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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 235 records · Page 13
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Non-equilibrium low-temperature plasma-assisted combustion of iso-octane: Perturbing pyrolysis and oxidation kinetics

Here, in this study, a plasma-coupled flow reactor facility is used to examine the effects of non-equilibrium low-temperature plasmas on perturbing the pyrolysis and oxidation kinetics of iso-octane. Experiments were performed in highly dilute reactive mixtures of nitrogen, at near isothermal conditions for temperatures ranging from 523 K to 1203 K. Experiments cumulatively demonstrated enhanced chemical reactivity with the plasma for temperatures below 900 K, and a lowering of the hot-ignition temperature. Detailed kinetic insight was derived from a 0D plasma-coupled kinetic model, utilizing a constructed mechanism that combined both plasma-specific chemistry and the neutral combustion chemistry. For pyrolysis conditions, the model displayed relatively good agreement with fuel consumption and the formation of most intermediates compared to the experimental data, demonstrating the model is able to accurately predict primary radical formation from the plasma directly interacting with the fuel. Enhanced reactivity was attributed to collisional quenching of excited-states of N 2 with fuel, which led to efficient fuel fragmentation and enhancement of the H-radical flux. For oxidation conditions, the model displayed satisfactory agreement with the experiments. Model predictions were able to accurately predict fuel consumption and most intermediate speciation data for T > 800 K, but most discrepancies were towards T < 800 K in particular with oxygenated intermediates. In the presence of oxygen, plasma effects were predominantly spent on efficient enhancement of O- and H-radical fluxes, leading to further fuel fragmentation and initiation of both the OH- and HO 2 -radical pools. Subsequent reactivity of iso-octane was then dictated by the response of the temperature-dependent neutral chemistry. At low-temperatures (T = 643 K), enhanced fuel radicals and O 2 -additon chemistry lead to the formation of oxygenated species, while at intermediate temperatures (T = 843 K) net decrease in OH-radical reactivity led to an increase in hydrocarbon speciation. Near the self-ignition threshold (T = 1163 K), radicals generated by high-temperature branching reactions dominate the oxidation process and effectively ignition. This study ultimately demonstrated that the enhancement of radicals afforded by the plasma causes a deviation in known understanding of iso-octane kinetics in some regards and warrants future studies to reconcile these discrepancies.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2026

Elastic-wave sensitivity-guided adaptive seismic survey design for cost-effective monitoring of geological carbon storage

Effective seismic monitoring is essential for verifying CO₂ containment, detecting potential leakage, and optimizing operational decisions in geologic carbon storage. Here, this study presents a time-adaptive, elastic-wave sensitivity-guided framework for designing cost-effective seismic monitoring layouts for tracking CO₂ plume migration. The method is based on elastic-wave sensitivity analysis, which quantifies how variations in subsurface properties impact seismic wavefields. Two complementary design strategies are developed: one based on selecting a fixed number of seismic sources (Method A), and the other based on selecting source–receiver pairs contributing to a fixed fraction of cumulative elastic-wave sensitivity energy (Method B). The optimization workflow to identify source–receiver configurations with the highest detection potential is demonstrated using a hypothetical GCS scenario at the Kimberlina site in California using simulations of elastic-wave sensitivity data at multiple post-injection timesteps. Results show that both strategies adapt to evolving plume geometries and wavefield sensitivities, with Method B offering broader spatial coverage and Method A ensuring simpler deployment. This framework enables site-specific, cost-effective, and risk-informed seismic survey designs, enhancing the ability to monitor CO₂ migration over time in evolving geological environments

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Galaxy assembly bias and large-scale distribution: a comparison between IllustrisTNG and a semi-analytic model

