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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12

Developing an Active Learning algorithm for learning Bayesian classifiers under the Multiple Instance Learning scenario

In the Multiple Instance Learning scenario, the training data consists of instances grouped into bags, and each bag is labelled with whether it is positive, i.e. contains at least one positive instance. First, Active Learning, in which additional labels can be iteratively requested, has the potential to allow more accurate classifiers to be learned with less labels. Active Learning has been applied to the Multiple Instance Learning under two settings: when bag labels of unlabelled bags can be requested, and when instance labels within bags known to be positive can be requested. Second, Bayesian Active learning methods have the potential to learn accurate classifiers with few labels, because they explicitly track the classifier uncertainty and can thus address its knowledge gaps. Yet, there does not exist any Bayesian Active Learning method for the Multiple Instance Learning Scenario. In this work, we develop the first such method. We develop a Bayesian classifier for the Multiple Instance Learning scenario, show how it can be efficiently used for Bayesian Active Learning, and perform experiments assessing its performance. While its performance exceeds that when no Active Learning is used, it is sometimes better, sometimes worse than the naive baseline of uncertainty sampling, depending on the situation. This suggests future work: building more customizable Bayesian Active Learning methods for the Multiple Instance Scenario, customizable to whether bag or instance label accuracy is targeted, and the labeling budget.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Lunar base thermal management/power system analysis and design

A compilation of several lunar surface thermal management and power system studies completed under contract and IR&D is presented. The work includes analysis and preliminary design of all major components of an integrated thermal management system, including loads determination, active internal acquisition and transport equipment, external transport systems (active and passive), passive insulation, solar shielding, and a range of lunar surface radiator concepts. Several computer codes were utilized in support of this study, including RADSIM to calculate radiation exchange factors and view factors, RADIATOR (developed in-house) for heat rejection system sizing and performance analysis over a lunar day, SURPWER for power system sizing, and CRYSTORE for cryogenic system performance predictions. Although much of the work was performed in support of lunar rover studies, any or all of the results can be applied to a range of surface applications. Output data include thermal loads summaries, subsystem performance data, mass, and volume estimates (where applicable), integrated and worst-case lunar day radiator size/mass and effective sink temperatures for several concepts (shielded and unshielded), and external transport system performance estimates for both single and two-phase (heat pumped) transport loops. Several advanced radiator concepts are presented, along with brief assessments of possible system benefits and potential drawbacks. System point designs are presented for several cases, executed in support of the contract and IR&D studies, although the parametric nature of the analysis is stressed to illustrate applicability of the analysis procedure to a wide variety of lunar surface systems. The reference configuration(s) derived from the various studies will be presented along with supporting criteria. A preliminary design will also be presented for the reference basing scenario, including qualitative data regarding TPS concerns and issues.

Mcghee, Jerry R.↗

Analysis of Hybrid Electric Aircraft Operations in the National Airspace System

This paper investigates the fuel burn and flight time impacts of hybrid electric aircraft operating in the National Airspace System. Future scenarios with hybrid electric flights and the same passenger travel capacity between city pairs as a baseline scenario, taken from historical data, were created. Aircraft that serviced select flights in the baseline scenario were replaced with hybrid electric aircraft based on the flight’s range and seat capacity. Additional hybrid electric flights were added to future scenarios when necessary to keep the future scenario passenger capacity equal or greater to that of the baseline scenario. The baseline and future scenarios were simulated in the NAS Digital Twin, a live, virtual, and constructive environment for building and executing simulations of the Nation Airspace System. Results showed that the future scenarios with hybrid electric flights saved fuel burn, but increased flight time. In the future scenarios, the additional hybrid electric flights did not cause any airports to exceed their operational capacity.

Simulation↗

Operating Hybrid Electric Aircraft in the National Airspace System

This paper investigates the fuel burn and flight time impacts of hybrid electric aircraft operating in the National Airspace System. Future scenarios with hybrid electric flights and the same passenger travel capacity between city pairs as a baseline scenario, taken from historical data, were created. Aircraft that serviced select flights in the baseline scenario were replaced with hybrid electric aircraft based on the flight’s range and seat capacity. Additional hybrid electric flights were added to future scenarios when necessary to keep the future scenario passenger capacity equal or greater to that of the baseline scenario. The baseline and future scenarios were simulated in the NAS Digital Twin, a live, virtual, and constructive environment for building and executing simulations of the Nation Airspace System. Results showed that the future scenarios with hybrid electric flights saved fuel burn, but increased flight time. In the future scenarios, the additional hybrid electric flights did not cause any airports to exceed their operational capacity.

