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At least 235 records · Page 13
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Quantifying the impacts of atmospheric rivers on the surface energy budget of the Arctic based on reanalysis

We present a comprehensive analysis of Arctic surface energy budget (SEB) components during atmospheric river (AR) events identified by integrated water vapor transport exceeding the monthly 85th-percentile climatological threshold in 3-hourly ERA5 reanalysis data from January 1980 to December 2019. Analysis of average anomalies in SEB components, net SEB, and the overall AR contribution to both the seasonal SEB components and net SEB climatology reveals clear seasonality and distinct land–sea–sea ice contrast patterns. Over the sea-ice-covered central Arctic Ocean, ARs significantly impact net SEB, inducing substantial surface warming in fall, winter, and spring. This warming is primarily driven by large anomalies in surface downward longwave radiation (LWD), which average 29–45 W m −2 during the cold seasons. In contrast, AR-related LWD anomalies are smaller in summer, averaging around 15 W m −2 , indicating a reduced impact during this season. Over sub-polar oceans, ARs have the most substantial positive impact on net SEB in cold seasons, mainly attributed to significant positive turbulent heat flux anomalies. AR-related turbulent heat anomalies reduce the upward turbulent flux, contributing up to −11 % relative to its seasonal climatology. In summer, ARs induce negative impacts on net SEB, primarily due to reduced shortwave radiation from increased cloud cover during AR events. Over continents, ARs generate smaller absolute impacts on net SEB because the large LWD anomalies are largely offset by corresponding increases in upward longwave radiation, particularly during cold seasons. Additionally, the seemingly large relative contributions of ARs to the net SEB over land primarily reflects the small magnitude of the climatological net SEB over continents. Greenland, especially western Greenland, exhibits significant downward longwave radiation anomalies associated with ARs, which drive large net SEB anomalies and contribute >54 % to mean SEB and induce amplified surface warming year-round. This holds significance for melt events, particularly during summer. Additionally, results of AR-related SEB impacts strongly depend on detection methods, as restrictive AR detection algorithms that emphasize extreme AR events, with large AR-related anomalies, do not necessarily indicate a large overall contribution to the SEB climatology due to the low occurrence frequency of these events. This study quantifies the role of ARs in the surface energy budget, contributing to our understanding of the Arctic warming and sea ice decline in ongoing Arctic amplification.

Arctic Sea ice change↗
DOE OSTI2025

The relative importance of building design parameters in reducing energy use and sensible heat release from buildings in light of forecasted future weather data and building coverage ratio

Buildings typically have a 60-to-75-year lifespan before they require significant maintenance or modifications. However, most builders evaluate the performance of their new buildings using whole-building energy simulation tools based on the current typical meteorological year (TMY) file or actual meteorological year. The energy use consumption and sensible heat release pattern observed from buildings could potentially change based on shifting global climates. Therefore, the recommended energy-efficiency design parameters might also change during these periods. In this study, we evaluate the role of different building design parameters, such as material reflectivity, HVAC COP, and insulation values, on building energy usage and sensible heat release from buildings with different building coverage ratios (BCR), based on the current and future weather file TMY (fTMY) for the middle of the century (2040–2060). The role of sensible heat release from buildings is not accounted for accurately while estimating building energy usage in most whole-building energy simulations. The study conducts a series of whole-building energy simulation analyses using EnergyPlus to evaluate the role of different design parameters based on TMY and fTMY weather conditions. The analysis is conducted for two hot desert climatic cities: Phoenix (USA) and Abu Dhabi (UAE). The results show that, for the base case in a future climate, the sensible heat release is reduced by an average of 30% due to the reduced delta T between the surface and ambient air. Further, the results show an increase in total energy consumption by 5% annually. The results also show that, for buildings with traditional coatings, shorter buildings release more heat than taller buildings. On the other hand, for buildings with reflective paints, shorter buildings release less heat than taller buildings. The findings from this study can be used by policymakers, utility companies, and builders to better understand the relative role of different building design parameters while constructing new and retrofitting existing buildings.

