Estimating the Uncertainty in Passive-Microwave Rain Retrievals
Current passive-microwave rain-retrieval methods are largely based on databases built off-line using cloud models.
Passive-microwave estimation rainfall distribution↗
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Forward Modeling of a Coronal Cavity
We apply a forward model of emission from a coronal cavity in an effort to determine the temperature and density distribution in the cavity. Coronal cavities are long, low-density structures located over filament neutral lines and are often seen as dark elliptical features at the solar limb in white light, EUV and X-rays. When these structures erupt they form the cavity portions of CMEs The model consists of a coronal streamer model with a tunnel-like cavity with elliptical cross-section and a Gaussian variation of height along the tunnel length. Temperature and density can be varied as a function of altitude both in the cavity and streamer. We apply this model to a cavity observed in Aug. 2007 by a wide array of instruments including Hinode/EIS, STEREO/EUVI and SOHO/EIT. Studies such as these will ultimately help us understand the the original structures which erupt to become CMEs and ICMES, one of the prime Solar Orbiter objectives.
Kucera, T. A.↗
Compression strength of composite primary structural components
The linear elastic response is determined for an internally pressurized, long circular cylindrical shell stiffened on the inside by a regular arrangement of identical stringers and identical rings. Periodicity of this configuration permits the analysis of a portion of the shell wall centered over a generic stringer-ring joint; i.e., a unit cell model. The stiffeners are modeled as discrete beams, and the stringer is assumed to have a symmetrical cross section and the ring an asymmetrical section. Asymmetery causes out-of-plane bending and torsion of the ring. Displacements are assumed as truncated double Fourier series plus simple terms in the axial coordinate to account for the closed and pressure vessel effect (a non-periodic effect). The interacting line loads between the stiffeners and the inside shell wall are Lagrange multipliers in the formulation, and they are also assumed as truncated Fourier series. Displacement continuity constraints between the stiffeners and shell along the contact lines are satisfied point-wise. Equilibrium is imposed by the principle of virtual work. A composite material crown panel from the fuselage of a large transport aircraft is the numerical example. The distributions of the interacting line loads, and the out-of-plane bending moment and torque in the ring, are strongly dependent on modeling the deformations due to transverse shear and cross-sectional warping of the ring in torsion. This paper contains the results from the semiannual report on research on 'Pressure Pillowing of an Orthogonally Stiffened Cylindrical Shell'. The results of the new work are illustrated in the included appendix.
Johnson, Eric R.↗
Nonthermal synchrotron radiation and pair annihilation in gamma-ray bursts
A self-consistent Monte Carlo simulation of quantized synchrotron emission, pair production, and pair annihilation in strong (2 x 10 to the 12th G or greater) magnetic fields is presented as a model of the production of annihilation lines in gamma-ray burst sources. The calculation determines the self-consistent photon spectrum and pair distribution functions resulting from a nonthermal injection of electrons into a region of homogeneous, strong magnetic field. The results indicate that the appearance of observable annihilation features in gamma-ray burst spectra requires isotropic or fan-beamed injection of electrons with energies of at least 5 MeV. The lines are narrow because higher energy electrons escape annihilation and do not contribute to Doppler-broadening. Injection beamed along the field did not produce observable annihilation lines in any of the cases studied. As a result, emission at energies much greater than 1 MeV produced through beaming seems to be incompatible with observable annihilation in this model. These results are discussed in relation to observed features in gamma-ray burst spectra.
Preece, Robert↗
Model dependence of velocities derived from coronal resonance lines
Intensity measurements of coronal resonance lines can be used to determine the outflow velocities of the scattering particles, provided the distribution of the densities, temperatures and velocities along the line of sight is known. A parameter study is designed and carried out to investigate the effect of surrounding denser regions with different temperatures and velocities on the velocity deduced from intensity measurements of the H I Lyman-alpha line in low density coronal holes.
