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At least 253 records · Page 14

The transport of trace chemicals by planetary waves in the stratosphere. I Steady waves

When dissipation is present a forced planetary wave will interact with the zonal flow in the stratosphere and cause acceleration of the zonal wind, mean-zonal diabatic heating and net transport of trace chemicals. Quasi-geostrophic scaling is used to derive expressions relating the above quantities to each other and to wave statistics for steady-state conditions and Newtonian cooling. Numerical calculations are presented for stationary wavenumber 1 which indicate that in the stratosphere the effect of the wave on the mean-zonal quantities is 1/5 to 1/20 that required by observations and models. In the mesosphere the calculated value is roughly 1/20 the required size. Reasons for this discrepancy are discussed.

Kurzeja, R. J.↗

Short-term climatic fluctuations forced by thermal anomalies

A two level, global, spectral model using pressure as a vertical coordinate was developed. The system of equations describing the model is nonlinear and quasi-geostrophic (linear balance). Static stability is variable in the model. A moisture budget is calculated in the lower layer only. Convective adjustment is used to avoid supercritical temperature lapse rates. The mechanical forcing of topography is introduced as a vertical velocity at the lower boundary. Solar forcing is specified assuming a daily mean zenith angle. The differential diabatic heating between land and sea is paramterized. On land and sea ice surfaces, a steady state thermal energy equation is solved to calculate the surface temperature. On the oceans, the sea surface temperature is specified as the climatological average for January. The model is used to simulate the January, February and March circulations.

Hanna, A. F.↗

Numerical simulation of the development of mean monsoon circulation in July

Eight different experiments are carried out, ranging from 8 to 20 days, with a primitive equation model consisting of five atmospheric layers and one oceanic layer. The purpose is to investigate the relative importance of radiative heating and deep cumulus condensation, orography, and initial conditions for the development of the mean monsoon circulation from June to July in the 0-180 deg E, 25 deg S - 55 deg N region. Two alternative initial states are used, one based on the observed monthly mean June pressure distribution, the other on the mean June zonal average pressure distribution. Whereas large-scale condensation and actual land and sea distributions are included in every experiment, deep cumulus cone condensation and radiative heating are always taken together. It is found that the means sea level pressure distribution and low-level flow pattern produced by these simulations are in the main determined by the diabatic heating distribution and are influenced somewhat by orography; they are, however, almost independent of the initial state. The low pressure systems are found to develop faster when diurnal variation of solar radiation is allowed for; this is thought to be due mainly to the more vigorous cumulus activity during the day.

Kuo, H. L.↗

On the nonlinear versus linearized lower boundary conditions for topographically forced stationary long waves

For quasi-geostraphic stationary long waves forced by topography, the nonlinear lower boundary condition is derived in terms of the geopotential height and compared with the linearized version. The common practice of replacing terms describing the flow over and around a mountain by upstream zonal flow over the mountain and evaluating the resulting condition at sea level is found to be a good approximation for the cases considered and does not need to be modified as sometimes suggested. Specifically, it is found that this approximation does not affect, for most cases, the lower boundary condition expressed in terms of the geopotential height provided that the stationary wave is not near resonance. At resonance, the eddy advection terms may become important for large-amplitude waves when dissipation and surface diabatic heating are taken into account.

Tung, K. K.↗

Estimates of the seasonal mean vertical velocity fields of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere

Indirect methods are employed to estimate the wintertime and summertime mean vertical velocity fields of the extratropical Northern Hemisphere and intercomparisons are made, together with comparisons with mean seasonal patterns of cloudiness and precipitation. Twice-daily NMC operational analyses produced general circulation statistics for 11 winters and 12 summers, permitting calculation of the seasonal NMC averages for 6 hr forecasts, solution of the omega equation, integration of continuity equation downward from 100 mb, and solution of the thermodynamic energy equation in the absence of diabatic heating. The methods all yielded similar vertical velocity patterns; however, the magnitude of the vertical velocities could not be calculated with great accuracy. Orography was concluded to have less of an effect in summer than in winter, when winds are stronger.

White, G. H.↗

The Amazon and climate

The climatologies of cloudiness and precipitation for the Amazon, are reviewed and the physical causes of some of the observed features and those which are not well known are explained. The atmospheric circulation over the Amazon is discussed on the large scale tropical circulations forced by deep diabatic heating sources. Weather deforestation which leads to a reduction in evapotranspiration into the atmosphere, and a reduction in precipitation and its implicated for the gobal climate is discussed. It is indicated that a large scale clearing of tropical rainforests there would be a reduction in rainfall which would have global effects on climate and weather both in the tropical and extratropical regions.

