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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 253 records · Page 14

Modelling stellar activity with Gaussian process regression networks

ABSTRACT Stellar photospheric activity is known to limit the detection and characterization of extrasolar planets. In particular, the study of Earth-like planets around Sun-like stars requires data analysis methods that can accurately model the stellar activity phenomena affecting radial velocity (RV) measurements. Gaussian Process Regression Networks (GPRNs) offer a principled approach to the analysis of simultaneous time series, combining the structural properties of Bayesian neural networks with the non-parametric flexibility of Gaussian Processes. Using HARPS-N solar spectroscopic observations encompassing three years, we demonstrate that this framework is capable of jointly modelling RV data and traditional stellar activity indicators. Although we consider only the simplest GPRN configuration, we are able to describe the behaviour of solar RV data at least as accurately as previously published methods. We confirm the correlation between the RV and stellar activity time series reaches a maximum at separations of a few days, and find evidence of non-stationary behaviour in the time series, associated with an approaching solar activity minimum.

Camacho, J. D. (ORCID:0000000151215560)↗

Systematic characterization of unknown compounds via dimensionality reduction of time series

Analysis of ambient aerosols provides valuable insight into particle sources and formation chemistry. However, due to the complexity of atmospheric data and the dynamic nature of aerosol composition, a substantial fraction of data often become discarded by conventional analysis methods. Furthermore, a large fraction of chemical species within those data are unidentifiable due to a lack of matching spectral information, resulting in suboptimal characterization of chemical composition. Previous work has demonstrated techniques for cataloging analytes in a chromatographic dataset by deconvolution of mass spectra, but integration of these analytes throughout a large dataset remains time consuming. Here, we present a method to automatically identify an ion for quantitation for single-ion chromatogram based peak fitting and integration, enabling comprehensive integration of analytes with minimal user interaction. The resulting time series are clustered with a machine-learning based dimensionality reduction technique to systematically investigate the underlying characteristics of the categorized analytes and gain new insights into the chemical composition and physicochemical properties of the unidentifiable analytes. We apply these methods to existing atmospheric datasets collected in Manacapuru, Brazil during the GoAmazon2014/5 campaign to identify new analytes and interpret their variability and transformations in the atmosphere. The analysis results generate 408 time series from cataloged analytes of interest, and the clustering of those time series with spherical k-means results in 8 distinct clusters. We find the analytes form clusters based on their distinct physicochemical properties, demonstrating the method’s ability to systematically identify and selectively filter contaminants and instrumental analytes and characterize the unidentifiable analytes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Comparative Analyses of Bioequivalence Assessment Methods for In Vitro Permeation Test Data

ABSTRACT For topical, dermatological drug products, an in vitro option to determine bioequivalence (BE) between test and reference products is recommended. In particular, in vitro permeation test (IVPT) data analysis uses a reference‐scaled approach for two primary endpoints, cumulative penetration amount (AMT) and maximum flux ( J max ), which takes the within donor variability into consideration. In 2022, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) published a draft IVPT guidance that includes statistical analysis methods for both balanced and unbalanced cases of IVPT study data. This work presents a comprehensive evaluation of various methodologies used to estimate critical parameters essential in assessing BE. Specifically, we investigate the performance of the FDA draft IVPT guidance approach alongside alternative empirical and model‐based methods utilizing mixed‐effects models. Our analyses include both simulated scenarios and real‐world studies. In simulated scenarios, empirical formulas consistently demonstrate robustness in approximating the true model, particularly in effectively addressing treatment–donor interactions. Conversely, the effectiveness of model‐based approaches heavily relies on precise model selection, which significantly influences their results. The research emphasizes the importance of accurate model selection in model‐based BE assessment methodologies. It sheds light on the advantages of empirical formulas, highlighting their reliability compared to model‐based approaches and offers valuable implications for BE assessments. Our findings underscore the significance of robust methodologies and provide essential insights to advance their understanding and application in the assessment of BE, employed in IVPT data analysis.

