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At least 235 records · Page 13

New approaches to Bayesian uncertainty quantification for Nuclear Science (Final Technical Report)

Inverse problems play a central role in experimentation and theory/data comparisons for many areas of modern Nuclear Physics (NP) and High-Energy Physics (HEP). Bayes’s Theorem is a powerful tool for solving Inverse Problems, providing conceptually transparent and unbiased constraints on theoretical parameters and their uncertainties (“Bayesian Inference”) and enabling the quantification of agreement or tension between models and data. However, analyses based on Bayesian Inference are often challenging for NP and HEP applications, either because of the large number of parameters in the problem, the high computational cost, or both. We propose a multi-institutional collaboration to develop and deploy novel Bayesian analysis tools that advance the scientific scope of a broad range of current and future NP experiments. This project brings together NP domain scientists working on several high-profile NP projects for which new, high-performance Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification (“Bayesian UQ”) methods are essential to carry out the science, and data scientists who are developing state-of-the-art methods applicable to these problems. The NP projects in this proposal comprise measurements of the mass and fundamental nature of the neutrino; study of the Quark-Gluon Plasma that filled the early universe; and mapping of natural and anthropogenic radiation environments. While these NP projects have very different scientific goals, with datasets and analysis approaches that differ significantly, they share common requirements for improving computationally intensive Bayesian analyses using advanced Machine Learning algorithms and will benefit strongly from a coherent effort to develop general solutions. This proposal brings together these projects and forefront ML-based data science algorithms to develop such general solutions. The methods developed in this project will also be more widely applicable, thereby advancing science in the larger Nuclear Physics portfolio.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Measurement of post-disruption runaway electron kinetic energy and pitch angle during final loss instability in DIII-D

Post-disruption runaway electron (RE) kinetic energy K and pitch angle sin$\vartheta$ are critical parameters for determining resulting first wall material damage during wall strikes, but are very challenging to measure experimentally. During the final loss instability, confined RE K and sin$\vartheta$ are reconstructed during center-post wall strikes for both high impurity (high-Z) and low impurity (low-Z) plasmas by combining soft x-ray, hard x-ray, synchrotron emission, and total radiated power measurements. Deconfined (wall impacting) RE sin$\vartheta$ is then reconstructed for these shots by using time-decay analysis of infra-red imaging. Additionally, deconfined RE K and sin$\vartheta$ are reconstructed for a low-Z downward loss shot by analyzing resulting damage to a sacrificial graphite dome limiter. The damage analysis uses multi-step modeling simulating plasma instability, RE loss orbits, energy deposition, and finally material expansion (MARS-F, KORC, GEANT-4, and finally COMSOL). Overall, mean kinetic energies are found to be in the range $\langle$$K$$\rangle$ $≈ 3-4$ MeV for confined REs. KORC simulations indicate that the final loss instability process does not change individual RE kinetic energy K. In conclusion, confined RE pitch angles are found to be fairly low initially pre-instability, $\langle$sin$\vartheta$$\rangle$ $≈ 0.1 – 0.2$, but appear to increase roughly 2x, to $\langle$sin$\vartheta$$\rangle$ $≈ 0.3 – 0.4$ for both confined and deconfined REs during instability onset in the low-Z case; this increase is not observed in the high-Z case.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Active Divertor Heat Flux Control using Impurity Powder Dropper