Nobre, C. A.↗

Determination of rainfall and condensational heating in the South Pacific convergence zone during FGGE SOP-1

The role of cloud related diabatic processes in maintaining the structure of the South Pacific Convergence Zone is discussed. The method chosen to evaluate the condensational heating is a diagnostic cumulus mass flux technique which uses GOES digital IR data to characterize the cloud population. This method requires as input an estimate of time/area mean rainfall rate over the area in question. Since direct observation of rainfall in the South Pacific is not feasible, a technique using GOES IR data is being developed to estimate rainfall amounts for a 2.5 degree grid at 12h intervals.

Robertson, F. R.↗

The response of stationary planetary waves to tropospheric forcing

The lower boundary forcing of airflow over topography, and the internal forcing that results from the geographical distribution of diabatic heating, are studied in light of a steady state, linear, quasi-geostrophic model of stationary waves on a sphere. The lower boundary vertical motions forced by airflow over topography depend on whether the horizontal deflection of airflow around topographic features is taken into account, the level of the wind profile at which flow over topography is assumed to take place, and the topographic data set that was used in the forcing formulation. The lower boundary forcing is taken to be given by the observed stationary planetary wave in lower boundary geopotential height, and the internal forcing is computed using the planetary wave propagation equation on the observed wave structure.

Alpert, J. C.↗

A climate hypothesis describing the solar-terrestrial system as a frequency domain with specific response characteristics

A climatological model of the earth-sun system based on an analogy to Planck's law of quantum mechanics is developed. The role of the diabatically important trace gases O3, H2O, and CO2 in the complex processes by which solar cycles affect tropospheric-stratospheric stability, and the value of the resonance concept in understanding these phenomena are examined. Consideration is given to climate complexity and the Laplace transform of the solar cycle, direct versus indirect solar signals, intense convection in coupled dynamics, the basic mechanisms of solar-terrestrial interaction, and the Planck's-law analog. The quantum approach, taking complexity into account, is shown to be more appropriate for evaluating the effects of anthropogenic modifications of the atmosphere (e.,g., increasing CO2) than the linear bulk-heating approaches usually applied.

Paine, D. A.↗

Short-term climatic fluctuations forced by thermal anomalies

A two level, global, spectral model using pressure as a vertical coordinate was developed. The system of equations describing the model is nonlinear and quasi-geostrophic (linear balance). Static stability is variable in the model. A moisture budget is calculated in the lower layer only. Convective adjustment is used to avoid supercritical temperature lapse rates. The mechanical forcing of topography is introduced as a vertical velocity at the lower boundary. Solar forcing is specified assuming a daily mean zenith angle. The differential diabatic heating between land and sea is parameterized. On land and sea ice surfaces, a steady state thermal energy equation is solved to calculate the surface temperature. On the oceans, the sea surface temperature is specified as the climatological average for January. The model is used to simulate the January, February and March circulations. Previously announced in STAR as N83-14822

Hanna, A. F.↗

Short-range quantitative precipitation forecasts using a divergent initialization

Data simulations and real data tests indicate that the treatment of the initial divergence field in a mesoscale weather prediction model strongly influences the quality of the first 6 hours of a rainfall forecast. Of the procedures tested for determining the initial divergence field for the predictions, the best technique is found to be the Tarbell et al. (1981) diagnostic procedure, where a diabatic form of the omega equation is used to obtain a three-dimensional vertical motion field that in turn can be used in conjunction with a continuity equation to obtain the horizontal divergence fields.

Salmon, E. M.↗

Short-term climatic fluctuations forced by thermal anomalies

A two level, global, spectral model using pressure as a vertical coordinate was developed. The system of equations describing the model is nonlinear and quasi-geostrophic (linear balance). Static stability is variable in the model. A moisture budget is calculated in the lower layer only. Convective adjustment is used to avoid supercritical temperature lapse rates. The mechanical forcing of topography is introduced as a vertical velocity at the lower boundary. Solar forcing is specified assuming a daily mean zenith angle. The differential diabatic heating between land and sea is parameterized. On land and sea ice surfaces, a steady state thermal energy equation is solved to calculate the surface temperature. On the oceans, the sea surface temperature is specified as the climatological average for January. The model is used to simulate the January, February and March circulations. Previously announced in STAR as N83-14822

