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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 253 records · Page 14

LICS Modeling [Slides]

We propose to design a new diagnostic based on laser inverse Compton scattering (LICS) to study the dynamics of runaway electron formation during killer-pellet triggered disruptions in DIII-D, and their subsequent loss. Obtaining a better understanding of transient runaway electrons (and how to suppress them) is one of the highest priorities of the US fusion program. To enable this, we need better measurements of the runaway electron population during and after disruptions. We intend to measure point-wise time-resolved spatial profile and energy distributions of the runaway electrons while they are in the core of the tokamak plasma. While LICS measurements of relativistic e-beams have been successfully made on accelerators, they have never been done in a tokamak. We bring two innovations to this diagnostic concept which should enable 10 times better signal-to-noise ratios than previously envisioned. In particular, we will marry bright short pulse (10’s of picosecond) laser technologies with the availability of short-pulse gated x-ray imagers developed at Los Alamos for the National Ignition Facility (NIF), to reject noise generated by the tokamak and plasma environment. We will generate a Conceptual Physics Basis, a Preliminary Design, and a Final Design package, with associated DIII-D reviews, along with prototype component testing for the diagnostic over the course of the two year duration of this proposal.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multi-frequency progressive refinement for learned inverse scattering

Interpreting scattered acoustic and electromagnetic wave patterns is a computational task that enables remote imaging in a number of important applications, including medical imaging, geophysical exploration, sonar and radar detection, and nondestructive testing of materials. However, accurately and stably recovering an inhomogeneous medium from far-field scattered wave measurements is a computationally difficult problem, due to the nonlinear and non-local nature of the forward scattering process. We design a neural network, called Multi-Frequency Inverse Scattering Network (MFISNet), and a training method to approximate the inverse map from far-field scattered wave measurements at multiple frequencies. We consider three variants of MFISNet, with the strongest performing variant inspired by the recursive linearization method — a commonly used technique for stably inverting scattered wavefield data — that progressively refines the estimate with higher frequency content. MFISNet outperforms past methods in regimes with high-contrast, heterogeneous large objects, and inhomogeneous unknown backgrounds.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Estimation of conditional cumulative incidence functions under generalized semiparametric regression models with missing covariates, with application to analysis of biomarker correlates in vaccine trials

Herein, this article presents generalized semiparametric regression models for conditional cumulative incidence functions with competing risks data when covariates are missing by sampling design or happenstance. A doubly robust augmented inverse probability weighted (AIPW) complete-case approach to estimation and inference is investigated. This approach modifies IPW complete-case estimating equations by exploiting the key features in the relationship between the missing covariates and the phase-one data to improve efficiency. An iterative numerical procedure is derived to solve the nonlinear estimating equations. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established. A simulation study examining the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators shows that the AIPW estimators are more efficient than the IPW estimators. The developed method is applied to the RV144 HIV-1 vaccine efficacy trial to investigate vaccine-induced IgG binding antibodies to HIV-1 as correlates of acquisition of HIV-1 infection while taking account of whether the HIV-1 sequences are near or far from the HIV-1 sequences represented in the vaccine construct.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Multi-Scale Computational Platform for Predictive Modeling of Corrosion in Al-Steel Joints (Final Report)