In this work, we compare large scale structure observables for stellar mass selected samples at z = 0, as predicted by two galaxy models, the hydrodynamical simulation IllustrisTNG and the Santa-Cruz semi-analytic model (SC-SAM). Although both models have been independently calibrated to match observations, rather than each other, we find good agreement between the two models for two-point clustering and galaxy assembly bias signatures. The models also show a qualitatively similar response of occupancy and clustering to secondary halo parameters other than mass, such as formation history and concentration, although with some quantitative differences. Thus, our results demonstrate that the galaxy–halo relationships in SC-SAM and TNG are quite similar to first order. However, we also find areas in which the models differ. For example, we note a strong correlation between halo gas content and environment in TNG, which is lacking in the SC-SAM, as well as differences in the occupancy predictions for low-mass haloes. Moreover, we show that higher order statistics, such as cumulants of the density field, help us to accurately describe the galaxy distribution and discriminate between models that show degenerate behaviour for two-point statistics. Our results suggest that SAMs are a promising cost-effective and intuitive method for generating mock catalogues for next generation cosmological surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Expanding Medicaid to Reduce Human Immunodeficiency Virus Transmission in Houston, Texas

Context: Medicaid expansion has been nationally shown to improve engagement in the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) treatment and prevention continua, which are vital steps to stopping the HIV epidemic. New HIV infections in the United States are disproportionately concentrated among young Black men who have sex with men (YBMSM). Houston, TX, is the most populous city in the Southern United States with a racially/ethnically diverse population that is located in 1 of 11 US states that have not yet expanded Medicaid coverage as of 2021. Methods: An agent-based model that incorporated the sexual networks of YBMSM was used to simulate improved antiretroviral treatment and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) engagement through Medicaid expansion in Houston, TX. Analyses considered the HIV incidence (number of new infections and as a rate metric) among YBMSM over the next 10 years under Medicaid expansion as the primary outcome. Additional scenarios, involving viral suppression and PrEP uptake above the projected levels achieved under Medicaid expansion, were also simulated. Results: The baseline model projected an HIV incidence rate of 4.96 per 100 person years (py) and about 368 new annual HIV infections in the 10th year. Improved HIV treatment and prevention continua engagement under Medicaid expansion resulted in a 14.9% decline in the number of annual new HIV infections in the 10th year. Increasing viral suppression by an additional 15% and PrEP uptake by 30% resulted in a 44.0% decline in new HIV infections in the 10th year, and a 27.1% decline in cumulative infections across the 10 years of the simulated intervention. Findings: Simulation results indicate that Medicaid expansion has the potential to reduce HIV incidence among YBMSM in Houston. Achieving HIV elimination objectives, however, might require additional effective measures to increase antiretroviral treatment and PrEP uptake beyond the projected improvements under expanded Medicaid.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Online Detection of Inter-Turn Winding Faults in Single-Phase Distribution Transformers Using Smart Meter Data

Turn-to-turn faults between primary windings due to insulation degradation are a major cause of distribution transformer failure, and occur due to high levels of stress such as overloading and overheating. An additional consequence of these faults is an increased voltage on the transformer secondary due to effective change in turns ratio. This paper develops a novel method for early detection of insulation degradation and subsequent inter-turn winding failure by monitoring the transformer secondary voltage. The algorithm is based on a cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistic and compares voltages on neighbouring transformers to flag degrading assets. Results obtained from simulation as well as experimental data show that smart meter measurements can be utilized to achieve very high detection accuracy while keeping costs low. Here, the paper also demonstrates the validity of the algorithm in the presence of measurement noise, residential solar power injection etc.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Toward an AI-Powered Software Pipeline for Real-Time Tracking and Analysis of Wildfire and Smoke

Real-time tracking of wildfires and smoke is crucial for effective response, minimizing damage, protecting lives, and efficiently managing resources during fire emergencies. We develop a web-based AI-powered pipeline that detects wildfires in aerial video and estimates deployment-relevant behavior metrics, including cumulative burned area, burned-area growth rate, fire spread direction, and smoke dispersion. The system combines a YOLO-based detector with YCbCr-based fire segmentation, HSV-based smoke segmentation, Farneback optical flow, and centroid-based spatiotemporal tracking. Using ground sampling distance (GSD), pixel-level fire masks are converted to physical burned-area measurements by correlating fire pixel counts with camera altitude and tilt angle. We benchmark YOLO variants and non-YOLO baselines (GoogLeNet, CNN, DBN, Autoencoder, U-Net, and AlexNet) on the IEEE FLAME dataset and a newly created aerial frame dataset, Wildfire-DB. Cross-dataset evaluation uses a strict threshold-transfer protocol: decision thresholds are selected on FLAME validation and transferred unchanged to Wildfire-DB to quantify generalization under domain shift. YOLOv6 achieves the strongest cross-dataset frame-level fire detection on Wildfire-DB (ROC-AUC 0.8200, PR-AUC 0.8044, and transferred-threshold F1 0.7596). For tracking-oriented deployment requiring oriented localization, YOLO11-OBB provides the most reliable cross-dataset behavior among OBB-capable models while remaining computationally feasible. To analyze the feasibility of UAV deployment, we further measure inference efficiency using synchronized GPU and CPU power logs on a fixed workload of 1569 frames. YOLO-family models process the video in 5.73–12.47 seconds with net energy of 1247.28–1775.39 J, substantially lower latency and energy than heavier classification and reconstruction baselines. Overall, model optimality depends on operational objectives: YOLOv6 is best for cross-dataset detection robustness, whereas YOL...