Leon, Sami↗

Fluid structural interaction simulation of the MP-1 plate performance irradiated in the advanced test reactor

Due to the high neutron fluxes they generate and increased heat transfer performance, plate type fuels are used in the U.S. high-performance research reactors. During irradiation, a significant amount of fission energy (i.e., ~200 MeV per atom) is released by the U-235 chain reaction that is carried away by the coolant. Through thermal hydraulic analysis, the coolant’s heat transfer capability is investigated to ensure that the desired fuel temperature can be maintained. At high temperatures, the plate undergoes elastic/plastic deformation, creep, and swelling as a result of both the temperature gradients and the fission gas production within the fuel. These effects are studied via fuel performance analysis. When the plate deformation is small enough that the coolant flow remains relatively unchanged, conducting these two types of analyses independently will suffice. But at high fuel burnups, the swollen plates may encroach into the coolant channels that separate the fuel plates from each other and cause these channels to narrow. Large reductions in channel gap size imperil cooling performance, causing fuel temperatures to rise. Further, if the plate deformation is asymmetric, the fuel centerline will shift toward one side of the channel, causing an uneven reduction in coolability. In addition, a boehmite (oxide) layer will, over time, grow on the plate surface, further obstructing the heat transfer process. To precisely predict fuel temperatures/deformation, a complete coupled analysis that considers coolant flow, heat transfer, oxide growth, elastic/plastic deformation, creep, and swelling is needed; however, this type of analysis method is not available in the literature. To fill the gap, this research developed a fluid structure interaction (FSI) approach to the fuel plate analysis, then successfully applied it to the Mini-Plate (MP)-1 experiment, which was irradiated in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) for both one and two cycles. The complete analysis coupled STAR-CCM+, a computational fluid dynamic (CFD) software for calculating flow, with Abaqus, a finite element analysis code for calculating plate deformation. Improvements in the results were found when comparing the fully coupled analysis to the independently conducted analyses but they were not significant due to the miniature size of the plates and the relatively short irradiation time. In the future, the fully coupled approach presented herein will be applied to full-size fuel plates with longer irradiation cycles once additional experiments become available.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Dynamic Structure Discovery Applied to the Ion Transport in the Ubiquitous Lithium-ion Battery Electrolyte LP30

The electrolytes of the today omnipresent lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) have for more than 25 years been based upon 1 M LiPF 6 in a 50:50 EC:DMC mixture—commonly known as LP30. The success of the basic design of the LP30 electrolyte, with many variations and additions made over the years, is unchallenged. Yet, some molecular level fundamentals of LP30 are surprisingly elusive: the structure of the first solvation shell of the Li + cation is still a topic of current debate; the details of the dynamics are not fully understood; the interpretation of structural and dynamic properties is highly dependent on the analysis methods used; the contributions by different species to the ion transport and the energetics involved are not established. We here apply dynamic structure discovery analysis as implemented in CHAMPION to molecular dynamics simulation trajectories to bring new light on the structure and dynamics within LP30 and especially the (Li + ) ion transport to rationalize further development of LIB electrolytes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A robust approach to 3D neuron shape representation for quantification and classification

We consider the problem of finding an accurate representation of neuron shapes, extracting sub-cellular features, and classifying neurons based on neuron shapes. In neuroscience research, the skeleton representation is often used as a compact and abstract representation of neuron shapes. However, existing methods are limited to getting and analyzing “curve” skeletons which can only be applied for tubular shapes. This paper presents a 3D neuron morphology analysis method for more general and complex neuron shapes. First, we introduce the concept of skeleton mesh to represent general neuron shapes and propose a novel method for computing mesh representations from 3D surface point clouds. A skeleton graph is then obtained from skeleton mesh and is used to extract sub-cellular features. Finally, an unsupervised learning method is used to embed the skeleton graph for neuron classification. Extensive experiment results are provided and demonstrate the robustness of our method to analyze neuron morphology.

3D neuron morphology↗

X-ray scattering based scanning tomography for imaging and structural characterization of cellulose in plants

X-ray and neutron scattering have long been used for structural characterization of cellulose in plants. Due to averaging over the illuminated sample volume, these measurements traditionally overlooked the compositional and morphological heterogeneity within the sample. Here, a scanning tomographic imaging method is described, using contrast derived from the X-ray scattering intensity, for virtually sectioning the sample to reveal its internal structure at a resolution of a few micrometres. This method provides a means for retrieving the local scattering signal that corresponds to any voxel within the virtual section, enabling characterization of the local structure using traditional data-analysis methods. This is accomplished through tomographic reconstruction of the spatial distribution of a handful of mathematical components identified by non-negative matrix factorization from the large dataset of X-ray scattering intensity. Joint analysis of multiple datasets, to find similarity between voxels by clustering of the decomposed data, could help elucidate systematic differences between samples, such as those expected from genetic modifications, chemical treatments or fungal decay. The spatial distribution of the microfibril angle can also be analyzed, based on the tomographically reconstructed scattering intensity as a function of the azimuthal angle.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Combined full shape analysis of BOSS galaxies and eBOSS quasars using an iterative emulator

