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At least 217 records · Page 12

Analysis of the effects of mean local node-crossing time on the evolution of Sun-synchronous orbits

An investigation of the effect of mean local node-crossing time on the evolution of Sun-synchronous orbits was undertaken during Phase-A orbit analysis for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) O,P,Q environmental spacecraft. That analysis added to the growing body of evidence that individual Sun-synchronous missions, at differing node-crossing times, experience nodal drift rates that can differ in both magnitude and direction. A Sun-synchronous orbit is obtained by means of a nodal drift rate approximating the 0.9856-degree-per-day apparent precession of the position of the mean Sun. This drift rate is achieved through the interaction of the orbital semimajor axis and inclination in Earth's geopotential field. Influencing perturbations include atmospheric drag and, most important, the effects of solar gravitation on inclination. The present analysis examines a series of Sun-synchronous orbits with mean local node-crossing times at 1-hour intervals from 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. It considers the fixed geometry of each orbital plane with respect to both the Sun and the diurnal atmospheric bulge, then analyzes the influence of these features upon the evolution of the semimajor axix and inclination and thus upon the rate of the nodal drift in the course of 1 year.

Jordan, P.↗

The dynamics of large-scale cyclogenesis over the North Pacific Ocean

Wintertime cases of persistent cyclonic flow abnormalities over the North Pacific were studied with the aim of identifying the primary mechanisms for persistent anomaly development. Processes influencing the time evolution of eddy potential enstrophy and potential vorticity anomalies were examined using intensive diagnostic analyses. Analysis indicates that the primary source region for large-scale development is located over the mid-Pacific jet exit region. Potential enstrophy analysis shows that eddy enstrophy increases result from local conversions between the large-scale eddy and the climatological-mean flow. The occurrence of a form of baroclinic 'self development' during large-scale intensification is suggested by potential vorticity inversions. Baroclinic and barotropic processes contribute positively to the large-scale developments. Results indicate that the primary mechanism for the developments is a large-scale instability of the three-dimensional time-mean flow, and suggest that nonmodel transient growth plays a significant role during development.

Black, Robert X.↗

Ozone transport during a cut-off low event studied in the frame of the TOASTE program

A study of ozone transfer to the troposphere has been performed during two phases of the evolution of a cut-off low using both ozone vertical profiles and objective analysis of the ECMWF to compute potential vorticity distributions and air mass trajectories. Ozone profiles were measured by a ground based lidar system at the Observatoire de Haute Provence (OHP, 43 deg 55 N, 5 deg 42 E). A stratospheric ozone transport into the troposphere has been observed during a tropopause fold which occurred at the beginning of the cut-off low formation and during the erosion phase of the cut-off low. From the estimate of the maximum ozone content transferred to the troposphere, both mechanisms have the same order of magnitude of influence on the ozone flux to the troposphere. On a time scale of a few days, the correlation is very good between the potential vorticity and the ozone time evolution in the vicinity of the upper level frontal system.

Ancellet, G.↗

Time dependent simulation of cosmic-ray shocks including Alfven transport

Time evolution of plane, cosmic-ray modified shocks was simulated numerically for the case with parallel magnetic fields. Computations were done in a 'three-fluid' dynamical model incorporating cosmic-ray and Alfven wave energy transport equations. Nonlinear feedback from the cosmic-rays and Alfven waves is included in the equation of motion for the underlying plasma, as is the finite propagation speed and energy dissipation of the Alfven waves. Exploratory results confirm earlier, steady state analyses that found these Alfven transport effects to be potentially important when the upstream Alfven speed and gas sound speeds are comparable. As noted earlier Alfven transport effects tend to reduce the transfer of energy through a shock from gas to energetic particles. These studies show as well that the time scale for modification of the shock is altered in nonlinear ways. It is clear, however, that the consequences of Alfven transport are strongly model dependent and that both advection of cosmic-rays by the waves and dissipation of wave energy in the plasma will be important to model correctly when quantitative results are needed. Comparison is made between simulations based on a constant diffusion coefficient and more realistic diffusion models allowing the diffusion coefficient to vary in response to changes in Alfven wave intensity. No really substantive differences were found between them.

