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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 235 records · Page 13
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Simulating nationwide coupled disease and fear spread in an agent-based model

Human cognitive responses, behavioral responses, and disease dynamics co-evolve over the course of any disease outbreak, and can result in complex feedbacks. We present a dynamic agent-based model that explicitly couples the spread of disease with the spread of fear surrounding the disease, implemented within the EpiCast simulation framework. EpiCast models transmission within a realistic synthetic population, capturing individual-level interactions. In our model, fear propagates through both in-person contact and broadcast media, prompting individuals to adopt protective behaviors that reduce disease spread. In order to better understand these coupled dynamics, we create and compare a range of compartmental models to ensure that introducing additional disease states does not prevent the emergence of multiple waves in these simpler models. Additionally, we compare a range of behavioral scenarios within EpiCast, varying the level and intensity of fear and behavior change. Our results show that the addition of asymptomatic, exposed, and pre-symptomatic disease states can impact both the rate at which an outbreak progresses and its overall trajectory in compartmental models. In EpiCast, the combination of non-local fear spread via broadcasters and strong behavioral responses by fearful individuals generally leads to multiple epidemic waves, an outcome that occurs only within a narrow parameter range when fear spreads purely through local contact. Accounting for the coupled spread of fear and disease is critical for understanding disease dynamics and designing timely, targeted responses to emerging infectious threats.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

The ScIDEP muon radiography project at the Egyptian Pyramid of Khafre

The ScIDEP Collaboration is constructing muon telescopes based on scintillator technology to investigate the internal structure of the Egyptian Pyramid of Khafre at Giza near Cairo using cosmic-ray muons. The collaboration aims to scan the pyramid from multiple viewpoints, both inside the king’s burial chamber that is located centrally at the base of the pyramid, and outside of the pyramid, to potentially identify any new internal structures. An overview of the project is presented, including the development of the data-acquisition system, the simulation framework, and very first detector studies.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Advanced Multiphysics Code Coupling for Cladding Surface Thermocouples During Two-Phase Heat Transfer from Nuclear Fuel

Transient testing of nuclear fuel involves the evaluation of fuel performance under off-normal and accident conditions and is essential for proving design performance. Instrumentation included in such experiments commonly includes thermocouples attached to the outer surface of the cladding to provide temperature measurements throughout the transient. However, the presence of thermocouples on the cladding surface can alter the local heat transfer characteristics with the surrounding coolant. These localized effects can influence the temperature of the nearby cladding surface and introduce uncertainties in interpreting the thermocouple data. Understanding the impact of thermocouples attached to the outer surface of the cladding is crucial for accurate data interpretation as well as its effect on the thermomechanical behavior of the cladding. This paper presents a novel methodology for simulating the impact of outer cladding thermocouples during transient testing of nuclear fuels. The simulation framework leverages the thermal-hydraulic capabilities of RELAP5-3D coupled to the BISON fuel performance code through the RELAPCouplingApp interface. The methodology is compared against Accident Tolerant Fuel Reactivity Initiated Accident-1-E experiment performed at Idaho National Laboratory. The results reveal approximately 100°C difference between thermocouple-altered temperature and virgin cladding surface. The model overpredicts surface rewet time due to conservative correlations.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Study of the muon component in the core-corona model using CONEX 3D

The discrepancy between models and data regarding the muon content in air showers generated by ultra-high energy cosmic rays still needs to be solved. The CONEX simulation framework provides a flexible tool to assess the impact of different interaction properties and thus address the muon puzzle. In this work, we present the multidimensional extension of CONEX and show its performance compared to CORSIKA by discussing muon-related air-shower features for three experiments: KASCADE, IceTop, and the Pierre Auger Observatory. We also implement an effective version of the core-corona model to demonstrate the impact of the core effect, as observed at the LHC, on the muon content in air showers produced by ultra-high energy cosmic rays. At a primary energy of E$_{0}$ = 10$^{19}$ eV, we obtain an increase of 15% to 20% in the muon content.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Long-term socioeconomic trends and climate variability as drivers of virtual water scarcity in China

