Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “FORCE DISTRIBUTION”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 253 records · Page 14
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Systematic softening in universal machine learning interatomic potentials

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have introduced a new paradigm for atomic simulations. Recent advancements have led to universal MLIPs (uMLIPs) that are pre-trained on diverse datasets, providing opportunities for universal force fields and foundational machine learning models. However, their performance in extrapolating to out-of-distribution complex atomic environments remains unclear. In this study, we highlight a consistent potential energy surface (PES) softening effect in three uMLIPs: M3GNet, CHGNet, and MACE-MP-0, which is characterized by energy and force underprediction in atomic-modeling benchmarks including surfaces, defects, solid-solution energetics, ion migration barriers, phonon vibration modes, and general high-energy states. The PES softening behavior originates primarily from the systematically underpredicted PES curvature, which derives from the biased sampling of near-equilibrium atomic arrangements in uMLIP pre-training datasets. Our findings suggest that a considerable fraction of uMLIP errors are highly systematic, and can therefore be efficiently corrected. We argue for the importance of a comprehensive materials dataset with improved PES sampling for next-generation foundational MLIPs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Spontaneous Symmetry–Breaking of Nonequilibrium Steady–States Caused by Nonlinear Electrical Transport

Negative differential resistance (NDR) in certain materials has been attributed to spontaneous emergence of symmetry-breaking electrical current density localization from a previously homogeneous distribution, which is postulated to occur due to the nonequilibrium thermodynamic force of minimization of entropy production. However, this phenomenon has not been quantitatively predicted based on intrinsic material properties and an applied electrical stimulus. Herein an instability criterion is derived for localization of current density and temperature from a thermal fluctuation in a parallel conductor model of a thin film that is subject to Newton's law of cooling. The conditions for steady–state electro-thermal localization is predicted, verifying a decrease in entropy production upon localization. Electro-thermal localization accompanied by a decrease of entropy production is confirmed in a multiphysics simulation of current flow in a thin film. The instability criterion predicts conditions for spontaneous current density localization, relating symmetry breaking fundamentally to dynamical instability via Local Activity theory.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2019

Electromagnetic and Rotational Characteristics of a Superconducting Flywheel Energy Storage System Utilizing a Radial-Type High-Temperature Superconducting Bearing

A 2 kW/28.5 kJ superconducting flywheel energy storage system (SFESS) with a radial-type high-temperature superconducting (HTS) bearing was set up to study the electromagnetic and rotational characteristics. The structure of the SFESS as well as the design of its main parts was reported. A mathematical model based on the finite element method (FEM) was established to research the electromagnetic characteristics of the HTS bearing during the levitation process, which show that a part of the magnetic flux penetrates into the edge of the HTS bulks and then goes back to the opposite pole of the permanent magnet rotor (PMR). The induced current mainly distributes in the edge of the HTS bulks, indicating that larger force acts on the edge part of the HTS bulks and probably causes them to crack. The free rotations of the rotor at different steady-state speeds of 2500–5000 rpm and its radial vibration were displayed. The induced voltage of the stator winding of the motor in this process was analyzed. The rotational characteristics are related to the vibration of the rotor. Below the resonant frequency, the vibration increases significantly with the speed. Enhancing the radial stiffness to limit the vibration amplitude of the rotor is an effective approach to improve the speed.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2019

Molecular identification of organic vapors driving atmospheric nanoparticle growth

Abstract Particles formed in the atmosphere via nucleation provide about half the number of atmospheric cloud condensation nuclei, but in many locations, this process is limited by the growth of the newly formed particles. That growth is often via condensation of organic vapors. Identification of these vapors and their sources is thus fundamental for simulating changes to aerosol-cloud interactions, which are one of the most uncertain aspects of anthropogenic climate forcing. Here we present direct molecular-level observations of a distribution of organic vapors in a forested environment that can explain simultaneously observed atmospheric nanoparticle growth from 3 to 50 nm. Furthermore, the volatility distribution of these vapors is sufficient to explain nanoparticle growth without invoking particle-phase processes. The agreement between observed mass growth, and the growth predicted from the observed mass of condensing vapors in a forested environment thus represents an important step forward in the characterization of atmospheric particle growth.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nm-scale electrical resistance imaging on CdTe by scanning spreading resistance microscopy

