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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 235 records · Page 13

Anthropogenic Aerosols Contribute to the Recent Decline in Precipitation Over the U.S. Southwest

Abstract The winter‐spring precipitation over the Southwestern United States (SWUS) decreased since 1980. It is frequently attributed to Pacific internal decadal variability, but recent studies found anthropogenic aerosols (AA) can also induce a transition to a negative Pacific Decadal Variability (PDV) phase. We revisit the attribution of SWUS drying by quantifying the contributions of anthropogenically forced decadal Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs). Applying a low‐frequency component analysis to observations, Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) all‐forcings and single‐forcing large ensembles, we find up to 42% of the observed precipitation trend to be related to the AA‐induced negative PDV‐like pattern, which is driven by the emission shift from the Western to the Eastern Hemisphere. In CESM2, other radiative forcings counteract the influence of AA, but it remains unclear whether the model correctly simulates this balance. This implies that the near‐future trajectories of these forcings, in particular Asian aerosols, are important for projections of SWUS precipitation.

Geology↗

Biomass-Derived Polymeric Binders in Silicon Anodes for Battery Energy Storage Applications

The demand for portable electronic devices has increased rapidly during the past decade, and has driven a concordant growth in battery production. Since their development as a commercial energy storage solution in the 1990s, lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) have attracted significant attention in both science and industry due to their long cycle life, high energy density, low self-discharge rate, and high working voltage. Production of LIBs requires large amounts of a polymeric binder – commonly polyvinylidene difluoride (PVDF) – for processing and performance purposes. However, since this material is petrochemically-derived, it is far from “green” or sustainable. On the other hand, polymers and their building blocks are found widely throughout nature and can be renewably sourced from biomass at low cost; therefore, replacing PVDF with biomass-derived binders is a promising approach to reduce the environmental footprint of LIBs. Additionally, polymer binders play a critical role in next-generation battery performance. For instance, silicon (Si) is a promising high-capacity anode material for LIBs because of its high theoretical capacity (4200 mA h g –1 ), low working potential, and high abundance in Earth's crust. However, its huge volume change during charge/discharge tends to result in a shortened cycle life, since conventional binders interact only weakly with silicon's native surface and cannot maintain long-term integrity of the electrode. Naturally derived polymers have found better success in this role due to their high structural advantages. In this review, we summarize recent developments in silicon anode binders derived from various biomass sources, with a focus on polymer properties and their effect on battery performance. Further, we propose various perspectives based on our own assessment of these works, and provide a brief commentary on the future outlook of the field.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

A Methodological Overview of Seismic Analysis for Nuclear Event Detection

Underground explosions generate potentially detectable signatures, including energy waves that travel through the Earth’s subsurface (i.e., seismic waves), low-frequency sound waves (i.e., infrasound and hydroacoustic waves), and radioactive gases and/or particles that might leak from the test cavity (if the event was nuclear). There can also be intelligence indicators of a test, such as observations of modified patterns of life and activity at a suspected test site. If all of these detectable signatures and intelligence indicators are present and self-consistent, then analysts have high confidence in classifying a signature generating event as an explosion. However, because only partial information about an event is likely to be available, determining whether an event was natural (e.g., an earthquake or landslide) or manmade (e.g., a chemical or nuclear explosion) is much more challenging. This primer describes how one category of event signatures—seismic signatures—can augment event analyses. While universities and government organizations have generated detailed technical descriptions of seismic analytic techniques, we seek to translate seismic event analysis for a broad, non-technical audience. When the geologic conditions near an event are well-characterized, seismic data can be used to calculate critical information, such as event location and depth, with relatively high accuracy. Moreover, specific features within seismic datasets can help determine whether an event was an explosion. However, a key challenge in seismic analysis is that geologic site conditions are often poorly characterized, complicating the ability to discern the true nature of the event. To overcome this challenge, geologists answer a series of questions (discussed in section 1) to guide seismic event analysis and determine the most probable nature of an event. As more information is gathered during each analytic step, confidence grows regarding the nature of the event. Section 2 addresses uncertainties in seismic analysis and the vital nature of high-fidelity geologic data for accurate seismic event analysis.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Freezing Processes in Southern Ocean Mixed Phase Clouds (Final Technical Report)