ABSTRACT Standard full-shape clustering analyses in Fourier space rely on a fixed power spectrum template, defined at the fiducial cosmology used to convert redshifts into distances, and compress the cosmological information into the Alcock–Paczynski parameters and the linear growth rate of structure. In this paper, we propose an analysis method that operates directly in the cosmology parameter space and varies the power spectrum template accordingly at each tested point. Predictions for the power spectrum multipoles from the TNS model are computed at different cosmologies in the framework of $\Lambda \rm {CDM}$. Applied to the final eBOSS QSO and LRG samples together with the low-z DR12 BOSS galaxy sample, our analysis results in a set of constraints on the cosmological parameters Ωcdm, H0, σ8, Ωb, and ns. To reduce the number of computed models, we construct an iterative process to sample the likelihood surface, where each iteration consists of a Gaussian process regression. This method is validated with mocks from N-body simulations. From the combined analysis of the (e)BOSS data, we obtain the following constraints: σ8 = 0.877 ± 0.049 and $\Omega _{\rm m}=0.304^{+0.016}_{-0.010}$ without any external prior. The eBOSS quasar sample alone shows a 3.1σ discrepancy compared to the Planck prediction.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

libwfa: Wavefunction analysis tools for excited and open‐shell electronic states

Abstract An open‐source software library for wavefunction analysis, libwfa, provides a comprehensive and flexible toolbox for post‐processing excited‐state calculations, featuring a hierarchy of interconnected visual and quantitative analysis methods. These tools afford compact graphical representations of various excited‐state processes, provide detailed insight into electronic structure, and are suitable for automated processing of large data sets. The analysis is based on reduced quantities, such as state and transition density matrices (DMs), and allows one to distill simple molecular orbital pictures of physical phenomena from intricate correlated wavefunctions. The implemented descriptors provide a rigorous link between many‐body wavefunctions and intuitive physical and chemical models, for example, exciton binding, double excitations, orbital relaxation, and polyradical character. A broad range of quantum‐chemical methods is interfaced with libwfa via a uniform interface layer in the form of DMs. This contribution reviews the structure of libwfa and highlights its capabilities by several representative use cases. This article is categorized under: Software > Quantum Chemistry Theoretical and Physical Chemistry > Spectroscopy

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Determining the Structure of Rotating Massive Stellar Cores with Gravitational Waves

The gravitational wave (GW) signal resulting from stellar core collapse encodes a wealth of information about the physical parameters of the progenitor star and the resulting core-collapse supernova (CCSN). We present a novel approach to constrain CCSN progenitor properties at collapse using two of the most detectable parts of the GW signal: the core-bounce signal and evolution of the dominant frequency mode from the protoneutron star. We focus on the period after core bounce but before explosion and investigate the predictive power of GWs from rotating CCSNe to constrain properties of the progenitor star. We analyze 34 2D and four 3D neutrino-radiation-hydrodynamic simulations of stellar core collapse in progenitors of varied initial mass and rotation rate. Extending previous work, we verify the compactness of the progenitor at collapse to correlate with the early ramp-up slope, and in rotating cases, also with the core angular momentum. Combining this information with the bounce signal, we present a new analysis method to constrain the pre-collapse core compactness of the progenitor. Because these GW features occur less than a second after core bounce, this analysis could allow astronomers to predict electromagnetic properties of a resulting CCSN even before shock breakout.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

Report summarizing demonstration of thermal conductivity measurement methods for coated zirconium cladding

Thermal diffusivity measurements on Zirconium-based cladding materials have historically been a challenge due to the difficulty to measure on specimens with curved geometries, including nuclear grade Zircaloy cladding materials. In this work, we first used Laser Flash Analysis methods to measure the thermal diffusivity of Zircaloy tubes, which show good agreement with Zircaloy plates in this work, as well as previously published data. The consistent results proved the applicability of the Laser Flash Analysis setup for investigating thermal diffusivity of Zircaloy tubes. We further investigate the hydrogen effect on thermal diffusivity of Zircaloy tubes. Hydrogen plays significant roles in temperature dependent thermal diffusivity trends of Zircaloy tube. For low hydrogen concentration, where hydride dissolved into single phase α-Zr at higher temperature, thermal diffusivity is relatively unchanged at low temperature at two phase regions (α-Zr and δ-hydride), and it increases as a function of temperature at single phase α-Zr region. For high hydrogen concentration, where phase transformation (α-Zr + δ-hydride → α-Zr + β-Zr) occurs at 567 °C, thermal diffusivity decreases as a function of temperature below 567 °C before the transformation (α-Zr and δ-hydride), while increase at higher temperature after the transformation (α-Zr and β-Zr).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quantitative radiography for determining density fluctuations in HED experiments

