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At least 217 records · Page 12

Relating atmospheric N 2 O concentration to N 2 O emission strength in the U. S. Corn Belt

Nitrous oxide (N 2 O) has a high global warming potential and depletes stratospheric ozone. The U. S. Corn Belt plays an important role in the global anthropogenic N 2 O budget. To date, studies on local surface N 2 O emission and the atmospheric N 2 O budget have commonly used Lagrangian models. In the present study, we used an Eulerian model – Weather Research and Forecasting Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model to investigate the relationships between N 2 O emission in the Corn Belt and observed atmospheric N 2 O mixing ratios. Modeled hourly N 2 O mixing ratios were combined with continuous atmospheric N 2 O measurements at the KCMP tall tower in Minnesota to constrain agricultural N 2 O emissions. The modeled spatial patterns of atmospheric N 2 O were validated against discrete observations at multiple tall towers in the NOAA flask network. After optimization of the surface flux, the model reproduced reasonably well the hourly N 2 O mixing ratios monitored at the KCMP tower. Agricultural N 2 O emissions in the EDGAR42 database needed to be scaled up by 19.0 to 28.1 fold to represent the true emission in the Corn Belt from June 1–20, 2010 – a peak emission period. Optimized total N 2 O emissions were 3.00–4.38, 1.52–2.08, 0.61–0.81 and 0.56–0.75 nmol m –2 s –1 from June 1–20, August 1–20, October 1–20 and December 1–20, 2010, respectively. The simulated spatial patterns of atmospheric N 2 O mixing ratios were in good agreement with the NOAA discrete observations during the strong emission peak in June. Such spatial patterns illustrate that the IPCC (Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change) underestimate of emissions is not dependent on tower measurement location.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

MCNP6 Study of Spatial Fidelity Required for ROC Curve Convergence

The detection of special nuclear material at ports and borders is one of the primary missions of the Department of Homeland Security's (DHS) Domestic Nuclear Detection Office (DNDO). In support of this mission a large-scale modeling and simulation effort has been undertaken with the goal of providing a comprehensive tool-kit that addresses the complexity of problems involved with developing and maintaining technologies deployed to global nuclear detection architecture (GNDA) nodes. An important objective of DNDO's mission is to characterize detector system performance before deployment. In the effort to support this mission, the latest version of MCNP has been used to perform detectability studies of highly enriched uranium (HEU) to populate a database that will be used for the tool-kit. The characterization method used in the implementation of the database is the receiver operating characteristic (ROC). A ROC curve shows the limits of detectability of a given system as well as an overall metric of the efficacy of a detection system. This is accomplished by comparing total detector count distributions to the count distribution produced by background alone. For an in-depth explanation of the theory behind the MCNP production of ROC curves please refer to the paper, 'How To Use The Receiver Operating Characteristic Tally Option in MCNP6'. Building a useful database requires an expansive parameter space. The current tool-kit use nine parameters, which if varied with just 5 options each, results in nearly two million simulations to run. Depending on the set of parameters these simulations can take a few hours or a few weeks to complete. This computational cost necessitates the use of scaling algorithms to interpolate between the data contained in the database. The tool-kit employs a discrete event method to simulate the movement and detector response of special nuclear material (SNM) through a GNDA node. Given the nature of a discrete event simulation, constant motion of SNM must be split up in to discrete spatial detection points. The fidelity required of the spatial splitting to achieve a properly converged answer is investigated here for a neutron detection system. The detector used was a SNAP-3 neutron detector in front of a sphere of SNM in the presence of background radiation. A parameter study has been performed to determine the spatial fidelity required for ROC curve convergence for moving objects in a discrete event simulator. It appears that 5 points is the minimum number of detection points with 7 points needed for one of the parameter sets. The convergence worsens with increases to detection length but appears to improve with increasing detector distance. These results will help future work involving quantifying the accuracy based on given tolerances and parameters. (authors)

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

FIRED (Fire Events Delineation): An Open, Flexible Algorithm and Database of US Fire Events Derived from the MODIS Burned Area Product (2001–2019)

