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At least 253 records · Page 14

Representation of Tropical Storms by the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version 2

This study examines the veracity of the tropical cyclone (TC) statistics estimated from the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) global atmospheric reanalysis, focusing on the climatological-mean genesis regions, tracks and their lifetime maximum intensity, as well as the interannual and intraseasonal variations in TC activity. The results are validated against the International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) data for 1980-2016. MERRA-2 represents the spatial distribution of the TC genesis location and the tracks realistically well over all main development regions (MDRs), but with notable discrepancies including too weak TC activity over the Arabian Sea and the South China Sea and too strong activity over the North Indian Ocean. Over the western North Pacific and the North Atlantic, MERRA-2 underestimates recurving TCs steered by background westerlies in the mid-latitudes and thereby exaggerates northwestward moving TCs, resulting in an overestimate of the landfall probability in East Asia and North America. Excessive development of TCs over the Bay of Bengal also tends to exaggerate the landfall probability in India. In spite of the discrepancies in the annual TC number, the seasonal variation of TC genesis is realistic in MERRA-2. MERRA-2 also captures the TC intensity relationship between the minimum pressure and the maximum surface wind speed at the mature stage, although the maximum intensity is weaker than in the observations. While MERRA-2 tends to reproduce the interannual variations of the observed TC number and the power dissipation index (PDI), the level of accuracy depends on the region. MERRA-2 describes the changes in the TC genesis region and tracks realistically according to the different phases of El Nino and the Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), although it is less realistic over the North Indian Ocean.

International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewa↗

Preventing Premature Death in the M&S Lifecycle: Lessons Learned from Resurrection and Modernization of a Space System Contamination Model

Models and simulations (M&S) are often developed to meet specific needs and unique requirements for a particular situation. Once the M&S is implemented for a specific case and questions are answered, the M&S may go dormant until a similar need arises again at a later time, perhaps months to years later. Possible modification of the M&S may be required, and issues may arise if the M&S is not well documented, captured, or available. This can severely limit the useful life of the M&S and hinder future development or enhancements. This situation occurred with an M&S tool that had been developed to determine the impact to space system performance due to the presence of molecular contaminant films accumulating on key spacecraft surfaces. The challenges and issues encountered when resurrecting, executing, and modernizing the tool will be presented as a case study. To stay ahead of tomorrow’s challenges, resources to create M&S tools must be utilized efficiently. Lessons learned from this case study will aid M&S developers and users in planning for proper maintenance, transfer, and capture of key M&S tools and knowledge to avoid increased cost, increased development time, and wasted resources for projects relying on M&S.

Seasly, Elaine↗

Realized Benefits from the Model-Based Systems Engineering Infusion and Modernization Initiative

Although Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) as a concept has existed for over a decade, overall acceptance within the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has been slow and is now growing. Since 2016, NASA’s MBSE Infusion And Modernization Initiative (MIAMI) has proven MBSE’s value to and increased its adoption at NASA. MBSE Pathfinder projects provided focused use cases that demonstrated both qualitative and quantitative benefits for systems engineering activities, and demonstrated the ability to connect MBSE models with discipline models such as structural loads and safety and mission assurance. MIAMI assisted NASA’s field centers to establish or enhance an MBSE presence. MIAMI partners with JAXA’s Systems Technology Unit to share lessons learned and demonstrate how MBSE can be used across organizations. Following its successful test cases, MIAMI is using design thinking, lean startup, and high technology marketing methodologies to implement a targeted deployment of its Community of Practice and other resources.

MBSE↗

Spectral Characterization of Modern Spacecraft Materials

One of the observational parameters of interest in ground-based optical measurements is ascertaining material properties using broadband filter photometry and spectroscopy for orbiting targets. Broadband photometry can provide reflectance measurements that can aid in color-color indices and assess if objects can be classified into families or taxonomies. However, these reflectance properties can vary due to aspect angle, phase angle, and general degradation of the target’s exterior material. Spectral characterization can aid in material characterization utilizing known absorption bands and spectra signatures, but these signatures are affected by the same conditions described for remote observations. When utilizing ground-based measurements, it is well understood that material characterization is subject to variability due to space weathering and/or other external events (i.e., collision or explosion). The focus of this study is on space weathering effects on spacecraft materials in low Earth orbit. To better assess how materials are affected by the harsh space environment, specifically modern materials, a collection of materials was analyzed in both its pristine condition and after electron bombardment. This sample collection is part of an upcoming mission with the Materials International Space Station Experiment Flight Facility (MISSE-FF) that will be launched in 2022. These laboratory analyses on the samples will provide a ground truth to compare with the in-situ collected data. The data will also be stored in the NASA Johnson Space Center’s Spacecraft Materials Spectral Database that is available to U. S. citizens and maintained by the Orbital Debris Program Office. The following paper provides an overview of the materials investigated, laboratory and database overview, and spectral results for both pristine and post-electron exposed conditions. The spectral signature data highlights which materials are stable, or remain relatively unchanged, and which materials vary significantly due to exposure and material configuration (variations due to rotation of the sample on a flat surface). Initial results on changes in spectral directional reflectance of the materials as a function of incident illumination direction are also presented. This data also will benefit the space situational awareness community with spectral characterization of novel materials that can support their respective optical measurements focused on material identification.

