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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 235 records · Page 13

Periodic insolation variations on Mars.

Previously unrecognized insolation variations on Mars are a consequence of periodic variations in eccentricity, first established by the theory of Brouwer and Van Woerkom (1950). Such annual insolation variations, characterized by both 95,000-year and 2,000,000-year periodicities, may actually be recorded in newly discovered layered deposits in the polar regions of Mars. An additional north-south variation in seasonal insolation, but not average annual insolation, exists with 51,000-year and 2,000,000-year periodicities.

Murray, B. C.↗

Vertical structure of the midlatitude temperature from stratosphere to mesopause (30 - 105 km)

Data sets from Rayleigh lidar (1979-93) at the Observatory of Haute-Provence (44 deg N, 6 deg E) and at Biscarrosse (44 deg N, 1 deg W) of southern France, and from narrowband Na lidar (1991-4) at Fort Collins, Colorado (41 deg N, 105 deg W) are used to deduce the vertical temperature structure of the midlatitude middle atmosphere from 30 - 105 km. Nightly averaged temperatures measured across the Atlantic at comparable latitudes between 81 and 90 km showed seasonal variations tracking one another. Harmonic analyses of the measured profiles at these sites have been compared to the reference atmosphere, CIRA 1986. Considerable differences are noted in the annual mean temperautres in the mesopause region. Two temperature minima at 86 and 99 m are observed, suggesting heating and cooling mechnanisms not previously incorporated into the reference atmosphere. Using the new 3D TIME-General Circulation Model (GCM) of Roble and Ridley which includes both dynamical and chemical processes, we account for this anomalous behavior by model simulation for the first time. Except the existence of strong semi-annual oscillations, the observed annual and semi-annual temperature variations are compatible with CIRA 1986. Observed annual temperature and solar flux forcing are out-of-phase between 65 and 99 km, reflecting dynamics dominated atmosphere at these altitudes.

She, C. Y.↗

Cosmic ray intensity variations observed at Matsushiro (220 M.W.E. in depth)

Cosmic ray data from Matsushiro underground station were analyzed for four years (1981 to 84). It is found that a marked semi-annual intensity variation has been observed in this period. Solar diurnal and semi-diurnal variations have also been observed. After correcting for the spurious sidereal diurnal variation arising from the anisotropy responsible for the solar semi-diurnal variation (Nagashima et al., 1983), it is found that the corrected sidereal diurnal variation is consistent with those so far reported.

Yasue, S.↗

The Seasonal and Interannual Variability of the Budgets of N2O and CCl3F

The 6-year wind archives from the Goddard Institute for Space Studies/Global Climate-Middle Atmosphere Model (GISS/GCMAM) were in- put to the GISS/Harvard/Irvine Chemical Transport Model (G/H/I CTM) to study the seasonal and interannual variability of the budgets and distributions of nitrous oxide (N2O) and trichlorofluoromethane (CCl3F), with the corresponding chemical loss frequencies recycled and boundary conditions kept unchanged from year to year. The effects of ozone feedback and quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) were not included. However, the role of circulation variation in driving the lifetime variability is investigated. It was found that the global loss rates of these tracers are related to the extratropical planetary wave activity, which drives the tropical upward mass flux. For N2O, a semiannual signal in the loss rate variation is associated with the interhemispheric asymmetry in the upper stratospheric wave activity. For CCl3F, the semiannual signal is weaker, associated with the comparatively uniform wave episodes in the lower stratosphere. The loss rates lag behind the wave activity by about 1-2 months. The interannual variation of the GCM generated winds drives the interannual variation of the annually averaged lifetime. The year-to-year variations of the annually averaged lifetimes can be about 3% for N2O and 4% for CCl3F.

