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At least 235 records · Page 13

Comparison of temporal resolution selection approaches in energy systems models

Capacity expansion models for the power sector are used to project future decisions over the coming decades by simulating investment and operation decisions for the use of electricity. Due to model performance constraints, these models typically do not explicitly simulate every hour within a year, but instead simulate representative time segments (groups of hours). This paper evaluates different approaches for selecting time segments across three methods: sequential, categorical, and clustering, across a wide range of time-segment quantities, for a total of 204 temporal profiles. To measure the performance of each profile's ability to accurately represent data, the root-mean-square-error of each profile's time segments are compared to the data's original hourly data. The temporal alignment across regions is also measured (i.e., how often windy days align across regions). Different spatial resolutions were applied for a subset of the temporal selection methods to investigate the impact spatial resolution has on performance. This paper provides a framework for measuring the value of different temporal selection methods and of adding more granular data to energy system models. Overall, multi-criteria clustering yields the lowest root-mean-square-error across all datasets evaluated and provides a holistic view of the intertwined relationships between renewable generation and electricity demand.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Subsurface Emission Effects in AMSR-E Measurements: Implications for Land Surface Microwave Emissivity Retrieval

An analysis of land surface microwave emission time series shows that the characteristic diurnal signature associated with subsurface emission in sandy deserts carry over to arid and semi-arid region worldwide. Prior work found that diurnal variation of Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) brightness temperatures in deserts was small relative to International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project land surface temperature (LST) variation and that the difference varied with surface type and was largest in sand sea regions. Here we find more widespread subsurface emission effects in Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-EOS (AMSR-E) measurements. The AMSR-E orbit has equator crossing times near 01:30 and 13 :30 local time, resulting in sampling when near-surface temperature gradients are likely to be large and amplifying the influence of emission depth on effective emitting temperature relative to other factors. AMSR-E measurements are also temporally coincident with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) LST measurements, eliminating time lag as a source of LST uncertainty and reducing LST errors due to undetected clouds. This paper presents monthly global emissivity and emission depth index retrievals for 2003 at 11, 19, 37, and 89 GHz from AMSR-E, MODIS, and SSM/I time series data. Retrieval model fit error, stability, self-consistency, and land surface modeling results provide evidence for the validity of the subsurface emission hypothesis and the retrieval approach. An analysis of emission depth index, emissivity, precipitation, and vegetation index seasonal trends in northern and southern Africa suggests that changes in the emission depth index may be tied to changes in land surface moisture and vegetation conditions

Galantowicz, John F.↗

Evolution of Altimetry Calibration and Future Challenges

Over the past 20 years, altimetry calibration has evolved from an engineering-oriented exercise to a multidisciplinary endeavor driving the state of the art. This evolution has been spurred by the developing promise of altimetry to capture the large-scale, but small-amplitude, changes of the ocean surface containing the expression of climate change. The scope of altimeter calibration/validation programs has expanded commensurately. Early efforts focused on determining a constant range bias and verifying basic compliance of the data products with mission requirements. Contemporary investigations capture, with increasing accuracies, the spatial and temporal characteristics of errors in all elements of the measurement system. Dedicated calibration sites still provide the fundamental service of estimating absolute bias, but also enable long-term monitoring of the sea-surface height and constituent measurements. The use of a network of island and coastal tide gauges has provided the best perspective on the measurement stability, and revealed temporal variations of altimeter measurement system drift. The cross-calibration between successive missions provided fundamentally new information on the performance of altimetry systems. Spatially and temporally correlated errors pose challenges for future missions, underscoring the importance of cross-calibration of new measurements against the established record.

calibration↗

The next-generation particle x-ray temporal diagnostic for simultaneous time-resolved measurements of nuclear-burn and x-ray emission histories in support of basic-science and inertial confinement fusion experiments at OMEGA