Local resistance imaging can provide information on nm-scale carrier distribution in semiconductor devices. Scanning spreading resistance microscopy (SSRM), an atomic force microscopy-based nm-scale resistance mapping technique, has been developed for carrier delineation in Si microdevices. We report on the development and validation of SSRM on CdTe materials, by testing on molecular beam epitaxy (MBE) grown CdTe films. The probe/CdTe contact resistance was suppressed sufficiently below sample's spreading resistance by pressing the probe into the sample with ∼mN contact force and applying a large sample/probe forward bias voltage (V s ), which was understood by analyzing current-voltage (I-V) involving a serially connected insulating top layer with underlying spreading resistance. The carrier concentration as deduced from the resistance measurement, using a single mobility value, is consistent with Hall measurement with a standard deviation of 14% based on a set of MBE films with carrier concentrations in the range of 10 15 –10 16 /cm 3 . The doping polarity was readily identified by flipping V s polarity, where the resistance with reverse V s is orders of magnitude larger than forward V s . While focusing on the SSRM technique validation, we also show an example on an As-doped Cd(Se,Te) polycrystalline thin film of a high-performance CdTe solar cell, which illustrates the local resistance nonuniformity with up to two orders of magnitude differences, indicating if local mobility is roughly constant, local carrier concentration can have significant nonuniformity.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Plug & play directed evolution of proteins with gradient-based discrete MCMC

Abstract A long-standing goal of machine-learning-based protein engineering is to accelerate the discovery of novel mutations that improve the function of a known protein. We introduce a sampling framework for evolving proteins in silico that supports mixing and matching a variety of unsupervised models, such as protein language models, and supervised models that predict protein function from sequence. By composing these models, we aim to improve our ability to evaluate unseen mutations and constrain search to regions of sequence space likely to contain functional proteins. Our framework achieves this without any model fine-tuning or re-training by constructing a product of experts distribution directly in discrete protein space. Instead of resorting to brute force search or random sampling, which is typical of classic directed evolution, we introduce a fast Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler that uses gradients to propose promising mutations. We conduct in silico directed evolution experiments on wide fitness landscapes and across a range of different pre-trained unsupervised models, including a 650 M parameter protein language model. Our results demonstrate an ability to efficiently discover variants with high evolutionary likelihood as well as estimated activity multiple mutations away from a wild type protein, suggesting our sampler provides a practical and effective new paradigm for machine-learning-based protein engineering.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

TRACER-Vertical Profile of Aerosol in Convective System (TRACER-VPACS) Field Campaign Report

We investigated physicochemical properties of aerosol at different altitudes during the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility Tracking Aerosol Convection Interactions Experiment (TRACER). We used ARM’s tethered balloon system (TBS) and multi-modal offline analysis techniques available at DOE’s Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory (EMSL) at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and at the Advanced Light Source (ALS) at the Lawrence Berkley National Laboratory (LBNL). The main scientific aim of this project was to understand the influence of the vertical profile of aerosol composition on the properties of deep convective clouds. The effect of aerosol properties on convective activity is still poorly understood and debated. For example, previous studies suggested that higher concentration of hygroscopic aerosol may lead to lower collection efficiency and eventually delay in onset of precipitation and total amount of precipitation. However, some observations suggested that increased aerosol concentration may result in vigorous convection and a higher amount of precipitation. In addition, the radiative forcing of the ambient aerosol is strongly influenced by the vertical distribution of aerosols and their chemical composition, and not well constrained in climate models. The estimation of the indirect effect of aerosol also has a significant uncertainty due to the spatial variation of the aerosol, especially at the cloud base. Detailed size-resolved chemical composition studies of aerosol and their microphysical properties, along with in situ measurements from ARM’s mobile facilities, help to improve our understanding of the role of aerosol in deep convective cloud formation over a broad range of environmental thermodynamic and aerosol conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2019

