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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 235 records · Page 13

Avatar Tools

Supervised machine learning is the process of using past experience to predict the future. "Ensembles" are a machine-learning meta-method that can be applied to most machine learning algorithms. Ensembles generally greatly improve accuracy, reduce or remove most of the design issues presented by machine learning, and are admirably suited to parallel and distributed computation. The Avatar Tools codes are an implementation of ensembles specifically for decision trees. Some features that distinguish Avatar Tools from other "ensembles for decision trees" codes are: (1) Does the bookkeeping necessary for out of bag (OOB) validation. (2) Can use OOB validation to automatically determine optimal ensemble size. (3) Provides an MPI-based parallel implementation, for distributed operation. (4) Provides convenient tools for cross-validation, to assess the accuracy provided by a training set. SAND2020-3858 M Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Siefert, Christopher↗

Data-Driven Security Assessment of Power Grids Based on Machine Learning Approach: Preprint

Data-driven security assessment provides key indicators on power system stability using simulations on scheduling models, as opposed to dynamic simulations that are more time-consuming. This paper investigates data-driven security assessment of power grids based on machine learning. Multivariate random forest regression is used as the machine learning algorithm due to its high robustness to the input data. Three stability issues are analyzed using the proposed machine learning tool, including transient stability, frequency stability and small signal stability. The estimation values from machine learning tool are compared with those from dynamic simulations. Results show that the proposed machine learning tool can effectively predict the stability margins for the three stability metrics.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Estimation of cutting tool wear using an elastomeric tactile sensor

Machining performance of cutting tools and part quality are affected by the geometric condition of the cutting edge, which is influenced by thermomechanical loads experienced during the process. Tool condition monitoring (TCM) systems provide insight for timely replacement of cutting tools. However, existing TCM systems are expensive and require specialized equipment or sensors, hindering widespread adoption. A novel TCM system is developed herein using an elastomeric tactile sensor. Sensor images of the cutting edge are used to quantify wear using two distinct algorithms. In the first algorithm, the unworn and worn edges are identified based on Canny edge detect. In the second, the unworn edge is identified using edge detection while the region of wear is identified using a relative intensity method. In both cases, the maximum wear width is calculated based on an experimentally determined pixel to-physical distance scale. The TCM system is first used to estimate flank wear on a solid carbide helical end mill before evaluating its robustness by employing it to estimate insert wear of an indexable helical end mill. Measurements are also performed manually using an optical microscope and a high-resolution focus variation microscope for verification. The novel technique estimates flank wear in the solid carbide tool with a high accuracy of 98%. Larger discrepancies are observed for the inserts, however, with overlapping uncertainties. In conclusion, the technique shows promise in adaptability, automation, and closed loop control of machine tools.

Machining↗

Logistic classification for tool life modeling in machining

This paper describes the application of logistic classification for tool life modeling and prediction in an industrial setting using shop floor data. Tool life is treated as a classification problem since tool wear can only be measured at the time of tool replacement in a production environment. Laboratory tool wear experiments are used to simulate shop floor wear data by two states: not worn (class 0); and worn (class 1). To incorporate non-linearity in logistic classification, a log-transformation of input features is performed. The logistic classification approach, results, and interpretability of the logistic model are presented.

Karandikar, Jaydeep↗

Process damping identification using Bayesian learning and time domain simulation

Process damping can provide improved machining productivity by increasing the stability limit at low spindle speeds. However, existing methods for identifying process damping models experimentally require specialized setups and/or multiple cutting tests. While the phenomenon is well known, the modeling challenges limit pre-process parameter selection that leverages the potential increases in material removal rates. This paper proposes a physics-informed Bayesian method that can identify the cutting force and process damping models from a limited set of test cuts without requiring direct measurements of cutting force or vibration. The method uses time domain simulation to incorporate process damping and provide a basis for test selection. Here, new strategies for efficient sampling and dimensionality reduction are applied to lower computation time and minimize the effect of model error. The proposed method is demonstrated and the identified cutting and damping force coefficients are compared to values obtained using machining tests and least-squares fitting.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Physics-guided logistic classification for tool life modeling and process parameter optimization in machining