Hanna, A. F.↗

Recent examples of mesoscale numerical forecasts of severe weather events along the east coast

Mesoscale numerical forecasts utilizing the Mesoscale Atmospheric Simulation System (MASS) are documented for two East Coast severe weather events. The two events are the thunderstorm and heavy snow bursts in the Washington, D.C. - Baltimore, MD region on 8 March 1984 and the devastating tornado outbreak across North and South Carolina on 28 March 1984. The forecasts are presented to demonstrate the ability of the model to simulate dynamical interactions and diabatic processes and to note some of the problems encountered when using mesoscale models for day-to-day forecasting.

Kocin, P. J.↗

Normal Mode Initialization

The objective of this research is the development and implementation of normal mode procedures for use with the GLAS analysis/forecast system. Specific tasks of this work include: (1) high latitude filtering of model fields to preserve the GLAS GCM's linear stability during integration; (2) development of nonlinear normal mode initialization (NLNMI) processes, both adiabatic and diabatic. Using NLNMI to initialize GLAS analyses; investigation of the impact of normal mode initialization on the GLAS analysis/forecast system, especially in regard to data assimilation; and (3) diagnosis of the 1-3 day systemic forecast errors of the GLAS GCM.

Bloom, S. C.↗

Generation of Available Potential Energy and Other Diagnostic Studies During FGGE

The energy cycle of the atmosphere was examined by utilizing gridded analyses of the state of the atmosphere produced by a special objective analysis system and the GLAS fourth order general circulation model. The analyses of a month period during the first special observing period of FGGE are produced at GLAS. The various diabatic heating fields necessary for direct computation of the generation of available potential energy (P) are recorded.

Salstein, D. A.↗

Observational-numerical Study of Maritime Extratropical Cyclones Using FGGE Data

The accomplishments, current research, and future plans of a study investigating the development, maturation, and decay of maritime extratropical cyclones are reported. Three cases of explosive cyclogenesis during the first GARP global experiment (FGGE) DOP-1 were studied diagnostically using storm-following budgets derived from the ECMWF and GLAS level III-b analyses. Mass, vorticity and angular momentum budgets for the moving storm environment were computed for each case. Key results from these studies include: (1) demonstration that the FGGE analyses can be used to explore oceanic circulations; (2) isolation of the role of upper level jet streaks in the initiation of the explosive period in all three cases; and (3) illustration of the lower tropospheric destabilization during each rapid deepening period, which is primarily due to sensible heating of the cold air by the warmer ocean surface. The physics package of the Navy global forecast model was successfully utilized in a semi-prognostic mode to estimate diabatic components of oceanic cyclone systems. Fields of sensible and latent heat fluxes, radiational heating and inferred cloud structures were also computed.

Wash, C. H.↗

The Structure and Dynamics of an Observed Moist Front

The structure and dynamics of the moist cold front of 25 and 26 April 1979, the third observing day of the Severe Environmental Storms and Mesoscale experiment (SESAME), are investigated through the use of a three-dimensional mesoscale numerical model. This work is one of the first studies in which model results are compared, in a one-to-one manner, with a detailed observational analysis, namely that of Ogura and Portis (1982) as taken from the SESAME observations. In addition, frontogenetical effects, both adiabatic and diabatic, are studied on a vertical cross-section through the front; similarities and differences with the adiabatic analysis of Ogura and Portis are discussed. Many similarities exist between the modeled and analyzed fields, although the analysis tends to have weaker horizontal gradients due to the coarseness of the observational network. Vorticity and convergence near the surface were found to have the same magnitude in both the model solution and the analysis, in contrast to idealized frontogenesis models which predict vorticity to be much larger than convergence.

Orlanski, I.↗

Momentum flux measurements: Techniques and needs, part 4.5A

The vertical flux of horizontal momentum by internal gravity waves is now recognized to play a significant role in the large-scale circulation and thermal structure of the middle atmosphere. This is because a divergence of momentum flux due to wave dissipation results in an acceleration of the local mean flow towards the phase speed of the gravity wave. Such mean flow acceleration are required to offset the large zonal accelerations driven by Coriolis torques acting on the diabatic meridional circulation. Techniques and observations regarding the momentum flux distribution in the middle atmosphere are discussed.

Fritts, D. C.↗