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231 records · Page 13

Automated Tracking of Shallow Cu Growth Rates on Geostationary Imagery and Linkages to Cloud Organization

Shallow moist convection is ubiquitous throughout the tropics and represents a key player in boundary layer processes. Common tropical cloud features, such as convective rolls and cold pool fronts, form and persist for different periods within environments that support such development. Determining differences in lifecycle amongst these features in varying environments requires viewing their evolution from initiation to decay. Geostationary satellites provide a means to follow the clouds with enhanced spatiotemporal sampling from space. We apply a cloud-tracking tool to study lifecycle properties of shallow cumulus sampled during the NASA Cloud, Aerosol, and Monsoon Processes Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex) field campaign of 2019. The mission conducted airborne and shipborne operations over the West Pacific Ocean, in tandem with Rapid Scan imagery from the Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) on the Japan Meteorological Agency’s (JMA) Himawari-8 satellite. Shallow cumulus was segmented on AHI 0.5-km visible reflectance and tracked during the daylit hours of several research flights that exhibited ideal atmospheric conditions for tracking. The resulting cloud tracks were collected according to regions containing airborne sampling of individual clouds at various stages of their lifecycles, yielding ensembles of tracks in separate environments. We present an analysis on lifecycle properties extracted from the cloud-track ensembles and their potential connections to cloud organizations observed throughout CAMP2Ex. Each ensemble is evaluated by calculating cloud-layer growth rates and comparing to spatial parameters, including track-achieved area and cloud-top height. The apparent clustering of growth rates for specific ensembles is then compared against overall cloud organizations, such as isolated congestus and cold pool fronts, that are observed with the airborne data. Finally, we consider how such differences in cloud growth appear in the airborne radar observations of intercepted cloud tracks.

Cloud Tracking↗

Ice-Over-Water Cloud Properties in an Artificial Neural Network Approach

Clouds are a crucial component of the atmospheric energy system, particularly the radiative balance within, above, and below the troposphere. The vertical distribution of cloud mass and phase determines layer heating rates, the loss of radiation to space, and the amount of radiative heating at the surface. Thus, it is important to know how clouds are distributed both vertically and horizontally at all times of day. Satellite remote sensing is the only approach available to monitor clouds day and night around the globe. In this paper several artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms, employing several Aqua MODIS infrared channels, profiles of relative humidity and temperature from GMAO numerical weather analyses, and the retrieved total cloud visible optical depth, are trained to detect multilayer ice-over-water cloud systems and to retrieve some of their properties as identified by a year of 2008 Aqua MODIS data matched with CloudSat and CALIPSO (CC) cloud profiles. The CC lidar and radar profiles provide the vertical structure that serves as output truth for the multilayer algorithm. The neural networks were trained using one year (2008) of cloud top height data from the CC dataset, with correlation around 0.94 (0.95) and MAE as low as 0.82 (0.81) km for nonpolar regions during the day (night). Applying the trained ANN to independent year 2009 MODIS data resulted in a combined ML and single layer hit rate of 86.4% (85.1%) for nonpolar regions during the day (night). Since the ANN is trained using near-nadir MODIS pixels, infrared radiance corrections were developed as a function of view zenith angle from MODIS and applied to off-nadir pixels when processing MODIS swath data. The multilayer amount derived with the ANN is relatively invariant with increasing view zenith angle compared to the multilayer amount without the corrections.

MODIS↗

Towards an Optimal Estimation Retrieval of Cirrus Cloud Optical and Microphysical Properties Using Hyperspectral Shortwave Instruments and A Fast Radiative Transfer Algorithm

Cirrus cloud retrieval products (here, cloud optical depth, effective particle size, and cloud top height) are important inputs into numerical weather and climate models. Uncertainties in such retrieval products, as a matter of course, propagate downstream, impacting model calculations. Improvements in high-quality global cirrus cloud optical and microphysical data products from satellite observations are needed to understand and reduce retrieval uncertainties. Hyperspectral instruments produce high-resolution and information-dense radiance spectra, thus offering the opportunity to reduce uncertainties in retrieval products. An optimal estimation-based cirrus cloud optical and microphysical product retrieval is under development for the NASA Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer (AVIRIS) and the Earth Surface Mineral Dust Source Investigation (EMIT) instruments, and the forthcoming Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory Pathfinder (CLARREO-Pathfinder). The spectral coverage of all three instruments includes the ultraviolet, visible, and near-infrared. In this study a very fast radiative transfer model, the Principal Component-based Radiative Transfer Model in the solar spectral region (PCRTM-Solar), is used for forward modeling computations. This will reduce the computational burden in the forward radiance and Jacobian calculations as the cost function is minimized, enabling the entire AVIRIS, EMIT, and CLARREO-Pathfinder spectral range to be used in the optimal estimation framework. Using the entire spectrum will maximize the information content, resulting in a more robust and more accurate retrieval. As a first step, the retrieval is being designed for single layer ice clouds over open ocean water. Preliminary results will be shown.

