Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “lifetime prediction”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 217 records · Page 12

Extreme sensitivity of higher-order interatomic force constants and thermal conductivity to the energy surface roughness of exchange-correlation functionals

In this Letter, we report that the fourth-order interatomic force constants (4th-IFCs) are significantly sensitive to the energy surface roughness of exchange-correlation (XC) functionals in density functional theory calculations. This sensitivity, which is insignificant for the second- (2nd-) and third-order (3rd-) IFCs, varies for different functionals in different materials and can cause misprediction of thermal conductivity by several times of magnitude. As a result, when calculating the 4th-IFCs using the finite difference method, the atomic displacement needs to be taken large enough to overcome the energy surface roughness, in order to accurately predict phonon lifetime and thermal conductivity. We demonstrate this phenomenon on a benchmark material (Si), a high-thermal conductivity material (BAs), and a low thermal conductivity material (NaCl). For Si, we find that the LDA, PBE, and PBEsol XC functionals are all smooth to the 2nd- and 3rd-IFCs but all rough to the 4th-IFCs. This roughness can lead to a prediction of nearly one order of magnitude lower thermal conductivity. For BAs, all three functionals are smooth to the 2nd- and 3rd-IFCs, and only the PBEsol XC functional is rough for the 4th-IFCs, which leads to a 40% underestimation of thermal conductivity. For NaCl, all functionals are smooth to the 2nd- and 3rd-IFCs but rough to the 4th-IFCs, leading to a 70% underprediction of thermal conductivity at room temperature. In conclusion, with these observations, we provide general guidance on the calculation of 4th-IFCs for an accurate thermal conductivity prediction.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Understanding EBC Lifetimes and Performance for Industrial Gas Turbines

Hydrogen or hydrogen blend fuels are expected to replace natural gas in land-based industrial gas turbines (IGTs) to support a greener power economy. Silicon carbide (SiC) base ceramic matrix composites (CMCs) are considered for replacement of Ni-based superalloys to facilitate future efficiency improvements. SiC CMCs require environmental barrier coatings (EBCs) to mitigate volatilization from high-temperature steam, thus making the EBC lifetime critical information for identifying CMC component lifetimes. The goal of this project is to determine the maximum bond coating temperature underneath the EBC for achieving an IGT component lifetime goal of 25,000 h, which is far greater than current CMC component lifetime requirements for aero-turbine applications. To provide data for the lifetime model, laboratory testing used plasma-sprayed rare-earth silicate EBCs on monolithic SiC substrates with an intermediate Si bond coating. Specimens exposed to 1-h thermal cycles in flowing air-steam environments and reaction kinetics were assessed from 700°-1350°C by measuring the thickness of the thermally grown silica scales. The silica growth and phase transformation appear critical in predicting EBC lifetime and several strategies have been explored to reduce the oxide growth rate and improve EBC durability at elevated temperatures. Advanced characterization using Raman spectroscopy has helped clarify this system.

Ridley, Mackenzie↗

Understanding Environmental Barrier Coating Lifetimes and Performance for Industrial Gas Turbines

Hydrogen or hydrogen blend fuels are expected to replace natural gas in land-based industrial gas turbines (IGTs) to support a greener power economy. Silicon carbide (SiC) base ceramic matrix composites (CMCs) are considered for replacement of Ni-based superalloys to facilitate future efficiency improvements. SiC CMCs require environmental barrier coatings (EBCs) to mitigate volatilization from high-temperature steam, thus making the EBC lifetime critical information for identifying CMC component lifetimes. Here, the goal of this project is to determine the maximum bond coating temperature underneath the EBC for achieving an IGT component lifetime goal of 25,000 h, which is far greater than current CMC component lifetime requirements for aeroturbine applications. To provide data for the lifetime model, laboratory testing used atmospheric plasma-sprayed rare-earth silicate EBCs on monolithic SiC substrates with an intermediate Si bond coating. Specimens exposed to 1-h thermal cycles in flowing air–steam environments and reaction kinetics were assessed from 700 °C to 1350 °C by measuring the thickness of the thermally grown silica scales. The silica growth and phase transformation appear critical in predicting EBC lifetime and several strategies have been explored to reduce the oxide growth rate and improve EBC durability at elevated temperatures. Advanced characterization using Raman spectroscopy has helped clarify this system.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A probabilistic creep model incorporating test condition, initial damage, and material property uncertainty