Improving Rivet Performance by Ultrasonic Shock Treatment

The reliability of rivets is improved if the residual compressive stress is uniformly distributed over the joint thickness, with simultaneous decrease in the riveting forces required. The possibility of improving rivet performance by ultrasonic shock treatment is considered. On that basis, a riveting method is proposed. Its effectiveness is analyzed.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Distributed Quantum-Enhanced Optimization: A Topographical Preconditioning Approach for High-Dimensional Search

Optimization problems become fundamentally challenging as the number of variables increases. Because the volume of the search space grows exponentially, classical algorithms frequently fail to locate the global minimum of non-convex functions. While quantum optimization offers a potential alternative, mapping continuous problems onto near-term quantum hardware introduces severe scaling limits and barren plateaus. To bridge this gap, we propose the Distributed Quantum-Enhanced Optimization (D-QEO) framework. Instead of forcing the quantum processor to find the exact minimum, we use it simply as a topographical preconditioner. The QPU maps the landscape to locate the most promising basin of attraction, generating high-quality seed points for a classical GPU-accelerated solver to refine. To make this approach viable for utility-scale problems, we exploit the mathematical structure of separable functions. This allows us to cut a 50-qubit (i.e., $2^{50}$) global search space into independent and manageable sub-spaces using 5-qubit subcircuits. By executing these fragments concurrently with CUDA-Q, we completely bypass the overhead of cross-register entanglement and classical tensor knitting for separable functions. Benchmarks on the 10-dimensional Rastrigin and Ackley functions show that D-QEO prevents the exponential failure rates observed in purely classical algorithms. Furthermore, this quantum warm-start significantly reduces the number of classical BFGS iterations required to converge, providing a highly practical blueprint for utilizing near-term quantum resources in complex global search.

Soos, Dominik [Old Dominion U.]↗
DOE OSTI2023

Understanding Biases in Sample Preparation Techniques for Coupled Scanning Electron Microscopy and MAMA PuO 2 Morphological Analysis

In this project, the scanning electron microscopy (SEM) sampling method used during the statistical design study (SDS) was investigated to determine if any sampling biases were present in the analyzed data. Using standard particle size distribution powders from the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST 1984 standard reference material) with the origin wet dispersion method, it was determined that a bias to smaller particles was present. This was supported by theoretical calculations using Stokes’ law to determine the settling rate of spherical particles of roughly the same size and mass as those found in the SDS. Based on the theoretical calculations, it was determined that the settling rate for each of the 76 powder sets in the SDS could be unique based on specific particle shape and mass distributions, making a universal correction factor/formula not applicable. Therefore, priority shifted to developing an improved wet dispersion method that significantly reduced the particle settling rate for all particle size and shapes. This was achieved by replacing the original solvent (isopropyl alcohol) with a heavy liquid (lithium heteropolytungstates), which dramatically slowed the settling rate and allowed for the capture of a suitable homogeneous aliquot. SEM imaging and Morphological Analysis for Material Attribution (MAMA) software analysis were conducted on the NIST standard, and the SEM/MAMA data were compared to data captured by a dynamic image analysis particle size analyzer. The resulting data confirmed that the new wet dispersion method does indeed deliver an improved representative aliquot to the SEM stub. For instance, in the NIST certificate, the average particle size is ~17.1 µm ± 2.2 µm with a normal distribution. The initial wet dispersion method resulted in a drastically reduced average particle size of 6.1 µm in addition to a non-representative heavy bi-modal distribution whereas the improved LST wet dispersion method resulting in an average particle size that was much closer to the NIST certificate (12.7 µm) with a similar normal distribution. Although the improved method was still short of the NIST certificate average, atomic force microscopy analysis determined that the resulting ~20-25% reduction in size was due to particles sinking into the carbon sticky tape used for SEM imaging. It is believed that that this bias can be calibrated in a much more predicable manner than the original settling rate bias. In addition, the matching normal distribution curves between the NIST certificate and the heavy liquid method indicate a much-improved representative aliquot has been sampled and imaged. A surrogate CeO 2 powder was used to reflect PuO 2 more accurately and to aid in implementing radiological controls and shielding. The resulting data sets from the SEM/MAMA method and the particle size analyzer give almost identical average particle sizes and particle distribution statistics. Future work will re-analyze several select runs from the SDS to determine if morphological signatures can be found with the improved sampling method.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Large gyro-orbit model of ion velocity distribution in plasma near a wall in a grazing-angle magnetic field

