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NASA NTRS2014

MAG4 Versus Alternative Techniques for Forecasting Active-Region Flare Productivity

MAG4 is a technique of forecasting an active region's rate of production of major flares in the coming few days from a free-magnetic-energy proxy. We present a statistical method of measuring the difference in performance between MAG4 and comparable alternative techniques that forecast an active region's major-flare productivity from alternative observed aspects of the active region. We demonstrate the method by measuring the difference in performance between the "Present MAG4" technique and each of three alternative techniques, called "McIntosh Active-Region Class," "Total Magnetic Flux," and "Next MAG4." We do this by using (1) the MAG4 database of magnetograms and major-flare histories of sunspot active regions, (2) the NOAA table of the major-flare productivity of each of 60 McIntosh active-region classes of sunspot active regions, and (3) five technique-performance metrics (Heidke Skill Score, True Skill Score, Percent Correct, Probability of Detection, and False Alarm Rate) evaluated from 2000 random two-by-two contingency tables obtained from the databases. We find that (1) Present MAG4 far outperforms both McIntosh Active-Region Class and Total Magnetic Flux, (2) Next MAG4 significantly outperforms Present MAG4, (3) the performance of Next MAG4 is insensitive to the forward and backward temporal windows used, in the range of one to a few days, and (4) forecasting from the free-energy proxy in combination with either any broad category of McIntosh active-region classes or any Mount Wilson active-region class gives no significant performance improvement over forecasting from the free-energy proxy alone (Present MAG4).

Falconer, David A.↗

NASA NTRS2000

The Use of Additional GPS Frequencies to Independently Determine Tropospheric Water Vapor Profiles

It is well known that the currently employed L1 and L2 GPS/MET frequencies (1.2 - 1.6) Ghz) do not allow for the separation of water vapor and density (or temperature) from active microwave occultation measurements in regions of the troposphere warmer than 240 K Therefore, additional information must be used, from other types of measurements and weather analyses, to recover water vapor (and temperature) profiles. Thus in data sparse regions, these inferred profiles can be subject to larger errors than would result in data rich regions. The use of properly selected additional GPS frequencies enables a direct, independent measurement of the absorption associated with the water vapor profile, which may then be used in the standard GPS/MET retrievals to obtain a more accurate determination of atmospheric temperature throughout the water vapor layer. This study looks at the use of microwave crosslinks in the region of the 22 Ghz water vapor absorption line for this purpose. An added advantage of using 22 Ghz frequencies is that they are only negligibly affected by the ionosphere in contrast to the large effect at the GPS frequencies. The retrieval algorithm uses both amplitude and phase measurements to obtain profiles of atmospheric pressure, temperature and water water vapor pressure with a vertical resolution of 1 km or better. This technique also provides the cloud liquid water content along the ray path, which is in itself an important element in climate monitoring. Advantages of this method include the ability to make measurements in the presence of clouds and the use of techniques and technology proven through the GPS/MET experiment and several of NASA's planetary exploration missions. Simulations demonstrating this method will be presented for both clear and cloudy sky conditions.

Herman, B.M.↗

NASA NTRS1983

Application of advanced reliability methods to local strain fatigue analysis

When design factors are considered as random variables and the failure condition cannot be expressed by a closed form algebraic inequality, computations of risk (or probability of failure) might become extremely difficult or very inefficient. This study suggests using a simple, and easily constructed, second degree polynomial to approximate the complicated limit state in the neighborhood of the design point; a computer analysis relates the design variables at selected points. Then a fast probability integration technique (i.e., the Rackwitz-Fiessler algorithm) can be used to estimate risk. The capability of the proposed method is demonstrated in an example of a low cycle fatigue problem for which a computer analysis is required to perform local strain analysis to relate the design variables. A comparison of the performance of this method is made with a far more costly Monte Carlo solution. Agreement of the proposed method with Monte Carlo is considered to be good.

Wu, T. T.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Advanced reliability method for fatigue analysis

When design factors are considered as random variables and the failure condition cannot be expressed by a closed form algebraic inequality, computations of risk (or probability of failure) may become extremely difficult or very inefficient. This study suggests using a simple and easily constructed second degree polynomial to approximate the complicated limit state in the neighborhood of the design point; a computer analysis relates the design variables at selected points. Then a fast probability integration technique (i.e., the Rackwitz-Fiessler algorithm) can be used to estimate risk. The capability of the proposed method is demonstrated in an example of a low cycle fatigue problem for which a computer analysis is required to perform local strain analysis to relate the design variables. A comparison of the performance of this method is made with a far more costly Monte Carlo solution. Agreement of the proposed method with Monte Carlo is considered to be good.

