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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 253 records · Page 14

Joint physics-based and data-driven time-lapse seismic inversion: Mitigating data scarcity

In carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), developing rapid and effective imaging techniques is crucial for real-time monitoring of the spatial and temporal dynamics of CO 2 propagation during/after injection. With continuing improvements in computational power and data storage, data-driven techniques based on machine learning (ML) have been effectively applied to seismic inverse problems. In particular, ML helps alleviate the ill-posedness and high computational cost of full-waveform inversion (FWI). However, such data-driven inversion techniques require massive high-quality training data sets to ensure prediction accuracy, which hinders their application to time-lapse monitoring of CO 2 sequestration. We propose an efficient “hybrid” time-lapse workflow that combines physics-based FWI and data-driven ML inversion. The scarcity of the available training data is addressed by developing a new data-generation technique with physics constraints. The method is vali dated on a synthetic CO 2 -sequestration model based on the Kimberlina storage reservoir in California. The proposed approach is shown to synthesize a large volume of high-quality, physically realistic training data, which is critically important in accurately characterizing the CO 2 movement in the reservoir. In conclusion, the developed hybrid methodology can also simultaneously predict the variations in velocity and saturation and achieve high spatial resolution in the presence of realistic noise in the data.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Data-Driven Model Predictive Control for Temperature Management of Heat Pipe Microreactor

A data-driven model predictive control (MPC) was developed to enable the self-regulating capability of heat pipe (HP) nuclear microreactors. The MPC can proactively respond to potential disturbances of HP microreactors using three approaches for system identifications: linear state-space model, feedforward neural network, and recurrent neural networks with long short-term memory units. We present numerical results of data-driven MPCs to control the temperatures of selected HPs in a 37-HP test article. Our results show qualitatively that all data-driven MPCs produced similar control actions, while quantitatively, with artificial neural nets (especially feedforward neural nets), MPC can better follow drastic changes in setpoints with small errors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Probing electron-hole coherence in strongly driven 2D materials using high-harmonic generation

Under strong electromagnetic excitation, electron–hole (e-h) pairs may be generated in solids, which are subsequently driven to high energy and high momentum, producing high harmonics (HH) of the driving field. The HH efficiency depends on the degree of coherence between the driven electron and hole created by the laser field. Here, we disrupt this e-h coherence in an atomically thin semiconductor by photodoping via incoherent e-h pairs. We observe a strong, systematic harmonic order-dependent intensity reduction. This trend is explained by an exponential decay of the inter-band polarization, proportional to the sub-cycle excursion time of the e-h pair. Our study provides a platform to probe the importance of many-body effects, such as excitation density-dependent decoherence time for strongly driven electrons without the need of ultrashort laser pulses.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Model certainty in cellular network-driven processes with missing data

Mathematical models are often used to explore network-driven cellular processes from a systems perspective. However, a dearth of quantitative data suitable for model calibration leads to models with parameter unidentifiability and questionable predictive power. Here we introduce a combined Bayesian and Machine Learning Measurement Model approach to explore how quantitative and non-quantitative data constrain models of apoptosis execution within a missing data context. We find model prediction accuracy and certainty strongly depend on rigorous data-driven formulations of the measurement, and the size and make-up of the datasets. For instance, two orders of magnitude more ordinal (e.g., immunoblot) data are necessary to achieve accuracy comparable to quantitative (e.g., fluorescence) data for calibration of an apoptosis execution model. Notably, ordinal and nominal (e.g., cell fate observations) non-quantitative data synergize to reduce model uncertainty and improve accuracy. Finally, we demonstrate the potential of a data-driven Measurement Model approach to identify model features that could lead to informative experimental measurements and improve model predictive power.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Demand Driven Cycamore Archetypes

