Comparative Raman scattering study of crystal field excitations in Co-based quantum magnets
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Materials Science↗
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Thermal expansion of LaB 6 from 298 to 998 K
We propose LaB 6 as a temperature calibration standard for high-temperature (HT) X-ray diffractometry owing to its high temperature stability. Such HT applications require a reliable HT lattice parameter or, equivalently, peak position data, which have not been readily accessible to the diffraction community to date. As such, the thermal expansion behavior of NIST SRM 660a LaB6 was assessed in the temperature range 298–998 K using HT Bragg–Brentano parafocusing θ:θ X-ray diffractometry in conjunction with Rietveld analysis. Data were collected in the 2θ range 20–150° at a data collection rate of 0.5° θ min −1 in air and at 1 atm. The temperature was stepped in 50 K increments. The cubic unit-cell lattice parameter [a(T)] of LaB 6 in Å was found to vary as a(T) = 4.15678 (±0.00001) + Ξ(T − 298 K) + Ψ(T − 298 K) 2 , where Ξ = 2.4645 × 10 −5 (±4.8904 × 10 −8 ) Å K −1 and Ψ = 1.0325 × 10 −8 (±6.7376 × 10 −11 ) Å K −1 . The isobaric volume thermal expansion coefficient (TEC) was obtained as α V P = (5.9291 × 10 −6 ) + (4.9680 × 10 −9 )(T − 298 K) K −1 , from which the corresponding linear TEC was obtained as α L P = (1.9764 × 10 −6 ) + (1.6560 × 10 −9 )(T − 298 K) K −1 . The 3 × 3 matrix representations of the single-crystal isobaric linear TEC and the volume expansivity were obtained for the cubic crystal class to which LaB 6 belongs. Also, the temperature dependence of the lattice parameter data of this study was compared with past landmark studies on LaB 6 by Dutchak et al. [Inorg. Mater. (1972), 8, 1877–1880] and Aivazov et al. [Inorg. Mater. (1979), 15, 1015–1016].
LaB6 standard material↗
Investigation of thermal damage in explosive bridgewire detonators via discrete element method simulations
Exploding bridgewire (EBW) detonators are used to rapidly and reliably initiate energetic reactions by exploding a bridgewire via Joule heating. While the mechanisms of EBW detonators have been studied extensively in nominal conditions, comparatively few studies have addressed thermally damaged detonator operability. We present a mesoscale simulation study of thermal damage in a representative EBW detonator, using discrete element method (DEM) simulations that explicitly account for individual particles in the pressed explosive powder. We use a simplified model of melting, where solid spherical particles undergo uniform shrinking, and fluid dynamics are ignored. The subsequent settling of particles results in the formation of a gap between the solid powder and the bridgewire, which we study under different conditions. In particular, particle cohesion has a significant effect on gap formation and settling behavior, where sufficiently high cohesion leads to coalescence of particles into a free-standing pellet. This behavior is qualitatively compared to experimental visualization data, and simulations are shown to capture several key changes in pellet shape. We derive a minimum and maximum limit on gap formation during melting using simple geometric arguments. In the absence of cohesion, results agree with the maximum gap size. With increasing cohesion, the gap size decreases, eventually saturating at the minimum limit. In conclusion, we present results for different combinations of interparticle cohesion and detonator orientations with respect to gravity, demonstrating the complex behavior of these systems and the potential for DEM simulations to capture a range of scenarios.
