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NASA NTRS2006

The Heliosphere Through the Solar Activity Cycle

Understanding how the Sun changes though its 11-year sunspot cycle and how these changes affect the vast space around the Sun the heliosphere has been one of the principal objectives of space research since the advent of the space age. This book presents the evolution of the heliosphere through an entire solar activity cycle. The last solar cycle (cycle 23) has been the best observed from both the Earth and from a fleet of spacecraft. Of these, the joint ESA-NASA Ulysses probe has provided continuous observations of the state of the heliosphere since 1990 from a unique vantage point, that of a nearly polar orbit around the Sun. Ulysses results affect our understanding of the heliosphere from the interior of the Sun to the interstellar medium - beyond the outer boundary of the heliosphere. Written by scientists closely associated with the Ulysses mission, the book describes and explains the many different aspects of changes in the heliosphere in response to solar activity. In particular, the authors describe the rise in solar ESA and NASA have now unamiously agreed a third extension to operate the highly successful Ulysses spacecraft until March 2008 and, in 2007 and 2008, the European-built space probe will fly over the poles of the Sun for a third time. This will enable Ulysses to add an important chapter to its survey of the high-latitude heliosphere and this additional material would be included in a 2nd edition of this book.

Balogh, A.↗
NASA NTRS2008

Systematic Independent Validation of Inner Heliospheric Models

This presentation is the first in a series which will provide independent validation of community models of the outer corona and inner heliosphere. In this work we establish a set of measures to be used in validating this group of models. We use these procedures to generate a comprehensive set of results from the Wang- Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model which will be used as a baseline, or reference, against which to compare all other models. We also run a test of the validation procedures by applying them to a small set of results produced by the ENLIL Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) model. In future presentations we will validate other models currently hosted by the Community Coordinated Modeling Center(CCMC), including a comprehensive validation of the ENLIL model. The Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model is widely used to model the Solar wind, and is used by a number of agencies to predict Solar wind conditions at Earth as much as four days into the future. Because it is so important to both the research and space weather forecasting communities, it is essential that its performance be measured systematically, and independently. In this paper we offer just such an independent and systematic validation. We report skill scores for the model's predictions of wind speed and IMF polarity for a large set of Carrington rotations. The model was run in all its routinely used configurations. It ingests line of sight magnetograms. For this study we generated model results for monthly magnetograms from the National Solar Observatory (SOLIS), Mount Wilson Observatory and the GONG network, spanning the Carrington rotation range from 1650 to 2068. We compare the influence of the different magnetogram sources, performance at quiet and active times, and estimate the effect of different empirical wind speed tunings. We also consider the ability of the WSA model to identify sharp transitions in wind speed from slow to fast wind. These results will serve as a baseline against which to compare future versions of the model

MacNeice, P. J.↗
NASA NTRS2008

Impact of Universal Plasma and Energetic Particle Processes on Icy Bodies of the Kuiper Belt and the Oort Cloud

Modeling of space plasma and energetic particle interactions with icy bodies of the outer solar system is simplified when there is commonality of the underlying source, acceleration, and transport processes in spatially distinct regions from the supersonic heliosphere through the heliosheath into the local interstellar medium (LISM). Current trends in the Voyager heliosheath measurements suggest strong commonality to processes in the LISM. The Fisk-Gloeckler "universal" spectrum at suprathermal energies apparently plays a strong role in coupling the plasma and high energy particle regimes in the spatial and energetic transitions from the outer heliosphere to the LISM. Dominant processes in consecutive energy regimes project to varying effects versus irradiation depth on exposed upper surfaces of airless small icy bodies and to upper atmospheres of larger bodies such as Titan and Pluto. Relative absence of the universal suprathermal spectrum in the mid-heliospheric region of the classical Kuiper Belt may profoundly affect surface color diversity of icy bodies in this region.

Cooper, John F.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Heliospheric 2-3 kHz radio emissions and their relationship to large Forbush decreases

Two intense heliospheric 2-3 kHz radio emission events have been observed by Voyagers 1 and 2, the first in 1983-84 and the second in 1992-93. These radio emission events occurred about 400 days after large Forbush decreases in mid-1982 and mid-1991. Since Forbush decreases are indicative of a strong interplanetary shock propagating outward through the heliosphere, this temporal relationship provides strong evidence that the radio emissions are triggered by the interaction of a shock with one of the outer boundaries of the heliosphere. From the travel time and the known speed of the shock, the distance to the interaction region can be estimated and is well beyond 100 AU. At this great distance the plasma frequency at the terminal shock (100 to 200 Hz) is believed to be too small to explain the observed emission frequencies, which extend up to 3.6 kHz. For this reason, we have proposed that the interaction takes place at or near the heliopause, where remote sensing measurements show that the plasma frequency is in a suitable range (approximately 3 kHz) for explaining the radio emission. From the travel time and shock propagation speed, the radial distance to the heliopause has been calculated for various candidate solar events. After taking into account the likely deceleration of the shock, the heliopause is estimated to be in the range from about 110 to 160 AU.

