate. GWU has started an approach to increase the likelihood of generating these rare events with the proper associated probabilistic weight. Both of these projects represent a step forward in achieving the capability to properly size the IESs and to properly capture the value that these systems can provide to the grid by absorbing volatility of net demand without disproportionately increasing the cost of maintaining grid reliability.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Multi-Level Structural Damage Characterization Using Sparse Acoustic Sensor Networks and Knowledge Transferred Deep Learning

Standard structural health monitoring techniques face well-known difficulties for comprehensive defect diagnosis in real-world structures that have structural, material, or geometric complexity. This motivates the exploration of machine-learning-based structural health monitoring methods in complex structures. However, creating sufficient training data sets with various defects is an ongoing challenge for data-driven machine (deep) learning algorithms. The ability to transfer the knowledge of a trained neural network from one component to another or to other sections of the same component would drastically reduce the required training data set. Also, it would facilitate computationally inexpensive machine learning based inspection systems. In this work, a machine-learning-based multi-level damage characterization is demonstrated with the ability to transfer trained knowledge within the sparse sensor network. A novel network spatial assistance and an adaptive convolution technique are proposed for efficient knowledge transfer within the deep learning algorithm. Proposed structural health monitoring method is experimentally evaluated on an aluminum plate with artificially induced defects. It was observed that the method improves the performance of knowledge transferred damage characterization by 50% during localization and 24% during severity assessment. Further, experiments using time windows with and without multiple edge reflections are studied. Results reveal that multiply scattered waves contain rich and deterministic defect signatures that can be mined using deep learning neural networks, improving the accuracy of both identification and quantification. In the case of a fixed sensor network, using multiply scattered waves shows 100% prediction accuracy at all levels of damage characterization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Necessity for Iteration in the Application of Numerical Simulation to EGS: Examples from the EGS Collab Test Bed 1

The United States Department of Energy, Geothermal Technologies Office (GTO) is funding a collaborative investigation of enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) processes at the meso-scale. This study, referred to as the EGS Collab project, is a unique opportunity for scientists and engineers to investigate the creation of fracture networks and circulation of fluids across those networks under in-situ stress conditions. The EGS Collab project is envisioned to comprise three experiments and the site for the first experiment is on the 4850 Level in phyllite of the Precambrian Poorman formation, at the Sanford Underground Research Facility, located at the former Homestake Gold Mine, in Lead, South Dakota. Principal objectives of the project are to develop a number of intermediate-scale field sites and to conduct well-controlled in situ experiments focused on rock fracture behavior and permeability enhancement. Data generated during these experiments will be compared against predictions of a suite of computer codes specifically designed to solve problems involving coupled thermal, hydrological, geomechanical, and geochemical processes. Comparisons between experimental and numerical simulation results will provide code developers with direction for improvements and verification of process models, build confidence in the suite of available numerical tools, and ultimately identify critical future development needs for the geothermal modeling community. Moreover, conducting thorough comparisons of models, modelling approaches, measurement approaches and measured data, via the EGS Collab project, will serve to identify techniques that are most likely to succeed at the Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE), the GTO's flagship EGS research effort. As noted, outcomes from the EGS Collab project experiments will serve as benchmarks for computer code verification, but numerical simulation additionally plays an essential role in designing these meso-scale experiments. This paper reviews specific numerical simulations supporting the design of experiments within Test Bed 1, a volume of phyllite rock under in-situ stress conditions off the western side of the West Access Drift on the 4850 Level, near Governor's Corner. Numerical simulations were executed prior to the start of hydraulic stimulation activities within Test Bed 1 following standard practices, using best estimates of principal stress conditions, thermal conditions, and the rock petrophysical properties, including geomechanical properties. These simulations indicated notching of the borehole would promote the initiation of transverse fractures, seismic magnitudes during the hydraulic stimulation would be below 0.1 magnitude on the Richter scale, a rock thermal conductivity of 5.0 W/m K yielded agreement with kISMET borehole temperature logs, back pressure on the production borehole would increase circulation across the test bed, and the production borehole would serve to halt propagation of the hydraulic fracture to the drift. Pre-existing natural fractures, heterogeneities in the rock properties, monitoring boreholes, and overlooked mine elements have prompted a second look at numerically modeling stimulation, fluid circulation, tracer migration, and thermal breakthrough. Numerical simulation is an invaluable tool for providing insight and understanding to complex physical processes. The success of simulations, however, often depends on including all of the salient features of the system in the founding conceptual model. This paper takes a retrospective look at examples where the conceptual model and simulation was sufficient to provide accurate forecasts and those where elements were missing, necessitating rethinking of the simulation.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

The Necessity for Iteration in the Application of Numerical Simulation to EGS: Examples from the EGS Collab Test Bed 1

The United States Department of Energy, Geothermal Technologies Office (GTO) is funding a collaborative investigation of enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) processes at the meso-scale. This study, referred to as the EGS Collab project, is a unique opportunity for scientists and engineers to investigate the creation of fracture networks and circulation of fluids across those networks under in-situ stress conditions. The EGS Collab project is envisioned to comprise three experiments and the site for the first experiment is on the 4850 Level in phyllite of the Precambrian Poorman formation, at the Sanford Underground Research Facility, located at the former Homestake Gold Mine, in Lead, South Dakota. Principal objectives of the project are to develop a number of intermediate-scale field sites and to conduct well-controlled in situ experiments focused on rock fracture behavior and permeability enhancement. Data generated during these experiments will be compared against predictions of a suite of computer codes specifically designed to solve problems involving coupled thermal, hydrological, geomechanical, and geochemical processes. Comparisons between experimental and numerical simulation results will provide code developers with direction for improvements and verification of process models, build confidence in the suite of available numerical tools, and ultimately identify critical future development needs for the geothermal modeling community. Moreover, conducting thorough comparisons of models, modelling approaches, measurement approaches and measured data, via the EGS Collab project, will serve to identify techniques that are most likely to succeed at the Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE), the GTO’s flagship EGS research effort. As noted, outcomes from the EGS Collab project experiments will serve as benchmarks for computer code verification, but numerical simulation additionally plays an essential role in designing these meso-scale experiments. This paper reviews specific numerical simulations supporting the design of experiments within Test Bed 1, a volume of phyllite rock under in-situ stress conditions off the western side of the West Access Drift on the 4850 Level, near Governor’s Corner. Numerical simulations were executed prior to the start of hydraulic stimulation activities within Test Bed 1 following standard practices, using best estimates of principal stress conditions, thermal conditions, and the rock petrophysical properties, including geomechanical properties. These simulations indicated notching of the borehole would promote the initiation of transverse fractures, seismic magnitudes during the hydraulic stimulation would be below 0.1 magnitude on the Richter scale, a rock thermal conductivity of 5.0 W/m K yielded agreement with kISMET borehole temperature logs, back pressure on the production borehole would increase circulation across the test bed, and the production borehole would serve to halt propagation of the hydraulic fracture to the drift. Pre-existing natural fractures, heterogeneities in the rock properties, monitoring boreholes, and overlooked mine elements have prompted a second look at numerically modeling stimulation, fluid circulation, tracer migration, and thermal breakthrough. Numerical simulation is an invaluable tool for providing insight and understanding to complex physical processes. The success of simulations, however, often depends on including all of the salient features of the system in the founding conceptual model. This paper takes a retrospective look at examples where the conceptual model and simulation was sufficient to provide accurate forecasts and those where elements were missing, necessitating rethinking of the simulation.

numerical simulation, EGS Collab, enhanced geother↗