hybrid electric aircraft↗

Analysis of historic fires to determine most frequent challenging events

The fire probabilistic risk assessment framework for nuclear power plants relies on experimental data to determine expected fire behavior or to validate models to predict fire conditions in the plant. To support reducing the uncertainty in this experimental data, a research effort was conducted to identify the most frequent and challenging fire scenarios using historic fire data from nuclear power plants in the United States. To support this effort, an electronic version of the publicly available Updated Fire Event Database developed by Electric Power Research Institute was produced resulting in data on 2111 fire events, 540 events were labelled as being challenging fires with 74.2% of these challenging fire events being due to eleven selected fire types. In conclusion, of these fire types, electrical and electronic equipment, transient combustibles, and liquid fires were the most frequent of the challenging fires. The fire scenario specifics were characterized for each of the eleven selected types and then related to existing fire experiments.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Autonomous Tools for Attack Surface Reduction (Final Report)

The electric power grid is a complex critical infrastructure that forms the lifeline of modern society, and its secure and reliable operation is of paramount importance to national security and economic wellbeing. However, recent findings documented in authoritative sources indicate the threat of cyber-based attacks growing in numbers and sophistication. However, securing the grid against stealthy cyberattacks is a challenging task due to legacy nature of the infrastructure coupled with dynamic nature of threat landscape and ever-growing sophistication of the adversaries. Additionally, the grid’s attack surface continues to grow with the increased dependence on digital communications and control that now extends to each consumer through smart meters and distributed energy resources. Unfortunately, this expansive surface increases the grid’s vulnerability and further exposes critical control systems in both substations and control centers. To respond to this emerging need, we had successfully assembled an interdisciplinary team with academic- industry partnership to successfully conduct research, development, evaluation, demonstration, and commercialization of attack surface reduction tools, whose goal was to significantly reduce the cyber attack surface in the North American power grid. Our proposed project was a synergistic collaborative effort leveraging the synergistic expertise of the team members across power systems, cyber security and CPS security, testbeds, field deployments and demonstration, and successful commercialization. The following are the specific tasks that have been successfully completed two phases (2016-2020). Phase I: Task 1: Developed and implemented a robust Project Management and Data Management Plan, coupled with a well thought out Risk Mitigation Plan. Task 2.1: Developed a comprehensive framework that continually assesses and autonomously reduces the attack surface for the power grid control environment spanning across substations, control center and the SCADA network to significantly reduce the risks of cyber attacks. Task 2.2: Developed attack surface analysis techniques, metrics, and tools that assess the attack surface at multiple levels including the control center, substations, and the SCADA network. Task 2.3: Developed attack surface reduction techniques and tools that dynamically reduce attack surface and hence increase attacker’s cost without interfering in the critical functions of the system. Task 2.4: Prototyped, implemented, and quantitatively evaluated/validated the techniques and tools on a realistic industrial CPS security testbed environment by leveraging the unique resources of the team. Task 3: Developed Commercialization plan to transition the developed tools into power system industry stakeholders for a broader adoption by leveraging the expertise of our industrial members. Phase II: Task 4: Successfully completed field demonstration, verification, and evaluation of the effectiveness of the attack surface analysis and reduction techniques on a realistic utility testbed environment. This also involved the development of realistic scenarios, sound metrics, data sets, evaluation criteria, and documentation. Technology integration & Field demonstration: The project had significantly advanced the state-of-the-art research and practice in improving the cybersecurity of our nation’s power grid infrastructure against cyber threats. In particular, the proposed, designed, and deployed attack surface analysis and reduction algorithms and tools have contributed to significantly reducing the exposure and risk of the devices, substations, and the integrated SCADA/EMS/ DMS grid environment to cyber threat. Strong demonstration and evaluation techniques have verified the feasibility of the developed techniques on realistic cyber-physical testbeds and utility partner's real grid environment, and collaborative research and evaluation of attack surface reduction techniques (for wide-are monitoring and control) within a vendor (GE) EMS platform. The Attack Host Analyzer (AHA) tool that was developed through this project was made available through GitHub.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Forecasting high-dimensional spatio-temporal systems from sparse measurements