Uncertainty is prevalent in the creep resistance of alloys, where at elevated temperature and low pressure, rupture can range across logarithmic decades. In this study, a probabilistic continuum-damage-mechanics (CDM)-based model is derived to capture the uncertainty of creep resistance. To meet this objective, creep data for alloy 304 Stainless Steel is gathered. A constitutive model, “Sinh”, is calibrated deterministically to determine the statistical variability of the material properties. Three sources of uncertainty are injected into the model: test condition (stress and temperature), initial damage, and material properties. Probabilistic simulations are carried out by (a) calibrating probability distribution functions (pdfs) for each source of uncertainty (b) randomly sampling the pdfs using Monte Carlo methods and (c) executing simulations to replicate the uncertain creep behavior. A sensitivity analysis is performed to evaluate the relative effect of each source of uncertainty. In full probabilistic simulations, the cumulative uncertainty of creep behavior is evaluated. The probabilistic model accurately predicts the creep deformation and rupture of the available experiments. The probabilistic model is validated for interpolation but lacks extrapolation ability. Several future works are proposed to further improve the model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Battery State of Health Estimator: Cooperative Research and Development Final Report

NREL has developed a software tool to enable Renewance to estimate the degradation of batteries from basic information such as the type of battery and the application of that battery during its first life, so that used batteries may be evaluated for potential repurposing at low cost. This software tool utilizes NREL's BLAST-Lite battery degradation modeling code, which was updated with additional models for commercially produced lithium-ion batteries as a part of this CRADA. The software tool enables users to input details such as battery type and application so that lifetime estimates can be made without any programming or expert battery knowledge. The application input loads in saved values for parameters such as cycles per year, depth-of-discharge, and other battery operating parameters from a file defined by Renewance. These parameters may be modified to refine simulations for specific batteries. The software tool also incorporates a degradation model optimization tool, whereby existing battery degradation models may be tuned according to measured battery health. This ensures that new models still predict degradation behaviors expected from a certain battery chemistry, but with the overall degradation rate tuned to a specific battery make and model. The new model can then be saved for estimating the degradation of other similar batteries. An additional task was planned to utilize machine-learning to enable battery health diagnosis from rapid EIS measurements to accelerate the screening of used batteries. This task was not completed due to lack of available data for training a machine-learning model. CRADA benefit to DOE, Participant, and US Taxpayer: Further development of open-source software tool BLAST-Lite for predicting the lifetime of commercially produced Lithium-ion batteries (NREL SWR-22-69).

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Kinetic parameters from thermogravimetric analysis

High performance polymeric materials are finding increased use in aerospace applications. Proposed high speed aircraft will require materials to withstand high temperatures in an oxidative atmosphere for long periods of time. It is essential that accurate estimates be made of the performance of these materials at the given conditions of temperature and time. Temperatures of 350 F (177 C) and times of 60,000 to 100,000 hours are anticipated. In order to survey a large number of high performance polymeric materials on a reasonable time scale, some form of accelerated testing must be performed. A knowledge of the rate of a process can be used to predict the lifetime of that process. Thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) has frequently been used to determine kinetic information for degradation reactions in polymeric materials. Flynn and Wall studied a number of methods for using TGA experiments to determine kinetic information in polymer reactions. Kinetic parameters, such as the apparent activation energy and the frequency factor, can be determined in such experiments. Recently, researchers at the McDonnell Douglas Research Laboratory suggested that a graph of the logarithm of the frequency factor against the apparent activation energy can be used to predict long-term thermo-oxidative stability for polymeric materials. Such a graph has been called a kinetic map. In this study, thermogravimetric analyses were performed in air to study the thermo-oxidative degradation of several high performance polymers and to plot their kinetic parameters on a kinetic map.