Harnessing the fire data revolution, i.e., the abundance of information from satellites, government records, social media, and human health sources, now requires complex and challenging data integration approaches. Defining fire events is key to that effort. In order to understand the spatial and temporal characteristics of fire, or the classic fire regime concept, we need to critically define fire events from remote sensing data. Events, fundamentally a geographic concept with delineated spatial and temporal boundaries around a specific phenomenon that is homogenous in some property, are key to understanding fire regimes and more importantly how they are changing. Here, we describe Fire Events Delineation (FIRED), an event-delineation algorithm, that has been used to derive fire events (N = 51,871) from the MODIS MCD64 burned area product for the coterminous US (CONUS) from January 2001 to May 2019. The optimized spatial and temporal parameters to cluster burned area pixels into events were an 11-day window and a 5-pixel (2315 m) distance, when optimized against 13,741 wildfire perimeters in the CONUS from the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity record. The linear relationship between the size of individual FIRED and Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) events for the CONUS was strong (R2 = 0.92 for all events). Importantly, this algorithm is open-source and flexible, allowing the end user to modify the spatio-temporal threshold or even the underlying algorithm approach as they see fit. We expect the optimized criteria to vary across regions, based on regional distributions of fire event size and rate of spread. We describe the derived metrics provided in a new national database and how they can be used to better understand US fire regimes. The open, flexible FIRED algorithm could be utilized to derive events in any satellite product. We hope that this open science effort will help catalyze a community-driven, data-integration effort (termed OneFire) to build a more complete picture of fire.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Completeness and coverage of open-access freshwater fish distribution data in the United States

Aim: Primary biodiversity data constitute observations of particular species at given points in space and time. Open-access databases provide unprecedented access to these data, but their utility depends on how complete species inventories are at a given surveying resolution and how uniformly distributed surveys are in space and time. Our aim was to characterize the completeness of freshwater fish data across spatial scales and among habitat types (lotic stream reaches and lentic waterbodies), and assess coverage bias in space and time. Location: Freshwater habitats of the contiguous United States. Methods: We compiled fish occurrence records from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF), the Multi-state Aquatic Resources Information Server (MARIS), and three federally-administered surveys (EMAP, NAQWA, NRS). Next, we evaluated survey completeness across seven spatial resolutions representing nested stream catchments, and separately for lotic and lentic habitats. Lastly, we tested for bias in survey coverage along environmental and temporal gradients for each habitat type. Results: A total of 39,855,157 records representing 1925 species were available from 1800 to 2014. The percent of catchments surveyed increased as spatial resolution decreased while the density of occurrence records within surveyed catchments decreased. Species richness also increased with catchment size consistent with putative species–area relationships. Occurrence records were distributed among 72,114 lotic reaches and 3,325 lentic waterbodies throughout the contiguous US. Seven percent (N=5,055) of surveyed lotic reaches and 23% (N=771) of surveyed lentic waterbodies were well-surveyed based on the most conservative thresholds for two completeness indices. Most well-surveyed lotic reaches (95%) and undammed lentic waterbodies (97%) were completed since 1980, and most were surveyed during only one 20-year time interval (83% and 56% for lotic and lentic waterbodies, respectively). Coverage analyses indicated that contemporary and future climates corresponding to regions along the west coast and gulf coast are the most under-represented for both lotic and lentic habitats. Small lentic waterbodies (surface area < 0.1 km2) are also under-represented. Main Conclusions: Contemporary surveys of lotic reaches and, to a lesser extent, lentic waterbodies are plentiful and generally representative of climatic and landscape characteristics. Data compilation efforts should focus on adding historical data to public repositories. Clustering of well-surveyed waterbodies in MARIS-participating states highlights the value of state-agency data and demonstrates the need for dissemination of these data by more state agencies.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Single-Filament Imaging Mass Spectrometry Lipidomics in Arthrospira platensis

