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At least 253 records · Page 14

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DOE OSTI2021

Predicting Thermal Performance of an Enhanced Geothermal System From Tracer Tests in a Data Assimilation Framework

Abstract Predicting the thermal performance of an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) requires a comprehensive characterization of the underlying fracture flow patterns from practically available data such as tracer data. However, due to the inherent complexities of subsurface fractures and the generally insufficient geological/geophysical data, interpreting tracer data for fracture flow characterization and thermal prediction remains a challenging task. The present study aims to tackle the challenge by leveraging a data assimilation method to maximize the utilization of information inherently contained in tracer data, and meanwhile maintain the flexibility to handle various uncertainties. A tracer data interpretation framework was proposed with the following three components integrated: (a) We use principal component analysis (PCA) to reduce the dimensionality of model parameter space. (b) We use ES‐MDA (ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation) to invert for fracture aperture/flow fields and obtain posterior model ensembles for uncertainty quantification. Various data types are assimilated jointly to improve the predictive ability of the posterior ensemble. (c) The inverted fracture aperture fields are then incorporated into reservoir models to predict thermal performance. We developed a field‐scale EGS model to verify the ability of the framework to characterize highly heterogeneous fracture aperture/flow fields and predicting thermal performance. We also applied the framework to a mesoscale field experiment to demonstrate its potential application in real‐world geothermal reservoirs. The results indicate that the proposed framework can effectively retrieve fracture flow information from tracer data for thermal prediction and uncertainty quantification, and thus provide informative guidance for EGS optimization and risk management.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

DESI Emission-line Galaxies: Unveiling the Diversity of [O II ] Profiles and Its Links to Star Formation and Morphology

We study the [O II ] profiles of emission-line galaxies (ELGs) from the Early Data Release of the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). To this end, we decompose and classify the shape of [O II ] profiles with the first two eigenspectra derived from principal component analysis. Our results show that DESI ELGs have diverse line profiles, which can be categorized into three main types: (1) narrow lines with a median width of ∼50 km s −1 , (2) broad lines with a median width of ∼80 km s −1 , and (3) two redshift systems with a median velocity separation of ∼150 km s −1 , i.e., double-peak galaxies. To investigate the connections between the line profiles and galaxy properties, we utilize the information from the COSMOS data set and compare the properties of ELGs, including star formation rate (SFR) and galaxy morphology, with the average properties of reference star-forming galaxies with similar stellar mass, sizes, and redshifts. Our findings show that, on average, DESI ELGs have a higher SFR and more asymmetrical/disturbed morphology than the reference galaxies. Moreover, we uncover a relationship between the line profiles, the excess SFR, and the excess asymmetry parameter, showing that DESI ELGs with broader [O II ] line profiles have more disturbed morphology and higher SFR than the reference star-forming galaxies. Finally, we discuss possible physical mechanisms giving rise to the observed relationship and the implications of our findings on the galaxy clustering measurements, including the halo occupation distribution modeling of DESI ELGs and the observed excess velocity dispersion of the satellite ELGs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Reducing the matrix effect in mass spectral imaging of biofilms using flow-cell culture

The interactions between soil microorganisms and soil minerals play a crucial role in the formation and evolution of minerals and the stability of soil aggregates. Due to the heterogeneity and diversity of the soil environment, the under-standing of the functions of bacterial biofilms in soil minerals at the microscale is limited. A soil mineral-bacterial biofilm system was used as a model in this study, and it was analyzed by time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS) to acquire molecular level information. Static culture in multi-wells and dynamic flow-cell culture in microfluidics of biofilms were investigated. Our results show that more characteristic molecules of biofilms can be observed in SIMS spectra of the flow-cell culture. In contrast, biofilm signature peaks are buried under the mineral components in SIMS spectra in the static culture case. Spectral overlay was used in peak selection prior to performing Principal component analysis (PCA). Comparisons of the PCA results between the static and flow-cell culture show more pronounced molecular features and higher loadings of organic peaks of the dynamic cultured specimens. For example, fatty acids secreted from bacterial biofilm extracellular polymeric substance are likely to be responsible for biofilm dispersal due to mineral treatment up to 48 h. Such findings suggest that the use of microfluidic cells to dynamically culture biofilms be a more suitable method for reducing the matrix effect arisen from the growth medium and minerals as a perturbation fac-tor for improved spectral and multivariate analysis of complex mass spectral data in ToF-SIMS. These results show that the interaction mechanism between biofilms and soil minerals at the molecular level can be better studied using the flow-cell culture and advanced mass spectral imaging techniques like ToF-SIMS.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS1994