Wu, Y.-T.↗

NASA NTRS1986

A new, improved method for separating turbulent boundary layer for aerodynamic performance prediction of trailing edge stall airfoils

A method based on integral techniques is presented to determine the turbulent separation location and separation pressure for trailing edge stall airfoils exhibiting extensive separated flow regions during prestall and poststall conditions. The method and experimental laser velocimetry data in the turbulence amplification region are used to establish a relationship between fluctuating velocity components and mean velocity in the boundary layer. The method is demonstrated for symmetrical, cambered, conventional and supercritical airfoils in the 5-to-21-percent thickness ratio range, and over a Reynolds number range of 2 to 22 million. Good agreement with experimental data is found, and the method is used in conjunction with the NASA Multi-Component Airfoil Computer Program to predict maximum L/D ratios and maximum section/lift coefficients.

Goradia, S.↗

NASA NTRS2002

Three-Dimensional Postbuckling Analysis of Curved Beams

Presented here is a method of solving highly flexible curved beam undergoing huge static or quasi-static deformations. A geometrically exact beam theory based on the use of Jaumann stresses and strains and exact coordinate transformation is presented in terms of 17 first-order ordinary differential equations, and a multiple shooting method is used to solve the corresponding nonlinear two-point boundary value problems. The geometrically exact beam theory accounts far large rotations, large displacements, initial curvatures, extensionality, and transverse shear strains. Four examples are used to demonstrate this method, including a rotating clamped-free beam under the influence of gravity and centrifugal forces, an L-frame subjected to an in-plane tip load, a circular arch subjected to a concentrated load, and a clamped-hinged helical spring subjected to an axial displacement. Results show that the combination of the multiple shooting method and the geometrically exact beam theory works very well. Moreover, the obtained numerically exact solutions can be used to verify the accuracy of nonlinear finite element codes for nonlinear analysis of complex structures.

Pai, P. Frank↗

NASA NTRS2004

Extraction of Martian valley networks from digital topography

We have developed a novel method for delineating valley networks on Mars. The valleys are inferred from digital topography by an autonomous computer algorithm as drainage networks, instead of being manually mapped from images. Individual drainage basins are precisely defined and reconstructed to restore flow continuity disrupted by craters. Drainage networks are extracted from their underlying basins using the contributing area threshold method. We demonstrate that such drainage networks coincide with mapped valley networks verifying that valley networks are indeed drainage systems. Our procedure is capable of delineating and analyzing valley networks with unparalleled speed and consistency. We have applied this method to 28 Noachian locations on Mars exhibiting prominent valley networks. All extracted networks have a planar morphology similar to that of terrestrial river networks. They are characterized by a drainage density of approx.0.1/km, low in comparison to the drainage density of terrestrial river networks. Slopes of "streams" in Martian valley networks decrease downstream at a slower rate than slopes of streams in terrestrial river networks. This analysis, based on a sizable data set of valley networks, reveals that although valley networks have some features pointing to their origin by precipitation-fed runoff erosion, their quantitative characteristics suggest that precipitation intensity and/or longevity of past pluvial climate were inadequate to develop mature drainage basins on Mars.

Stepinski, T. F.↗

NASA NTRS2018

Modification of Radiator Pigments by Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD)

The optical and physical properties of spacecraft radiator coatings are dictated by orbital environmental conditions. For example, coatings must adequately dissipate charge buildup when orbital conditions, such as polar, geostationary or gravity neutral, result in surface charging. Current dissipation techniques include depositing a layer of ITO (indium tin oxide) on the radiator surface in a high temperature process. Other examples include the application of variable emittance coatings such as the use of VO2 to optimize radiator size, allowing for a decrease in heater power budget. The application of these enhanced coatings must be such that the properties in question are tailored to mission-specific requirements. Modification of these coatings can be accomplished during coating application preprocessing by using a deposition technique prevalent in the semiconductor micro processing industry called Atomic Layer Deposition (ALD). The preprocessing is rendered directly on the coating dry pigment before binding. ALD is a cost effective nano-manufacturing technique that allows for the conformal coating of substrates with atomic-level thickness control in a benign temperature and pressure environment. Through the introduction of paired precursor gases, thin films can be deposited on a myriad of substrates ranging from glass, polymers, aerogels, metals, powders, and other high aspect-ratio micro- and nano-structures. By providing atomic-level control, where single layers of atoms can be deposited, the fabrication of metal transparent films, precise nano-laminates, and coatings of nano-channels and pores is achievable. We have demonstrated a method for the ALD of In2O3 and ITO films on a variety of substrates from Si(100) wafers, glass slides, and on Z93P pigments (patent pending). The results indicate excellent growth of 4-22 nm thick films demonstrating an order of magnitude decrease in resistivity on the pigments.