Elucidating intra-organismal biochemical and lipid organization in photosynthetic biological cell factories of filamentous cyanobacteria, i.e., Arthrospira platensis (Spirulina), is important to track physiological response mechanisms during growth. Little is known about the filaments' biochemical organization and cellular structure and no label-free imaging techniques exist that provide molecular mapping. We applied ultra-high resolution mass spectrometry (7T FT-ICR-MS) matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization (MALDI) imaging to immobilized Spirulina filaments to investigate the localization of lipids across distinct physiological regions. We optimized matrix selection and deposition methods with the goal of facilitating high spatial, and intra-filament, resolution using untargeted multivariate statistical spectral deconvolution across MS pixels. Our results demonstrate an improved two step application with an optimized procedure for intra-organismal lipid profiling to improve analyte sensitivity and achieve higher spatial resolution, whereby we evaluate three conventional matrices 2,5-dihydroxybenzoic acid (DHB), a 9:1 ratio of DHB:superDHB (sDHB), 1,5- diaminonaphthalene (DAN) and a 50:50 mix of DHB:sDHB and compare delineation and pixel-based elucidation of intra-filament lipidomics. We identified a total of 1,626 features that could be putatively assigned a lipid-like formula based on database query and 46 unique features, with associated lipid assignments that were significantly distinct in their intra-filament location. MALDI- imaging MS with untargeted statistical spectral deconvolution was used to visualize intra-filament lipidomics organization in Spirulina filaments. Improvements in matrix deposition, including sequential sublimation and pneumatic spraying, increased signal abundance at high spatial resolution and allowed for identification of distinct lipid composition regions. Here in this work outlines a methodology that may be used for micro-ecological untargeted molecular phenotyping.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Observational Signatures of a Kink-unstable Coronal Flux Rope Using Hinode /EIS

The signatures of energy release and energy transport for a kink-unstable coronal flux rope are investigated via forward modeling. Synthetic intensity and Doppler maps are generated from a 3D numerical simulation. The CHIANTI database is used to compute intensities for three Hinode /EIS emission lines that cover the thermal range of the loop. The intensities and Doppler velocities at simulation-resolution are spatially degraded to the Hinode /EIS pixel size (1″), convolved using a Gaussian point-spread function (3″), and exposed for a characteristic time of 50 s. The synthetic images generated for rasters (moving slit) and sit-and-stare (stationary slit) are analyzed to find the signatures of the twisted flux and the associated instability. We find that there are several qualities of a kink-unstable coronal flux rope that can be detected observationally using Hinode /EIS, namely the growth of the loop radius, the increase in intensity toward the radial edge of the loop, and the Doppler velocity following an internal twisted magnetic field line. However, EIS cannot resolve the small, transient features present in the simulation, such as sites of small-scale reconnection (e.g., nanoflares).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Evaluation of the Lactate-to-N-Acetyl-aspartate Ratio Defined With Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopic Imaging Before Radiation Therapy as a New Predictive Marker of the Site of Relapse in Patients With Glioblastoma Multiforme

Purpose: Because lactate accumulation is considered a surrogate for hypoxia and tumor radiation resistance, we studied the spatial distribution of the lactate-to-N-acetyl-aspartate ratio (LNR) before radiation therapy (RT) with 3D proton magnetic resonance spectroscopic imaging (3D-{sup 1}H-MRSI) and assessed its impact on local tumor control in glioblastoma (GBM). Methods and Materials: Fourteen patients with newly diagnosed GBM included in a phase 2 chemoradiation therapy trial constituted our database. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and MRSI data before RT were evaluated and correlated to MRI data at relapse. The optimal threshold for tumor-associated LNR was determined with receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curve analysis of the pre-RT LNR values and MRI characteristics of the tumor. This threshold was used to segment pre-RT normalized LNR maps. Two spatial analyses were performed: (1) a pre-RT volumetric comparison of abnormal LNR areas with regions of MRI-defined lesions and a choline (Cho)-to- N-acetyl-aspartate (NAA) ratio ≥2 (CNR2); and (2) a voxel-by-voxel spatial analysis of 4,186,185 voxels with the intention of evaluating whether pre-RT abnormal LNR areas were predictive of the site of local recurrence. Results: A LNR of ≥0.4 (LNR-0.4) discriminated between tumor-associated and normal LNR values with 88.8% sensitivity and 97.6% specificity. LNR-0.4 voxels were spatially different from those of MRI-defined lesions, representing 44% of contrast enhancement, 64% of central necrosis, and 26% of fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) abnormality volumes before RT. They extended beyond the overlap with CNR2 for most patients (median: 20 cm{sup 3}; range: 6-49 cm{sup 3}). LNR-0.4 voxels were significantly predictive of local recurrence, regarded as contrast enhancement at relapse: 71% of voxels with a LNR-0.4 before RT were contrast enhanced at relapse versus 10% of voxels with a normal LNR (P<.01). Conclusions: Pre-RT LNR-0.4 in GBM indicates tumor areas that are likely to relapse. Further investigations are needed to confirm lactate imaging as a tool to define additional biological target volumes for dose painting.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Spatial biases of information influence global estimates of soil respiration: how can we improve global predictions?