This paper describes a physics-guided logistic classification method for tool life modeling and process parameter optimization in machining. Tool life is modeled using a classification method since the exact tool life cannot be measured in a typical production environment where tool wear can only be directly measured when the tool is replaced. Here, in this study, laboratory tool wear experiments are used to simulate tool wear data normally collected during part production. Two states are defined: tool not worn (class 0) and tool worn (class 1). The non-linear reduction in tool life with cutting speed is modeled by applying a logarithmic transformation to the inputs for the logistic classification model. A method for interpretability of the logistic model coefficients is provided by comparison with the empirical Taylor tool life model. The method is validated using tool wear experiments for milling. Results show that the physics-guided logistic classification method can predict tool life using limited datasets. A method for pre-process optimization of machining parameters using a probabilistic machining cost model is presented. The proposed method offers a robust and practical approach to tool life modeling and process parameter optimization in a production environment.

Machine learning↗

A physics-based ensemble machine-learning approach to identifying a relationship between lightning indices and binary lightning hazard

To convert lightning indices generated by numerical weather prediction experiments into binary lightning hazard, a machine-learning tool was developed. This tool, consisting of parallel multilayer perceptron classifiers, was trained on an ensemble of planetary boundary layer schemes and microphysics parameterizations that generated four different lightning indices over 1 week. In a subsequent week, the multi-physics ensemble was applied and the machine-learning tool was used to evaluate the accuracy. Unintuitively, the machine-learning tool performed better on the testing dataset than the training dataset. Much of the error may be attributed to mischaracterizing the convection. The combination of the machine learning model and simulations could not differentiate between cloud-to-cloud lightning and cloud-to-ground lightning, despite being trained on cloud-to-ground lightning. It was found that the simulation most representative of the local operational model was the most accurate simulation tested.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Flight service evaluation of PRD-49/epoxy composite panels in wide bodied commercial transport aircraft

L-1011 aircraft fairing panel configurations were selected as test parts to compare the fabrication, costs and service performance characteristics of PRD-49 and fiberglass. These parts are currently fiberglass reinforced structure and the purpose of this program is to evaluate the results of direct substitution of PRD-49 fabric for the fiberglass. Three ship sets of these panels have been fabricated for a five year flight service evaluation on three L-1011 commercial airlines operating in widely diverse route structures. The standard tools and machining techniques used for fiberglass parts are unacceptable for cutting, trimming, and drilling the tougher PRD-49 fibers. Therefore, a machining development study was undertaken to provide the necessary new tools and machining techniques. After incorporating these new developments in the fabrication and installation of the panels, a manufacturing cost study revealed that the labor hours were only increased by about 12.5 percent.

Wooley, J. H.↗

Data Visualization and Analytics for Optimal Process Parameter Selection in Turning

The objective of this project is to research physics-guided machine learning methods to recommend optimal tools and machining process parameters for turning applications using the MSC test database. For a given turning application, the MSC metalworking specialist needs to make decisions on tools and the associated process parameters for the MSC customer. For a given material, there are many alternatives for tools and a wide range of process parameters to consider. MSC has built a database of tools and parameters for different applications from the historical turning tests completed at various customer sites. The research project aims to use machine learning methods to predict optimal tools and process parameters for the MSC metalworking specialists using the MSC test database. This enables continuous learning of optimal tool and process parameters for different applications as new information is collected from testing. Through MSC, this information can be shared with machining shops across the US leading to improved productivity and efficiency.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Control of machining-induced residual stress via tool geometry and process parameter modification

Distortion generated in machined, monolithic, thin-walled aerospace components due to residual stresses leads to significant material and economic waste in the manufacturing industry. Inherent residual stress (IRS) present in stock materials combines with machining-induced residual stress (MIRS) to influence the final machined part distortion. It is hypothesized that MIRS can be controlled, based on the part geometry, through deliberate cutting tool geometry and process parameter modifications to negate the effect of IRS on distortion, consequently resulting in distortion-free parts. A finite element (FE) orthogonal cutting model is developed to study how tool geometry and process parameters influence machining-induced residual stress (MIRS). Orthogonal cutting experiments are performed on Al 7075-T651 samples to measure cutting forces and MIRS. A cutting force dynamometer is used to measure forces during cutting and a novel digital image correlation (DIC) based hole drilling technique is employed to measure the near-surface residual stress (RS) in the cut samples. These data are subsequently utilized to validate the FE prediction model. Various cases of cutting simulations involving different depths of cut, tool tip radii, and rake angles are performed to study their effects on RS. Similar to prior literature, increasing the depth of cut, tool tip radius, or rake angle is found to promote the formation of near-surface tensile stresses. The competing effects of material plowing and temperature are shown to determine the type of RS at the end of the cut. Moreover, a window of variation of RS (up to ± 400 MPa) is estimated within the given range of conditions, allowing for the control of MIRS through tool and process modification.