Divertor plasma-facing components (PFCs) in a tokamak are typically designed to withstand average steady-state heat loads of about 5–10 MW/m 2 , a limit that applies to both solid and liquid lithium (LL) PFCs. Exceeding these design values can result in surface damage to tungsten PFCs or excessive lithium (Li) evaporation in liquid lithium divertor (LLD) PFCs. Since exceeding the divertor heat load limits has serious consequences, it is therefore prudent to develop a tool to reduce the divertor heat load and bring the heat load to within the design limit without affecting the plasma performance. Active low Z impurity injection such as Li has been suggested as a potential solution to mitigate excess heat flux as suggested previously, given that non-coronal radiation can be quite large ~ 20–30 MJ per mole of injected Li. Li is considered desirable for reducing the edge neutral recycling helping to improve plasma energy confinement. In this paper, we model the Impurity Power Dropper (IPD) to investigate its potential of divertor heat flux control. The IPD is typically located at the top of the tokamak device and uses a vertical drift tube of a few meters. In the 2 m drift tube case, the IPD powder is accelerated to ~ 6 m/sec before reaching the plasma with the upper divertor configuration, matching the condition for the in-board side pellet injection case. By modeling the IPD geometry we determined the IPD powder deposition profile, and thus the non-coronal radiation and ionization profiles in time as well. From the enhanced radiation power loss, it is therefore possible to reduce the divertor heat load using the divertor simulation code. In conclusion, the IPD divertor heat flux control can be tested in the facilities with IPD including ST-40, DIII-D, EAST, WEST and NSTX-U.

Active lithium injection↗

SALSAA: a statistical approach to line shapes from an average atom

Ion-Stark line broadening is a key density diagnostic for hot dense plasmas relevant to inertial fusion and astrophysics. It is caused by interactions of a radiating ion with nearby perturbing ions, whose electric microfields lead to changes in bound-bound transition energies. Ion-Stark broadening becomes increasingly difficult to compute for complex, many-electron ions with myriad transitions. In this paper, we propose a simplified approach to ion-Stark broadening based on self-consistent ion distributions and electronic structure from an average-atom model. We find that this approach reproduces the line shape predictions of one traditional method for high-n K-shell emission lines in aluminum ions with accuracy sufficient for density diagnostics in thermal plasmas with equal ion and electron temperatures. We expect that this approach can be extended to provide a reasonable picture of ion-Stark broadening in many-electron ions, enabling rapid calculations of line profiles in complex spectra.

average-atom↗

Probing shocks interacting with radiation waves with the Radishock experiment

Both radiation flows and shocks have been extensively studied in the laboratory in the past few decades due to their critical roles in many astrophysical and high-energy density physics processes. In the Radishock experiment, a halfraum-powered radiation wave is driven into a low-density foam and interacts with an ablatively driven, counter-propagating shock. The interacting waves produce a spike in energy density with a temperature greater than the local temperature of the individual waves. As in the successful predecessor experiment, COAX, the primary diagnostic uses absorption spectroscopy at many locations down the cylindrical target, enabling a spatial temperature inference of the radiation wave and its interactions with the shock. Combined with a radiography diagnostic that is capable of imaging the shock and interaction features, we are able to study and inform model predictions of the interaction spike phenomenon. We describe the underlying physics behind the shock interactions with the radiation front and the implications of this experimental study for a broad range of astrophysical phenomena.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Isotope effects and Alfvén eigenmode stability in JET H, D, T, DT, and He plasmas

While much about Alfvén eigenmode (AE) stability has been explored in previous and current tokamaks, open questions remain for future burning plasma experiments, especially regarding exact stability threshold conditions and related isotope effects; the latter, of course, requiring good knowledge of the plasma ion composition. In the JET tokamak, eight in-vessel antennas actively excite stable AEs, from which their frequencies, toroidal mode numbers, and net damping rates are assessed. The effective ion mass can also be inferred using measurements of the plasma density and magnetic geometry. Thousands of AE stability measurements have been collected by the Alfvén Eigenmode Active Diagnostic in hundreds of JET plasmas during the recent Hydrogen, Deuterium, Tritium, DT, and Helium-4 campaigns. In this novel AE stability database, spanning all four main ion species, damping is observed to decrease with increasing Hydrogenic mass, but increase for Helium, a trend consistent with radiative damping as the dominant damping mechanism. These data are important for confident predictions of AE stability in both non-nuclear (H/He) and nuclear (D/T) operations in future devices. In particular, if radiative damping plays a significant role in overall stability, some AEs could be more easily destabilized in D/T plasmas than their H/He reference pulses, even before considering fast ion and alpha particle drive. Active MHD spectroscopy is also employed on select HD, HT, and DT plasmas to infer the effective ion mass, thereby closing the loop on isotope analysis and demonstrating a complementary method to typical diagnosis of the isotope ratio.

