Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “linear model”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Compound Drought and Heatwaves at a Global Scale: The Role of Natural Climate Variability-Associated Synoptic Patterns and Land-Surface Energy Budget Anomalies

Compound drought and heatwave (CDHW) events have garnered much attention in recent studies. However, thus far, the identification of such events is oversimplified, and their association with natural climate variability is not fully explored. Here, we derive anomalies in the weekly self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (sc_PDSI) and daily maximum temperatures to identify CDHW events from 1982 to 2016 over 26 climate regions across the globe. Using a Poisson Generalized Linear Model (GLM), we analyze yearly occurrences of seasonal CDHW events and their association with the warm and cold phases of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). ENSO exhibits robust association with CDHW events over the Southern Hemisphere during the austral summer and fall, while PDO influences their occurrences over the Western North America in the Northern Hemisphere during the boreal summer, which is supported by the composites of anomalies in the atmospheric circulations and surface energy budget. However, NAO association with CDHW events is relatively weak. The CDHW occurrence over other regions is driven by a combination of these large-scale natural forcing. Our analyses also highlight that the cooccurrence of weekly to submonthly scale anomalies in the observed temperature and precipitation may not be always aligned between the observations and the reanalysis. Therefore, caution must be exercised while explaining such observed anomalies on the basis of reanalysis-based circulations and surface energy budget. Lastly, our analyses provide a new insight towards concurrent extremes and should help foster research efforts in this area.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Linking Hydrology and Dissolved Organic Matter Characteristics in a Subtropical Wetland: A Long-Term Study of the Florida Everglades

Dissolved organic matter (DOM) acts as an important biogeochemical component of aquatic ecosystems that controls nutrient cycling, influences water quality, and links terrestrial and oceanic carbon pools, yet long-term studies of how changing environmental drivers alter its abundance and composition are rare. Using a ten-year, spatially explicit dataset from Everglades National Park (ENP), a globally significant wetland, we investigated the relationships between DOM quality/quantity and hydrologic/climatic drivers along two contrasting marsh-estuarine transects based on generalized linear modeling and a cumulative sums analysis. Analyses revealed distinct spatial, seasonal, and interannual patterns in variability of DOC and optical properties. Landscape-scale seasonal patterns showed an enrichment in microbial-like and protein-like DOM during the dry season relative to the wet season. We found that, while some compositional constituents varied with the solar calendar, responsive to temperature and photoperiod, others varied with the hydrologic calendar. Independent water level and discharge effects indicated strong hydrologic control on DOM quality that differed between the two transects, evidencing differences in their connectivity to areas of high agricultural activity. Across all sites, a significant long-term increasing trend in the fluorescence index was observed, associated with a positive correlation with precipitation and also potential changes in agricultural inputs, with other features associated with drought and hurricanes. Lastly, the cumulative sums analysis revealed differences between the two transects in the sensitivity of DOM composition to decreased water levels associated with 30-year climate scenarios, with the less hydrologically dynamic transect exhibiting greater potential sensitivity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Forest Carbon Storage in the Western United States: Distribution, Drivers, and Trends

Abstract Forests are a large carbon sink and could serve as natural climate solutions that help moderate future warming. Thus, establishing forest carbon baselines is essential for tracking climate‐mitigation targets. Western US forests are natural climate solution hotspots but are profoundly threatened by drought and altered disturbance regimes. How these factors shape spatial patterns of carbon storage and carbon change over time is poorly resolved. Here, we estimate live and dead forest carbon density in 19 forested western US ecoregions with national inventory data (2005–2019) to determine: (a) current carbon distributions, (b) underpinning drivers, and (c) recent trends. Potential drivers of current carbon included harvest, wildfire, insect and disease, topography, and climate. Using random forests, we evaluated driver importance and relationships with current live and dead carbon within ecoregions. We assessed trends using linear models. Pacific Northwest (PNW) and Southwest (SW) ecoregions were most and least carbon dense, respectively. Climate was an important carbon driver in the SW and Lower Rockies. Fire reduced live and increased dead carbon, and was most important in the Upper Rockies and California. No ecoregion was unaffected by fire. Harvest and private ownership reduced carbon, particularly in the PNW. Since 2005, live carbon declined across much of the western US, likely from drought and fire. Carbon has increased in PNW ecoregions, likely recovering from past harvest, but recent record fire years may alter trajectories. Our results provide insight into western US forest carbon function and future vulnerabilities, which is vital for effective climate change mitigation strategies.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗
DOE OSTI2025