Mathews, Ritin [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000301440828)↗

G4Boost: a machine learning-based tool for quadruplex identification and stability prediction

Background: G-quadruplexes (G4s), formed within guanine-rich nucleic acids, are secondary structures involved in important biological processes. Although every G4 motif has the potential to form a stable G4 structure, not every G4 motif would, and accurate energy-based methods are needed to assess their structural stability. Here, we present a decision tree-based prediction tool, G4Boost, to identify G4 motifs and predict their secondary structure folding probability and thermodynamic stability based on their sequences, nucleotide compositions, and estimated structural topologies. Results: G4Boost predicted the quadruplex folding state with an accuracy greater then 93% and an F1-score of 0.96, and the folding energy with an RMSE of 4.28 and R 2 of 0.95 only by the means of sequence intrinsic feature. G4Boost was successfully applied and validated to predict the stability of experimentally-determined G4 structures, including for plants and humans. Conclusion: G4Boost outperformed the three machine-learning based prediction tools, DeepG4, Quadron, and G4RNA Screener, in terms of both accuracy and F1-score, and can be highly useful for G4 prediction to understand gene regulation across species including plants and humans.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A review of machine learning in building load prediction

The surge of machine learning in recent years has been empowering engineer modeling in various fields. The decreasing hardware cost, increasing data accessibility, and advances of building automation system (BAS) allow the collection and storage of a significant amount of building operation data. The two facts provide great opportunities of applying machine learning to building energy systems modeling and analysis. There are a great number of research papers on this topic but there lacks a comprehensive and general review to summarize the current development, limitations, gaps and future trend. In this review paper series, machine learning techniques in building energy system modeling and analysis are reviewed under the organization and logic of the machine learning definition by Tom M. Mitchell: a computer program is said to learn from experience E with respect to some class of tasks T and performance measure P if its performance at tasks in T, as measured by P, improves with experience E. This paper is the first part of the review paper series, which focuses on building load prediction. First, the applications of building load prediction model (task T) are reviewed. Then, the modeling algorithms improving machine learning performance and accuracy (performance P) are reviewed. At the same time, the literature on the data perspective for modeling (experience E), including data engineering from sensors level to data level, pre-processing, feature extraction and selection, is reviewed. Finally, what is well-studied and what is lacking but with great potential are concluded; the gaps between present and future utilization of machine learning techniques are identified; the future trend and development are also predicted. The target readers of this paper are not only researchers from the building side who can get exposed to cutting edge machine learning tools, but also those from machine learning side who can understand the potential and challenge to apply machine learning in buildings.

Liang, Zhang↗

Steam Generator Model Design Parameter Sensitivity Study Using Advanced Optimization Tools

This study focuses on design parameter sensitivity studies pertaining to a steam generator (SG) model, using both Python and machine-learning tools. The SG model is a mathematical representation (including fluid flow and heat transfer equations/models/correlations) of a steam-generating unit in a pressurized water reactor (PWR)-type small modular reactor (SMR) system. Design studies involve changing the model’s input design parameters (e.g., temperature, pressure, mass flow rate) to observe the resulting effects on the output of the system (e.g., heat transfer coefficient [HTC], Nusselt number, heat transfer performance). Sensitivity studies analyze the degree to which system output and/or desired parameters (e.g., HTC or heat transfer performance) are sensitive to changes in input parameters. By using machine-learning tools such as the Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) developed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), detailed design parametric sensitivity studies and model optimization were performed. Six input parameters—namely, the pressure, temperature, and mass flow rate for the inlet of the primary-side (hot fluid) and secondary-side (cold fluid) of the SG—were randomly perturbed via RAVEN’s Monte Carlo Sampler module, using uniform distributions (±1% relative changes). The analysis results give valuable insights into SG system performance and optimization, and provide justification for researching optimized sensor placement to effectively monitor and obtain experimental data.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Steam Generator Model Design Parameter Sensitivity Study Using Advanced Optimization Tools

