Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “PERFORMANCE PREDICTION”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 253 records · Page 14

Understanding the deficiency in inertial confinement fusion hohlraum x-ray flux predictions using experiments at the National Ignition Facility

The predicted implosion performance of deuterium-tritium fuel capsules in indirect-drive inertial confinement fusion experiments relies on precise calculations of the x-ray drive in laser-heated cavities (hohlraums). This requires accurate, spectrally dependent simulations of laser to x-ray conversion efficiencies and x-ray absorption losses to the hohlraum wall. A set of National Ignition Facility experiments have identified a cause for the long-standing hohlraum “drive deficit” as the overprediction of gold emission at ~2.5 keV in nonlocal thermodynamic equilibrium coronal plasma regions within the hohlraum. Finally, reducing the emission and absorption opacity in this spectral region by ~20% brings simulations into agreement with measured x-ray fluxes and spectra.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Effect of sintering temperature on feature resolution and flexural strength of ceramics fabricated through vat photopolymerization additive manufacturing

Although ceramic additive manufacturing (AM) could be used to fabricate complex, high-resolution parts for diverse, functional applications, one ongoing challenge is optimizing the post-process, particularly sintering, conditions to consistently produce geometrically accurate and mechanically robust parts. This study aims to investigate how sintering temperature affects feature resolution and flexural properties of silica-based parts formed by vat photopolymerization (VPP) AM. Test artifacts were designed to evaluate features of different sizes, shapes and orientations, and three-point bend specimens printed in multiple orientations were used to evaluate mechanical properties. Sintering temperatures were varied between 1000°C and 1300°C. Deviations from designed dimensions often increased with higher sintering temperatures and/or larger features. Higher sintering temperatures yielded parts with higher strength and lower strain at break. Many features exhibited defects, often dependent on geometry and sintering temperature, highlighting the need for further analysis of debinding and sintering parameters. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first time test artifacts have been designed for ceramic VPP. This work also offers insights into the effect of sintering temperature and print orientation on flexural properties. These results provide design guidelines for a particular material, while the methodology outlined for assessing feature resolution and flexural strength is broadly applicable to other ceramics, enabling more predictable part performance when considering the future design and manufacture of complex ceramic parts.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Unveiling the transferability of PLSR models for leaf trait estimation: lessons from a comprehensive analysis with a novel global dataset

Leaf traits are essential for understanding many physiological and ecological processes. Partial least squares regression (PLSR) models with leaf spectroscopy are widely applied for trait estimation, but their transferability across space, time, and plant functional types (PFTs) remains unclear. We compiled a novel dataset of paired leaf traits and spectra, with 47 393 records for >700 species and eight PFTs at 101 globally distributed locations across multiple seasons. Using this dataset, we conducted an unprecedented comprehensive analysis to assess the transferability of PLSR models in estimating leaf traits. While PLSR models demonstrate commendable performance in predicting chlorophyll content, carotenoid, leaf water, and leaf mass per area prediction within their training data space, their efficacy diminishes when extrapolating to new contexts. Specifically, extrapolating to locations, seasons, and PFTs beyond the training data leads to reduced R 2 (0.12–0.49, 0.15–0.42, and 0.25–0.56) and increased NRMSE (3.58–18.24%, 6.27–11.55%, and 7.0–33.12%) compared with nonspatial random cross-validation. The results underscore the importance of incorporating greater spectral diversity in model training to boost its transferability. These findings highlight potential errors in estimating leaf traits across large spatial domains, diverse PFTs, and time due to biased validation schemes, and provide guidance for future field sampling strategies and remote sensing applications.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

2024 Workshop - Remote Sensing and Fluxes Upscaling for Real-world Impact - Tutorial v1

The software-tutorial was developed within the 2024 Remote Sensing and Fluxes Upscaling for Real-world Impact workshop as part of the hands-on session. The workshop was supported by AmeriFlux, National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON) and CarbonDew. The software provides basic tools to perform the following tasks: - gather remote sensing images using Google Earth Engine API; - gather flux data; - perform basic functions, such as plotting time-series, perform QA of the data, compute vegetation indices; - perform correlation analysis between flux data and remote sensing data; - perform flux predictions based on remote sensing data integrated in different modalities.

Falco, Nicola [Lawrence Berkeley National Laborato↗

OPEN ALPHADIFFRACT

Open-source release of the AlphaDiffract data generation and training system. Includes only the public Materials Project dataset retrievers.AlphaDiffract is a deep learning framework that achieves state-of-the-art performance in predicting the crystal system, space group, and lattice parameters directly from PXRD patterns. AlphaDiffract utilizes a 1D adaptation of the ConvNeXt architecture, a modern convolutional neural network that integrates key design principles from transformers, coupledwith dedicated prediction heads for each crystallographic property.

