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At least 235 records · Page 13

Applications of explainable artificial intelligence in renewable energy research

Researchers in renewable energy are applying deep learning (DL) to a variety of problems from diverse renewable energy domains, such as biofuels, wind, solar, power systems, buildings, vehicles, and transportation systems. Improvements in accuracy may be demonstrated using DL in laboratory settings. However, the lack of interpretability of DL models poses a practical limitation to their utility in advancing scientific knowledge and in the deployment of DL models in safety-critical energy systems. In this article, we discuss explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) as one pathway toward more interpretable DL models. We explore a brief timeline of U.S. national laboratory interest in XAI, an overview and taxonomy of methods in the field of XAI, and a selection of applications across renewable energy research domains. We conclude by highlighting pivotal areas where XAI can accelerate innovation in artificial intelligence for renewable energy research and other essential future directions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Ferroelectric and Charge Transport Properties in Strain-Engineered Two-Dimensional Lead Iodide Perovskites

Transitions from three-dimensional (3D) hybrid organic–inorganic perovskite (HOIP) structures to lower dimensions including 2D and quasi-2D structures open a new range of functional properties in these materials systems. Yet, the performance of solar cells made from 2D HOIP is below that of the 3D compositions due to the higher band-gap energy, low carrier concentration, and anisotropy in charge transport. Controlling ferroelectricity in 2D HOIPs is considered to be a powerful strategy to drive the spatial separation of photogenerated charge carriers to improve the photovoltaic action in this class of HOIPs. Here, we explore the strain-dependent ferroelectricity and charge carrier properties in strain-engineered 2D-layered HOIPs utilizing advanced scanning probe microscopy (SPM) techniques. Band excitation-piezoresponse force microscopy (BE-PFM) and contact Kelvin probe force microscopy (cKPFM) reveal ferroelectric domains and switchable dynamics with significantly low switching voltages in the low-strain film. Photoluminescence (PL) spectroscopy shows strain-dependent optical properties and a noncentrosymmetric structure with strong second-harmonic generation (SHG) peaks in the low-strain film. In addition, KPFM results demonstrate a higher surface potential in the low-strain films, while the photovoltage and local current are the highest on the high-strain film. Furthermore, our study demonstrates the critical role of strain engineering on the electromechanical and charge carrier dynamics in 2D HOIPs, which is important for development of 2D HOIP devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Is the Adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) and Solar Photovoltaics (PVs) Interdependent or Independent? An Integrated EVs-PVs Modeling Framework

Transportation and residential energy consumption account for more than one-half of the overall energy consumption in the United States. Adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) can play a key role in decarbonizing the transportation sector, while the adoption of renewable energy sources (e.g., solar photovoltaics or PVs) could bring similar benefits to the residential energy sector and in turn support transport electrification. Although the market share for both EVs and PVs continue to grow, both these emerging technologies are deployed rather disjoint without considering the existence of potential similarities among users who own (or aspire to own) EVs and PVs. This might be due to lack of understanding of the behavioral interdependence in consumer preferences towards these technologies. To fill this gap in knowledge, this study utilizes data from the 2018 WholeTraveler Transportation Behavior Study to develop an integrated model system that explores EV and PV adoption behaviors. A structural equations model (SEM) is employed that incorporates direct effects as well as error correlations among the adoption behaviors for EVs and PVs. Model results indicate that the adoption behavior for both these technologies is indeed interconnected and significantly influenced by attitudes, values and personality traits. Findings from this research suggest that incentives (e.g., subsidies) that drive 'bundled' adoption of EVs and PVs could accelerate the adoption of both these sustainable technologies. The results highlights the need to consider transport and building energy efficient technology adoption behavior in a single integrated structure.

ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗

Unraveling the Photovoltaic, Mechanical, and Microstructural Properties and Their Correlations in Simple Poly(3‐pentylthiophene) Solar Cells

Abstract The power conversion efficiency of polythiophene organic solar cells is constantly refreshed. Despite the renewed device efficiency, very few efforts have been devoted to understanding how the type of electron acceptor alters the photovoltaic and mechanical properties of these low‐cost solar cells. Herein, the authors conduct a thorough investigation of photovoltaic and mechanical characteristics of a simple yet less‐explored polythiophene, namely poly(3‐pentylthiophene) (P3PT), in three different types of organic solar cells, where ZY‐4Cl, PC 71 BM, and N2200 are employed as three representative acceptors, respectively. Compared with the reference poly(3‐hexylthiophene) (P3HT)‐based solar cells, P3PT‐based devices, all perform more efficiently. Particularly, the P3PT:ZY‐4Cl blend exhibits the highest efficiency (ca. 10%) among the six combinations and outperforms the prior top‐performance system P3HT:ZY‐4Cl. Furthermore, the blend films based on N2200 exhibit a high crack‐onset strain of ∼38% on average, which is approximately 15‐ and 17‐times higher than those of ZY‐4Cl and PC 71 BM, respectively. The microstructural origins for the above difference are well elucidated by detailed grazing incidence X‐ray scattering and microscopy analysis. This work not only underlines the potential of P3PT in prolific solar cell research but also demonstrates the superior tensile properties of polythiophene‐based all‐polymer blends for the preparation of stretchable solar cells.

Polymer Science↗

RODeO (Revenue Operation and Device Optimization Model) [SWR 20-67]

The Revenue, Operation, and Device Optimization (RODeO) model explores optimal system design and operation considering different levels of grid integration, equipment cost, operating limitations, financing, and credits and incentives. RODeO is a price-taker model formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model in the GAMS modeling platform. The objective is to maximizes the net revenue for a collection of equipment at a given site. The equipment includes generators (e.g., gas turbine, steam turbine, solar, wind, hydro, fuel cells, etc.), storage systems (batteries, pumped hydro, gas-fired compressed air energy storage, long-duration systems, hydrogen), and flexible loads (e.g., electric vehicles, electrolyzers, flexible building loads). The input data required by RODeO can be classified into three bins: 1) utility service data, which refers to retail utility rate information (meter cost, energy and demand charges), 2) electricity market data, which include energy and reserve prices, 3) other inputs, which refer to additional electrical demand, product output demand, technological assumptions, financial properties, and operational parameters.

Guerra Fernandez, Omar Jose↗

Dynamical Packing in the Habitable Zone: The Case of Beta CVn

Uncovering the occurrence rate of terrestrial planets within the habitable zone (HZ) of their host stars has been a particular focus of exoplanetary science in recent years. The statistics of these occurrence rates have largely been derived from transiting planet discoveries, and have uncovered numerous HZ planets in compact systems around M-dwarf host stars. Here we explore the width of the HZ as a function of spectral type, and the dynamical constraints on the number of stable orbits within the HZ for a given star. We show that, although the Hill radius for a given planetary mass increases with larger semimajor axis, the width of the HZ for earlier-type stars allows for more terrestrial planets in the HZ than late-type stars. In general, dynamical constraints allow ∼6 HZ Earth-mass planets for stellar masses ≳0.7M {sub ⊙}, depending on the presence of farther out giant planets. As an example, we consider the case of Beta CVn, a nearby bright solar-type star. We present 20 yr of radial velocities (RV) from the Keck/High Resolution Echelle Spectrometer (HIRES) and Automated Planet Finder (APF) instruments and conduct an injection-recovery analysis of planetary signatures in the data. Our analysis of these RV data rule out planets more massive than Saturn within 10 au of the star. These system properties are used to calculate the potential dynamical packing of terrestrial planets in the HZ and show that such nearby stellar targets could be particularly lucrative for HZ planet detection by direct imaging exoplanet missions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Impact of Transport Electrification Demand and Charging Schedules on Electricity Markets and Nuclear Generators