Heather M Cowardin↗

A Modern Load Relief Guidance Scheme for Space Launch Vehicles

Launch vehicle load relief algorithms are concerned with realizing a reduction of transient bending moments near maximum dynamic pressure. Traditional approaches to load relief typically use inner-loop acceleration feedback to reduce the wind-induced angle of attack. When implemented in the inner loop, load relief bandwidth is necessarily limited by the achievable stability margins, and when acceleration feedback is employed, by the uncertainty associated with structural modes that couple with the body-mounted accelerometer. The structure of inner loop load relief increases the dimensionality of the flight control gain and filter optimization problem. Most importantly, classical load relief laws do not take advantage of high-rate and high-accuracy GPS-aided inertial velocity data that is readily available from modern strap down IMUs. In this paper, a novel load relief guidance scheme is described that uses direct angle-of-attack feedback in a clever mechanization. The steering commands are determined by examining the wind-perturbed dynamics of a launch vehicle with respect to a gravity turn ascent trajectory. An angle of attack estimate is derived from GPS-aided inertial data and pre-launch range wind measurements, and it is shown that a reduction worst-case rigid-body loads can be realized without requiring air data. The algorithm also includes a high-rate navigation data preprocessing scheme that operates directly on the IMU delta-theta and delta-velocity measurements in order to produce a filtered acceleration estimate at the vehicle center of mass. The outer-loop guidance scheme simplifies the design process for the classical inner-loop autopilot. Algorithm performance is demonstrated using Monte Carlo analysis of a representative liquid booster in a production high fidelity launch vehicle simulation.

NESC↗

Characterization of Modern Spacecraft Materials under Space-simulated Environment

External spacecraft materials play an important role in satellite protection from the harsh space environment. Research has shown that the physical, chemical, and optical properties of matter change continuously as a result of exposure to solar radiation and aggressive chemical species produced in Earth’s upper atmosphere. Thorough knowledge of the material properties evolution throughout a planned mission lifetime helps to improve the reliability of spacecraft. Moreover, the establishment of correlation factors between true space exposure and accelerated space weather experiments at ground facilities enables accurate prediction of on-orbit material performance based on laboratory-based testing. The presented work aims to evaluate the radiation effects of low Earth orbit (LEO) environment, namely, exposure to the high-energy electrons, atomic oxygen (AO), and vacuum ultraviolet (VUV), of several modern spacecraft materials. The studied materials represent the “flight duplicates” of samples that will be launched as a part of the Materials International Space Station Experiment Flight Facility (MISSE-FF) mission in 2022. MISSE-FF flight sample collection comprises different classes of polymers, including polyimides from the Kapton family, manufactured by E.I du Pont de Nemours and Co., Polyethylene terephthalate (PET) materials, liquid crystal polymers, PI/Polyhedral Oligomeric Silsesquioxanes (POSS), and carbon and glass fiber reinforced polymers. A sequential exposure approach was undertaken to allow monitoring of degradation induced by each environmental component (electrons, AO, and VUV) separately. Surface morphology, optical, and charge transport properties of selected materials were characterized using different techniques, namely, atomic force and scanning electron microscopy, ultraviolet visible (UV/Vis) transmission, reflectance, Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Function (BRDF), and surface potential decay measurements.