The next-generation Particle X-ray Temporal Diagnostic (PXTD) has been implemented for simultaneous measurements of x-ray, charged particle, and neutron emission histories from a wide range of inertial confinement fusion and high energy density plasma experiments, demonstrating excellent timing accuracy and greatly improved experimental flexibility. The key changes to the previously fielded system are a redesigned set of thin foil filters in front of the scintillators and individual neutral density filters for each region of the detector. The fully implemented PXTD system can provide unique information about the evolution of ion and electron temperatures in multi-ion and kinetic-physics experiments, proton radiography experiments, and DT experiments executed at the OMEGA facility. The system has 35 ps time resolution and negligible relative timing uncertainty between measured emission history signals. The first use of the upgraded four-channel PXTD system during a set of D 3 He-filled silica-glass implosions on OMEGA captured electron temperatures with a minimum uncertainty of 0.5 keV and resolved both the relative timings and widths of neutron, proton, and x-ray peaks within a single recorded image.

Evans, T. E. [Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (M↗

The relationship between satellite measured convective bursts and tropical cyclone intensification

High temporal resolution satellite IR measurements are used to analyze the relationship between the mean temperature of cloud canopy tops and the future maximum winds of Atlantic Ocean tropical cyclones. The measurements showed that prolonged surges of intense convection developed in the rear region surrounding cyclone depression centers before the maximum winds initially increased. When surges lasted for 9 hr or more, and the cloud-top temperature within 222 km of the cyclone centers was 238 K or less, then 71 percent of the time the maximum winds increased by 5 m/s or more within 24 hr. When intense convection was not present, similar maximum wind increases occurred only 37 percent of the time.

Steranka, J.↗

Development and Validation of Physics-Based Sub-Models of High-Pressure Supercritical Fuel Injection at Diesel Conditions Insert

The project sought to develop and validate accurate, physics-based, numerical submodels and implement them in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) software codes to enable accurate predictions of diesel sprays at pressures higher than the current systems. The combined experimental-computational effort has four main objectives: (1) acquire spatially and temporally resolved scalar measurements of fuel-oxidizer mixing in the near field of the fuel jet, (2) develop software modules to calculate thermo-physical properties of diesel surrogates and their mixtures with oxidizer of interest in real-gas operating regime, (3) integrate the real-fluid model into a commercial and an open-source CFD code to simulate fuel-air mixing in high-pressure diesel sprays, and (4) assess the robustness, accuracy, and uncertainty of the integrated CFD solvers in computing diesel sprays. Project accomplishments are consistent with the original goals of the project. Although we acquired spatially and temporally resolved scalar measurements, they were limited to refractive index difference and not to thermodynamic properties such as temperature and equivalence ratio. However, we successfully developed the theoretical background needed to acquire such measurements at diesel conditions and demonstrated the capability of the RSD for scalar measurements in a canonical turbulent jet flow replicating features of the diesel jet. Additional work will be needed to implement these procedures at high-pressure, high-temperature engine-like conditions of the CPFR. Mainly, we did not anticipate the need to find the liquid boundary and its statistical features or the state relationships between refractive index and thermodynamic properties, assuming the widely known Dale-Gladstone equation would suffice. Still, efforts devoted to these tasks were essential to fulfil the goals of the project and serves as the foundation on which many of the conclusions and key contributions of this project are based. Further assessment and application of the developed CFD codes is recommended to fully realize the benefits of this research.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Variability of Upper-Tropospheric Precipitable from Satellite and Model Reanalysis Datasets

Numerous datasets have been used to quantify water vapor and its variability in the upper-troposphere from satellite and model reanalysis data. These investigations have shown some usefulness in monitoring seasonal and inter-annual variations in moisture either globally, with polar orbiting satellite data or global model output analysis, or regionally, with the higher spatial and temporal resolution geostationary measurements. The datasets are not without limitations, however, due to coverage or limited temporal sampling, and may also contain bias in their representation of moisture processes. The research presented in this conference paper inter-compares the NVAP, NCEP/NCAR and DAO reanalysis models, and GOES satellite measurements of upper-tropospheric,precipitable water for the period from 1988-1994. This period captures several dramatic swings in climate events associated with ENSO events. The data are evaluated for temporal and spatial continuity, inter-compared to assess reliability and potential bias, and analyzed in light of expected trends due to changes in precipitation and synoptic-scale weather features. This work is the follow-on to previous research which evaluated total precipitable water over the same period. The relationship between total and upper-level precipitable water in the datasets will be discussed as well.