Southern Ocean (SO) low-level clouds remain a challenge for Earth system models to represent accurately. This project utilized DOE ARM observations and the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM) to improve process-level understanding of aerosol-cloud interactions and cloud microphysics for SO mixed-phase clouds. Specifically, our efforts include two main topics: 1) investigate the SO aerosol, cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), and ice nucleating particle (INP) population based on observations and determine predictive skill of simulating SO INPs, and 2) assess the ice formation pathways, including ice nucleation and secondary ice production, in SO mixed phase clouds utilizing a combination of observations and modeling tools. Studies focused on SO aerosol and INP resulted four manuscripts. Ice formation pathways in SO mixed phase clouds were investigated, revealing observed evidence of SIP active across all mixed phase temperatures. However, a key finding of this project is that despite significant progress in predicting SO INPs, the role of INP variability in SO cloud phase, precipitation, and radiative properties remain unknown due to challenges in microphysics parameterizations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

HTS to NbTi Joints for Fusion Magnet Cost Savings

This paper describes methods of employing high field High Temperature Superconductors (HTS), only where high field capability and high current density is needed in superconducting coils. The approach lends itself, in particular, to Toroidal Field (TF) coils used in fusion reactors. The initial idea was to develop a conductor joint design or designs that would allow joints between expensive high field High Temperature Superconductors (HTS) Rare Earth Barium Copper Oxide (REBCO) conductors to low cost NbTi lower field conductors.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Cloud water adjustments to aerosol perturbations are buffered by solar heating in non-precipitating marine stratocumuli

Abstract. Marine low-level clouds are key to the Earth's energy budget due to their expansive coverage over global oceans and their high reflectance of incoming solar radiation. Their responses to anthropogenic aerosol perturbations remain the largest source of uncertainty in estimating the anthropogenic radiative forcing of climate. A major challenge is the quantification of the cloud water response to aerosol perturbations. In particular, the presence of feedbacks through microphysical, dynamical, and thermodynamical pathways at various spatial and temporal scales could augment or weaken the response. Central to this problem is the temporal evolution in cloud adjustment, governed by entangled feedback mechanisms. We apply an innovative conditional Monte Carlo subsampling approach to a large ensemble of diurnal large-eddy simulation of non-precipitating marine stratocumulus to study the role of solar heating in governing the evolution in the relationship between droplet number and cloud water. We find a persistent negative trend in this relationship at night, confirming that the role of microphysically enhanced cloud-top entrainment. After sunrise, the evolution in this relationship appears buffered and converges to ∼-0.2 in the late afternoon. This buffering effect is attributed to a strong dependence of cloud-layer shortwave absorption on cloud liquid water path. These diurnal cycle characteristics further demonstrate a tight connection between cloud brightening potential and the relationship between cloud water and droplet number at sunrise, which has implications for the impact of the timing of advertent aerosol perturbations.

Zhang, Jianhao (ORCID:0000000169882935)↗

Semihard Iron-Based Permanent-Magnet Materials

Permanent magnets generally require a favorable, but difficult-to-achieve combination of high magnetization, Curie point, and magnetic anisotropy. Thus there have been few, if any, viable permanent magnets developed since the 1982 discovery of Nd 2 Fe 14 B. In this work we point out, both by direct first-principles calculations on the iron carbides and silicides Fe 5 C 2 , Fe 5 SiC, and Fe 7 C 3 as well as a discussion of recent experimental findings, that there are numerous rare-earth-free iron-rich potential permanent-magnet materials with sufficient intrinsic magnetic properties to reasonably achieve room-temperature energy products of 20–25 MG Oe. This is substantially better than the performance of the best available rare-earth-free magnets based on ferrite, as well as shape-anisotropy-employing alnico. These magnets could plausibly fill, at low cost, the present performance “gap” between the best rare-earth-free magnets and rare-earth magnets such as Nd 2 Fe 14 B and Sm-Co.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impact of low-chemical storage pretreatment of loblolly pine bark on biochar from microwave pyrolysis