Water scarcity can have far-reaching sectoral impacts beyond its physical location through the propagation of virtual water flows. Socioeconomic and hydroclimatic changes affect local and virtual water scarcity by altering availability and demand. Yet most studies of this phenomenon focus on volumetric footprints, and the few on water scarcity risk have not examined hydroclimatic variability beyond long-term trends. In this study, we ask how gross domestic product (GDP) and population changes, long-term meteorological trends, sea surface temperature (SST) patterns, and interannual meteorological variability affect water scarcity in China, both locally (through the local water scarcity risk index, LWSR) and remotely (through the virtual water scarcity risk index, VWSR). Counterfactual scenarios were compared in a regression-and-simulation framework, with the socioeconomic and meteorological drivers varying over 1923–2019 and the multi-regional input–output structure staying fixed at 2017. Relative to a 5 year baseline centered on 2017, GDP and population changes have induced a cumulative 17%–50% increase in LWSR and 13%–21% increase in VWSR, outweighing the effect of long-term meteorological trends. phase change in one of two examined SST patterns induce 4%–13% differences in LWSR and 1%–4% differences in VWSR. Interannual meteorological variability induces 10%–20% standard deviations in LWSR and 3%–7% in VWSR. The findings highlight the importance of using longer time series to accurately assess local and virtual water scarcity situations. Water scarcity management should prioritize socioeconomic factors when planning at century-long timescales and prioritize hydroclimatic factors at multidecadal or shorter timescales. water managers should consider interannual variabilities in LWSR and VWSR and plan for potential occurrences of extreme conditions.

climate variability↗
DOE OSTI2025

Estimating the energy threshold of phonon-mediated superconducting qubit detectors operated in an energy-relaxation sensing scheme

In recent years, the lack of a conclusive detection of weakly interacting massive particle dark matter at the 10 GeV/c 2 mass scale and above has encouraged development of low-threshold detector technology aimed at probing lighter dark matter candidates. Detectors based on Cooper-pair-breaking sensors have emerged as a promising avenue for this detection due to the low (meV-scale) energy required for breaking a Cooper pair in most superconductors. Among them, devices based on superconducting qubits are interesting candidates for sensing due to their observed sensitivity to broken Cooper pairs. Here, we have developed an end-to-end G 4 CMP -based simulation framework and have used it to evaluate performance metrics of qubit-based devices operating in a gate-based “energy relaxation” readout scheme, akin to those used in recent studies of qubit sensitivity to ionizing radiation. We find that for this readout scheme, the qubit acts as a phonon sensor with an energy threshold ranging down to ≃ 0.4 eV for near-term performance parameters.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2025

Design, Preparation, and Execution of the 100-AV Field Test for the CIRCLES Consortium: Methodology and Implementation of the Largest Mobile Traffic Control Experiment to Date

This article presents the comprehensive design, setup, execution, and evaluation of the MegaVanderTest (MVT) experiment conducted by the Congestion Impacts Reduction via CAV-in-the-Loop Lagrangian Energy Smoothing (CIRCLES) Consortium, which aimed to mitigate traffic congestion using partially autonomous vehicles (AVs) (see “Summary”). The experiment involved 100 vehicles on Nashville’s Interstate 24 (I-24) highway, utilizing various control algorithms to smooth stop-and-go traffic waves. The execution of the MVT experiment required a coordinated effort from multiple teams. This article details the meticulous planning process, the coordinated efforts of multiple teams, and the innovative use of a dynamic agent-based simulation framework for traffic evaluation. Here, the contributions of this work include demonstrating and providing a detailed roadmap for large-scale live traffic experiments, illustrating the lessons learned from the MVT experiment, and introducing the other articles in this issue and their complementary relationship in the MVT experiment.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2026

Agent-Based Simulation of Price-Demand Dynamics in Multi-Service Charging Station

As the adoption of electric vehicles and hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles grows, understanding how dynamic pricing strategies influence charging and refueling behaviors becomes crucial for optimizing local energy markets. This paper proposes a simulation-based analysis of a hydrogen-electricity integrated charging station that serves both types of vehicles. A multi-agent simulation framework is developed to model the interactions between vehicles and the station, incorporating price- and delay-sensitive behaviors in decision-making. The station can dynamically adjust energy prices, while vehicles optimize their charging or refueling choices based on their utility values. A series of sensitivity analyses are conducted to evaluate how electricity pricing, infrastructure capacity, and waiting behavior impact station performance. Results highlight that moderate electricity prices maximize user participation without sacrificing profit, infrastructure should be right-sized to demand to avoid over- or underutilization, and delay-toleration also affects service outcomes, which may reach the maximum service coverage at the threshold of 45 minutes.