Soil respiration (Rs), the efflux of CO2 from soils to the atmosphere, is a major component of the terrestrial carbon cycle, but is poorly constrained from regional to global scales. The global soil respiration database (SRDB) is a compilation of in-situ Rs observations from around the globe that has been consistently updated with new measurements over the past decade. It is unclear whether the addition of data to new versions of the SRDB has produced better-constrained global Rs estimates. We compared two versions of the SRDB (v3.0 n=5173 and v5.0 n=10366) to determine how additional data influenced the global sum and uncertainty of Rs as predicted by a quantile regression forest model. A model parameterized using SRDBv3 yielded a global Rs sum of 88.6 Pg C yr-1, and associated uncertainty of 29.9 (mean absolute error) and 57.9 (standard deviation) Pg C yr-1, whereas parameterization using SRDBv5 yielded 96.5 Pg C yr-1 and associated uncertainty of 30.2 (mean average error) and 73.4 (standard deviation) Pg C yr-1. Empirically estimated global heterotrophic respiration (Rh) from v3 and v5 were 49.9-50.2 (mean 50.1) and 53.3-53.5 (mean 53.4) Pg C yr-1, respectively. Interestingly, SRDBv5’s inclusion of new data from underrepresented regions (e.g., Asia, Africa, South America) thus resulted in overall higher model uncertainty. The SRDBv5 is still biased towards northern latitudes and temperate zones, so we tested that an optimized global distribution of Rs measurements resulted in a global sum of 96.4 ± 21.4 Pg C yr-1 and lower model uncertainty. These results support current global estimates of Rs but highlight spatial inconsistencies that influence model parameterization and interpretation that should be addressed to improve regional- to global-scale predictions.

Stell, Emma↗

Age-related telomere attrition causes aberrant gene expression in sub-telomeric regions

Telomere attrition has been proposed as a biomarker and causal factor in aging. In addition to causing cellular senescence and apoptosis, telomere shortening has been found to affect gene expression in subtelomeric regions. Here, we analyzed the distribution of age-related differentially expressed genes from the GTEx RNA sequencing database of 54 tissue types from 979 human subjects and found significantly more upregulated than downregulated genes in subtelomeric regions as compared to the genome-wide average. Our data demonstrate spatial relationships between telomeres and gene expression in aging.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

The IsoGenie database: an interdisciplinary data management solution for ecosystems biology and environmental research