A model is presented for the ion distribution function in a plasma at a solid target with a magnetic field $\boldsymbol {B}$ inclined at a small angle, $\alpha \ll 1$ (in radians), to the target. Adiabatic electrons are assumed, requiring $\alpha \gg \sqrt {Zm_{e}/m_{i}}$ , where $m_{e}$ and $m_{i}$ are the electron and ion mass, respectively, and $Z$ is the charge state of the ion. An electric field $\boldsymbol {E}$ is present to repel electrons, and so the characteristic size of the electrostatic potential $\phi$ is set by the electron temperature $T_{e}$ , $e\phi \sim T_{e}$ , where $e$ is the proton charge. An asymptotic scale separation between the Debye length $\lambda _{D} = \sqrt {\epsilon _0 T_{{e}} / e^{2} n_{{e}} }$ , the ion sound gyro-radius $\rho _{s} = \sqrt { m_{i} ( ZT_{e} + T_{i} ) } / (ZeB)$ and the size of the collisional region $d_{c} = \alpha \lambda _{\textrm {mfp}}$ is assumed, $\lambda _{D} \ll \rho _{s} \ll d_{c}$ . Here $\epsilon _0$ is the permittivity of free space, $n_{e}$ is the electron density, $T_{i}$ is the ion temperature, $B= |\boldsymbol {B}|$ and $\lambda _{\textrm {mfp}}$ is the collisional mean free path of an ion. The form of the ion distribution function is assumed at distances $x$ from the wall such that $\rho _{s} \ll x \ll d_{c}$ , that is, collisions are not treated. A self-consistent solution of the electrostatic potential for $x \sim \rho _{s}$ is required to solve for the quasi-periodic ion trajectories and for the ion distribution function at the target. The large gyro-orbit model presented here allows to bypass the numerical solution of $\phi (x)$ and results in an analytical expression for the ion distribution function at the target. It assumes that $\tau =T_{i}/(ZT_{e})\gg 1$ , and ignores the electric force on the quasi-periodic ion trajectory until close to the target. For $\tau \gtrsim 1$ , the model provides an extremely fast approximation to energy–angle distributions of ions at the target. These can be used to make sputtering predictions.

Physics↗
DOE OSTI2025

Surface deformation coupled with self-organized pattern on a liquid anode of 1 atm DC glow discharge

Intricate, self-organized plasma structures observed above the surface of a liquid anode of atmospheric DC glow discharge were found to give rise to coherent, organized surface deformation and mechanical wave formation at the plasma–liquid interface. This new phenomenon indicates that the liquid is closely coupled to the plasma by the anode sheath’s electrohydrodynamic (EHD) force. A scientific question then arises: Do surface perturbations, coupled with the nonuniform surface charge distribution, enhance the electric field and induce self-organization? Using the reflective background-oriented schlieren technique, the liquid surface profile under the plasma pattern was measured for the first time. The results show that surface distortions are driven by the repulsive Coulomb force of nonuniform net-negative surface charge acted by the anode sheath field. The impacts of various operating parameters on the patterns and surface waves were examined, revealing the significance of gas heating and liquid charge relaxation time in the pattern formation mechanism. Time-resolved dynamics of a pulsed DC discharge indicated that the surface deformation only appeared after the establishment of plasma patterns. Statistically, the surface wave under the plasma has high wave numbers (8000–16000 m −1 ) and small amplitudes ($<$ 10 µm), generally found in the capillary wave regime. Yet the motion of surface deformations is in tandem with the plasma pattern and exhibits a nondispersive nature of constant phase velocity (0.1–0.4 m s −1 ), suggesting the dominant role of EHD force over the surface tension in the observed surface wave. These results indicate that the deformed liquid surface is driven by the EHD force of the plasma sheath. Although they share a similar geometry, the deformation and wave dynamics of the liquid surface do not stimulate a plasma pattern. Importantly, the complex EHD coupling in the plasma–liquid system raises awareness and new challenges for plasma control engineering, and the quantitative characteristics of the nondispersive surface wave are informative for advancing relevant theory and modeling.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Zonal magnetic fields regulate nonlinear edge-localized-mode dynamics via self-consistent force balance