cohesive powders↗
Combining Machine Learning and Comparative Effectiveness Methodology to Study Primary Care Pharmacotherapy Pathways for Veterans With Depression
Our objective is to demonstrate an innovative method combining machine learning with comparative effectiveness research techniques and to investigate a hitherto unstudied question about the effectiveness of common prescribing patterns. For Operation Enduring Freedom/Operation Iraqi Freedom veterans with major depressive disorder, we generate pharmacotherapy pathways (of antidepressants) using process mining and machine learning. We select the medication episodes that were started at subtherapeutic doses by the first assigned primary care physician and observe the paths that those medication episodes follow. Using 2-stage least squares, we test the effectiveness of starting at a low dose and staying low for longer versus ramping up fast while balancing observable and unobservable characteristics of patients and providers through instrumental variables. We leverage predetermined provider practice patterns as instruments. We collected outpatient pharmacy data for selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and selective norepinephrine reuptake inhibitors, patient and provider characteristics (as control variables), and the instruments for our cohort. All data were extracted for the period between 2006 and 2020. There is a statistically significant positive effect (0.68, 95% CI 0.11–1.25) of “ramping up fast” on engagement in care. When we examine the effect of “ramping up slow”, we see an insignificant negative impact on engagement in care (−0.82, 95% CI −1.89 to 0.25). As expected, the probability of drop-out also seems to have a negative effect on engagement in care (−0.39, 95% CI −0.94 to 0.17). We further validate these results by testing with medication possession ratios calculated periodically as an alternative engagement in care metric. Our findings contradict the “Start low, go slow” adage, indicating that ramping up the dose of an antidepressant faster has a significantly positive effect on engagement in care for our population.
60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
Enhanced reactivity at the oil–water interface accelerates the synthesis of zymonic acid in microemulsions
Chemical reactions in microscale compartments, such as aerosols and emulsions, can exhibit significantly faster reaction rates relative to macroscale containers. This enhancement in chemistry is often due to the elevated importance of surfaces as reaction vessels are reduced to picoliter volumes. While most studies have focused on the air-water interface of droplets, there are comparably fewer studies of reactions in micron-scale aqueous solutions encapsulated by oil. Here we investigate the condensation reaction of pyruvic acid (PA) to form zymonic acid (ZA) and water. Using microfluidics and optical trapping, chemical kinetics are measured in monodisperse micron-sized emulsion droplets in situ via Raman spectroscopy. Relative to a macroscopic bulk solution, which exhibits little to no reaction over many days, we find efficient production of ZA over the same time period. A kinetic model is developed to elucidate the role of the interface in accelerating the microdroplet reaction kinetics. After quantifying the surface partitioning of PA from interfacial tension measurements, the rate coefficient for the condensation reaction at the oil-water interface is determined to be 1.8 × 10-2 M-1 s-1. This rate coefficient is estimated to be 105 larger than the reaction rate in bulk aqueous solutions. Compared to previous studies of accelerated ZA formation at the air-water interface on nanodroplets, we find that the reaction at the oil-water interface is 20 times more efficient. Despite this difference, the overall ZA formation rate in emulsions is significantly slower than in the same-sized aerosols, which arises from the weaker partitioning of PA to the oil-aqueous relative to air-water interface. These results highlight the interplay between interfacial partitioning and reactivity in accelerating chemistry in microcompartments and provides new insights into how interfacial composition influences condensation reactions.
Wallace, Brandon J↗
Near-infrared noise in intense electron bunches
This article investigates electron bunch density fluctuations in the 1 −10 μm wavelength range, focusing on their impact on coherent electron cooling (CEC) in hadron storage rings. In this study, we compare the shot-noise model with experimental observations using bandwidth-filtered near-infrared optical transition radiation (OTR) photodiode signals, where the transverse bunch size is much larger than the OTR wavelength of interest. The relativistic electron bunch (𝛾 ≈ 50) parameters are close to those proposed for the coherent electron cooler in the electron-ion collider (EIC) project. Preliminary feasibility experiments were conducted, and the noise factors are presented, supported by particle tracking. No major density fluctuations or effective cooling rate decrease were revealed for EIC CEC design parameters. Additionally, longitudinal-space-charge-induced microbunching for the chicane-compressed bunch was observed with coherent OTR enhancements up to 100 times, providing further calibration of the measurement method.