The research team proposed to develop innovative multi-scale models to predict corrosion and the resulting mechanical performances in aluminum-steel joints. The methods of joining considered are resistance spot welding, self-piercing riveting, and rivet-welding, all suitable for mass production applications. The multi-scale models integrate high throughput first-principle calculations based on density functional theory (DFT), high throughput calculation of phase diagrams (CALPHAD) modeling, and finite element method (FEM) simulations. These models are to be validated through laboratory experiments. Furthermore, the models are available as open source so as to enable scientists and engineers in the community to adapt and contribute to the development and application. The approaches rely on the research team’s extensive experience on the prediction of properties of individual phases at finite temperatures and variable compositions through DFT calculations, and our broad expertise on dissimilar material joining and their corrosion. The proposed computational framework enables high throughput computations for improved predictions of corrosion and the associated mechanical performance in dissimilar material joints, resulting in significant reduction in computational time needed by the current state-of-the-art methods. With the participation of researchers from three universities, an auto manufacturer, two manufacturing technology/equipment suppliers, and a software developer/vendor, the interdisciplinary research team applies the technical development on both phase-based modeling and laboratory experiments into the automobile body joining processes for validation and technology demonstration. The global cost of corrosion was estimated at about 3.4% of the global GDP in 2013. By using available corrosion control practices, it is estimated a saving between 15-35% of the cost of corrosion. In the U.S., more than $276 billion is spent repairing corrosion damage. Prediction of the corrosion and its impact on performance of the dissimilar material joints is critical for reducing the massive number of the current corrosion-based recalls for automobiles. Thus, the project goal is to develop models to enable predictive maintenance and end-of-life planning of multi-metal joints with risk of corrosion under different conditions such as exposure to high temperatures in summer and salt solutions in winter, quantified through its pH. An academia-industry consortium led by the University of Michigan and including Pennsylvania State University, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, University of Georgia, General Motors Company, Livermore Software Technology Corporation, and Optimal Process Technologies, LLC. created multi-scale models for prediction of corrosion in aluminum-steel joint structures such of them used in vehicle subassemblies – chassis and transmission systems. Starting from the first principle calculations, the team developed mathematical and data-driven models to predict the metallic components, which are formed during joining of two metals, for example aluminum and steel - a lightweight multilateral system which is currently used in more than 60% car bodies. These models were used for simulating chemical reactions that are happening when the joining metallic components are exposed to high temperatures and different pH values. The team was able to predict how the corrosion installs on the metallic components and how they lead to a sudden failure of components in cars. Newly developed machine learning algorithms combining Science, Technology, Engineering and Math disciplines, advanced finite element simulation and experimental validations have been integrated in a platform for prediction of the corrosion evolution and prediction the failure of joints under mechanical loadings and fatigue. Moreover, based on machine learning and inverse analysis, the team proposed solutions for designing new metallic alloys less susceptible to corrosion when joining multi-material assembles. An average of 4% error compared with experiments was achieved for the most common joints that are used in vehicle subassemblies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Electrochemically driven carbon dioxide separation

This project explored the viability of a Ni(OH) 2 based hydroxide exchange membrane carbon capture (HEMCC) device for direct air capture. It is built off an H 2 fuel cell based HEMCC previously developed in the Yushan Yan group at University of Delaware. Taking the same membrane-based, electrochemically driven pH gradient concept, similar flux performance was able to be seen in the Ni(OH) 2 system as the H 2 system when using comparable current densities. The project produced two types of membrane electrode assemblies (MEA). The first was a traditional MEA with two electrodes and a membrane, the second was a flow-through membrane MEA. Consistent performance was achieved with the traditional MEA with an energy cost of 1.1 MWh∙ton -1 and flux of 82 kg∙m -2 ∙yr -1 . This was the most stable of the two designs. This project investigated strategies to improve performance with a flow-through membrane design. Two designs were made, one with a cast phase inversion membrane, and one with powdered membrane layer. The template phase inversion membrane achieved low pressure drop but had performance limitations due to a skin layer of membrane limiting CO 2 gas transport. The powdered membrane layer had better performance but higher pressure drop. Finally, using the powdered membrane, commercial battery materials were able to be used in order to achieve higher flux. This showed that the flow through membrane design does have the capability to overcome flux inefficiencies in the traditional MEA. Moreover, the process design of the system is proposed and given in this project. The process mass and energy balances were calculated for a reference plant of 1000 t/yr CO 2 capture, which contains several subsystems, e.g. air processing subsystem, electrical subsystem, and CO 2 purification and compression subsystem is designed and evaluated. Based on our calculation, When the power consumption for stack is 1 MWh t -1 CO 2 , Additional 382 kWh t -1 CO 2 will be consumed by other subsystem of the plant, i.e. The total power consumption of 1.38 MWh t -1 CO 2 , lower than the final milestone of 1.5 MWh t -1 CO 2 in this project.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Phase II Field Demonstration at Lansing Smith Generating Plant, Southport, Florida (Final Report)

