Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Implications”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 235 records · Page 13
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Ultrathin Microporous Transport Layers: Implications for Low Catalyst Loadings, Thin Membranes, and High Current Density Operation for Proton Exchange Membrane Electrolysis

Porous transport layers (PTL) and their surface properties have the potential to improve the performance of proton exchange membrane water electrolyzers (PEMWE), which is imperative to reduce feedstock costs and lead to their widespread implementation. This work introduces a novel generation of titanium microporous layers (MPLs) with ultra-low thicknesses of approx. 20 um which reduces raw material costs. They also feature advanced interfacial properties tailored to maximize catalyst utilization at low Ir-loadings. The bulk morphology and surface properties of the hierarchically structured PTLs are assessed by X-ray tomographic microscopy. The low surface roughness of the MPL allows the use of thinner membranes since it minimizes possible deformations in the membrane. Cells containing the MPLs outperformed those containing state-of-the-art commercially available PTL materials by up to 100 mV at 7 A cm-2 in combination with low-loaded catalyst-coated membranes of 0.4 mgIr cm-2. Hydrogen crossover is also reduced, especially at low current densities, leading to a larger turndown ratio which can enable more cost-effective operating strategies. Finally, these rationally designed MPLs also lead to high catalyst utilization by overcoming the naturally occurring high in-plane resistance of low-loaded catalyst layers.

hydrogen crossover↗
DOE OSTI2025

Evaluating the combined effects of light and water availability on the early growth and physiology of Tamarindus indica : Implications for restoration

Abstract Premise The tamarind tree (Tamarindus indica) is a species of significant cultural, economic, and ecological value, with a pantropical distribution. However, the tamarind is experiencing a decline in wild populations in its native range, but the reasons for its decline remain unknown. Methods We examined the critical early life‐history stages for tamarind establishment to understand how varying levels of light and water availability and watering frequency affect its regeneration. Through three greenhouse experiments, we assessed the impact of these resources on the germination, survival, growth, and physiological responses of tamarind seedlings and saplings. Results Water availability was critical for seed germination, but not light levels or pre‐germination treatments. Light was the primary limiting factor for seedling growth. Tamarinds in high light availability grew taller, had more biomass and larger diameter, but the effect of light was modulated by water availability, indicating that there was an interaction between both resources. Water and light affected specific leaf area and leaf dry matter content but not biomass allocation, root‐to‐shoot ratio, or stomatal conductance. Water availability influenced sapling growth, but watering frequency did not, indicating a resilience of tamarind saplings to changes in rainfall periodicity but a sensitivity to total rainfall amounts. Conclusions Our study underscores the importance of considering both light and water availability in tamarind restoration efforts and contribute to understanding plant responses and trade‐offs under different levels of critical resources. Our findings will inform conservation strategies to support the regeneration and long‐term survival ofTamarindus indicain its native habitats.

Plant Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2022

Tunable CHA/AEI Zeolite Intergrowths with A Priori Biselective Organic Structure‐Directing Agents: Controlling Enrichment and Implications for Selective Catalytic Reduction of NOx

Abstract A novel ab initio methodology based on high‐throughput simulations has permitted designing unique biselective organic structure‐directing agents (OSDAs) that allow the efficient synthesis of CHA/AEI zeolite intergrowth materials with controlled phase compositions. Distinctive local crystallographic ordering of the CHA/AEI intergrowths was revealed at the nanoscale level using integrated differential phase contrast scanning transmission electron microscopy (iDPC STEM). These novel CHA/AEI materials have been tested for the selective catalytic reduction (SCR) of NOx, presenting an outstanding catalytic performance and hydrothermal stability, even surpassing the performance of the well‐established commercial CHA‐type catalyst. This methodology opens the possibility for synthetizing new zeolite intergrowths with more complex structures and unique catalytic properties.