As the U.S. pursues deep decarbonization targets, electric vehicles (EVs) are likely to become a major driver of demand growth and a major determinant of daily demand patterns. This study analyzes a possible future ERCOT-like electricity grid, and examines the impact of different types of EV charging schedules on grid and market outcomes. This analysis demonstrates the significant impact of EV charging patterns on capacity expansion simulations. Even without EVs, the overall daily demand profile in a market can have significant impacts on prices and grid stability in that system, especially if non-dispatchable renewable generators (e.g. wind and solar) make up a significant fraction of the generation mix. EV demand will not necessarily follow this preexisting demand profile, so its daily trends may significantly change what generation portfolio would optimally serve the system. Furthermore, the effects of EV demand can alter the profitability of different types of units, by altering the frequency of market events like extreme-demand hours or zero-price hours. These effects are explored in this study. The EV demand levels were derived from MARKAL simulations of the West-South-Central North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) region for the year 2050, using a carbon tax of $100/ton. The baseline MARKAL simulation forecasted that 23% of the region’s annual electricity demand in 2050 would be attributable to EVs, and broke out demand projections for EV and non-EV end-use in that year. To model lower EV penetration into the system, an additional case was explored which assumed that EVs only achieved 75% of the demand level projected by MARKAL.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Dual-Image Color Normalization to Enable High-Performance Concentrating Solar Optical Metrology

Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) requires precision mirrors, and these in turn require metrology systems to measure their optical slope. In this project we studied a color-based approach to the correspondence problem, which is the association of points on an optical target with their corresponding points seen in a reflection. This is a core problem in deflectometry-based metrology, and a color solution would enable important new capabilities. We modeled color as a vector in the [R,G,B] space measured by a digital camera, and explored a dual-image approach to compensate for inevitable changes in illumination color. Through a series of experiments including color target design and dual-image setups both indoors and outdoors, we collected reference/measurement image pairs for a variety of configurations and light conditions. We then analyzed the resulting image pairs by selecting example [R,G,B] pixels in the reference image, and seeking matching [R,G,B] pixels in the measurement image. Modulating a tolerance threshold enabled us to assess both match reliability and match ambiguity, and for some configurations, orthorectification enabled us to assess match accuracy. Using direct-direct imaging, we demonstrated color correspondence achieving average match accuracy values of 0.004 h, where h is the height of the color pattern. We found that wide-area two-dimensional and linear one-dimensional color targets outperformed hybrid linear/lateral gradient targets in the cases studied. Introducing a mirror degraded performance under our current techniques, and we did not have time to evaluate whether matches could be reliably achieved despite varying light conditions. Nonetheless, our results thus far are promising.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Renewable electricity capacity planning with uncertainty at multiple scales

Abstract We formulate and compare optimization models of investment in renewable generation using a suite of social planning models that compute optimal generation capacity investments for a hydro-dominated electricity system where inflow uncertainty results in a risk of energy shortage. The models optimize the expected cost of capacity expansion and operation allowing for investments in hydro, geothermal, solar, wind, and thermal plant, as well as battery storage for smoothing load profiles. A novel feature is the integration of uncertain seasonal hydroelectric energy supply and short-term variability in renewable supply in a two-stage stochastic programming framework. The models are applied to data from the New Zealand electricity system and used to estimate the costs of moving to a 100% renewable electricity system by 2035. We also explore the outcomes obtained when applying different forms of CO 2 constraint that limit respectively non-renewable capacity, non-renewable generation, and CO 2 emissions on average, almost surely, or in a chance-constrained setting, and show how our models can be used to investigate the merits of a proposed pumped-hydro scheme in New Zealand’s South Island.