ITO↗

NASA NTRS2018

Planning and Execution for Front Delineation and Tracking with Multiple Underwater Vehicles

This work describes a planning architecture for a heterogeneous ﬂeet of marine assets as well as a method for detecting and tracking ocean fronts using multiple autonomous underwater vehicles. Multiple vehicles — equally-spaced along the expected frontal boundary — complete near parallel transects orthogonal to the front. Lateral gradients are used to determine the location of the front crossing from each individual vehicle transect by detecting a change in the observed water property. Adaptive control of the vehicles ensure they remain perpendicular to the estimated frontal boundary as it evolves over time. This method was demonstrated in several experiment periods totaling weeks, in and around Monterey Bay, California in May and June of 2017. We discuss the challenges associated with the implementation of the planning system. We show the capability of this method for repeated sampling across a dynamic two-dimensional ocean front using a ﬂeet of three types of platforms: short-range Iver AUVs, Tethys-Class Long-Range AUVs, and Seagliders. This method extends to tracking gradients of diﬀerent properties using a variety of vehicles.

Chavez, Francisco P.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Recovering crater production functions from densely cratered surfaces

Two techniques proposed for the recovery of the crater-production functions on densely cratered surfaces have been appraised. The first technique classifies craters according to their degree of rim preservation, then interprets the statistics of the freshest craters as closely mimicking the full population's production function. Although commonly practiced, in fact, this method is demonstrably misleading for densely cratered surfaces. The second technique uses a weighting scheme to recover the production function. Each crater diameter measured is weighed by the fraction of the crater that remains unoverlapped by subsequent impacts. While this method is theoretically sound even at saturation crater densities, it too fails at high densities due to practical difficulties. For this technique to work effectively, one would have to be able to recognize and accurately measure the diameters of craters having less than 10 percent of their rims remaining, a feat beyond reasonable expectation.

Woronow, A.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Component model reduction via the projection and assembly method

This paper explains the projection and assembly model reduction method which has been used to derive reduced order component models for the Galileo spacecraft. Assembly of reduced order component models produces a reduced order system model which can then be used in multibody simulation codes for efficient run times. The methodology is explained and a proof is given showing the exact reproduction of selected significant system modes. Frequency bounds are obtained for all modes produced when the reduced order components are assembled. The projection and assembly method is demonstrated on two examples. The first example is a simplified model of the Galileo spacecraft, while the second example is the model of the Galileo spacecraft in its early mission configuration. When articulation of components is allowed, the method may not reproduce all system modes precisely. Remedies for this problem are suggested.

Kissel, Glen J.↗

NASA NTRS1984

Selection of actuator locations for static shape control of large space structures by heuristic integer programing

Orbiting spacecraft such as large space antennas have to maintain a highly accurate space to operate satisfactorily. Such structures require active and passive controls to mantain an accurate shape under a variety of disturbances. Methods for the optimum placement of control actuators for correcting static deformations are described. In particular, attention is focused on the case were control locations have to be selected from a large set of available sites, so that integer programing methods are called for. The effectiveness of three heuristic techniques for obtaining a near-optimal site selection is compared. In addition, efficient reanalysis techniques for the rapid assessment of control effectiveness are presented. Two examples are used to demonstrate the methods: a simple beam structure and a 55m space-truss-parabolic antenna.

Haftka, R. T.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Selection of actuator locations for static shape control of large space structures by heuristic integer programing

Orbiting spacecraft such as large space antennas have to maintain a highly accurate shape to operate satisfactorily. Such structures require active and passive controls to maintain an accurate shape under a variety of disturbances. Methods for the optimum placement of control actuators for correcting static deformations are described. In particular, attention is focused on the case were control locations have to be selected from a large set of available sites, so that integer programing methods are called for. The effectiveness of three heuristic techniques for obtaining a near-optimal site selection is compared. In addition, efficient reanalysis techniques for the rapid assessment of control effectiveness are presented. Two examples are used to demonstrate the methods: a simple beam structure and a 55m space-truss-parabolic antenna.

Haftka, R. T.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Design of a Thrust Vector Servoelastic Filter for SLS Block 2 Booster Thrust Vector Control System