Alhazmi, Mansour [King Fahd University of Petroleu↗
DOE OSTI2024

Monitoring of ground water table depth and soil moisture at the Point Reyes field site

Ground water table (GWT) depth and soil moisture (SM) have been monitored at several locations at the Point Reyes field site (Californian coastal grassland) from 2021 to 2024. Monitoring is still on-going and data may be added to this archive at later time. The SM data have been acquired using Teros 12 Meter soil moisture sensors placed at 10, 30, 60 and 90 cm depth at 5 locations along a small hillslope. These sensors also collect soil temperature and bulk conductance. In addition, some collocated sensors provide pore pressure and Photochemical Reflectance Index (PRI). The GWT depth has been inferred from various type of Onset pressure transducers. The pressure measurements have been corrected for atmospheric pressure variations and sensor position relative to the ground surface to infer GWT depth, as well as with RTK GPS data to infer GWT elevation. The GWT data have been acquired at 5 distinct locations from 2020 to 2024 with the sensors placed at about 4 m depth. In addition, GWT data has been acquired for the 2023-2024 period with sensors located in 1 m deep shallow wells installed near each deeper well. This data is intended to evaluate possibly different dynamic in shallow (perched) and deep aquifer. The datasets are all provided in csv format. Please note that the interpretation of the GWT data needs to be done with consideration of environmental and well characteristics at the site and uncertainty in various variables. For more information on GWT and SM data, please contact the author.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Influence of Ti‐incorporated Zeolite Topology and Pore Condensation on Vapor Phase Propylene Epoxidation Kinetics with Gaseous H 2 O 2

Abstract Vapor‐phase propylene (C 3 H 6 ) epoxidation kinetics with hydrogen peroxide (H 2 O 2 ) strongly reflects the physical properties of Ti‐incorporated zeolite catalysts and the presence of spectating molecules (“solvent”) near active sites even without a bulk liquid phase. Steady‐state turnover rates of C 3 H 6 epoxidation and product selectivities vary by orders of magnitudes, depending on the zeolite silanol ((SiOH) x ) density, pore topology (MFI, *BEA, FAU), and the quantity of condensed acetonitrile (CH 3 CN) molecules nearby active sites, under identical reaction mechanisms sharing activated H 2 O 2 intermediates on Ti surfaces. Individual kinetic analyses for propylene oxide (PO) ring‐opening, homogeneous diol oxidative cleavage, and homogeneous aldehyde oxidation reveal that secondary reaction kinetics following C 3 H 6 epoxidation responds more sensitively to the changes in zeolite physical properties and pore condensation with CH 3 CN. Thus, higher PO selectivities achieved in hydrophilic Ti‐MFI at steady‐state reflect the preferential stabilization of transition states for C 3 H 6 epoxidation (a primary reaction) relative to PO ring‐opening and oxidative cleavage (secondary reactions) that solvation effects that reflect interactions among condensed CH 3 CN within pores and the extended pore structure.

Kwon, Ohsung↗
DOE OSTI2024

Optimization of ray-tracing simulations to confirm performance of the GP-SANS instrument at the High-Flux Isotope Reactor

The CG-2 beamline at the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) exhibits a notable discrepancy between observed count rates and the count rates we would expect based on a Monte-Carlo neutron ray-trace simulation. These simulations consistently predict count rates approximately five times greater than those observed in four separate experimental runs involving different instrument configurations. This discrepancy suggests that certain factors are causing losses in measurements that are not adequately accounted for in the simulation, in particular guide reflectivity or misalignment. To investigate these discrepancies, a high-dimensional simulation parameter approach is applied in order to understand the losses. Region of Interest (ROI) groups along the instrument are assigned to different surfaces of the guide components within the simulation. This allows the parameters of those guide components to be varied as a group to minimize the complexity of the search space. The result is an optimization of simulation parameters using an iterative scheme that aims to minimize the difference between experimentally measured count rates and simulated count rates across all tested collimator combinations. This proposed methodology holds the potential to reveal previously unrecognized sources of intensity loss in the CG-2 beamline at HFIR and improve the accuracy of simulations, leading to enhanced understanding and performance of the beamline for various scientific applications.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Pairing around a single Dirac point: A unifying view of Kohn-Luttinger superconductivity in Chern bands, quarter metals, and topological surface states