Ferris, Michael C.↗

Formation and interior evolution of Mars

The formation and earliest evolution of Mars involved core formation followed by magma ocean solidification and primordial crust formation. Here, in this study, we review the formation and early interior evolution of Mars as understood through meteorite studies. Martian meteorites exhibit ages that span the entire history of the Solar System, but most derive from compositionally distinct sources that formed early in the history of Mars. Geochemical and isotopic studies of Martian meteorites have provided critical information on Mars’ building blocks, bulk composition, and its differentiation into a core, mantle and crust. Radiogenic isotope systems provide vital insights into the petrogenesis of Martian meteorite source regions and into the nature and timescales of primordial differentiation on Mars. Application of short-lived isotope chronometers to Martian meteorites indicates that the Martian core formed early within <10 million years (Ma), while magma ocean differentiation and crust formation occurred soon thereafter, within the first tens of Ma of Solar System history. Bulk silicate Mars is variably depleted in moderately volatile elements relative to chondrites, but to a lesser extent than the Earth. The nature and evolution of more volatile elements and volatile species on Mars (e.g., H 2 O, C, S, halogens) remains an active area of investigation, but overall suggest that Mars is more enriched in volatile elements than the Moon but less than the Earth. While geochemical exploration of Mars coupled with new discoveries of Martian meteorites has provided a wealth of information, the compositional and lithologic diversity on Mars significantly exceeds that seen in the suites of Martian meteorites currently studied. This implies that our current perspective on the planet's evolution is very likely biased, highlighting the need for future sample return missions to Mars.

Kruijer, Thomas S.↗

Lower limits for non-radiative recombination loss in organic donor/acceptor complexes

Understanding the factors controlling radiative and non-radiative transition rates for charge transfer states in organic systems is important for applications ranging from organic photovoltaics (OPV) to lasers and LEDs. Here we explore the role of charge-transfer (CT) energetics, lifetimes, and photovoltaic properties in the limit of very slow non-radiative rates by using a model donor/acceptor system with photoluminescence dominated by thermally activated delayed fluorescence (TADF). This blend exhibits an extremely high photoluminescence quantum efficiency (PLQY = ~22%) and comparatively long PL lifetime, while simultaneously yielding appreciable amounts of free charge generation (photocurrent external quantum efficiency EQE of 24%). In solar cells, this blend exhibits non-radiative voltage losses of only ~0.1 V, among the lowest reported for an organic system. Notably, we find that the non-radiative decay rate, k nr , is on the order of 10 5 s -1 , approximately 4–5 orders of magnitude slower than typical OPV blends, thereby confirming that high radiative efficiency and low non-radiative voltage losses are achievable by reducing k nr . Furthermore, despite the high radiative efficiency and already comparatively slow k nr , we find that k nr is nevertheless much faster than predicted by Marcus–Levich–Jortner two-state theory and we conclude that CT-local exciton (LE) hybridization is present. Our findings highlight that it is crucial to evaluate how radiative and non-radiative rates of the LE states individually influence the PLQY of charge-transfer states, rather than solely focusing on the PLQY of the LE. This conclusion will guide material selection in achieving low non-radiative voltage loss in organic solar cells and high luminescence efficiency in organic LEDs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

CRADA Number NFE-17-06866 with Active Energy Systems, Inc. (CRADA Final Report)

Cooperative Research and Development Agreement (CRADA) NFE-17-06866 between Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Active Energy Systems Inc. (AES) focused on studying and modeling a low cost, high efficiency energy storage technology. The successful development of low-cost, high-efficiency energy storage is a significant bottleneck in the implementation of intermittent renewable energy sources such as wind and solar. AES is a startup company developing a heat exchange technology to utilize a low-temperature phase change material (PCM). The work done under this CRADA explored this technology’s ability to augment a heat pump/heat engine device to convert electricity into thermal energy and vice versa, operating to complement the needs of the electric grid. Modeling, design and development of a prototype to prove the technology was successful, but current production economics and market demand make further exploration undesirable.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Synthetic Digital Environments for Training Robots on Earth & Beyond [Poster]