Modern microbial and ecosystem sciences require diverse interdisciplinary teams that are often challenged in “speaking” to one another due to different languages and data product types. Here we introduce the IsoGenie Database, a de novo developed data management and exploration platform, as a solution to this challenge of accurately representing and integrating heterogenous environmental and microbial data across ecosystem scales. The IsoGenieDB is a public and private data infrastructure designed to store and query data generated by the IsoGenie Project, a ~10 year DOE-funded project focused on discovering ecosystem climate feedbacks in a thawing permafrost landscape. The IsoGenieDB provides (i) a platform for IsoGenie Project members to explore the project’s interdisciplinary datasets across scales through the inherent relationships among data entities, (ii) a framework to consolidate and harmonize the datasets needed by the team’s modelers, and (iii) a public venue that leverages the same spatially explicit, disciplinarily integrated data structure to share published datasets. The IsoGenieDB is also being expanded to cover the NASA-funded Archaea to Atmosphere (A2A) project, which scales the findings of IsoGenie to a broader suite of Arctic peatlands, via the umbrella A2A Database (A2A-DB). The IsoGenieDB’s expandability and flexible architecture allow it to serve as an example ecosystems database.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

SU-E-T-764: Track Repeating Algorithm for Proton Therapy Applied to Intensity Modulated Proton Therapy for Head-And-Neck Patients

Purpose: To determine the suitability of fast Monte Carlo techniques for dose calculation in particle therapy based on track-repeating algorithm for Intensity Modulated Proton Therapy, IMPT. The application of this technique will make possible detailed retrospective studies of large cohort of patients, which may lead to a better determination of Relative Biological Effects from the analysis of patient data. Methods: A cohort of six head-and-neck patients treated at the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center with IMPT were utilized. The dose distributions were calculated with the standard Treatment Plan System, TPS, MCNPX, GEANT4 and FDC, a fast track-repeating algorithm for proton therapy for the verification and the patient plans. FDC is based on a GEANT4 database of trajectories of protons in a water. The obtained dose distributions were compared to each other utilizing the g-index criteria for 3mm-3% and 2mm-2%, for the maximum spatial and dose differences. The γ-index was calculated for voxels with a dose at least 10% of the maximum delivered dose. Dose Volume Histograms are also calculated for the various dose distributions. Results: Good agreement between GEANT4 and FDC is found with less than 1% of the voxels with a γ-index larger than 1 for 2 mm-2%. The agreement between MCNPX with FDC is within the requirements of clinical standards, even though it is slightly worse than the comparison with GEANT4.The comparison with TPS yielded larger differences, what is also to be expected because pencil beam algorithm do not always performed well in highly inhomogeneous areas like head-and-neck. Conclusion: The good agreement between a track-repeating algorithm and a full Monte Carlo for a large cohort of patients and a challenging, site like head-and-neck, opens the path to systematic and detailed studies of large cohorts, which may yield better understanding of biological effects.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

EQSIM—A multidisciplinary framework for fault-to-structure earthquake simulations on exascale computers, part II: Regional simulations of building response

The existing observational database of the regional-scale distribution of strong ground motions and measured building response for major earthquakes continues to be quite sparse. As a result, details of the regional variability and spatial distribution of ground motions, and the corresponding distribution of risk to buildings and other infrastructure, are not comprehensively understood. Utilizing high-performance computing platforms, emerging high-resolution, physics-based ground motion simulations can now resolve frequencies of engineering interest and provide detailed synthetic ground motions at high spatial density. This provides an opportunity for new insight into the distribution of infrastructure seismic demands and risk. In the work presented herein, the EQSIM fault-to-structure computational framework described in a companion paper, McCallen et al., is employed to investigate the regional-scale response of buildings to large earthquakes. A representative M = 7.0 strike-slip event is used to explore the distribution and amplitude of building demand, and comparisons are made between building response computed with fault-to-structure simulations and building response computed with existing measured near-fault earthquake records. New information on the distribution and variability of building response from high-performance parallel simulations is described and analyzed, and favorable first comparisons between building response predicted with both fault-to-structure simulations and real ground motions records are presented.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The PAH Emission Characteristics of the Reflection Nebula NGC 2023