Jedlovec, Gary J.↗

Investigation of boosted proton energies through proton radiography of target normal sheath acceleration fields in the multi-ps regime

Multi-kilojoule, multi-picosecond short-pulse lasers, such as the National Ignition Facility-Advanced Radiographic Capability laser and the OMEGA-Extended Performance laser, which have been constructed over the last two decades, enable exciting opportunities to produce high-brightness, high-energy laser-driven proton sources for applications in high-energy-density science like proton fast ignition for inertial fusion energy, particle radiography, and materials science studies. Results on these platforms have demonstrated enhanced accelerated proton energies and electron temperatures when compared to established scaling laws. Recent work has developed a new scaling for proton TNSA in the multi-ps regime. However, this new physics in the multi-ps regime motivates the need to understand the origin of the enhancement in proton energies. Toward this goal, here this work presents the first measurements of the TNSA accelerating sheath field in the multi-ps regime for pulse durations of 0.6, 5, and 10 ps. This measurement was achieved by using a separate TNSA proton source to radiograph the spatiotemporal profile of the accelerating sheath that is responsible for proton acceleration. The use of stacked radiochromic film detectors allows for a discrete time profile of the radiographs, thus enabling the measurement of the temporal and spatial evolution of the accelerating field. In performing this measurement, we extract quantities such as the sheath strength as a function of time and pulse duration, which shows that longer pulse durations sustain a stronger electric field for a longer duration when compared to sub-ps laser pulses, which may enable the observed boosted proton energies and proton conversion efficiencies.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

An investigation of current and future satellite and in-situ data for the remote sensing of the land surface energy balance

This final report from the University of Wisconsin-Madison Cooperative Institute for Meteorological Satellite Studies (CIMSS) summarizes a research program designed to improve our knowledge of the water and energy balance of the land surface through the application of remote sensing and in-situ data sources. The remote sensing data source investigations to be detailed involve surface radiometric ('skin') temperatures and also high-spectral-resolution infrared radiance data from atmospheric sounding instruments projected to be available at the end of the decade, which have shown promising results for evaluating the land-surface water and energy budget. The in-situ data types to be discussed are measurements of the temporal changes of the height of the planetary boundary layer and measurements of air temperature within the planetary boundary layer. Physical models of the land surface, planetary boundary layer and free atmosphere have been used as important tools to interpret the in-situ and remote sensing signals of the surface energy balance. A prototype 'optimal' system for combining multiple data sources into a three-dimensional estimate of the surface energy balance was developed and first results from this system will be detailed. Potential new sources of data for this system and suggested continuation research will also be discussed.

Diak, George R.↗

Identifying Optimal Temporal Scale for the Correlation of AOD and Ground Measurements of PM2.5 to Improve the Model Performance in a Real-time Air Quality Estimation System