The intermediate line region of QSOs

Our recent statistical investigations of broad UV lines of luminous quasars (QSOs) suggest that the traditional broadline region (BLR) consists of two components-one of width approximately 2000 km/s FWHM with the peak within a few hundred kilometers per second of the systemic redshift, and another very broad component of width greater than or equal to 7000 km/s FWHM and blueshifted by greater than or equal to 1000 km/s. Differences in the relative strengths of these components account for much of the diversity of broad-line profiles, as well as relations among line strength, line width, asymmetry, and peak blueshift. We have suggested that the narrower component arises in a distinct intermediate-line region (ILR) that is an inner extension of the narrow-line region (NLR). We form spectra of the ILR and very broad line region (VBLR) in two complementary ways. First, using a small sample of high-quality spectra, we difference two composite spectra, one with FWHM (sub C IV) approximately 3000 km/s, the other with FWHM (sub C IV) approximately 7000 km/s (essentially a VBLR spectrum)-revealing a narrower line spectrum with FWHM approximately 2000 km/s. Second, we use a principal component analysis of 200 low signal-to-noise ratio spectra from the Large Bright Quasar Survey. The ILR is identified with the first principal component-that component accounting for most of the spectrum-to-spectrum variation. The VBLR spectrum is derived by subtracting this ILR from the mean spectrum. The two methods yield similar results, and the spectra of the ILR and VBLR are very different. Additional support for the existence of two component is the lack of a correlation between the equivalent widths of the ILR and VBLR. We discuss the relationships between the VBLR, the ILR, and the traditional NLR. The ILR line intensity ratios are distinctly different from those of the VBLR, with (relative to C IV lambda 1549) stronger Lyman alpha and weaker N v lambda 1240, lambda 1400 feature, He II lambda 1640, O III lambda 1663, and Al III lambda 1860. Comparison with other active galactic nuclei (AGN) emission-line regions shows that the ILR spectrum tends to be intermediate between that of the VBLR and that of gas more distant from the ionizing continuum, such as the NLR and extended Lyman alpha nebulosity. Comparison of the spectra with results from photoionization models suggests that, compared with the VBLR, the ILR is about 10 times more distant from the ionizing continuum (approximately 1 pc), 100 to 1000 times less dense (10(exp 10)/cu cm), and has a smaller covering factor (less than or approximately 3%, compared with approximately 24% for the VBLR).

Brotherton, M. S.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis of Low-Dimensional Manifold via Co-Kurtosis PCA in Combustion Modeling

For multi-scale multi-physics applications e.g., the turbulent combustion code Pele, robust and accurate dimensionality reduction is crucial to solving problems at exascale and beyond. A recently developed technique, Co-Kurtosis based Principal Component Analysis (CoK-PCA) which leverages principal vectors of co-kurtosis, is a promising alternative to traditional PCA for complex chemical systems. To improve the effectiveness of this approach, we employ Artificial Neural Networks for reconstructing thermo-chemical scalars, species production rates, and overall heat release rates corresponding to the full state space. Our focus is on bolstering confidence in this deep learning based non-linear reconstruction through Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) and Sensitivity Analysis (SA). UQ involves quantifying uncertainties in inputs and outputs, while SA identifies influential inputs. One of the noteworthy challenges is the computational expense inherent in both endeavors. To address this, we employ the Monte Carlo methods to effectively quantify and propagate uncertainties in our reduced spaces while managing computational demands. Our research carries profound implications not only for the realm of combustion modeling but also for a broader audience in UQ. By showcasing the reliability and robustness of CoK-PCA in dimensionality reduction and deep learning predictions, we empower researchers and decision-makers to navigate complex combustion systems with greater confidence.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS1985

