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DOE OSTI2025

Revealing atomic-scale switching pathways in van der Waals ferroelectrics

Two-dimensional (2D) van der Waals (vdW) materials hold the potential for ultrascaled ferroelectric (FE) devices due to their silicon compatibility and robust polarization down to atomic scale. However, the inherently weak vdW interactions enable facile sliding between layers, introducing complexities beyond those encountered in conventional ferroelectric materials and presenting substantial challenges in uncovering intricate switching pathways. Here, we combine atomic-resolution imaging under in situ electrical biasing conditions with first-principles calculations to unravel the atomic-scale switching mechanisms in SnSe, a vdW group IV monochalcogenide. Our results uncover the coexistence of a consecutive 90° switching pathway and a direct 180° switching pathway from antiferroelectric (AFE) to FE order in this vdW system. Atomic-scale investigations and strain analysis reveal that the switching processes simultaneously induce interlayer sliding and compressive strain, while the lattice remains coherent despite the presence of multidomain structures. These findings elucidate vdW ferroelectric switching dynamics at atomic scale and lay the foundation for the rational design of 2D ferroelectric nanodevices.

Li, Xinyan [Rice University, Houston, TX (United S↗

DOE OSTI2025

CGSim: A Simulation Framework for Large Scale Distributed Computing Environment

Large-scale distributed computing infrastructures such as the Worldwide LHC Computing Grid (WLCG) require comprehensive simulation tools for evaluating performance, testing new algorithms, and optimizing resource allocation strategies. However, existing simulators suffer from limited scalability, hardwired algorithms, lack of real-time monitoring, and inability to generate datasets suitable for modern machine learning approaches. We present CGSim, a simulation framework for large-scale distributed computing environments that addresses these limitations. Built upon the validated SimGrid simulation framework, CGSim provides high-level abstractions for modeling heterogeneous grid environments while maintaining accuracy and scalability. Key features include a modular plugin mechanism for testing custom workflow scheduling and data movement policies, interactive real-time visualization dashboards, and automatic generation of event-level datasets suitable for AI-assisted performance modeling. We demonstrate CGSim’s capabilities through a comprehensive evaluation using production ATLAS PanDA workloads, showing significant calibration accuracy improvements across WLCG computing sites. Scalability experiments show near-linear scaling for multi-site simulations, with distributed workloads achieving 6 × better performance compared to single-site execution. The framework enables researchers to simulate WLCG-scale infrastructures with hundreds of sites and thousands of concurrent jobs within practical time budget constraints on commodity hardware.

Vatsavai, Sairam Sri [Brookhaven National Laborato↗

DOE OSTI2024

Data for Sustainable Co-Production of Plant Lipids and Cellulosic Sugars from Transgenic Energycane at an Industrially Relevant Scale: A Proof of Concept for Alternative Feedstocks

Development of sustainable and scalable technologies to convert lignocellulosic biomass to biofuels is critical to achieving carbon neutrality. The potential of transgenic bioenergy crops as a renewable source of sugars and lipids has been demonstrated at bench-scale. However, scaling up these processes is important for holistic analysis. Here proof-of-concept for chemical-free hydrothermal pretreatment of transgenic energycane-oilcane line L13 at an industrially relevant scale to recover vegetative lipids along with cellulosic sugars is presented. Pilot-scale processing of 97 kg of transgenic energycane-oilcane L13 stems and high solids pretreatment of bagasse enhanced the recovery of cellulosic glucose and xylose by 5-fold as compared to untreated bagasse and helped in the enrichment of vegetative lipids in the biomass residues which allowed its recovery at the end of the bioprocess. Palmitic and oleic acids were the predominant fatty acids (FAs) extracted from stems and leaves. The processing did not affect lipid composition. The efficiency of lipid recovery from untreated biomass was 75.9% which improved to 88.7% upon pretreatment. The vegetative tissues of transgenic energycane-oilcane L13 contained 0.42 metric tons/hectare of lipids. Processing vegetative tissues yielded 0.38 metric tons/hectare of lipids. This approaches an oil yield similar to soybean (global average 0.44 metric tons/hectare) and is almost twice as high as the oil yield from sugarcane engineered to hyperaccumulate lipids (0.20 metric tons/hectare). The study suggests that further optimization by state-of-the-art metabolic engineering and biomass processing can establish transgenic bioenergy crops for commercial drop-in fuel production.

