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At least 253 records · Page 14

An Expanded RXTE Survey of Long-Term X-ray Variability in Seyfert 1 Galaxies

The first seven years of RXTE monitoring of Seyfert 1 active galactic nuclei have been systematically analyzed to yield five homogenous samples of 2-12 keV light curves, probing hard X-ray variability on successively longer durations from approx. 1 day to approx. 3.5 years. 2-10 keV variability on time scales of approx. 1 day, as probed by ASCA, are included. All sources exhibit stronger X-ray variability towards longer time scales, with variability amplitudes saturating at the longest time scales, but the increase is greater for relatively higher luminosity sources. The well-documented anticorrelation between variability amplitude and luminosity is confirmed on all time scales. However, anticorrelations between variability amplitude and black hole mass estimate are evident on only the shortest time scales probed. The data are consistent with the models of power spectral density (PSD) movement described in Markowitz et al. (2003) and McHardy et al. (2004), whereby Seyfert 1 galaxies variability can be described by a single, universal PSD shape whose cutoff frequency scales with black hole mass. The best-fitting scaling relations between variability time scale, black hole mass and X-ray luminosity support an average accretion rate of 2% of the Eddington limit for the sample. Nearly all sources exhibit stronger variability in the relatively soft 2-4 keV band compared to the 7-12 keV band on all time scales. Color-flux diagrams support also Seyfert 1s' softening as they brighten. There are indications that relatively less luminous or less massive sources exhibit a greater degree of spectral variability for a given increase in overall flux.

Markowitz, A.↗

Drought and Heat Waves: The Role of SST and Land Surface Feedbacks

Drought occurs on a wide range of time scales, and within a variety of different types of regional climates. At the shortest time scales it is often associated with heat waves that last only several weeks to a few months but nevertheless can have profound detrimental impacts on society (e.g., heat-related impacts on human health, desiccation of croplands, increased fire hazard), while at the longest time scales it can extend over decades and can lead to long term structural changes in many aspects of society (e.g., agriculture, water resources, wetlands, tourism, population shifts). There is now considerable evidence that sea surface temperatures (SSTs) play a leading role in the development of drought world-wide, especially at seasonal and longer time scales, though land-atmosphere feedbacks can also play an important role. At shorter (subseasonal) time scales, SSTs are less important, but land feedbacks can play a critical role in maintaining and amplifying the atmospheric conditions associated with heat waves and short-term droughts. This talk reviews our current understanding of the physical mechanisms that drive precipitation and temperature variations on subseasonal to centennial time scales. This includes an assessment of predictability, prediction skill, and user needs at all time scales.

Schubert, Siegfried↗

On the origin of metal homogeneities in globular clusters

Various transport processes which may have affected the chemical homogeneity in protocluster clouds are examined. It is shown that the characteristic diffusion time scale associated with collisions between grains and gas atoms is considerably longer than that on which star formation is expected to occur. Collisions between large grains and gas atoms lead to mass segregation and metallicity gradients on a time scale comparable to the crossing time of the clusters in the Galaxy. One possible mechanism for inducing and maintaining chemical homogeneity is turbulent diffusion in the clouds. The mixing time scale required in this case is comparable to several internal dynamical time scales, longer than the evolutionary time scale of the most massive stars, and shorter than the Galactic orbital time scale of the clouds. Thus, metals in presently observed stars probably did not originate from upper main-sequence stars of a coeval generation.

Murray, Stephen D.↗

Chaos in the Solar System

The physical basis of chaos in the solar system is now better understood: In all cases investigated so far, chaotic orbits result from overlapping resonances. Perhaps the clearest examples are found in the asteroid belt. Overlapping resonances account for its kirkwood gaps and were used to predict and find evidence for very narrow gaps in the outer belt. Further afield, about one new "short-peroid" comet is discovered each year. They are believed to come from the "Kuiper Belt" (at 40 AU or more) via chaotic orbits produced by mean-motion and secular resonances with Neptune. Finally, the planetary system itself is not immune from chaos. In the inner solar system, overlapping secular resonances have been identified as the possible source of chaos. For example, Mercury in 1012 years, may suffer a close encounter with Venus or plunge into the Sun. In the outer solar system, three-body resonances have been identified as a source of chaos, but on an even longer time scale of 109 times the age of the solar system. On the human time scale, the planets do follow their orbits in a stately procession, and we can predict their trajectories for hundreds of thousands of years. That is because the mavericks, with shorter instability times, have long since been ejected. The solar system is not stable; it is just old!