Elena Plis↗

Modernizing Mechatronics Course With Quantum Engineering

Mechatronics is the synergistic application of mechanics, electronics, control engineering, and computer science in the development of electromechanical products and systems, through integrated design. This paper proposes to extend the mechatronics course beyond traditional engineering topics, and to modernize the mechatronics instructions with complementary quantum engineering topics. With the recent rapid advances in quantum technologies such as quantum communications, sensing, computers, and algorithms, it is imperative to train the next generation of engineers and prepare them for their future careers in the ever-changing industry in such areas. Furthermore, due to such progress and advances in the fields associated with quantum mechanics, the integration of quantum technologies with classical mechanical systems will be inevitable both in terms of educational and technological standpoints in future. To address the educational needs of the future engineers in such areas of significant importance, quantum entanglement and quantum cryptography experiments, as two fundamental topics in quantum mechanics, are brought into the mechatronics course in an initiative that is reported in this paper. The integrated quantum and mechatronics topics also provides opportunities for open discussions on exploring the interface of quantum technologies and classical engineering systems, which can potentially push the engineering boundaries beyond classical possibilities by accessing the quantum advantages. An innovative online remote demonstration of such quantum experiments are developed and presented to the students. This course has been offered to undergraduate students once with successful results. The students were able to remotely access the experiments, perform the experiments and collect data. The successful result of such quantum experiments is also reflected in a course survey, presented in this paper, even though the quantum mechanics topics offered in this course are unfamiliar to engineering students and hence more challenging. The paper reports, and aims to promote, the integration of selected quantum technology topics with the mechatronics course for training engineering students in this rapidly growing area.

Ghazinejad, Maziar↗

Spectral Characterization of Modern Spacecraft Materials

One of the observational parameters of interest in ground-based optical measurements is ascertaining material properties using broadband filter photometry and spectroscopy for orbiting targets. Broadband photometry can provide reflectance measurements that can aid in producing color-color indices and assess if objects can be classified into families or taxonomies. However, these reflectance properties can vary due to aspect angle, phase angle, and general degradation of the target’s exterior material. Spectral characterization can aid in material characterization utilizing known absorption bands and spectral signatures, but these signatures are affected by the same conditions described for remote observations.When utilizing ground-based measurements, it is well understood that material characterization is subject to variability due to space weathering and/or other external events (i.e., collision or explosion). The focus of this study is on space weathering effects on spacecraft materials in low Earth orbit. To better assess how materials are affected by the harsh space environment, specifically modern materials, a collection of materials were analyzed in both their pristine condition and after electron bombardment. This sample collection is part of an upcoming mission with the Materials International Space Station Experiment Flight Facility (MISSE-FF) that will be launched in 2022. These laboratory analyses on the samples will provide a ground-truth to compare with the insitu collected data. The data will also be stored in the NASA Johnson Space Center’s Spacecraft Materials Spectral Database that is available to U.S. citizens and maintained by the Orbital Debris Program Office. The following paper provides an overview of the materials investigated, laboratory, and database overview, and spectral results for both pristine and post-electron exposed conditions. The spectral signature data highlights which materials are stable, or remain relatively unchanged, and which materials vary significantly due to exposure and material configuration (variations due to rotation of the sample on a flat surface).Initial results on changes in spectral directional reflectance of the materials as a function of incident illumination direction are also presented.This data also will benefit the space situational awareness community with spectral characterization of novel materials that can support their respective optical measurements focused on material identification.

Heather M. Cowardin↗

Going South: Warnings from the Largest Project Engineering Failure in Modern History

NASA’s successful conduct of the Apollo Program greatly enhanced the prestige of the United States and remains broadly accepted as America’s gift “for all Mankind.” NASA’s Artemis Program to return humanity to the Moon promises to again reveal America’s leadership in this field. In preparation for the initiation of Artemis and its predecessor project Constellation, NASA thoroughly examined space program precedents. There remains, however, another relevant precedent which has not been examined in this context. Though this project involved technology radically different from that managed by NASA, its scope and environment in many ways parallel NASA’s large programs. This project was initiated by a private sector team that had, ten years before, successfully completed an effort that, at a cost of $275 billion (in 2021 USD), had stimulated new technology, had brought economic growth, had established their country as the world leader in engineering innovation, and, though it was a commercial success, had been broadly accepted as their nation’s gift “to all Mankind.” The new project was inspired by popular belief that private capital could again be marshalled to enhance national prestige and make yet another major contribution to the progress of Humanity. This new effort was predicted to require eight years and $258 billion. However, after the passage of nine years, achievement of only 45% complete on the baseline design, and expenditures 96% beyond the baseline cost, the project collapsed amid bankruptcy, political scandal, and criminal prosecution. While the private sector team that carried out this project was exceptionally well educated and experienced in the field, their efforts resulted in what remains (in terms of the money wasted) the largest project engineering failure in modern history. This paper examines what went wrong.