Jeffrey Mast↗

Towards an Optimal Estimation Retrieval of Cirrus Cloud Optical and Microphysical Properties Using Hyperspectral Shortwave Instruments and A Fast Radiative Transfer Algorithm

Cirrus cloud retrieval products (here, cloud optical depth, effective particle size, and cloud top height) are important inputs into numerical weather and climate models. Uncertainties in such retrieval products, as a matter of course, propagate downstream, impacting model calculations. Improvements in high-quality global cirrus cloud optical and microphysical data products from satellite observations are needed to understand and reduce retrieval uncertainties. Hyperspectral shortwave instruments produce high-resolution and information-dense spectra, thus offering the opportunity to reduce uncertainties in retrieval products. We are in the process of developing a retrieval that uses the very fast Principal Component Radiative Transfer Model in the solar spectral region (PCRTM-Solar) in the forward model calculations. This retrieval will use measured reflectances from the NASA Earth Surface Mineral Dust Source Investigation (EMIT) and the forthcoming Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory Pathfinder (CLARREO-Pathfinder) instruments. In this manuscript we present progress towards a reference retrieval employing a widely used, verified, accurate, yet computationally slower radiative transfer modeling technique. The reference retrieval, while too slow for using the complete hyperspectral measurement, will allow us to study the behavior of retrieval products and help us verify results from our in-development fast retrieval. Both retrievals will use the optimal estimation retrieval framework. In this manuscript we present results from an uncertainty analysis considering three uncertainty sources for a cirrus cloud retrieval in the form of error covariance matrices: reflectance uncertainty due to water vapor, the reflectance uncertainty due to ice crystal scattering assumptions, and the instrument measurement uncertainty. Results show that the uncertainty due to habit selection is the largest, while that due to water vapor is at most 0.6% relative to channel reflectance. As a first step, the retrieval is being designed for single layer ice clouds over open ocean water.

Cirrus cloud↗

A Long-Term GOES Satellite Overshooting Cloud Top and Anvil Cloud Climatology Over South America

The modern-era GOES satellite series began in 1994 with the GOES-8 satellite, and was augmented in 2018 with higher spatial resolution and more frequent imaging when GOES-16 became operational. GOES imagery has provided forecasters and researchers new perspectives into cloud top patterns associated with severe convection, and the ability to better forecast convection in regions without adequate ground-based weather radar coverage. While much attention has been given to convection over North America, convection over South America can be equally, if not more, intense and frequent. Recent studies have demonstrated that overshooting cloud tops (OT) and surrounding anvil clouds can be detected within infrared satellite imagery. Relative storm updraft intensity metrics such as the tropopause-relative infrared brightness temperature, the prominence of an OT relative to its surrounding anvil, and cloud top height can also be derived using automated methods combined with reanalysis data. These automated OT detection and intensity estimation methods have recently been applied to all GOES images collected over South America, in combination with the MERRA-2 reanalysis, from 1995 to 2022 at NASA Langley within a project supported by the NASA Applied Sciences Disasters program. Innovative aggregation methods have merged these products into daily, monthly, annual, and multi-annual composites, with hourly time bins, at ~4 km pixel spacing to enable researchers a new opportunity to study South American convective processes throughout the diurnal cycle. These products have recently become publicly available from NASA. This presentation will overview this new dataset, and novel insights into South American convection depicted by the data.

Kristopher Bedka↗

Quantifying Tropopause-Overshooting Volume from Satellite and Radar Observations During the DCOTSS 2021 and 2022 Campaigns