The Control of Float Zone Interfaces by the Use of Selected Boundary Conditions

Since the float zone process involves two solid-melt interfaces, possible gas interfaces, heat and mass transfers, various driving forces and complex heating sources, an analysis of the entire process would be very complex. For an initial investigation, a more feasible approach is to examine each component of the process separately. The three principal components are: (1) the shapes of the melt and solid-melt interfaces, (2) the heat and mass transfers, and (3) the heating and cooling sources. This study combined facets of all three components. The purpose of this effort was to study and compute the surface boundary conditions required to give flat (float zone) FZ solid-melt interfaces. This study was undertaken in two phases. The first phase was to investigate the solid zones surface boundary conditions required for flat solid-melt interfaces when given the melt zone surface boundary conditions. The second phase complemented the first and was to investigate the melt zone surface boundary conditions required for flat solid-melt interfaces if given the solid zones surface boundary conditions. Dual integral transform methods were used in both phases; in addition, the use of various numerical methods for differential equations and linear systems of equations were required.

Foster, L. M.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Bounding uncertainty in functional data: A case study

Functional data are fast becoming a preeminent source of information across a wide range of industries. A particularly challenging aspect of functional data is bounding uncertainty. In this unique case study, we present our attempts at creating bounding functions for selected applications at Sandia National Laboratories (SNL). The first attempt involved a simple extension of functional principal component analysis (fPCA) to incorporate covariates. Though this method was straightforward, the extension was plagued by poor coverage accuracy for the bounding curve. This led to a second attempt utilizing elastic methodology which yielded more accurate coverage at the cost of more complexity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Covariate Dependent Sparse Functional Data Analysis

This study proposes a method to incorporate covariate information into sparse functional data analysis. The method aims at cases where each subject has a limited number of longitudinal measurements and is associated with static covariates. This research is motivated by several use cases in practice. One representative example is void swelling, a nuclear-specific material degradation mechanism. Void swelling is affected by many covariates, including alloy composition and irradiation type. How to accurately model the complicated joint effects of such covariates on the swelling process is the key to mitigating the effect of swelling and ensuring safe operation. Unlike most of the existing methods, the proposed method can handle high-dimensional covariates with the informative covariate identification procedure and sparse and irregularly spaced measurements, that is, does not require complete or dense observations. The main innovation of the proposed method is that we model the variation coming from covariates and the variation left conditioned on covariates, such that the functional principal component analysis and Gaussian process can be conducted in a unified manner. Further, we also propose a systematic approach to identify important covariates in the hypothesis testing context. The methodology is demonstrated on applications in nuclear engineering and healthcare and simulation studies.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Raman signatures of detonation soot

Soot generated from the detonation of nine explosives was investigated with Raman microspectroscopy and high-resolution transmission electron microscopy (HRTEM). The first order bands, located at approximately 1,580 (G), 1,350 (D1), 1,620 cm –1 (D2), 1,500 (D3), and 1,200 (D4), are used to provide information on the carbon allotropes and defects. The intensity ratios and the full-width at half-maximum provide an indication of the disorder in the material. The Raman spectra of soot acquired from the detonation of nine explosives showed differences which can be used to identify the precursor explosive. Overall, most differences in the spectra were correlated with the presence of amorphous carbon in the soot. In additional to identification of distinct bands in the spectra via deconvolution, principal component analysis was also used to differentiate the different types of soot. HRTEM performed on soot samples with different explosive precursors identified several distinct allotropes of carbon such as nanodiamonds, carbon onions, graphite fibers, and amorphous carbon.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

NASA NTRS2014

Data Analysis & Statistical Methods for Command File Errors

This paper explains current work on modeling for managing the risk of command file errors. It is focused on analyzing actual data from a JPL spaceflight mission to build models for evaluating and predicting error rates as a function of several key variables. We constructed a rich dataset by considering the number of errors, the number of files radiated, including the number commands and blocks in each file, as well as subjective estimates of workload and operational novelty. We have assessed these data using different curve fitting and distribution fitting techniques, such as multiple regression analysis, and maximum likelihood estimation to see how much of the variability in the error rates can be explained with these. We have also used goodness of fit testing strategies and principal component analysis to further assess our data. Finally, we constructed a model of expected error rates based on the what these statistics bore out as critical drivers to the error rate. This model allows project management to evaluate the error rate against a theoretically expected rate as well as anticipate future error rates.