Gurnett, D. A.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Time-dependent modulation of galactic cosmic rays by merged interaction regions

Models that solve the one-dimensional, solar modulation equation have reproduced the 11-year galactic cosmic ray using functional representations of global merged interaction regions (MIRs). This study extends those results to the solution of the modulation equation with explicit time dependence. The magnetometers on Voyagers 1 and 2 provide local magnetic field intensities at regular intervals, from which one calculates the ratio of the field intensity to the average local field. These ratios in turn are inverted to form diffusion coefficients. Strung together in radius and time, these coefficents then fall and rise with the strength of the interplanetary magnetic field, becoming representations of MIRs. These diffusion coefficients, calculated locally, propagate unchanged from approx. 10 AU to the outer boundary (120 AU). Inside 10 AU, all parameters, including the diffusion coefficient are assumed constant in time and space. The model reproduces the time-intensity profiles of Voyager 2 and Pioneer 10. Radial gradient data from 1982-1990 between Pioneer 10 and Voyager 2 are about the same magnitude as those calculated in the model. It is also shows agreement in rough magnitude with the radial gradient between Pioneer 10 and 1 AU. When coupled with enhanced, time-dependent solar wind speed at the probe's high latitude, as measured by independent observers, the model also follows Voyager 1's time-intensity profile reasonably well, providing a natural source the model also follows Voyager 1's time-intensity profile reasonably well, providing a natural source for the observed negative latitudinal gradients. The model exhibits the 11-year cyclical cosmic ray intensity behavior at all radii, including 1 AU, not just at the location of the spacecraft where the magnetic fields are measured. In addition, the model's point of cosmic ray maximum correctly travels at the solar wind speed, illustrating the well-known propagation of modulation. Finally, at least in the inner heliosphere this model accounts for the delay experienced by lower-rigidity protons in reaching their time-intensity peak. The actual delays in this model, however, are somewhat smaller than the data. In the outer heliosphere the models sees no delays, and the data are ambiguous as to their existence. It appears that strong magnetic field compression regions (merged interaction regions) that are 3-4 times the average field strength can, at least in a helioequatorial band, disrupt effects, such as drifts, that could dominate in quieter magnetic fields. The question remains: Is the heliosphere ever quiet enough to allow such effects to be unambiguously measured, at least in the midlatitudes?

Perko, J. S.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Recent observations and analyses of heliospheric 2-3 kHz radio emissions

Since the discovery of the 2-3 kHz heliospheric radio emissions in the Voyager data over twelve years ago, there have been two major events, the first in 1983-84 and the second in 1992-93, as well as several minor events. Strong evidence now exists that these radio emissions are generated by interactions that take place in the outer regions of the heliosphere, most likely in response to strong interplanetary shocks and associated disturbances propagating outward from the Sun. Just where these interactions take place is still a subject of controversy. The three main possibilities are at or near the termination shock, between the termination shock and the heliopause and at or near the heliopause. In this paper we will review the present state of knowledge concerning the 2-3 kHz radio emissions, including the most recent data from Voyagers 1 and 2. These observations will then be compared to models that have been proposed to explain the origin of the radio emissions. Depending on the model, various estimates can be made concerning the plasma densities in the region where the radio emission is produced, and the distance to the source. The constraints provided by these models on the size and structure of the heliosphere are discussed.

Gurnett, D. A.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Space Science for the 21st Century. Strategic Plan for 1995-2000

This publication is one of three volumes in 'Space Science for the 21st Century', the Office of Space Science Strategic plan for 1995-2000. The other two volumes are the recently released Integrated Technology Strategy and the Education Plan, which is in preparation at this publication date. The Science Plan was developed by the Office of Space Science (OSS) in partnership with the Space Science Advisory Committee. The mission of the OSS is to seek answers to fundamental questions about: the galaxy and the universe; the connection between the Sun, Earth, and Heliosphere; the origin and evolution of planetary systems; and the origin and distribution of life in the universe. The strategy to answer these questions includes completing the means to survey the universe across the entire electromagnetic spectrum; completing the survey of cosmic rays through their highest energies, and of interstellar gas; carrying out a basic new test of the Theory of General Relativity; completing development of the means to understand the mechanisms of solar variability and its effects on Earth; completing the first exploration of the inner and outer frontiers of the heliosphere; determining the plasma environments of the solar system planets and how those environments are affected by solar activity; completing development of the means to finish the reconnaissance of the entire solar system from the Sun to Pluto; beginning the comprehensive search for other planets around other stars; resuming surface exploration of solar system bodies to understand the origin and evolution of the Sun's planetary system; continuing the study of biogenic compounds and their evolution in the universe; and searching for indicators of past and present conditions conducive to life.