Superconductivity of a single two-dimensional Dirac fermion offers a natural route to topological superconductivity. While usually considered extrinsic—arising from proximity to a conventional superconductor—we investigate when a doped Dirac cone can develop superconductivity from a short-range repulsive interaction 𝑈 via the Kohn–Luttinger mechanism. We show that an ideal, linear Dirac cone is immune to pairing at leading order in 𝑈 2 . Superconductivity instead emerges only through higher-order in 𝑘 corrections to the dispersion, which are unavoidable in any lattice realization and crucially dictate the pairing symmetry. The form of the pairing thus reflects how the well-known obstruction to realizing a single Dirac cone on a lattice is circumvented. When a Dirac cone arises from broken time-reversal symmetry—for instance, at a transition between Chern insulators or in a valley-polarized phase—we find a topological 𝑝−𝑖⁢𝑝 state whose chirality is opposite to that of the parent chiral metal above 𝑇 𝑐 . By contrast, for a surface Dirac cone of a 3D topological insulator, superconductivity is stabilized by anisotropies in the dispersion. For 𝐶 3⁢𝑣 -symmetric warping, as in , pairing is strongest when the Fermi surface becomes hexagonal, leading to order in the (𝑑±𝑖⁢𝑑)×(𝑝+𝑖⁢𝑝) channel with accidental near-nodes. In the highly anisotropic limit 𝑣 𝑥 ≫𝑣 𝑦 , relevant to side surfaces of layered materials, the Fermi surface splits into two branches, and nesting favors a pairing symmetry 𝛥∼s⁢g⁡n⁢(𝑘 𝑥 )⁢cos⁡(𝑘 𝑦 ) reminiscent of organic superconductors.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2024

Influence of Ti‐incorporated Zeolite Topology and Pore Condensation on Vapor Phase Propylene Epoxidation Kinetics with Gaseous H 2 O 2

Vapor-phase propylene (C 3 H 6 ) epoxidation kinetics with hydrogen peroxide (H 2 O 2 ) strongly reflects the physical properties of Ti-incorporated zeolite catalysts and the presence of spectating molecules (“solvent”) near active sites even without a bulk liquid phase. Steady-state turnover rates of C 3 H 6 epoxidation and product selectivities vary by orders of magnitudes, depending on the zeolite silanol ((SiOH) x ) density, pore topology (MFI, *BEA, FAU), and the quantity of condensed acetonitrile (CH 3 CN) molecules nearby active sites, under identical reaction mechanisms sharing activated H 2 O 2 intermediates on Ti surfaces. Individual kinetic analyses for propylene oxide (PO) ring-opening, homogeneous diol oxidative cleavage, and homogeneous aldehyde oxidation reveal that secondary reaction kinetics following C 3 H 6 epoxidation responds more sensitively to the changes in zeolite physical properties and pore condensation with CH 3 CN. Thus, higher PO selectivities achieved in hydrophilic Ti-MFI at steady-state reflect the preferential stabilization of transition states for C 3 H 6 epoxidation (a primary reaction) relative to PO ring-opening and oxidative cleavage (secondary reactions) that solvation effects that reflect interactions among condensed CH 3 CN within pores and the extended pore structure.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2024

Advancing process-based flood frequency analysis for assessing flood hazard and population flood exposure

Recent studies have showcased the use of process-based hydrological models with Stochastic Storm Transposition (SST) techniques to conduct Flood Frequency Analysis (FFA). This framework, referred hereby FFA-SST, has proved to be a robust strategy to estimate peak flows of specific annual exceedance probability (e.g., 100-year peak flow) that can reflect natural and anthropogenic disturbances, including changes in land use and meteorological patterns. With the objective of advancing the FFA-SST framework, this study presents for the first time the use of an Integrated Surface-Subsurface Hydrological Model (ISSHM) to conduct FFA-SST by extending the analysis from peak flow responses to flood extent, enabling a unique view and analysis of flood hazard and population flood exposure at the basin scale. As a proof-of-concept, we used the ISSHM, Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (Amanzi-ATS) model, and the SST model, RainyDay, to conduct FFA-SST by simulating the flood response to 5,000 annual synthetic storm events in a 2,227 $km^2$ Southeast Texas watershed. We demonstrate that ATS, without site-specific calibration, provides a robust process-based representation of peak flows, flood extent, streamflow, evapotranspiration, soil moisture content, and water storage changes. Our results and analyses, covering frequency curves up to a 500-year return period for peak flows, basin inundation fractions, and the number of people exposed to flooding, offer a unique perspective to analyze flood impacts across spatial scales. Overall, this study provides critical insights for flood risk management by extending the FFA-SST framework to include both flood hazard and population flood exposure analyses at the basin scale. Such an approach will empower stakeholders and disaster emergency agencies with a more comprehensive understanding of flood impacts across the entire basin domain, facilitating informed decision-making for flood risk assessment and management.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Collimated phase measuring deflectometry II: Re-design of the optical layout for high-curvature surfaces

