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At least 235 records · Page 13

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NASA NTRS1984

The prediction of tropopause height from clusters of brightness temperatures and its application in the stratified regression temperature retrievals using microwave and infrared satellite measurements

A total of 1575 radiosondes and the corresponding simulated brightness temperatures were used in an effort to derive a temperature retrieval based on the clusters of brightness temperatures. The 8 simulated channels, namely, 3 MSU and 5 IR of the TIROS-N satellite are used by the GLAS temperature retrieval method. The 3 MSU and 5 IR brightness temperatures were clustered into 17 cluster groups and a regression for the prediction of the tropopause height in mb was generated. The overall r.m.s. for the tropopause prediction is excellent, namely, around 16 mb for the summer and 23 mb for the winter. The correct cluster of brightness temperatures can be identified 98% of the time by the method of discriminatory classification if it is approximately a normal distribution or, in general, by the method of the nearest neighbor.

Munteanu, M. J.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Tortuosity of lightning return stroke channels

Data obtained from photographs of lightning are presented on the tortuosity of return stroke channels. The data were obtained by making piecewise linear fits to the channels, and recording the cartesian coordinates of the ends of each linear segment. The mean change between ends of the segments was nearly zero in the horizontal direction and was about eight meters in the vertical direction. Histograms of these changes are presented. These data were used to create model lightning channels and to predict the electric fields radiated during return strokes. This was done using a computer generated random walk in which linear segments were placed end-to-end to form a piecewise linear representation of the channel. The computer selected random numbers for the ends of the segments assuming a normal distribution with the measured statistics. Once the channels were simulated, the electric fields radiated during a return stroke were predicted using a transmission line model on each segment. It was found that realistic channels are obtained with this procedure, but only if the model includes two scales of tortuosity: fine scale irregularities corresponding to the local channel tortuosity which are superimposed on large scale horizontal drifts. The two scales of tortuosity are also necessary to obtain agreement between the electric fields computed mathematically from the simulated channels and the electric fields radiated from real return strokes. Without large scale drifts, the computed electric fields do not have the undulations characteristics of the data.

Levine, D. M.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Predicting the required number of training samples

A criterion which measures the quality of the estimate of the covariance matrix of a multivariate normal distribution is developed. Based on this criterion, the necessary number of training samples is predicted. Experimental results which are used as a guide for determining the number of training samples are included. Previously announced in STAR as N82-28109

Kalayeh, H. M.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Thermal regime of the continental lithosphere

From studies of the global heat flow data set, it has been generalized, with respect to the continental lithosphere, that there is a negative correlation between heat flow and the lithosphere's tectonic edge, and that the lithosphere's thermal evolution is similar to that of the ocean basins, resulting in a 'stable geotherm' in both environments. It is presently noted that a regional study perspective for heat flow data leads to doubts concerning the general applicability of either statement. Rao et al. (1982) have demonstrated that the data are not normally distributed, and that it is not possible to establish a negative correlation between heat flow and age in a rigorous statistical fashion. While some sites of stable continental blocks may have a geotherm that is by chance similar to that for old ocean basins, this need not hold true generally, and many stable continental terranes will be characterized by geotherms very different from those for old ocean basins.

Morgan, P.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Bayesian estimation of normal mixture parameters

A Bayesian, or penalized maximum likelihood, approach to the problem of estimating the parameters of a mixture of multivariate normal distributions is proposed. The Bayesian formulation eliminates the problem of singularities in the likelihood function and results in an attractive EM-like procedure. Although the question of consistency is not settled, it is suggested that the proposed method has certain advantages over both the constrained and unconstrained maximum likelihood procedures.

Peters, C.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Changes in the cholinergic system of rat sciatic nerve and skeletal muscle following suspension induced disuse

Muscle disused induced changes in the cholinergic system of sciatic nerve, slow twitch soleus (SOL) and fast twitch extensor digitorum longus (EDL) muscle were studied in rats. Rats with hindlimbs suspended for 2 to 3 weeks showed marked elevation in the activity of choline acetyltransferase (ChAT) in sciatic nerve (38%), in SOL (108%) and in EDL (67%). Acetylcholinesterase (AChE) activity in SOL increased by 163% without changing the molecular forms pattern of 4S, 10S, 12S, and 16S. No significant changes in activity and molecular forms pattern of AChE were seen in EDL or in AChE activity of sciatic nerve. Nicotinic receptor binding of 3H-acetylcholine was increased in both muscles. When measured after 3 weeks of hindlimb suspension the normal distribution of type 1 fibers in SOL was reduced and a corresponding increase in type IIa and IIb fibers is seen. In EDL no significant change in fiber proportion is observed. Muscle activity, such as loadbearing, appears to have a greater controlling influence on the characteristics of the slow twitch SOL muscle than upon the fast twitch EDL muscle.