Tropopause-overshooting cloud locations, their volume, and the percentage of anvil cloud occupied by overshooting were quantified from state-of-the-art merged NEXRAD radar and GOES-16/17 satellite products during the 2021 and 2022 Dynamics and Chemistry of the Summer Stratosphere (DCOTSS) study periods. A novel method for defining and tracking large individual storms or storm outbreak objects in space and time was presented, which enabled improved understanding of the complex feature-specific biases among GOES- and GridRad-derived overshooting metrics. GOES overshooting cloud top height was estimated using a stratospheric lapse rate approach informed by GOES visible and IR measurements of shadows from OTs and calibrated based on previously observed maximum GridRad overshooting distribution. Total overshooting volumes derived over CONUS are higher for GOES than GridRad for both years, especially during 2021. Over all storm outbreak objects with observed overshooting, GOES observed higher overshooting percentages while GridRad observed relatively higher overshooting magnitudes. The greater spatial coverage of GOES overshooting, especially noticeable during the mature and dissipation stages of outbreaks due to inherent limitations of infrared satellite data which make it difficult to differentiate cold, high-altitude outflow from true updraft cores, outweighed differences in magnitude to yield higher GOES volume. Individual events, however, revealed that the higher overshooting magnitudes observed by GridRad produce higher overshooting volumes at times. Four-dimensional trajectories of tropopause-overshooting air parcels were compared 5 days after overshooting occurred to depict the envelope of convectively impacted air in the stratosphere. The generally good agreement in parcel plume area initiated from GOES and GridRad overshooting detections suggests that geostationary satellite data can be used to estimate where and how often overshooting impacts stratospheric composition in regions without a ground-based weather radar network to estimate climate impacts of overshooting convection.

Kristopher Bedka↗

Evaluation of WRF-Solar Cloud Forecast Using the NSRDB: Preprint

Cloud forecast is a crucial component in predicting solar irradiance from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Assessing cloud properties from the NWP models requires significant work due to the need for high-quality data, spatial analysis covering model extent, and detailed analysis of model performance for different types of clouds. This study presents an evaluation of the WRF-Solar cloud forecast using the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB). We propose an evaluation framework applied to a single model prediction as well as ensemble-based forecasts. Various cloud detection metrics are calculated when comparing with the satellite-derived dataset. The mismatched clouds from the WRF-Solar model are quantified using nine cloud types classified by cloud top height and cloud optical depth. The results based on the WRF-Solar forecasts covering the entire U.S. for the full year of 2018 shows mismatched cloud frequency in the range of 8% - 46% for thick and high-level (deep convective) to thin and low-level (cumulus) clouds.

cloud mask forecast↗

Using High-Resolution NSRDB Data to Evaluate Cloud Mask Forecast from WRF-Solar EPS

Validating spatiotemporal distributions of cloud forecasts using numerical weather prediction (NWP) models is difficult as this requires high-quality cloud-property at significantly high spatial and temporal resolution over extended periods of time. Observations of cloud properties, such as cloud mask, cloud optical thickness, and cloud type, are vital for assessing the capability of NWP models to forecast various types of clouds. Using the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB), this research evaluates ensemble cloud-mask predictions from the WRF-Solar ensemble prediction system (WRF-Solar EPS). From the WRF-Solar EPS, day-ahead solar forecasts for the contiguous United States (CONUS) for 2018 are simulated. Given the NSRDB data is accessible at a resolution of 2 km, we can calculate the cloud fraction across the 9-km grid of WRF-Solar EPS. This allows us to spatially assess the cloud-mask forecasts using two methods against the high-resolution NSRDB: (a) considering all 2-km NSRDB clouds in the forecast domain (EMAll), and (b) using a minimum cloud fraction threshold of 50% to designate a pixel as cloudy (EMP50). The low-resolution cloud masks from WRF-Solar EPS are evaluated directly against the cloud-resolving scale gridded observations from NSRDB using EMAll. With EMP50, we presume that scenes with less than 50% cloud cover from the 2-km NSRDB are clear. Thus, this assessment approach allows for a fair comparison with WRF-Solar EPS resolved to a 9-km grid. A method of point-by-point verification is used to evaluate dichotomous (yes/no) cloud mask predictions against the NSRDB. For each pixel of model extent, cloud frequency and traditional metrics (e.g., probability of detection, false alarm rate, and hit rate, etc.) are computed and compared with satellite-derived data sets. Mismatched cloud frequency (MCF) is computed to measure the present capability of WRF-Solar EPS in representing various types of clouds, which are categorized using three levels of cloud top height (CTH) and cloud optical depth (COD) across entire CONUS. Preliminary results show that the WRF-Solar EPS provides MCF values ranging from 9% to 46%, 16% to 33%, and 8% to 27% for low-level, middle-level, and high-level clouds, respectively, for three CTHs. The model produces MCFs ranging from 27% to 46%, 13% to 34%, and 8% to 19% for thin, medium-thickness, and thick clouds, respectively, for three CODs. The presentation will include a detailed description of the current outcomes as well as potential future extensions. The evaluation approach established in this study is readily extensible to the evaluation of cloud predictions from different ensemble NWP models. In addition, the findings of the suggested evaluation technique aid in identifying model weaknesses and will ultimately lead to advances in WRF-Solar EPS's skill in predicting clouds and solar irradiance.