Collimated phase measuring deflectometry (CPMD) is an optical metrology technique developed to improve upon traditional phase measuring deflectometry (PMD). CPMD utilizes telecentric imaging and collimated structured light illumination to eliminate the height-slope ambiguity present in traditional PMD measurements. After the publication of the first CPMD paper, efforts began to optimize the optical layout of the CPMD system. The first proposed change, and the one detailed in this work, was to move the Fourier transform (FT) lens closer to the surface under test (SUT). Moving the FT lens closer to the SUT meant that for a given FT lens diameter, a larger range of surface slopes on the SUT could be measured. This change to the optical layout was not trivial and introduced at least two concerns that had to be addressed: telecentricity in the imaging path and possible ghost reflections from the re-located FT lens. Here, in this work, we examine how these concerns were addressed and present results showing that the revised optical layout is capable of measurement results at least as good as the original CPMD optical layout. We also demonstrate the increased slope measuring range of the revised optical layout.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development of Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase tubular structures for solar receiver applications

Solar receiver tubes are key components of concentrating solar-thermal power (CSP) systems that harvest solar energy. For better efficiency, the Gen3 CSP receivers, which collect heat into a heat transfer fluid, require a temperature exceeding 700 °C during operation and need to perform under extreme conditions of high temperature and high thermal stress. Operators are seeking CSP designs using new high-temperature structural materials with high thermal conductivity and high creep resistance to achieve a design life of 30 years and thus help recover the plant capital cost sooner. MAX phase materials, which consist of an early transition metal element, an A-group element, and carbon or nitrogen, are expected to exhibit high creep resistance as well as high fracture toughness. Here, in this paper, we describe fabricating both (1) dense Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase disks and (2) short-length tubes using field-assisted sintering technology (FAST). First, the disk samples that we fabricated are fully dense and contain ≈90 % Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase materials and ≈10 % TiC phase materials. We determined a flexure strength of 519 ± 32 MPa by conducting a four-point bending test at room temperature with rectangular bar samples of ≈100 % density. The thermal conductivity of the Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase samples, measured by light flashing analysis, decreases linearly from a value of 41 W . m -1 . K -1 at room temperature to a value of 36 W . m -1 . K -1 at 650 °C. A solar reflectance measurement of the Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase revealed that, temperature increases from 400 to 1400 °C, thermal emittance increases from 0.39 to 0.49, while selectivity decreases from 1.8 to 1.4, respectively. Whereas the surface oxidized MAX phase samples after 100 h exposure to air at 1000 °C exhibit that of SiC. Next, we discuss fabrication of the crack-free Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase tubular structures accomplished by using FAST processing in graphite bedding. A Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase content of > 95 % with traceable ≈3% remaining TiC phase and ≈15 % porosity were demonstrated after high-temperature annealing. An average fracture strength of ≈250 MPa was determined with Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase tubes of ≈85 % density by diametral compression testing at room temperature. Our work demonstrated that using FAST processing to produce Ti 3 SiC 2 MAX phase tubular structures for CSP receiver applications is a viable approach.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Characterization of Incremental Markings in the Sagittal Otolith of the Pacific Sardine ( Sardinops sagax ) Using Different Imaging Modalities

Teleost fish possess calcium carbonate otoliths located in separate chambers (utriculus, sacculus, and lagena) of their membranous labyrinth. This study analyzed the surface topography of the sagittal otolith of the Pacific sardine (Sardinops sagax) and the daily and annual increments in these otoliths. The otolith surface, characterized by laser scanning confocal microscopy for the first time, consisted of a system of prominent ridges and valleys (grooves), but it is unclear whether these structures are functional or represent time-resolving markings reflecting growth periodicity. Within the first-year volume, daily increments, each consisting of an incremental (more mineralized) and a discontinuous (less mineralized) zone, were resolved by optical microscopy and backscattered electron (BSE) imaging in the scanning electron microscope (SEM). Daily growth increments could, however, not be resolved in volumes formed after the first year, presumably because otolith growth markedly slows down and spacing of incremental markings narrows in older fish. Throughout otolith growth, the crystalline network continues across the discontinuous zones. Fluorochrome labeling provides additional information on growth after the first year. Compared with optical and BSE imaging, synchrotron microComputed Tomography of intact otoliths (with 0.69 µm volume elements) was less able to resolve daily increments; X-ray phase contrast reconstructions provided more detail than reconstructions with absorption contrast. Future research directions are proposed.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Composition and persistence of soil organic matter along eroding and depositional transects in buried vs. modern soil layers: A case of the Brady paleosol at Wauneta, Nebraska