We have developed a method to extract density fluctuation measurements from x-ray radiographs of high-energy density (HED) instability growth and turbulence experiments. We use this information to calculate density fluctuation statistics for constraining the performance of turbulent mix models in HED systems. The density calculation combines image filtering, removal of systemic effects such as backlighter variation, calculation of transmission across multiple materials, and use of tracer materials to generate an approximate single-material density field. From the density map, we calculate both average density and a variance-like moment b (density-specific-volume covariance), which we compare to our models. We infer both quantities from a single image, which is significantly more information than the historic single scalar mix width measurements. We also develop a method of analyzing simulation outputs that incorporate both the density fluctuation metric from a turbulence model and the bulk material maps from the hydrodynamic code. This analysis helps address the question of how to initialize the simulations for best comparison to data from systems with large separations of scale in the mixing perturbation initial condition. We find that our data analysis method yields 1D average density and b curves with similar morphology and amplitudes as those from preliminary simulation comparisons.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

A Hybrid Energy System Workflow for Energy Portfolio Optimization

This manuscript develops a workflow, driven by data analytics algorithms, to support the optimization of the economic performance of an Integrated Energy System. The goal is to determine the optimum mix of capacities from a set of different energy producers (e.g., nuclear, gas, wind and solar). A stochastic-based optimizer is employed, based on Gaussian Process Modeling, which requires numerous samples for its training. Each sample represents a time series describing the demand, load, or other operational and economic profiles for various types of energy producers. These samples are synthetically generated using a reduced order modeling algorithm that reads a limited set of historical data, such as demand and load data from past years. Numerous data analysis methods are employed to construct the reduced order models, including, for example, the Auto Regressive Moving Average, Fourier series decomposition, and the peak detection algorithm. All these algorithms are designed to detrend the data and extract features that can be employed to generate synthetic time histories that preserve the statistical properties of the original limited historical data. The optimization cost function is based on an economic model that assesses the effective cost of energy based on two figures of merit: the specific cash flow stream for each energy producer and the total Net Present Value. An initial guess for the optimal capacities is obtained using the screening curve method. The results of the Gaussian Process model-based optimization are assessed using an exhaustive Monte Carlo search, with the results indicating reasonable optimization results. The workflow has been implemented inside the Idaho National Laboratory’s Risk Analysis and Virtual Environment (RAVEN) framework. The main contribution of this study addresses several challenges in the current optimization methods of the energy portfolios in IES: First, the feasibility of generating the synthetic time series of the periodic peak data; Second, the computational burden of the conventional stochastic optimization of the energy portfolio, associated with the need for repeated executions of system models; Third, the inadequacies of previous studies in terms of the comparisons of the impact of the economic parameters. The proposed workflow can provide a scientifically defendable strategy to support decision-making in the electricity market and to help energy distributors develop a better understanding of the performance of integrated energy systems.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Optimizing Price-Informed Operation of a Battery Storage System in an Office Building

New prescriptive efficiency requirements amended to US model energy codes historically have been evaluated using an average, blended electricity rate, which obscures demand charges. Post 2019, new measures can be evaluated using a representative time-of-use (TOU) tariff yet more sophisticated analysis methods are needed to consider a variety of TOU tariffs and assess price-informed control. To address these needs, this study couples building prototype simulation model with varying-in-sophistication battery storage operating strategies for different electricity TOU tariffs. The analysis compares the impact of operating a battery storage system following simpler rule-of-thumb methods versus a semi-optimized priced-informed heuristic approach. The investigation demonstrates that the heuristic approach results in greater electricity cost savings and is practical to implement.

Lei, Xuechen↗

Apparatus and method for safety analysis evaluation with data-driven workflow

An apparatus and method for system safety analysis evaluation is provided, the apparatus including processing circuitry configured for generating a calculation matrix for a system, generating a plurality of models based on the calculation matrix, performing a benchmarking or convolution analysis of the plurality of models, identifying a design envelope based on the benchmarking or convolution analysis, deriving uncertainty models from the benchmarking or convolution analysis, deriving an assessment judgment based on the uncertainty models and acceptance criteria, defining one or more limiting scenarios based on the design envelope, and determining a safety margin in at least one figure-of-merit for the system based on the design envelope and the acceptance criteria.