Edge-localized modes (ELMs) eject intense bursts of heat and particles that threaten plasma-facing components in fusion reactors. Nonlinear full-torus BOUT++ simulations show that turbulence-driven zonal magnetic fields (ZMFs) play an essential role in nonlinear ELM evolution by maintaining self-consistent force balance. Zonal flows mitigate the initial crash through shear but do not prevent continued radial transport. When ZMFs are self-consistently included, turbulence-driven zonal currents modify the parallel current distribution and magnetic tension and are associated with a reduction of the axisymmetric (𝑛 = 0) perturbed radial force imbalance. This coincides with a transition from convective, bursty propagation to more localized, diffusive transport. Similar behavior is observed across the regimes considered, including both resistive-ballooning and peeling-ballooning cases. Finally, associated signatures, including radial electric field shear and parallel current redistribution, provide experimentally accessible diagnostics for present devices and ITER-relevant conditions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Monte Carlo Global QCD Analyses of the Pion Parton Distribution Functions

As the lightest hadron, the pion presents itself as a dichotomy. While being the pseudo Goldstone boson associated with chiral symmetry breaking, it is simultaneously regarded as the lightest pseudoscalar meson typically composed of constituent quark and antiquark. As the chiral symmetry shares the same global symmetry as QCD, studying the pion and its internal structure is key in understanding one of the four fundamental forces of nature, namely the quantum chromodynamic strong interaction. We study the pion's parton distribution functions (PDFs), which are universal quantities that describe the structure of the pion in terms of its constituent quarks, antiquarks, and gluons. Our goal is to discover what the available data reveal for these universal quantities, namely the PDFs. Through the use of factorization theorems and perturbative QCD, we use Monte Carlo (MC) methods to extract the PDFs from the available Drell-Yan (DY) and leading neutron (LN) data. While the DY process involves two hadrons colliding, the LN electroproduction involves an electron beam incident on a target nucleon. We can constrain well the pion PDFs at large momentum fraction using DY data, and at low momentum fraction using LN data. We also use threshold resummation in the DY process to gather predictable higher order terms associated with the soft gluon radiation because their contributions to the cross section are nontrivial. In this dissertation, we parametrize the pion PDFs and fit those parameters to the available data. We make use of Bayesian inference and use MC techniques to sample the parameter space. Three sets of results are presented. We first extract the pion PDFs by fitting the DY and LN data. Then, we include transverse momentum dependent DY data in conjunction with the DY and LN data to extract the pion PDFs. Finally, we apply various methods of threshold resummation to the DY cross section and extract pion PDFs. The pion PDFs presented here are the first global QCD analyses performed as well as the first MC extracted pion PDFs, which are at the forefront of the pion PDF community.

Barry, Patrick↗
DOE OSTI2020

Nanometer-Scale Imaging of Inhomogeneous Active Charge Carriers in Arsenic-Doped CdTe Thin Films

We report nanometer-scale imaging of active carrier distribution of As-doped CdTe films by scanning capacitance microscopy (SCM). We developed SCM sample preparation for CdTe by ion-milling followed by thermal processing. The nanometer-resolution carrier delineation for CdTe was validated by imaging on a CdTe cross-section sample made by a molecular beam epitaxy layer stack with As-doping concentrations of 10^15 ~10^18 /cm 3 . We found that the carrier distribution in As-doped films was significantly nonuniform, with inhomogeneity ranging from sub-um to a few um and concentration variation of one order of magnitude (low 10^16 to low 10^17 /cm 3 ). This nonuniformity is distributed randomly, independent of grain structure and grain boundary (GB). We used Kelvin probe force microscopy (KPFM) and cathodoluminescence (CL) to further map the surface potential and radiative illumination on the same area as the SCM image. Higher potential and lower CL intensity were found on GBs but not on SCM contrast, illustrating positive GB charging and GB recombination but not GB-distinguished doping. The overall KPFM potential image is in rough agreement with the SCM carrier distribution, in terms of Fermi-level position relative to the bandgap edge - thus resulting in the band-edge potential fluctuation. Nonuniform carrier concentration, potential fluctuation, and defect recombination can all together cause the Voc deficit of the As-doped CdTe device.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Heat transfer from glass melt to cold cap: Computational fluid dynamics study of cavities beneath cold cap