Esser, Ruth↗
The distribution of maximum temperatures of coronal active region loops
The emission measure distribution across the range 4.5 log T 6.5 was derived for several coronal active regions by combining EUV line fluxes with broadband X-ray fluxes. The distributions of the maximum temperature was then derived using a numerical model. It is shown that the emission measure distribution can be represented over the full range 5.6 log Tm 6.5 by the superposition of simple loop models, if the models incorporate a substantial rise in their individual emission measure distributions near the maximum temperature. The unresolved loops may have substantial area ratios, since it is this ratio that fixes the extent of the rise in the emission measure distribution. Since the bulk of the emission measure is then contributed from the loop tops, the distribution of maximum temperatures has approximately the same shape as does the integrated emission measure distributions. The EUV and X-ray data used were obtained by from two separate experiments on ATM/Skylab.
Mayfield, E. B.↗
Numerical prediction of vortex cores of the leading and trailing edges of delta wings
The purpose of the present paper is to predict the roll-up of the vortex sheets emanating from the leading- and trailing-edges of delta wings with emphasis on the interaction of vortex cores beyond the trailing edge. The motivation behind the present work is the recent experimental data published by Hummel. The Nonlinear Discrete-Vortex method (NDV-method) is modified and extended to predict the leading- and trailing-vortex cores beyond the trailing edge. The present model alleviates the problems previously encountered in predicting satisfactory pressure distributions. This is accomplished by lumping the free-vortex lines during the iteration procedure. The leading- and trailing-edge cores and their feeding sheets are obtained as parts of the solution. The numerical results show that the NDV-method is successful in confirming the formation of a trailing-edge core with opposite circulation and opposite roll-up to those of the leading-edge core. This work is a breakthrough in the high angle of attack aerodynamics and moreover, it is the first numerical prediction done on this problem
Kandil, O. A.↗
A comparison of equatorial electron densities measured by whistlers and by a satellite radio technique
Magnetospheric equatorial electron densities determined from whistler observations are compared with in situ satellite measurements of electron density along near-equatorial orbits. Whistler data was recorded at Siple and Palmer, Antarctica, while the sweep frequency receiver on ISEE-1 was used to measure plasma densities during passes within about 15 deg of the whistler station longitudes at L values between 3 and 5.2. The whistler and satellite data sets are found to be in good agreement for the three rendezvous considered, suggesting that the diffusive equilibrium model applied to calculate electron densities from whistler measurements was appropriate for the description of electron density distributions along field lines in the outer plasmasphere. Data also indicate that density enhancements within the whistler ducts were not more than about 30% of the mean or interduct level, and that there were no significant east-west density gradients within about 15 deg of whistler station longitudes over the L range of the study.
Carpenter, D. L.↗
New lines of ethylene and a search for methylene in IRC + 10216
Seven new lines in the 10 micron nu7 band of C2H4 have been detected in the highly obscured carbon star IRC + 10216. The line intensities cannot be well described by a single rotational temperature, in contrast to the lines of CH4 and SiH4 previously observed in this source. There are at least three interpretations: the line intensities are variable on a time scale of months and years, C2H4 lines are formed over a region less homogeneous than that of CH4 and SiH4, or ethylene is somewhat nonthermally excited. Regardless, the line intensities indicate an average rotational temperature of 100 K and a column density of about 4 x 10 to the 15th/sq cm, which is approximately 2 x 10 to the -5th times the CO abundance. A search was also made for infrared transitions of CH2, the methylene radical. No lines were detected, but the observational limits are compared with the abundance and radial distribution for CH2 predicted by a model invoking the photodissociation of CH4.
Goldhaber, D. M.↗
The chromospheres and coronae of five G-K main-sequence stars
Previous data and high and low dispersion IUE observations of Chi 1 Ori, Alpha Cen A, Xi Boo A, Alpha Cen B, and Epsilon Eri are used to model the atmospheres of these stars from the high chromosphere to the corona. The energy lost by radiation and transferred by thermal conduction is investigated to establish the heating requirements, and results similar to those found for the solar atmosphere are found. The observed emission measurement distribution below 100,000 K can be described by a model in which Alfven wave energy input, observed through nonthermal line broadening, is balanced by radiation losses. Comparison of the coronal, transition region, and chromospheric pressures shows scaling relations which are compatible with previous flux correlations.