Paleosols form when soils are buried through deposition by aeolian, colluvial, alluvial or other processes. Burial of former topsoil isolates soil organic matter (SOM) from surface conditions, allowing carbon to accumulate and potentially remain stable for millennia. In this study, SOM composition, distribution, and persistence were analyzed in the Brady Soil of Nebraska, USA to compare SOM spatial variability in modern and buried soils, as well as the impact of erosional exposure on SOM stability. The Brady Soil, formed as a surface soil during the Pleistocene-Holocene transition and now a paleosol buried up to 6 m deep (or more) by loess deposition during the Holocene, was sampled along burial (up to 5.8 m depth) and erosional (up to 1.8 m depth) transects to compare SOM dynamics in different geomorphic settings. Fourier Transform Infrared Spectroscopy (FTIR) and Fourier Transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry (FTICR-MS) were used to analyze SOM composition, while δ 13 C isotope analyses identified SOM sources and radiocarbon values were used to estimate turnover rates. Results confirmed a vegetation shift from C3 to C4 plants after Brady Soil formation, reflecting warming climatic conditions. Increasing SOM age and decreasing δ 13 C and δ 15 N values with depth indicated slowing of decomposition rate in buried soils. Higher pH in the Brady Soil suggested greater base cation content, supporting SOM stabilization through organo-mineral associations and aggregate formation. However, exposure of the Brady Soil due to surface erosion caused faster SOM turnover. This result suggested susceptibility of buried SOM to losses via decomposition upon erosional exposure, possibly accelerated by priming in response to modern SOM inputs. These findings highlight the potential loss of carbon stocks in buried soils under future climate change, as shifts in soil physicochemical properties may destabilize long-preserved SOM.

Environmental sciences↗
DOE OSTI2026

Focused ion beam milling of polycrystalline diamond

Focused ion beam (FIB) technology has a large potential for precise milling of ultrahard materials such as diamond. However, studies of the sputtering of diamond with ion species and energies relevant to the FIB technology are scarce. Here, we report a systematic study of the sputtering of polycrystalline diamond surfaces with ion beams in a wide range of ion energies (2 - 30 keV), incident beam angles (0 - 80°), and ion masses (N, O, Ar, and Xe). Results show that the sputter yield is relatively insensitive to ion energy but strongly depends on the ion species and incident beam angles. Bombardment with O ions results in sputter yields that are significantly larger than ballistic predictions due to chemical etching effects. Characteristic surface ripples develop for oblique beam incidence angle irradiation. The critical beam tilt angle for the onset of ripple formation and the wavelength of the ripples depend on ion species and energies. Ripples appear to suppress ion reflection at high beam tilt angles and, hence, a peak in the sputter yield angular dependence. In conclusion, these results have direct implications for the development of process parameter maps for high-precision ion-beam milling of diamond.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Pressureless sintering of lithium hydride

Lithium Hydride is a material of growing importance for addressing technological challenges related to nuclear fusion, long-term human space travel, and thermal energy storage. Pressureless sintering provides a straightforward, scalable approach to produce dense LiH parts of all sizes and shapes. Pressed LiH green compacts were sintered at heating rates from 2.5 to 20 °C/min to 650 °C, yielding densities up to 96 ± 1.4 %, with densification initiating at 500 °C. Here, a validated master sintering curve was constructed with a sintering apparent activation energy of 135 kJ/mol. X-ray diffraction and simultaneous thermal analysis revealed Li 2 O formation from 300 – 550 °C and decomposition of LiH into Li metal at 550 °C, each reflected as deviations in the master sintering curve. Computed tomography after thermal treatment to 550 °C showed the formation of corrosion products, and after thermal treatment to 650 °C LiH reduction to Li most significantly at exposed surfaces.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Enhancing the Survivability of Power Systems With Grid-Edge DERs Against DoS Attacks