Source record↗
NASA NTRS1981

Effects of particle drift on the transport of cosmic rays. IV - More realistic diffusion coefficients

Results from numerical simulations of cosmic-ray modulations by the solar wind are presented which show that the scattering mean free path should be larger than the particle gyroradius in the average magnetic field. It is found that the difference between drift and no-drift solutions is not as great as in previous simulations, which violated the mean free path constraint stated. Profound effects are still noted for the drifts, which determine the origin of the bulk of the cosmic rays seen at any given time in the inner solar system. Accordingly, during the 1975 solar minimum, the positively charged cosmic rays seen in the inner solar system came primarily from the outer boundary near the heliospheric poles while negative particles came from the equatorial regions of the boundary.

Jokipii, J. R.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Solar-terrestrial research opportunities - A look to the future

Recent and proposed research programs and their impact on the understanding of solar-terrestrial interactions, the processes driving solar activity, and the propagation of the solar wind are outlined. The magnetospheres of the earth and major planets have been mapped and their interactions with the solar wind modeled. MHD activity has been identified as the driving force for stellar surface activity, and Pioneer data are permitting a mapping of the outer areas of the heliosphere. Further studies are required to understand solar magnetic field-earth magnetosphere, ionosphere-atmosphere interactions, the effects of solar heating on earth atmosphere ozone levels, and the effects of solar transient events on the earth atmosphere. The initiation of an International Geosphere-Biosphere Program is now under study and several satellites for solar-terrestrial research are under development as cooperative efforts among the U.S., Japanese, and European agencies.

Intriligator, D. S.↗
NASA NTRS2009

Validation of Community Models: 2. Development of a Baseline, Using the Wang-Sheeley-Arge Model

This paper is the second in a series providing independent validation of community models of the outer corona and inner heliosphere. Here I present a comprehensive validation of the Wang-Sheeley-Arge (WSA) model. These results will serve as a baseline against which to compare the next generation of comparable forecasting models. The WSA model is used by a number of agencies to predict Solar wind conditions at Earth up to 4 days into the future. Given its importance to both the research and forecasting communities, it is essential that its performance be measured systematically and independently. I offer just such an independent and systematic validation. I report skill scores for the model's predictions of wind speed and interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) polarity for a large set of Carrington rotations. The model was run in all its routinely used configurations. It ingests synoptic line of sight magnetograms. For this study I generated model results for monthly magnetograms from multiple observatories, spanning the Carrington rotation range from 1650 to 2074. I compare the influence of the different magnetogram sources and performance at quiet and active times. I also consider the ability of the WSA model to forecast both sharp transitions in wind speed from slow to fast wind and reversals in the polarity of the radial component of the IMF. These results will serve as a baseline against which to compare future versions of the model as well as the current and future generation of magnetohydrodynamic models under development for forecasting use.

MacNeice, Peter↗
NASA NTRS1986

Differential measurement and model calculations of cosmic ray latitudinal gradient with respect to the heliospheric current sheet

Simultaneous magnetic field and charged particle measurements from the Voyager spacecraft with heliographic latitude separations of more than 10 deg are used to investigate the distribution of about 1-GeV galactic cosmic ray protons with respect to the heliospheric current sheet in the outer solar system. By comparing the ratio of cosmic ray flux at Voyager 1 to that at Voyager 2 during periods of relatively quiet interplanetary conditions when the spacecraft are either both north or both south of the heliospheric current sheet, an average latitude component of the gradient of the cosmic ray flux on opposite sides of the current sheet is derived under restricted interplanetary conditions of -0.22 + or - 0.03 pct/deg, equivalent to a decrease of about 1 percent/AU away from the current sheet at about 12 AU. The results for these limited periods are in qualitative agreement with propagation models incorporating particle drifts.

Christon, S. P.↗
NASA NTRS1993

Future operations of Pioneer 10 and 11

The Pioneers 10 and 11 spacecraft were launched on 2 March 1972 and 5 April 1973 and are now 53 and 35 AU from the sun. Pioneer 10 is now the most distant man-made object in our solar system and the in situ measurements of the gas and dust surrounding the sun have been obtained for almost two solar sunspot cycles. Plasma analyzer measurements out to 50 AU show that the mean velocity is about 430 km/sec, the mean density decreases as R exp -2, and that the terminal shock has not been encountered. The magnetic field is drawn out to form Archimedean spirals in the ecliptic place and dipolelike asymmetry in the polar directions as predicted by the Parker model. Galactic cosmic ray measurements of the intensity and radial gradient indicate a 'modulation boundary' between 70 to 100 AU from the sun. All measurements to date indicate that both spacecraft are within the heliosphere and proceeding toward the outer boundary where the modulating effect of solar activity on cosmic ray intensity ceases.