Lecar, Myron↗

A photometric search for solar giant convection cells

The photometric contrast of solar giant convection cells is limited using 526.6 nm continuum images obtained on 15 days in May 1985. The rms of the giant cell intensity pattern must be less than or equal to the observed rms on spatial scales of 80 to 240 Mm, which is 0.023 percent or, equivalently, 0.33 K. However, the spatial scale and time-scale dependence of the variance demonstrate that giant cells are not the source of the observed variance. Consequently, a tighter constraint on the rms of the giant cell pattern may be placed, namely 0.016 percent or 0.23 K. This limit is consistent with temperature perturbations estimated from recent nonlinear simulations of global-scale solar convection. This limit on the rms of the giant cell pattern is used to estimate that the contribution of giant cells to the fluctuation of the solar irradiance on a one-month time-scale is less than 0.00003 S.

Chiang, W.-H.↗

Inertia of Ionospheric Conductance During Electron Precipitation Events in Pulsating Aurora and Polar Arcs

Using coupled SuperThermal Electron Transport (STET) and Super-thermal Proton Electron Atomic Hydrogen – tRansport in the Ionosphere and Thermosphere (SPEAH-RIT) codes, we demonstrate that temporal variability of ionospheric conductance is defined by several time scales: magnetospheric source time variations, starting time of electron precipitation, and termination of the corresponding source of magnetospheric origin. In this case, the time scales are defined by dissipation of energetic electrons and effective recombination processes. The results presented in this paper were applied in the regions of pulsating aurora and polar arcs, demonstrating the fact that ionospheric conductance requires some time to form and decay. These time delays constitute an effective “inertia” in the conductance calculation which is not accounted for in many global models which assume an instantaneous connection between precipitation and conductance. Ionospheric conductance inertia influences the temporal variation in ionospheric and magnetospheric electric fields, and as a result, impacts magnetospheric dynamics and ultimately reconfigures the electron precipitation.

Khazanov, George V↗

The structure, energetics and evolution of the dominant frequency-dependent three-dimensional atmospheric modes

The three-dimensional structure of the dominant modes of wintertime variability are examined, and the mode structures are determined by an EOF analysis of the coupled vertical mean and shear streamfunction fields for a wide range of time-scale classes. The time mean energy conversions are determined from a two-layer quasigeostrophic model. Lag-cross correlations between the dominant low-frequency modes tend to be small and/or symmetric about zero, the high frequency modes are found to show highly asymmetric sinusoidal cross correlation functions similar to traveling waves, and some intermediate and short-time scale modes exhibit correlations indicating an association with the decaying phases of blocking in the Pacific. It is suggested that the mean flow barotropic (baroclinic) instabilities are an important source of variance for some of the lowest (highest) fluctuations considered.

Schubert, S. D.↗

Study and modeling of finite rate chemistry effects in turbulent non-premixed flames

The development of numerical models that reflect some of the most important features of turbulent reacting flows requires information about the behavior of key quantities in well defined combustion regimes. In turbulent flames, the coupling between turbulent and chemical processes is so strong that it is extremely difficult to isolate the role played by one individual physical phenomenon. Direct numerical simulation (hereafter DNS) allows us to study in detail the turbulence-chemistry interaction in some restricted but completely defined situations. Globally, non-premixed flames are controlled by two limiting regimes: the fast chemistry case, where the turbulent flame can be pictured as a random distribution of local chemical equilibrium problems; and the slow chemistry case, where the chemistry integrates in time the turbulent fluctuations. The Damkoehler number, ratio of a mechanical time scale to chemical time scale, is used to distinguish between these regimes. Today most of the industrial computer codes are able to perform predictions in the hypothesis of local equilibrium chemistry using a presumed shape for the probability density function (pdt) of the conserved scalar. However, the finite rate chemistry situation is of great interest because industrial burners usually generate regimes in which, at some points, the flame is undergoing local extinction or at least non-equilibrium situations. Moreover, this variety of situations strongly influences the production of pollutants. To quantify finite rate chemistry effect, the interaction between a non-premixed flame and a free decaying turbulence is studied using DNS. The attention is focused on the dynamic of extinction, and an attempt is made to quantify the effect of the reaction on the small scale mixing process. The unequal diffusivity effect is also addressed. Finally, a simple turbulent combustion model based on the DNS observations and tractable in real flow configurations is proposed.