Color segmentation↗
DOE OSTI2020

Use of a controlled experiment and computational models to measure the impact of sequential peer exposures on decision making

It is widely believed that one’s peers influence product adoption behaviors. This relationship has been linked to the number of signals a decision-maker receives in a social network. But it is unclear if these same principles hold when the “pattern” by which it receives these signals vary and when peer influence is directed towards choices which are not optimal. To investigate that, we manipulate social signal exposure in an online controlled experiment using a game with human participants. Each participant in the game decides among choices with differing utilities. We observe the following: (1) even in the presence of monetary risks and previously acquired knowledge of the choices, decision-makers tend to deviate from the obvious optimal decision when their peers make a similar decision which we call the influence decision, (2) when the quantity of social signals vary over time, the forwarding probability of the influence decision and therefore being responsive to social influence does not necessarily correlate proportionally to the absolute quantity of signals. To better understand how these rules of peer influence could be used in modeling applications of real world diffusion and in networked environments, we use our behavioral findings to simulate spreading dynamics in real world case studies. We specifically try to see how cumulative influence plays out in the presence of user uncertainty and measure its outcome on rumor diffusion, which we model as an example of sub-optimal choice diffusion. Together, our simulation results indicate that sequential peer effects from the influence decision overcomes individual uncertainty to guide faster rumor diffusion over time. However, when the rate of diffusion is slow in the beginning, user uncertainty can have a substantial role compared to peer influence in deciding the adoption trajectory of a piece of questionable information.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Surface Density Dependent Catalytic Activity of Single Palladium Atoms Supported on Ceria

The analogy between single-atom catalysts (SACs) and molecular catalysts predicts that the specific catalytic activity of these systems is constant. Here we provide evidence that this prediction is not necessarily true. As a case in point, we show that the specific activity over ceria-supported single Pd atoms linearly increases with metal atom density, originating from the cumulative enhancement of CeO 2 reducibility. The long-range electrostatic footprints (≈1.5 nm) around each Pd site overlap with each other as surface Pd density increases, resulting in an observed deviation from constant specific activity. These cooperative effects exhaust previously active O atoms above a certain Pd density, leading to their permanent removal and a consequent drop in reaction rate. The findings of our combined experimental and computational study show that the specific catalytic activity of reducible oxide-supported single-atom catalysts can be tuned by varying the surface density of single metal atoms.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Optimal PMU Restoration for Power System Observability Recovery After Massive Attacks

Cyber-physically resilient power system operation requires rapid recovery of situational awareness after disastrous scenarios such as massive cyber attacks. In this article, the concept of optimal sequential restoration of Phasor Measurement Units is introduced, aiming at rapid recovery of power system observability in post-attack scenarios. Additionally, the observability recovery problem is formulated as a Mixed Integer Linear Programming problem to maximize the cumulative observability level gained over time during the restoration process. Three alternative objective functions-maximizing the number of observable buses, the number of observable branches, and the total amount of observable power flow-are considered. The effectiveness of the proposed optimal strategy is verified by comparing it with heuristic approaches on the IEEE 57-bus system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Data-driven Minimum Entropy Control for Stochastic Nonlinear Systems using the Cumulant-Generating Function