Correlation Analysis↗

DOE OSTI2025

Brillouin Sensing with PCA, and PCA-Based Neural Networks for Efficient Temperature Monitoring

This work explores peak estimation techniques in Brillouin Optical Time Domain Analysis (BOTDA), emphasizing both accuracy and efficiency. Euclidean distance measurement method is applied to principal components derived from Brillouin Gain Spectrum data. It offers a major speed advantage being 180 170 times faster than traditional curve fitting methods such as Lorentzian curve fitting, while maintaining similar accuracy. Additionally, a PCA- based neural network model shows significant reduction of peak estimation time compared to Lorentzian fitting. Results show Brillouin frequency shift errors lie under 0.75 MHz in both Euclidean distance-based and neural network-based methods, both of which utilize PCA components. For large data sets and long length fibers, PCA- assisted neural network for peak estimation would be an efficient solution.

Distributed optical fiber sensing↗

DOE OSTI2022

Two (or more) for one: Identifying classes of household energy- and water-saving measures to understand the potential for positive spillover

A key component of behavior-based energy conservation programs is the identification of target behaviors. A common approach is to target behaviors with the greatest energy-saving potential. The concept of behavioral spillover introduces further considerations, namely that adoption of one energy-saving behavior may increase (or decrease) the likelihood of other energy-saving behaviors. This research aimed to identify and describe household energy- and water-saving measure classes within which positive spillover is likely to occur (e.g., adoption of energy-efficient appliances may correlate with adoption of water-efficient appliances), and explore demographic and psychographic predictors of each. Nearly 1,000 households in a California city were surveyed and asked to report whether they had adopted 75 different energy- and/or water-saving measures. Principal Component Analysis and Network Analysis based on correlations between adoption of these diverse measures revealed and characterized eight water-energy-saving measure classes: Water Conservation, Energy Conservation, Maintenance and Management, Efficient Appliance, Advanced Efficiency, Efficient Irrigation, Green Gardening, and Green Landscaping. Understanding these measure classes can help guide behavior-based energy program developers in selecting target behaviors and designing interventions.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2021

3-D Geologic Controls of Hydrothermal Fluid Flow at Brady geothermal field, Nevada, USA

In many hydrothermal systems, fracture permeability along faults provides pathways for groundwater to transport heat from depth. Faulting generates a range of deformation styles that cross-cut heterogeneous geology, resulting in complex patterns of permeability, porosity, and hydraulic conductivity. Vertical connectivity (a throughgoing network of permeable areas that allows advection of heat from depth to the shallow subsurface) is rare and is confined to relatively small volumes that have highly variable spatial distribution. This local compartmentalization of connectivity represents a significant challenge to understanding hydrothermal circulation and for exploring, developing, and managing hydrothermal resources. Here, we present an evaluation of the geologic characteristics that control this compartmentalization in hydrothermal systems through 3-D analysis of the Brady geothermal field in western Nevada. A published 3-D geologic map of the Brady area is used as a basis to develop structural and geological variables that are hypothesized to control or effect permeability or connectivity. The 3-D distribution of these variables is compared to the distribution of productive and non-productive fluid flow intervals along production wells and non-productive wells via principal component analysis (PCA). This comparison elucidates which geologic and structural variables are most closely associated with productive fluid flow intervals. Results indicate that production intervals at Brady are located: (1) within or near to known and stress-loaded macro-scale faults, and (2) in areas of high fault and fracture density.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Determine Oxidation State of Transition Metals in Molten Salt Corrosion using Electron Energy Loss Spectroscopy