Prince, Michael [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)↗

Multicellular magnetotactic bacteria are genetically heterogeneous consortia with metabolically differentiated cells

Consortia of multicellular magnetotactic bacteria (MMB) are currently the only known example of bacteria without a unicellular stage in their life cycle. Because of their recalcitrance to cultivation, most previous studies of MMB have been limited to microscopic observations. To study the biology of these unique organisms in more detail, we use multiple culture-independent approaches to analyze the genomics and physiology of MMB consortia at single-cell resolution. We separately sequenced the metagenomes of 22 individual MMB consortia, representing 8 new species, and quantified the genetic diversity within each MMB consortium. This revealed that, counter to conventional views, cells within MMB consortia are not clonal. Single consortia metagenomes were then used to reconstruct the species-specific metabolic potential and infer the physiological capabilities of MMB. To validate genomic predictions, we performed stable isotope probing (SIP) experiments and interrogated MMB consortia using fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) combined with nanoscale secondary ion mass spectrometry (NanoSIMS). By coupling FISH with bioorthogonal noncanonical amino acid tagging (BONCAT), we explored their in situ activity as well as variation of protein synthesis within cells. We demonstrate that MMB consortia are mixotrophic sulfate reducers and that they exhibit metabolic differentiation between individual cells, suggesting that MMB consortia are more complex than previously thought. These findings expand our understanding of MMB diversity, ecology, genomics, and physiology, as well as offer insights into the mechanisms underpinning the multicellular nature of their unique lifestyle.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Center for Tokamak Transient Simulations (RPI Unstructured Mesh Developments for FES SciDAC4 Partnerships) (Final Report)

The goal of this project was the development of unstructured mesh technologies for fusion simulation codes” for FES SciDAC partnerships and to integrate those technologies into the simulation workflows of those partnerships. Specific developments were executed in support of the following FES SciDAC4 partnerships: Partnership Center for High‐fidelity Boundary Plasma Simulation (HBPS), Center for Integrated Simulation of Fusion Relevant RF (RF‐SciDAC), Center for Plasma Surface Interactions: Predicting the Performance and Impact of Dynamic PFC Surfaces (PSI2), and Center for Tokamak Transient Simulations (CTTS). The key unstructured mesh development areas addressed in this project include (i) methods to most effectively perform PIC calculations on unstructured meshes; (ii) creating meshes for fusion systems accounting for any desired level of geometric complexity and providing physics aware mesh configurations, (iii) adapting unstructured meshes to control the discretization errors, (iv) executing unstructured mesh calculations on GPU accelerated systems, (v) supporting physics/application‐specific PIC operations including surface/wall interactions of particles, (vi) providing infrastructure tools to support the interactions of solvers with unstructured meshes, and (vii) providing advanced methods for coupling plasma physics codes.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A One-dimensional Heat Transfer Model for a Cooled Airfoil in a Direct-fired Supercritical CO 2 Turbine

A one-dimensional (1-D) heat transfer model was developed to predict the performance of a cooled airfoil for a supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO 2 ) turbine. The model included the effects of film cooling effectiveness, thermal barrier coating thickness, and internal Nusselt number augmentation. Trends for overall cooling effectiveness versus heat load parameter were obtained for over twelve unique thermal management schemes. The study found that adding a thermal barrier coating was the most effective scheme for increasing the airfoil overall cooling effectiveness. Internal cooling technologies have diminishing returns as the heat transfer coefficient augmentation increases past a factor of five, however the sensitivity of overall cooling effectiveness to heat transfer augmentation scales by a factor of 1.3 when a thermal barrier coating is introduced. Film cooling is seen as a long-term research area which will be inevitably explored as direct sCO 2 systems develop a market presence. However, the model indicates that realizable film cooling effectiveness levels yield a smaller improvement in overall cooling effectiveness than a thermal barrier coating.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Material Discovery and Design Principles of Perovskite Oxides for Reversible Solid Oxide Cells (R-SOC)

Reversible solid oxide cells (R-SOCs) are highly efficient devices for energy conversion and storage, capable of operating for both hydrogen utilization and production. In fuel cell mode, an R-SOC consumes hydrogen or natural gas to generate electricity, while in electrolysis mode, it produces hydrogen from steam. The discover of new materials with rapid oxygen surface exchange kinetics and enduring stability is crucial for the economically viable commercialization of R-SOCs. To facilitate this pursuit, we conducted extensive Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations and developed Machine Learning (ML) models to predict critical catalytic properties essential for R-SOCs, such as oxygen surface exchange/diffusivity, and area-specific resistance (ASR). BaCoxFeyZrzO3-d(BFCZ)(x+y+z=1) emerged as a promising family of electrode materials with high activity and stability, validated through systematic experimental study. Moreover, a robust numerical multiphysics model was developed to optimize materials and microstructure parameters, providing the ability to predict the performance of functional R-SOCs.