Efficient glass production depends on the continuous supply of heat from the glass melt to the floating layer of batch, or cold cap. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) are employed to investigate the formation and behavior of gas cavities that form beneath the batch by gases released from the collapsing primary foam bubbles, ascending secondary bubbles, and in the case of forced bubbling, from the rising bubbling gas. The gas phase fraction, temperature, and velocity distributions below the cold cap are used to calculate local and average heat transfer rates as a function of the bubbling rate. It is shown that the thickness of the cavities is nearly independent of the cold cap shape and the amount of foam evolved during batch conversion. Furthermore, it is ~7 mm and up to ~15 mm for the cases without and with forced bubbling used to promote circulation within the melt, respectively. Using computed velocity and temperature profiles, the melting rate of the simulated high-level nuclear waste glass batch was estimated to increase with the bubbling rate to the power of ~0.3 to 0.9, depending on the flow pattern. The simulation results are in good agreement with experimental data from laboratory- and pilot-scale melter tests.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2019

Development of a Stochastic Infiltration Model for PPA Implementation - 19293

Performance Assessment models often require inputs representing specific hydrologic processes and properties such as infiltration, water content, groundwater flow rate, streamflow, and sediment flux. This paper details the development of a process-level infiltration model and its use in a Probabilistic Performance Assessment (PPA) model for the West Valley Site in western New York. Additionally, this paper demonstrates a method for obtaining distributions of the long-term average hydrologic processes and properties for a PA model. For this PPA, an infiltration model was developed using HELP (Hydrologic Evaluation of Landfill Performance) to evaluate the rates of infiltration, percolation, and drainage through several site soil and proposed decommissioning cover systems, as well as the volumetric water contents of each of the unsaturated layers in a modeled soil column. A particular challenge of probabilistic modeling over long periods of time is scaling parameters appropriately so that outcomes are not grossly over- or underestimated. For these models, distributions of climatic parameters such as average precipitation rate, temperature, wind speed, humidity, and solar radiation were scaled to 1000-year averages and were used to force steady-state models that predict 1000-year average infiltration rates, drainage rates, and water contents. For the HELP model, distributions were developed for the physical and hydrologic properties of each material in a given soil column or cover system, and these properties were allowed to vary stochastically along with climatic inputs. The HELP model was run 5000 times for each of seven different soil and cover systems representing various existing and proposed conditions (i.e. native soil, backfill, existing covers, and a proposed close-in-place cover). The results of the HELP model provide ranges of 1000-year average infiltration rates, drainage rates, and water contents through and within the various layers of each of the different soil and cover conditions. The model outcomes also demonstrate the effectiveness of a proposed close-in-place cover, which essentially eliminates infiltration during its operational lifetime. Following model simulation, a sensitivity analysis was performed to establish the relative importance of each stochastic input with respect to each output. The outcomes of the model simulations and the sensitivity analysis were implemented into a system-level GoldSim model via a novel sensitivity-informed nearest neighbor approach. These infiltration rates, drainage rates, and water contents are used to parameterize mixing cells within the GoldSim Contaminant Transport module, which is the primary system-level model used in the PPA. The infiltration rates are also used as boundary conditions for a stochastic groundwater flow model that is also utilized in the PPA, but not discussed in this paper. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2026

Permafrost Thaw, Uneven Subsidence and Projected Drying of Ice-wedge Polygon Tundra: Modeling Archive

