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At least 235 records · Page 13

Vertical Ocean Loading Amplitudes From VLBI Measurements

Vertical ocean loading amplitudes are determined by analysis of IRIS geodetic VLBI data. Vertical ocean loading amplitudes can thus be inferred from VLBI data at a level which improves the overall model, but detailed assessment of individual tidal components is presently obscured by inadequacies in modeling other tidal effects.

ocean↗

Combining Satellite Data and Spatial Analysis to Assess the UHI Amplitude and Structure within Urban Areas: The Case of Moroccan Cities

Landsat-8 surface temperature and the European Space Agency land cover are used to assess the impact of land cover on the Urban Heat Island (UHI) and Urban Heat Sink (UHS). We analyzed five Moroccan cities selected for their different local climate, size, and typology during summer at three different spatial scales. The results show multiple causes defining the different forms and amplitudes of the UHI, namely: the ambient climate, the proximity to the sea, the presence of landscaped areas, and the color of building roofs and walls. Contrary to what was expected, the vegetation was not systematically an island of coolness, either because of its typology or its irrigation status. In the coastal cities of Tangier and Casablanca, UHIs around 20°C are observed on the seaside, whereas a UHS of up to 11°C is observed between the city center and the southern periphery of Casablanca. A moderate amplitude UHI of 7°C is formed in the mountainous city of Ifrane. For cities built in desert-like environments, well-defined UHSs between 9°C and 12°C are observed in Smara and Marrakech, respectively. At a finer scale, towns recorded lower temperatures than their immediate surroundings, which are attributed to evaporation from irrigated plants.

Laila El Ghazouani↗

Investigating seasonal ENSO forecast amplitude calibration for GEOS-S2S-2

The GEOS-S2S-2 is a global coupled model and assimilation system, encompassing many aspects of the Earth climate system. This project looked at seasonal (nine-month) ensemble forecasts, over the period from 1982 through the present. We explored and validated a forecast amplitude correction technique used by the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME), of which GEOS is a member, for Niño3.4 sea-surface temperature (SST) anomaly predictions. The method relies on deriving a set of correction factors based on the standard deviations of hindcast and observed SST anomalies. This algorithm was implemented at the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) and applied to the GEOS-S2S-2 Niño 3.4 hindcasts. In general, the correction reduced the forecast amplitude. This improved the quality of the forecasts when measured by the root mean square error (RMSE) of the ensemble mean forecast. RMSE decreased for most initialization months and forecast leads. The correction had a larger impact on seasons with strong El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events than neutral seasons. The effects of the correction on the ensemble characteristics were also examined, and a variation of the algorithm was proposed that preserves the ensemble spread. The outcome of this project is a tool that can be used to calibrate GEOS-S2S-2 ENSO forecasts and potentially improve the precision of multi-model El Niño outlooks.

ENSO↗

Development of optic disc edema during 30 days of hypercapnic head down tilt bed rest is associated with short sleep duration and blunted temperature amplitude

Consequences of sleep and circadian rhythm disturbances include many neurophysiological sequelae, especially when combined with spaceflight stressors, and are therefore hypothesized to contribute to the development of optic disc edema observed in astronauts. Additionally, chronically elevated carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) levels on the International Space Station may contribute to the observed sleep disturbances in astronauts. Here we determined if the spaceflight analogue head-down tilt bed rest (HDTBR) combined with elevated CO 2 levels influenced sleep and core temperature and was associated the development of optic disc edema. Healthy participants (5 female, 6 male) aged 25-50 years, underwent thirty days of strict 6° HDTBR in a mild hypercapnic environment (ambient PCO 2 = 4 mmHg) with measures of sleep, 24-hour core temperature, overnight arterialized CO2, and Frisén grade edema collected pre-HDTBR, on HDTBR days 4, 17, 28, and post-HDTBR days 4 and 10. During all HDTBR time points, sleep, core temperature, and overnight arterialized CO 2 were not statistically significantly different than the pre-HDTBR measurements. However, independent of the HDTBR intervention, the odds ratios (mean [95% CI]) for developing Frisén grade optic disc edema were statistically significant for each hour below the mean total sleep time (2.2 [1.1-4.4]) and stage 2 NREM sleep (4.8 [1.3-18.6]), and above the mean for wake after sleep onset (3.6 [1.2-10.6]) and for each 0.1°C decrease in core temperature amplitude below the mean (4.0 [1.4-11.7]).These data suggest that optic disc edema occurring during HDTBR was more likely to occur in those with short sleep duration and blunted temperature amplitude.

Kate H. Christian↗