Bello‐Jurado, Estefanía↗
DOE OSTI2022

Tunable CHA/AEI Zeolite Intergrowths with A Priori Biselective Organic Structure‐Directing Agents: Controlling Enrichment and Implications for Selective Catalytic Reduction of NOx

Abstract A novel ab initio methodology based on high‐throughput simulations has permitted designing unique biselective organic structure‐directing agents (OSDAs) that allow the efficient synthesis of CHA/AEI zeolite intergrowth materials with controlled phase compositions. Distinctive local crystallographic ordering of the CHA/AEI intergrowths was revealed at the nanoscale level using integrated differential phase contrast scanning transmission electron microscopy (iDPC STEM). These novel CHA/AEI materials have been tested for the selective catalytic reduction (SCR) of NOx, presenting an outstanding catalytic performance and hydrothermal stability, even surpassing the performance of the well‐established commercial CHA‐type catalyst. This methodology opens the possibility for synthetizing new zeolite intergrowths with more complex structures and unique catalytic properties.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Mechanical and Electrochemical Implications of Drying Temperature on Lithium‐Ion Battery Electrodes

Abstract Lithium‐ion battery (LIB) electrodes are typically produced with n‐methyl‐2‐pyrrolidone, a toxic solvent that is a known carcinogen and reproductive hazard. Accordingly, aqueous processing has been an expanding area of research interest in the field of LIB manufacturing. Although aqueous processing has been widely successful in anode processing, serious challenges remain in processing the cathode. In this work, the drying mechanics of cathode processed with both solvents is investigated though implementation of a chemical‐engineering‐based model to better understand the utilization of heat provided by experimentally determining the heat and mass transfer coefficients. Electrochemical performance is also evaluated to determine the impact of drying temperature on cycling performance. Binder distribution is determined via various methods to confirm differences in binder homogeneity as a function of both solvent and drying temperature. Identified is the large difference in the efficiency in which the heat is used as well as an ideal drying temperature for both aqueous and non‐aqueous processed cathodes. Also identified is the increased sensitivity to processing temperature for aqueous processed electrodes compared to non‐aqueous processed counterparts, pointing to the possibility of tuned drying regimes which would capitalize on the potential cost savings of aqueous processing for cathodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Retrospective analysis of the U.S. corn ethanol industry for 2005–2019: implications for greenhouse gas emission reductions

Since 2000, corn ethanol production in the USA has increased significantly – from 1.6 to 15 billion gallons (6.1 to 57 billion liters) – due to supportive biofuel policies. In this study, we conduct a retrospective analysis of the changes in US corn ethanol greenhouse gas emission intensity, sometimes known as carbon intensity (CI), over the 15 years from 2005 to 2019. Our analysis shows a significant decrease in CI: from 58 to 45 gCO 2 e/MJ of corn ethanol (a 23% reduction). This is due to several factors. Corn grain yield has increased continuously, reaching 168 bushels/acre (10.5 metric tons/ha, a 15% increase) while fertilizer inputs per acre have remained constant, resulting in decreased intensities of fertilizer inputs (e.g., 7% and 18% reduction in nitrogen and potash use per bushel of corn grain harvested, respectively). A 6.5% increase in ethanol yield, from 2.70 to 2.86 gal/bushel corn (0.402 to 0.427 L kg -1 corn), and a 24% reduction in ethanol plant energy use, from 32 000 to 25 000 Btu/gal ethanol (9.0 to 6.9 MJ L -1 ethanol) also helped reduce the CI. The total GHG emission reduction benefits through the reduction in the CI and increased ethanol production volume are estimated at 140 million metric tons (MMT) from 2005 to 2019 in the ethanol industry. Displacement of petroleum gasoline by corn ethanol in the transportation fuel market resulted in a total GHG emission reduction benefit of 544 MMT CO 2 e during the period 2005 to 2019.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Aldehyde and Ketone Hydroboration Mediated by a Heterogeneous Single–Site Molybdenum–Dioxo Catalyst: Scope and Mechanistic Implications