Liu, Jian↗

TEAMER Technical Support for Aquantis (Modeling): Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-21-17763

NREL will provide numerical modelling support to Requestor by completing four successive stages of numerical modeling effort which are capable of accurate predicting the performance of the Aquantis turbine. NREL will develop a baseline OpenFAST model (a couple model of AeroDyn and ElastoDyn solver) of the Aquantis turbine, subsequently couples this model to OrcaFlex or within OpenFAST framework to preliminarily design and explore a full floating tidal turbine system in a control co-design process.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Trace Element Control in Master Alloys and Impact of Feedstock Purity on a Ta-containing Steel during Electroslag Remelting

Advanced materials design often leads to new complex compositions that can bring challenges to manufacturing processes. Melt processing of a novel alloy with a tight chemistry range revealed a 25% Ta loss after manufacturing. Vacuum induction melting (VIM) and electroslag remelting (ESR) were performed using industry practices at a laboratory scale and the loss occurred from the VIM electrode to the ESR ingot. Several tools were used for characterization, including combustion analysis, scanning electron microscopy, and electron probe microanalysis for observation of the precipitate and inclusion phases. Additionally, computational modeling of the ESR process was performed to predict macrosegregation and inclusion travel. It was found that a significant amount of Ta2O5 inclusions formed during VIM and were transferred to the slag during ESR. This led to a 95% decrease in density of inclusions explaining to Ta loss. Pathways to better control advanced alloy chemistries during melt processing will be discussed.

Detrois, Martin↗

Improved solar cell performance and reliability through advanced defect characterization and growth studies

When this project began, CIGS and ACIGS solar cells were still well below the Shockley-Queisser efficiency limit for their bandgaps. Literature review from showed that JSC and FF were ~90% of the ideal values depending on the growth, but that VOC was only around 75% of the ideal value, which provided a clear objective to improve CIGS VOC. In polycrystalline CIGS, semiconductor defects (traps) have been shown by many studies to have detrimental impacts on device performance. Thus, the goal of this project was to investigate the sources and impacts of defects in CIGS, model their impact on device performance to predict efficiency improvements, and develop effective mitigation strategies to reduce the overall trap concentrations of these traps.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A Scalable & Non-Destructive Characterization Strategy to Study Semiconductor/Dielectric Interfaces and Predict Wafer-Level Device Performance

The defect density present at the dielectric-semiconductor interface in an MOS structure directly influences the channel carrier characteristics in semiconductor devices, especially in wide bandgap material systems used in power devices. While these trap defects are typically quantified through electrical characterization of MOS-capacitor test structures, this treatment offers very little insight into the physical nature of interface defects. Such shortcomings demand a physical characterization strategy to guide fabrication optimization. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) is suggested as a viable technique to determine chemical data for dielectric interfaces formed using atomic layer deposition (ALD) on GaN substrates. Previously, 1-D XPS characterization has confirmed the presence of a Ga x O y interlayer between ALD dielectrics and the GaN substrate. In this work, XPS data is serially collected to form 2-D images of an ALD-Al 2 O 3 /GaN interface as a proof-of-concept experiment for in-situ XPS quality monitoring during ALD processing. The information provided by this work reveals some of the challenges for incorporating XPS characterization as an in-situ strategy during fabrication of GaN-based devices. Separately, electrical mapping of a 2-D array of ALD-Al 2 O 3 /GaN MOS-capacitor devices provide a means to quantify the spatial variations in interface quality across a single wafer. Physical characterization techniques, such as time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectroscopy, provide additional chemical information about the Al 2 O 3 /Ga x O y /GaN structure that complement the electrical mapping results. This analysis shows that a higher Ga x O y content correlates with higher interface state defects for trap energies deep in the band gap.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Rapid Design of Cost-Effective Refractory High Entropy Alloys Strengthened by Precipitation

Funded by the ARPA-E ULTIMATE program, this project aims to develop cost-effective refractory high entropy alloys (RHEAs) for gas turbine blades applications at 1300 degree Celsius and above. The alloy design focuses on carbides precipitation strengthening in a strong and ductile solid solution BCC matrix. The goal is to achieve balanced mechanical properties including room temperature ductility & fracture toughness and high temperature strength and creep resistance, while maintaining comparable oxidation resistance and densities to Ni-base superalloys. To accelerate alloy design, multiscale modeling including CALPHAD and first-principles density functional theory (DFT) calculations and machine learning are performed. Specifically, high throughput phase diagram calculations and screening are carried out using CALPHAD; DFT calculations are performed to predict intrinsic ductility, grain boundary strengthening potential, coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) and temperature-dependent elastic constants. Temperature dependent yield stress, creep strain and CTE are also predicted using machine learning. Down-selected alloys are synthesized in small buttons of about 250g using arc melting for rapid evaluation on microstructure and mechanical properties before employing plasma arc melting and additive manufacturing for producing large ingots. Preliminary computational and experimental results of this project will be presented and future direction in RHEA development will be discussed.