Gupta, R. C.↗

NASA NTRS1985

The effect of sensor and actuator errors on static shape control for large space structures

An analytical study was performed to predict and assess the effect of actuator and sensor errors on the performance of a shape control procedure for flexible space structures using applied temperatures. Approximate formulas were derived for the expected value and variance of the rms distortion ratio (ratio of rms distortions with and without corrections) based on the assumption of zero-mean normally distributed random errors in measured distortions and actuator output temperatures. Studies were carried out for a 55-meter radiometer antenna reflector distorted from its ideal parabolic shape by nonuniform orbital heating. The first study consisted of varying the sensor and actuator errors for the case of 12 actuators and computing the distortion ratio. In the second study, sensor and actuator errors were prescribed and the effect of increasing the number of actuators was evaluated.

Haftka, R. T.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Optical analysis of parabolic dish concentrators for solar dynamic power systems in space

An optical analysis of a parabolic solar collection system operating in Earth orbit was performed using ray tracing techniques. The analysis included the effects of: (1) solar limb darkening, (2) parametric variation of mirror surface error, (3) parametric variation of mirror rim angle, and (4) parametric variation of alignment and pointing error. This ray tracing technique used numerical integration to combine the effects of rays emanating from different parts of the sun at different intensities with the effects of normally distributed mirror-surface errors to compute the angular intensity distribution of rays leaving the mirror surface. A second numerical integration was then performed over the surface of the parabolic mirror to compute the radial distribution of brightness at the mirror focus. Major results of the analysis included: (1) solar energy can be collected at high temperatures with high efficiency, (2) higher absorber temperatures can be achieved at lower efficiencies, or higher efficiencies can be achieved at lower temperatures, and (3) collection efficiency is near its maximum level across a broad plateau of rim angles from 40 deg to 70 deg.

Jefferies, K. S.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Secular variations in solar flare proton fluxes

Proton fluences in contemporary solar-flare events (1965-82) are analyzed to obtain values of average flux and characteristic rigidity R0 (MV). Both proton fluences F (E greater than 10MeV) and R0 (in the energy interval 10-30 MeV) values for individual events follow log-normal distribution. Comparison of contemporary average flux and R0 values with long-term averaged values, based on lunar sample data, indicate that the ancient solar-flare proton spectra were harder compared to that observed in contemporary flares. The contemporary and long-term (greater than 10,000 yr) averaged fluxes are similar, although such a comparison may not be meaningful because the contemporary averages suffer from uncertainty due to statistics of a single event. The long-term average data suggests a secular variation in solar-flare activity with enhanced proton fluxes during the last 100,000 years.

Goswami, J. N.↗

NASA NTRS1986

High-accuracy computation of Delta V magnitude probability densities - Preliminary remarks

This paper describes an algorithm for the high accuracy computation of some statistical quantities of the magnitude of a random trajectory correction maneuver (TCM). The trajectory correction velocity increment Delta V is assumed to be a three-component random vector with each component being a normally distributed random scalar having a possibly nonzero mean. Knowledge of the statitiscal properties of the magnitude of a random TCM is important in the planning and execution of maneuver strategies for deep-space missions such as Galileo. The current algorithm involves the numerical integration of a set of differential equations. This approach allows the computation of density functions for specific Delta V magnitude distributions to high accuracy without first having to generate large numbers of random samples. Possible applications of the algorithm to maneuver planning, planetary quarantine evaluation, and guidance success probability calculations are described.

Chadwick, C.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Statistical methods for astronomical data with upper limits. II - Correlation and regression

Statistical methods for calculating correlations and regressions in bivariate censored data where the dependent variable can have upper or lower limits are presented. Cox's regression and the generalization of Kendall's rank correlation coefficient provide significant levels of correlations, and the EM algorithm, under the assumption of normally distributed errors, and its nonparametric analog using the Kaplan-Meier estimator, give estimates for the slope of a regression line. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that survival analysis is reliable in determining correlations between luminosities at different bands. Survival analysis is applied to CO emission in infrared galaxies, X-ray emission in radio galaxies, H-alpha emission in cooling cluster cores, and radio emission in Seyfert galaxies.

Isobe, T.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Low-frequency 1/f noise in the interplanetary magnetic field

Spacecraft observations of the interplanetary magnetic field at 1 AU are shown to have frequency spectra with a 1/f dependence in the range 2.7-80 microHz. It is suggested that the 1/f spectrum results from the superposition of uncorrelated samples of solar surface turbulence that have log-normal distributions of correlation lengths corresponding to a scale-invariant distribution of correlation times over an appropriate range of parameters.