Efficient hydroboration of aldehydes and ketones is demonstrated using a single-site MoO 2 catalyst supported on activated carbon. Under mild conditions with low catalytic loadings, the reaction exhibits chemoselectivity towards carbonyl reduction over halides, alkene, alkyne, nitrile, and ester groups, affording high yields of desired products. Furthermore, competition studies between aldehyde and ketone reduction using HBpin and HBcat indicate that HBpin preferably functionalizes aldehydes, while HBcat can functionalize either substrate under specific conditions. Mechanistic studies suggest that the reaction proceeds via the initial formation of a molybdenum-hydride species upon B–H activation and subsequent molybdenum-alkoxide species upon carbonyl activation by the Mo center. The experimental activation energy of 14.3 kcal/mol alignssatisfactorily with the DFT computed ΔH ≠ of 18.7 kcal/mol, further supporting the proposed mechanism. Combined experimental/computational analyses reveal that excess HBpin can possibly deactivate the catalyst. The presence of excess benzaldehyde efficiently mitigates deactivation by HBpin, providing significantly higher catalyst recyclability. Altogether, this non-toxic, air- and moisture-stable, active, and selective catalyst demonstrates significant potential for green processes.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2024

Quantum optimization algorithms: Energetic implications

Since the dawn of quantum computing (QC), theoretical developments like Shor's algorithm proved the conceptual superiority of QC over traditional computing. However, such quantum supremacy claims are difficult to achieve in practice because of the technical challenges of realizing noiseless qubits. In the near future, QC applications will need to rely on noisy quantum devices that offload part of their work to classical devices. One way to achieve this is by using parameterized quantum circuits in optimization or even in machine learning tasks. The energy requirements of quantum algorithms have not yet been studied extensively. Here in this article, we explore several optimization algorithms using both theoretical insights and numerical experiments to understand their impact on energy consumption. Specifically, we highlight why and how algorithms like quantum natural gradient descent, simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximations or circuit learning methods, are at least 2x to 4x more energy efficient than their classical counterparts; why feedback-based quantum optimization is energy-inefficient; and how techniques like Rosalin can improve the energy efficiency of other algorithms by a factor of ≥2 0 x. Finally, we use the NchooseK high-level programming model to run optimization problems on both gate-based quantum computers and quantum annealers. Empirical data indicate that these optimization problems run faster, have better success rates, and consume less energy on quantum annealers than on their gate-based counterparts.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hydrogen Peroxide‐Induced Overoxidation of Fe−N−C Catalysts: Implications for ORR Activity

Fe−N−C (iron-nitrogen-carbon) electrocatalysts have emerged as promising alternatives to precious metals for the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR), but they remain insufficiently stable for widespread adoption in fuel cell technologies. One plausible mechanism to explain this lack of stability, and the associated catalyst degradation, is oxidative attack on the catalyst surface by hydrogen peroxide, a non-selective byproduct of the ORR. In this work, we perform a detailed analysis of this degradation mechanism, using a combination of periodic Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations and ab-initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations to probe the thermodynamics and kinetics of hydrogen peroxide activation on a series of candidate active sites for the Fe−N−C catalyst. The results demonstrate that carbon atoms neighbouring FeN 4 active sites can be strongly over-oxidized via formation of hydroxyl or epoxy groups when hydrogen peroxide is present in the electrolyte. In most cases, the interaction between the over-oxidizing groups and the ORR reaction intermediates reduces the ORR activity, and we further propose that the over-oxidized sites are likely precursors to irreversible carbon corrosion and further catalyst deactivation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Carbon cycling across ecosystem succession in a north temperate forest: Controls and management implications