Here, we present a novel minimum entropy control algorithm for a class of stochastic nonlinear systems subjected to non-Gaussian noises. The entropy control can be considered as an optimization problem for the system randomness attenuation, but the mean value has to be considered separately. To overcome this disadvantage, a new representation of the system stochastic properties was given using the cumulant-generating function based on the moment-generating function, in which the mean value and the entropy was reflected by the shape of the cumulant-generating function. Based on the samples of the system output and control input, a time-variant linear model was identified, and the minimum entropy optimization was transformed to system stabilization. Then, an optimal control strategy was developed to achieve the randomness attenuation, and the boundedness of the controlled system output was analyzed. The effectiveness of the presented control algorithm was demonstrated by a numerical example. In this paper, a data-driven minimum entropy design is presented without pre-knowledge of the system model; entropy optimization is achieved by the system stabilization approach in which the stochastic distribution control and minimum entropy are unified using the same identified structure; and a potential framework is obtained since all the existing system stabilization methods can be adopted to achieve the minimum entropy objective.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Real-space Green's function approach for intrinsic losses in x-ray spectra

Intrinsic inelastic losses in x-ray spectra originate from excitations in an interacting electron system due to a suddenly created core-hole. These losses characterize the features observed in x-ray photoemission spectra (XPS), as well as many-body effects such as satellites and edge-singularities in x-ray absorption spectra (XAS). However, they are usually neglected in practical calculations. As shown by Langreth these losses can be treated within linear response in terms of a cumulant Green's function in momentum space. Here we present a complementary ab initio real-space Green's function generalization of the Langreth cumulant in terms of the dynamically screened core-hole interaction W c (ω) and the independent particle response function. Here we find that the cumulant kernel β⁡(ω) is analogous to XAS, but with the transition operator replaced by the core-hole potential with monopole selection rules. The behavior reflects the analytic structure of the loss function, with peaks near the zeros of the dielectric function, consistent with delocalized quasiboson excitations. The approach simplifies when W c (ω) is localized and spherically symmetric. In conclusion, illustrative results and comparisons are presented for the electron gas, sodium, and some early transition metal compounds.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

Possible octupole deformation of 208 Pb and the ultracentral v 2 to v 3 puzzle

Recent measurements have established the sensitivity of ultracentral heavy-ion collisions to the deformation parameters of nonspherical nuclei. In the case of 129 Xe collisions, a quadrupole deformation of the nuclear profile led to an enhancement of elliptic flow in the most central collisions. In 208 Pb collisions a discrepancy exists in similar centralities, where either elliptic flow is overpredicted or triangular flow is underpredicted by hydrodynamic models; this is known as the v 2 -to-v 3 puzzle in ultracentral collisions. Motivated by low-energy nuclear structure calculations, we consider the possibility that 208Pb nuclei could have a pear-shape deformation (octupole), which has the effect of increasing triangular flow in central PbPb collisions. Using the recent data from ALICE and ATLAS, we reexamine the v 2 -to-v 3 puzzle in ultracentral collisions, including new constraints from recent measurements of the triangular cumulant ratio v 3 {4}/v 3 {2} and comparing two different hydrodynamic models. We find that while an octupole deformation would slightly improve the ratio between v 2 and v 3 , it is at the expense of a significantly worse triangular flow cumulant ratio. In fact, the latter observable prefers no octupole deformation, with β 3 ≲ 0.0375 for 208 Pb, and is therefore consistent with the expectation for a doubly-magic nucleus even at top collider energies. Furthermore, the v 2 -to-v 3 puzzle remains a challenge for hydrodynamic models.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Methodological guidelines on concrete degradation based on predictive models and the release of MOSAIC for industry use