Project Management↗

Modernizing NASA's Risk Classification System

NASA's risk classification system dates back to an era when every new NASA space mission was a one-of-a-kind build, and the only way to obtain reliability was as a by-product through a combination of reliability analyses, extensive and stringent quality requirements, and extensive testing. Originally, there were very limited commercial capabilities to develop systems to work reliably in space, so NASA considered its own homegrown approach the only recipe for success. This approach involved very detailed and prescriptive piece-part controls and no reliance on (and to some extent a rejection of) any type of commercial practices. Often risk was considered to be the lowest when NASA had the maximum amount of control and prescription, and the highest when commercial practices were largely employed, and these principles drove risk classification in the agency. Over time, however, commercial capabilities grew, and many products became standardized and commercialized, while the agency maintained its tried-and-true approach, paying little attention to the evolution of the commercial sector. In fact, the commercial sector was developing systems that have direct, proven reliability, established over time, while NASA still maintained the approach to ignore the reality of the commercialized aspects of standard products, label them as high risk, and attempt to change them to align with the agency's piece-part control practices. A table of mission classification vs lifetime for missions launched after 2000 indicates no correlation between lifetime and classification, with the few exceptions involving missions that have very limited objectives and no valid purpose to continue after they were met. This paper steps through some of the key historical elements in risk classification and NASA's overall approach to assurance, and presents some elements being brought forward to modernize the approach and take advantage of the growing capability in the commercial sector.

risk↗

Global Premature Mortality By Dust and Pollution PM 2.5 Estimated From Aerosol Reanalysis of the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2

This study quantifies global premature deaths attributable to long-term exposure of ambient PM 2.5 , or PM 2.5 -attributable mortality, by dust and pollution sources. We used NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) aerosol reanalysis product for PM 2.5 and the cause-specific relative risk (RR) from the integrated exposure-response (IER) model to estimate global PM2.5-attributable mortality for five causes of deaths, namely ischaemic heart disease (IHD), cerebrovascular disease (CEV) or stroke, lung cancer (LC), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI). The estimated yearly global PM 2.5 -attributable mortality in 2019 amounts to 2.89 (1.38–4.48) millions, which is composed of 1.19 (0.73–1.84) million from IHD, 1.01 (0.35–1.55) million from CEV, 0.29 (0.11–0.48) million from COPD, 0.23 (0.14–0.33) million from ALRI, and 0.17 (0.04–0.28) million from LC (the numbers in parentheses represent the estimated mortality range due corresponding to RR spread at the 95% confidence interval). The mortality counts vary with geopolitical regions substantially, with the highest number of deaths occurring in Asia. China and India account for 40% and 23% of the global PM 2.5 -attributable deaths, respectively. In terms of sources of PM 2.5 , about 22% of the global all-cause PM 2.5 -attributable deaths are caused by desert dust. The largest dust attribution is 37% for ALRI. The relative contributions of dust and pollution sources vary with the causes of deaths and geographical regions. Enforcing air pollution regulations to transfer areas from PM 2.5 nonattainment to PM2.5 attainment can have great health benefits. Being attainable with the United States air quality standard (AQS) of 15 μg/m 3 globally would have avoided nearly 40% or 1.2 million premature deaths. The most recent update of PM 2.5 guideline from 10 to 5 μg/m 3 by the World Health Organization (WHO) would potentially save additional one million lives. Our study highlights the importance of distinguishing aerodynamic size from geometric size in accurately assessing the global health burden of PM 2.5 and particularly for dust. A use of geometric size in diagnosing dust PM 2.5 from the model simulation, a common approach in current health burden assessment, could overestimate the PM 2.5 level in the dust belt by 40–170%, leading to an overestimate of global all-cause mortality by 1 million or 32%.

PM2.5↗

Risk-Based SMA and Modernizing Risk Classification at GSFC

In 2014, in response to a large volume of feedback from industry, the science community, and internal to Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), GSFC’s Safety and Mission Assurance (SMA) Directorate began a transition to a risk-based implementation of SMA, departing from its longstanding practice of being primarily driven by a mostly static set of Mission Assurance Requirements. The transition started out with a pilot project involving risk-based acceptance of bare-printed circuit boards that was enormously successful, continued through a complete organizational transformation in 2015, and culminated with the baselining of formal Risk-Based SMA policy in 2016. In this presentation we will describe the risk-based SMA concept, segue into how it shapes a modernization of risk classification that GSFC has rolled out, and provide results from the original pilot project for risk-based SMA, involving the printed circuit board assurance process.