Aerosol optical depth (AOD), an indirect estimate of particle matter using satellite observations, has shown great promise in improving estimates of PM 2.5 air quality surface. Currently, few studies have been conducted to explore the optimal way to apply AOD data to improve the model accuracy of PM 2.5 surface estimation in a real-time air quality system. We believe that two major aspects may be worthy of consideration in that area: 1) the approach to integrate satellite measurements with ground measurements in the pollution estimation, and 2) identification of an optimal temporal scale to calculate the correlation of AOD and ground measurements. This paper is focused on the second aspect on the identifying the optimal temporal scale to correlate AOD with PM2.5. Five following different temporal scales were chosen to evaluate their impact on the model performance: 1) within the last 3 days, 2) within the last 10 days, 3) within the last 30 days, 4) within the last 90 days, and 5) the time period with the highest correlation in a year. The model performance is evaluated for its accuracy, bias, and errors based on the following selected statistics: the Mean Bias, the Normalized Mean Bias, the Root Mean Square Error, Normalized Mean Error, and the Index of Agreement. This research shows that the model with the temporal scale of within the last 30 days displays the best model performance in this study area using 2004 and 2005 data sets.

Li, Hui↗

Limitations of signal averaging due to temporal correlation in laser remote-sensing measurements

Laser remote sensing involves the measurement of laser-beam transmission through the atmosphere and is subject to uncertainties caused by strong fluctuations due primarily to speckle, glint, and atmospheric-turbulence effects. These uncertainties are generally reduced by taking average values of increasing numbers of measurements. An experiment was carried out to directly measure the effect of signal averaging on back-scattered laser return signals from a diffusely reflecting target using a direct-detection differential-absorption lidar (DIAL) system. The improvement in accuracy obtained by averaging over increasing numbers of data points was found to be smaller than that predicted for independent measurements. The experimental results are shown to be in excellent agreement with a theoretical analysis which considers the effect of temporal correlation. The analysis indicates that small but long-term temporal correlation severely limits the improvement available through signal averaging.

Menyuk, N.↗

Time-Resolved Hanbury Brown–Twiss Interferometry of On-Chip Biphoton Frequency Combs Using Vernier Phase Modulation

Biphoton frequency combs (BFCs) are promising quantum sources for large-scale and high-dimensional quantum information and networking systems. In this context, the spectral purity of individual frequency bins will be critical for realizing quantum networking protocols like teleportation and entanglement swapping. Measurement of the temporal autocorrelation function of the unheralded signal or idler photons comprising the BFC is a key tool for characterizing their spectral purity and in turn verifying the utility of the biphoton state for networking protocols. Yet the experimentally obtainable precision for measuring BFC correlation functions is often severely limited by detector jitter. The fine temporal features in the correlation function—not only of practical value in quantum information, but also of fundamental interest in the study of quantum optics—are lost as a result. We propose a scheme to circumvent this challenge through electro-optic phase modulation, experimentally demonstrating time-resolved Hanbury Brown–Twiss characterization of BFCs generated from an integrated 40.5-GHz Si 3 N 4 microring, up to a 3×3-dimensional two-qutrit Hilbert space. Through slight detuning of the electro-optic drive frequency from the comb’s free spectral range, our approach leverages Vernier principles to magnify temporal features, which would otherwise be averaged out by detector jitter. We demonstrate our approach under both continuous-wave and pulsed-pumping regimes, finding excellent agreement with theory. In conclusion, our method reveals not only the collective statistics of the contributing frequency bins but also their temporal shapes—features lost in standard fully integrated autocorrelation measurements.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Comparison of excitation temperature of a laser-produced plasma by combining emission and absorption spectroscopy

Measurement of the temporal evolution of laser-produced plasma temperature is very important for many of its applications, and several plasma diagnostic tools are routinely used by researchers. However, it is very challenging to measure the properties of the plasma at the early and late times of its evolution using a single diagnostic tool. In this study, we combined emission and laser absorption spectroscopy to compare the excitation temperatures of a laser-produced uranium plasma system. Several U I transitions in the near-infrared spectral range (775–800 nm) were considered, and the Boltzmann plot method was used to measure the excitation temperatures using both emission and absorption spectroscopy. Emission spectroscopy provided early-time temperature measurements of the plasma up to times 2–20 µs, while absorption spectroscopy provided temperature measurements at late times of plasma evolution (for times 5–80 µs). The emission and absorbance of U I transitions were found to follow the Boltzmann distribution, indicating the plasma is likely in the state of local thermodynamic equilibrium even at late times of its lifetime. The emission and absorption-based time-resolved excitation temperatures demonstrated good agreement at earlier times (≤15 µs) in the overlapped temporal region, while a deviation in the measured values was seen at times (≥15 µs), and potential reasons for such a disagreement are discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Diagnosing the DARHT Electron Beam-Target Interaction and Hydrodynamic Expansion [Dissertation]