This dataset is a model archive of the paper Permafrost Thaw, Uneven Subsidence and Projected Drying of Ice-wedge Polygon Tundra (in prep) to support a modeling study investigating how projected increases in Arctic temperature and precipitation will jointly influence hydrologic conditions in ice-rich tundra landscapes. With this dataset, this study is to address the research question: Will Arctic tundra landscapes become wetter or drier with increasing precipitation and temperature in the future when thaw-induced ground subsidence and associated microtopographic evolution are represented? The simulations focus on ice-wedge polygon tundra, a widespread form of ice-rich permafrost terrain that is highly sensitive to thaw-driven landscape change. This dataset contains model input and output data for four study watersheds in Alaska: Anaktuvuk, Utqiagvik (formerly Barrow), Brooks Foothills, and Prudhoe Bay. Simulations were performed using the Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS, v1.5), a physics-rich integrated surface–subsurface hydrologic model. For each watershed, ten modeling cases were performed representing two landscape evolution conditions (with subsidence and without subsidence) combined with five climate forcing scenarios derived from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP5, SSP5 with precipitation trend, SSP2, SSP2 with precipitation trend, and SSP2 with double precipitation trend). Particularly, for each watershed under the forcing SSP2 with precipitation trend, there are two additional simulations considering spatially heterogeneous subsidence distributions: one assumes randomly distributed scaling and the other includes elevation dependent distribution scaling. These simulations span 1980–2099 and include spin-up runs (1980–2009) followed by transient projections (2010–2099). To facilitate reproducibility of simulations, all datasets are organized by watershed. For each study watershed, the dataset contains: (1) Pre-partitioned mesh files for 32-core modeling (.par.32.XX), located in EACH_WATERSHED/mesh/basin; and also a non-partitioned mesh file (.exo) located in EACH_WATERSHED/mesh; (2) Climate forcings corresponding to the five SSP scenarios (.h5), located in EACH_WATERSHED/data; (3) Final states (.h5) from column spin-up modeling used to initialize historical watershed-scale spin-up runs from 1980 to 2009, located in EACH_WATERSHED/PreSpinupHistorical; (4) Final states (.h5) of historical watershed-scale spin-up runs from 1980 to 2009 used to initialize projection runs, located in EACH_WATERSHED/Spinup_daymetERA5; (5) ATS modeling input files (.xml), located in EACH_WATERSHED/EACH_SIMULATION_SCENARIO/inputfiles; (6) ATS modeling output files (.dat), located in in EACH_WATERSHED/EACH_SIMULATION_SCENARIO/combined_obs; (7) For the Brooks Foothills watershed, additional spatial model outputs are provided (.h5) for selected years (2033 and 2093) used to generate spatial figures in this study, located in Brooksfoothills/EACH_SIMULATION_SCENARIO/results-WITH/WITHOUT_SUBSIDENCE-year2033/2093. All data files with suffix .h5 can be accessible through Python h5py, and all data files with suffix of .dat can be imported by Python pandas. Mesh file with .exo can be visualized through Paraview or read by Python netCDF. The Next-Generation Ecosystem Experiments in the Arctic (NGEE Arctic) project is a research effort to reduce uncertainty in the Department of Energy’s Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) by developing a predictive understanding of Arctic tundra ecosystems underlain by permafrost and to quantify feedbacks from the Arctic tundra to the Earth system. NGEE Arctic is supported by the Department of Energy's Office of Biological and Environmental Research. Over Phases 1–3, observations made by the NGEE Arctic team across a gradient of permafrost landscapes in Arctic Alaska improved the representation of tundra processes in the land surface component of E3SM (the E3SM Land Model, ELM). Model improvements emphasized unique aspects of permafrost environments and explored reductions in model complexity while retaining predictive power. The Arctic-informed ELM developed by NGEE Arctic has been used to make novel predictions on processes ranging from permafrost thaw to soil biogeochemical cycling to Earth system feedbacks associated with the unique characteristics of tundra plants. In Phase 4, the NGEE Arctic team is evaluating our new predictive understanding under novel conditions across the Arctic domain. In collaboration with partners at long-term pan-Arctic research sites we are examining whether an Arctic-informed ELM can faithfully simulate interactions among surface and subsurface processes at site, regional, and pan-Arctic scales. In turn, we are using variety of tools to dynamically extend and evaluate ELM inference, with an emphasis on data synthesis and pan-Arctic model evaluation, reintegration of code with an evolving E3SM, scaling across heterogeneous Arctic landscapes, and the appropriate representation of the impacts of increasingly frequent Arctic disturbances.

EARTH SCIENCE > ATMOSPHERE > PRECIPITATION↗