Power system survivability, defined as the ability of a system to maintain steady-state functionality under varying operational conditions, reflects its resilience against disturbances. While existing research primarily focuses on physical-layer disturbances, the increasing prevalence of grid-edge DERs, which are primarily used for integrating renewable energy, has significantly expanded the cyber attack surface. As a result, operational disruptions caused by cyber threats are posing significant challenges to system survivability and cannot be overlooked. To fill this gap, we redefine system survivability to incorporate the cyber layer’s status and propose a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach to enhance power system survivability against potential cyber-physical threats. In this paper, we first analyze the operational guidelines of systems with a high penetration of DERs under various cyber network conditions and redefine survivability in this context. Next, we focus on the most common cyber threat, Denial-of-Service (DoS) attacks, and develop a corresponding attack model. This model allows for the creation of a kernel-based ambiguity set that captures attack uncertainties using historical data. Finally, we transform the proposed DRO model as a tractable optimization problem, with its solution providing an optimal cyber redundancy plan to enhance system survivability in DoS attack scenarios. Simulation results on the IEEE 13-node and 123-node test feeders demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed model in improving system survivability. This model can also be expanded to include other types of common attacks and serve as a comprehensive planning tool to improve overall cyber physical survival of the system.

cybersecurity↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bilayer Ion Trap Design for 2D Arrays

Junctions are fundamental elements that support qubit locomotion in two-dimensional ion trap arrays and enhance connectivity in emerging trapped-ion quantum computers. In surface ion traps they have typically been implemented by shaping radio frequency (RF) electrodes in a single plane to minimize the disturbance to the pseudopotential. However, this method introduces issues related to RF lead routing that can increase power dissipation and the likelihood of voltage breakdown. Here, we propose and simulate a novel two-layer junction design incorporating two perpendicularly rotoreflected (rotated, then reflected) linear ion traps. The traps are vertically separated, and create a trapping potential between their respective planes. The orthogonal orientation of the RF electrodes of each trap relative to the other provides perpendicular axes of confinement that can be used to realize transport in two dimensions. While this design introduces manufacturing and operating challenges, as now two separate structures have to be precisely positioned relative to each other in the vertical direction and optical access from the top is obscured, it obviates the need to route RF leads below the top surface of the trap and eliminates the pseudopotential bumps that occur in typical junctions. Here in this paper the stability of idealized ion transfer in the new configuration is demonstrated, both by solving the Mathieu equation analytically to identify the stable regions and by numerically modeling ion dynamics. Our novel junction layout has the potential to enhance the flexibility of microfabricated ion trap control to enable large-scale trapped-ion quantum computing.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Virtual Growth of SRF Materials

Niobium's native surface oxide affects SRF cavity and superconducting qubit performance, motivating interest in controlling its crystalline structure. We combine a literature-derived machine-learning analysis with temperature-dependent XRD to study crystalline ordering in Nb2O5. Random Forest models, trained on 74 processing conditions from 17 papers and validated by leave-one-group-out cross-validation, predicted broad crystallinity outcomes well (balanced accuracy 0.809), but struggled with specific polymorph identity (0.577). Annealing temperature was the dominant predictor across all targets; oxygen partial pressure showed negligible importance, reflecting narrow literature coverage rather than physical irrelevance. Temperature-dependent XRD on anodized and H2O2-treated Niobium showed structural evolution consistent with the machine learning predictions. Our model and overall approach provide a data-driven framework for identifying and optimizing conditions that promote crystallization in initially amorphous oxides. This framework can guide the selection of growth and post-annealing conditions for Nb surfaces by narrowing the experimental parameter space, thereby reducing trial-and-error efforts in developing oxide structures relevant to SRF applications.

Tilkin, Anthony [Fermilab]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Virtual Growth of SRF Materials: A Machine Learning Approach to Predict the Crystalline Structural Ordering in Nb Surface Oxides

Niobium's native surface oxide affects SRF cavity and superconducting qubit performance, motivating interest in controlling its crystalline structure. We combine a literature-derived machine-learning analysis with temperature-dependent XRD to study crystalline ordering in Nb2O5. Random Forest models, trained on 74 processing conditions from 17 papers and validated by leave-one-group-out cross-validation, predicted broad crystallinity outcomes well (balanced accuracy 0.809), but struggled with specific polymorph identity (0.577). Annealing temperature was the dominant predictor across all targets; oxygen partial pressure showed negligible importance, reflecting narrow literature coverage rather than physical irrelevance. Temperature-dependent XRD on anodized and H2O2-treated Niobium showed structural evolution consistent with the machine learning predictions. Our model and overall approach provide a data-driven framework for identifying and optimizing conditions that promote crystallization in initially amorphous oxides. This framework can guide the selection of growth and post-annealing conditions for Nb surfaces by narrowing the experimental parameter space, thereby reducing trial-and-error efforts in developing oxide structures relevant to SRF applications.

Tilkin, Anthony [Unlisted, US, IL; Fermilab]↗