Future nuclear fuel cycle options may present advantages over today’s once-through fuel cycle. Nuclear fuel cycle simulation tools assess the performance of those fuel cycles as well as the dynamics of long-term technology transitions. In many nuclear fuel cycle simulation tools, it has historically been the responsibility of the user to manually define facility deployment schemes and all facility parameters. While this is straightforward in simple fuel cycles, transitions from one fuel cycle to another can be more complex. In particular, deployment schemes for supportive fuel cycle facilities beyond the reactor become complex if the analyst desires to avoid gaps in the nuclear fuel and power supply chain during those transition scenarios. As nuclear fuel cycle analysis approaches questions regarding the feasibility and performance of the deployment schemes and technology choices during technology transition, automation of this historically manual process is necessary. The main objective of this work was to develop and demonstrate Cyclus automation capabilities toward key nuclear fuel cycle transition scenarios. While deploying reactors to meet power demand is trivial, and existed in the earliest versions of CYCLUS, automated, predictive deployment and decommissioning of other facilities is more complex. These include mining, milling, enrichment, fuel fabrication, reprocessing, and others. For example, a balanced closed fuel cycle may require ensuring that there is enough fast reactor fuel for their operation and may drive deployment of a fleet of light water reactors. This concern comprises the main challenge that drove the project effort. The Demand-Driven Cycamore Archetype project (NEUP-FY16-10512) aimed to develop CYCAMORE demand-driven deployment capabilities and thereby automate transition scenario definition. The developed software package, d3ploy, in the form of a CYCLUS Institution agent, deploys Facilities to meet the front-end and back-end demands of the fuel cycle. The University of South Carolina and the University of Illinois applied multiple algorithmic approaches to this challenge. This project developed an in situ demand-driven development schedule calculation through non-optimizing, deterministic-optimizing, and stochastic-optimizing algorithms as CYCLUS archetypes and demonstrated these new archetypes in program-supporting fuel cycle transition scenarios. Both objectives were achieved. This report documents the results and deliverables obtained toward these achievements in detail.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Water Cycle-Driven Infectious Diseases as Multiscale, Reliable, Continuously Updating Water Cycle Sensors

We propose a novel synthesis of observational and simulated data (climatological and biological) to enhance understanding of the real-world interplay between climate (here, the water cycle) and the epidemiology of water cycle-driven infectious disease. Aligning with Focal Area 2, predictive modeling using AI techniques, we will develop systems of hierarchical models to discover latent features of the water cycle. Our approach will leverage state-of-the-art in Artificial Intelligence (AI) to measure the degree to which climate change-driven shifts in water cycle can be predicted by supplementing sparse and irregular climate data with water cycle-driven infectious disease resources.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Data-Driven Understanding of Low-to-Moderate Income Customers’ Adoption and Financial Qualification in Community Solar (Final Technical Report)

When Solstice began working in the community solar industry, it quickly became clear that there was a wide disparity along race and class lines in terms of what kind of household traditional solar offerings benefited. Solstice is an organization that aligns itself to the principles of a Just Transition, or the concept that a transition to a green economy should benefit and prioritize historically marginalized groups of people. Given that low-income communities are disproportionately burdened by our current polluting fossil fuel economy, Solstice set out to investigate the root causes of the exclusion of low to moderate income (LMI) households in the community solar market. As we worked more and more with financiers, developers, and LMI households, we recognized that significant barriers to entry in a developer-owned project were credit threshold requirements. A FICO score of 750 and higher discriminates against LMI households that are not financially stable enough to take on multiple lines of credit (or who may not have been deemed credit worthy enough to access a line of credit) yet who may have been reliable utility customers. As Solstice began looking further into preliminary data and speaking to community-based organizations (CBOs) that serve LMI households, we found our hypothesis to be worth investigating; there was indeed a subset of LMI households with poor FICO scores (or no FICO score at all) that had perfect bill payment history. Though initially Solstice was intent on gathering a body of data to prove or disprove this hypothesis, we were also concerned that all this proof of a financially stable and reliable customer was not being incorporated into FICO, and wondered if such a score would be possible. After preliminary research into the existence of alternative scores, Solstice realized that many mission-driven lending institutions rely on alternative metrics that are formulated for their specific industry. However, we also realized that community solar did not have an alternative credit underwriting mechanism, though there was great need from solar financiers for one. We anticipated that the creation of an EnergyScore would contribute to financiers’ need to qualify more people, as these entities are desperately looking for ways to lower the cost of customer acquisition. FICO turns away nearly 50% of potential customers (according to our own acquisition experience), and much of the community solar industry is realizing that FICO is not the perfect qualifying mechanism. Additionally, with a grounding in energy justice, just transitions, and climate justice, Solstice recognizes the need for a solution that addresses a more urgent need for LMI households to access renewable energy savings and relieve energy burdens. With funding from the Department of Energy, we gathered the data necessary to build the EnergyScore, reached out to mission-driven developers willing to test the metric, and secured several demonstration projects to pilot the EnergyScore. After acquiring customers for these demo projects using the EnergyScore, we will be continuously collecting customer payment behavior data. Though it goes beyond the scope of this project, we plan to disseminate this de-identified data with the wider community solar industry, which includes not only financiers and developers, but other mission-driven nonprofits, solar cooperatives, community-based organizations, environmental justice activists, and academics. While we intend to disprove the notion that LMI households cannot be included in projects without acutely increasing the risk to project finances, we also hope the data can be used to negotiate better pricing of systems and terms of ownership for community groups seeking to build inclusive projects.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Crossing the Finish Line: Integration of Data-Driven Process Control for Maximization of Energy and Resource Efficiency in Advanced Water Resource Recovery Facilities