Recent Widespread Deceleration of Global Surface Urban Heat Islands Unveiled by Satellites

Tracking the temporal dynamics of urban heat island (UHI) is critical for urban heat adaptation and mitigation strategies. However, whether UHI trends have shifted recently and their underlying drivers remain unknown. Here we investigate the variabilities in surface UHI trends and their associated determinants in 2,104 cities worldwide from 2000 to 2022. Our findings reveal that approximately half of the world's cities have experienced notable shifts in surface UHI trends, predominantly characterized by UHI deceleration. These shifts can be primarily attributed to alterations in vegetation trends during the day and to modifications in surface albedo and local warming trends at night. Our study challenges the conventional linear models commonly employed to estimate surface UHI trends, suggesting potential biases in such estimates. Our findings underscore the need for nuanced policies to curtail UHI growth by considering changes in urban underlying surfaces and background climate, particularly from a nonlinear perspective.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Environmental Controls on Water Vapor Deuterium Excess in the Coastal Boundary Layer: An Information Theory Perspective

We use information theory to quantify the environmental controls on water vapor deuterium excess (D-excess) in coastal Southern California from June 2023 through February 2024. Using Shannon entropy, mutual information (MI), and joint mutual information, metrics that capture both linear and nonlinear relationships, we identify the most informative variables and variable combinations governing D-excess across contrasting marine and continental regimes. Relative humidity with respect to sea surface temperature (RHS) is consistently the strongest individual predictor, explaining up to 27% of D-excess variability during marine conditions but only 10% in continental air masses. The Relative humidity(RHS) + sea surface temperature (SST) combination demonstrates synergistic effects, where their joint influence (explaining up to 36% of D-excess variability) exceeds what either variable achieves individually, confirming their coupled influence on deuterium excess. Wind direction complements RHS most effectively during continental conditions. The best three-variable combination (RHS + SST + Planetary Boundary Layer height) explains 38% of D-excess variability in marine air, while no combination exceeds 20% explanatory power during continental periods. Information theory shows that heteroscedasticity in D-excess relationships indicates regime shifts in controlling processes and quantifies fundamental constraints on predictor variables: some environmental factors like surface pressure or water vapor flux contain insufficient information content to explain D-excess variability regardless of their physical relevance. These results highlight the different predictability limits between marine and continental regimes, challenging the adequacy of linear models and providing a rigorous framework for quantifying the information content of isotope-climate relationships with implications for both modern and paleoclimate applications.

information theory↗
DOE OSTI2022

High-throughput platform for yeast morphological profiling predicts the targets of bioactive compounds

Abstract Morphological profiling is an omics-based approach for predicting intracellular targets of chemical compounds in which the dose-dependent morphological changes induced by the compound are systematically compared to the morphological changes in gene-deleted cells. In this study, we developed a reliable high-throughput (HT) platform for yeast morphological profiling using drug-hypersensitive strains to minimize compound use, HT microscopy to speed up data generation and analysis, and a generalized linear model to predict targets with high reliability. We first conducted a proof-of-concept study using six compounds with known targets: bortezomib, hydroxyurea, methyl methanesulfonate, benomyl, tunicamycin, and echinocandin B. Then we applied our platform to predict the mechanism of action of a novel diferulate-derived compound, poacidiene. Morphological profiling of poacidiene implied that it affects the DNA damage response, which genetic analysis confirmed. Furthermore, we found that poacidiene inhibits the growth of phytopathogenic fungi, implying applications as an effective antifungal agent. Thus, our platform is a new whole-cell target prediction tool for drug discovery.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