The Final Technical Report: Field Test Design and Pressure Management Strategies for Phase II Field Demonstration of Optimal Pressure Control, Plume Management, and Produced Water Strategies presents the culmination of multi-year efforts under the U.S. Department of Energy’s Brine Extraction and Storage Test (BEST) program, led by EPRI in partnership with Gulf Power at the Plant Smith site near Panama City, Florida. The project was designed to evaluate and demonstrate the technical feasibility of managing subsurface pressures and fluid movement associated with large-scale CO₂ injection, using low-salinity water as a proxy fluid. Through a combination of field injection testing, reservoir modeling, and optimization studies, the research team developed and refined active and passive brine extraction strategies aimed at controlling injection-induced pressure buildup, mitigating risks of fault activation, and managing plume migration. The field demonstration incorporated a new injection well (TIW-2), a new monitoring/extraction well (TEMW-A), and an existing well (TIW-1) repurposed for passive pressure relief. Complementary geophysical monitoring was designed to track plume development and evaluate the effectiveness of pressure management strategies. The report details the integrated workflow encompassing wellfield development, regulatory permitting, model calibration, and survey design. It includes a comprehensive electromagnetic (EM) modeling and inversion study used to develop a cost-effective, time-lapse geophysical monitoring plan capable of imaging the evolving low-salinity plume within the highly saline Lower Tuscaloosa formation. Reservoir simulation results guided the design of the 17-month injection program and the timing of active extraction to maintain formation pressures below a hypothetical fault reactivation threshold. Supporting analyses evaluated potential injectivity risks related to clay fines migration and geochemical incompatibility, identifying practical mitigation measures such as salinity and pH control. The final design recommends a series of crosswell EM surveys—conducted before, during, and after injection—as the most effective and economical approach for plume imaging, supplemented by continuous downhole pressure and flow monitoring. Collectively, the study provides a field-ready framework for cost-effective pressure management and monitoring in support of future CO₂ storage projects.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

Improving inverse Compton sources by avoiding non-linearities

We present a new, more nuanced understanding of non-linear effects in inverse Compton sources. Deleterious non-linear effects can arise even at low laser intensities, a regime previously viewed as linear. After laying out a survey of non-linear phenomena which degrade the effectiveness of inverse Compton sources, we discuss two powerful techniques designed to avoid these non-linearities. Starting with the known technique of non-linear longitudinal chirping of the laser pulse in the high laser field regime, we show that the simple stretching of the laser pulse, while keeping the energy constant, can significantly increase the spectral density of the scattered radiation in many operating regimes. Our numerical simulations show that combining these two techniques avoids detrimental non-linearities and improves the performance of inverse Compton sources over an order of magnitude.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Rapid Patterning and Advanced Device Structures for Low Cost Manufacturable Crystalline Si IBC Cells

Recent record efficiency Si cells have had an interdigitated back contact (IBC) design where both positive and negative contacts are fabricated on the back side of the Si wafer. Many industry groups have investigated IBC cells but used photolithography to pattern the rear contacts although it is considered impractical for low cost, high volume manufacturing. Alternative patterning methods using lasers and mechanical masking have been utilized in fabrication of patterned regions in IBC Si solar cells to replace photolithography. Another exciting advance in Si solar cell technology has been replacing the high temperature diffusion of doped regions inside the crystalline Si wafer with low temperature deposition of very thin layers of doped amorphous hydrogenated Si (a-Si:H) on the Si wafer. This is called a Si heterojunction (HJ) device. The a-Si:H provides excellent passivation of surface defects and has produced the highest open circuit voltages (VOC) of any Si solar cell device structure. The Institute of Energy Conversion (IEC) demonstrated the first IBC-HJ solar cell combining these two strategies in 2007 and has fabricated IBC-HJ cells with 20% efficiency using three photolithography steps. Despite the demonstrated efficiency potential of this device by industry groups (>26%) there is no commercial production because of the challenges of patterning and processing the structure in an industrial environment. Our work sought to address that challenge. The objective of this 3 year project was to develop the processing for the IBC-HJ Si solar cell using lasers for patterning and contact formation instead of photolithography. Laser patterning enables rapid, contactless manufacturing of patterned regions. We intensively studied laser fired contacts, laser patterning of the a-Si multi-layer stacks and metal layers and the use of plasma shadow masks. After an exhaustive focus in the first year on the laser fired emitter (LFE) and contact (LFC), we were unable to achieve VOC greater than 660 mV, compared to the 720 mV required to meet our milestones. We discovered that an additional issue with our original IBC structure was the presence of an inversion layer at the back surface connecting the p and n regions which reduced the VOC and fill factor (FF). We developed innovative methods for characterizing the inversion layer. These two limitations in the original design lead to development of a new IBC-HJ process sequence and device structure which we called Plasma Masked Laser Processed (PMLP). It retained the original high efficiency features including manufacturability. The LFC was replaced with a standard n-type a-Si HJ contact. The inversion layer was eliminated by replacing the previous p-type stack in the gap with an n-type or SiN stack. The PMLP used laser ablation of a multi-layer a-Si stack followed by chemical etching to open the n-contact. It required deposition of a patterned stack through a mask in the plasma deposition chamber. This turned out to be a source of significant problems due to inevitable unwanted deposition ‘leakage’ under the mask. This formed a blocking contact on the emitter which significantly reduced Voc and FF. Several iterations in PMLP device structure and chemical etching steps resulted in a large improvements, e.g. the efficiency increasing from 3 to 15% and Voc from 450 to 660 mV but they were unable to completely eliminate it. The best IBC-HJ device we fabricated had only 15% efficiency. For perspective, our standard FHJ devices had 20% efficiency.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Multi-variance replica exchange SGMCMC for inverse and forward problems via Bayesian PINN