cloud mask forecast↗

Aerosol Impacts on Mesoscale Convective Systems Forming Under Different Vertical Wind Shear Conditions

Following our previous study of wind shear effect on mesoscale convective system (MCS) organization under a clean atmospheric condition using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Spectral-Bin Microphysics, we conduct sensitivity simulations by increasing cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentration and investigate aerosol impacts on MCSs forming under different wind shear conditions. We find that, aerosols induce stronger updrafts and downdrafts in all MCSs. The stronger updrafts and enlarged convective core area contribute to larger vertical mass fluxes and enhance precipitation, indicating convective invigoration. Increased updraft speed below 8-km altitude mainly results from enhanced condensational heating, and increased water loading effect is not large enough to overcome the increase in thermal buoyancy. Interestingly, above 8-km altitude we see reduced updraft speed by the increased aerosols due to reduced vertical pressure perturbation gradient force, and weakened depositional growth due to competition of water vapor by enhanced condensation. The accumulated rainfall and mean rain rate are increased, with an increased occurrence frequency of heavy rain. The increase of rain rate is seen in both convective and stratiform regions, with a more significant increase in convective rain rate. In general, we see a higher frequency of deep convective cloud in the polluted condition because of invigorated convection, and more stratiform/anvil clouds, but a lower frequency of shallow warm clouds. The unanimously invigorated MCSs by aerosols under various wind shear conditions revealed by this study has an important implication in weather and climate at warm and humid regions that are influenced by pollution.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

KAZR Hydrometeor and Insect Masks

The Ka-band ARM zenith pointing radar (aka, KAZR) is so sensitive that it detects cloud particles and individual insects. While detecting insects with Ka-band radar is beneficial and desirable to advance radar entomology, this sensitivity can be detrimental to radar meteorology because insects could be interpreted as clouds or precipitation. For example, misclassifying insects as clouds has been a problem for the ARM Active Remote Sensing of Clouds (ARSCL) Value Added Product since its inception (Clothiaux et al. 2000). Based on cloud particle and insect radar scattering properties, an algorithm was developed that identifies clouds, raindrops, ice particles, and insects in KAZR co- and cross-polarimeteric Doppler velocity spectra. The algorithm produces affirmative masks in the KAZR native time and height resolution indicating time-height locations of hydrometeors and insects. The hydrometeor mask contains binary information (e.g., yes/no hydrometeor presence), and the insect mask includes a proxy for insect activity that increases when more insects are detected in the Doppler velocity spectra. The algorithm was developed using KAZR medium sensitivity mode (MD) observations and was applied to two summer seasons of KAZR observations at the Southern Great Plains (SGP) Central Facility: May-October 2018 and 2019. In the future, this data set will be expanded to include other KAZR operating modes and observations from other ARM field sites. Details of the algorithm and data set can be found in: Williams, C.R., K.L. Johnson, S.E. Giangrande, J. C. Hardin, R. Oktem, and D. M. Romps, 2021: Identifying Insects, Clouds, and Precipitation using Vertically Pointing Polarimetric Radar Doppler Velocity Spectra. Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, submitted 6-Feb-2021. https://amt.copernicus.org/preprints/amt-2021-27/#discussion.For more information on the ARSCL VAP, see Clothiaux, E. E., T. P. Ackerman, G. G. Mace, K. P. Moran, R. T. Marchand, M. A. Miller, and B. E. Martner, 2000; J. Appl. Meteor., 39, 645-665.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

minimpl (b1)

The micropulse lidar (MPL) is a ground-based, optical, remote-sensing system designed primarily to determine the altitude of clouds; however, it is also used for detection of atmospheric aerosols. The physical principle is the same as for radar. Pulses of energy are transmitted into the atmosphere; the energy scattered back to the transceiver is collected and measured as a time-resolved signal, thereby detecting clouds and aerosols in real time. From the time delay between each outgoing pulse and the backscattered signal, the distance to the scatterer is inferred. Post-processing of the lidar return characterizes the extent and properties of aerosols or other particles in a region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

VISSTPX2DRECTG16V4MINNIS (c1)

Satellite-based retrievals of cloud and radiation properties are available in this value-added product provided by Bill Smith’s group at NASA/Langley using the VISST (Visible Infrared Solar-Infrared Split Window Technique) algorithm. This product contains VISST-derived pixel-level products from the GOES-16 satellite, rectilinear projection 2-D array.

broadband LW flux↗