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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 217 records · Page 12
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Performance of Muon Neutrino Reconstruction at ICARUS using SPINE Machine Learning.

ICARUS is a liquid argon time projection chamber (LArTPC) neutrino experiment at Fermilab. Located ~600 m from the Booster Neutrino Beam (BNB) target, it serves as the far detector in the Short-Baseline Neutrino (SBN) Program. The primary objective of the SBN Program is to probe neutrino oscillation physics at short baselines using multiple detectors, including measurements of both muon neutrino disappearance and electron neutrino appearance. A key requirement for the neutrino oscillation measurements is robust event reconstruction, including accurate and precise particle identification (PID) and kinematic reconstruction across a wide range of topologies. To achieve the required performance, we employ the SPINE (“Scalable Particle Imaging with Neural Embeddings”) package, a state-of-the-art machine learning reconstruction framework. This talk presents the status of muon neutrino reconstruction using SPINE at ICARUS, including the evaluation of reconstruction performance that will enable the full physics program at ICARUS and at the SBN Program.

Totani, Dante [Colorado State U.] (ORCID:000000019↗
DOE OSTI2021

Multi-Area Distribution System State Estimation Using Decentralized Physics-Aware Neural Networks

The development of active distribution grids requires more accurate and lower computational cost state estimation. In this paper, the authors investigate a decentralized learning-based distribution system state estimation (DSSE) approach for large distribution grids. The proposed approach decomposes the feeder-level DSSE into subarea-level estimation problems that can be solved independently. The proposed method is decentralized pruned physics-aware neural network (D-P2N2). The physical grid topology is used to parsimoniously design the connections between different hidden layers of the D-P2N2. Monte Carlo simulations based on one-year of load consumption data collected from smart meters for a three-phase distribution system power flow are developed to generate the measurement and voltage state data. The IEEE 123-node system is selected as the test network to benchmark the proposed algorithm against the classic weighted least squares and state-of-the-art learning-based DSSE approaches. Numerical results show that the D-P2N2 outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of estimation accuracy and computational efficiency.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2021

Toward Hybrid Physics-Machine Learning to improve Land Surface Model predictions

A critical challenge for Land Surface Models (LSMs) is to simulate processes at the surface and the subsurface and their feedbacks to the atmosphere. Even using the same climate forcings, different LSMs predict different surface fluxes and soil moisture conditions due to differences in the formulations of individual processes, parameterizations, and representation of spatial heterogeneity. Ultimately, these differences contribute to the LSM prediction errors and uncertainty. This research seeks to address this challenge by coupling physics-based modeling with state-of-the-art machine learning (ML) techniques to describe complex physical and biogeochemical processes and narrow the gap between model predictions and observations.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

LDRD 22A1059-068FP Tailoring the Properties of Multi-Phase Materials Through the Use of Correlative Microscopy and Machine Learning - Poster

High strength alloys with good ductility, hardness, and toughness are needed to meet stringent design requirements for extreme environments. One complication in this pursuit is the evidence that metals rarely exhibit both high strength and good fracture toughness as the underlying mechanisms work in opposition. An exception to this behavior is found in multiphase alloys that form complex microstructures of mixed phases with variable grain sizes and shapes that provide increased fracture toughness by the arrangement of their constituent elements. We propose to explore this phenomenon using state-of-the-art machine learning (ML) techniques in a new and novel manner to identify and correlate the critical microstructural features in a Titanium-10Vanadium-2Iron-3Aluminum (Ti-10V-2Fe-3Al) alloy that is reported to exhibit high strength and fracture toughness. Additionally, we will employ multiple, complementary characterization techniques such as optical microscopy, electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD), energy dispersive spectroscopy (EDS) and scanning electron microscopy to provide multi-layer, quantitative ground truth measures of the microstructures. This data will be used to train a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) in a semi-supervised environment to identify key microstructural features such as ? platelet dimensions and locations and ?/? phase boundaries and correlate those features with the strength and toughness. Here the ? and ? nomenclature refers to hexagonal close pack (hcp) and body center cubic (bcc) crystal structures, respectively. Previous work has focused on popular alloys and typically used one characterization technique. This research is focused on a promising titanium alloy, uses multiple complimentary characterization tools to provide precise microstructural information and correlates to improved fracture toughness. The resulting ML tool can be trained for additional microstructural features, different alloy(s), and or target mechanical properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Scalable Computation of Topological Abstractions for Scalar Data