Vervisch, Luc↗

X-ray variability of quasars

Fifty-one previously known quasars observed with the Einstein Observatory have been analyzed for intensity variations on time scales ranging from a few hundred seconds to 18 months. While none of them has shown variability on a very short time scale, four of the quasars have been seen to vary on a time scale of about 1 day. As about 30 objects could be analyzed on this time scale, it is concluded that 1 day appears to be a relatively common time scale for variability. On longer time scales (6-18 months), nine out of 12 quasars which could be analyzed show variability. However, in contrast to results previously reported for BL Lac objects, no variation in quasar luminosity larger than a factor of 2 has been observed.

Zamorani, G.↗

Characterizing the Influence of the General Circulation on Marine Boundary Layer Clouds

The seasonal and intraseasonal variability of boundary layer cloud in the subtropical eastern oceans are studied using combined data from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis. Spectral analysis reveals that most of the time variability of cloud properties occurs on seasonal to annual time scales. The variance decreases one to two orders of magnitude for each decade of time scale decrease, indicating that daily to monthly time scales have smaller, but non-negligible variability. The length of these dominant time scales suggests that the majority of the variability is influenced by the general circulation and its interaction with boundary layer turbulence, rather than a product of boundary layer turbulence alone. Previous datasets have lacked the necessary resolution in either time or in space to properly characterize variability on synoptic scales; this is remedied by using global satellite-retrieved cloud properties. We characterize the intraseasonal subtropical cloud variability in both hemispheres and in different seasons. In addition to cloud fraction, we examine variability of cloud optical thickness - cloud top pressure frequency distributions. Despite the large concentration of research on the variability of Northern Hemisphere (NH) regions during summer, it is noted that the largest amplitude intraseasonal variability in the NH regions occurs during local winter. The effect of intraseasonal variability on the calculation and interpretation of seasonal results is investigated. Decreases in seasonally averaged cloud cover, optical thickness and cloud top pressure from the May-through-September season to the November-through-March season are most apparent in the NH regions. Further analysis indicates that these changes are due to an increase in frequency, but a decrease in the persistence of synoptic events. In addition, changes in cloud top pressure and optical thickness characteristics from the summer to winter seasons indicate that the NH subtropics undergo a change in dynamic regime with season. This change appears in the cloud fields as a shift from the more commonly seen lower-altitude, thicker optical thickness clouds to higher-altitude, thinner clouds. The latter cloud-type is associated with the lower sea level pressure, upward vertical velocity phase of the synoptic wave. Intraseasonal changes in cloud properties in the Southern Hemisphere and NH summer are much smaller in amplitude. Although they also appear to be linked to changes in the large-scale dynamics, similarly to NH winter variations, the relationships are more ambiguous due to the small amplitudes and longer time scales. We attempt to interpret some of these relationships using the results of the Betts and Ridgway (1989) box model. However, these results cannot consistently explain the patterns when results from all regions are considered, implying that this model may not adequately explain all the processes involved in the variability.

Rozendaal, Margaret A.↗

Global Lightning Variations Caused by Changes in Thunderstorm Flash Rate and by Changes in Number of Thunderstorms

Global lightning activity is highly variable on many time scales. This variability is attributable to changes in the flash rate per thunderstorm, the number of thunderstorms, or a combination. The TRMM Mission offers lightning observations from the Optical Transient Detector (OTD) and the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) in space. Both are used to examine the response of these parameters to thermodynamic forcing of deep convection on the diurnal and annual time scales. On both time scales, the changes in the number of storms dominate the variations in total lightning activity. On the diurnal time scale, the mean flash rate appears to vary with cloud buoyancy, peaking in early afternoon and declining in late afternoon, but the contribution of number of thunderstorms is 2-3 times greater that the mean storm flash rate. On the annual time scale, almost all of the total lightning response is due to changes in the number of storms, with a negligible contribution from flash rate. Evidence is presented that the LIS/OTD 'area' is a meaningful objective identifier for a thunderstorm.

Williams, E. K.↗

The fragmentation of proto-globular clusters. II - Gravitational instabilities

The remarkable homogeneity in the metal abundances within a typical globular cluster may be a consequence of the fragmentation of the proto-globular clouds. In this paper, the late stages of fragmentation are investigated by examining the growth of gravitational instabilities in the shell. It is found that the short dynamical time scale of the shell leads to the rapid growth of gravitational instabilities, so that the entire process of fragmentation to stellar mass scales can be completed on a time scale much less than the dynamical time scale of the parent cloud.