Quantitative electron beam-target interaction studies on the Dual-Axis Radiographic Hydrodynamic Test (DARHT) electron linear induction accelerators have only been performed recently. This includes characterization of the temperature, density, pressure, extent, and expansion velocity of the plasma plume. The results presented in this dissertation present a detailed and unified overview of the accelerator systems, target heating physics, beam transport, and diagnostic tools. Additional information includes calibration sources, radiation hydrodynamics, spectroscopic-quality radiation transport modeling, experimental measurements, and analyses of electron beam driven aluminum experiments. The first set of spatially and temporally resolved spectroscopic measurements of electron beam driven aluminum are presented. Contamination quantification analyses are used to understand the origin of the strong Na-I 3p-3s lines that are observed in absorption within the aluminum plasma continuum. These results inform the creation of the first spectroscopic-quality radiation transport model that links several atomic physics codes to interpret the conditions from which the Na-I lines originate. A good agreement is found between the surface analysis results and the model which confirms the concentration of the sodium present within the aluminum alloy foil material. It also demonstrates, for the first time on electron beam-driven target experiments, the ability to interpret plasma conditions from measured absorption lines. In a second experimental campaign which focuses on pure aluminum, the Al-I 3p-4s and 3p3d doublets are both measured in emission. A detailed analysis of the Al-I 3p-4s doublet reveals that the lines undergo moderate self-absorption. A simple model of the self-absorption effect is successfully used to match measured spectra at various temperature/density/plasma scale length combinations. These measurements led to the realization of the minimum density that can be resolved by the spectrometers for the Al-I 3p-4s lines due to the large slit width required to observe a signal on aluminum. These measurements also demonstrate the sensitivity of visible and long wave UV spectroscopy to minor changes in both temperature and density. The simple self-absorption model will be useful for analysis of other beam-target interaction experiments with spectra exhibiting either self-absorption or full self-reversal. Substantial headway has been made on the modeling front by linking together several codes needed to model both the energy deposition, hydrodynamic motion, and atomic kinetics to produce synthetic spectral calculations that are compared with experimental measurements. There exists ample space for improvement, especially with benchmarking the hydrodynamics codes and equation-of-state tables with experimental measurements. The X-ray diagnostics required to make these new measurements along with the simulation capabilities required to interpret the results are under development and will be the subject of future studies.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Airborne High Spectral Resolution Lidar Measurements of Aerosol Distributions and Properties During the NASA CAMP2Ex Mission

The NASA Clouds, Aerosols and Monsoon Processes-Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex) occurred during August-October, 2019,primarily over the ocean near the Philippines, including the ocean west of Luzon. CAMP2Ex attempts to characterize the role of anthropogenic and natural aerosol particles in modulating warm and mixed-phase precipitation in the maritime continent during the Southwest Monsoon. This mission is also examining relationships between spatial heterogeneity in the aerosol and cloud fields and radiative heating rates and studying the effects of aerosol concentration and composition on the microphysical properties of shallow cumulus and cumulus congestus clouds. Critical to the successful investigation of these objectives is profiling of aerosol, cloud and meteorological properties throughout the atmospheric column. For the CAMP2Ex experiment, we deployed the second generation NASA Langley airborne High Spectral Resolution Lidar (HSRL-2) on the NASA P-3 aircraft to obtain profile measurements of aerosol and thin cloud extinction and optical thickness via the HSRL technique at 355 and 532 nm, and of backscatter and depolarization at 355, 532, and 1064 nm. The HSRL technique allows for the independent measurement of extinction and backscatter without the need to assume modeled lidar ratios. Additional HSRL-2 data products include aerosol type, mixed layer depth, and range-resolved aerosol microphysical parameters. The HSRL measurements reveal the temporal, spatial, and vertical variability of aerosol optical properties over these locations. The HSRL-2 measured these backscatter, extinction, and depolarization profiles during all nineteen science flights and the transit flights to and from the aircraft operations base at Clark International Airport.In this presentation, we use these HSRL-2 measurements to show the horizontal and vertical distributions of aerosols in the CAMP2Ex operational area as well as provide insight into the optical and physical characteristics of these aerosols. We also discuss how these aerosols are distributed within and above the mixed layer.