Biomass Analytics↗

DOE OSTI2025

Wafer-scale waveguide sidewall roughness scattering loss characterization by image processing

Photonic integrated circuits (PICs) are vital for developing affordable, high-performance optoelectronic devices that can be manufactured at an industrial scale, driving innovation and efficiency in various applications. Optical loss of modes in thin film waveguides and devices is a critical measure of their performance. Thin film growth, lithography, masking, and etching processes are imperfect processes that introduce significant sidewall and top-surface roughness and cause dominating optical losses in waveguides and photonic structures. This roughness, as perturbations couple light from guided to far-field radiation modes, leads to scattering losses that can be estimated from theoretical models. Typically, with UV-based lithography, sidewall roughness is significantly larger than wafer-top surface roughness. Atomic force microscopy (AFM) imaging measurement gives a 3D and high-resolution roughness profile, but the measurement is inconvenient, costly, and unscalable for large-scale PICs and at wafer-scale. Here, we evaluate the sidewall roughness profile based on 2D high-resolution scanning electron microscope (SEM) imaging. We characterized the loss on two homemade nitride and oxide films on 3-inch silicon wafers with 12 waveguide devices on each and correlated the scattering loss estimated from a 2D image-based sidewall profile and theoretical Payne model. The lowest loss of guided fundamental transverse electric (TE 0 ) mode is found at 0.075 dB/cm at 633 nm across 24 devices, a record at visible wavelength. Our work shows 100% success (edge continuity span exceeding 95% of image width/height) in edge detection in image processing of all images to estimate autocorrelation function and optical mode loss. These demonstrations offer valuable insights into waveguide sidewall roughness and a comparison of experimental and 2D SEM image processing based loss estimations with applications in loss characterization at wafer-scale PICs.

Khurana, Mohit (ORCID:0000000207898672)↗

DOE OSTI2025

Scaling laws in jet classification

We demonstrate the emergence of scaling laws in the benchmark top versus QCD jet classification problem in collider physics. Six distinct physically-motivated classifiers exhibit power-law scaling of the binary cross-entropy test loss as a function of training set size, with distinct power law indices. This result highlights the importance of comparing classifiers as a function of dataset size rather than for a fixed training set, as the optimal classifier may change considerably as the dataset is scaled up. We speculate on the interpretation of our results in terms of previous models of scaling laws observed in natural language and image datasets.

Batson, Joshua↗

DOE OSTI2024

Bench-Scale Testing of Monolithic PPI Structured Contactors for Direct Air Capture of CO 2

The overall project objective was to develop, optimize and bench-scale test the integrated embodiment of a leading direct air capture (DAC) sorbent composition, linear-poly(propylenimine) (l-PPI), in a structured material system, specifically a monolithic contactor for achieving low pressure drop, to justify its further scale-up in a subsequent program. The project team was led by CORMETECH, a leading monolithic gas/solid contactor manufacturer for environmental applications, and included Global Thermostat, a well-known DAC start-up, and Georgia Tech, a prominent US academic institution in carbon capture and DAC. The monolithic contactor for l-PPI in this project employed an advanced, cost-effective fabrication technique from CORMETECH, namely a porous monolith substrate directly impregnated with the amine, an approach contrasting to the traditional wash-coating methods used for activating monoliths. The l-PPI monolithic contractor is targeted for use in DAC systems such as the Global Thermostat DAC process, which involves the cyclic operation of ambient air flow over a monolithic amine contactor followed by steam-mediated thermal desorption and CO 2 collection, maximizing volumetric productivity while reducing the auxiliary power required to capture CO 2 from air. The Global Thermostat DAC process currently utilizes poly(ethyleneimine) (PEI) materials as baseline sorbents, which are subject to oxidative degradation and slow capacity fade at the elevated temperature required for efficient CO 2 removal. Georgia Tech, with Global Thermostat, had discovered in lab-scale efforts that l-PPI had superior resistance to oxidative degradation compared to PEI, with similar CO 2 adsorption capacity. While the novel l-PPI sorbent offers significant advantages over PEI for DAC, including potential design simplification and increased process efficiency, it is not commercially available, and prior to this project, had not yet been evaluated on the bench-scale in a structured contactor.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Development of the ARM Lagrangian Large-Scale Forcing Data (ARMLAGTRAJ) Value-Added Product Based on the lagtraj Framework

The Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) large-scale forcing data developed based on the constrained variational analysis (VARANAL) value-added product (VAP) (Zhang and Lin 1997, Zhang et al. 2001, Xie et al. 2004, Tang et al. 2019) has been widely used for single-column models (SCMs), cloud-resolving models (CRMs), and large-eddy simulation models (LESs) to understand and improve physical processes in models. Recently, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) ARM user facility conducted several major field campaigns using ship-based moving observational platforms. For example, the Marine ARM GPCI Investigation of Clouds (MAGIC) field campaign focused on the role of subtropical marine-boundary layer (MBL) clouds, and the Multidisciplinary Drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) field campaign aimed to improve understanding of the coupled climate systems in the Arctic. Observations from moving platforms are critical to provide a comprehensive characterization of coupled-system processes associated with all stages of the cloud and/or sea-ice life cycle. Traditional ARM large-scale forcing data have been developed at fixed locations. They need to be extended to include these moving platforms to address data needs for ship-based field campaigns or to support LES modeling in a Lagrangian framework. With these considerations in mind, we develop ARM-type Lagrangian large-scale forcing data sets based on the lagtraj framework (Boeing et al. 2020) with notable enhancements in generating forcings that are more suitable for ARM field campaigns. The lagtraj is a novel tool that generates forcings for LES and SCM simulation in both Lagrangian and Eulerian perspective. This technical report focuses on the major changes we performed on the lagtraj algorithm and provides an overview of the ARM Lagrangian Large-Scale Forcing Data (ARMLAGTRAJ) value-added products.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian Analysis of TRISO Fuel: Quantifying Model Inadequacy, Incorporating Lower-Length-Scale Effects, and Developing Parallel Active Learning Capabilities

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program aims to develop predictive capabilities by applying computational methods to the analysis and design of advanced reactor and fuel-cycle systems. This program has been providing engineering-scale support for the continued development of BISON, a high-fidelity, high-resolution fuel performance tool. Fuel behavior in nuclear reactors is governed by a complex network of mechanisms that interact with various other physics aspects in the reactor system. Any model developed to represent fuel behavior will likely be idealized, resulting in uncertainties when comparing their predictions against the observed data. In Fiscal Year (FY)-23, we initiated the Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) work by using Bayesian methods to establish a level of model trustworthiness and further improve it, with a particular emphasis on TRI-Structural isOtropic (TRISO) nuclear fuel. This year, we further expanded on that UQ work by investigating an approach to quantifying model inadequacy and accounting for lower-length scale (LLS) effects in TRISO silver (Ag) release modeling. Furthermore, we are implementing parallel active learning capabilities to reduce the computational cost (i.e., required computational resources and elapsed time) of performing UQ. Specifically, we utilized The Kennedy O’Hagan framework for Bayesian uncertainty quantification (KOH) to account for model inadequacy in TRISO Ag release predictions made by BISON. The KOH framework represents an improvement over the standard Bayesian framework used in FY-23. Explicitly accounting for model inadequacy in the Bayesian framework helps establish the level of experimental noise uncertainty in the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) data. We compared the inverse UQ results obtained from both the standard Bayesian and KOH frameworks in light of the AGR-2/3/4 data, and also compared the predictive UQ results obtained from these two frameworks in light of the AGR-1 data. Next, we investigated the impact of considering LLS effects in the Ag release simulations. We developed an expanded database of LLS simulated effective diffusivities for Ag, covering a wide range of microstructures and temperatures. Using this database, we developed a framework for incorporating LLS effects into the engineering-scale Ag release UQ. We developed both parametric and non-parametric approaches for bridging the length scales. We then investigated the inverse UQ results in light of the AGR-2/3/4 data and the predictive UQ results in light of the AGR-1 data, and compared the LLS-informed approach and the Arrhenius equation, which does not include microstructure information. Finally, we discussed implementing parallel active learning capabilities in the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE)/BISON to reduce the computational cost (i.e., computational resources and elapsed time) of Bayesian UQ. For verification purposes, we first tested these new capabil ities on a species interaction problem. We then demonstrated them on the TRISO Ag release application, showing that parallel active learning capabilities can enhance the accuracy of UQ while also substantially reducing the computational cost in comparison to the reference methods developed in FY-23.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Upscaling Methods Applied to a Fine-Scale Reservoir Model