Wang, Xudong [University of Tennessee, Knoxville (↗
DOE OSTI2025

pnnl/UrbanBEM

a new urban scale building energy simulation framework

Lei, Jerry [Pacific Northwest National Laboratory]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantum Network Repeater Simulation Package (QNPack) v1.0.0

Existing quantum network testbeds and prototypes are typically implemented in laboratory experiments with limited functionality and operate in a tightly coupled manner. These characteristics make it difficult to evaluate the behavior of emerging quantum platforms and protocols beyond local resource limitations. The QNPack software enables full-stack modeling of quantum repeater networks that allows researchers to simulate new approaches, and understand emergent behaviors, from local to national scales. Novel capabilities include: (1) performant and accurate quantum models that can be executed as independent simulations, which will allow users to characterize specific analog quantum processes, quantum devices, and protocols, (2) a modular and extensible approach to the simulation architecture to accommodate new quantum technologies, protocols, and topologies as they are developed across the quantum repeater generations under evaluation, and (3) a focus on managing the interactions between the simulation framework sub-components so that they may be re-used and composed in flexible ways.

Kissel, Ezra [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborator↗
DOE OSTI2026

hymera

Hymera is a performance portable multiscale simulation framework based on parthenon and Kokkos, that designed to push relativistic particles, governed by slowly varying, quasi static background fields

Edelmann, Philipp [@LANL]↗
DOE OSTI2026

SIRENOpt.jl

SAND2026-22945O SIRENOpt.jl is a Julia software package for prototype hybrid power, storage, and platform dynamics. It integrates solar, wind, wave, hydrokinetic, diesel, generator, converter, battery, hydrogen, desalination, mooring, and floating-platform model interfaces in an automatic-differentiation-friendly simulation framework. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Michelen Strofer, Carlos [Sandia National Lab. (SN↗
DOE OSTI2024

ASGarD: Adaptive Sparse Grid Discretization

Many areas of science exhibit physical processes that are described by high dimensional partial differential equations (PDEs), e.g., the 4D, 5D and 6D models describing magnetized fusion plasmas, models describing quantum chemistry, or derivatives pricing. Such problems are affected by the so-called “curse of dimensionality” where the number of degrees of freedom (or unknowns) required to be solved for scales as N D where N is the number of grid points in any given dimension D. A simple, albeit naive, 6D example is demonstrated in the left panel of Figure 1. With N = 1000 grid points in each dimension, the memory required just to store the solution vector, not to mention forming the matrix required to advance such a system in time, would exceed an exabyte - and also the available memory on the largest of supercomputers available today. The right panel of Figure 1 demonstrates potential savings for a range of problem dimensionalities and grid resolution. While there are methods to simulate such high-dimensional systems, they are mostly based on Monte-Carlo methods, which rely on a statistical sampling such that the resulting solutions include noise. Since the noise in such methods can only be reduced at a rate proportional to $\sqrt{N_p}$ where N p is the number of Monte-Carlo samples, there is a need for continuum, or grid/mesh-based methods for high-dimensional problems, which both do not suffer from noise and bypass the curse of dimensionality. We present a simulation framework that provides such a method using adaptive sparse grids.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

FORGE STRESS annual report

The project's goal is to combine high-fidelity numerical models and true-triaxial block fracturing tests at high temperatures to understand the relationship between in situ stress, thermal effects, wellbore orientations and hydraulic fracture patterns. The numerical models are calibrated against field data, such as well pressures and microseismic data, and employed to estimate the in situ stress at the FORGE site. Laboratory experiments investigate the complex physics driving hydraulic fracture nucleation in EGS, enhancing understanding of the role of parameters like temperature, well orientation, and stress. Additionally, they are employed to validate some of the numerical tools used in the project. The project will have a significant impact by: (1) improving the characterization of the in-situ stress field at FORGE; (2) demonstrating the use of high-fidelity modeling tools for EGS; (3) providing a unique set of high-temperature hydraulic fracturing results to identify key components for in-situ stress estimation, validate current theories, and propose new ones; (4) offering a validated set of numerical tools within an open-source simulation framework, GEOS, that will be available to any future user.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Integration of Waveform Simulation Methods