This paper presents a method to improve the thrust vector servoelastic (TVSE) response of a launch vehicle. TVSE is the coupling between the Thrust Vector Control (TVC) system nozzle dynamics and the vehicle flexible modes. A poorly phased TVC response, i.e. in phase with the structural velocity, can lead to instability of the flexible modes due to the energy injection from the thrust. For large boosters with heavy nozzles, TVSE is more likely to cause instability. This instability is part of the plant dynamics and may not be readily detected by the flight control system. In this paper, TVSE is treated as a disturbance rejection problem with the inertial force of the flexible motion viewed as an external disturbance to the TVC actuator control system. By effectively rejecting this disturbance, the engine can be decoupled from the flexible dynamics thus improving TVSE stability. The actuator disturbance transfer function is modified by inserting a filter into the servo-loop control system. The filter aims to reduce the magnitude and introduce phase lead of the disturbance transfer function over the TVSE sensitive frequency range while maintaining adequate stability margins of the actuator control system. A prefilter is also designed to improve command tracking performance. The filter and prefilter resulting from this method are usually of low order and can be included to an existing actuator controller if the controller is programmable. This method was demonstrated for a hydraulic Simplex actuator model. Its applications to the Space Launch System (SLS) Block 1 and Block 2 TVC actuator are also described. The Block 2 actuator controller was modified based on the results of this method. The tradeoff between TVSE stability and the servo-loop stability can be balanced by adjusting the amount of phase lead introduced by the TVSE filter. This method provides a useful way to solve the TVSE instability issue without costly and time-consuming hardware solutions. This method is based on the basic control principles of loop shaping and disturbance rejection and has been proven to be effective under proper circumstances.

Thrust vector control↗

NASA NTRS2015

High-Energy Electromagnetic Offline Follow-Up of Ligo-Virgo Gravitational-Wave Binary Coalescence Candidate Events

We present two different search methods for electromagnetic counterparts to gravitational-wave (GW) events from ground-based detectors using archival NASA high-energy data from the Fermi Gamma-ray Burst Monitor (GBM) and RXTE All-sky Monitor (ASM) instruments. To demonstrate the methods, we use a limited number of representative GW background noise events produced by a search for binary neutron star coalescence over the last two months of the LIGO-Virgo S6/VSR3 joint science run. Time and sky location provided by the GW data trigger a targeted search in the high-energy photon data. We use two custom pipelines: one to search for prompt gamma-ray counterparts in GBM, and the other to search for a variety of X-ray afterglow model signals in ASM. We measure the efficiency of the joint pipelines to weak gamma-ray burst counterparts, and a family of model X-ray afterglows. By requiring a detectable signal in either electromagnetic instrument coincident with a GW event, we are able to reject a large majority of GW candidates. This reduces the signal-to-noise ratio of the loudest surviving GW background event by around 15-20 percent.

gamma-ray burst: general↗

NASA NTRS1980

A mixed-mode crack analysis of isotropic solids using conservation laws of elasticity

A simple and convenient method of analysis for studying two-dimensional mixed-mode crack problems is presented. The analysis is formulated on the basis of conservation laws of elasticity and of fundamental relationships in fracture mechanics. The problem is reduced to the determination of mixed-mode stress-intensity factor solutions in terms of conservation integrals involving known auxiliary solutions. One of the salient features of the present analysis is that the stress-intensity solutions can be determined directly by using information extracted in the far field. Several examples with solutions available in the literature are solved to examine the accuracy and other characteristics of the current approach. This method is demonstrated to be superior in its numerical simplicity and computational efficiency to other approaches. Solutions of more complicated and practical engineering fracture problems dealing with the crack emanating from a circular hole are presented also to illustrate the capacity of this method

Yau, J. F.↗

NASA NTRS1972

Pilot/vehicle control optimization using averaged operational mode and subsystem relative performance index sensitivities

A method is presented for designing optimal feedback controllers for systems having subsystem sensitivity constraints. Such constraints reflect the presence of subsystem performance indices which are in conflict with the performance index of the overall system. The key to the approach is the use of relative performance index sensitivity (a measure of the deviation of a performance index from its optimum value). The weighted sum of subsystem and/or operational mode relative performance index sensitivies is defined as an overall performance index. A method is developed to handle linear systems with quadratic performance indices and either full or partial state feedback. The usefulness of this method is demonstrated by applying it to the design of a stability augmentation system (SAS) for a VTOL aircraft. A desirable VTOL SAS design is one that produces good VTOL transient response both with and without active pilot control. The system designed using this method is shown to effect a satisfactory compromise solution to this problem.

Leininger, G. G.↗

NASA NTRS2021

A Learn-to-Fly Approach for Adaptively Tuning Flight Control Systems

A method is presented for adaptively tuning feedback control gains in a flight control system to achieve desired closed-loop performance. The method combines efficient aircraft parameter estimation, for identifying closed-loop dynamics models, with online nonlinear optimization, for sequentially perturbing and updating control gains to improve performance. Access to flight measurements and the control gains is required, but no prior information about the aircraft dynamics or the flight control architecture is needed. After the procedure, the optimized control gains (with uncertainties), the open-loop dynamics model, and the closed-loop dynamics model are available. The method is demonstrated for tuning a longitudinal stability augmentation system using a realistic nonlinear flight dynamics simulation of a subscale airplane. Convergence was attained using five maneuvers that spanned approximately one minute of flight test time. Although shown for a relatively simple case, the method is general and can be applied to other aircraft, axes of motion, performance metrics, and control system designs.

Adaptive tuning↗