Forest product residues such as bark represent a low-cost, abundant feedstock for bioenergy, but their high ash and alkali and alkaline earth metal (AAEM) content limit thermochemical conversion efficiency. This study evaluates the use of low-severity chemical pretreatments during anaerobic storage to improve the performance of microwave pyrolysis for loblolly pine bark. Bark was treated with dilute sulfuric acid (0.1% and 1%, w/w) or sodium hydroxide (4%, w/w) and incubated anaerobically for one or two weeks to simulate in-pile biorefinery storage. The most effective treatment—1% H2SO4 for two weeks—reduced AAEM content by 35.7% and increased bio-oil yield by 11% compared to untreated controls, while also reducing pyrolysis gas production. In contrast, alkali treatment did not reduce AAEM levels and led to decreased bio-oil yields with increased gas formation. Although biochar yields were relatively stable across treatments, their physicochemical characteristics varied significantly. Acid-treated bark yielded biochars with higher carbon content, lower O/C and H/C ratios, greater surface area, and enhanced heating values. These improvements suggest that chemical pretreatment during storage can tailor biochar quality for specific end uses. Biochars produced under optimized conditions exhibited properties suitable for soil amendment, carbon sequestration, and solid fuel applications. This integrated approach—combining storage, mild chemical conditioning, and microwave pyrolysis—provides a viable pathway to enhance the value and sustainability of bark-derived bioenergy products.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗

Biologically Cooling the Planet: A BRISK Approach that Directly Connects the Ground to Deep Space

Climate change is a grave threat to our ability to thrive and prosper on Earth. Accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere stifle the Earth’s ability to cool itself, which leads to a rise of the average temperature – Global warming. The planetary cooling is exclusively radiative – thermal radiation escapes into cold outer space via a flux of photons at the low-infrared range. The penetration of these photons through Earth’s atmosphere is dictated by atmospheric transparency, which, serendipitously possesses a window centered around the peak of the Plank spectrum for a black body at about room temperature – the average temperature of Earth. This window spanning about 8 --13 μm wavelengths allows most of the photons in this range to escape into the Cosmos carrying our planet’s heat away. The efficiency of this outer heat flux – and thus planet’s cooling ability – can be controlled via emissivity – a function of wavelength which multiplies the fundamental Plank spectrum of a black body at a given temperature. In the presence of non-trivial atmospheric transparency it can be shown that radiative cooling can be enhanced with properly “designed” emissivity function. For the last 100 years, or so, people have been looking into ways to engineer materials to take advantage of such enhancement for various cooling applications, from making ice to cool clothes, and substantial progress has been achieved, including cooling in direct sunlight. The beauty if this approach is that it is entirely passive – no energy input is required. The objective of this project was to investigate whether biological systems possess such advanced cooling capacity, developed via millennia of evolution, to enhance plant’s adaptation to a hot environment, to increase cooling capability, and possibly modulate spectral emissivities on short or long time scales. We wanted to know if BRISK (Biological Radiative Sky Cooling) occurs and to what extent. It is unknown whether biological systems can perform this "spectral redistribution." It is reasonable to expect, however, that they might: in particular, desert plants under high heat stress and arid conditions might evolve this mechanism in order to maintain a tolerable internal temperature. Our intended approach was twofold: extensive literature search and supporting experimental investigations on select plants. We obtained the answers from the former, while the latter proved to be more complicated to perform with required accuracy in the timespan/budget of a small seedling project. After one year of research, we concluded that among the plant species studied there seem to be no evidence of BRISK, but it’s not the end of the story. Our planet’s biosphere is immense, and the evolution is continuing. With our preliminary results and a better understanding of what to look for further discoveries await, considering the accelerated pace of infrared imaging and spectroscopy technology development, from microscopic to satellite-based studies of plants and canopies. In the end, Earth’s energy balance is ultimately tied to radiative cooling so that further investigation into this problem is directly tied to solving the Climate Change challenge.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Effect of atom substitutions on the magnetic properties in Ce 2 Fe 17 : Toward permanent magnet applications