Murray, Stephen D.↗

Interfacial mass transfer to a cylinder endwall during spin-up/spin-down

The local rate of mass transfer to the bottom endwall of a large aspect ratio cylinder was measured during spin-up/spin-down. The local mass transfer rate was a strong function radial position along the endwall. At the center during spin-up from rest, the maximum enhancement in mass transfer occurred after the Ekman time scale and before the viscous time scale. At the center during spin-down to rest, a stagnation vortex formed, causing the mass transfer rate to decay and then increase back to the original value of the order of the viscous time scale. Away from the center a much more complicated pattern was observed, but spin-up and spin-down were similar. Two peaks in mass transfer rate occurred for an Ekman number over 0.0074. Alternating spin-up and spin-down with a short period caused the center of the endwall to experience a nearly sinusoidal variation in mass transfer with the frequency equal to the forcing frequency. Near the edge the frequency was twice the forcing frequency.

Larrousse, Mark F.↗

An Analysis of Moisture Fluxes into the Gulf of California

This study examines the nature of episodes of enhanced warm-season moisture flux into the Gulf of California. Both spatial structure and primary time scales of the fluxes are examined using the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis data for the period 1980-2001. The analysis approach consists of a compositing technique that is keyed on the low-level moisture fluxes into the Gulf of California. The results show that the fluxes have a rich spectrum of temporal variability, with periods of enhanced transport over the gulf linked to African easterly waves on subweekly (3-8 day) time scales, the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) at intraseasonal time scales (20-90 day), and intermediate (10-15 day) time-scale disturbances that appear to originate primarily in the Caribbean Sea-western Atlantic Ocean. In the case of the MJO, enhanced low-level westerlies and large-scale rising motion provide an environment that favors large-scale cyclonic development near the west coast of Central America that, over the course of about 2 weeks, expands northward along the coast eventually reaching the mouth of the Gulf of California where it acts to enhance the southerly moisture flux in that region. On a larger scale, the development includes a northward shift in the eastern Pacific ITCZ, enhanced precipitation over much of Mexico and the southwestern United States, and enhanced southerly/southeasterly fluxes from the Gulf of Mexico into Mexico and the southwestern and central United States. In the case of the easterly waves, the systems that reach Mexico appear to redevelop/reorganize on the Pacific coast and then move rapidly to the northwest to contribute to the moisture flux into the Gulf of California. The most intense fluxes into the gulf on these time scales appear to be synchronized with a midlatitude short-wave trough over the U.S. West Coast and enhanced low-level southerly fluxes over the U.S. Great Plains. The intermediate (10-15 day) time-scale systems have zonal wavelengths roughly twice that of the easterly waves, and their initiation appears to be linked to an extratropical U.S. East Coast ridge and associated northeasterly winds that extend well into the Caribbean Sea during their development phase. The short (3-8 day) and, to a lesser extent, the intermediate (10-15 day) time-scale fluxes tend to be enhanced when the convectively active phase of the MJO is situated over the Americas.

Wu, Man-Li C.↗

Reversion to the mean of the Solar Wind Input to the Magnetosphere

Earth’s magnetosphere responds to solar wind input over time scales ranging from minutes to days. On minute times scales, researchers seek to identify discontinuities in the solar wind that may trigger transient magnetospheric phenomena such as flux transfer events or substorm onsets. On hour time scales, researchers seek to determine the solar wind phenomena that drive the growth phase of geomagnetic substorms and the storage of magnetic flux within the magnetotail. On longer time scales, researchers seek to determine the solar wind features than propel geomagnetic storms through their initial, main, and recovery phases. Researchers must, perforce, rely upon spacecraft located near the L1 libration point for observations of the solar wind input into the magnetosphere over periods ranging from hours to days. Some of the hazards of doing this are well known. Features seen far upstream at locations away from the Sun-Earth line may never arrive at Earth due to structure in the solar wind transverse to the Sun-Earth line. Alternatively, they may arrive at unexpected times due to errors in calculating their orientation and velocity. Other hazards when predicting the magnetospheric response to varying solar wind conditions are less well understood. When observations of large solar wind drivers at spacecraft far upstream and off the Sun-Earth line are used to select events for study, the ‘reversion to the mean’ effect associated with spatial structure and errors in arrival timing for solar wind features at Earth demands that the magnetosphere will actually be subjected to and respond to solar wind drivers with much lower strengths. Consequently, the magnetospheric response must saturate for the highest solar wind drivers.