Kiefer, Richard L.↗

NASA Tech Briefs, September 2006

Topics covered include: Improving Thermomechanical Properties of SiC/SiC Composites; Aerogel/Particle Composites for Thermoelectric Devices; Patches for Repairing Ceramics and Ceramic- Matrix Composites; Lower-Conductivity Ceramic Materials for Thermal-Barrier Coatings; An Alternative for Emergency Preemption of Traffic Lights; Vehicle Transponder for Preemption of Traffic Lights; Automated Announcements of Approaching Emergency Vehicles; Intersection Monitor for Traffic-Light-Preemption System; Full-Duplex Digital Communication on a Single Laser Beam; Stabilizing Microwave Frequency of a Photonic Oscillator; Microwave Oscillators Based on Nonlinear WGM Resonators; Pointing Reference Scheme for Free-Space Optical Communications Systems; High-Level Performance Modeling of SAR Systems; Spectral Analysis Tool 6.2 for Windows; Multi-Platform Avionics Simulator; Silicon-Based Optical Modulator with Ferroelectric Layer; Multiplexing Transducers Based on Tunnel-Diode Oscillators; Scheduling with Automated Resolution of Conflicts; Symbolic Constraint Maintenance Grid; Discerning Trends in Performance Across Multiple Events; Magnetic Field Solver; Computing for Aiming a Spaceborne Bistatic- Radar Transmitter; 4-Vinyl-1,3-Dioxolane-2-One as an Additive for Li-Ion Cells; Probabilistic Prediction of Lifetimes of Ceramic Parts; STRANAL-PMC Version 2.0; Micromechanics and Piezo Enhancements of HyperSizer; Single-Phase Rare-Earth Oxide/Aluminum Oxide Glasses; Tilt/Tip/Piston Manipulator with Base-Mounted Actuators; Measurement of Model Noise in a Hard-Wall Wind Tunnel; Loci-STREAM Version 0.9; The Synergistic Engineering Environment; Reconfigurable Software for Controlling Formation Flying; More About the Tetrahedral Unstructured Software System; Computing Flows Using Chimera and Unstructured Grids; Avoiding Obstructions in Aiming a High-Gain Antenna; Analyzing Aeroelastic Stability of a Tilt-Rotor Aircraft; Tracking Positions and Attitudes of Mars Rovers; Stochastic Evolutionary Algorithms for Planning Robot Paths; Compressible Flow Toolbox; Rapid Aeroelastic Analysis of Blade Flutter in Turbomachines; General Flow-Solver Code for Turbomachinery Applications; Code for Multiblock CFD and Heat-Transfer Computations; Rotating-Pump Design Code; Covering a Crucible with Metal Containing Channels; Repairing Fractured Bones by Use of Bioabsorbable Composites; Kalman Filter for Calibrating a Telescope Focal Plane; Electronic Absolute Cartesian Autocollimator; Fiber-Optic Gratings for Lidar Measurements of Water Vapor; Simulating Responses of Gravitational-Wave Instrumentation; SOFTC: A Software Correlator for VLBI; Progress in Computational Simulation of Earthquakes; Database of Properties of Meteors; Computing Spacecraft Solar-Cell Damage by Charged Particles; Thermal Model of a Current-Carrying Wire in a Vacuum; Program for Analyzing Flows in a Complex Network; Program Predicts Performance of Optical Parametric Oscillators; Processing TES Level-1B Data; Automated Camera Calibration; Tracking the Martian CO2 Polar Ice Caps in Infrared Images; Processing TES Level-2 Data; SmaggIce Version 1.8; Solving the Swath Segment Selection Problem; The Spatial Standard Observer; Less-Complex Method of Classifying MPSK; Improvement in Recursive Hierarchical Segmentation of Data; Using Heaps in Recursive Hierarchical Segmentation of Data; Tool for Statistical Analysis and Display of Landing Sites; Automated Assignment of Proposals to Reviewers; Array-Pattern-Match Compiler for Opportunistic Data Analysis; Pre-Processor for Compression of Multispectral Image Data; Compressing Image Data While Limiting the Effects of Data Losses; Flight Operations Analysis Tool; Improvement in Visual Target Tracking for a Mobile Robot; Software for Simulating Air Traffic; Automated Vectorization of Decision-Based Algorithms; Grayscale Optical Correlator Workbench; "One-Stop Shopping" for Ocean Remote-Sensing and Model Data; State Analysis Database Tool; Generating CAHV and CAHVOmages with Shadows in ROAMS; Improving UDP/IP Transmission Without Increasing Congestion; FORTRAN Versions of Reformulated HFGMC Codes; Program for Editing Spacecraft Command Sequences; Flight-Tested Prototype of BEAM Software; Mission Scenario Development Workbench; Marsviewer; Tool for Analysis and Reduction of Scientific Data; ASPEN Version 3.0; Secure Display of Space-Exploration Images; Digital Front End for Wide-Band VLBI Science Receiver; Multifunctional Tanks for Spacecraft; Lightweight, Segmented, Mostly Silicon Telescope Mirror; Assistant for Analyzing Tropical-Rain-Mapping Radar Data; and Anion-Intercalating Cathodes for High-Energy- Density Cells.