Due to the rapidly developing technologies and huge market demand, there has been increasing interest internationally in exploring permanent magnet formulations in addition to the well-known Nd 2 Fe 14 B and SmCo 5 /Sm 2 Co 17 . Given Fe's low materials cost and generally high magnetization, Fe-rich rare earth binaries such as Ce 2 Fe 17 comprise a rich “hunting ground” for such new materials. While this compound suffers from a low ordering point and is a heli magnet, these difficulties are easily remedied by the substitution of appropriate amounts of cobalt for Fe, with room-temperature saturation magnetization as high as 1.5 T. In this work, we try to switch the all-important magnetic anisotropy from planar to uniaxial behavior in Ce 2 Fe 17 via 18 h - and 6 c -type atom substitutions with Si, Ir, and numerous other atoms. The uniaxial magnetocrystalline anisotropy is successfully achieved in the 6 c -site-substituted Ce 2 Fe 15 Ir 2 systems, along with large magnetization. We find that iridium substitution, in particular, induces a substantial uniaxial anisotropy of 11.25 MJ/m 3 , which is comparable to most of the current rare earth permanent magnets. Although the iridium substitution is costly, the finding of Ir-triggered uniaxial magnetic anisotropy indicates the potential of Ce–Fe-based alloys for permanent magnets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Amorphous Metal Ribbon (AMR) and Metal Amorphous Nanocomposite (MANC) Materials Enabled High Power Density Vehicle Motor Applications (Final Technical Report)

A collaborative team from Carnegie Mellon Univ. (CMU), North Carolina State Univ. (NCSU) and Metglas, South Carolina have studied new high speed motors (HSMs) with high-power density for traction motor applications. These are enabled by hybrid designs, including Flux Switching with Permanent Magnets (FSWPM) motors, exploiting permanent magnets without heavy rare earths (RE-lean) and high induction/high resistivity soft magnetic materials that allow for high switching frequencies needed to increase power densities. Team members include Michael E. McHenry, Prof. Materials Science & Eng., CMU, with > 30 years experience in magnetic materials development; Subashish Bhattacharya, Prof. Electrical Eng. and Freedom Center Director at NCSU with > 30 years experience in development of power electronic components and systems and Eric Theisen, Director of Research at Metglas, the only US located supplier of AMR and MANC materials. The team offers novel axial motor architectures exploiting soft magnetic materials (SMMs) that switch with low loss at high frequencies and heavy rare earth free permanent magnets that address materials criticality issues, supply chain risks, and high costs for traction motors. Axial-flux permanent magnet motors (APFM), offer efficiency improvements reducing rotor losses and also significantly higher power density. Axial-flux construction requires less core material, high torque-to-weight ratio. Since AFPM machines have thin magnets, they are smaller than radial flux motors making them attractive in space-limited applications. Noise and vibration are less and planar air gaps are easily adjusted. Flexibility in air-gap direction allows many topologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Building Environmental Justice and Equity into the Development of Critical Mineral Industries

The global transition toward low-carbon energy not only means an increase in demand for clean electricity and renewable resources, but also an increase in demand for the critical minerals (CMs) and rare earth elements (REEs) that these technologies rely upon. Indeed, low-carbon energy technologies, such as those used for wind turbines and electric vehicle motors, require significantly more lithium, nickel, cobalt, manganese, graphite, and other CMs than fossil-based energy technologies. The growing demand for new forms of low- carbon energy will necessitate a proportional scale-up of CM and REE extraction and processing. Presently, the majority of extraction and processing activities for CMs and REEs are concentrated in very few countries, primarily in China and the Global South. CM and REE supply chain activities conducted in or controlled by these countries are commonly associated with widespread and well- documented human rights abuses and environmental degradation. As a result of concerns related to supply chain security, worker welfare, and the overall need for additional sources of CMs and REEs, governments worldwide have begun to explore policy pathways for the development of new supply chains. The development of new supply chains for CMs and REEs re s a multifold opportunity to accelerate the global deployment of low-carbon energy fleets, reduce global carbon emissions, build political resilience—and also to enhance policy objectives of environmental justice and equity in the clean energy transition. Fulfilling these policy objectives requires energy producers to navigate a maze of global supply chain policies designed to shape and accelerate the growth of new markets. In the United States, for instance, President Biden recently implemented fiscal and trade policies that incentivize both domestic and global reliance on U.S.-produced CMs and REEs, leveraging key relationships in Asia and Europe to ensure the accelerated buildout of the U.S. supply chain. The Biden Administration’s framework also emphasizes that new supply chains for CMs, REEs, and other low-carbon energy pathways must generate benefits for marginalized and disadvantaged communities, build energy equity, and contribute to the Biden Administration’s vision of environmental justice. present CM and REE supply chains include several stages, including mining, processing, transport, utilization, and disposal, each of which involves different environmental justice considerations and potential injustices. This study explores how technical innovation, paired with responsible community engagement and empowerment, can help inform the development of energy equity and environmental justice at all stages of new supply chains. The study highlights these opportunities on a broad scale. We also lend a specific focus to research at the University of Wyoming School of Energy Resources that aims to guide the development of CM and REE industries in communities with high economic dependence on coal and other fossil fuel industries, identifying pathways to grow a U.S. domestic supply chain by producing CMs from coal, coal by-products, and coal waste streams. These production pathways represent a potential new supply for CMs across the U.S. and elsewhere, thereby enhancing national security and accelerating the widespread deployment of low-carbon energy technologies, while also generating alternative applications for remaining coal reserves and aiding in a just transition for rural energy-producing communities.