Despite decades of progress, much remains unknown about successional trajectories of carbon (C) cycling in north temperate forests. Drivers and mechanisms of these changes, including the role of different types of disturbances, are particularly elusive. To address this gap, we synthesized decades of data from experimental chronosequences and long-term monitoring at a well-studied, regionally representative field site in northern Michigan, USA. Our study provides a comprehensive assessment of changes in above- and belowground ecosystem components over two centuries of succession, links temporal dynamics in C pools and fluxes with underlying drivers, and offers several conceptual insights to the field of forest ecology. Our first advance shows how temporal dynamics in some ecosystem components are consistent across severe disturbances that reset succession and partial disturbances that slightly modify it: both of these disturbance types increase soil N availability, alter fungal community composition, and alter growth and competitive interactions between short-lived pioneer and longer-lived tree taxa. Further, these changes in turn affect soil C stocks, respiratory emissions, and other belowground processes. Second, we show that some other ecosystem components have effects on C cycling that are not consistent over the course of succession. For example, canopy structure does not influence C uptake early in succession but becomes important as stands develop, and the importance of individual structural properties changes over the course of two centuries of stand development. Third, we show that in recent decades, climate change is masking or overriding the influence of community composition on C uptake, while respiratory emissions are sensitive to both climatic and compositional change. In synthesis, we emphasize that time is not a driver of C cycling; it is a dimension within which ecosystem drivers such as canopy structure, tree and microbial community composition change. Changes in those drivers, not in forest age, are what control forest C trajectories, and those changes can happen quickly or slowly, through natural processes or deliberate intervention. Stemming from this view and a whole-ecosystem perspective on forest succession, we offer management applications from this work and assess its broader relevance to understanding long-term change in other north temperate forest ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Surface and subsurface oceanographic features drive forage fish distributions and aggregations: Implications for prey availability to top predators in the US Northeast Shelf ecosystem

Abstract Forage fishes are a critical food web link in marine ecosystems, aggregating in a hierarchical patch structure over multiple spatial and temporal scales. Surface‐level forage fish aggregations (FFAs) represent a concentrated source of prey available to surface‐ and shallow‐foraging marine predators. Existing survey and analysis methods are often imperfect for studying forage fishes at scales appropriate to foraging predators, making it difficult to quantify predator–prey interactions. In many cases, general distributions of forage fish species are known; however, these may not represent surface‐level prey availability to predators. Likewise, we lack an understanding of the oceanographic drivers of spatial patterns of prey aggregation and availability or forage fish community patterns. Specifically, we applied Bayesian joint species distribution models to bottom trawl survey data to assess species‐ and community‐level forage fish distribution patterns across the US Northeast Continental Shelf (NES) ecosystem. Aerial digital surveys gathered data on surface FFAs at two project sites within the NES, which we used in a spatially explicit hierarchical Bayesian model to estimate the abundance and size of surface FFAs. We used these models to examine the oceanographic drivers of forage fish distributions and aggregations. Our results suggest that, in the NES, regions of high community species richness are spatially consistent with regions of high surface FFA abundance. Bathymetric depth drove both patterns, while subsurface features, such as mixed layer depth, primarily influenced aggregation behavior and surface features, such as sea surface temperature, sub‐mesoscale eddies, and fronts influenced forage fish diversity. In combination, these models help quantify the availability of forage fishes to marine predators and represent a novel application of spatial models to aerial digital survey data.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Whole plant traits of coastal dune vegetation and implications for interactions with dune dynamics