QUBO formulations for training machine learning models

Abstract Training machine learning models on classical computers is usually a time and compute intensive process. With Moore’s law nearing its inevitable end and an ever-increasing demand for large-scale data analysis using machine learning, we must leverage non-conventional computing paradigms like quantum computing to train machine learning models efficiently. Adiabatic quantum computers can approximately solve NP-hard problems, such as the quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO), faster than classical computers. Since many machine learning problems are also NP-hard, we believe adiabatic quantum computers might be instrumental in training machine learning models efficiently in the post Moore’s law era. In order to solve problems on adiabatic quantum computers, they must be formulated as QUBO problems, which is very challenging. In this paper, we formulate the training problems of three machine learning models—linear regression, support vector machine (SVM) and balanced k-means clustering—as QUBO problems, making them conducive to be trained on adiabatic quantum computers. We also analyze the computational complexities of our formulations and compare them to corresponding state-of-the-art classical approaches. We show that the time and space complexities of our formulations are better (in case of SVM and balanced k-means clustering) or equivalent (in case of linear regression) to their classical counterparts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Absolute colors and phase coefficients of asteroids

Context: We use the phase curves of small bodies to measure absolute magnitudes and, together with complementary theoretical and laboratory results, to understand the micro- and macroscopic properties of their surfaces. Although we can observe asteroids up to phase angles of about 30 deg, the range of phase angles covered by outer Solar System objects usually does not go further than 7-10 deg for centaurs and 2 deg for trans-Neptunian objects, and a linear relation between magnitude and phase angle may be assumed. Aims: We aim to directly compare data taken for objects in the inner Solar System (inside the orbit of Jupiter) with data for centaurs and trans-Neptunian objects. Methods: We use the SLOAN Moving Objects Catalog (MOC) data to construct phase curves restricted to phase angles of less than or equal to 7.5 deg, which is compatible with the angles observed for the trans-Neptunian and Centaur population. We assume a linear model for the photometric behavior to obtain absolute magnitudes and phase coefficients in the ugirz, V, and R filters. Results: We obtain absolute magnitudes in seven filters for over 4000 objects. Our comparison with outer Solar System objects suggests the surfaces have a common property: intrinsically redder objects become blue with increasing phase angle, while the opposite happens for intrinsically bluer objects.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Instability of an electron-plasma shear layer in an externally imposed strain flow

The E x B shear instability of a two-dimensional (2D) filament (i.e., a thin, rectangular strip perpendicular to the magnetic field) of magnetized pure electron plasma is investigated experimentally in the presence of an externally imposed strain flow. Data are acquired using a specialized Penning–Malmberg trap in which strain flows can be applied in 2D by biasing segmented electrodes surrounding the plasma. The E x B drift dynamics are well-described by the Drift-Poisson equations, which are isomorphic to the 2D Euler equations describing ideal fluids. Thus, the experimental results correspond to the Rayleigh instability of a shear layer in a 2D ideal fluid, where the electron density is analogous to the fluid vorticity. Shear layers are prepared by stretching initially axisymmetric electron vortices using a strong, applied strain flow. The data at early times are in quantitative agreement with a linear model which extends Rayleigh’s work to account for the influence of an external strain flow. In the presence of weak strain, the system approximately maintains a phase relationship that corresponds to an instantaneous Rayleigh eigenmode. The instability develops into the nonlinear regime later in time and at smaller spatial scales as the strain rate is increased. A secondary vortex pairing instability is observed, but it is suppressed when the strain-to-vorticity ratio exceeds roughly 0.025. In this way, vorticity transport perpendicular to the filament is diminished due to the applied strain.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

On applications of quantum computing to plasma simulations

Quantum computing is gaining increased attention as a potential way to speed up simulations of physical systems, and it is also of interest to apply it to simulations of classical plasmas. However, quantum information science is traditionally aimed at modeling linear Hamiltonian systems of a particular form that is found in quantum mechanics, so extending the existing results to plasma applications remains a challenge. Here, we report a preliminary exploration of the long-term opportunities and likely obstacles in this area. First, we show that many plasma-wave problems are naturally representable in a quantumlike form and thus are naturally fit for quantum computers. Second, we consider more general plasma problems that include non-Hermitian dynamics (instabilities, irreversible dissipation) and nonlinearities. We show that by extending the configuration space, such systems can also be represented in a quantumlike form and thus can be simulated with quantum computers too, albeit that requires more computational resources compared to the first case. Third, we outline potential applications of hybrid quantum–classical computers, which include analysis of global eigenmodes and also an alternative approach to nonlinear simulations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Verification of a fully kinetic ion model for electromagnetic simulations of high-frequency waves in toroidal geometry