Creating physical replicas of real-world environments to train robots for challenging outdoor tasks, whether constructing energy infrastructure like solar farms on Earth or on the Moon and Mars, is prohibitively expensive. This project will prototype a high-fidelity digital twin framework using NVIDIA IsaacSim to create realistic digital representations of robotic systems and their operating conditions, including varied terrains and environmental factors, allowing robots to learn and adapt in a faster, safer, and more affordable way to tackle unpredictable challenges in terrestrial and extraterrestrial applications. The Robotic Space Exploration (RoSE) Lab at Colorado School of Mines focused on the development and testing of synthetic digital twins to explore multi-physics interactions between robots and unstructured environments, with emphasis on lunar conditions such as deformable regolith, reduced gravity, and terrain-robot contact dynamics. The Industrialized Construction Innovation (ICI) team at National laboratory of the Rockies (NLR), simulated robotic apparatus and construction workflows using synthetic digital twins to inform real-world deployment, targeting application-driven use cases such as robotic construction of a scaled prototype of a photovoltaic energy infrastructure. Joint efforts between RoSE and ICI are continuing to explore how environment-scale multi-physics modeling and application-level robotic system simulation could be integrated to support robotic construction of energy infrastructure in highly unstructured environments, including scenarios relevant to the Lunar South Pole.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Wind Energy Accomplishments and Year-End Performance Report: Fiscal Year 2022

Four decades ago, construction was just beginning on experimental turbines at the National Wind Technology Center (NWTC). Today, the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) facility is the centerpiece of the laboratory's Flatirons Campus, a world-class hub for renewable energy research. The nation's shift to 100% clean electricity by 2035 will require a mix of renewable energy sources and strategies - and together, wind and solar energy could account for 60% to 80% of that clean energy resource. In Fiscal Year (FY) 2022, NREL scientists, engineers, and analysts contributed to these visionary goals through their wind energy research. As wind innovations push into new areas, NREL continues to play a vital role in advancing technology and addressing deployment barriers in pursuit of more efficient, reliable, and predictable wind energy systems. FY 2022 wind research and development explored the potential for dramatic growth in land-based systems, the launch of the nation's first commercial-scale offshore installations, and transmission infrastructure buildout. Land-based wind energy is one of the most cost-effective electricity supply options - but utility-scale deployment will require up to 10 times the current number of turbines. An NREL plan addressed this need to accelerate U.S. wind technology rollout at distributed and utility scales. Another project conducted by NREL and the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) helps position the nation's first major offshore wind corridor for success. The WETO-funded Atlantic Offshore Wind Transmission Study is evaluating options for balancing electricity supply and demand, while supporting resilience of the grid and marine industries. WETO, NREL, and other partners are working to enable the enormous supply chain and workforce changes the U.S. wind energy industry will need to meet net-zero-carbon-emissions targets. As part of a seminal series of DOE-funded supply chain studies, NREL analysts reported on the trade-offs involved in manufacturing large volumes of wind technologies, while addressing cost, workforce, and logistics issues. All of this research is supported by NREL's outstanding research teams, tools, data, and facilities. A WETO-funded international wind energy field campaign, the American WAKE experimeNt (AWAKEN), has brought together experts from NREL, PNNL, and Sandia National Laboratories to create the world's most comprehensive set of high-resolution data on wind energy atmospheric phenomenon. This study could lead to more accurate predictions of losses from turbine-to-turbine wake interactions, eventually helping wind plants capture more energy and operators save millions of dollars. In addition, NREL researchers developed testing, modeling, and analysis tools to improve the security of power grids by identifying wind power plant dynamic stability problems. A new Stochastic Soaring Raptor Simulator (SSRS) protects golden eagles from turbine encounters by predicting flight paths. This report provides more detail on these top achievements and other accomplishments made by NREL and its partners during FY 2022 (between October 1, 2021, and September 30, 2022).

accomplishments↗

Exploring the impact of the local environment on charge transfer states at molecular donor-acceptor heterojunctions