Abstract Coastal dunes are important protective features against sea level rise and coastal storms. Interactions between dune plant aboveground structures and sediment trapping that allow for dune building and maintenance are well established. More recently, studies documenting belowground biomass for promoting erosion resistance in dominant dune species have been conducted, yet a knowledge gap remains regarding species‐specific characterization of whole plants, specifically with respect to roots, rhizomes, and belowground stems. Our objective was to quantify above‐ and belowground traits of four dominant dune grasses to document the potential for species‐specific effects on dune growth, maintenance, and erosion resistance. We examined above‐ and belowground traits among four prominent dune grasses of the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts of North America: Ammophila breviligulata , Panicum amarum , Spartina patens , and Uniola paniculata . Whole plant samples of each species were collected from the foredune at the US Army Engineer Research and Development Center's Field Research Facility in Duck, North Carolina, USA, and quantified for several above‐ and belowground traits (e.g., stem height, rhizome number and length, root surface area by diameter class, root tensile strength, and mycorrhizal percent infection). Belowground factors known to impact important dune processes, such as rhizome length, mycorrhizal percent infection, and root traits, differed substantially among species. When visualized in multivariate space, all species significantly differed in suites of above‐ and belowground traits. When considering belowground only, Ammophila and Spartina were similar, despite differences in biomass allocation. Species separated along axes related to mycorrhizal association, biomass allocation, and root construction. The four co‐occurring dune grass species were dissimilar in suites of plant traits. Belowground trait differences were driven by those describing root construction, biomass allocation, and mycorrhizal infection. Dissimilarity in above‐ and belowground suites of traits may demonstrate different approaches for surviving the dune environment. Incorporating belowground traits into modeling will enhance predictions of dune response to climate change through interactions between vegetation and dune dynamics that facilitate coastal resistance and resilience.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hydraulic redistribution by deeply rooted grasses and its ecohydrologic implications in the southern Great Plains of North America

Perennial bioenergy crops with deep (>1 m) rooting systems, such as switchgrass (Panicum virgatum L.), are hypothesized to increase carbon storage in deep soil. Deeply rooted plants may also affect soil hydrology by accessing deep soil water for transpiration, which can affect soil water content and infiltration in deep soil layers, thereby affecting groundwater recharge. Using stable H and O isotope (δ 2 H and δ 18 O) and 3 H values, we studied the soil water conditions at 20–30 cm intervals to depths of 2.4–3.6 m in paired fields of switchgrass and shallow rooted crops at three sites in the southern Great Plains of North America. We found that soil under switchgrass had consistently higher soil water content than nearby soil under shallow-rooted annual crops by a margin of 15%–100%. Soil water content and isotopic depth profiles indicated that hydraulic redistribution of deep soil water by switchgrass roots explained these observed soil water differences. To our knowledge, these are the first observations of hydraulic redistribution in deeply rooted grasses, and complement earlier observations of dynamic soil water fluxes under shallow-rooted grasses. Hydraulic redistribution by switchgrass may be a strategy for drought avoidance, wherein the plant may actively prevent water limitation. Furthermore, this raises the possibility that deeply rooted grasses may be used to passively subsidize soil water to more shallow-rooted species in inter-cropping arrangements.

3H↗
DOE OSTI2026

Modelling the Sensitivity of Yukon River Biogeochemical Dynamics to Environmental and Chemical Drivers: Implications for Dissolved Organic Carbon

Riverine dissolved organic carbon (DOC) is a critical biogeochemical component that transmits information from Arctic soils to the Arctic Ocean, significantly influencing carbon dynamics in this unique ecosystem. As DOC travels downstream, it undergoes transformations that alter its composition and fate. The Yukon River serves as an effective testbed for modelling these dynamics, offering sufficient scale to capture key biogeochemical processes while having a simpler hydrology than other major Arctic rivers, as well as long-term DOC observational data for model validation. To investigate DOC transformations during transit in the Yukon River, we adapted our Arctic Riverine Organic Macromolecular Model by applying regional-specific parameterisations. Our model simulates the transport and transformation of 15 organic macromolecules, including CDOM (coloured dissolved organic matter), proteins, polysaccharides, lipids, lignin phenols, and humic substances. Initial DOC concentrations were derived from observed soil organic carbon stocks in the surrounding watershed, while chemical transformations and hydrological dynamics were modelled along the river's course. Sensitivity and uncertainty analyses were conducted using a Monte Carlo approach under two experimental setups. Results revealed that variability in DOC and CDOM concentrations at the river mouth were predominantly driven by initial DOC concentration (~70% of variability explained) and dilution at confluence points (~10%). The refractory fraction of DOC explained 21%–88% of the variability in 14 macromolecular concentrations and ranked in the top five sensitive parameters for all outputs when a uniform parameter distribution was assumed. However, when a more likely variability was applied to this parameter, its influence on DOC and CDOM decreased. Given that refractory DOC accounts for ~80% of total DOC in Arctic Rivers, this suggests that most DOC resists degradation and retains its chemical composition during transport to the coastal environment. River velocity, which determines residence time, explained 8%–47% of the variability in protein, polysaccharide, lipid, pigments, and lignin phenols at the river mouth. In contrast, chemical turnover times contributed only 1%–5% to output variability. Our findings underscore the need for improved land-specific headwater observations, including seasonal soil moisture and lateral transport dynamics that control the initial tributary-specific DOC inputs. With accelerated permafrost thaw and increasing river discharge, extending our model to other Arctic River systems and seasons will enhance understanding of Arctic riverine carbon fluxes and their contributions to the Arctic Ocean.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Enterprise: Exploration of Concepts, Perspectives and Implications for Systems Engineering