Source record↗

Neutron irradiation & thermomechanical experiment (NITE) - design

For the reliable long-term operation of fusion power plants, it is crucial to understand and predict the lifetime of materials in use. These materials include all structural and functional materials utilized at the first wall, blanket, magnets, and shielding. The key challenge is, that the harsh environment including high heat fluxes, high thermal stress and stress cycling, neutron irradiation, and sputtering on such materials should not be viewed separately. Currently, the synergistic loads cannot be evaluated experimentally because of the lack of adequate facilities. The purpose of that work is to design a synergetic Neutron Irradiation and Thermomechanical Experiment (NITE) for fusion materials. This design will leverage the existing Advanced-Test-Reactor (ATR), a fission reactor at the Idaho National Laboratory. We also acknowledge that with existing fission reactors the exact fusion condition cannot be created, and the limitations are critically discussed. The combination of neutron irradiation with a high heat flux is the focus. This is realized with an irradiation capsule design that includes a TRISO fueled region inside the capsule to enable a steady-state heat flux on one side of the specimen. In conclusion, the experimental design modeling showed that steady-state heat fluxes of 2.4 MW/m 2 with a thermal gradient of above 250°C can be achieved in a 5 mm thick specimen.

70 - PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Impact of duration and missing data on the long-term photovoltaic degradation rate estimation

Accurate quantification of photovoltaic (PV) system degradation rate (R D ) is essential for lifetime yield predictions. Although R D is a critical parameter, its estimation lacks a standardized methodology that can be applied on outdoor field data. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of time period duration and missing data on R D by analyzing the performance of different techniques applied to synthetic PV system data at different linear R D patterns and known noise conditions. The analysis includes the application of different techniques to a 10-year synthetic dataset of a crystalline Silicon PV system, with emulated degradation levels and imputed missing data. Here, the analysis demonstrated that the accuracy of ordinary least squares (OLS), year-on-year (YOY), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and robust principal component analysis (RPCA) techniques is affected by the evaluation duration with all techniques converging to lower R D deviations over the 10-year evaluation, apart from RPCA at high degradation levels. Moreover, the estimated R D is strongly affected by the amount of missing data. Filtering out the corrupted data yielded more accurate R D results for all techniques. It is proven that the application of a change-point detection stage is necessary and guidelines for accurate R D estimation are provided.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Battery asset management with cycle life prognosis

We report Battery Asset Management problem determines the minimum cost replacement schedules for each individual asset in a group of battery assets that operate in parallel. Battery cycle life varies under different operating conditions including temperature, depth of discharge (DOD), charge rate, etc., and a battery deteriorates due to usage, which cannot be handled by current asset management models. This paper presents a new battery asset management methodology where battery cycle life prognosis is integrated with parallel asset management to reduce lifecycle cost of the Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS). For the battery failure time prognosis, a nonlinear physics-based battery capacity fade model is developed and incorporated in parallel asset management model to update battery capacity over time. Experiment results have shown that the developed battery asset management methodology can be conveniently used to facilitate BESS asset management decision making thereby decreasing asset lifecycle costs.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Weak-Bonding Elements Lead to High Thermoelectric Performance in BaSnS 3 and SrSnS 3 : A First-Principles Study