Alfvén eigenmodes↗

Development and characterization of the flight model spectrometer onboard LuSEE-Night

The Lunar Surface Electromagnetics Experiment - Night, LuSEE-Night, is a low-frequency radio astronomy experiment that will explore the cosmic Dark Ages signal on the radio-quiet far side of the Moon. Here, the LuSEE-Night carries a radio frequency spectrometer consisting of a set of antennas, analog and digital processing electronics, and will be launched by NASA’s Commercial Lunar Payload Services in 2025. The spectrometer is designed to observe the spectrum of the radio sky in the 0.5-50MHz band. The flight model (FM) of the four-channel spectrometer has been developed. The FM has been characterized for linearity, gain, noise, and their temperature dependence, confirming that the FM meets all the requirements for LuSEE-Night.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Evaluating nonlocal heat transport in directly driven chromium spheres using x-ray spectroscopy

We report on experiments investigating heat transport in laser-generated plasmas using directly driven chromium spheres. The spheres are fielded at the OMEGA laser facility and are driven with laser intensities of 5×10 14 Wcm −2 . Plasma conditions in the corona and scattered light are measured experimentally and compared against predictions from two-dimensional (2D) radiation-hydrodynamic simulations using different heat transport models. Spectroscopic analysis of x-ray self-emission is used as an additional diagnostic. X-ray emission is integrated over a large region of the plasma, probing regions that are not observed by localized optical Thomson scattering. In particular, x-ray emission peaks near the plasma critical density, so emission from optically thin lines provides information on plasma conditions where nonlocal transport is most likely to be significant. Three common heat transport models are considered: local transport with flux limiters f = 0.15 and f = 0.03, and the nonlocal Schurtz–Nicolai–Busquet (SNB) model. Consistent with previous work, both the high-flux (f = 0.15) and SNB models show good agreement with experimentally measured plasma conditions in the corona despite overpredicting laser absorption, whereas the low-flux (f = 0.03) model fails to match any experimental data. Conditions inferred from x-ray self-emission line ratios support this conclusion during the period of laser peak power, although synthetic spectra for all models fail to match the experiment during the transient portions of the pulse. For these reasons, the low-flux model is again rejected.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Examining astrophysical gas cloud collapse using an optical depth-scaled, x-ray-irradiated, carbon-foam sphere

When stellar radiation interacts with a molecular cloud, the cloud's fate depends on the strength of the incident radiation and the radiation's mean-free-path within the cloud [F. Bertoldi, Astrophys. J. 346, 735–755 (1989)]. Under the right conditions, the radiation compresses the cloud and a star formation may occur. Where and when the stellar formation occurs in the cloud's collapse are open questions. Direct observation of the complete star–cloud lifecycle is nearly impossible due to the immense timescales and distances over which the interaction occurs. Laboratory astrophysics offers a way to investigate such a system by scaling the important astrophysical parameters to the laboratory. This work describes laboratory experiments to study the radiation-driven implosion of clouds, using x rays from a laser-irradiated, thin, gold foil as a surrogate star and a carbon-foam sphere as a surrogate cloud. An optically thick system, theoretically corresponding to a star-forming regime, was selected by choice of the foam density. Gold foil and sphere motions were imaged by x-ray radiography. Radiographic images show the formation of an interface between rarefied gold and carbon plasmas, a shock moving into the sphere, and a blunting of the initial sphere's shape. Measurements show that the shock moved linearly around 64 μm/ns into the sphere, and the gold–carbon interface formed by 2 ns at the sphere edge remained stationary. The deformation of the sphere was driven by the incident radiation and not by mechanical pressures applied by gold plasma. The blunting of the sphere was likely due to the geometric reduction of flux near the sphere's poles. Higher x-ray flux near the sphere's equator caused high compression and a faster shock, which flattened the sphere. We will discuss the results and implications of our observations.

