Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Atmospheric forcing”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 253 records · Page 14
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Quantifying CanESM5 and EAMv1 sensitivities to Mt. Pinatubo volcanic forcing for the CMIP6 historical experiment

Large volcanic eruptions reaching the stratosphere have caused marked perturbations to the global climate including cooling at the Earth's surface, changes in large-scale circulation and precipitation patterns and marked temporary reductions in global ocean heat content. Many studies have investigated these effects using climate models; however, uncertainties remain in the modelled response to these eruptions. This is due in part to the diversity of forcing datasets that are used to prescribe the distribution of stratospheric aerosols resulting from these volcanic eruptions, as well as uncertainties in optical property derivations from these datasets. To improve this situation for the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), a two-step process was undertaken. First, a combined stratospheric aerosol dataset, the Global Space-based Stratospheric Aerosol Climatology (GloSSAC; 1979–2016), was constructed. Next, GloSSAC, along with information from ice cores and Sun photometers, was used to generate aerosol distributions, characteristics and optical properties to construct a more consistent stratospheric aerosol forcing dataset for models participating in CMIP6. This “version 3” of the stratospheric aerosol forcing has been endorsed for use in all contributing CMIP6 simulations. Recent updates to the underlying GloSSAC from version 1 to version 1.1 affected the 1991–1994 period and necessitated an update to the stratospheric aerosol forcing from version 3 to version 4. As version 3 remains the official CMIP6 input, quantification of the impact on radiative forcing and climate is both relevant and timely for interpreting results from experiments such as the CMIP6 historical simulations. This study uses two models, the Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5) and the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Atmosphere Model version 1 (EAMv1), to estimate the difference in instantaneous radiative forcing in simulated post-Pinatubo climate response when using version 4 instead of version 3. Differences in temperature, precipitation and radiative forcings are generally found to be small compared to internal variability. An exception to this is differences in monthly temperature anomalies near 24 km altitude in the tropics, which can be as large as 3 °C following the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Numerical Analysis of Offshore Wind-Farm-Induced Drag Effects on Coastal Upwelling Dynamics

Wind farms extract momentum from the atmospheric flow, generating wind-speed deficits both within the plant, and extending downstream. When located offshore, these deficits modulate air-sea coupling, potentially impacting coastal upwelling in sensitive regions. We investigate impacts of wind farms on coastal upwelling using kilometre-scale, three-way-coupled simulations with the coupled ocean-atmosphere-wave-sediment transport system for the US West Coast. Wind-farm effects are represented by a generalised turbine drag formulation, an idealised, height-dependent body force whose magnitude is systematically varied. This approach isolates the leading-order fluid-dynamical response in a realistic coastal configuration. The atmospheric adjustment exhibits an approximately linear relation between drag force and wind-speed deficit, with wakes that expand downstream and increase in magnitude as drag increases. An empirical orthogonal function analysis of sea-surface-temperature anomalies reveals the emergence of a canonical dipole pattern under strong drag forcing. Subsurface diagnostics show consistent shoaling of the mixed layer and suppressed upward velocities in areas near wind-farm region, accompanied by compensating enhancements of shoaling closer to the coast. These results identify turbine drag as a control parameter in assessing interactions between wind-farm wake and coastal upwelling and provide scaling relationships for understanding offshore wind-farm effects on the coastal circulation dynamics.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗
DOE OSTI2025

Morphological Characterization of Uranyl Fluoride Particles via Atomic Force Microscopy