SnS2, an earth-abundant and ecofriendly material, is limited as a thermoelectric material because of the high lattice thermal conductivity κ L and low carrier mobility μ. By introducing weak-bonding elements Ba or Sr into the SnS 2 framework, we discovered two SnS 2 -based materials BaSnS3 and SrSnS3 with the calculated low κL values of 0.15 and 0.17 W m -1 K -1 , respectively, along the a-axis. The low group velocity and high lattice anharmonicity originating from the weakened and distorted Sn–S bonding network are found in both systems. Moreover, the vibrations of Ba and Sr induce low-lying optical phonons, which strongly couple with the acoustic phonons and strengthen the phonon scattering rates. Compared to SnS 2 , both compounds present lower single-band effective masses, smaller deformation potential constants, and better band convergence, which enhance μ with an insignificantly reduced effective mass. By solving the linearized Boltzmann transport equation with a nonempirical carrier lifetime, we predict excellent ZT values of 2.89 and 2.77 along the a-axis at 900 K in BaSnS 3 and SrSnS 3 , respectively. Further phase diagram calculations of Ba 1–x Sr x SnS 3 solid solutions propose a new compound, Ba 0.5 Sr 0.5 SnS 3 , with an even higher ZT of 3.0. Our work analyzes explicitly how weak-bonding elements enhance μ and suppress κL simultaneously in SnS 2 -analogous systems with a series of compounds nominated as potential high-performance thermoelectric materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Application of a Chemical Index to Aerosol Mass Spectrometry: Delta Plots and Functional Group Distributions

A better understanding of the chemical properties of organic aerosol (OA) particles will improve our ability to characterize their sources and predict their lifetime. The high-resolution time-of-flight aerosol mass spectrometer (HR-ToF-AMS) is widely used to measure OA in real time using thermal vaporization followed by electron ionization (EI). EI creates fragment ions that can be assigned to functional groups using delta analysis, a method of classifying mass spectra according to the presence of different chemically related ion series. In this study, we demonstrate the application of delta analysis to characterize molecular structures using a new visualization method. We also use delta analysis to quantify the functional group distribution with an average absolute error of ∼5–6% for individual standard molecules, comparable to the error observed for OA mixtures from biomass and coal combustion fit with Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy. Finally, we apply delta functional group analysis to AMS positive matrix factorization (PMF) factors across seven different field campaigns and find a similar composition across the more oxidized factors with about 55% acid and 26% alcohol groups. The analysis method described here can be applied to any HR-ToF-AMS data set to provide quantitative relative functional group distributions for OA mixtures.

aerosol↗

Nonsingular black holes as dark matter

It is commonly assumed that low-mass primordial black holes cannot constitute a significant fraction of the dark matter in our universe due to their predicted short lifetimes from the conventional Hawking radiation and evaporation process. Assuming physical black holes are nonsingular—likely due to quantum gravity or other high-energy physics—we demonstrate that a large class of nonsingular black holes have finite evaporation temperatures. This can lead to slowly evaporating low-mass black holes or to remnant mass states that circumvent traditional evaporation constraints. As a proof of concept, we explore the limiting curvature hypothesis and the evaporation process of a nonsingular black hole solution in two-dimensional dilaton gravity. We identify generic features of the radiation profile and compare them with known regular black holes, such as the Bardeen solution in four dimensions. Remnant masses are proportional to the fundamental length scale, and we argue that slowly evaporating low-mass nonsingular black holes, or remnants, are viable dark matter candidates. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Detailed Design and Cost Estimation of a 300 MWe Oxy-Fuel sCO2 Turbine