The generation of synthetic seismograms through simulation is a fundamental tool of seismology required to run quantitative hypothesis tests. A variety of approaches have been developed throughout the seismological community and each has their own specific user interface based on their implementation. This causes a challenge to researchers who will need to learn new interfaces with each new software they wish to use and create substantial challenges when attempting to compare results from different tools. Here we provide a unified interface that facilitates interoperability amongst several simulation tools through a modern containerized Python package. Further, this package includes post-processing analysis modules designed to facilitate end-to-end analysis of synthetic seismograms. In this report we present the conceptual guidance and an example implementation of the new Waveform Simulation Framework.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Data-driven approach to Core Power distribution reconstruction in a Nuclear Reactor

This report presents the initial development of a data-driven approach for reconstructing the core power distribution in a nuclear reactor (power shape synthesis) using ex-core sensors. Traditional techniques rely on deploying a large number of detectors throughout the reactor core. However, this approach is not feasible for innovative reactor concepts like Advanced Reactors and Microreactors. First, the tight lattice pitch, designed to maximize power density, limits the space available for sensors. Secondly, the harsh operating conditions are not compatible with commercially available detectors. The method proposed in this work integrates high-fidelity modeling with data-driven techniques to accurately reconstruct power distribution across various reactor types, thereby reducing the reliance on in-core sensors. Purdue University Reactor One (PUR-1) was selected as the test case. The CAD model representing the latest configuration of the PUR-1 core was imported into the OpenMC simulation framework, and the model was built. Additionally, the previously developed MCNP6 model was updated. The two models were assessed against the data collected during an experimental campaign conducted in July 2024. Thirty gold foils were placed in three Irradiation Assemblies in PUR-1 core. Using the measured activity of the irradiated foils, the neutron flux at different core locations was estimated.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Building Datasets and Training Methods for ML Based Magnet Quench Detection

Detecting quenches in superconducting (SC) magnets during training is a challenging process that involves capturing physical events that occur at different frequencies and appear as various signal features. These events may be correlated across instrumentation type, thermal cycle, and ramp. These events together build a more complete picture of continuous processes occurring in the magnet, and may allow us to flag potential precursors for quench detection. We present our work on building an automatic machine learning (ML) based quench detection system. We build upon our existing work on unsupervised auto-encoders for acoustic sensors and quench antenna (QA) by first establishing a supervised ML training pipeline. We show the results of an event tagging, analysis, and simulation framework on our QA and acoustic data which are used concurrently to build a training dataset for a supervised implementation. We then show how this supervised training can be used as a prior in a semi-supervised framework and compare this to the unsupervised neural network auto-encoder performance.This allows us to have a more concrete understanding of the performance of our algorithms relative to physical events occurring in the magnet, and also provides a baseline software tool to generically evaluate our quench prediction autoencoders under completely unsupervised, supervised, and semi-supervised training conditions.

Khan, Maira [Fermilab]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Templates for Risk Informed Assurance with Curvature Embeddings (TRACE)

We investigate recovery of geometric structure from networks embedded in manifolds with spatially varying curvature, extending the constant-curvature framework of Lubold et al. (2023). Our work supports cascade risk assessment in critical infrastructure through the Templates for Risk-informed Assurance with Curvature Embeddings (TRACE) framework. Simulations on a bi-modal Gaussian surface show that constant-curvature methods yield weighted averages shaped by clique patterns, while hierarchical clustering identifies distinct regimes. Localized estimation, however, reveals boundary contamination in transitional regions. To address heterogeneity, we develop distance metrics for graphs with edge and node features, proving their metric validity, and validate them via deterministic graph generation from canonical tilings. We further propose a diffusion-based anomaly detection approach that treats networks as glued manifolds, using curvature discontinuities to detect structural anomalies. Employing the carré-du-champ operator and scalar curvature, we achieve robust anomaly discrimination, demonstrated on the Singapore Water Treatment (SWaT) dataset with joint network-traffic and sensor features. Integration with TRACE reveals how curvature shapes cascade dynamics: positive curvature impedes, while negative curvature accelerates propagation. This geometric perspective provides interpretable risk metrics and visualization tools for critical infrastructure managers. While full validation remains ongoing, our contributions establish a rigorous foundation for geometric analysis of network resilience and cascade vulnerability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