Uranium hexafluoride (UF 6 ) undergoes a rapid hydrolysis reaction when exposed to atmospheric water. In addition to producing hazardous HF gas, the hydrolysis reaction produces uranyl fluoride (UO 2 F 2 ), a radioactive solid phase particulate material. Because of the technological utility of UF 6 in the nuclear fuel cycle, understanding the transport properties of UO 2 F 2 aerosol produced via UF 6 hydrolysis is important for accident scenarios. Moreover, the fundamental chemical and physical properties of the UF 6 hydrolysis reaction are not completely understood. Recently, several experiments on the aerosol phase properties of UO 2 F 2 produced in this way have shown that under most relevant conditions, the particle size distribution (PSD) of UO 2 F 2 can be extremely small, approximately 3 to 5 nm, which is well below the threshold that can be routinely observed via scanning electron microscopy (SEM). Although readily observable in the aerosol phase, observation of nanometer-sized particles in the condensed phase (i.e. deposited on surfaces) remains a challenge. Here, in this study, we have used atomic force microscopy (AFM) to study the PSD and morphological characteristics of UO 2 F 2 deposited at low and high concentrations under different humidity conditions, a primary variable in the hydrolysis reaction. Here, we find strong agreement between PSD measured in the aerosol phase via scanning mobility particle sizing and PSD measured via AFM, with particle sizes peaked below 4 nm for low-humidity conditions. At higher humidity, the distribution is centered around 5 to 10 nm but extends up to 20 nm. These results are in stark contrast to previous measurements using SEM that show PSD on the order of 300- to 1000-nm particle sizes; moreover, these are the first direct measurements of individual particles of UO 2 F 2 having been produced via UF 6 hydrolysis deposited on surfaces. These measurements, therefore, open a new avenue for collecting and detecting UO 2 F 2 in the condensed phase and further refine the PSD, which is critical for environmental transport determinations.

Uranium hexafluoride↗
DOE OSTI2024

Observationally constrained analysis of sulfur cycle in the marine atmosphere with NASA ATom measurements and AeroCom model simulations

The atmospheric sulfur cycle plays a key role in air quality, climate, and ecosystems, such as pollution, radiative forcing, new particle formation, and acid rain. In this study, we compare the spatially and temporally resolved measurements from the NASA Atmospheric Tomography (ATom) mission with simulations from five AeroCom III models for four sulfur species (dimethyl sulfide (DMS), sulfur dioxide (SO 2 ), particulate methanesulfonate (MSA), and particulate sulfate (SO 4 )). We focus on remote regions over the Pacific, Atlantic, and Southern oceans from near the surface to ~12 km altitude range covering all four seasons. In general, the differences among model results can be greater than 1 order of magnitude. Comparing with observations, model-simulated SO 2 is generally low, whereas SO 4 is generally high. Simulated DMS concentrations near the sea surface exceed observed levels by a factor of 5 in most cases, suggesting potential overestimation of DMS emissions in all models. With GEOS model simulations of tagging emission from anthropogenic, biomass burning, volcanic, and oceanic sources, we find that anthropogenic emissions are the dominant source of sulfate aerosol (40 %–60 % of the total amount) in the ATom measurements at almost all altitudes, followed by volcanic emissions (18 %–32 %) and oceanic sources (16 %–32 %). Similar source contributions can also be derived at broad ocean basins and on monthly scales, indicating the representativeness of ATom measurements for global ocean. Our work presents the first assessment of AeroCom sulfur study using ATom measurements, providing directions for improving sulfate simulations, which remain the largest uncertainty in radiative forcing estimates in aerosol climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Vegetation forcing modulates global land monsoon and water resources in a CO 2 -enriched climate

The global monsoon is characterised by transitions between pronounced dry and wet seasons, affecting food security for two-thirds of the world’s population. Rising atmospheric CO 2 influences the terrestrial hydrological cycle through climate-radiative and vegetation-physiological forcings. How these two forcings affect the seasonal intensity and characteristics of monsoonal precipitation and runoff is poorly understood. Here we use four Earth System Models to show that in a CO 2 -enriched climate, radiative forcing changes drive annual precipitation increases for most monsoon regions. Further, vegetation feedbacks substantially affect annual precipitation in North and South America and Australia monsoon regions. In the dry season, runoff increases over most monsoon regions, due to stomatal closure-driven evapotranspiration reductions and associated atmospheric circulation change. Our results imply that flood risks may amplify in the wet season. However, the lengthening of the monsoon rainfall season and reduced evapotranspiration will shorten the water resources scarcity period for most monsoon regions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Nanomechanical sampling of material for nanoscale mass spectrometry chemical analysis