This study was conducted as part of the Southwest Regional Partnership on Carbon Sequestration (SWP) project to evaluate how upscaling fine-scale simulation models to coarse-scale simulation models impacted the results. The focus was on the Farnsworth Unit (FWU) and its Morrow' B' Sandstone reservoir, specifically the west half of the field. Due to data limitations and the geologic characteristics of the surrounding area, the upscaling was limited to the west half of the FWU rather than a broader basinscale model. The primary aim was to explore how upscaling impacts numerical simulation models, particularly regarding CO 2 -enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and storage capacity predictions. Upscaling was necessary to reduce computational demands when transitioning from high-resolution geological models to coarser grids, as large-scale simulations with finer grids can be computationally prohibitive. This study expands on previous work by the SWP to understand how additional upscaling, applied to already fine-scale numerical simulation models, affects reservoir performance simulations (Ampomah, Balch, & Grigg, 2015). This is key to understanding how loss of resolution can affect coarsescale model results that may be used for large sensitivity analyses, uncertainty quantifications, and training data for machine learning applications.

02 PETROLEUM↗

DOE OSTI2025

Collaborative: in situ visual analytics technologies for extreme scale combustion simulations

This project aims to drastically enhance the usability of in situ analysis and visualization for extreme-scale scientific simulations. Current exascale computing capabilities promise to offer greater predictive ability of simulations and to further push the frontiers of science and technology. However, to validate the simulation output at extreme scale, examine the modeled phenomena, and discover previously unknowns from the output data, the output must be reduced or transformed in situ as it is being generated during the simulation such that the amount of data to examine and store is kept to a minimum. Such in situ approaches allow us to process and analyze the data and any embedded geometry to an extent that would be prohibitively expensive, if not impossible, to perform as a post hoc task. While in situ processing has been demonstrated to be a feasible and promising approach, its full potential has not yet been leveraged. In this project, we have developed comprehensive enhancements to in situ technology based on probability distributions in data. Our research focuses on jointly developing new ways of interacting with massive statistical samples while creatively utilizing new state-of-the-art computational resources to push the boundaries of in situ exploration. Moreover, we have developed new time-dependent techniques to enable previously unattainable capabilities in areas such as intelligent simulation steering and precise feature identification. We have experimentally studied our design and implementation at NERSC and OLCF, and are able to leverage existing in situ infrastructures whenever possible. While the exemplar in this project is combustion, many other fields for which turbulent transport is important, e.g., fusion, climate, astrophysics among others, encounter similar issues as simulations scale up to the exascale. This project shows its potential to generate high impact on DOE missions since the resulting technology promises to improve scientists’ ability to rapidly and correctly interpret and tune extreme-scale simulations, leading to new scientific understanding and advancements.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Science of Scale-Up: Accelerating chemical manufacturing technology development workshop report