For the research of high-frequency electromagnetic waves in tokamaks, an electromagnetic simulation model, in which the ion dynamics is described by a six-dimensional Vlasov equation and the electron dynamics is described by a drift kinetic equation, is formulated and implemented in the global gyrokinetic toroidal code (GTC). Analytic dispersion relations are derived in reduced systems and compared with various theories to verify the model. Linear simulations of a generalized ion Bernstein wave and ion cyclotron emission are verified by comparing the GTC simulation results with analytic dispersion relation theory and magnetoacoustic cyclotron instability theory, respectively, in cylindrical geometry.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Determining spectral response of the National Ignition Facility particle time of flight diagnostic to x rays

The Particle Time of Flight (PTOF) diagnostic is a chemical vapor deposition diamond detector used for measuring multiple nuclear bang times at the National Ignition Facility. Due to the non-trivial, polycrystalline structure of these detectors, individual characterization and measurement are required to interrogate the sensitivity and behavior of charge carriers. In this paper, a process is developed for determining the x-ray sensitivity of PTOF detectors and relating it to the intrinsic properties of the detector. We demonstrate that the diamond sample measured has a significant non-homogeneity in its properties, with the charge collection well described by a linear model ax + b, where a = 0.63 ± 0.16 V –1 mm –1 and b = 0.00 ± 0.04 V –1 . Finally, we also use this method to confirm an electron to hole mobility ratio of 1.5 ± 1.0 and an effective bandgap of 1.8 eV rather than the theoretical 5.5 eV, leading to a large sensitivity increase.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Overview of the Langmuir probe system on the Mega Ampere Spherical Tokamak (MAST) Upgrade

A detailed description of the Langmuir probe system on Mega Ampere Spherical Tokamak Upgrade is presented. The system features 850 tile-embedded probes and 40 bespoke electronic modules that each have the capability to drive and acquire data from up to 16 probes in a time-multiplexed manner. The system provides spatiotemporal-resolved measurements (1 cm and ~1 ms, respectively) in the divertor region of ion saturation current, electron temperature, and floating potential. The standard interpretation of current-voltage (IV) characteristics is to apply a four-parameter fit, based on unmagnetized probe theory, which includes a linear model for the ion saturation region. In conclusion, to mitigate the effect of the magnetic field, analysis is restricted to the region of the IV characteristic, which is sensitive to only the tail of the electron energy distribution function.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Nonlinear mode coupling and energetics of driven magnetized shear-flow turbulence

To comprehensively understand the saturation of two-dimensional (2D) magnetized Kelvin–Helmholtz-instability-driven turbulence, energy transfer analysis is extended from the traditional interaction between scales to include eigenmode interactions, by using the nonlinear couplings of linear eigenmodes of the ideal instability. While both kinetic and magnetic energies cascade to small scales, a significant fraction of turbulent energy deposited by unstable modes in the fluctuation spectrum is shown to be re-routed to the conjugate-stable modes at the instability scale. They remove energy from the forward cascade at its inception. The remaining cascading energy flux is shown to attenuate exponentially at a small scale, dictated by the large-scale stable modes. Guided by a widely used instability-saturation assumption, a general quasi-linear model of instability is tested by retaining all nonlinear interactions except those that couple to the large-scale stable modes. These complex interactions are analytically removed from the magnetohydrodynamic equations using a novel technique. Observations are an explosive large-scale vortex separation instead of the well-known merger of 2D, a dramatic enhancement in turbulence level and spectral energy fluxes, and a reduced small-scale dissipation length scale. These show the critical role of the stable modes in instability saturation. Possible reduced-order turbulence models are proposed for fusion and astrophysical plasmas, based on eigenmode-expanded energy transfer analyses.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2024

Second harmonic generation for estimating state of charge of lithium-ion batteries