Topological data analysis has become an important tool for large scale scalar data analysis and visualization, efficiently extracting the inherent structure and features of interest of the data. However, with growing dataset sizes and complexity, it is increasingly becoming infeasible to compute topological abstractions of interest in serial and on single machines. This paper presents the state of the art in the scalable computation of topological abstractions on scalar data, in shared memory parallel on single machines, and in distributed memory parallel on multiple machines. We highlight results for set‐based, graph‐based and complex‐based abstractions and organize the state of the art based on this taxonomy. The paper identifies parallelization and distribution techniques common in topological algorithms and highlights further areas of interest with underdeveloped efforts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Plasma confinement state classification via FPP relevant microwave diagnostics

We present a parsimonious and robust machine learning approach for identifying plasma confinement states in fusion power plants (FPPs) where reliable identification of the low-confinement and high-confinement regimes is critical for safe and efficient operation. Unlike research-oriented devices, FPPs must operate with a severely constrained set of diagnostics. To address this challenge, we demonstrate that a minimalist model, using only electron cyclotron emission (ECE) signals, can achieve accurate and reliable state classification. ECE provides electron temperature profiles without the engineering or survivability issues of in-vessel probes, making it a primary candidate for FPP-relevant diagnostics. Our framework employs ECE as input, extracts features using radial basis functions, and applies a gradient boosting classifier, achieving a test accuracy of 96% (correct predictions). Robustness analysis and feature importance analyzes confirm the approach’s reliability. These results demonstrate that state-of-the-art performance is attainable from a restricted diagnostic set, paving the way for minimalist yet resilient plasma control architectures for FPPs.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Machine Learning Full NMR Chemical Shift Tensors of Silicon Oxides with Equivariant Graph Neural Networks

The nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) chemical shift tensor is a highly sensitive probe of the electronic structure of an atom and furthermore its local structure. Recently, machine learning has been applied to NMR in the prediction of isotropic chemical shifts from a structure. Current machine learning models, however, often ignore the full chemical shift tensor for the easier-to-predict isotropic chemical shift, effectively ignoring a multitude of structural information available in the NMR chemical shift tensor. Here we use an equivariant graph neural network (GNN) to predict full 29 Si chemical shift tensors in silicate materials. The equivariant GNN model predicts full tensors to a mean absolute error of 1.05 ppm and is able to accurately determine the magnitude, anisotropy, and tensor orientation in a diverse set of silicon oxide local structures. When compared with other models, the equivariant GNN model outperforms the state-of-the-art machine learning models by 53%. The equivariant GNN model also outperforms historic analytical models by 57% for isotropic chemical shift and 91% for anisotropy. The software is available as a simple-to-use open-source repository, allowing similar models to be created and trained with ease.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

GridDS: Data Science Toolkit for Energy Grid Data

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the demand for energy is expected to increase 50% by the year 20501. While energy standards, such as the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) Standard 1547, (Basso 2015) and monitoring with wide area management systems (WAMS) (Liu 2017, Zhou 2016) have enabled large scale data collection and storage, the application of this data in mitigating costs associated with increased consumer demand is an ongoing focus for energy research. This ubiquitous data collection presents a promising opportunity for machine learning and data science to improve efficiency of distributed energy resources (DERs). The GridDS software toolkit is designed to leverage advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), outage management systems data (OMS), Supervisory control Data Acquisition (SCADA), and geographic information systems (GIS) to forecast future energy demands and detect incipient grid failures. GridDS is a python software library designed to be modular and generalizable to data recorded by DERs. In adapting to disparate datasets recorded by various WAMS, GridDS provides a range of unique functionality not presently implemented in current WAMS which have highly specific software infrastructure by design. GridDS functionality ranges from data specification and preparation, to training and validation for state of the art machine learning, to interactive data visualization. For data intake, GridDS combines: Pandera: a library for creating data specifications. TimeScaleDB: a postgresSQL database infrastructure for efficient storage of timeseries data. Dataset class: A custom dataset class / interface that ensures modularity between a range of synthetic and live recorded datasets. Is