The purpose of this paper is to explore the concept of ‘enterprise’ in the context of Systems Engineering (SE). The term ‘enterprise’ has been used extensively to generally describe large complex entities that have an extensive scope of operations. However, a deeper examination of ‘enterprise’ significance for SE can provide insights as our challenges continue with increasingly complex, uncertain, ambiguous, and integrated entities struggling to thrive in the future. The paper explores three central topics. First, the concept of enterprise is introduced as a central aspect of the future focus for SE, as recognized in the INCOSE SE Vision 2035. Second, a more detailed examination of the enterprise concept is developed in relationship to SE. The thrust of this examination is to understand the nature and role of ‘enterprise’ across a broad spectrum of literature and knowledge, ultimately providing a more informed perspective of enterprise for SE. As part of this exploration, a bibliometric analysis of the term ‘enterprise’ is performed. This exploration extracts key themes (clusters) in the ‘enterprise’ literature. Third, challenges for further development and inculcation of ‘enterprise’ within the SE discipline and support for realization of the SE 2035 Vision are suggested. These challenges point out the need to ‘think differently’ about ‘enterprise’ within the SE context. ‘Enterprise’ is proposed as a central, albeit different, perspective for the SE discipline. Finally, the paper closes with a first–generation perspective for ‘enterprise’ in pursuit of the SE Vision 2035.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Utilizing biochars to stabilize mercury in contaminated floodplain sediment: Implications on mercury remediation

Major weather events contribute to the mobility and remobilization of legacy mercury (Hg) contamination and sequestration within sediments. Remediation using biochar as a soil amendment is a useful technique to immobilize and decrease Hg toxicity. This study explored whether biochar application is effective at stabilizing labile mercury (LaHg) from floodplain sediment. Controlled mesocosms simulating contamination events and flooding conditions were conducted. Floodplain sediment, which experiences annual periodic flooding, was collected. Sediment was spiked with inorganic Hg, applied with different types of biochar, and experienced simulated flooding events. Four types of biochar, pure rice husk (RH), pure peanut hull (PH), sulfur-modified rice husk (SMRH), and sulfur-modified peanut hull (SMPH), were applied at 10 and 40 g/kg rates (i.e., RH 10, RH 40; PH 10, PH 40, SMRH 10, SMRH 40, SMPH 10, SMPH 40). Total Hg, methylmercury, and LaHg concentrations were analyzed by coupling with redox potential measurements. Results indicate that SMRH 10, PH 10, PH 40, SMPH 10, and SMPH 40 successfully remediate Hg by stabilizing and reducing LaHg species from floodplain sediment. However, a high Hg methylation potential was observed with unsulfated and sulfated peanut hulls (PH 10, PH 40, SMPH 10, and SMPH 40), as they tend to create a reducing microenvironment that favors sulfate reduction reactions. Additionally, sulfur-modified biochar tends to promote Hg methylation potential at high application rates (i.e., 40 g/kg). We thus recommend using SMRH at a relatively low application rate (SMRH 10) for the remediation of Hg from floodplain sediment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Implications of Changes in Water Stress and Precipitation Extremes for Cocoa Production in Côte D'ivoire and Ghana