Improvements in process monitoring and control at water resource recovery facilities (WRRFs) could result in reductions in electricity consumption, chemical inputs, and greenhouse gas emissions, as well as improved energy recovery. Many current WRRF data collection, monitoring, and control approaches use 20th century process monitoring and control systems, which require large design safety factors to ensure reliability in the absence of more advanced, precise controls. Implementation of more modern data-driven control tools could lead to more efficient operations that provide intrinsic reliability with better overall process performance at full-scale. This presentation provides an overview of a recently initiated project "Crossing the Finish Line: Integration of Data-Driven Process Control for Maximization of Energy and Resource Efficiency in Advanced Water Resource Recovery Facilities" which will (1) develop and demonstrate data-driven process controls at full-scale facilities for five promising WRRF Applications (i.e., process technologies) that provide whole-plant approaches and offer substantial energy and resource recovery benefits, and (2) create a toolbox of new process control approaches and an implementation guide including five examples for application at utilities. The presentation also provides a detailed overview of the research approach and progress being made on one of the five Applications, namely Application 2: Biological Nutrient Removal (BNR): ammonium-based aeration control (ABAC) / ammonia vs. NOx (AvN) + partial denitration with anammox (PdNA), which is being implemented at Hampton Roads Sanitation District. This project is a collaboration of work being conducted by DC Water, Hampton Roads Sanitation District, Metro Water Recovery, University of Michigan, Northwestern University, US Military Academy - West Point, Black & Veatch, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Research partner: U.S. Department of Energy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling Volumetric Energy Deposition-driven Rayleigh-Taylor Instability

The goal of this work is to simulate a volumetric energy deposition (VED) driven Rayleigh-Taylor instability (RTI). Efforts will focus on simulating effects observed in two-fluid VED-driven RTI experiments. The VED triggers the RTI by changing the density of the fluids through time, hence a variable Atwood number is achieved. While initially stable (heavier fluid on the bottom), the microwave heating creates a density inversion and leads to a RTI. We hope to explore the mechanisms in VED-driven RTI and see how initial perturbations change the dynamics of growth. This work will primarily focus on early-time behavior but will also include steps towards simulating late-time nonlinear behavior.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Data-Driven Control: Theory and Applications

The ushering in of the big-data era, ably supported by exponential advances in computation, has provided new impetus to data-driven control in several engineering sectors. This topic's rapid and deep expansion has precipitated the need to showcase the highlights of data-driven approaches. There has been a rich history of contributions from the control systems community in data-driven control. At the same time, several new concepts and research directions have also been introduced in recent years. Many of these contributions and concepts have started to transition from theory to practical applications. This paper will overview the historical contributions and highlight recent concepts and research directions.