Physics-informed neural network (PINN) has been successfully applied in solving a variety of nonlinear non-convex forward and inverse problems. However, the training is challenging because of the non-convex loss functions and the multiple optima in the Bayesian inverse problem. In this work, we propose a multi-variance replica exchange stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics method to tackle the challenge of the multiple local optima in the optimization and the challenge of the multiple modal posterior distribution in the inverse problem. Replica exchange methods are capable of escaping from the local traps and accelerating the convergence; two chains with different temperatures are designed where the low temperature chain aims for the local convergence, and the target of the high temperature chain is to travel globally and explore the whole loss function entropy landscape. However, it may not be efficient to solve mathematical inversion problems by using the vanilla replica method directly since the method doubles the computational cost in evaluating the forward solvers (likelihood functions) in the two chains. To address this issue, we propose to make different assumptions on the energy function estimation and this facilities one to use solvers of different fidelities in the likelihood function evaluation. More precisely, one can use a solver with low fidelity in the high temperature chain while using a solver with high fidelity in the low temperature chain. Our proposed method significantly lowers the computational cost in the high temperature chain, meanwhile preserving the accuracy and converging very fast. Here we give an unbiased estimate of the swapping rate and give an estimation of the discretization error of the scheme. To verify our idea, we design and solve four inverse problems which have multiple modes. The proposed method is also employed to train the Bayesian PINN to solve the forward and inverse problems; faster and more accurate convergence has been observed when compared to the stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD) method and vanilla replica exchange methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Multimodal parameter spaces of a complex multi-channel neuron model

One of the most common types of models that helps us to understand neuron behavior is based on the Hodgkin–Huxley ion channel formulation (HH model). A major challenge with inferring parameters in HH models is non-uniqueness: many different sets of ion channel parameter values produce similar outputs for the same input stimulus. Such phenomena result in an objective function that exhibits multiple modes (i.e., multiple local minima). This non-uniqueness of local optimality poses challenges for parameter estimation with many algorithmic optimization techniques. HH models additionally have severe non-linearities resulting in further challenges for inferring parameters in an algorithmic fashion. To address these challenges with a tractable method in high-dimensional parameter spaces, we propose using a particular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, which has the advantage of inferring parameters in a Bayesian framework. The Bayesian approach is designed to be suitable for multimodal solutions to inverse problems. We introduce and demonstrate the method using a three-channel HH model. We then focus on the inference of nine parameters in an eight-channel HH model, which we analyze in detail. We explore how the MCMC algorithm can uncover complex relationships between inferred parameters using five injected current levels. The MCMC method provides as a result a nine-dimensional posterior distribution, which we analyze visually with solution maps or landscapes of the possible parameter sets. The visualized solution maps show new complex structures of the multimodal posteriors, and they allow for selection of locally and globally optimal value sets, and they visually expose parameter sensitivities and regions of higher model robustness. We envision these solution maps as enabling experimentalists to improve the design of future experiments, increase scientific productivity and improve on model structure and ideation when the MCMC algorithm is applied to experimental data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

CO 2 Hydrogenation to Methanol over Inverse ZrO 2 /Cu(111) Catalysts: The Fate of Methoxy under Dry and Wet Conditions