We present 5–20 μ m spectral maps of the reflection nebula NGC 2023 obtained with the Infrared Spectrograph SL and SH modes on board the Spitzer Space Telescope, which reveal emission from polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), C{sub 60}, and H{sub 2} superposed on a dust continuum. We show that several PAH emission bands correlate with each other and exhibit distinct spatial distributions that reveal a spatial sequence with distance from the illuminating star. We explore the distinct morphology of the 6.2, 7.7, and 8.6 μ m PAH bands and find that at least two spatially distinct components contribute to the 7–9 μ m PAH emission in NGC 2023. We report that the PAH features behave independently of the underlying plateaus. We present spectra of compact, oval PAHs ranging in size from C{sub 66} to C{sub 210}, determined computationally using density functional theory, and we investigate trends in the band positions and relative intensities as a function of PAH size, charge, and geometry. Based on the NASA Ames PAH database, we discuss the 7–9 μ m components in terms of band assignments and relative intensities. We assign the plateau emission to very small grains with possible contributions from PAH clusters and identify components in the 7–9 μ m emission that likely originate in these structures. Based on the assignments and the observed spatial sequence, we discuss the photochemical evolution of the interstellar PAH family as the PAHs are more and more exposed to the radiation field of the central star in the evaporative flows associated with the Photo-Dissociation Regions in NGC 2023.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Particle Image Velocimetry Measurements in a Wire-Wrapped 61-Pin Hexagonal Fuel Bundle

Liquid metal fast reactor fuel assemblies using sodium as a coolant typically utilize a tightly packed triangular lattice of fuel pins enclosed in a hexagonal duct. The fuel pins are typically wrapped with a helical wire spacer. The primary function of the wire spacers is to maintain a gap between neighboring fuel pins. They also mitigate vortex-induced vibration and enhance sub-channel mixing to increase convective heat transfer. Many experiments have been performed to study thermal-hydraulic characteristics, primarily pressure drops, of the wire-wrapped fuel bundles. Novendstern developed a semi-empirical model to predict pressure losses in a hexagonal array of wire-wrapped pins in the turbulent flow regime. Rehme proposed pressure drop correlations for a wide range of geometrical parameters, such as pitch-to-diameter ratio P/D from 1.125 to 1.417, lead-to-wire diameter ratio H / dm from 6 to 45, and number of pins n from 7 to 61. Cheng and Todreas introduced their hydrodynamic models for subchannel friction factors and mixing parameters in a 37-pin fuel bundle, which covered the laminar, transition and turbulent flow regimes. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) offers an opportunity to validate the above correlations and investigate the flow characteristics in the subchannels. Several numerical studies of the wire-wrapped fuel bundles have been performed and most of them are Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) based simulations with various turbulence models. Ahmad and Kim performed RANS simulations of 7- and 19-pin bundles using the k-omega SST turbulent model, while Gajapathy et al. performed RANS simulations on 7-pin bundles using the k-epsilons model. Recently, Fischer et al. carried out large-eddy simulation (LES) calculations on wire-wrapped fuel bundles to obtain higher-resolution numerical solutions of subchannel behavior. The geometrical complexity of the hexagonal wire-wrapped fuel bundle has limited experimental activities to pressure drop measurements. A database of pressure drops and flow-field measurements in a 61-pin wire-wrapped hexagonal fuel bundle is not available to benchmark the existing correlations and validate the CFD calculations. Texas A and M University is conducting isothermal flow experiments in a wire-wrapped 61-pin hexagonal fuel bundle to support the research on advanced nuclear fuel development sponsored by the Department of Energy (DOE). The purpose of these tests is to perform high spatial and temporal resolution measurements of the flow and pressure measurements at different locations in the fuel bundle. The experimental facility employs matched-index-of-refraction (MIR) techniques and laser diagnostic velocity measurement techniques such as particle image velocimetry (PIV) and laser Doppler velocimetry (LDV). The result of this experimental activity will be an experimental database of pressure and flow-field measurements that will be suitable for validating CFD computer codes. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

First observations from the Kr multi-monochromatic x-ray imager for time and spatially resolved diagnosis of hot implosion cores