This paper introduces a new neural network architecture designed to forecast high-dimensional spatio-temporal data using only sparse measurements. The architecture uses a two-stage end-to-end framework that combines neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) with vision transformers. Initially, our approach models the underlying dynamics of complex systems within a low-dimensional space; and then it reconstructs the corresponding high-dimensional spatial fields. Many traditional methods involve decoding high-dimensional spatial fields before modeling the dynamics, while some other methods use an encoder to transition from high-dimensional observations to a latent space for dynamic modeling. In contrast, our approach directly uses sparse measurements to model the dynamics, bypassing the need for an encoder. This direct approach simplifies the modeling process, reduces computational complexity, and enhances the efficiency and scalability of the method for large datasets. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework through applications to various spatio-temporal systems, including fluid flows and global weather patterns. Although sparse measurements have limitations, our experiments reveal that they are sufficient to forecast system dynamics accurately over long time horizons. Our results also indicate that the performance of our proposed method remains robust across different sensor placement strategies, with further improvements as the number of sensors increases. This robustness underscores the flexibility of our architecture, particularly in real-world scenarios where sensor data is often sparse and unevenly distributed.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Protection Scheme for Multiterminal HVDC System Based on Wavelet Transform Modulus Maxima

Fault protection is a major issue in the development of multiterminal high‐voltage direct current (HVDC) system based on voltage‐source converter. Owing to the rapid increase in fault current under DC faults, protection requires a fast fault detection method to isolate the fault current. However, the selectivity and reliability of the fast protection scheme should be primarily guaranteed. Therefore, a new protection strategy based on modulus maximum under wavelet transform is proposed in this paper. Fault detection and discrimination are achieved using single‐end signals of fault current. The external and internal faults can be discriminated via local information. The reliability and robustness of the proposed scheme against potential factors are verified. Numerous simulation cases are performed in PSCAD/EMTDC under different fault scenarios, and signal data are analyzed in MATLAB to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed fault protection scheme. © 2020 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan. Published by Wiley Periodicals LLC.

Huai, Qing↗

Oxidation behaviors of matrix-grade graphite during water vapor ingress accidents for high temperature gas-cooled reactors

Water ingress into cores of high temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs) can cause serious safety problems in graphitic components, especially for matrix graphite, which is more vulnerable than nuclear graphite. Here in this study, oxidation behaviors of a matrix-grade graphite, ARB-B1, were investigated under simulated water ingress accidental conditions. The oxidation tests were conducted in water vapor/helium mixed atmospheres at elevated temperatures up to 1200 °C. Oxidation rates and activation energy were evaluated by mass loss measurements. The activation energy was 121.5 kJ/mol in the considered temperature range, indicating only one oxidation regime-in-pore diffusion assisted by cracks. The cracks originated from the fabrication process, acting as penetration paths for the oxidant, played an important role in the oxidation behaviors. Ungraphitized binder oxidation occurred at all temperatures, while apparent oxidation of filler particles started from 1100 °C. Moreover, oxidation effects on compressive properties and hardness of the matrix graphite were discussed in terms of oxidized microstructures. This first detailed study on matrix graphite oxidation in water vapor provides important kinetics knowledge and microstructural and mechanical data for accidental scenarios of HTGRs as well as for development of new matrix graphite materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Separable physics-informed DeepONet: Breaking the curse of dimensionality in physics-informed machine learning

The deep operator network (DeepONet) has shown remarkable potential in solving partial differential equations (PDEs) by mapping between infinite-dimensional function spaces using labeled datasets. However, in scenarios lacking labeled data, the physics-informed DeepONet (PI-DeepONet) approach, which utilizes the residual loss of the governing PDE to optimize the network parameters, faces significant computational challenges, particularly due to the curse of dimensionality. This limitation has hindered its application to high-dimensional problems, making even standard 3D spatial with 1D temporal problems computationally prohibitive. Additionally, the computational requirement increases exponentially with the discretization density of the domain. Here, to address these challenges and enhance scalability for high-dimensional PDEs, we introduce the Separable physics-informed DeepONet (Sep-PI-DeepONet). This framework employs a factorization technique, utilizing sub-networks for individual one-dimensional coordinates, thereby reducing the number of forward passes and the size of the Jacobian matrix required for gradient computations. By incorporating forward-mode automatic differentiation (AD), we further optimize computational efficiency, achieving linear scaling of computational cost with discretization density and dimensionality, making our approach highly suitable for high-dimensional PDEs. We demonstrate the effectiveness of Sep-PI-DeepONet through three benchmark PDE models: the viscous Burgers’ equation, Biot’s consolidation theory, and a parameterized heat equation. Our framework maintains accuracy comparable to the conventional PI-DeepONet while reducing training time by two orders of magnitude. Notably, for the heat equation solved as a 4D problem, the conventional PI-DeepONet was computationally infeasible (estimated 289.35 h), while the Sep-PI-DeepONet completed training in just 2.5 h. These results underscore the potential of Sep-PI-DeepONet in efficiently solving complex, high-dimensional PDEs, marking a significant advancement in physics-informed machine learning.