Jones, T. W.↗

DPOD2020: A DORIS Extension of the ITRF2020 for Precise Orbit Determination

As one of the tracking systems used to determine orbits of the altimeter mission satellites (such as TOPEX/Poseidon, Envisat, Jason-1/-2/-3, CryoSat-2, Saral/Altika, Sentinel-3A/-3B, HY-2A/C/D, Jason-CS/Sentinel-6A, SWOT), DORIS (Doppler Orbitography Radiopositionning Integrated by Satellite) allows to determine positions and velocities of tracking stations that define a stable reference for the estimation of the precise orbits and thus are fundamental for the quality of the altimeter data and derived mean sea level products. Due to the time evolution of the DORIS ground network, some stations included in the 2020 realization of the International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF2020) have been decommissioned and since 2021.0 a few new stations were added to the tracking network. Therefore, to satisfy operational requirements for POD (Precise Orbit Determination) and routine delivery of geodetic products, the International DORIS Service (IDS) regularly updates the DPOD (DORIS terrestrial reference frame for Precise Orbit Determination). The DPOD solutions include mean positions and velocities of all the DORIS stations since 1993.0 derived from the stacking of the latest IDS weekly combined series aligned to the current ITRF. In this paper, we first present the stacking process of the DPOD2020 version 1.0. Then, we address the validation procedure of the DPO2020 including comparison with ITRF2020 and POD tests. For eighty percent of all the time segments of all the DORIS stations, the station position differences between DPOD2020 version 1.0 and ITRF2020 are smaller than ten millimeters. The major position differences between these two solutions are associated with the DORIS sites either localized in the South Atlantic Anomaly region or with time spans smaller than one year. Compared to DPOD2014, the DPOD2020 shows reduction of the main statistics of the DORIS-to-DORIS tie residuals (differences between the estimated and measured ties). The POD tests showed similar results for DPOD2020 and DPOD2014 for most of the altimetric satellites (TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, CryoSat-2, Jason-3). In addition, we observed better POD results with DPOD2020 for the latest altimetric satellite Sentinel-3A as well as a slight degradation for Jason-2. That degradation was fully explained by slightly worst results for the stations localized in the South Atlantic Anomaly region.

DORIS↗

Torque Balances on the Taylor Cylinders in the Geomagnetic Data Assimilation

In this presentation we report on our continuing effort in geomagnetic data assimilation, aiming at understanding and predicting geomagnetic secular variation on decadal time scales. In particular, we focus on the effect of the torque balances on the cylindrical surfaces in the core co-axial with the Earth's rotation axis (the Taylor cylinders) on the time evolution of assimilated solutions. We use our MoSST core dynamics,model and observed geomagnetic field at the Earth's surface derived via Comprehensive Field Model (CFM) for the geomagnetic data assimilation. In our earlier studies, a model solution is selected randomly from our numerical database. It is then assimilated with the observations such that the poloidal field possesses the same field tomography on the core-mantel boundary (CMB) continued downward from surface observations. This tomography change is assumed to be effective through out the outer core. While this approach allows rapid convergence between model solutions and the observations, it also generates sevee numerical instabilities: the delicate balance between weak fluid inertia and the magnetic torques on the Taylor cylinders are completely altered. Consequently, the assimilated solution diverges quickly (in approximately 10% of the magnetic free-decay time in the core). To improve the assimilation, we propose a partial penetration of the assimilation from the CMB: The full-scale modification at the CMB decreases linearly and vanish at an interior radius r(sub a). We shall examine from our assimilation tests possible relationships between the convergence rate of the model solutions to observations and the cut-off radius r(sub a). A better assimilation shall serve our nudging tests in near future.

Kuang, Weijia↗

Impact of DORISx Post Seismic Deformation and Seasonal Corrections on the DPOD2020 Solution

As one of the tracking systems used for the altimeter missions (such as TOPEX/Poseidon, Envisat, Jason-1/-2/-3, CryoSat-2, Saral/AltiKa, Sentinel-3A/-3B, HY-2A/C/D, Jason-CS/Sentinel-6A, SWOT), the position of the DORIS tracking stations provides a fundamental reference for the estimation of the precise orbits and so, by extension is fundamental for the quality of the altimeter data analysis and derived products. Due to the time evolution of the DORIS ground network, stations included in ITRF2020 may have been decommissioned and stations that were added to the tracking network after 2021.0 are, by definition, not part of ITRF2020. Therefore, to satisfy operational requirements for precise orbit determination and routine delivery of geodetic products, the International DORIS Service maintains the DORIS terrestrial reference frame for Precise Orbit Determination (DPOD) solutions. Since 2016, the DPOD products are computed by the IDS Combination Center (CC) as a DORIS cumulative position and linear velocity solution aligned to the latest available ITRF and using the latest IDS weekly combined series. Mid-2023, the IDS CC started the computation of the second version of the DPOD2020 based on the IDS 20 weekly solutions from 1993.0 to 2023.0. With that new solution, the IDS CC will include Post Seismic Deformation (PSD) corrections for some DORIS sites such as Socorro Island. These DPOD PSD corrections are determined from the analysis of DORIS coordinate time series only. The second version will also include optional annual and semi-annual station corrections. The presentation will describe the analysis used for extracting the PSD and seasonal DORIS station corrections, compare such corrections to those derived for ITRF2020, and evaluate the impact these new corrections have on station positioning and satellite POD.

