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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 253 records · Page 14

Present-day correlations are insufficient to predict cloud albedo change by anthropogenic aerosols in E3SM v2

Cloud albedo susceptibility to droplet number perturbation remains a source of uncertainty in understanding aerosol–cloud interactions and thus both past and present climate states. Through the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v2 experiments, we probe the effects of competing processes on cloud albedo susceptibility of low-lying marine stratocumulus in the northeast Pacific. In present-day conditions, we find that increasing precipitation suppression by aerosols increases cloud albedo susceptibility, whereas increasing cloud sedimentation decreases it. By constructing a hypothetical model configuration exhibiting negative susceptibility under all conditions, we conclude that cloud albedo change due to aerosol perturbation cannot be predicted by present-day co-variabilities in E3SM v2. As such, our null result herein challenges the assumption that present-day climate observations are sufficient to constrain past states, at least in the context of cloud albedo changes to aerosol perturbation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Natural and anthropogenic trace gases in the southern hemisphere

The complexity of the global environment makes it necessary that many important trace gases in the earth's atmosphere be measured on a global scale before predictions can be made regarding the effects of human activities on the environment. A description is presented of measurements of 14 atmospheric trace gases in the lower atmosphere (0-4 km) of the southern hemisphere. Concentrations are considered of CCl3F, CCl2F2, CHClF2, C2.Cl3.F3, CH3CCl3, CCl4, C2.Cl4, CH3I, CHCl3, CO, CH3Cl, CH4, N2O, and OCS. The obtained data are analyzed and interpreted to statistically quantify the possible differences of concentrations in and above the boundary layer, to model the vertical profile of CH3I, and to use the data in support of previous findings that CH4 is increasing in the atmosphere.

Rasmussen, R. A.↗

The photochemistry of anthropogenic nonmethane hydrocarbons in the troposphere

A lumped, nonmethane hydrocarbon (NMHC) chemical mechanism is presently applied to a one-dimensional photochemical model of the troposphere. The profiles of OH, HO2, NO(x), and HNO3, showed only slight changes when NMHC chemistry was added. The integrated column of peroxyacetylnitrate (PAN), when NMHC chemistry was included, comprised 17 percent of the odd nitrogen budget. Advection is noted as an important possible mechanism for the removal of PAN at midlatitudes. The inclusion of such intermediate lifetime species as aldehydes and olefins has both provided additional sources of short-lived NMHC radicals, such as the peroxyacetyl radical that is the radical precursor of PAN, and offered a more detailed description of the concentrations of short-lived species and the overall NMHC chemistry.

Brewer, D. A.↗

Climatic consequences of anthropogenic vegetation changes from 1880-1980

The changes in the surface albedo associated with land-use alterations from 1880-1980 and the climatic implications of these changes are discussed. Changes in atmospheric CO2, the hydrologic cycle, atmospheric particulates and aerosols are reviewed. A global survey of the growth of agriculture and forestry data is presented. The anthopogenic vegetation changes in western Africa are examined in detail. Maps and tables of anthopogenic vegetation and albedo changes are presented for western Africa, South America, and worldwide. It is found that the mean regional albedo increased from 17.4 in 1880 to 17.8 in 1980. No apparent secular decrease in precipitation linked to vegetation clearing is observed. It is suggested that disruption of the hydrologic cycle as a result of devegetation may have led to reductions in soil moisture.

Gornitz, Vivien↗

Natural and anthropogenic perturbations of the stratospheric ozone layer

The paper reviews potential causes for reduction in the ozone abundance. The response of stratospheric ozone to solar activity is discussed. Ozone changes are simulated in relation with the potential development of a fleet of high-speed stratospheric aircraft and the release in the atmosphere of chlorofluorocarbons. The calculations are performed by a two-dimensional chemical-radiative-dynamical model. The importance of heterogeneous chemistry in polar stratospheric clouds and in the Junge layer (sulfate aerosol) is emphasized. The recently reported ozone trend over the last decade is shown to have been largely caused by the simultaneous effects of increasing concentrations of chlorofluorocarbons and heterogeneous chemistry. The possibility for a reduction in stratospheric ozone following a large volcanic eruption such as that of Mount Pinatubo in 1991 is discussed.

Brasseur, Guy P.↗

Quantifying and minimizing uncertainty of climate forcing by anthropogenic aerosols

In this article, a research strategy for improving the estimates of the clear sky forcing is defined. The strategy encompasses five major, and necessarily coordinated, activities: surface-based observations of aerosol chemical and physical properties and their influence on the radiation field; aircraft-based observations of the same properties; process studies to refine model treatments; satellite observations of aerosol abundance and size distribution; and modeling studies to demonstrate consistency between the observations, to provide guidance for determination of the most important parameters, and to allow extension of the limited set of observations to the global scale. Such a strategy, if aggressively implemented, should allow these effects to be incorporated into climate models in the next several years. A similar strategy for defining the magnitude of the cloudy sky forcing should also be possible, but the less firm understanding of this forcing suggests that research of a more exploratory nature be carried out before undertaking a research strategy of the magnitude recommended for the clear sky forcing.

Penner, J. E.↗

Impulse-response functions and anthropogenic CO2

Non-linearities in the carbon cycle make the response to atmospheric CO2 perturbations dependent on emission history. We show that even when linear representations of the carbon cycle are used, the calculation of time scales characterizing the removal of excess CO2 depends on past emissions.

Tubiello, Francesco N.↗

Advanced Modeling Techniques to Study Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric Chemical Budgets

This research work is a collaborative effort between research groups at MCNC and the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. The overall objective of this research is to improve the level of understanding of the processes that determine the budgets of chemically and radiatively active compounds in the atmosphere through development and application of advanced methods for calculating the chemical change in atmospheric models. The research performed during the second year of this project focused on four major aspects: (1) The continued development and refinement of multiscale modeling techniques to address the issue of the disparate scales of the physico-chemical processes that govern the fate of atmospheric pollutants; (2) Development and application of analysis methods utilizing process and mass balance techniques to increase the interpretive powers of atmospheric models and to aid in complementary analysis of model predictions and observations; (3) Development of meteorological and emission inputs for initial application of the chemistry/transport model over the north Atlantic region; and, (4) The continued development and implementation of a totally new adaptive chemistry representation that changes the details of what is represented as the underlying conditions change.

Mathur, Rohit↗

Ozone Depletion at Mid-Latitudes: Coupling of Volcanic Aerosols and Temperature Variability to Anthropogenic Chlorine

Satellite observations of total ozone at 40-60 deg N are presented from a variety of instruments over the time period 1979-1997. These reveal record low values in 1992-3 (after Pinatubo) followed by partial but incomplete recovery. The largest post-Pinatubo reductions and longer-term trends occur in spring, providing a critical test for chemical theories of ozone depletion. The observations are shown to be consistent with current understanding of the chemistry of ozone depletion when changes in reactive chlorine and stratospheric aerosol abundances are considered along with estimates of wave-driven fluctuations in stratospheric temperatures derived from global temperature analyses. Temperature fluctuations are shown to make significant contributions to model calculated northern mid-latitude ozone depletion due to heterogeneous chlorine activation on liquid sulfate aerosols at temperatures near 200-210 K (depending upon water vapor pressure), particularly after major volcanic eruptions. Future mid-latitude ozone recovery will hence depend not only on chlorine recovery but also on temperature trends and/or variability, volcanic activity, and any trends in stratospheric sulfate aerosol.

Solomon, S.↗