Gerace, Selena↗

Understanding the reversible electrodeposition of aluminum in low-cost room-temperature molten salts

Aluminum is the most earth-abundant metal, trivalent, and inert in ambient air; it also has a density approximately five times that of lithium at room temperature, making it attractive for cost-effective, long-duration storage in batteries. Here, we investigate structural requirements and physicochemical and transport properties of ionic liquid (IL) electrolytes thought to enable high reversibility of Al battery anodes. We find that intentionally designed, low-cost IL analogs, including ammonium-based molten salts, offer comparable Al anode reversibility to state-of-the-art imidazolium-based IL melts. A critical ratio of solvated Al-ion species is required to balance the effects of Lewis acidity needed to continuously etch native Al 2 O 3 and form a stable solid electrolyte interphase on Al. Our findings open new opportunities for developing simple, cost-effective, room-temperature Al batteries that enable long-duration electrical energy storage.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Adsorption of Rare Earth Elements onto DNA-Functionalized Mesoporous Carbon

The recovery and separation of rare earth elements (REEs) are of national importance owing to the specific usages, high demand, and low supply of these elements. In this research, we have investigated the adsorption of rare earth elements onto DNA-functionalized mesoporous carbons with a BET surface area of 605 m2/g and a median mesopore width of 48 Å. Additionally, three types of single-stranded DNA, one with 100 base units of thymine, another with 20 units of thymine, and the third, a 2000 unit long DNA from salmon milt were grafted on the carboxylated mesoporous carbon surface. All of the DNA-functionalized mesoporous carbons demonstrated higher adsorption of REEs compared to pristine mesoporous carbon and DNA grafted with 100 units of thymine demonstrated slightly higher adsorbed amounts compared to others. Pure neodymium (Nd(III)) adsorption in the aqueous phase demonstrated an adsorbed amount of 110.4 mg/g with respect to the initial concentration of 500 mg/g. A pH variation study with pure Nd(III) demonstrated that the adsorbed amount is higher at elevated pH compared to that at lower pH, thereby suggesting possible recovery at lower pH. Adsorption of a mixture of 16 REEs, including Sc, Lu, Tm, Yb, Er, Ho, Tb, Dy, Y, Eu, Gd, Sm, Ce, Nd, Pr, and La revealed that the adsorbed amount increased with an increase in the atomic weight and metallic radii of elements within the lanthanides. The calculation of the distribution coefficients for all of the equilibrium adsorption amounts suggested that adsorption is more effective in the lower concentration region. The Nd L3-edge X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) confirmed a 3+ oxidation state of Nd in the adsorbed phase. The extended X-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) confirmed the local atomic structure relaxation of Nd complexes in the adsorbed phase and shortening of the Nd–O bond distance by about 0.03–0.04 Å, which may be associated with their local complexation at the carbon surface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Generation of Rare Earth Metals from Rare Earth Oxide Using Microwave Plasmas