Guilhem Moreaux↗

The Dripping Handrail Model: Transient Chaos in Accretion Systems

We define and study a simple dynamical model for accretion systems, the "dripping handrail" (DHR). The time evolution of this spatially extended system is a mixture of periodic and apparently random (but actually deterministic) behavior. The nature of this mixture depends on the values of its physical parameters - the accretion rate, diffusion coefficient, and density threshold. The aperiodic component is a special kind of deterministic chaos called transient chaos. The model can simultaneously exhibit both the quasiperiodic oscillations (QPO) and very low frequency noise (VLFN) that characterize the power spectra of fluctuations of several classes of accretion systems in astronomy. For this reason, our model may be relevant to many such astrophysical systems, including binary stars with accretion onto a compact object - white dwarf, neutron star, or black hole - as well as active galactic nuclei. We describe the systematics of the DHR's temporal behavior, by exploring its physical parameter space using several diagnostics: power spectra, wavelet "scalegrams," and Lyapunov exponents. In addition, we note that for large accretion rates the DHR has periodic modes; the effective pulse shapes for these modes - evaluated by folding the time series at the known period - bear a resemblance to the similarly- determined shapes for some x-ray pulsars. The pulsing observed in some of these systems may be such periodic-mode accretion, and not due to pure rotation as in the standard pulsar model.

Young, Karl↗

MAGIC: A Tool for Combining, Interpolating, and Processing Magnetograms

Transients in the solar coronal magnetic field are ultimately the source of space weather. Models which seek to track the evolution of the coronal field require magnetogram images to be used as boundary conditions. These magnetograms are obtained by numerous instruments with different cadences and resolutions. A tool is required which allows modelers to fmd all available data and use them to craft accurate and physically consistent boundary conditions for their models. We have developed a software tool, MAGIC (MAGnetogram Interpolation and Composition), to perform exactly this function. MAGIC can manage the acquisition of magneto gram data, cast it into a source-independent format, and then perform the necessary spatial and temporal interpolation to provide magnetic field values as requested onto model-defined grids. MAGIC has the ability to patch magneto grams from different sources together providing a more complete picture of the Sun's field than is possible from single magneto grams. In doing this, care must be taken so as not to introduce nonphysical current densities along the seam between magnetograms. We have designed a method which minimizes these spurious current densities. MAGIC also includes a number of post-processing tools which can provide additional information to models. For example, MAGIC includes an interface to the DA VE4VM tool which derives surface flow velocities from the time evolution of surface magnetic field. MAGIC has been developed as an application of the KAMELEON data formatting toolkit which has been developed by the CCMC.

Allred, Joel↗

Temporal Evolution of SL-9 Impact Sites on Jupiter and Global Maps of Jupiter from Multi-Observatory Visible and Infrared Images

The objective of this research was to investigate the temporal behavior of the impact features on Jupiter created by the fragments of the Shoemaker Levy-9 comet that collided with the planet in July 1994. The primary observations used in the study were ground based images of Jupiter acquired from the Swedish Solar Vacuum Tube on the island of La Palma in the Canary Islands. The measurement of position of the impact features in images acquired immediately after the impact over a period of a few days revealed that the apparent drift rates were too high and that a repetitive pattern could be seen in the longitude position on successive rotations. This could be explained only by the fact that the measured longitudes of the impact sites were being affected by parallax due to a significant elevation of the impact debris above the nominal cloud top altitude value used for image navigation. Once the apparent positions are analyzed as a function of the meridian angle, the parallax equation can be used to infer the height of the impact features above the cloud deck, once the true impact position (longitude) for the feature is known. Due to their inherent high spatial resolution, the HST measurements of the impact site locations have been accepted widely. However, these suffer from the parallax themselves since few of them were obtained at central meridian. Ground based imaging have the potential to improve this knowledge as they do observe most of the impact sites on either side of the central meridian, except for the degraded resolution. Measurements over a large number of images enables us to minimize the position error through regression and thus estimate both the actual impact site location devoid of parallax bias, and also of the altitude level of the impact debris above the cloud deck. With rapid imaging there is the potential to examine the time evolution of the altitude level. Several hundred ground based images were processed, navigated and subjected to the impact site location measurements. HST images were also acquired and used to calibrate the results and to improve the sample. The resources available enabled an in-depth study only of impact site A, however, many more images have since become available through the global network observations through Lowell Observatory.