The detailed design of a 300 MWe, utility scale oxy-fuel turbine has been completed for purposed operation in the sCO2 direct fired Allam-Fetvedt cycle, targeting near-zero emissions and a 50% LHV system efficiency. The turbine and its supporting plant aim to offer a lower levelized cost of energy than a natural gas combined cycle plant employing carbon capture. The oxy-fuel turbine conditions include an inlet temperature of 1150°C and inlet pressure of 305 bar, representing temperatures near that of a gas turbine simultaneously with pressures near an ultra-supercritical steam turbine. The combustor housing and turbine designs were completed according to the ASME BPVC; the turbine case specifically incorporates a multi-body design with inner high-pressure barrel case and low-pressure (30 bar) horizontally split outer case of low-chromium steel material. Lateral rotordynamic evaluation demonstrated acceptable vibration response for a range of imbalance conditions per API standards. The cooling flow required in the six-stage turbine flowpath for 30,000 hr. blade and stator lifetime is predicted through thermal and structural modeling of the first stage. The provided cost estimate of the turbine is formed through a combination of scaled up-costs from procured 10 MWe scale sCO2 turbomachinery hardware, and vendor provided budgetary quotes of larger components including the turbine case requiring casting, welding, and final machining processes. The performance and cost estimation of the oxy-fuel turbine predicted for the completed detailed design provides important information towards future development needs for market penetration of utility scale direct fired sCO2 power cycles.

Marshall, Michael [Southwest Research Institute, S↗

Post Irradiation Examination of Pressurized Water Reactor Stainless Steel Internal Components

Internal structural components of pressurized water reactors (PWR), such as baffle former bolts, are subjected to significant neutron irradiation and mechanical stresses at elevated temperatures during plant operation. Over the long operation of the power plant, these conditions lead to potential degradation and reduced load-carrying capacity of these bolts. To understand property degradation more fully, to confirm the results of experimental irradiation programs, and to predict operational lifetime performance of structural materials in internal components, post irradiation examination of harvested materials from operating nuclear reactors is required. In this work, two high fluence 316 stainless steel baffle former bolts were retrieved from a commercial Westinghouse two-loop downflow type PWR and then sectioned for analysis via mechanical testing and microstructural characterization. The irradiation damage fluctuated along the bolt length with damage levels from 15 to 41 displacements per atom with the bolt head receiving approximately twice the neutron damage levels as that of the bolt thread section. Mechanical testing evaluations showed extensive irradiation hardening and a sharp decrease in fracture toughness in all parts of the bolt, though with limited variation along the bolt length. Microstructural characterization using analytical scanning transmission electron microscopy and atom probe tomography showed significant radiation induced precipitation, segregation, and dislocation loop and cavity formation. However, unlike the mechanical behavior, there was considerable variation along the bolt length but opposite of what may be expected, with more precipitation and cavity formation in the bolt thread where the neutron radiation dose is less than in the bolt head where the neutron radiation dose is higher. The cause of this variation is likely due to gradients in temperature, neutron energy spectra, and gamma irradiation.

Lach, Tim↗

Accelerated aging of all-inorganic, interface-stabilized perovskite solar cells

To understand degradation routes and improve the stability of perovskite solar cells (PSCs), accelerated aging tests are needed. Here, we use elevated temperatures (up to 110°C) to quantify the accelerated degradation of encapsulated CsPbI 3 PSCs under constant illumination. Incorporating a two-dimensional (2D) Cs 2 PbI 2 Cl 2 capping layer between the perovskite active layer and hole-transport layer stabilizes the interface while increasing power conversion efficiency of the all-inorganic PSCs from 14.9 to 17.4%. Devices with this 2D capping layer did not degrade at 35°C and required >2100 hours at 110°C under constant illumination to degrade by 20% of their initial efficiency. Degradation acceleration factors based on the observed Arrhenius temperature dependence predict intrinsic lifetimes of 51,000 ± 7000 hours (>5 years) operating continuously at 35°C.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Final Report

This project focused on investigating the prospects of two-dimensional (2D) materials, transition metal dichalcogenides (TMDs) and graphene, for developing nanostructures that are potentially useful for quantum science. These materials class exhibit a range of fascinating electronic and optical properties and, due to their sub-nanometer thickness, are particularly well suited for confining electronic quantum states in atomic-size structures. The project involved developing first-principles calculations that can predict coherent lifetimes of defects; theoretical schemes for identifying new platforms suitable for studying the dynamics of driven quantum systems; and optical and electronic spectroscopy characterization of novel defects and heterostructures with the aim of creating the next generation of materials for quantum science. This report provides a brief background into the project, highlights some of the major achievements accomplished within the projects and lists the supported publications.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