Jordan, C.↗
A free-wake rotor analysis including ground effect
The objective of this work is to develop a computer program which analytically estimates the wake geometry, vorticity, and velocity distribution over a rotor and in the neighboring airflow for a variety of conditions in and out of ground effect. The resulting wake is used to provide an assessment of the blade loading distribution for various hover and low speed flight conditions. The computer program is based on a lifting line free wake model and provides stable solutions for a variety of steady state conditions, including ground effect and forward flight. The wake program was validated by comparing the computed wake geometry and experimental test data for two different rotors.
Saberi, H. A.↗
Far-infrared, submillimeter, and millimeter spectroscopy of the Galactic center - Radio ARC and +20/+50 kilometer per second clouds
Results are presented from FIR, sub-mm, and mm spectroscopic observations of the radio arc and the +20/+50 km/s molecular clouds in the Galactic center. The results for the radio arc are analyzed, including the spatial distribution of C II forbidden line emission, the spatial distribution of CO emission, the luminosity and mass of C(+) regions, and the CO 7 - 6 emission and line profiles. Model calculations are used to study molecular gas in the radio arc. In addition, forbidden C II, CO 7 - 6, and C(O-18) mapping is presented for the +20/+50 km/x clouds. Consideration is given to the impact of the results on the interpretation of the physical conditions, excitation, and heating of the gas clouds in the arc and near the center.
Genzel, R.↗
Modal Interfaces in Hawaii
Hawaii, an archipelago where transportation distances are short but the interfaces are many, seeks elimination of modal changes by totally-submerged hydrofoil craft operating at the water surface directly between tourist resort destinations, by dual mode rapid transit vehicles operating directly between the deplaning bridges at Honolulu International Airport and hotel porte-cochere at Waikiki, by demand responsive vehicles for collection and distribution operating on fixed guideways for line haul, and by roll-on/roll-off inter-island ferries for all models of manually operated ground vehicles. The paper also describes facilitation of unavoidable interfaces by innovative sub-systems.
Wright, E. Alvey↗
Development of a Generic Creep-Fatigue Life Prediction Model
The objective of this research proposal is to further compile creep-fatigue data of steel alloys and superalloys used in military aircraft engines and/or rocket engines and to develop a statistical multivariate equation. The newly derived model will be a probabilistic fit to all the data compiled from various sources. Attempts will be made to procure the creep-fatigue data from NASA Glenn Research Center and other sources to further develop life prediction models for specific alloy groups. In a previous effort [1-3], a bank of creep-fatigue data has been compiled and tabulated under a range of known test parameters. These test parameters are called independent variables, namely; total strain range, strain rate, hold time, and temperature. The present research attempts to use these variables to develop a multivariate equation, which will be a probabilistic equation fitting a large database. The data predicted by the new model will be analyzed using the normal distribution fits, the closer the predicted lives are with the experimental lives (normal line 1 to 1 fit) the better the prediction. This will be evaluated in terms of a coefficient of correlation, R 2 as well. A multivariate equation developed earlier [3] has the following form, where S, R, T, and H have specific meaning discussed later.
Goswami, Tarun↗
The Structure and Emission Model of the Relativistic Jet in the Quasar 3C 279 Inferred From Radio To High-Energy Gamma-Ray Observations in 2008-2010
We present time-resolved broad-band observations of the quasar 3C 279 obtained from multiwavelength campaigns conducted during the first two years of the Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescope mission. While investigating the previously reported gamma-ray/optical flare accompanied by a change in optical polarization, we found that the optical emission appears delayed with respect to the gamma-ray emission by about 10 days. X-ray observations reveal a pair of 'isolated' flares separated. by approx. 90 days, with only weak gamma-ray/optical counterparts. The spectral structure measured by Spitzer reveals a synchrotron component peaking in the mid-infrared band with a sharp break at the far-infrared band during the gamma-ray flare, while the peak appears in the mm/sub-mm band in the low state. Selected spectral energy distributions are fitted with leptonic models including Comptonization of external radiation produced in a dusty torus or the broad-line region. Adopting the interpretation of the polarization swing involving propagation of the emitting region along a curved trajectory, we can explain the evolution of the broad-band spectra during the gamma-ray flaring event by a shift of its location from approx. 1 pc to approx. 4 pc from the central black hole. On the other hand, if the gamma-ray flare is generated instead at sub-pc distance from the central black hole, the far-infrared break can be explained by synchrotron self-absorption. We also model the low spectral state, dominated by the mm/sub-mm peaking synchrotron component, and suggest that the corresponding inverse-Compton component explains the steady X-ray emission.