VanDervort, R. W. [University of Michigan 1 , Ann ↗

Anisotropic Flow in Fixed-Target 208 Pb + 20 Ne Collisions as a Probe of Quark-Gluon Plasma

The System for Measuring Overlap with Gas (SMOG2) at the LHCb detector enables the study of fixed-target ion-ion collisions at relativistic energies ($\sqrt{𝑠_{NN}}$ ∼ 100 GeV in the center of mass). Here, with input from ab initio calculations of the structure of 16 O and 20 Ne , we compute 3+1⁢D hydrodynamic predictions for the anisotropic flow of Pb+Ne and Pb+O collisions to be tested with upcoming LHCb data. This will allow the detailed study of quark-gluon plasma formation as well as experimental tests of the predicted nuclear shapes. Elliptic flow (𝑣 2 ) in Pb + Ne collisions is greatly enhanced compared to the Pb + O baseline due to the shape of 20 Ne , which is deformed in a bowling-pin geometry. Owing to the large 208 Pb radius, this effect is seen in a broad centrality range, a unique feature of this collision configuration. Larger elliptic flow further enhances the quadrangular flow (𝑣 4 ) of Pb + Ne collisions via nonlinear coupling, and impacts the sign of the kurtosis of the elliptic flow vector distribution (𝑐 2 ⁡{4}). Exploiting the shape of 20 Ne proves thus an ideal method to investigate the formation of quark-gluon plasma in fixed-target experiments at LHCb, and demonstrates the power of System for Measuring Overlap with Gas as a tool to image nuclear ground states.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Detailed characterization of runaway electron driven whistler waves in low-density DIII-D discharges

RE-driven whistler waves during quiescent DIII-D shots have been investigated further. The waves are confirmed to be mostly perpendicularly propagating and are observed for the first time with frequencies up to 700 MHz. Phase-spectral analysis has been used to infer their toroidal mode numbers, n, which are expected to scale with the wavenumber, k, of the mode. Though we derive a theoretical scaling of k ≈ 4n, the measured mode numbers are found to exhibit a very weak dependence on k. In addition, increases in synchrotron emission have been found to consistently lag whistler wave bursts by roughly 3–5 ms, suggesting the waves are causing pitch-angle scattering, since the emitted synchrotron radiation is a strong function of the REs' perpendicular energy. The stronger the wave bursts, the greater the subsequent increase in synchrotron emission. A predator-prey model is used to describe these nonlinear wave-particle interactions, from which the wave damping rates and the loss parameter can be inferred. The damping rates are found to be of the order of (1.6 ± 0.8) × 10 4 /s, and the unitless loss parameter is found to be approximately 2, suggesting that the loss mechanism is diffusive. These observations will serve to validate models of RE-driven waves in tokamak plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Disentangling Sources of Momentum Fluctuations in Xe+Xe and Pb+Pb Collisions with the ATLAS Detector

High-energy nuclear collisions create a quark-gluon plasma, whose initial condition and subsequent expansion vary from event to event, impacting the distribution of the eventwise average transverse momentum [𝑃⁡([𝑝 T ])]. Disentangling the contributions from fluctuations in the nuclear overlap size (geometrical component) and other sources at a fixed size (intrinsic component) remains a challenge. This problem is addressed by measuring the mean, variance, and skewness of 𝑃⁡([𝑝 T ]) in 208 Pb + 208 Pb and 129 Xe + 129 Xe collisions at $\sqrt{S{NN}}$ = 5.02 and 5.44 TeV, respectively, using the ATLAS detector at the LHC. All observables show distinct features in ultracentral collisions, which are explained by a suppression of the geometrical component as the overlap area reaches its maximum. These results demonstrate a new technique to separate geometrical and intrinsic fluctuations, providing constraints on initial conditions and properties of the quark-gluon plasma, such as the speed of sound.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A physics-constrained deep learning treatment of runaway electron dynamics