aerosol↗

Amplified Mesoscale and Submesoscale Variability and Increased Concentration of Precipitation under Global Warming over Western North America

Abstract Cold-season precipitation statistics in simulations from the storm-resolving WRF Model at 6-km and 1-h resolution over western North America are analyzed. Pseudo–global warming future simulations for the 2041–80 period, constrained by GCMs under the RCP8.5 scenario, are compared to the 1981–2020 historical simulation. The analysis focuses on the dynamical properties of precipitation time series at subdaily scales and on the morphology of storms. The statistical distribution of precipitation intensities in each pixel of the simulation domain is characterized through nonparametric statistical indicators: frequency of wet hours, mean wet-hour precipitation intensity, and Gini coefficient as a measure of the temporal concentration of the precipitation volume. Additionally, the temporal and spatial Fourier power spectra of precipitation time series and precipitation fields are analyzed. The half-power period (HPP) and half-power wavelength (HPW) are defined as spectral measures of the characteristic scales of precipitation’s temporal and spatial patterns. The results show statistically significant increases in the mean wet-hour precipitation intensity and in the Gini coefficient in 99% of the pixels, indicating that the seasonal precipitation volume becomes more concentrated within a smaller number of hours with higher precipitation intensity. The statistics of change in the frequency of wet hours are more contrasted across the simulation domain. The changes are also reflected in the power spectra, which show the spatial and temporal variability increasing proportionally more with finer spatial and temporal scales and the HPW and HPP decreasing. These projected changes are expected to have consequences, not only in terms of hydrologic impacts but also in terms of the predictability of precipitation patterns. Significance Statement The precipitation characteristics of winter storms over the western United States and southwestern Canada are analyzed in future climate simulations for the 2041–80 period. As compared to present-day climate, the most intense parts of the storms are projected to produce a higher rainfall volume, with increased concentration over smaller areas and shorter time intervals. The propensity of rainfall intensity to vary rapidly over time will be enhanced in the future according to the simulations. These model predictions imply an increased risk of rapid flooding in small basins. They also suggest that predicting several hours ahead the time and location at which a storm will produce maximum rainfall may become more challenging in the future.

Climate change↗

High-energy X-ray radiography with apodized petawatt laser beams

We have produced laser wakefield-accelerated electron beams with energies of 2 GeV in Target Area 1 of the ZEUS facility. These electron beams oscillate in the accelerating structure that is produced in the wake of an ultrashort laser pulse (25 fs). These ’betatron’ oscillations result in the emission of a collimated (4 mrad divergence) beam of high-energy X-ray/gamma photons (on the order of several hundred keV). In this work, we demonstrate the capabilities of the ZEUS laser system by showing that apodizing the laser beam in the near field allows for the production of high-quality betatron X-rays for radiography purposes. This demonstrates that a high-power, large-aperture laser beam could be split into multiple parts to drive betatron X-ray sources from multiple angles or temporal delays into a High Energy Density (HED) target to be probed, enabling pump-probe measurements at multiple temporal delays or tomography on a single shot.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