Source record↗
Derivation of Aerosol Profiles for MC3E Convection Studies and Use in Simulations of the 20 May Squall Line Case
Advancing understanding of deep convection microphysics via mesoscale modeling studies of well-observed case studies requires observation-based aerosol inputs. Here, we derive hygroscopic aerosol size distribution input profiles from ground-based and airborne measurements for six convection case studies observed during the Midlatitude Continental Convective Cloud Experiment (MC3E) over Oklahoma. We demonstrate use of an input profile in simulations of the only well-observed case study that produced extensive stratiform outflow on 20 May 2011. At well-sampled elevations between −11 and −23 C over widespread stratiform rain, ice crystal number concentrations are consistently dominated by a single mode near approx. 400 microm in randomly oriented maximum dimension (Dmax). The ice mass at −23 C is primarily in a closely collocated mode, whereas a mass mode near Dmax approx. 1000 microns becomes dominant with decreasing elevation to the −11 C level, consistent with possible aggregation during sedimentation. However, simulations with and without observation-based aerosol inputs systematically overpredict mass peak Dmax by a factor of 3-5 and underpredict ice number concentration by a factor of 4-10. Previously reported simulations with both two-moment and size-resolved microphysics have shown biases of a similar nature. The observed ice properties are notably similar to those reported from recent tropical measurements. Based on several lines of evidence, we speculate that updraft microphysical pathways determining outflow properties in the 20 May case are similar to a tropical regime, likely associated with warm-temperature ice multiplication that is not well understood or well represented in models.
Fridlind, Ann M.↗
The ultraviolet flux envelopes of main-sequence B stars.
Flux envelopes in the range from 1100 to 6000 A for representative, nearby, thus unreddened main sequence stars are assembled. These envelopes are compared with the flux envelopes predicted from the classical LTE theory of model atmospheres. An investigation is conducted concerning the UV spectral distributions in the case of stars of the types B 0.5 V to A 1 V. It is found that the observed UV flux envelopes fall significantly below the envelopes predicted from lightly line-blanketed models.
Underhill, A. B.↗
Derivation of Aerosol Profiles for MC3E Convection Studies and Use in Simulations of the 20 May Squall Line Case
Advancing understanding of deep convection microphysics via mesoscale modeling studies of well-observed case studies requires observation-based aerosol inputs. Here, we derive hygroscopic aerosol size distribution input profiles from ground-based and airborne measurements for six convection case studies observed during the Midlatitude Continental Convective Cloud Experiment (MC3E) over Oklahoma. We demonstrate use of an input profile in simulations of the only well-observed case study that produced extensive stratiform outflow on 20 May 2011. At well-sampled elevations between -11 and -23 degree C over widespread stratiform rain, ice crystal number concentrations are consistently dominated by a single mode near 400 micrometer in randomly oriented maximum dimension (D[superscript max] ). The ice mass at -23 degree C is primarily in a closely collocated mode, whereas a mass mode near D[superscript max] -1000 micrometer becomes dominant with decreasing elevation to the -11 degree C level, consistent with possible aggregation during sedimentation. However, simulations with and without observation-based aerosol inputs systematically overpredict mass peak D[superscript max] by a factor of 3-5 and underpredict ice number concentration by a factor of 4-10. Previously reported simulations with both two-moment and size-resolved microphysics have shown biases of a similar nature. The observed ice properties are notably similar to those reported from recent tropical measurements. Based on several lines of evidence, we speculate that updraft microphysical pathways determining outflow properties in the 20 May case are similar to a tropical regime, likely associated with warm-temperature ice multiplication that is not well understood or well represented in models.
Fridlind, Ann M.↗