The Science of Scale-Up: Accelerating chemical manufacturing technology development workshop report outlines key insights and actionable recommendations for accelerating the scale-up of disruptive chemical manufacturing technologies. Convened in October 2024, the workshop brought together approximately fifty experts from academia, industry, national laboratories, and government agencies to address the barriers and solutions for maturing technologies from proof-of-concept to commercialization. The report identifies seven critical themes for enabling faster scale-up. These themes were explored through general discussions and breakout sessions focused on three specific chemical manufacturing technologies—electrochemical, thermochemical, and biological conversion processes. The findings emphasize the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration, robust funding mechanisms, and shared resources to overcome technical barriers and accelerate technology deployment. The report also highlights technology-specific challenges and opportunities, including the need for advanced materials, scalable manufacturing processes, and integrated testing environments. For electrochemical manufacturing processes, durability and material optimization are key priorities, while thermochemical processes require novel reactor designs and better supply chain integration. Biological conversion processes face hurdles in strain engineering, reactor design, and process integration. Across all technologies, the workshop emphasized the importance of leveraging computational tools, standardized protocols, and collaborative networks to address knowledge gaps and technical barriers. By acting on these insights, stakeholders can reduce the timeline for scaling up critical chemical manufacturing technologies, ensuring their timely impact on manufacturing competitiveness, and environmental sustainability.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2025

Analysis of Off-Gas Streams from Small- and Large-Scale Sparging Salt Vessels using Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy

Laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) is being developed as an analytical monitoring tool for molten salt reactor (MSR) systems. A mobile LIBS platform was configured on a small-scale salt vessel (~100 g of salt) and then transported 0.6 km to successfully monitor an engineering-scale pumped salt loop (~100 kg of salt). Several studies on monitoring salt aerosols, hydrogen isotopes, and noble gases were performed on the small-scale system. All these studies were then implemented for monitoring various tests on the engineering-scale loop. Aerosolized salts from both the storage tank and pump bowl were monitored using LIBS to assess bulk salt analyte ratios (Mg, Na, K) and evaluate impurities (H, O, Ca). In addition to monitoring salt aerosols, LIBS was used in tandem with a residual gas analyzer (RGA) and a Raman spectroscopy system to detect hydrogen isotopes as they were sparged through and subsequently depleted from the loop storage tank. Lastly, a similar test with noble gases (100 ppm Kr, 1000 ppm Xe) was performed, in which LIBS demonstrated a faster response than the RGA used in-line. The tests and results are summarized in this report with detailed publications to follow. Key takeaways are listed in the conclusion of the report.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Data Summarization and Inference at Scale

This is the final report for the DOE ASCR grant SC-0022260, Data Summarization and Inference at Scale, PI: Alex Pothen, Purdue University. The goal of the project was to solve data-intensive and compute-intensive problems in the physical sciences, engineering, information science, data science, etc. by designing and implementing new algorithms that could work with a subset of the data. The four subgoals were: (a) The solution of problems where the data is too large to be stored in the memory of a computer. In this streaming model of computation, the data arrives as a stream of elements to the computer, each element is processed as it arrives, and a decision is made to discard the data or to store it; only a small subset of the data proportional to the size of the output solution is stored, and when all the data has been streamed, a solution to the problem is computed from the stored subset. (b) The use of machine learning methods to compute solutions to data-intensive problems. The use of GPUs is critical to obtain high performance on machine learning tasks, but their memory sizes are smaller relative to that of CPUs. For large-scale problems, the data is sampled many times, and small samples are used with repetition, for robustness, to compute solutions to inference tasks. This sampling reduces the memory required to solve the problem, but attention is needed to avoid slow convergence to the solutions, and reduced accuracy of inference. We propose submodular optimization, Large Language Models, and physics-informed neural networks to enable GPU computations here. (c) Modeling and visualization of high-dimensional data using interpretable features. Clinical proteomic data sets from immunology for the detection of cancer and other diseases are temporal and high-dimensional, and algorithms for visualizing these data sets using clinically interpretable features are lacking. We propose methods that compute distances based on the optimal transportation problem and graph edit distances to address this problem. We also propose the use of optimal transport-based distances, spatial statistics, and network structure to classify image data sets, We apply these algorithms to electron micrographs of the peripheral nervous system in the digestive tract. (d) The design of data-intensive algorithms on emerging architectures, specifically, noisy, intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices. Quantum computers offer the possibility of exploring large solution spaces due to the principle of superposition, but current quantum computers are limited by few qubits, short coherence times due to noise, poor interconections among the qubits, etc. We propose the use of the divide and conquer paradigm to solve large-scale problems, wherein collections of small subproblems are solved on the quantum devices, and the solutions to the subproblems are integrated into a solution for the original problem on a classical computer.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