Wong, Sun↗

gaia: An R package to estimate crop yield responses to temperature and precipitation

gaia is an open-source R package designed to estimate crop yield shocks in response to annual weather variations and CO 2 concentrations at the country scale for 17 major crops. This innovative tool streamlines the workflow from raw climate data processing to projections of annual shocks to crop yields at the country level, using the response surfaces from an empirical econometric model developed and documented in Waldhoff et al. (2020), which leverages historical weather, CO 2 , and crop yield data for robust empirical fitting for 17 crops. gaia uses these response surfaces with monthly temperature and precipitation projections (e.g., from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) (O’Neill et al., 2016) climate data bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled by the ISIMIP3BASD approach (Lange, 2019) in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) (Warszawski et al., 2014)) to project yield shocks that can be applied to agricultural productivity changes at the country level for use in multisectoral economic models. The historical and future projections use gridded, country-and-crop specific monthly growing season precipitation and temperature data, aggregated to the national level, and weighted by cropland area derived from the global Monthly Irrigated and Rainfed Crop Areas around the year 2000 (MIRCA2000) dataset (Portmann et al., 2010). These annual, country, and crop-specific yield shocks can be aggregated to different definitions of regions, crop commodities, and time periods, as needed by specific multisectoral economic models. gaia serves as a lightweight, powerful tool that can aid exploration of crop yield responses under a broad range of future climate projections, enhancing human-Earth system analysis capabilities.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

The Impact of Temporal Geopotential Variations on GPS

Lemoine et al. (2006) and Lemoine et al. (2010) showed that applying more detailed models of time-variable gravity (TVG) improved the quality of the altimeter satellite orbits (e.g. TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2). This modeling include application of atmospheric gravity derived from 6-hrly pressure fields obtained from the ECMWF and annual gravity variations to degree & order 20x20 in spherical harmonics derived from GRACE data. This approach allowed the development of a consistent geophysical model for application to altimeter satellite orbit determination from 1993 to 2011. In addition, we have also evaluated the impact of TVG modeling on the POD of Jason-1 and Jason-2 by application of a weekly degree & order four gravity coefficient time series developed using data from ten SLR & DORIS-tracked satellites from 1993 to 2011 (Lemoine et al., 2011).

Melachroinos, Stavros↗

On the interpretation of seasonal variations of stratospheric ozone

The causes of the annual and semiannual ozone oscillations were investigated. Using the middle-atmosphere model of Garcia and Solomon (1983), the monthly variations of the ozone mixing ratio were computed and Fourier-analyzed, with excellent agreement found between the computed values and those measured with the SBUV instrument. It was found that, at high latitudes and low altitudes, the modeled ozone abundances increased in the winter due to transport and decreased in the summer due to chemical destruction. In the middle stratosphere, the calculated annual ozone variation was found to be largely due to the annual variation in the odd-oxygen production rate, while in the upper stratosphere, the annual ozone variation was found to be caused by the large annual oscillation in temperature.

Perliski, Lori M.↗

Azimuthal and meridional asymmetries of the solar wind and quasiperiodic variations of intensity of Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCR)

The results of analysis of 27 day, annual and quasi-two year variation of galactic cosmic rays (GCR) are presented. The dependence of the periods of 27 day GCR variation on the energy of initial radiation is discovered, according to the data during 1980 of the World network of station in sufficiently wide range of the observed threshold energy. The dependence of the annual variation of GCR is established, according to the data of the Huancayo station in conforming with the change of the polarity of the General Magnetic Field of the Sun (GMFS).

Shatashvili, L. K.↗

Financial-technical co-design for capital-intensive, resource-responsive energy systems

Because of their capital-intensive operation, wind energy systems that are competitive in terms of the cost of the energy that they produce lead to risk-reward trade-offs that make their business cases less favorable than those of conventional energy generation technologies. However, wind energy systems tend to be designed to maximize energy production or minimize cost of energy rather than to maximize their business cases. In this work, we attempt to exploit designs specifically tailored to business cases. We develop a novel framework for analyzing energy systems that ties their design variables to monthly operating incomes using simple models and historical hourly market and resource data. Using this approach, we demonstrate that for a wind site with abundant wind resource in the California Independent System Operator market, we can control the trade-off between mean and 5th percentile monthly returns by choosing the specific power of the turbine at a fixed modeled initial capital cost. Our framework gives a measure of the risk-reward spectrum of energy generation assets that could be built at a given site with respect to the sub-annual resource/market variation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