The ability to spatially resolve the chemical distribution of compounds on a surface is important in many applications ranging from biological to material science. To this extent, we have recently introduced a hybrid atomic force microscopy (AFM)-mass spectrometry (MS) system for direct thermal desorption and pyrolysis of material with nanoscale chemical resolution. However, spatially resolved direct surface heating using local thermal desorption becomes challenging on material surfaces with low melting points, because the material will undergo a melting phase transition due to heat dissipation prior to onset of thermal desorption. Therefore, here we developed an approach using mechanical sampling and collection of surface materials on an AFM cantilever probe tip for real-time analysis directly from the AFM tip. This approach allows for material to be concentrated directly onto the probe for subsequent MS analysis. We evaluate the performance metrics of the technique and demonstrate localized MS sampling from a candelilla wax matrix containing UV stabilizers avobenzone and oxinoxate from areas down to 250 nm × 250 nm. Overall, this approach removes heat dissipation into the bulk material allowing for a faster desorption and concentration of the gas phase analyte from a single heating pulse enabling higher signal levels from a given amount of material in a single sampling spot.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Multi-model analysis of the impact of water vapor on the radiative forcing of volcanic aerosols after the 2022 Hunga Eruption

On 15 January 2022, the Hunga volcano eruption released unprecedented amounts of water vapor into the atmosphere alongside a modest amount of SO 2 . In this work we analyse results from multiple Earth system models as part of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Volcano Impact Model Observation Comparison Project. Our results show a good model agreement over the climatic outcomes of the eruption, overall indicating a significant negative radiative forcing from the Hunga eruption. The multi-model mean of global instantaneous radiative forcing averaged over 2022–2023 is estimated at −0.19 ± 0.06 W m −2 at the top-of-atmosphere (TOA), and −0.16 ± 0.06 W m −2 at the surface. Simulations with free-running meteorology and climatological sea surface temperatures and sea ice yield a global mean TOA forcing of −0.14 ± 0.10 W m −2 across two models for the first 2 years, decreasing to −0.09 ± 0.10 W m −2 on average between 2022 and 2027. However, these global values may be underestimated by about 50 %, considering that recent SO 2 injection retrievals suggest nearly twice the amount than the 0.5 Tg-SO 2 used in the protocol. We also find that the contribution from added stratospheric water vapor is minimal and that the injected SO 2 and the resulting formation of stratospheric sulfate dominate the radiative forcing. However, water vapor played a key role in the initial aerosol growth, leading to a stronger negative radiative forcing during the first 6 months after the eruption compared to simulations without water vapor co-injection.

Geosciences↗
DOE OSTI2020

Report of the Atmosphere to Electrons Land-Based Mesoscale-to-Microscale Coupling Project (FY2020)

The overall goal of the Mesoscale-to-Microscale Coupling (MMC) project is to improve coupling between mesoscale and microscale simulations via improved guidance and new strategies for setting up simulations and for the development of new tools that can be used across the community. Including the mesoscale forcing is critical to modeling the full energy transfer across scales in the atmosphere. The project-specific objectives include: 1) To apply rigorous verification and validation (V&V) techniques to the new modeling tools that are developed as part of the project to ensure the accuracy of our codes and results and to develop estimates of the relative uncertainty. 2) To improve computational performance of the coupled MMC models through the development of methods that can be used to reduce turbulence spin-up time and hence the size of computational domains. 3) To improve representation of the surface layer in microscale models to enhance simulations of hub-height wind speed. 4) To develop guidance for the community describing the best ways to couple mesoscale and microscale models, including specific spatial scales at which the handoff to the microscale model should occur. 5) To prepare documentation and a suite of software tools that can be used across the community. And 6) To transition MMC research to the offshore environment. Major progress was made in each of these areas during FY20. The land-based portion of the project is reported herein, while the offshore portion will be reported separately. The team continued to advance the MMC tools and methodologies as well as to document their performance in journal papers and conference presentations, although several planned conferences were cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hydrological analysis in watersheds with a variable-resolution global climate model (VR-CESM)

