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Lidar observations of a mesoscale moisture transport event impacting convection and comparison to Rapid Refresh model analysis
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An Earth-Mars mission-analysis program
Rapid, flexible computer program for Earth-Mars trajectory and mission analysis
Enabling Rapid and Robust Structural Analysis During Conceptual Design
This paper describes a multi-year effort to add a structural analysis subprocess to a supersonic aircraft conceptual design process. The desired capabilities include parametric geometry, automatic finite element mesh generation, static and aeroelastic analysis, and structural sizing. The paper discusses implementation details of the new subprocess, captures lessons learned, and suggests future improvements. The subprocess quickly compares concepts and robustly handles large changes in wing or fuselage geometry. The subprocess can rank concepts with regard to their structural feasibility and can identify promising regions of the design space. The automated structural analysis subprocess is deemed robust and rapid enough to be included in multidisciplinary conceptual design and optimization studies.
Pulsatile instability in rapid directional solidification: Strongly-nonlinear analysis
In models of rapid directional solidification, non-equilibrium interfacial conditions are employed. As a result, there is an oscillatory mode of instability, as well as the steady cellular mode, found in the equilibrium model of Mullins and Sekerka. When the temperature field is decoupled from the problem, the preferred wave number for the oscillatory mode is zero, and the interface pulsates in time while remaining spatially uniform. Results from multiple scale analyses in the two limiting cases of the parameters are reported. In these limits, it is found that the instability is a bifurcation to relaxation oscillations; these nonlinear oscillations may be related to the observed microstructure that results from rapid solidification processes such as laser surface remelting.
Rapid High-Resolution Analysis of Polysaccharide-Lignin Interactions in Secondary Plant Cell Walls Using Proton-Detected Solid-State NMR
The plant secondary cell wall, a complex matrix composed of cellulose, hemicellulose, and lignin, is crucial for the mechanical strength and water-proofing properties of plant tissues, and serves as a primary source of biomass for biorenewable energy and biomaterials. Structural analysis of these polymers and their interactions within the secondary cell wall has been heavily relying on 13 C-based solid-state NMR techniques. In this study, we explore the application of 1 H-detected solid-state NMR techniques for rapid, high-resolution structural characterization of polysaccharides and lignin, demonstrated on the stems of hardwood eucalyptus. We explored the use of synthesized 2D spectra to resolve central 1 H resonances and the combined application of 3D hCCH and hCHH experiments for complete resonance assignment and unambiguous identification of lignin-carbohydrate interactions. Our findings emphasize the central role of acetylated three-fold xylan conformers, rather than two-fold, in stabilizing the carbohydrate-lignin interface, with glucuronic acid sidechains in eucalyptus glucuronoxylan colocalizing with lignin, revised cellulose-lignin interactions involving uncoated microfibril surfaces, and pectin-lignin interactions indicative of early-stage lignification. These results present a novel approach for rapid structural analysis of lignocellulosic biomaterials without the need for solubilization or extraction.
Training calibration-based counterfactual explainers for deep learning models in medical image analysis
The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence methods in healthcare is coupled with the critical need for techniques to rigorously introspect models and thereby ensure that they behave reliably. This has led to the design of explainable AI techniques that uncover the relationships between discernible data signatures and model predictions. In this context, counterfactual explanations that synthesize small, interpretable changes to a given query while producing desired changes in model predictions have become popular. This under-constrained, inverse problem is vulnerable to introducing irrelevant feature manipulations, particularly when the model’s predictions are not well-calibrated. Hence, in this paper, we propose the TraCE (training calibration-based explainers) technique, which utilizes a novel uncertainty-based interval calibration strategy for reliably synthesizing counterfactuals. Given the wide-spread adoption of machine-learned solutions in radiology, our study focuses on deep models used for identifying anomalies in chest X-ray images. Using rigorous empirical studies, we demonstrate the superiority of TraCE explanations over several state-of-the-art baseline approaches, in terms of several widely adopted evaluation metrics. Our findings show that TraCE can be used to obtain a holistic understanding of deep models by enabling progressive exploration of decision boundaries, to detect shortcuts, and to infer relationships between patient attributes and disease severity.
Multiple linear regression analysis
Program rapidly selects best-suited set of coefficients. User supplies only vectors of independent and dependent data and specifies confidence level required. Program uses stepwise statistical procedure for relating minimal set of variables to set of observations; final regression contains only most statistically significant coefficients. Program is written in FORTRAN IV for batch execution and has been implemented on NOVA 1200.