Ladd, Alexander↗
DOE OSTI2020

GOOML: Geothermal Operational Optimization with Machine Learning

Geothermal Operational Optimization with Machine Learning (GOOML) is a project focused on maximizing increased availability and capacity from existing industrial-scale geothermal generation assets. The GOOML project will develop a suite of machine learning-based algorithms that analyze historical production datasets and provide predictive setpoints for geothermal field operations. Historical datasets from New Zealand and the US will provide the input to develop digital geothermal system twins which allow prediction of market conditions, maintenance operations and steamfield optimization. The algorithms will identify key parameters within fields and suggest setpoints for components of the system to maintain optimal generation. Set-points can be instructed to follow mass flow restrictions, generation maximization and optimal field/reservoir balance and give field operators a guide by which generation can be optimized. The datasets that will be used to develop GOOML are sourced from operating geothermal fields in New Zealand and the United States with varying degrees of complexity. This will ensure that most geothermal systems can utilize the GOOML tool to assist in optimizing operations. GOOML aims to achieve a step-change in geothermal operations by developing state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms, comprehensive data analytics, and a first-of-its-kind automated, intelligent geothermal system model.

algorithms↗
DOE OSTI2023

Adaptive learning-driven high-throughput synthesis of oxygen reduction reaction Fe–N–C electrocatalysts

Reducing human reliance on inefficient energy systems and fossil fuels has become more urgent due to the consequences of global climate change. However, traditional trial-and-error approaches have hampered our ability to accelerate the discovery and implementation of functional materials for efficient energy conversion devices, such as polymer electrolyte fuel cells (PEFCs). To address this, we develop an adaptive learning framework that integrates machine learning and state-of-the-art capabilities in high-throughput synthesis to achieve expedited optimization of iron-nitrogen-carbon PEFC oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) electrocatalysts. We use statistical inference, uncertainty quantification, and global optimization to build a computational design-of-experiment tool that identifies the optimum compositions to be investigated next to reduce the demands placed on experimental materials discovery. We benchmark the ability of the proposed strategy to discover optimum catalyst synthesis conditions in a six-dimensional search space when starting with a thirty-six-sample database. By following the adaptive learning strategy, we synthesize fourteen new catalysts from approximately ten billion unique compositions and discover four catalysts that outperform all original samples. The best machine learning-optimized catalyst is 33% more active than the highest-performing one in the initial database, showing an ORR activity seven times larger than those typically reported for the same class of materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Gradient flow based phase-field modeling using separable neural networks

Allen–Cahn equation is a reaction–diffusion equation and is widely used for modeling phase separation. Machine learning methods for solving the Allen–Cahn equation in its strong form suffer from inaccuracies in collocation techniques, errors in computing higher-order spatial derivatives, and the large system size required by the space–time approach. To overcome these challenges, we propose solving the gradient flow of the Ginzburg–Landau free energy functional, which is equivalent to the Allen–Cahn equation, thereby avoiding the second-order spatial derivatives associated with the Allen–Cahn equation. A minimizing movement scheme is employed to solve the gradient flow problem, eliminating the complexities of a space–time approach. We utilize a separable neural network that efficiently represents the phase field through low-rank tensor decomposition. As we use the minimizing movement scheme to numerically solve the gradient flow problem, we thus, refer to the proposed method as the Separable Deep Minimizing Movement (SDMM) method. The evaluation of the functional in the minimizing movement scheme using the Gauss quadrature technique bypasses the inaccuracies associated with collocation techniques traditionally used to solve partial differential equations. A hyperbolic tangent transformation is introduced on the phase field prior to the evaluation of the functional to ensure that it remains strictly bounded within the values of the two phases. For this transformation, theoretical guarantee for energy stability of the minimizing movement scheme is established. Our results suggest that this transformation helps to improve the accuracy and efficiency significantly. The proposed method resolves the challenges faced by state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, outperforming them in both accuracy and efficiency. It is also the first machine learning method to achieve an order of magnitude speed improvement over the finite element method. In addition to its formulation and computational implementation, several case studies illustrate the applicability of the proposed method.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

An adaptive adversarial domain adaptation approach for corn yield prediction

Recently, statistical machine learning and deep learning methods have been widely explored for corn yield prediction. Though successful, machine learning models generated within a specific spatial domain often lose their validity when directly applied to new regions. To address this issue, we designed an unsupervised adaptive domain adversarial neural network (ADANN). Specifically, through domain adversarial training, the ADANN model reduced the impact of domain shift by projecting data from different domains into the same subspace. Also, the ADANN model was designed to be trained in an adaptive way, which guaranteed the model can learn the domain-invariant features and perform accurate yield prediction simultaneously. Informative variables including time-series vegetation indices and sequential weather observations were first collected from multiple data sources and aggregated to the county level. Then, we trained the ADANN model with the extracted features and corresponding reported county-level corn yield from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). Finally, the trained model was evaluated in four testing years 2016–2019. The U.S. corn belt was used as the study area and counties under study were grouped into two diverse ecological regions. Overall, the experimental results showed that the developed ADANN model had better performance than three other state-of-the-art machine learning models in both local experiments (train and test in the same region) and transfer experiments (train and test in different regions). As the first study using adversarial learning for crop yield prediction, this research demonstrates a novel solution for improving model transferability on crop yield prediction.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machinable, high‐conductivity NaSICON through mitigation of humidity effects during solid‐state synthesis