72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
Surrogate model evaluation and building energy benchmarking for commercial buildings
Building energy consumption benchmarking involves challenges associated with various energy patterns for different building types; heating, ventilating, and air-conditioning (HVAC) system types; and climates. Given significant variation in energy use patterns, accurate prediction of long-term energy use using surrogate models remains challenging. Multiple linear regression (MLR) is commonly used for building energy benchmarking because of its simple structure; however, it lacks accuracy compared to other black-box models. Although many studies have compared surrogate models and offer guidance on model selection based on metrics, they do not provide detailed analysis on improving the surrogate model accuracy. In this paper, we implement a surrogate model using polynomial ridge regression (i.e., MLR with interaction terms combined with ridge regularization) for small office and retail strip mall buildings across six HVAC system types and all climate zones, for electricity and natural gas in baseline and proposed scenarios. A simulation workflow is developed using OpenStudio TM /EnergyPlus TM to generate simulation data using measures over a wide range of efficiency inputs. Enhancements based on statistical insights are used for improving the model accuracy using filters, input transformations, and change points. Surrogate models achieved average coefficient of variation of the root mean squared error (CVRMSE) values of 2.17, 1.06, 2.05, and 3.26 for proposed electricity, proposed natural gas, baseline electricity, and baseline natural gas, respectively, with enhancements reducing CVRMSE by an average of 14.9% across all combinations. We provide model interpretation via Shapley additive explanations to determine which input variables most influence energy consumption and provide supportive arguments for enhancements.
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
Comparative Life Cycle Analysis of Carbon Dioxide Utilization in Concrete Products
In this study, a comparative LCA of CO2U concrete processes is conducted, revealing promise in several research areas. The environmental impacts of replacing conventional binder and aggregates with carbonated steel slag and direct carbonation of concrete are investigated in ten different product systems, which include both ready-mix and pre-cast concretes. The results indicate that cement substitution, CO2 uptake, electricity consumption, and the electricity grid mix constitute critical levers for deep decarbonization of concrete building materials. This presentation applies LCA to inform the use of CO2U concrete technology pathways in the design of sustainable concrete while promoting transparency and rational assumptions in the presence of uncertainty. Broader themes in the work include LCA of emerging technologies and the sensitivity of LCA results to co-product management methods.
Clarke, James↗
Metagenomic clustering links specific metabolic functions to globally relevant ecosystems
ABSTRACT Metagenomic sequencing has advanced our understanding of biogeochemical processes by providing an unprecedented view into the microbial composition of different ecosystems. While the amount of metagenomic data has grown rapidly, simple-to-use methods to analyze and compare across studies have lagged behind. Thus, tools expressing the metabolic traits of a community are needed to broaden the utility of existing data. Gene abundance profiles are a relatively low-dimensional embedding of a metagenome’s functional potential and are, thus, tractable for comparison across many samples. Here, we compare the abundance of KEGG Ortholog Groups (KOs) from 6,539 metagenomes from the Joint Genome Institute’s Integrated Microbial Genomes and Metagenomes (JGI IMG/M) database. We find that samples cluster into terrestrial, aquatic, and anaerobic ecosystems with marker KOs reflecting adaptations to these environments. For instance, functional clusters were differentiated by the metabolism of antibiotics, photosynthesis, methanogenesis, and surprisingly GC content. Using this functional gene approach, we reveal the broad-scale patterns shaping microbial communities and demonstrate the utility of ortholog abundance profiles for representing a rapidly expanding body of metagenomic data. IMPORTANCE Metagenomics, or the sequencing of DNA from complex microbiomes, provides a view into the microbial composition of different environments. Metagenome databases were created to compile sequencing data across studies, but it remains challenging to compare and gain insight from these large data sets. Consequently, there is a need to develop accessible approaches to extract knowledge across metagenomes. The abundance of different orthologs (i.e., genes that perform a similar function across species) provides a simplified representation of a metagenome’s metabolic potential that can easily be compared with others. In this study, we cluster the ortholog abundance profiles of thousands of metagenomes from diverse environments and uncover the traits that distinguish them. This work provides a simple to use framework for functional comparison and advances our understanding of how the environment shapes microbial communities.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Comparison of structurally diverse simulation models for prediction of epidemic outcomes caused by a long-distance dispersed pathogen