This paper presents initial findings from the recently deployed Kr multi-monochromatic x-ray imager (Kr MMI) at the Omega laser facility. The experiment focuses on exploring implosion dynamics in exploding pusher capsules at three distinct initial gas fill densities. Utilizing time-gated and spatially integrated measurements, core size, electron temperature (Te), and electron densities (ne) are extracted through the analysis of the spectral region encompassing the Kr He α and its satellite lines. A comprehensive spectral database, incorporating atomic kinetics, spectroscopic-quality radiation transport, and Stark broadened line shapes, has been developed for rigorous data analysis. These measurements underscore the utility of the new Kr MMI instrument, which, combined with sophisticated analysis techniques, enables the diagnosis of plasma conditions at Te>2000 eV, thereby extending the capabilities beyond the prior Ar MMI design. This is an important stepping stone for achieving time-gated and space-resolved diagnostics of electron temperature, electron density, and heat transport in high temperature implosion cores.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Evaluation of WRF-Solar Cloud Forecast Using the NSRDB: Preprint

Cloud forecast is a crucial component in predicting solar irradiance from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Assessing cloud properties from the NWP models requires significant work due to the need for high-quality data, spatial analysis covering model extent, and detailed analysis of model performance for different types of clouds. This study presents an evaluation of the WRF-Solar cloud forecast using the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB). We propose an evaluation framework applied to a single model prediction as well as ensemble-based forecasts. Various cloud detection metrics are calculated when comparing with the satellite-derived dataset. The mismatched clouds from the WRF-Solar model are quantified using nine cloud types classified by cloud top height and cloud optical depth. The results based on the WRF-Solar forecasts covering the entire U.S. for the full year of 2018 shows mismatched cloud frequency in the range of 8% - 46% for thick and high-level (deep convective) to thin and low-level (cumulus) clouds.

cloud mask forecast↗

National Climate Database (NCDB)

The National Climate Database (NCDB) is a high resolution, bias-corrected climate dataset consisting of the three most widely used variables of solar radiation- global horizontal (GHI), direct normal (DNI), and diffuse horizontal irradiance (DHI)- as well as other meteorological data. The goal of the NCDB is to provide unbiased high temporal and spatial resolution climate data needed for renewable energy modeling. The NCDB is modeled using a statistical downscaling approach with Regional Climate Model (RCM)-based climate projections obtained from the North American Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (NA-CORDEX; linked below). Daily climate projections simulated by the Canadian Regional Climate Model 4 (CanRCM4) forced by the second-generation Canadian Earth System Model (CanESM2) for two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 or moderate emissions scenario and RCP8.5 or highest baseline emission scenario) are selected as inputs to the statistical downscaling models. The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) is used to build and calibrate statistical models.

Array↗

Geophysical methods reveal the soil architecture and subsurface stratigraphic heterogeneities across land-lake interfaces along Lake Erie

Abstract Purpose The land-lake interface is a unique zone where terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems meet, forming part of the Earth’s most geochemically and biologically active zones. The unique characteristics of this interface are yet to be properly understood due to the inherently high spatiotemporal variability of subsurface properties, which are difficult to capture with the traditional soil sampling methods. Geophysical methods offer non-invasive techniques to capture variabilities in soil properties at a high resolution across various spatiotemporal scales. Methods We combined electromagnetic induction (EMI), electrical resistivity tomography (ERT), and ground penetrating radar (GPR) with data from soil cores and in situ sensors to investigate hydrostratigraphic heterogeneities across land-lake interfaces along the western basin of Lake Erie. Results EMI revealed high spatial heterogeneities in ECa distribution across the land-lake interfaces, with higher values in the wetland and transition zones compared to the upland zone. Soil ECa maps matched soil maps from a public database with the hydric soil units delineated as high conductivity zones (ECa > 40 mS/m). ERT and GPR showed vertical variation in soil properties with clear stratigraphic boundaries, and correlation of ERT profiles with lithologs from piezometers revealed the stratigraphic units of silt–clay and till sequence down to 3.5 m depth which are consistent with the surficial geology of the study area. Conclusions These results validate the use of multiple geophysical methods for extrapolating soil properties and mapping stratigraphic structures at land-lake interfaces, thereby providing the missing information required to improve the earth system model (ESM) of coastal interfaces.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