ABSTRACT Climate change induces high variability in drought patterns and extreme precipitation indices in rainfed cocoa farming, impacting cocoa production. This study evaluated water stress, meteorological and agricultural drought conditions, and critical extreme precipitation indices in the world's two largest cocoa‐producing nations from 1981 to 2022. The results revealed a significant reduction in total annual precipitation (PRCPTOT), in the last three decades, with the greatest decline in the 1991–2000 and 2011–2022 periods. Ghana experienced the most significant reduction up to 15% (200 mm/year) in the last decade, attributed to a substantial decrease in wet days number (RR1) up to 25 days per year, a reduction in maximum consecutive wet days (CWD) up to 6 days per year, and an increase in maximum consecutive dry days (CDD) up to 15 days per year. Moreover, there was a notable decline in the Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII), with reductions of up to 4 mm/day in certain areas, contributing to increased drought frequency, severity, and duration. In the most recent decade (2011–2022), particularly during the extremely dry years of 2013 and 2015, cocoa‐growing regions in Ghana (GHA) and eastern Côte d'Ivoire (CIV) experienced prolonged agricultural drought expressed by soil moisture deficit, typically extending from May to September. Additionally, large portions of central and eastern Ghana, as well as northeastern Côte d'Ivoire experienced sustained water stress, with over three consecutive months of total monthly precipitation falling below 100 mm, negatively impacting cocoa productivity. The decrease in the yield in the range of 2.5% to 37% was noted in the dry years and the following years, varying according to the country depending on the severity of the drought. Sensitivity analysis highlights cocoa yield's responsiveness to drought and water stress, particularly in specific years when water stress occurred, such as 1984,1985, 1989, 1995, 1999, 2000, and 2008. Considering the observed trends in precipitation patterns and their impact on cocoa production, it is crucial to acknowledge the inherent uncertainty of future precipitation patterns due to climate change. To address this challenge effectively, our study underscores the importance of identifying and closely monitoring regions currently facing water stress, as determined by precipitation and drought indicators. Over the analysed period (1981–2022), we have noted shifts in the distribution of water‐stressed areas, highlighting the dynamic nature of this issue. Consequently, we advocate for a targeted approach to implement cocoa supplementary irrigation in consistently water‐stressed regions.

Obahoundje, Salomon [International Water Managemen↗
DOE OSTI2020

Implications from Monitoring Gopher Tortoises at Two Spatial Scales

A problem that conservation biologists face is how to monitor species, given both resource limitations and the inherent challenges of assessing long-term demographic processes. We assessed gopher tortoise (Gopherus polyphemus) abundance at a landscape scale and at the scale of 3 local populations within the Conecuh National Forest (CNF).USA between 1991 and 2017. Landscape-level data were collected 26 from line transect distance sampling arranged uniformly across the CNF and collected during a single season (2011); data for local populations were generated from long-term mark-recapture of individuals at three sites selected based on prior knowledge of high density at each. At a landscape scale, we estimated 5,242 (95% CI = 3,538-7,768) tortoises occurred across the approximately 34,000-ha forest, yielding a density of 0.14-0.32 tortoises/ ha. These low densities across the landscape suggest that, on average, management activities across the property have not allowed tortoise populations to retain social structure needed for long-term persistence. The three local populations, however, contained 25-60 individuals and densities of 1.9–6.9 tortoises/ha. Over the study period, populations at two sites were stable and the third experienced significant population growth. Mean annual survival of individuals was 0.89 and invariant across size classes. Altogether, line transect distance sampling is important for assessing landscape-scale abundance of tortoises but may fail to detect local clusters of high-density sites important for population persistence. Our mark-recapture efforts at the local scale revealed that small populations on these high-density sites can exhibit long-term stability or growth even though they do not meet current established criteria for viability. Improved models that incorporate immigration and emigration and better reflect dynamics of peripheral populations would assist in determining how such populations best contribute to species recovery and regional conservation targets.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