David Sibeck↗

Experimental Investigation of the Behavior of Sub-Grid Scale Motions in Turbulent Shear Flow

Experiments have been carried out on a vertical jet of helium issuing into a co-flow of air at a fixed exit velocity ratio of 2.0. At all the experimental conditions studied, the flow exhibits a strong self excited periodicity. The natural frequency behavior of the jet, the underlying fine-scale flow structure, and the transition to turbulence have been studied over a wide range of flow conditions. The experiments were conducted in a variable pressure facility which made it possible to vary the Reynolds number and Richardson number independently. A stroboscopic schlieren system was used for flow visualization and single-component Laser Doppler Anemometry was used to measure the axial component of velocity. The flow exhibits several interesting features. The presence of co-flow eliminates the random meandering typical of buoyant plumes in a quiescent environment and the periodicity of the helium jet under high Richardson number conditions is striking. Under these conditions transition to turbulence consists of a rapid but highly structured and repeatable breakdown and intermingling of jet and freestream fluid. At Ri = 1.6 the three-dimensional structure of the flow is seen to repeat from cycle to cycle. The point of transition moves closer to the jet exit as either the Reynolds number or the Richardson number increases. The wavelength of the longitudinal instability increases with Richardson number. At low Richardson numbers, the natural frequency scales on an inertial time scale. At high Richardson number the natural frequency scales on a buoyancy time scale. The transition from one flow regime to another occurs over a narrow range of Richardson numbers from 0.7 to 1. A buoyancy Strouhal number is used to correlate the high Richardson number frequency behavior.

Cantwell, Brian↗

Tidal dissipation in a viscoelastic planet

Tidal dissipation is examined using Maxwell standard liner solid (SLS), and Kelvin-Voigt models, and viscosity parameters are derived from the models that yield the amount of dissipation previously calculated for a moon model with QW = 100 in a hypothetical orbit closer to the earth. The relevance of these models is then assessed for simulating planetary tidal responses. Viscosities of 10 exp 14 and 10 ex 18 Pa s for the Kelvin-Voigt and Maxwell rheologies, respectively, are needed to match the dissipation rate calculated using the Q approach with a quality factor = 100. The SLS model requires a short time viscosity of 3 x 10 exp 17 Pa s to match the Q = 100 dissipation rate independent of the model's relaxation strength. Since Q = 100 is considered a representative value for the interiors of terrestrial planets, it is proposed that derived viscosities should characterize planetary materials. However, it is shown that neither the Kelvin-Voigt nor the SLS models simulate the behavior of real planetary materials on long time scales. The Maxwell model, by contrast, behaves realistically on both long and short time scales. The inferred Maxwell viscosity, corresponding to the time scale of days, is several times smaller than the longer time scale (greater than or equal to 10 exp 14 years) viscosity of the earth's mantle.

Ross, M.↗

X-Ray Fluctuation Power Spectral Densities of Seyfert 1 Galaxies

By combining complementary monitoring observations spanning long, medium and short time scales, we have constructed power spectral densities (PSDs) of six Seyfert 1 galaxies. These PSDs span approx. greater than 4 orders of magnitude in temporal frequency, sampling variations on time scales ranging from tens of minutes to over a year. In at least four cases, the PSD shows a "break," a significant departure from a power law, typically on time scales of order a few days. This is similar to the behavior of Galactic X-ray binaries (XRBs), lower mass compact systems with breaks on time scales of seconds. NGC 3783 shows tentative evidence for a doubly-broken power law, a feature that until now has only been seen in the (much better-defined) PSDs of low-state XRBs. It is also interesting that (when one previously-observed object is added to make a small sample of seven), an apparently significant correlation is seen between the break time scale T and the putative black hole mass M(sub BH), while none is seen between break time scale and luminosity. The data are consistent with the linear relation T = M(sub BH) /10(exp 6.5) solar mass; extrapolation over 6-7 orders of magnitude is in reasonable agreement with XRBs. All of this strengthens the case for a physical similarity between Seyfert 1s and XRBs.

Markowitz, A.↗