Neural operator↗

Quantifying the effects of pressure management for the Williston basin Brine Extraction and Storage Test (BEST) site using machine learning

Active reservoir management (ARM) through brine extraction can reduce pressure buildup during large-scale implementation of carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects. This study used machine learning (ML)-assisted approaches to analyze bottomhole pressure (BHP) responses to various brine injection and extraction scenarios. Field monitoring data were collected over a 2-year operation period at two injection wells and one extraction well (about 400 meters away) as part of a Brine Extraction and Storage Test (BEST) in the North Dakota portion of the Williston Basin. Injection activities increased the BHPs at the injection wells by around 0.70 MPa (~100 psi) during the operation period. Extraction activities demonstrated the capability to decrease the BHPs at the injection wells by approximately 0.21–0.34 MPa (30–50 psi) depending on the ratio of the extraction and injection well flow rates (the “extraction ratio” – a normalization procedure used in the analysis). The pressure reduction provided by the extraction well equated to 30%–50% of the pressure buildup at the injection well. Furthermore, this work shows how ML analytics can play a key role in estimating reservoir pressure responses for complex injection and extraction activities during pressure management practices of CCS projects.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Solving differential equations using deep neural networks

Recent work on solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with deep neural networks (DNNs) is presented. The paper reviews and extends some of these methods while carefully analyzing a fundamental feature in numerical PDEs and nonlinear analysis: irregular solutions. First, the Sod shock tube solution to the compressible Euler equations is discussed and analyzed. This analysis includes a comparison of a DNN-based approach with conventional finite element and finite volume methods, and demonstrates that the DNN is competitive in terms of degrees of freedom required for a given accuracy. Further, the DNN-based approach is extended to consider performance improvements and simultaneous parameter space exploration. Next, a shock solution to compressible magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) is solved for, and used in a scenario where experimental data is utilized to enhance a PDE system that is a priori insufficient to validate against the observed/experimental data. This is accomplished by enriching the model PDE system with source terms that are then inferred via supervised training with synthetic experimental data. The resulting DNN framework for PDEs enables straightforward system prototyping and natural integration of large data sets (be they synthetic or experimental), all while simultaneously enabling single-pass exploration of an entire parameter space.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Reduced models for ETG transport in the tokamak pedestal

This paper reports on the development of reduced models for electron temperature gradient (ETG) driven transport in the pedestal. Model development is enabled by a set of 61 nonlinear gyrokinetic simulations with input parameters taken from pedestals in a broad range of experimental scenarios. The simulation data have been consolidated in a new database for gyrokinetic simulation data, the multiscale gyrokinetic database (MGKDB), facilitating the analysis. The modeling approach may be considered a generalization of the standard quasilinear mixing length procedure. The parameter η, the ratio of the density to temperature gradient scale length, emerges as the key parameter for formulating an effective saturation rule. With a single order-unity fitting coefficient, the model achieves an error of 15%. A similar model for ETG particle flux is also described. We also present simple algebraic expressions for the transport informed by an algorithm for symbolic regression.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A data-driven approach to real-time vertical position estimation for NSTX-U vertical stability control

In this paper, a database of 77 996 plasma equilibrium reconstructions from 727 discharges during the initial operation of the NSTX-U spherical tokamak is analyzed to develop a statistically robust model of the plasma vertical position for real-time control. A variety of regression models are developed and tested, ranging in complexity from linear models to deep neural networks, and including input signals ranging from the four pairs of flux loops used historically on NSTX-U up to the full set of 389 real-time signals available to the plasma control system. A linear model based on 140 real-time magnetics signals is found to offer excellent accuracy, with a coefficient of determination R 2 = 0.906. The robustness of this model to limited training data, new operating scenarios, and signal errors is tested, and a procedure is demonstrated to tune the model parameters to optimize its robustness. A time-dependent plasma equilibrium solver, TokaMaker, is used to simulate vertical stability control in NSTX-U, demonstrating that it should be possible to iteratively tune the parameters of a linear vertical position model to stabilize both positive and negative triangularity plasmas in future experiments.