Soudbakhsh, Damoon↗

A Convex Data-Driven Approach for Nonlinear Control Synthesis

We consider a class of nonlinear control synthesis problems where the underlying mathematical models are not explicitly known. We propose a data-driven approach to stabilize the systems when only sample trajectories of the dynamics are accessible. Our method is built on the density-function-based stability certificate that is the dual to the Lyapunov function for dynamic systems. Unlike Lyapunov-based methods, density functions lead to a convex formulation for a joint search of the control strategy and the stability certificate. This type of convex problem can be solved efficiently using the machinery of the sum of squares (SOS). For the data-driven part, we exploit the fact that the duality results in the stability theory can be understood through the lens of Perron–Frobenius and Koopman operators. This allows us to use data-driven methods to approximate these operators and combine them with the SOS techniques to establish a convex formulation of control synthesis. The efficacy of the proposed approach is demonstrated through several examples.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Kink-driven Magnetic Reconnection as the Driver of a Laboratory Plasma Eruption

We report that kink-driven magnetic reconnection serves as an eruption mechanism for a laboratory jet. A flux rope is formed and becomes a filamentary jet. The jet becomes unstable due to kink instability when the Kruskal–Shafranov instability criterion is met, leading to an inflow of reconnecting fields. As a result of kink-driven magnetic reconnection, ions are substantially energized, resulting in enhanced acceleration of the jet. Based on the evidence observed from this laboratory experiment, we propose that kink-driven magnetic reconnection might act as a key driver for laboratory jet eruptions and might be relevant to solar jets associated with kink instability and magnetic reconnection.

Solar magnetic reconnection↗

Data-driven, structure-preserving approximations to entropy-based moment closures for kinetic equations

In this study, we present a data-driven approach for approximating entropy-based closures of moment systems from kinetic equations. The proposed closure learns the entropy function by fitting the map between the moments and the entropy of the moment system, and thus does not depend on the spacetime discretization of the moment system or specific problem configurations such as initial and boundary conditions. With convex and C 2 approximations, this data-driven closure inherits several structural properties from entropy-based closures, such as entropy dissipation, hyperbolicity, and H-Theorem. We construct convex approximations to the Maxwell–Boltzmann entropy using convex splines and neural networks, test them on the plane source benchmark problem for linear transport in slab geometry, and compare the results to the standard, entropy-based systems which solve a convex optimization problem to find the closure. Numerical results indicate that these data-driven closures provide accurate solutions in much less computation time than that required by the optimization routine.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Data-driven model validation for neutrino-nucleus cross section measurements

Neutrino-nucleus cross section measurements are needed to improve interaction modeling to meet the precision needs of neutrino experiments in efforts to measure oscillation parameters and search for physics beyond the Standard Model. We review the difficulties associated with modeling neutrino-nucleus interactions that lead to a dependence on event generators in oscillation analyses and cross section measurements alike. We then describe data-driven model validation techniques intended to address this model dependence. The method relies on utilizing various goodness-of-fit tests and the correlations between different observables and channels to probe the model for defects in the phase space relevant for the desired analysis. These techniques shed light on relevant mismodeling, allowing it to be detected before it begins to bias the cross section results. We compare more commonly used model validation methods which directly validate the model against alternative ones to these data-driven techniques and show their efficacy with fake data studies. These studies demonstrate that employing data-driven model validation in cross section measurements represents a reliable strategy to produce robust results that will stimulate the desired improvements to interaction modeling.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

X-BASE: the first terrestrial carbon and water flux products from an extended data-driven scaling framework, FLUXCOM-X