This study applied the nonlinear ultrasonic method, second harmonic generation, to precisely estimate the state of charge (SoC) in lithium-ion batteries. The second harmonic of the longitudinal wave is generated on a pouch cell battery at 5 MHz with a through-transmission setup. The relative nonlinear parameter β' is determined by analyzing the amplitudes at the fundamental and second harmonic frequencies. To enhance the nonlinear parameter's measurement accuracy, multiple excitation amplitudes are employed. Two separate charge/discharge tests (four-cycle and eight-cycle) are conducted on the battery at a rate of C/10. The nonlinear parameter is measured periodically during the charge/discharge process, and temperature compensation is applied to the measurement. The correlation curves between the nonlinear parameter and the actual SoC align well for the four-cycle and eight-cycle tests, and a robust linear relationship is observed for both correlation curves. A linear model and a second-order polynomial model are applied to fit the correlation using all data points from both tests. The two models are employed to validate the SoC prediction on a second battery by using a four-cycle test. Furthermore, the results indicate that both models can predict the SoC with an accuracy of approximately 3%, whereas the polynomial model demonstrates smaller errors in the regions near 0% and 100% SoC. Therefore, the nonlinear parameter β', measured through the second harmonic generation, can effectively predict lithium-ion battery SoC with an accuracy of less than 3%.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effects beyond ideal MHD on stability of wide and enhanced pedestal regimes in NSTX

Stability of edge-localized modes (ELMs) in spherical tokamaks is explored using the extended MHD model. Linear NIMROD simulations have been performed for three NSTX discharges 132543, 132588, and 141133, to investigate the role of resistivity, diffusivity, and shear flows on the onset of ELMs. The first discharge represents the wide pedestal regime and the later two discharges represent ELM-free enhanced pedestal H-mode. We first present the effect of toroidal rotation shear and find a flow shear destabilizing effect in these NSTX discharges. Simulations are also extended to include the two-fluid and ion gyroviscosity effects. Simulations show that the flow shear can shift the mode spectrum and alter the critical condition of ELM onset. We also uncover that ELM onset prediction in spherical tokamaks requires effects beyond MHD, in particular gyroviscosity and diamagnetic terms could stabilize Peeling-Ballooning modes consistent with the experimental observation of ELM-free regimes in NSTX. The findings give new insight into the nature of the interplay between resistivity, flows, and diamagnetic stabilization in ELM suppression and have potential applications to ELM control schemes in NSTX-U and next-generation spherical tokamaks. This study identifies the essential physical effects that must be included in future predictive and validation simulations.

NSTX↗
DOE OSTI2024

Successful prediction of tokamak transport in the L-mode regime

A long standing shortfall in the predicted L-mode edge energy transport by reduced quasi-linear models of gyrokinetic turbulent transport has been resolved. The improved model TGLF-SAT2 has higher fidelity to gyrokinetic simulations of the electron-scale contribution to the electron energy transport and the ion-scale flux surface shape dependence of energy transport. The success of TGLF-SAT2 in predicting the L-mode and Ohmic edge profiles is critical to whole pulse simulation and opens the door to prediction of the H-mode power threshold.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Demonstration of tokamak vertical stability control based on non-inductive Faraday-effect polarimetry measurements

Long-pulse or steady-state fusion reactors are envisioned to control vertical stability based on non-inductive measurements, i.e. that do not rely on temporal change of magnetic field. For the first time, vertical stability control using non-inductive Faraday-effect polarimetry measurements has been demonstrated. The Radial Interferometer-Polarimeter system on DIII-D is capable of microsecond resolution and was used to absolutely determine the vertical position of the plasma magnetic axis Z 0 . A vertical stability controller was developed to robustly stabilize diverted plasmas using Faraday-based measurements. The system was able to stabilize against vertical displacement events with growth rates up to 350 s -1 in elongated and elliptical plasma shapes, and instabilities with even higher growth rates are likely to be controllable with further improvements to controller tuning. Tests show that the Faraday-based controller remains effective and is capable of recovering from loss of control even when the plasma vertical position is far from the region where the linear model used to calculate Z 0 is most valid. Faraday control has also been activated during plasma ramp-up, demonstrating the robustness of the technique to larger systematic diagnostic uncertainty at low electron density.

Faraday-effect polarimetry↗