The Na + super ion conductor (NaSICON, Na 1+x Zr 2 Si x P 3-x O 12 ) is a solid electrolyte well-known for fast, selective Na + transport at low temperatures, uniquely enabling sodium-based batteries. Producing high-quality NaSICON from solid-state methods, especially when cost-effective, potentially hygroscopic precursors are used, is not trivial. To understand and eliminate the influence of humidity during processing, a scheme was developed to reproducibly yield a high Na + conductivity (3.75 mS/cm at 25°C, 81.7 mS/cm at 150°C), high density (97%), and machinable NaSICON without the use of binders, sintering aids, or dopants. Controlled humidity studies over 20%–50% RH coupled with thermal, structural, and electrical analysis reveal that calcination temperatures < 1000°C leave NaSICON processing susceptible to water absorption at > 20% RH due to the presence of hygroscopic Na 3 PO 4 and Na 2 CO 3 during shaping, pressing, and sintering. Water absorption results in NaSICON with lower densities, machinability, and Na+ conductivity, due to impaired intergranular Na+ transport. At the other extreme, fully converting precursor to the NaSICON phase at 1230°C before pressing and sintering leads to poor conductivity and density. By calcining at 1000°C, excellent quality NaSICON may be produced under a range of laboratory environments, enabling low-cost production of high-conductivity, machinable NaSICON necessary the ever-growing energy storage market.

NaSICON↗
DOE OSTI2020

Virtualized Logical Qubits: A 2.5D Architecture for Error-Corrected Quantum Computing

Current, near-term quantum devices have shown great progress in the last several years culminating recently with a demonstration of quantum supremacy. In the medium-term, however, quantum machines will need to transition to greater reliability through error correction, likely through promising techniques like surface codes which are well suited for near-term devices with limited qubit connectivity. We discover quantum memory, particularly resonant cavities with transmon qubits arranged in a 2.5D architecture, can efficiently implement surface codes with substantial hardware savings and performance/fidelity gains. Specifically, we virtualize logical qubits by storing them in layers of qubit memories connected to each transmon. Surprisingly, distributing each logical qubit across many memories has a minimal impact on fault tolerance and results in substantially more efficient operations. Our design permits fast transversal application of CNOT operations between logical qubits sharing the same physical address (same set of cavities) which are 6x faster than standard lattice surgery CNOTs. We develop a novel embedding which saves approximately 10x in transmons with another 2x savings from an additional optimization for compactness. Although qubit virtualization pays a 10x penalty in serialization, advantages in the transversal CNOT and in area efficiency result in fault-tolerance and performance comparable to conventional 2D transmon-only architectures. Our simulations show our system can achieve fault tolerance comparable to conventional two-dimensional grids while saving substantial hardware. Furthermore, our architecture can produce magic states at 1.22x the baseline rate given a fixed number of transmon qubits. Here, this is a critical benchmark for future fault-tolerant quantum computers as magic states are essential and machines will spend the majority of their resources continuously producing them. This architecture substantially reduces the hardware requirements for fault-tolerant quantum computing and puts within reach a proof-of-concept experimental demonstration of around 10 logical qubits, requiring only 11 transmons and 9 attached cavities in total.

quantum computing↗
DOE OSTI2024

Teaching Freight Mode Choice Models New Tricks Using Interpretable Machine Learning Methods

Understanding and forecasting the intricate freight mode choice behavior under various industry, policy, and technology contexts is essential in freight planning and policymaking. Numerous models have been developed in prior studies to provide insights into freight mode selection, the majority of which use discrete choice models such as multinomial logit (MNL) models. However, logit models often rely on linear specifications of independent variables, despite potential nonlinear relationships in the data. Moreover, there often lacks a heuristic and efficient approach to identify such complex relationships to define the logit model specifications. To fill this gap, we developed an MNL model for freight mode choice using the insights from state-of-the- art machine learning (ML) models. ML models can capture the nonlinear nature of the complex decision-making process, and recent advances in 'explainable AI' have greatly improved their interpretability. The interpretable ML methods help enhance the performance of MNL models and advance knowledge of freight mode choice. Specifically, the influential factors and their relationship with individual modes are identified using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to improve the MNL's performance. The workflow is demonstrated in a case study of Austin, Texas, and the SHAP results reveal multiple nonlinear relationships predicted by ML models. Incorporating those relationships into MNL model specifications improves the interpretability and accuracy of the MNL model compared to a conventional MNL model. Findings from this study can be used to guide freight planning and inform policymakers and practitioners on how key factors affect freight decision-making.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,MATHEMATICS AND COMPUT↗
DOE OSTI2025