Limaye, Sanjay S.↗

Application of a Reduced Order Kalman Filter to Initialize a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Model: Impact on the Prediction of El Nino

A reduced order Kalman Filter, based on a simplification of the Singular Evolutive Extended Kalman (SEEK) filter equations, is used to assimilate observed fields of the surface wind stress, sea surface temperature and sea level into the nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model. The SEEK filter projects the Kalman Filter equations onto a subspace defined by the eigenvalue decomposition of the error forecast matrix, allowing its application to high dimensional systems. The Zebiak and Cane model couples a linear reduced gravity ocean model with a single vertical mode atmospheric model of Zebiak. The compatibility between the simplified physics of the model and each observed variable is studied separately and together. The results show the ability of the model to represent the simultaneous value of the wind stress, SST and sea level, when the fields are limited to the latitude band 10 deg S - 10 deg N. In this first application of the Kalman Filter to a coupled ocean-atmosphere prediction model, the sea level fields are assimilated in terms of the Kelvin and Rossby modes of the thermocline depth anomaly. An estimation of the error of these modes is derived from the projection of an estimation of the sea level error over such modes. This method gives a value of 12 for the error of the Kelvin amplitude, and 6 m of error for the Rossby component of the thermocline depth. The ability of the method to reconstruct the state of the equatorial Pacific and predict its time evolution is demonstrated. The method is shown to be quite robust for predictions I up to six months, and able to predict the onset of the 1997 warm event fifteen months before its occurrence.

Ballabrera-Poy, Joaquim↗

Application of a Reduced Order Kalman Filter to Initialize a Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Model: Impact on the Prediction of El Nino

A reduced order Kalman Filter, based on a simplification of the Singular Evolutive Extended Kalman (SEEK) filter equations, is used to assimilate observed fields of the surface wind stress, sea surface temperature and sea level into the nonlinear coupled ocean-atmosphere model of Zebiak and Cane. The SEEK filter projects the Kalman Filter equations onto a subspace defined by the eigenvalue decomposition of the error forecast matrix, allowing its application to high dimensional systems. The Zebiak and Cane model couples a linear reduced gravity ocean model with a single vertical mode atmospheric model of Zebiak. The compatibility between the simplified physics of the model and each observed variable is studied separately and together. The results show the ability of the model to represent the simultaneous value of the wind stress, SST and sea level, when the fields are limited to the latitude band 10 deg S - 10 deg N In this first application of the Kalman Filter to a coupled ocean-atmosphere prediction model, the sea level fields are assimilated in terms of the Kelvin and Rossby modes of the thermocline depth anomaly. An estimation of the error of these modes is derived from the projection of an estimation of the sea level error over such modes. This method gives a value of 12 for the error of the Kelvin amplitude, and 6 m of error for the Rossby component of the thermocline depth. The ability of the method to reconstruct the state of the equatorial Pacific and predict its time evolution is demonstrated. The method is shown to be quite robust for predictions up to six months, and able to predict the onset of the 1997 warm event fifteen months before its occurrence.

Ballabrera-Poy, J.↗

Cosmic-ray propagation. I.

Charged particle motion in random magnetic field, describing time evolution of particle distribution in pitch angle and position in terms of Fokker- Planck coefficients

INTERPLANETARY MAGNETIC FIELD↗

Solar flare particle propagation: Comparision of a new analytic solution with spacecraft measurements

An analytic solution was obtained to the complete Fokker-Planck equation for solar flare particle propagation including the effects of convection, energy-change, corotation, and diffusion. It is assumed that the particles are injected impulsively at a single point in space, and that a boundary exists beyond which the particles are free to escape. Several solar flare particle events were observed with solar and galactic cosmic ray experiment aboard OGO 6. Detailed comparisons of the predictions of the solution with observations of 1 to 70 MeV protons show that the model adequately describes both the rise and decay times. The solution also yields a time evolution for the vector anisotropy which agrees well with reported observations.

Lupton, J. E.↗

Charged-particle transport in turbulent astrophysical plasmas

The effect of electromagnetic fluctuations, or plasma turbulence, on the motion of the individual particles in a plasma is investigated. Two alternative methods are used to find a general equation governing the time-evolution of a distribution of charged particles subject to both an external force field and the random fields of the fluctuations. It is found that, for the high-temperature, low-density plasmas frequently encountered in the study of astrophysics, the presence of even a small amount of turbulence can have a very important effect on the behavior of the plasma. Two problems in which turbulence plays an important role are treated.

Newman, C. E., Jr.↗