Rapid characterization and failure analysis of 6276 rooftop-harvested photovoltaic connectors
Photovoltaic (PV) connectors, which link modules in series and connect PV strings in parallel, have increasingly been recognized as a primary contributor to PV system failures and a source of numerous fire incidents. However, publicly available data on the rates and types of connector failures are scarce, primarily due to the proprietary nature of the information and the need for comprehensive analysis. This study represents the first large-scale investigation of harvested PV connectors, drawing from a dataset of 6276 connectors from residential rooftop solar systems across the United States. The outcome of this work is twofold: 1) we have established a rapid characterization method for large populations of harvested connectors, incorporating visual inspection, resistance measurements, and X-ray imaging; and 2) the analysis made possible by our rapid-processing method has revealed, for a population of connector models provided by a single rooftop installer, failure statistics and insights for various connector makes and models, installation practices, operating currents, and internal component displacements. This research identifies common failure modes that could be considered in future connector designs standards, and operations and maintenance practices, to ultimately improve the reliability of this vital component of PV infrastructure.
Razorback – A reactor transient analysis code for large rapid reactivity additions in a natural circulation research reactor
Research reactors play an important role in higher education, scientific research, and medical radioisotope production around the world. It is thus important to ensure the safety of facility workers and the public. This work presents a new reactor transient analysis code referred to as Razorback. The code has been developed for the evaluation of large rapid reactivity addition in research reactors. Its initial focus is the Annular Core Research Reactor (ACRR) at Sandia National Laboratories. Results have been validated against ACRR pulse operations. Razorback models the reactor kinetics, fuel element heat transfer, fuel element thermal expansion, and natural circulation coolant channel thermal-hydraulic response. Simulation results for ACRR pulse operations are shown to agree very well with operational data obtained from the ACRR. Finally, Razorback is expected to be a valuable tool for ACRR pulse performance prediction and ACRR reactor safety analyses.
Structural Configuration Analysis of Crew Exploration Vehicle Concepts
Structural configuration modeling and finite element analysis of crew exploration vehicle (CEV) concepts are presented. In the structural configuration design approach, parametric solid models of the pressurized shell and tanks are developed. The CEV internal cabin pressure is same as in the International Space Station (ISS) to enable docking with the ISS without an intermediate airlock. Effects of this internal pressure load on the stress distribution, factor of safety, mass and deflections are investigated. Uniform 7 mm thick skin shell, 5 mm thick shell with ribs and frames, and isogrid skin construction options are investigated. From this limited study, the isogrid construction appears to provide most strength/mass ratio. Initial finite element analysis results on the service module tanks are also presented. These rapid finite element analyses, stress and factor of safety distribution results are presented as a part of lessons learned and to build up a structural mass estimation and sizing database for future technology support. This rapid structural analysis process may also facilitate better definition of the vehicles and components for rapid prototyping. However, these structural analysis results are highly conceptual and exploratory in nature and do not reflect current configuration designs being conducted at the program level by NASA and industry.
Daylight-driven carbon exchange through a vertically structured microbial community
Interactions between autotrophs and heterotrophs are central to carbon (C) exchange across trophic levels in essentially all ecosystems and metabolite exchange is a frequent mechanism for distributing C within spatially structured ecosystems. Yet, despite the importance of C exchange, the timescales at which fixed C is transferred in microbial communities is poorly understood. We employed a stable isotope tracer combined with spatially resolved isotope analysis to quantify photoautotrophic uptake of bicarbonate and track subsequent exchanges across a vertical depth gradient in a stratified microbial mat over a light-driven diel cycle. We observed that C mobility, both across the vertical strata and between taxa, was highest during periods of active photoautotrophy. Parallel experiments with 13 C-labeled organic substrates (acetate and glucose) showed comparably less exchange of C within the mat. Metabolite analysis showed rapid incorporation of 13 C into molecules that can both comprise a portion of the extracellular polymeric substances in the system and serve to transport C between photoautotrophs and heterotrophs. Stable isotope proteomic analysis revealed rapid C exchange between cyanobacterial and associated heterotrophic community members during the day with decreased exchange at night. We observed strong diel control on the spatial exchange of freshly fixed C within tightly interacting mat communities suggesting a rapid redistribution, both spatially and taxonomically, primarily during daylight periods.