An adjoint formulation leveraging a physics-informed neural network (PINN) is employed to advance the density moment of a runaway electron (RE) distribution forward in time. A distinguishing feature of this approach is that once the adjoint problem is solved, its solution can be used to project the RE density forward in time for an arbitrary initial momentum space distribution of REs. Furthermore, by employing a PINN, a parametric solution to the adjoint problem can be learned. Thus, once trained, this adjoint-deep learning framework is able to efficiently project the RE density forward in time across various plasma conditions while still including a fully kinetic description of RE dynamics. As an example application, the temporal evolution of the density of primary electrons is studied, with particular emphasis on evaluating the decay of a RE population when below threshold. Predictions from the adjoint-deep learning framework are found to be in good agreement with a traditional relativistic electron Fokker–Planck solver, for several distinct initial conditions, and across an array of physics parameters. Once trained, the PINN thus provides a means of generating RE density time histories with exceptionally low online execution time.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Impact of penetrating collisions of plasma ions on spectral line shapes

Spectral-line-broadening models have been moving towards including full Coulomb interactions between the atom and plasma, replacing the commonly used dipole approximation. The effects of the full Coulomb interaction have been thoroughly explored for plasma electrons, resulting in redshifts of spectral lines in high-energy-density plasmas. We explore the impact of a full Coulomb treatment on ion broadening. Penetrating collisions due to ions do not significantly impact the linewidths. The most significant aspect is the appearance of quasimolecular resonances in the far line wings, such as those previously observed in white-dwarf spectra. We identify several problems with the existing models. The most direct implementation causes the quasimolecular features to appear at the wrong photon energies. It is possible to include the detailed molecular structure, but this currently requires the Anderson-Talman approximation, which ignores the N-body properties of the plasma. We find that N-body effects can substantially broaden these quasimolecular features and even shift them, depending on the plasma conditions. We conclude that penetration of ions into the spatial extent of the radiator wave function does not strongly affect the usual diagnostics and may have a moderate to weak effect on opacity. Furthermore, the Rosseland mean opacity is weighted towards low-opacity regions of a spectrum, where these quasimolecular features are found.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

MOD-Amp System Design Spring: Spring 2026 – Georgetown University, SYSM–5620

High-energy lasers (HELs) play an important role in both national defense and scientific research. In defense applications, HELs are used for target detection, tracking, and engagement. In research environments, they support studies of extreme physical conditions relevant to fusion energy and plasma science. These systems depend on the amplification of light through stimulated emission of radiation, allowing optical energy to be increased to the levels required for operation. This amplification occurs when light passes through an energized gain medium that receives energy from an external optical or electrical source. To achieve the desired output, laser systems often use multiple amplification stages, including high-gain preamplifiers and lower-gain power or booster amplifiers. At Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and other national laboratories, many large-aperture laser amplifier systems are aging and rely on system-specific hardware, obsolete technologies, and incomplete documentation. These legacy systems create challenges for maintenance, supportability, and long-term operation. Their lack of standardization also increases the difficulty of sustaining reliable performance over time. As this infrastructure continues to age, the likelihood of unplanned downtime grows, which can negatively affect both national security missions and scientific research programs that depend on dependable HEL capabilities. The purpose of this document is to demonstrate the application of systems engineering fundamentals and design thinking through the development of a laser amplifier case study. The proposed system concept is intended as an academic exercise and not as a finalized engineering design. As a result, the development presented in this document is incomplete and may contain technical assumptions or errors that would require further investigation before any real-world implementation.

42 ENGINEERING↗