Mapping in situ eddy covariance measurements of terrestrial land–atmosphere fluxes to the globe is a key method for diagnosing the Earth system from a data-driven perspective. We describe the first global products (called X-BASE) from a newly implemented upscaling framework, FLUXCOM-X, representing an advancement from the previous generation of FLUXCOM products in terms of flexibility and technical capabilities. The X-BASE products are comprised of estimates of CO 2 net ecosystem exchange (NEE), gross primary productivity (GPP), evapotranspiration (ET), and for the first time a novel, fully data-driven global transpiration product (ETT), at high spatial (0.05°) and temporal (hourly) resolution. X-BASE estimates the global NEE at −5.75 ± 0.33 Pg C yr −1 for the period 2001–2020, showing a much higher consistency with independent atmospheric carbon cycle constraints compared to the previous versions of FLUXCOM. The improvement of global NEE was likely only possible thanks to the international effort to increase the precision and consistency of eddy covariance collection and processing pipelines, as well as to the extension of the measurements to more site years resulting in a wider coverage of bioclimatic conditions. However, X-BASE global net ecosystem exchange shows a very low interannual variability, which is common to state-of-the-art data-driven flux products and remains a scientific challenge. With 125 ± 2.1 Pg C yr −1 for the same period, X-BASE GPP is slightly higher than previous FLUXCOM estimates, mostly in temperate and boreal areas. X-BASE evapotranspiration amounts to 74.7×10 3 ± 0.9×10 3 km 3 globally for the years 2001–2020 but exceeds precipitation in many dry areas, likely indicating overestimation in these regions. On average 57 % of evapotranspiration is estimated to be transpiration, in good agreement with isotope-based approaches, but higher than estimates from many land surface models. Despite considerable improvements to the previous upscaling products, many further opportunities for development exist. Pathways of exploration include methodological choices in the selection and processing of eddy covariance and satellite observations, their ingestion into the framework, and the configuration of machine learning methods. For this, the new FLUXCOM-X framework was specifically designed to have the necessary flexibility to experiment, diagnose, and converge to more accurate global flux estimates.

Nelson, Jacob A.↗

Optimum exhaust velocity for laser-driven rockets

The laser-driven rocket in which remotely generated laser power is used to heat propellant belongs basically to the class of specific-impulse limited propulsion systems if difficult missions are considered. It was previously established that trip time reaches a minimum as specific impulse is varied for payload transfers from low earth orbit to synchronous orbit and return via laser-driven rocket propulsion, the computations being based on the perigee-propulsion laser drive described by Minovitch (1972). The present study shows that such minimum occur for all missions and that optimum specific impulse is primarily determined by the mission difficulty. More generally, this optimum specific impulse maximizes payload kinetic energy achievable with a fixed jet power and propulsion time. A formula relating propulsion time parameter to payload ratio is obtained for estimating mission capabilities of laser-driven rockets.

Moeckel, W. E.↗

Light-driven solute transport in Halobacterium halobium

The cell membrane of Halobacterium halobium exhibits differential regions which contain crystalline arrays of a single kind of protein, termed bacteriorhodopsin. This bacterial retinal-protein complex resembles the visual pigment and, after the absorption of protons, translocates H(+) across the cell membrane, leading to an electrochemical gradient for protons between the inside and the outside of the cell. Thus, light is an alternate source of energy in these bacteria, in addition to terminal oxidation. The paper deals with work on light-driven transport in H. halobium with cell envelope vesicles. The discussion covers light-driven movements of H(+), Na(+), and K(+); light-driven amino acid transport; and apparent allosteric control of amino acid transport. The scheme of energy coupling in H. halobium vesicles appears simple, its quantitative details are quite complex and reveal regulatory phenomena. More knowledge is required of the way the coupling components are regulated by the ion gradients present.

Lanyi, J. K.↗

Evaluation of lightning accommodation systems for wind-driven turbine rotors

Wind-driven turbine generators are being evaluated as an alternative source of electric energy. Areas of favorable location for the wind-driven turbines (high wind density) coincide with areas of high incidence of thunderstorm activity. These locations, coupled with the 30-m or larger diameter rotor blades, make the wind-driven turbine blades probable terminations for lightning strikes. Several candidate systems of lightning accommodation for composite-structural-material blades were designed and their effectiveness evaluated by submitting the systems to simulated lightning strikes. The test data were analyzed and system design were reviewed on the basis of the analysis.

Bankaitis, H.↗