Rapid Characterization and Statistical Analysis of High-Volume Field-Harvested Photovoltaic Connectors
Photovoltaic (PV) installations heavily depend on connectors for efficient module and string interconnections without requiring skilled labor. Yet this seemingly innocuous component of PV systems is a leading cause of module failures, multiple high-profile fires, and lawsuits in the PV industry. This work aims to answer critical questions regarding why connectors fail and the contributing factors to their failure. The study involves collecting and analyzing more than 17,000 field-harvested connectors from various solar installations across the United States. The vast dataset, which includes connector metadata, visual inspections, and resistance measurements, provides unprecedented insight into the state of health of PV connectors across the US, including the geographic locations, connector types, and installation practices most prone to failures. The work presented here describes a novel rapid characterization method for processing large numbers of connectors and is supported by parallel forensic analysis to discern the root causes of failures as well as a levelized cost of lifetime model to determine the economic ramifications of connector failure. Ultimately, the findings may inform PV developers about the best practices to extend connector longevity and lead to more resilient and reliable PV systems.
Rapid, Precise, and Economical Analysis of Data from the Southern California Integrated GPS Network
The number of permanently operating precision Global Positioning System (GPS) receivers in the Southern California Integrated GPS Network has increased dramatically in the past year to several dozen. This number is expected to increase to hundreds within a few years. A prototype system to process all of these data, accurately, rapidly, and economically, has been in operation since May 1995.
A rapid heating and high magnetic field thermal analysis technique
Abstract A new thermal analysis technique is described that allows measurements to be performed on bulk samples at extreme heating and cooling rates and in high magnetic fields. High heating rates, up to 1000 °C min −1 , are achieved through electromagnetic induction heating of a custom-built apparatus fitted with commercial thermal analysis heads and sensor. Rapid cooling rates, up to 100 °C min −1 , are enabled by gas quenching and the small thermal mass of the induction furnace. The custom apparatus is designed to fit inside a superconducting magnet capable of fields up to 9 Tesla. This study demonstrates that the instrument is capable of collecting accurate thermal analysis data in high magnetic fields and rapidly acquiring data for dynamic processes. While the full potential of the technique is still unrealized, currently, it can provide insight into phenomena at time scales relevant to heat treatment in many industrial processes and into little understood effects of high magnetic field processing.
Operations analysis of gravity assisted rapid transit
Gravity assisted rapid transit (GART) with 6 percent grades before and after each station are compared with conventional systems in terms of energy consumption, run time, line capacity and schedule stability under abnormal circumstances. Parametric analyses of run times and energy consumption include the impact of alternate accelerating and braking levels. The capcity analysis uses a network simulation program to determine the location and severity of all signal delays. Based on results of initial simulations, the block design was revised to eliminate bottlenecks in normal operations. The systems are then compared at headways of 80 to 180 seconds. One month of incidence reports of a modern operating transit system are reviewed to determine the failures to be simulated. The impact of failures resulting in station delays (30 to 360 seconds), speed limit reduction (20 mph and 30 mph to one or more trains), vehicle performance (75 percent acceleration) are compared at scheduled headway of 90 to 180 seconds.
Integrated Technology Assessment Center (ITAC) Update
The Integrated Technology Assessment Center (ITAC) has developed a flexible systems analysis framework to identify long-term technology needs, quantify payoffs for technology investments, and assess the progress of ASTP-sponsored technology programs in the hypersonics area. For this, ITAC has assembled an experienced team representing a broad sector of the aerospace community and developed a systematic assessment process complete with supporting tools. Concepts for transportation systems are selected based on relevance to the ASTP and integrated concept models (ICM) of these concepts are developed. Key technologies of interest are identified and projections are made of their characteristics with respect to their impacts on key aspects of the specific concepts of interest. Both the models and technology projections are then fed into the ITAC's probabilistic systems analysis framework in ModelCenter. This framework permits rapid sensitivity analysis, single point design assessment, and a full probabilistic assessment of each concept with respect to both embedded and enhancing technologies. Probabilistic outputs are weighed against metrics of interest to ASTP using a multivariate decision making process to provide inputs for technology prioritization within the ASTP. ITAC program is currently finishing the assessment of a two-stage-to-orbit (TSTO), rocket-based combined cycle (RBCC) concept and a TSTO turbine-based combined cycle (TBCC) concept developed by the team with inputs from NASA. A baseline all rocket TSTO concept is also being developed for comparison. Boeing has recently submitted a performance model for their Flexible Aerospace System Solution for Tomorrow (FASST) concept and the ISAT program will provide inputs for a single-stage-to-orbit (SSTO) TBCC based concept in the near-term. Both of these latter concepts will be analyzed within the ITAC framework over the summer. This paper provides a status update of the ITAC program.