Traditionally, watershed-scale hydrology is simulated by distributed hydrological models with offline meteorological forcing data, or by regional regional climate models that link atmospheric and land hydrology interactions. Global climate models (GCMs) are rarely used to study watershed-scale hydrology due to the relatively coarse grid resolution, computationally expensive downscaling, and simplified physical processes. Recently, however, watershed-scale hydrology analysis has become possible in GCMs due to the development of variable-resolution GCMs that dynamically couple the hydrological processes between atmosphere and land systems at fine resolutions in selected regions and coarse resolution elsewhere. In this study, we used the variable-resolution Community Earth System Model (VR-CESM) with refined-resolution (14 km) in the western U.S. and eastern China to evaluate watershed-scale hydrology. Furthermore, we compared the historical VR-CESM outputs with gauge measurements and other hydrological models (e.g., National Water Model in the U.S.) and calibrated the subsurface runoff capacities in four mountainous watersheds. An RCP8.5 projection from 2007 to 2050 is used to estimate the impact of changing precipitation and snow climatology on watershed hydrology. We also analyzed the long-term runoff variability and the possibility of extreme runoff events as simulated by the VR-CESM. Although calibration is not possible in larger-scale watersheds, VR-CESM simulates the long-term annual variability of watersheds and provides insights on climate change impacts on hydrology. We conclude that refined-resolution VR-CESM can be used for watershed-scale hydrology analysis to understand water resources and water balance, in addition to traditional watershed-scale hydrological models. It enables hydrological analysis at multiple watersheds in one simulation and can help understand the two-way dynamics between land surface hydrology and atmospheric processes, and is especially practical for projecting climate change impacts. However, it is challenging to apply VR-CESM for hydrologic analysis in regulated watersheds as human factors (e.g., pumping, irrigation, water diversion) have not been fully addressed in VR-CESM.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Estimating viscosity of individual substrate-deposited particles from measurements of their height-to-width ratios

Airborne particles alter the radiative forcing of climate and have further consequences on air visibility, atmospheric chemistry, and human health. Recent studies reported the existence of highly viscous semisolid and even solid amorphous organic aerosol (OA) particles. Particle viscosity has an impact on the heterogeneous chemistry, gas-particle partitioning, and ice nucleation properties. Consequently, variations in particle viscosity must be considered when predicting the atmospheric impact of OA. Here, in this work, we use scanning electron microscopy (SEM) and scanning transmission X-ray microscopy (STXM) to estimate the viscosity of individual particles deposited on substrates based on their characteristic height-to-width ratios, which are affected by changes in morphology upon deposition. The height-to-width ratios obtained from SEM and STXM exhibit a strong correlation, demonstrating that both imaging approaches can be applied separately for viscosity assessment of the substrate-deposited particles. While these metrics are largely qualitative, this method enables rapid assessment of particle viscosity ranges, distinguishing between semisolid (>10 10 Pa·s), viscous (10 4– 10 8 Pa·s), and liquid (10°–10 1 Pa·s) particles within ensembles of ambient particles collected for microscopy studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Multipurpose active scanning probe cantilevers for near-field spectroscopy, scanning tunnel imaging, and atomic-resolution lithography

In this work, we report progress on developing a multipurpose scanning probe cantilever applying gallium nitride nanowires as the probe tip. Gallium nitride nanowires possess high potential as probes due to their straight profile, tunable electrical and optical properties, high Young’s Modulus, durability, and high-yield fabrication process. Their wide bandgap enables them to be pumped to emit ultraviolet pulses which can be used for optical imaging and spectroscopy. They can be doped during growth to be electrically conductive, and their sharp tips obtained during epitaxial growth enable confinement of a high electric field at tip–sample interface. Their sharp tips are obtained during fabrication by their epitaxial growth which eliminates the need for postprocess sharpening that is typically required for standard STM tips. We present results of using gallium nitride nanowires for scanning tunnel microscopy applications of atomic-resolution imaging and lithography, and atomic force microscopy applications of imaging and lithography in vacuum and atmospheric environments.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2025

Widening of Wind Stress Anomalies Amplifies ENSO in a Warming Climate

Abstract Climate change simulations generally indicate the strengthening of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature (SST) variability through the twenty-first century, yet a robust physical mechanism explaining this change across different models is still lacking, and the projections for ENSO amplitude exhibit a large spread. Most commonly, changes in the background state of the tropical Pacific are invoked to explain these changes of ENSO. Here, we show that changes in the structure of wind stress anomalies associated with ENSO are potentially as important as these background state changes. Specifically, changes in the magnitude, meridional width, and zonal structure of wind stress anomalies can explain approximately 53% of the intermodel variance in the projected change of ENSO magnitude through the twenty-first century as well as 43% in ENSO periodicity changes. Among these changes in the wind structure, the meridional widening of wind anomalies plays the most important role. To demonstrate that these changes are indeed critical, we develop a hybrid model of ENSO based on the Community Earth System Model, version 2, which incorporates a dynamical ocean coupled to a simplified statistical atmosphere within the tropical Pacific. In the absence of external forcing and corresponding mean-state changes, the imposed changes in wind stress anomalies in this hybrid model result in an increase of ENSO amplitudes of nearly 10% along the equator. Our results are also theoretically supported by a recharge-oscillator model that incorporates the meridional wind structure. Thus, changes in the structure of wind stress anomalies, together with changes in the mean state, likely play a critical role in the projected strengthening of ENSO.