Long-distance dispersal (LDD) pathogens pose substantial challenges for epidemic control due to their ability to generate new infection foci at great distances. While various modeling approaches have been developed to understand and manage such outbreaks, little work has compared how models of different structures behave under shared conditions. Here, in this study, we compare four structurally distinct epidemiological models — EPIMUL, GEMF, PoPS, and Warwick — each adapted to simulate the spread of wheat stripe rust (WSR), a wind-dispersed LDD pathogen, under identical epidemiological parameters and dispersal kernel. Using data from a controlled field experiment, we evaluate the ability of each model to replicate disease prevalence under nine intervention scenarios that vary in timing and culling area. While the models differ substantially in design — ranging from spatial grid-based to network-based and raster-based frameworks — the shared dispersal kernel allowed for close alignment in their predictions. All models accurately captured general epidemic trends, particularly the strong effect of early intervention on disease suppression. We qualitatively compared their behavioral responses across scenarios and also evaluated an ensemble prediction by averaging across model outputs. Our findings highlight how integrating shared epidemiological components into distinct modeling frameworks can improve consistency and accuracy, while reinforcing the importance of early culling in managing LDD pathogen outbreaks.
Dispersal kernel↗
Uncertainties in Simulating Flooding During Hurricane Harvey Using 2D Shallow Water Equations
Abstract Flooding is one of the most impactful weather‐related natural hazards. Numerical models that solve the two dimensional (2D) shallow water equations (SWE) represent the first‐principles approach to simulate all types of spatial flooding, such as pluvial, fluvial, and coastal flooding, and their compound dynamics. High spatial resolution (e.g., () m) is needed in 2D SWE simulations to capture flood dynamics accurately, resulting in formidable computational challenges. Thus, relatively coarser spatial resolutions are used for large‐scale simulations of flooding, which introduce uncertainties in the results. It is unclear how the uncertainty associated with the model resolution compares to the uncertainties in precipitation data sets and assumptions regarding boundary conditions when channelized flows interact with other water bodies. In this study, we compare these three sources of uncertainties in 2D SWE simulations for the 2017 Houston flooding event. Our results show that precipitation uncertainty and mesh resolution have more significant impacts on the simulated streamflow and inundation dynamics than the choice of the downstream boundary condition at the watershed outlet. We point out the viability to confine the uncertainty of coarsening mesh resolution by using the variable resolution mesh (VRM) which refines critical topographic features with far fewer grid cells. Specifically, in simulations with VRM, the simulated inundation depths over the refined region are comparable to that use the finest uniform mesh. This study contributes to understanding the challenges and pathways for applying 2D SWE models to improve the realism of flood simulations over large scales.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Overview of the SCEC/USGS Community Stress Drop Validation Study Using the 2019 Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence
We present initial findings from the ongoing Community Stress Drop Validation Study to compare spectral stress-drop estimates for earthquakes in the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, sequence. This study uses a unified dataset to independently estimate earthquake source parameters through various methods. Stress drop, which denotes the change in average shear stress along a fault during earthquake rupture, is a critical parameter in earthquake science, impacting ground motion, rupture simulation, and source physics. Spectral stress drop is commonly derived by fitting the amplitude-spectrum shape, but estimates can vary substantially across studies for individual earthquakes. Sponsored jointly by the U.S. Geological Survey and the Statewide (previously, Southern) California Earthquake Center our community study aims to elucidate sources of variability and uncertainty in earthquake spectral stress-drop estimates through quantitative comparison of submitted results from independent analyses. The dataset includes nearly 13,000 earthquakes ranging from M 1 to 7 during a two-week period of the 2019 Ridgecrest sequence, recorded within a 1° radius. Here, in this article, we report on 56 unique submissions received from 20 different groups, detailing spectral corner frequencies (or source durations), moment magnitudes, and estimated spectral stress drops. Methods employed encompass spectral ratio analysis, spectral decomposition and inversion, finite-fault modeling, ground-motion-based approaches, and combined methods. Initial analysis reveals significant scatter across submitted spectral stress drops spanning over six orders of magnitude. However, we can identify between-method trends and offsets within the data to mitigate this variability. Averaging submissions for a prioritized subset of 56 events shows reduced variability of spectral stress drop, indicating overall consistency in recovered spectral stress-drop values.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Partnership Center for High-Fidelity Boundary Plasma Simulation (Final Report)
Within the Partnership Center for High-Fidelity Boundary Plasma Simulation (HBPS), work at UT-Austin was aimed at improved verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ) for edge plasma simulations and on performing gyrokinetics simulations of pedestal instabilities and turbulence in order to expand foundational understanding of pedestal transport. Regarding VVUQ, the accomplishments can be summarized as follows. First, it was shown that the Moment Preserving Constrained Resampling technique, when applied periodically in particle-in-cell simulations in the XGC code, can dramatically improve the accuracy of the simulation at essentially equivalent computational cost. Second, a technique for estimating model correlations, which are required to solve the model selection and sample allocation problem in multifidelity UQ techniques, without sampling the highest fidelity, most computationally expensive model, was developed and demonstrated. Third, previously developed methods for estimating statistical and discretization errors were applied to numerical methods relevant to edge plasma simulations, namely in particle-in-cell-based approaches, and shown to work. Finally, benchmark studies for comparing gyrokinetic codes were developed and performed, leading to reasonable agreement between four commonly used codes. Regarding physics studies, gyrokinetic simulations to investigate microtearing modes in the DIII-D pedestal were performed using the GENE code.
70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
Quantifying the economic costs of power outages owing to extreme events: A systematic review
Quantifying the economic cost of long-duration power outages is crucial to justifying investments in resiliency and reliability improvements. However, extensive study on the subject complicates the identification of power outage costs and determining the most suitable approach to quantify them for an individual, specific facility, particularly in the context of extreme events. Here, this research provides a systematic review of economic studies estimating the impact of environmental disasters at the microeconomic and macroeconomic levels. Of 326 articles, evaluating the costs of power outages in extreme events, this work identified 22 studies that attempted to quantify the economic costs. These findings indicate that quantifying power outage costs lacks standardization, posing challenges for comparing different studies. Most analyses aiming to quantify these costs for utilities, sectors, and the overall economy rely on outdated survey data, which offer generalized rather than specific cost estimations. The costs of power outages exhibit a significant dependence on factors such as the sector involved, the type of customer affected, and the outage duration. To quantify industry costs, the research in this study suggests that using the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's online, open-access Customer Damage Function Calculator is the best option for individual-level assessments of industries, hospitals, offices, education centers, and similar facilities. However, the Interruption Cost Estimate Calculator can estimate outage costs across industrial, commercial, and residential sectors for macroeconomic outcomes. Finally, this article discusses the relative strengths of these methods and tools and the potential directions for future research.