high temperature materials↗

Multi-Scale Modeling of the Evolution of Structure and Properties in Materials for Nuclear Energy Applications [Slides]

Nuclear energy is an important component of an overall strategy to address climate change. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) is the U.S. Department of Energy’s primary facility for research and development in nuclear science and technology for energy generation, supporting the improvement and life extension of the existing reactor fleet and the development and licensing of new reactor designs. Computational modeling is an important component of these activities, particularly in the area of materials for nuclear applications, where experimental data can be very challenging and expensive to acquire, and where data is especially scarce for new reactor designs. INL has used multi-scale modeling – linking atomistic, mesoscale, and engineering scales – to improve the ability to predict the performance of materials for nuclear energy applications. In this talk, I will give an overview of the approach and tools used, and several examples of application, including performance of nuclear fuels, understanding radiation-driven formation of nanoscale void and gas bubble superlattices, and powder densification through electric field assisted sintering.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Integration and Demonstration of Monitoring, Modeling, and Prediction of DV-1 Amendment Performance at the Bench Scale: DV-1 Amendment Demonstration

During fiscal years 2024 and 2025, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Hanford Field Office commissioned Pacific Northwest National Laboratory to conduct applied research aimed at reducing the cost, time, and uncertainty associated with in situ treatment of vadose zone contaminants at the Hanford Site. This report outlines the integration of three key research efforts into a meso-scale demonstration designed to advance field-scale solutions that aim to (1) optimize the delivery of chemical amendments to contaminated soils, (2) reduce uncertainty in amendment delivery performance assessment using advanced monitoring techniques, and (3) provide real-time insights into when and where amendment-induced precipitation reactions occur in the subsurface. To achieve these objectives, the tank-scale (~ 1 cubic meter) Geophysical Imaging of Flow and Transport (GIFT) system was developed. GIFT enables experimental testing of amendment delivery while incorporating automated multi-modal monitoring approaches, including pressure measurements, direct fluid sampling, and remote time-lapse geophysical imaging. The data generated from these monitoring techniques will serve as inputs for a generative artificial-intelligence-driven digital twin – a numerical simulation model designed to honor observed data while quantifying uncertainty in simulation accuracy. Using this simulator, researchers will refine an amendment injection strategy to maximize delivery efficiency within a low-permeability soil zone. Monitoring data will be interpreted through simulated outputs to enhance understanding of the injection process. The efficacy of this integrated approach will be evaluated through direct sampling at the conclusion of the experiment.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Organic Rankine Cycle Integration and Optimization for High Efficiency CHP Genset Systems (Final Technical Report)

This project successfully advanced the integration of Organic Rankine Cycle (ORC) technology with reciprocating engine–based combined heat and power (CHP) systems to improve electrical efficiency, total CHP efficiency, and grid-responsive operation. Over three budget periods, the work progressed from high-temperature ORC component development and thermodynamic model validation to next-generation system design, working fluid transition, and techno-economic analysis. Key technical accomplishments include development and validation of a thermodynamic model capable of accurately predicting ORC performance across an expanded temperature and pressure envelope; successful identification and validation of low-global-warming-potential (GWP) working fluids—most notably R1233zd(E)—as viable replacements for R245fa; and demonstration of scalable ORC architectures suitable for integration with 1–20 MW class reciprocating engines. These advances enable flexible CHP configurations that can increase electrical output while maintaining high overall utilization of available thermal energy. The project also produced a clean-sheet design for a next-generation ORC system targeting substantially higher power output per unit, supported by detailed component selection, heat exchanger evaluation, and system-level modeling. Techno-economic analyses indicate that ORC-enabled flexible CHP systems can meet or exceed Department of Energy (DOE) efficiency targets while providing value to both facility operators and the electric grid.. Late-stage testing of the largest next-generation ORC prototype identified limitations related to pump net positive suction head (NPSH) requirements and condenser flooding under certain operating conditions. Although these issues constrained full validation of that configuration within the project timeframe, they provided clear and actionable design guidance for future system refinements. Importantly, validated modeling, smaller-scale testing, and working fluid evaluations confirmed the technical viability of the overall approach. In aggregate, this project met its core objectives by establishing validated design tools, de-risking key ORC technologies for CHP applications, and defining a credible pathway toward commercialization of flexible, high-efficiency CHP systems. The results form a strong foundation for continued development and deployment beyond the conclusion of the DOE-funded effort.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