Stuivenvolt-Allen, Jacob [Yale University, New Hav↗
DOE OSTI2022

Atmospheric emission of nanoplastics from sewer pipe repairs

Nanoplastic particles are inadequately characterized environmental pollutants with significant adverse effects on aquatic and atmospheric systems, causing drastic impacts on human health through inhalation, ingestion, and skin penetration. At present, it is explicitly assumed that environmental nanoplastics (EnvNP) are weathering fragments of microplastic or larger plastic debris discharged into terrestrial and aquatic environments, while atmospheric occurrence of EnvNP is solely attributed to aerosolization by wind and other mechanical forces. However, sources and emissions of unintended EnvNP are poorly understood and are therefore largely unaccounted for in various risk assessments. In this work, we show that large quantities of EnvNP may be directly emitted into the atmosphere as steam laden waste components discharged from a commonly used technology to repair sewer pipes in urban areas. Comprehensive chemical analysis of the discharged waste condensate reveals abundant presence of insoluble colloids, which after drying form solid organic particles with composition and viscosity consistent with EnvNP. We suggest that airborne emissions of EnvNP from these globally used sewer repair practices may be prevalent in highly populated urban areas. Airborne emissions of these EnvNP particles may have important implications on air quality and toxicological levels in large urban areas that need to be mitigated.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Why the Forcing from Carbon Dioxide Scales as the Logarithm of Its Concentration

Abstract The radiative forcing from carbon dioxide is approximately logarithmic in its concentration, producing about 4 W m −2 of global-mean forcing for each doubling. Although these are basic facts of climate science, competing explanations for them have been given in the literature. Here, the reasons for the logarithmic forcing of carbon dioxide are explored in detail and a simplified model for the forcing is constructed. An essential component is the particular distribution of absorption coefficients within the 15- μ m band of carbon dioxide. An alternative explanation, which does not depend on the spectrum of carbon dioxide but instead hinges on the tropospheric lapse rate, is shown to be neither necessary nor sufficient to explain the logarithmic forcing of carbon dioxide and to be generally inapplicable to well-mixed greenhouse gases in Earth’s atmosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Surface Observations From Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Sites Constrain the Anthropogenic Contribution to Cloud Droplet Number

Uncertainty in anthropogenic forcing driven by aerosol-cloud interactions (aci) limits our ability to infer the sensitivity of the Earth system to forcing from historical records. The driver of aci is the change in cloud droplet number concentration (N d ) due to changes in aerosol serving as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN). Here, we combine a perturbed parameter ensemble run in a global Earth system model with observations of CCN and single-layer-cloud N d at surface sites in the Azores, the Southern Great Plains, and Ascension Island to provide a constraint on the anthropogenic contribution to present-day N d . These observational lines of evidence constrain the preindustrial to present-day change in N d to be between 11 and 43 cm −3 . This is consistent with the upper end of some previous estimates but has a higher minimum perturbation, pointing to a stronger historical aerosol cooling.

ARM↗
DOE OSTI2026

Dynamics of the water-plasma interface in various discharge modes of atmospheric-pressure plasmas