In light-water reactors (LWRs), the concrete biological shield (CBS) designates the concrete structure directly facing the reactor pressure vessel (RPV). The primary function of the CBS is to protect equipment and personnel from the neutron and gamma radiation exiting the RPV. Most CBSs in operation in the United States also provide structural support to the RPV. Based on a long-term structural analysis, the structural integrity of the CBS to transfer the in-service passive load to the foundation, dynamic loading during an earthquake, and thermal loading during a loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA) must be maintained. Based on test reactor data for accelerated conditions, the mechanical properties of irradiated concrete are affected when exposed to neutron fluence higher than ≈ 10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV). At 80 years of operation, the fluence estimates at the surface of the CBS range between 1×10 19 and 7×10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV): the fluence value depends mostly on the design. Although fluence attenuates through the CBS by virtue of the shielding properties of concrete, about 5% to 10% of the CBS wall depth is affected by high fluence. The main degradation mechanism is the so-called radiation-induced volumetric expansion (RIVE) caused by the amorphization of aggregate-forming minerals. RIVE causes large deformation of up to 18% in pure quartz, and it also reduces the structural properties of concrete. The structural effects of long-term exposure to fast neutron irradiation in LWRs was studied in the report entitled “Assessment of the Effect of the Irradiation-Induced Degradation on the In-Service Structural Performance of the Concrete Biological Shields” (M3LW-23OR0403013). This report illustrates that (1) irradiation-induced damage expands further than the region subject to a cumulative fluence of 10 19 n.cm -2 (E > 0.1 MeV) to reach the steel reinforcement location, and (2) the irradiation-induced damage region shows no substantial residual bearing capacity and should not be accounted for in the integrity assessment of the CBS.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Particle interspacing effects on the mechanical behavior of a Fe–TiB 2 metal matrix composite using FFT-based mesoscopic field dislocation mechanics

This paper presents an application to metal matrix composites (MMCs) of an enhanced elasto-viscoplastic Fast Fourier Transform (EVP-FFT) formulation coupled with a phenomenological continuum Mesoscale Field Dislocation Mechanics (MFDM) theory. Contrary to conventional crystal plasticity, which only accounts for plastic flow and hardening induced by statistically stored dislocations (SSDs), MFDM-EVP-FFT also describes the evolution of polarized geometrically necessary dislocation (GND) density and its effect on both plastic flow and hardening. Numerical results for a Fe–TiB 2 MMC made of a ferrite matrix (α-Fe) and elastic ceramic particles (TiB 2 ) are presented. Full-field simulations are performed using synthetic periodic unit cells representative of the MMC, with single-crystalline and polycrystalline matrix, for different particle interspacing distances. A strong dependence of the predicted equivalent stress, cumulated plastic strain and GND density fields with particle interspacing distance is observed, in contrast with conventional crystal plasticity. Correlations between these mechanical fields and microstructural features, and their influence on local and global mechanical behavior are examined for the different MMC microstructures.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Coupled heat and mass transfer in internally cooled silica gel-coated aluminum foam heat exchangers for dehumidification

Solid desiccant dehumidifiers offer significant potential to improve humidity control in buildings due to their ability to independently regulate latent (humidity) and sensible (temperature) loads. However, adsorption of water vapor by desiccants is an exothermic process; the resulting heat of adsorption increases both the desiccant bed temperature and the temperature of the air flowing over the bed, thereby limiting the performance of desiccant dehumidifiers. To address this problem, desiccant-coated heat exchanger prototypes were developed by coating silica gel onto aluminum foam substrates and integrated with chilled water circulation for effective removal of the heat of adsorption. Prototype heat exchangers with two different pore densities (10 and 20 pores per inch (PPI)) and two different desiccant loadings (∼10.36% and ∼17.80%) were fabricated. Experiments were conducted by varying the inlet air face velocity, chilled water inlet temperature, and chilled water flow rate to investigate the coupled heat and mass transfer characteristics of the prototype heat exchangers over a wide range of operating conditions. The underlying transport mechanisms were analyzed using transient desiccant bed temperature, outlet air temperature, and outlet humidity profiles. The results demonstrate that internal cooling significantly enhances dehumidification performance by maintaining more favorable thermodynamic conditions for water vapor adsorption. Under identical operating conditions, a 20 PPI heat exchanger coated with 25.05 g of silica gel achieved 98.98% higher cumulative water uptake and 97.75% higher moisture removal capacity than the corresponding non-cooled case after 5 min of adsorption. This substantial enhancement was further supported by a validated one-dimensional coupled heat and mass transfer model developed in the present study. To date, this is one of the first experimental studies to systematically investigate the combined effects of internal cooling, foam pore density, and desiccant loading on the performance of silica-gel-coated metal foam heat exchangers under HVAC-relevant operating conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