This program explored a broad range of charge transfer (CT) states in organic solar cells with the goal of understanding how molecular energetics, structure, and morphology influence CT state energy and dynamics, and how this in turn influences solar cell performance. We identified new types of delocalized CT states at ordered molecular heterojunctions, determined the factors that dictate CT state energetic disorder in bulk heterojunctions, determined that hot CT state dissociation is negligible for most systems, that the occupation of CT states is generally non-thermal in disordered heterojunctions, and that quasi-equilibrium generally does not hold in organic solar cells. These findings allowed us to demonstrate the lowest loss in potential of any organic solar cell to date and provide valuable guidance for designing higher efficiency organic solar cells in the future.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Sabathani Community Center Solar + Battery Resilience Hub

To meet south Minneapolis, Minnesota's clean energy goals, the community exploring opportunities to transition Sabathani Community Center into a resilience hub to provide critical community services during power outages, including shelter and warmth or cooling, continued food distribution services, and more. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory, through the U.S. Department of Energy's Communities LEAP (Local Energy Action Program) pilot, worked with Sabathani to quantify the costs and benefits of installing stand-alone solar photovoltaics (PV) and PV paired with battery systems to reduce energy costs, avoid emissions, and improve resilience.

battery energy storage system↗

Exploring the Photophysics of N-Type Polymer N2200

The polymer interphase is a complex environment comprised of polymer chains, solvent molecules, and electrolyte ions. However, the microenvironments that these ingredients produce is both poorly-understood and difficult to investigate given the system's inherent structural heterogeneity. Nonetheless, a fundamental understanding of the structure, electrochemical behavior, and excited-state dynamics is a key prerequisite to optimizing devices based on such a system - for instance, photoelectrochemical cells for the direct, light-driven production of solar hydrogen, which may minimize efficiency losses compared to sequential light harvesting and electrochemical hydrogen production in separate but linked devices. This work combines transient absorption (TA) spectroscopy, which is a powerful tool for the observation of a variety of excited states on a femto- to microsecond timescale, with time-resolved microwave conductivity (TRMC) spectroscopy, which selectively probes the dynamics of free charge carriers (FC), of a blend of a donor polymer (PTB7-Th) and acceptor polymer (N2200) in a bulk heterojunction. Initial results indicate an extension of FC lifetime and homogenization of the microenvironment on a whole-film level, not just at the surface of the polymer; however, many questions are still under active investigation, including the changes in energy of the involved polaron states, effective conjugation length, FC mobility and migration distance, etc. Additional experiments regarding the photoinitiated behavior of the blend in different environments and on different timescales are ongoing.

charge recombination↗

Innovating the next generation of commercial smart building software

Nearly 30% of commercial building energy use is wasted due to equipment faults and HVAC controls problems. The result is increased emissions, compromised comfort and productivity, and less reliable coordination of building power needs with a clean grid. The energy impact alone represents $17 billion in potential savings. Today’s smart building software provides a robust solution to address these operational deficiencies. Energy management and information systems (EMIS) are saving up to 9% on average, with two-year paybacks. They are being incorporated into energy management processes, commissioning services, and utility programs. As effective as they are, two barriers prevent even deeper benefits; limited personnel to fix problems once they are identified, and the expense and time to manually implement changes in control systems. In partnership with the research community, the EMIS industry is developing new capabilities to overcome these barriers. Moving beyond siloed products for either fault detection and diagnostics, or optimal control, these new capabilities empower users to not only automatically identify faults, but also to push corrective action, and control improvements to their buildings. In this paper, several areas for enhancements are documented: ‘one-time’ correction of faults such as setpoints, schedules, and economizer lockouts; short-term active testing for automated proportional integral derivative (PID) loop tuning and functional testing; and continuous supervisory control for demand flexibility and year-round efficiency. Results are presented from a pair of partner implementations out of a dozen providers integrating these enhancements into their products, including field tests from across the country, and insights into operator acceptance and integration into operations and maintenance practices.

Casillas, Armando↗