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
Facies Analysis and Depositional Environments of the Upper Cambrian Eau Claire Formation in Central and Northern Illinois
The Cambrian Eau Claire Formation is a confining unit for geologic carbon dioxide (CO2) storage, and potentially a confining unit for hydrogen storage, within the underlying Mount Simon Sandstone in the Central and Northern Illinois Basin. However, extensive regional studies on lateral continuity, environment of deposition, and depositional fabric of the Eau Claire Formation in the Illinois Basin are minimal compared to studies of the underlying Mount Simon Sandstone. This study presents an integrated facies analysis using sedimentological, stratigraphic, ichnological, and mineralogical data to interpret the depositional environments of the Eau Claire Formation, emphasizing the dynamic nature of sedimentary systems. By combining core analyses, thin-section analysis, facies interpretation from geophysical logs, and regional stratigraphic framework interpretation, this work provides insights into the integrated depositional framework across diverse depositional environments. These findings suggest that the Eau Claire Formation in the Central and Northern Illinois Basin was deposited in a shallow marine environment, ranging from tidal flats to offshore settings. Its mixed siliciclastic-carbonate succession was primarily controlled by relative sea-level change.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
You Only Look Once v5 and Multi-Template Matching for Small-Crack Defect Detection on Metal Surfaces
This paper compares the performance of Deep Learning (DL) and multi-template matching (MTM) models for detecting small defects. DL models extract distinguishing features of objects but require a large dataset of images. In contrast, alternative computer vision techniques like MTM need a relatively small dataset. The lack of large datasets for small metal-surface defects has inhibited the adoption of automation in small-defect detection in remanufacturing settings. This motivated this preliminary study to compare template-based approaches, like MTM, with feature-based approaches, such as DL models, for small-defect detection on an initial laboratory and remanufacturing industry dataset. This study used You Only Look Once v5 (YOLOv5) as the DL model and compared its performance against the MTM model for small-crack detection. The findings of our preliminary investigation are as follows: (i) YOLOv5 demonstrated higher performance than MTM in detecting small cracks; (ii) an extra-large variant of YOLOv5 outperformed a small-size variant; (iii) the size and object variety of the data are crucial in achieving robust pre-trained weights for use in transfer learning; and (iv) enhanced image resolution contributes to precise object detection.
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
Available land for cellulosic biofuel production: a supply chain centered comparison
The land that is potentially available to produce dedicated cellulosic bioenergy crops, often referred to as 'marginal' land, depends heavily on the underlying assumptions used to classify and identify it. In this study we compare three definitions and types of marginal land to identify the interactions between the bioenergy landscape and the logistics networks needed for the biofuel supply chain. Typical studies of the scale, cost, and greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potential of cellulosic biofuel take a land-centered approach which may neglect to account for the trade-offs between establishing bioenergy crops and the supply chain design decisions needed to allow those crops to be converted to liquid fuel. A mathematical programming approach is used to minimize the total annualized cost of a large-scale field-to-product system producing bioethanol in the USA midwest. Results show that a high concentration of marginal land leads to efficient systems and that the bioenergy landscape design becomes increasingly important with a higher emphasis on GHG mitigation. Additionally, targeted landscape design (including fertilization) with a focus on fields with high soil carbon sequestration potential can greatly reduce the system-wide GHG emissions for only a small increase in the unit cost of biofuel.
09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
Direct Discontinuous Galerkin methods for the reacting multi-component flow equations
The Direct Discontinuous Galerkin (DDG (Liu and Yan, 2008)) method and a counterpart with Interface Correction (DDGIC (Danis and Yan, 2022)) are extended to compute diffusion terms that arise when solving the compressible multi-component flow equations in thermochemical nonequilibrium. Thermodynamic properties, transport properties, chemical reaction rates, and energy exchange terms are computed using Mutation++ (Scoggins et al., 2020). The DG method is applied on unstructured grids, where the accuracy and convergence rates can be sensitive to the numerical method chosen for parabolic terms. A method for determining the homogeneity tensor of the flow equations required for DDGIC is shown. The convergence properties of the DDG methods are studied and compared to the Interior Penalty (IP) method. A number of numerical experiments are conducted to assess the accuracy and performance of the method. The numerical results and convergence studies indicate that DDG and DDGIC provide accurate solutions and perform well for general flows in thermochemical nonequilibrium.
Diffusion↗