This study focuses on design parameter sensitivity studies pertaining to a steam generator (SG) model, using both Python and machine-learning tools. The SG model is a mathematical representation (including fluid flow and heat transfer equations/models/correlations) of a steam-generating unit in a pressurized water reactor (PWR)-type small modular reactor (SMR) system. Design studies involve changing the model’s input design parameters (e.g., temperature, pressure, mass flow rate) to observe the resulting effects on the output of the system (e.g., heat transfer coefficient [HTC], Nusselt number, heat transfer performance). Sensitivity studies analyze the degree to which system output and/or desired parameters (e.g., HTC or heat transfer performance) are sensitive to changes in input parameters. By using machine-learning tools such as the Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) developed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), detailed design parametric sensitivity studies and model optimization were performed. Six input parameters—namely, the pressure, temperature, and mass flow rate for the inlet of the primary-side (hot fluid) and secondary-side (cold fluid) of the SG—were randomly perturbed via RAVEN’s Monte Carlo Sampler module, using uniform distributions (±1% relative changes). The analysis results give valuable insights into SG system performance and optimization, and provide justification for researching optimized sensor placement to effectively monitor and obtain experimental data.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Assembling a Cyber Range to Evaluate Artificial Intelligence / Machine Learning (AI/ML) Security Tools

In this case study, we will describe the design and assembly of a cyber security test range we have built at Oak Ridge National Laboratory in Oak Ridge, TN, USA. The range is designed to provide a flexible environment to evaluate cyber security tools—particularly those involving AI/ML—in a way that provides realistic environments and where we can control the experiments to determine the strengths and weaknesses of the tools. We have designed in the ability to repeat the evaluations, so additional tools can be evaluated and compared at a later time. The system is one that can be scaled up or down for experiment sizes. At the time of the conference we will have completed two full-scale, national, government challenges on this range. These challenges are evaluating the performance and operating costs for AI/ML-based cyber security tools for application into large, government-sized environments. These evaluations will be described, in order to provide motivation and context for various design decisions and adaptations we have made. The first challenge measured end-point security tools against 100K malware samples chosen across a range of types. The second is network detection of attempted penetration and exploitations with varying levels of covertness in a high-volume, business network. The scale of each of these challenges is requiring us to create automation systems to repeat the experiments identically for each tool. Preventing there being easy signs of malicious activity for the AI/ML tools to focus on has been a particularly interesting and challenging aspect of designing and executing these challenge events. After the events, the range continues to be used for other research such as adversarial machine learning where the repeatability, scale, and automation required for the national challenge events become essential elements for research.

Nichols, Jeff↗

Assessing Machine Learning as a Tool to Explain Variance in Deployed Photovoltaic (PV) System Degradation

Degradation remains a large uncertainty in forecasting production for PV plants, creating significant risk for developers and financiers. This study aims to quantify the distribution and drivers of degradation across 10,000 PV systems deployed for distributed or utility generation by training a machine learning model to predict year-over-year degradation rates from metadata characteristics. A combination of K-Means clustering and random forest regressor were found to associate multiple metadata features as potential drivers of degradation, including module characteristics, system design, and climate features. From this, it is inferred that if machine learning is able to find complex patterns between metadata features and system performance loss, such methods can be employed to help developers and financiers make data-informed decisions when estimating long-term energy production forecasts in financial models.

Dunn, Jimmy C.↗

Physics Community Needs, Tools, and Resources for Machine Learning

Machine learning (ML) is becoming an increasingly important component of cutting-edge physics research, but its computational requirements present significant challenges. In this white paper, we discuss the needs of the physics community regarding ML across latency and throughput regimes, the tools and resources that offer the possibility of addressing these needs, and how these can be best utilized and accessed in the coming years.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