This paper presents an experimental study of the dynamics of the water-plasma interface during the interaction high-voltage (HV) atmospheric pressure discharge with the water surface. Under the influence of the voltage applied to the pin type electrode, discharges are formed at the air layer between the sharp-tip HV electrode and deionized water. Three discharge regimes were identified from synchronized electrical waveforms and imaging: (i) a weak linear regime at 3–10.6 kV, (ii) a branching streamer regime at the maximum applied voltage of 12.6 kV, and (iii) a continuous arc-like regime occurring during the transition to lower voltage and higher current (e.g., U ≈ 3.2 kV, I ≈ 4.07 mA). High-speed shadowgraph images showed a symmetric interfacial cavity whose depth increased nonlinearly with voltage from h 0 ≈ 0.1 mm at 3 kV to h 0 ≈ 2.7 mm at 10.6 kV, reaching a maximum depth of h 0 ≈ 5.9 mm at 12.6 kV, while the cavity disappeared in the continuous-channel regime and was replaced by outward-propagating wave-like motion. The deformation of the water surface during the discharge-water interaction is governed by the balance between electric field forces, surface tension, gravitational forces, and electrohydrodynamic forces, whose relative contributions vary with the applied voltage. This effect was explained by quantitatively estimating the magnitudes of the acting forces and establishing the force balance. Optical emission spectroscopy in the continuous-channel regime indicated air plasma signatures and yielded a gas temperature of approximately 400 K, while prolonged operation (≈ 20 min) increased the water temperature to ~ 70 °C, reduced the water-layer thickness from 6 mm to 3 mm, and decreased pH from 7 to 4. These regime-resolved, quantitative results clarify how the dominant interfacial forcing shifts with discharge mode and provide a mechanistic basis for controlling plasma-water interactions in atmospheric-pressure applications.

atmospheric pressure plasma↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Transferable Force Field for Simulating Adsorption in Metal–Organic Frameworks with Open Metal Sites Based on the 12–6–4 Lennard-Jones Potential

Metal−organic frameworks (MOFs) that contain coordinatively unsaturated open metal sites (OMSs) provide strong host− guest interactions, making them promising sorbents for low-concentration gas adsorption applications such as direct air capture and atmospheric water harvesting. However, accurately modeling host−guest interactions involving OMSs remains challenging for classical force fields (FFs) based on the 12−6 Lennard−Jones (LJ) potential, as the polarization effect of the guest molecule induced by the positively charged OMS is not considered. Here, we introduce an FF based on the 12−6−4 LJ potential, which incorporates charge−induced dipole interactions and is parametrized against a diverse set of host−guest potential energy surfaces (PESs) obtained from density functional theory (DFT). The resulting FF, trained on a generic trimetallic cluster, performs well in both host−guest binding energetics and gas adsorption isotherms across different OMS-containing MOFs, including MOF-74 series and Cu-BTC. These results highlight the excellent transferability of our approach and its potential to enhance the accuracy and robustness of high-throughput MOF discovery workflows, particularly for gas adsorption and separation in large and diverse MOF databases.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

TRACER-Uncrewed Aircraft System (TRACER-UAS) Field Campaign Report

Convective processes drive the development of clouds across a variety of scales, thereby playing a central role in governing weather and climate globally. These processes help to set the stage for circulations that redistribute heat and moisture throughout the lower atmosphere, and simultaneously develop storms that supply precipitation to regions that depend on such rain events for supporting a variety of societal needs. At the same time, extreme precipitation events can result in localized flooding of low-lying areas, posing hazards to transportation and regional inhabitants, and potentially damaging structures and infrastructure. As a result, there is an inherent need to better understand the drivers and modulators of clouds and precipitation and leverage such understanding to make projections of how these important systems may evolve with a changing climate. With nearly three billion of Earth’s human inhabitants living within 200 km of a shoreline, development of such understanding is particularly important in coastal regimes. Central drivers of convective cloud development and life cycle in coastal environments include synoptic forcing, local meso- and microscale circulation regimes, microphysical evolution, and aerosol properties. Atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) development and its evolution can help drive the formation and organization of convective clouds, which then impart their own controls through dynamic processes related to latent heating and cooling (including cold-pool formation and propagation), three-dimensional radiative effects, and background environmental conditions (Fan et al. 2016). Such clouds have been contributing to record precipitation events in southeast Texas in recent years, relative to the last several decades of data from regional precipitation gauges (Fagnant et al. 2020). The greater Houston urban area has experienced particularly large increases in the frequency of extreme rainfall events, with enhanced intensity of extreme events (stretching of distribution tails) having potentially significant implications for watershed floodplain planning and mapping in greater Houston and Harris County. While the most extreme precipitation events were associated with tropical cyclones (e.g., Tropical Storm Allison and Hurricane Harvey; Blood 2014, Kao et al. 2019), strong thunderstorms can also deliver large amounts of precipitation over the area over relatively short periods.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