Martin, Robert P.↗

Apparatus and method for safety analysis evaluation with data-driven workflow

An apparatus and method for system safety analysis evaluation is provided, the apparatus including processing circuitry configured for generating a calculation matrix for a system, generating a plurality of models based on the calculation matrix, performing a benchmarking or convolution analysis of the plurality of models, identifying a design envelope based on the benchmarking or convolution analysis, deriving uncertainty models from the benchmarking or convolution analysis, deriving an assessment judgment based on the uncertainty models and acceptance criteria, defining one or more limiting scenarios based on the design envelope, and determining a safety margin in at least one figure-of-merit for the system based on the design envelope and the acceptance criteria.

Martin, Robert P.↗

Identifying preferential flow from soil moisture time series: Review of methodologies

Abstract Identifying and quantifying preferential flow (PF) through soil—the rapid movement of water through spatially distinct pathways in the subsurface—is vital to understanding how the hydrologic cycle responds to climate, land cover, and anthropogenic changes. In recent decades, methods have been developed that use measured soil moisture time series to identify PF. Because they allow for continuous monitoring and are relatively easy to implement, these methods have become an important tool for recognizing when, where, and under what conditions PF occurs. The methods seek to identify a pattern or quantification that indicates the occurrence of PF. Most commonly, the chosen signature is either (1) a nonsequential response to infiltrated water, in which soil moisture responses do not occur in order of shallowest to deepest, or (2) a velocity criterion, in which newly infiltrated water is detected at depth earlier than is possible by nonpreferential flow processes. Alternative signatures have also been developed that have certain advantages but are less commonly utilized. Choosing among these possible signatures requires attention to their pertinent characteristics, including susceptibility to errors, possible bias toward false negatives or false positives, reliance on subjective judgments, and possible requirements for additional types of data. We review 77 studies that have applied such methods to highlight important information for readers who want to identify PF from soil moisture data and to inform those who aim to develop new methods or improve existing ones. Core Ideas Soil moisture data can be used to identify the occurrence of preferential flow (PF) and its initiating conditions. Various data‐analysis methods to identify PF differ in susceptibility to error, bias, and subjectivity. These methods can utilize vast amounts of data from soil moisture monitoring networks to develop understanding of when, where, and under what conditions PF occurs. Newly developed methods may lead to better accuracy and reliability, and reduce the need for subjective judgments. Plain Language Summary Preferential flow through soil occurs when a large amount of water is suddenly available, as during an intense storm. This type of flow moves rapidly through the soil in distinct narrow pathways rather than moving evenly throughout the body of soil, with major consequences for groundwater resources, ecosystems, spreading of contaminants, and other vital concerns. Methods of detecting preferential flow have been developed that utilize measurements of soil water content made by sensors installed at various depths. This measurement technology has been widely implemented, many locations now having datasets years in length, and various methods have been developed for using these to identify preferential flow. The various methods are based on different features in the soil moisture records and vary in their advantages and shortcomings. In this review, we explain and evaluate these methods, highlighting important information for their implementation to identify preferential flow from soil moisture data and for efforts to develop new methods or improve existing ones.

Nimmo, John R↗

Survey of Cyber Risk Analysis Techniques for Use in the Nuclear Industry

Using traditional probabilistic risk analysis methods for severe accident safety risk management on non-digital systems, structures, and components at nuclear power plants is well-established. In contrast, cyber risk analysis of digital assets is still an immature field with unproven techniques due, in part, to the continuously changing threat environment and the challenge of digital assets failing in unexpected ways. As the nuclear fleet continues to adopt digital instrumentation and control systems, it is increasingly important to have effective and efficient cyber risk analysis techniques to support risk management decisions, such as risk elimination by system redesign or risk mitigation by implementation of prioritized security controls. To understand the state of the art in cyber risk analysis for future research, we surveyed 36 publications across ten application domains. We describe our survey methodology and rate each technique based upon scope, adoptability, and repeatability. In this work, we examine the unique constraints of the nuclear industry and outline the strengths and weaknesses of using the cyber risk analysis techniques in the industry, highlighting gaps with current techniques. We also discuss challenges and potential research directions for advancing the science for both existing and new advanced reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