The overarching goal of the proposed project is to develop a simple, energy-saving, high-selectivity technology for efficiently converting rare-earth oxides (REOs) to rare-earth metals (RE-metals) using microwave plasma under low temperature and inexpensive H 2 and N 2 . The project was managed and led by Dr. Maohong Fan at the University of Wyoming. The collaborating institutions include Ames Lab and Colorado School of Mines. The industrial collaboration entity is Eutectix, LLC. The use of hydrogen to reduce rare earth oxides has many advantages, as it is renewable and does not produce harmful emissions during metal production. Also, it avoids the use of carbon and the emission of CO 2 . Nd 2 O 3 treated with hydrogen plasma shows new peaks alongside those of Nd 2 O 3 . Some of these peaks are close to (28.4, 29.4, 30.5, 32.3, 36.6, 42.1, 48.9, 50.08, 55.1, 59.05, 59.64, 60.68, 62.5, 63.25), which may be related to elemental Nd.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Aerosol-boundary-layer-monsoon interactions amplify semi-direct effect of biomass smoke on low cloud formation in Southeast Asia

Low clouds play a key role in the Earth-atmosphere energy balance and influence agricultural production and solar-power generation. Smoke aloft has been found to enhance marine stratocumulus through aerosol-cloud interactions, but its role in regions with strong human activities and complex monsoon circulation remains unclear. Here we show that biomass burning aerosols aloft strongly increase the low cloud coverage over both land and ocean in subtropical southeastern Asia. The degree of this enhancement and its spatial extent are comparable to that in the Southeast Atlantic, even though the total biomass burning emissions in Southeast Asia are only one-fifth of those in Southern Africa. We find that a synergetic effect of aerosol-cloud-boundary layer interaction with the monsoon is the main reason for the strong semi-direct effect and enhanced low cloud formation in southeastern Asia.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Implementation and Evaluation of Physics-Driven Dynamic Entrainment-Mixing Parameterization in a Climate Model and Its Impact on Low-Cloud Simulation

The turbulent entrainment-mixing process in the Community Earth System Model version 1.2 (CESM1.2) is assumed to follow the extremely inhomogeneous entrainment-mixing. However, different entrainment-mixing scenarios can occur in real clouds. To address this deficiency, a unifying parameterization that represents different entrainment-mixing processes is implemented and evaluated in CESM1.2. The results indicate that the homogeneous mixing degree values simulated by the new parameterization in CESM1.2 are predominantly greater than 50%, suggesting a tendency toward homogeneous mixing. Compared to the extremely inhomogeneous mixing mechanism, the new parameterization increases the cloud droplet number concentration (Nc). More importantly, the new parameterization improves low-cloud fraction (CLDLOW) simulation in Northwest Pacific (NWP) and Southeast Pacific (SEP) regions, with relative improvements of 2.95% and 4.17%, respectively. Furthermore, the improvements reach up to 44.6% and 16.2% in the NWP and SEP regions, respectively, when considering the relationship between N c and CLDLOW. Further analysis reveals that the new parameterization enhances cloud optical depth, longwave radiative cooling effect, net condensation rate, cloud water mixing ratio, lower-troposphere stability, and CLDLOW by increasing N c . Additionally, these results underscore the importance of improving entrainment-mixing parameterization in climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling Low Intensity Fires: Lessons Learned from 2012 RxCADRE

Coupled fire-atmosphere models are increasingly being used to study low-intensity fires, such as those that are used in prescribed fire applications. Thus, the need arises to evaluate these models for their ability to accurately represent fire spread in marginal burning conditions. In this study, wind and fuel data collected during the Prescribed Fire Combustion and Atmospheric Dynamics Research Experiments (RxCADRE) fire campaign were used to generate initial and boundary conditions for coupled fire-atmosphere simulations. We present a novel method to obtain fuels representation at the model grid scale using a combination of imagery, machine learning, and field sampling. Several methods to generate wind input conditions for the model from eight different anemometer measurements are explored. We find a strong sensitivity of fire outcomes to wind inputs. This result highlights the critical need to include variable wind fields as inputs in modeling marginal fire conditions. This work highlights the complexities of comparing physics-based model results against observations, which are more acute in marginal burning conditions, where stronger sensitivities to local variability in wind and fuels drive fire outcomes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