Jesse Leitner↗

Modern Scientific Data Governance Framework

Science has entered the era of Big Data with new challenges related to data governance, stewardship, and management. The existing data governance practices must catch up to ensure proper data management. Existing data governance policies and stewardship best practices tend to be disconnected from operational data management practices and enforcement and mainly exist in well-meaning documents or reports. These governance policies are, at best, partially implemented and rarely monitored or audited. In addition, existing governance policies keep adding additional data management steps that require a human, ‘a data steward’, in the loop, and the cost of data management can no longer scale proportionately with the current and future increased data volume and complexity. The goal for developing an updated data governance framework is to modernize scientific data governance to the reality of Big data and align it with the current technology trends such as cloud computing and AI. The goals of this framework are two folds. One is to ensure thoroughness that the governance adequately covers the entire data life cycle. Two, provide a practical approach that offers a consistent and repeatable process for different projects. Three core principles ground this framework. First, focus on just enough governance and prevent data governance from becoming a roadblock toward the scientific process. Remove any unnecessary processes and steps. Second, automate data management steps where possible. Actively remove steps that require ‘human in the loop’ within the management process to be efficient and scale with increasing data. Third, all the processes should continually be optimized using quantified metrics to streamline the monitoring and auditing workflows.

Rahul Ramachandran↗

GCAS Visualization Codebase Augmentation Migration to Modern Standards and Feature Enhancements

The Glenn Research Center Communication Analysis Suite (GCAS) includes many analysis tools that can be used to support a wide range of scenarios. It includes a visualization tool that implements the three.js graphics library to display a three-dimensional (3D) representation of its results. This software will enable researchers, engineers, and mission planners to interact intuitively with and understand the results of their analyses, which might not be apparent from raw data. With NASA’s efforts to return humans to the Moon as a part of the Artemis missions, the GCAS has been used extensively for lunar terrain and landing system development analysis, which is vital to ensuring mission achievability and safety. This has created the need to add several significant features to the visualization tool, such as the ability to display the terrain of the lunar surface accurately and to provide information demonstrating how a given region might impact mission objectives. Many of the changes made to the visualization tool can be separated into one of three general advancements: code restructuring to adhere to modern coding standards and practices, new user camera controls for first-person and third-person perspective views, and a terrain generation feature to enable rendering highly accurate terrains based on any celestial body’s digital elevation model (DEM) in GeoTIFF format. These improvements notably elevate the visualization tool's functionality, accuracy, and user interaction while providing a robust foundation for future development.

Visualization↗

Enabling Dynamic Data Governance in Science: Design, Implementation, and Future Directions of the Modern Data Governance Framework

As scientific data volumes exponentially grow, dynamic, flexible and open approaches to data governance are needed. In this paper, we describe our efforts to build an open, scientific Modern Data Governance Framework (mDGF) that streamlines and makes actionable data governance requirements for projects and data providers. We present the goals and design of the mDGF. We also share our envisioned usage for the mDGF and planned future work.

Kaylin Bugbee↗

Maintenance Modernization in the Era of Artemis An RCM Journey

The NASA Artemis Program mission to return humans to the moon requires it ground test facilities to meet today’s performance and throughput demands. The NASA Ames Arc Jet Complex (AJC) at Ames Research Center is the Agency’s sole ground test facility supporting reentry thermal protection system testing and was developed to support Apollo era spacecraft. The research and development required to meet current and future mission demands continually grows, but the maintenance upkeep to ensure safe and reliable operations holds stagnant. This paper presents the journey and subsequent industry relatable story that includes the challenges, lessons learned, and testimonials to the AJC’s approach to the modernization of maintenance using RCM at NASA.

Reliability Centered Maintenance↗

An in-Time Aviation Safety Management System Concept of Operations and Modernization of the National Airspace System

The National Airspace System (NAS) is growing in complexity of aircraft, missions, and operations. In response, many organizations have published papers and concepts of operations (ConOps) for new and enhanced safety systems. The National Academies’ vision for an In-time Aviation Safety Management System (IASMS) is integral to Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) modernization efforts. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) System-Wide Safety (SWS) project is conducting safety research, exploring solutions, and defining the safety needs of future missions, such as Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) and autonomous aircraft operating in a more connected, flexible, and dynamic airspace. IASMS enables and provides a path for bringing FAA’s operational vision to fruition through increasingly automated safety systems that integrate services, functions, and capabilities (SFCs). These SFCs provide the necessary responsiveness to monitor, assess, and mitigate known hazards and emergent risks. This paper describes how safety in today’s air transportation system will need to evolve, identifies key points regarding in-time safety, and explores the criticality of IASMS in the future NAS.

IASMS↗