This work utilizes electron energy loss spectroscopy (EELS) to identify oxidation state of alloying elements in Ni-based alloys after exposure to molten chloride salt systems. Pure Ni and Ni 20Cr model alloy were corroded in molten ZnCl2 and KCl-MgCl2 under argon atmosphere at various temperatures. Oxidation states of Cr (Cr3+) and Ni (Ni2+) in the molten salt after corrosion were determined by monitoring changes in the L2,3 edges of corresponding EELS spectra. Oxidation state mapping technique using principal component analysis and multiple linear least squares fitting in HyperSpy Python package was developed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Machine Learning Model Geotiffs - Applications of Machine Learning Techniques to Geothermal Play Fairway Analysis in the Great Basin Region, Nevada

This submission contains geotiffs, supporting shapefiles and readmes for the inputs and output models of algorithms explored in the Nevada Geothermal Machine Learning project, meant to accompany the final report. Layers include: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM), Bayesian Neural Network (BNN), Principal Component Analysis (PCA/PCAk), Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF/NMFk), input rasters of feature sets, and positive/negative training sites. See readme .txt files and final report for additional metadata. A submission linking the full codebase for generating machine learning output models is available under "related resources" on this page.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Data-driven analysis and prediction of wastewater treatment plant performance: Insights and forecasting for sustainable operations

Here this study presents a comprehensive performance and forecasting analysis of the As-Samra wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) in Jordan, with two main objectives. Firstly, a thorough evaluation of the plant's performance is conducted. The analysis involves independently assessing historical operational conditions, plant production, and their statistical correlations using various statistical techniques. The second objective focuses on developing a data-driven forecasting approach to predict the plant's production one month in advance, using multiple machine learning models. The results highlight the effectiveness of principal component analysis (PCA) in simplifying operational data, revealing distinct operational clusters, and identifying seasonal production patterns while showing correlations between operational conditions and overall power production. The support vector machine (SVM) forecasting model emerged as the top performer, showcasing the potential of a hybrid forecasting approach. The findings offer valuable perspectives for enhancing operational efficiency, refining production planning, and ultimately improving the environmental impact of the plant.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2023

Synoptic Typing of Multiduration, Heavy Precipitation Records in the Northeastern United States: 1895–2017

Much of the previous research on total and heavy precipitation trends across the northeastern United States (herein, the Northeast) used daily precipitation totals over relatively short periods of record, which do not capture the full range of climate variability and change. Less well understood are the characteristics of long-term changes and synoptic patterns in longer-duration heavy precipitation events across the Northeast. A multiduration (1, 2, 3, 7, 14, and 30 days), multi-return-interval (2, 5, 10, and 50 years) precipitation dataset was used to diagnose changes in various types of precipitation events across the Northeast from 1895 to 2017. Increasing trends were found in all duration and return-interval event combinations with the rarest, longest duration events increasing at faster rates than more-frequent, shorter-duration ones. Daily 850-hPa geopotential height patterns associated with precipitation events were extracted from rotated principal component analysis and k -means clustering analysis, which allowed for the main synoptic types present as well as their structure and evolution to be analyzed. The daily synoptic patterns thus identified were found to be similar across all durations and return intervals and included coastal low (Northeasters, tropical cyclones, and predecessor rain events), deep trough, East Coast trough, zonal, and high pressure patterns.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Markov Random Field Model for Texture-based Segmentation of Small Cracks in Thin InconelTubes

Markov random fields have been used for image segmentation since their introduction in the1980s. This work applies a method from Principal Component Thermography to enhance thecontrast in damage regions in 3D images derived from X-ray computed tomography (CT)inspections. The developed method is applied to sizing of small cracks in thin Inconel tubes designed as probability of detection (POD) samples for radiographic inspection.Misclassification errors arising from artifacts due to beam-hardening are reduced by fitting the boundary of the segmented damage region with the arc of an ellipse. Results are comparedagainst those obtained through manual inspection.

Image segmentation↗