magnetic diagnostics↗

Neutrino-assisted early dark energy: theory and cosmology

Abstract The tension between measurements of the Hubble constant obtained at different redshifts may provide a hint of new physics active in the relatively early universe, around the epoch of matter-radiation equality. A leading paradigm to resolve the tension is a period of early dark energy, in which a scalar field contributes a subdominant part of the energy budget of the universe at this time. This scenario faces significant fine-tuning problems which can be ameliorated by a non-trivial coupling of the scalar to the standard model neutrinos. These become non-relativistic close to the time of matter-radiation equality, resulting in an energy injection into the scalar that kick-starts the early dark energy phase, explaining its coincidence with this seemingly unrelated epoch. We present a minimal version of this neutrino-assisted early dark energy model, and perform a detailed analysis of its predictions and theoretical constraints. We consider both particle physics constraints — that the model constitute a well-behaved effective field theory for which the quantum corrections are under control, so that the relevant predictions are within its regime of validity — and the constraints provided by requiring a consistent cosmological evolution from early through to late times. Our work paves the way for testing this scenario using cosmological data sets.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Investigating color screening in proton-nucleus collisions with complex potentials*

Abstract Color screening and parton inelastic scattering modify the heavy-quark antiquark potential in mediums consisting of particles from quantum chromodynamics (QCD), leading to the suppression of quarkonium production in relativistic heavy-ion collisions. Owing to the small charm/anti-charm ( ) pair production number in proton-nucleus ( pA ) collisions, the correlation between different pairs is negligible, which makes the Schrödinger equation viable for tracking the evolution of only one pair. We employ the time-dependent Schrödinger equation with an in-medium potential to study the evolution of charmonium wave functions in a hydrodynamic-like QCD medium produced in pA collisions. We explore different parametrizations of real and imaginary parts of the potential and calculate the nuclear modification factors ( ) of and in TeV energy p -Pb collisions at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). Comparing strong and weak screening scenarios with experimental data in this approach, we arrive at the conclusion that color screening is weak at temperatures close to the deconfined phase transition. Moreover, the imaginary part of the potential is crucial in describing the experimental data, which is consistent with widely studied semi-classical approaches, where dissociation rates are essential.

Physics↗

First neutral beam experiments on Wendelstein 7-X

In the previous divertor campaign, the Wendelstein 7-X (W7-X) device injected 3.6 MW of neutral beam heating power allowing for the achievement of densities approaching 2 × 10 20 m -3 , and providing the first initial assessment of fast ion confinement in a drift optimized stellarator. The neutral beam injection (NBI) system on W7-X is comprised of two beam boxes with space for four radio frequency sources each. The 3.6 MW of heating reported in this work was achieved with two sources in the NI21 beam box. The effect of combined electron-cyclotron resonance heating (ECRH) and NBI was explored through a series of discharges varying both NBI and ECRH power. Discharges without ECRH saw a linear increase in the line-integrated plasma density, and strong peaking of the core density, over the discharge duration. The presence of 1 MW of ECRH power was found to be sufficient to control a continuous density rise during NBI operation. Simulations of fast ion wall loads were found to be consistent with experimental infrared camera images during operation. In general, NBI discharges were free from the presence of fast ion induced Alfvénic activity, consistent with low beam betas. These experiments provide data for future scenario development and initial assessment of fast-ion confinement in W7-X, a key topic of the project.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

What drives galaxy quenching? A deep connection between galaxy kinematics and quenching in the local Universe

ABSTRACT We develop a 2D inclined rotating disc model, which we apply to the stellar velocity maps of 1862 galaxies taken from the MaNGA survey (SDSS public Data Release 15) . We use a random forest classifier to identify the kinematic parameters that are most connected to galaxy quenching. We find that kinematic parameters that relate predominantly to the disc (such as the mean rotational velocity) and parameters that characterize whether a galaxy is rotation- or dispersion-dominated (such as the ratio of rotational velocity to velocity dispersion) are not fundamentally linked to the quenching of star formation. Instead, we find overwhelmingly that it is the absolute level of velocity dispersion (a property that relates primarily to a galaxy’s bulge/spheroidal component) that is most important for separating star-forming and quenched galaxies. Furthermore, a partial correlation analysis shows that many commonly discussed correlations between galaxy properties and quenching are spurious, and that the fundamental correlation is between quenching and velocity dispersion. In particular, we find that at fixed velocity dispersion, there is only a very weak dependence of quenching on the disc properties, whereby more discy galaxies are slightly more likely to be forming stars. By invoking the tight relationship between black hole mass and velocity dispersion, and noting that black hole mass traces the total energy released by active galactic nuclei (AGNs), we argue that these data support a scenario in which quenching occurs by preventive feedback from AGNs. The kinematic measurements from this work are publicly available.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