Lessons Learned from Ecosystem-Scale Experimental Field Studies (Workshop Report)

Efforts to understand and predict ecosystem responses to environmental change require long-term, large-scale, spatially representative experiments and observations that capture natural variability, test predictive models, and generate transferable knowledge. Such studies are indispensable for unraveling the complexities of terrestrial ecosystems and their responses to disturbances and evolving environmental conditions, while generating the data necessary for developing mechanistic models and predictive tools that inform decision-making processes. Having a rich history of designing and executing large-scale ecosystem experiments, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Environmental System Science program convened a workshop in January 2025 that brought together leaders in the field to distill critical lessons from decades of experience in large-scale experiments. The workshop aimed to (1) provide an ecosystem experiment primer for best practices, thus ensuring a high scientific return on investment for funding agencies, and (2) offer a robust framework for the design and management of future research initiatives. This report synthesizes insights and experiences from workshop participants and is structured to capture the entire research life cycle, from goal setting and design to operations, adaptive management, team dynamics, collaborations, and the often overlooked aspect of decommissioning. By synthesizing decision-making and lessons learned across diverse research approaches, the report aims to provide a template of essential factors to consider when designing successful long-term, large-scale ecosystem experiments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

EVs-at-RISC: A Secure and Resilient Interoperable SCM Control System Architecture for Electric Vehicle’s-at-Scale (Final Technical Report)

The EVs-at-RISC project was a five-year research, development, and demonstration initiative to create foundational tools for utility-scale fleet aggregation and Smart Charge Management (SCM) of Electric Vehicles (EV), Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure (EVCI), and related Distributed Energy Resources (DER). Rather than seeking to develop and demonstrate highly perfected SCM algorithms and control strategies, this project instead focused on creating foundational software solutions that enable unprecedented digital interoperability across the communications technologies and vendor platforms used to manage EV , EVCI, and DER, as well as existing energy management infrastructure operated by utilities, grid operators, and aggregators. This project then extends these novel interoperability capabilities to develop and deploy powerful middleware abstractions across grid edge networks and EVCI/DER fleet aggregations incorporating modern software tools and best practices, such as CI/CD, to bring the immense capabilities of infrastructure-as-code and policy-as-code to modern grid edge network environments. This addresses the foremost systemic issues preventing realization of any net operational benefits from scaled deployment of behind-the-meter EV, EVCI, and DER assets in electric power grids and markets today. The results of this approach and project unlock massive potential for new SCM capabilities to be easily prototyped, evaluated, and deployed at-scale within the existing grid edge network infrastructure and EVCI/DER technology ecosystem. The EVs-at-RISC project achieves this by extending Open Field Message Bus (OpenFMB), a conceptual model for digital interoperability and distributed intelligence in traditional front-of-meter utility SCADA networks, validating our hypothesis that OpenFMB could be similarly used to solve systemic digital interoperability issues in behind-the-meter environments and unlock real-world utility-scale SCM capabilities without requiring any new proprietary vendor solutions or significant infrastructure reconfiguration.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2026

The Scaling and Units of the Elastic Response Term for Rayleigh Waves that is Output by Computer Programs in Seismology (CPS)

We report on the scaling and units of the Rayleigh wave elastic response function A R (ω) that is output from the widely used Computer Programs in Seismology (CPS) to aid in the modeling of ground motion sourced by atmospheric explosions. The program uses mixed units (km, second, km/s, gm/cc) to keep A R (ω) near 10 0 and prevent any numerical underflow or overflow. We compare two models for the response of an elastic half space to the output from CPS. Our application inputs the recommended, mixed unit geological models to determine how researchers must scale this output to obtain physical units for A R (ω) that represents the amplitude scaling for the minimum group velocity (Airy phase) contribution to Rayleigh waves. We determine that a CPS user must scale the output for A R (ω) by 10 -12 (m/km) 2 (g/cc/m 3 /kg) to obtain MKS (meter, kg, second) units and then must multiply this result by the vertical component eigenfunction squared, that is evaluated at the free surface.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