Jensen–Shannon divergence based novel loss functions for Bayesian neural networks

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are state-of-the-art machine learning methods that can naturally regularize and systematically quantify uncertainties using their stochastic parameters. Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence-based variational inference used in BNNs suffer from unstable optimization and challenges in approximating light-tailed posteriors due to the unbounded nature of the KL divergence. To resolve these issues, we formulate a novel loss function for BNNs based on a new modification to the generalized Jensen–Shannon (JS) divergence, which is bounded. In addition, we propose a Geometric JS divergence-based loss, which is computationally efficient since it can be evaluated analytically. We found that the JS divergence-based variational inference is intractable, and hence employed a constrained optimization framework to formulate these losses. Our theoretical analysis and empirical experiments on multiple regression and classification data sets suggest that the proposed losses perform better than the KL divergence-based loss, especially when the data sets are noisy or biased. Specifically, there are approximately 5% and 8% improvements in accuracy for a noise-added CIFAR-10 dataset and a regression dataset, respectively. There is about 13% reduction in false negative predictions of a biased histopathology dataset. Additionally, we quantify and compare the uncertainty metrics for the regression and classification tasks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Multivariate environmental and trait-based controls of transpiration in the Central Amazon Rainforest

Tropical forest tree mortality is increasing due to more severe droughts, yet our understanding of how tree traits and life strategies are linked to drought stress has been limited by measurement scarcity. The BIONTE (BIOmass and NuTrient Experiment) near Manaus, Brazil hosts one of the world’s largest sap flow installations, with sensors in 90 canopy trees across a wood density gradient monitored since June 2022. The 2023 El Niño drought provided a unique opportunity to evaluate how water availability impacts tree transpiration. An interpretable machine learning framework was used to study the complex interactions between transpiration and multiple environmental variables such as soil water availability and vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and how these interactions vary with wood density and individual trees. We found varying responses of transpiration from different trees during the El Niño drought. Transpiration generally increased with temperature, with stronger effects in wetter areas and in trees with low to medium wood density. However, this response was modulated by stomatal sensitivity to VPD, which constrained transpiration under high atmospheric demand, particularly in intermediate-moisture area. The inflection in transpiration rate at high temperatures (>32°C) underscores the role of stomatal and hydraulic regulation in limiting water loss and protecting trees from excessive evaporative demand. Analysis of soil water contribution to transpiration revealed unimodal patterns in wetter area, with peak contributions near 0.45 cm 3 cm -3 of surface soil water and declining or flat responses beyond that threshold, suggesting a shift from water- to energy-limited transpiration. In contrast, drier areas exhibited limited transpiration sensitivity to soil water conditions and minimal trait-based variation in VPD responses, indicating supply-limited conditions. Despite higher wood density trees being generally more resilient, this study shows diverse tree drought resilience, prompting further investigation into the specific traits and dynamics between environmental variables in regulating transpiration and other physiological processes in trees.

Drought↗
DOE OSTI2025

Equation of state of boron carbide B 4 ⁢C

We present the results of recent experiments conducted on the Sandia Z machine and a new tabular equation of state for B 4 ⁢C. The equation of state was calibrated to a combination of density functional calculations reported here and fits to preexisting data. It was constructed partly to recover the effects of a shock-driven, polymorphic phase transition of unknown character beginning at particle velocities of just under 3 km/s (shock pressures of 95 GPa). Some of the Z experiments included sound speeds determined by the overtaking rarefaction method, from which we calculate the Grüneisen parameter and compare with previous experiments conducted at the OMEGA laser [Fratanduono et al ., Phys. Rev. B 94 , 184107 (2016)], our own first principles calculations, and another recent tabular equation of state [Zhang et al ., Phys. Rev. E 102 , 053203 (2020)]. We also compare our results with previous static compression, thermophysical, and melt studies, finding mixed consistency. We predict the onset and completion of shock melting at 225 and 265 GPa, respectively, and predict a melt curve that is largely flat to pressures of several hundred GPa.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