Dyal, P.↗
NASA NTRS2010

Suprathermal Ion Pressure in the Local Interstellar Medium

The first published results from IBEX and Cassini, and the earlier termination shock crossings by the Voyagers, are strongly suggestive of geometric relation of the local interstellar magnetic field to the outer boundary region of the heliosphere. The inferred pressure of the magnetic field is not, however, high enough to balance the heliosheath particle pressure computed from the IBEX and Cassini measurements. Since the interstellar ram pressure is also relatively low, and higher energy Ge V cosmic ray ions are not trapped on the local interstellar field lines, the pressure balance at the heliopause is more likely dominated by suprathermal keV-MeV particles on both sides. This should not be surprising in view of the long history of early work by Parker and others on cosmic ray particle pressure in interstellar space but with the new insight that the dominant contribution may be at suprathermal keV-MeV energies. Supporting pressure calculations are reviewed for a model interstellar proton spectrum from earlier work of Cooper et al. (2003, 2006, 2008).

Cooper, John F.↗
NASA NTRS2019

High-fidelity Imaging of the Inner AU Mic Debris Disk: Evidence of Differential Wind Sculpting?

We present new high-fidelity optical coronagraphic imagery of the inner ∼50 au of AU Mic's edge-on debris disk using the BAR5 occulter of the Hubble Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph (HST/STIS) obtained on 2018 July 26–27. This new imagery reveals that "feature A," residing at a projected stellocentric separation of 14.2 au on the southeast side of the disk, exhibits an apparent "loop-like" morphology at the time of our observations. The loop has a projected width of 1.5 au and rises 2.3 au above the disk midplane. We also explored Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite photometric observations of AU Mic that are consistent with evidence of two starspot complexes in the system. The likely co-alignment of the stellar and disk rotational axes breaks degeneracies in detailed spot modeling, indicating that AU Mic's projected magnetic field axis is offset from its rotational axis. We speculate that small grains in AU Mic's disk could be sculpted by a time-dependent wind that is influenced by this offset magnetic field axis, analogous to co-rotating solar interaction regions that sculpt and influence the inner and outer regions of our own Heliosphere. Alternatively, if the observed spot modulation is indicative of a significant misalignment of the stellar and disk rotational axes, we suggest that the disk could still be sculpted by the differential equatorial versus polar wind that it sees with every stellar rotation.

John P. Wisniewski↗
NASA NTRS2024

Improved Modelling of SEP Event Onset Within the WSA–Enlil–SEPMOD Framework

Multi-spacecraft observations of solar energetic particle (SEP) events not only enable a deeper understanding and development of particle acceleration and transport theories but also provide important constraints for model validation efforts. However, because of computational limitations, a given physics-based SEP model is usually best suited to capture a particular phase of an SEP event, rather than its whole development from onset through decay. For example, magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models of the heliosphere often incorporate solar transients only at the outer boundary of their so-called coronal domain – usually set at a heliocentric distance of 20–30 R⊙. This means that particle acceleration at coronal mass ejection (CME)-driven shocks is also computed from this boundary onwards, leading to simulated SEP event onsets that can be many hours later than observed, since shock waves can form much lower in the solar corona. In this work, we aim to improve the modelled onset of SEP events by inserting a “fixed source” of particle injection at the outer boundary of the coronal domain of the coupled WSA–Enlil 3D MHD model of the heliosphere. The SEP model that we employ for this effort is Solar Energetic Particle MODel (SEPMOD), a physics-based test-particle code based on a field line tracer and adiabatic invariant conservation. We apply our initial tests and results of SEPMOD’s fixed-source option to the 2021 October 9 SEP event, which was detected at five well-separated locations in the inner heliosphere – Parker Solar Probe, STEREO-A, Solar Orbiter, BepiColombo, and near-Earth spacecraft.

Solar eruptions↗
NASA NTRS1980

Electric field effects on galactic cosmic rays at the heliosphere boundary

The boundary condition for galactic cosmic rays at the outer edge of the modulation region was examined. With few exceptions authors have in the past uncritically used a time-independent, spherically-symmetric condition. It was found that, depending on the mechanism by which the heliospheric magnetic field connects to the general galactic magnetic field, the induced electric field may have important effects on the boundary condition. Sample calculations are presented which illustrate the potentially large, nonspherically-symmetric effects which may be expected.

Jokipii, J. R.↗