DOE OSTI2025

Applying Transfer Learning for Street-Scale Nuisance Flood Forecasting in Coastal-Urban Cities

An important challenge with Machine Learning (ML) is its transferability; that is, whether a ML model trained on one set of data can be applied to a second set of data without requiring a full re-training of the model. Transfer Learning (TL) addresses this challenge by transferring knowledge learned in the source domain (the data it was trained on) to the target domain (a second set of data that is statistically different but related, which the model was not trained on). This study investigates the use of TL for street-scale nuisance flood forecasting by exploring whether a ML model trained on data collected for one set of streets can effectively forecast flooding for another set of streets in the same city using TL. The envisioned use case is a city deploying a new flood depth monitoring sensor on a street and using TL to apply a ML model, trained on sensor data from an existing flood depth sensor network, to this new street. Eventually, the new flood depth sensor will have a sufficient dataset for training its own ML model, but TL can be used to fill the gap in time while this new dataset is being generated. This method is explored using a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model trained on data for the flood-prone streets of Norfolk City, Virginia. The data used for training includes environmental time series (rainfall, tide), topographic features (Digital Elevation Model (DEM), Topographic Wetness Index (TWI), Depth To Water (DTW)), and street-scale flood depth time series obtained from a high-fidelity physics-based model, acting as a synthetic street-scale stream depth sensor dataset since actual stream depth sensor data is generally unavailable for most cities. A set of 180 flood-prone streets was used to train a base model, while another set of 180 flood-prone streets was used to re-train that model using different TL strategies. The results show that full-weight re-training proved most effective and minimal re-training of only the output layer was insufficient. The advantage of TL was most pronounced when target data was limited, meaning data collected at the new water depth sensor location included generally less than 18 flood events. As target data increased beyond 18 flood events, the benefit of TL diminished relative to training a ML model directly on the local flood events. These findings can assist cities as they implement street-scale flood sensing systems to create accurate forecasts for new sensing locations that do not yet have sufficient data records to train a local ML model.

Roy, Binata [Univ. of Virginia, Charlottesville, V↗

DOE OSTI2025

On the emergent scale of bedrock groundwater contribution to headwater mountain streams

We investigated the contribution of bedrock groundwater to streamflow as a function of catchment scale in a headwater stream. Synoptic surveys were conducted during hydrologically important periods of the year using multiple environmental tracers in stream water, soil water, and bedrock groundwater, along a first-order montane stream, in west-central Montana. Sampled analytes included 222 Rn, used to constrain total subsurface flux, and major and minor elements, used in end-member mixing analysis (EMMA) to identify the contributions of soil and bedrock groundwater to the stream. Partitioning between soil-derived and bedrock-derived groundwater was then analyzed as a function of the incremental and accumulated sub-catchment sizes. Radon results indicated that subsurface water contributions accounted for the majority of streamflow at all surveyed times. EMMA results revealed that the bedrock groundwater contribution to streamflow varied between 26% during peak snowmelt and 44% during late summer. Streamflow generation was dominated by soil groundwater contribution along the entire reach, but the bedrock groundwater contribution increased consistently with accumulated sub-catchment size. However, groundwater contributions were not well-correlated with incremental sub-catchment size. The scale at which increased bedrock groundwater discharge can be correlated with sub-catchment size appears to be >1 km 2 for our study. Our results are consistent with a conceptual model where streamflow is predominantly generated by a 3D subsurface nested flow system. Local subsurface heterogeneities control the stream source at local scales but begin to average out at scales >2 km 2 . Our study indicates that, while soil groundwater is the dominant source, bedrock groundwater remains an important and predictable contributor to streamflow throughout the year, even in a snow-dominated, mountainous headwater catchment.

environmental tracers↗