Matthaeus, W. H.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Probabilistic Modeling of Loran-C for nonprecision approaches

The overall idea of the research was to predict the errors to be encountered during an approach using available data from the U.S. Coast Guard and standard normal distribution probability analysis for a number of airports in the North East CONUS. The research consists of two parts: an analytical model that predicts the probability of an approach falling within a given standard, and a series of flight tests designed to test the validity of the model.

Einhorn, John K.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Effect of sensor and actuator errors on static shape control for large space structures

Haftka, Raphael T.↗

NASA NTRS1987

A method for remote sensing the emissivity, fractional cloud cover and cloud top temperature of high-level, thin clouds

A methodology for retrieving the emissivity, cloud cover and cloud top temperature of high-level, thin clouds is developed and described. In the thermal infrared windows, the outgoing radiances from the earth's atmosphere contain information about cloud emissivity and cloud top temperature. This information is clearly demonstrated in the brightness temperature difference curves of two window channels. For the purpose of illustration, two window channels centered at 810 and 930 cm are chosen to construct the brightness temperature difference curves for a range of cloud top temperatures. These curves vary for different cloud top temperatures, and along each of these curves the emissivity changes. The brightness temperature difference method is used in a simulation study to demonstrate the feasibility of retrieving the cloud top temperature and emissivity by the utilization of measurements in two window channels. As expected, a perfect retrieval is found if perfect measurements and ideal atmospheric conditions are assumed. If a random error, which has a normal distribution with a mean of zero and standard deviation of + or - 0.5 C, is imposed to the measurements, a reasonable retrieval is found for emissivity greater than 0.3. The algorithm has been applied to a limited amount of HIRS2 data, which has 3.7, 3.98 and 11 micron channels. The cloud top temperature, emissivity and cloud cover are determined by using these channels.

Wu, Man-Li C.↗

NASA NTRS1987

Statistically determined nickel cadmium performance relationships

A statistical analysis was performed on sealed nickel cadmium cell manufacturing data and cell matching data. The cells subjected to the analysis were 30 Ah sealed Ni/Cd cells, made by General Electric. A total of 213 data parameters was investigated, including such information as plate thickness, amount of electrolyte added, weight of active material, positive and negative capacity, and charge-discharge behavior. Statistical analyses were made to determine possible correlations between test events. The data show many departures from normal distribution. Product consistency from one lot to another is an important attribute for aerospace applications. It is clear from these examples that there are some significant differences between lots. Statistical analyses are seen to be an excellent way to spot those differences. Also, it is now proven beyond doubt that battery testing is one of the leading causes of statistics.

Gross, Sidney↗

NASA NTRS1988

Advanced probabilistic methods for quantifying the effects of various uncertainties in structural response

The effects of actual variations, also called uncertainties, in geometry and material properties on the structural response of a space shuttle main engine turbopump blade are evaluated. A normal distribution was assumed to represent the uncertainties statistically. Uncertainties were assumed to be totally random, partially correlated, and fully correlated. The magnitude of these uncertainties were represented in terms of mean and variance. Blade responses, recorded in terms of displacements, natural frequencies, and maximum stress, was evaluated and plotted in the form of probabilistic distributions under combined uncertainties. These distributions provide an estimate of the range of magnitudes of the response and probability of occurrence of a given response. Most importantly, these distributions provide the information needed to estimate quantitatively the risk in a structural design.

Nagpal, Vinod K.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Probabilities and statistics for backscatter estimates obtained by a scatterometer with applications to new scatterometer design data

The values of the Normalized Radar Backscattering Cross Section (NRCS), sigma (o), obtained by a scatterometer are random variables whose variance is a known function of the expected value. The probability density function can be obtained from the normal distribution. Models for the expected value obtain it as a function of the properties of the waves on the ocean and the winds that generated the waves. Point estimates of the expected value were found from various statistics given the parameters that define the probability density function for each value. Random intervals were derived with a preassigned probability of containing that value. A statistical test to determine whether or not successive values of sigma (o) are truly independent was derived. The maximum likelihood estimates for wind speed and direction were found, given a model for backscatter as a function of the properties of the waves on the ocean. These estimates are biased as a result of the terms in the equation that involve natural logarithms, and calculations of the point estimates of the maximum likelihood values are used to show that the contributions of the logarithmic terms are negligible and that the terms can be omitted.

Pierson, Willard J., Jr.↗