The sponge effect and carbon emission mitigation potentials of the global cement cycle

Cement plays a dual role in the global carbon cycle like a sponge: its massive production contributes significantly to present-day global anthropogenic CO 2 emissions, yet its hydrated products gradually reabsorb substantial amounts of atmospheric CO 2 (carbonation) in the future. The role of this sponge effect along the cement cycle (including production, use, and demolition) in carbon emissions mitigation, however, remains hitherto unexplored. Here, we quantify the effects of demand- and supply-side mitigation measures considering this material-energy-emissions-uptake nexus, finding that climate goals would be imperiled if the growth of cement stocks continues. Future reabsorption of CO 2 will be significant (~30% of cumulative CO 2 emissions from 2015 to 2100), but climate goal compliant net CO 2 emissions reduction along the global cement cycle will require both radical technology advancements (e.g., carbon capture and storage) and widespread deployment of material efficiency measures, which go beyond those envisaged in current technology roadmaps.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

A System-Level Cost Modeling Framework for Design for Remanufacturing: A Case Study of an Agricultural Machine Transmission

Remanufacturing offers significant environmental and economic benefits by restoring end-of-life products to as-new conditions. Although extensive research has been conducted on the topic, the adoption of remanufacturing practices remains limited across various industries. A primary barrier to broader implementation is the substantial upfront investment required, which necessitates reliable cost modeling to justify potential future savings. Most existing models treat components independently and ignore inter-component dependencies. We develop a probabilistic, system-level cost modeling framework that integrates reliability, reusability, and a dependency matrix to capture cascading effects across components over multiple life cycles. Our model identifies those critical components that maximize remanufacturing benefits across a product's many lives. A toy example and an industry case study (John Deere PowrQuad transmission subassembly) illustrate how design alternatives affect cumulative cost. Using a Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) to perform life cycle cost analysis on the system with different design changes, we show the normalized average cost savings after three remanufacturing cycles. Accounting for dependencies meaningfully alters cost projections and ignoring them underestimates accumulated cost by up to 20% in our examples. Furthermore, the results of our study confirm that accounting for component interdependencies is necessary to produce cost estimates that meet industry standards.

Life Cycle Analysis and Design↗
DOE OSTI2021

Supersaturation, buoyancy, and deep convection dynamics

Motivated by recent discussions concerning differences of convective dynamics in polluted and pristine environments, the so-called convective invigoration in particular, this paper provides an analysis of factors affecting convective updraft buoyancy, such as the in-cloud supersaturation, condensate and precipitation loading, and entrainment. We use the deep convective period from simulations of daytime convection development over land discussed in our previous publications. An entraining parcel framework is used in the theoretical analysis. We show that for the specific case considered here, finite (positive) supersaturation noticeably reduces pseudo-adiabatic parcel buoyancy and cumulative convective available potential energy (cCAPE) in the lower troposphere. This comes from keeping a small fraction of the water vapor in a supersaturated state and thus reducing the latent heating. Such a lower-tropospheric impact is comparable to the effects of condensate loading and entrainment in the idealized parcel framework. For the entire tropospheric depth, loading and entrainment have a much more significant impact on the total CAPE. For the cloud model results, we compare ensemble simulations applying either a bulk microphysics scheme with saturation adjustment or a more comprehensive double-moment scheme with supersaturation prediction. We compare deep convective updraft velocities, buoyancies, and supersaturations from all ensembles. In agreement with the parcel analysis, the saturation-adjustment scheme provides noticeably stronger updrafts in the lower troposphere. For the simulations predicting supersaturation, there are small differences between pristine and polluted conditions below the freezing level that are difficult to explain by standard analysis of the in-cloud buoyancy components. By applying the piggybacking technique, we show that the lower-tropospheric buoyancy differences between pristine and polluted simulations come from a combination of temperature (i.e., latent heating) and condensate loading differences that work together to make polluted buoyancies and updraft velocities slightly larger when compared to their pristine analogues. Overall, the effects are rather small and contradict previous claims of a significant invigoration of deep convection in polluted environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