Understanding the surface chemistry of CH 3 O species is essential for the production of methanol by CO 2 hydrogenation over Cu-based heterogeneous catalysts, as it facilitates the rational design of more efficient conversion processes. Recent research has identified inverse ZrO 2 /Cu catalysts as highly active and selective systems for the transformation of CO 2 to methanol with a performance that can be better than that of commercial Cu/ZnO catalysts. Here, we employed synchrotron-based ambient pressure X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (AP-XPS) and calculations based on density functional theory (DFT) to understand the fate of CH 3 O groups under dry and wet environments. AP-XPS spectra revealed that under CO 2 hydrogenation conditions, formate and methoxy are two key intermediates to produce methanol. Furthermore, there are three different types of reactive sites on the surface: One is active for methoxy adsorption, which is stable and responsible for the methanol synthesis; Another one transforms CO 2 into CO; and a third one is active for CO 2 and methoxy dissociation, leading to C and methane formation. The theoretical calculations indicate that CH 3 OH readily dissociates to CH 3 O species following a highly exothermic (ΔE = -20.99 kcal/mol) and barrierless process. The water produced by the reverse water-gas shift reaction (CO 2 + H 2 → H 2 O + CO) can prevent the decomposition of CH 3 O species. We discovered that by introducing a tiny amount of water vapor (2 × 10 -6 Torr) into the reaction chamber, the energy barrier for the reaction CH 3 O(ads) + H(ads) → CH 3 OH(gas) is dramatically reduced. AP-XPS and computational modelling showed that water is quite capable of extracting adsorbed methoxy to form gaseous methanol. With this in mind, one could boost the methanol selectivity by adding appropriate amounts of water or steam, which is an inexpensive and feasible solution for industrial operations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Artificial Intelligence Designer of Materials and Processes for Advanced Power Generation

In this presentation, ‘deep-freeze’ graphs, ‘convoluted filtering’ networks, ‘mirror-image’ graphs, and adversarial ensemble methods are utilized to support inversion modeling for optimization of the complex compositions and complex processes in design of high-performing alloys, with their properties tailored to the energy application specifications.

Romanov, Vyacheslav↗

Machine learning-accelerated discovery of heat-resistant polysulfates for electrostatic energy storage

The development of heat-resistant dielectric polymers that withstand intense electric fields at high temperatures is critical for electrification. Balancing thermal stability and electrical insulation, however, is exceptionally challenging as these properties are often inversely correlated. A traditional intuition-driven polymer design approach results in a slow discovery loop that limits breakthroughs. Here we present a machine learning-driven strategy to rapidly identify high-performance, heat-resistant polymers. A trustworthy feed-forward neural network is trained to predict key proxy parameters and down select polymer candidates from a library of nearly 50,000 polysulfates. The highly efficient and modular sulfur fluoride exchange click chemistry enables successful synthesis and validation of selected candidates. A polysulfate featuring a 9,9-di(naphthalene)-fluorene repeat unit exhibits excellent thermal resilience and achieves ultrahigh discharged energy density with over 90% efficiency at 200 °C. Its exceptional cycling stability underscores its promise for applications in demanding electrified environments.

Li, He↗

Efficient Optimization of Plasma Radiation Detector Configurations using Imperfect Inference Models

The configurations of instruments fielded on an experiment affect the amount of information captured and the quality of subsequent inference. Here, we investigate the problem of optimizing plasma x-ray radiation detectors in a magneto-inertial fusion experiment at Sandia National Laboratories. It is impossible to directly measure properties such as the temperature of the thermonuclear fusion plasma produced in these experiments because of the extreme environment and destructive nature of the experiment. Among other diagnostics, several detectors are placed with significant standoff from the fusion target to capture the x-rays emitted by the fusion plasma, which can be used to infer some of its properties. To optimize the configuration of these detectors, a high-fidelity model (HFM) is used for simulating outputs and a low-fidelity model (LFM) is used for inference. We develop methods based on A- and L-optimality criteria that are efficient to compute while explicitly accounting for the discrepancy between the HFM and the LFM. The method allows us to find detector configurations that perform similarly to or better than the configuration obtained using an existing sampling-based optimization method while decreasing computational time by a factor of 50. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.

Bayesian optimization↗

Bayesian sequential optimal experimental design for nonlinear models using policy gradient reinforcement learning

We present a mathematical framework and computational methods for optimally designing a finite sequence of experiments. This sequential optimal experimental design (sOED) problem is formulated as a finite-horizon partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) under a Bayesian setting and with information-theoretic utilities. The formulation is general and may accommodate continuous random variables, non-Gaussian posteriors, and nonlinear forward models. The sOED design policy incorporates elements of feedback and lookahead simultaneously, and we show it to generalize the commonly-used batch and greedy design strategies. We solve for the sOED policy using the policy gradient (PG) method from reinforcement learning, and provide a derivation for the PG expression in the sOED context. Adopting an actor-critic approach, the policy and value functions are parameterized using deep neural networks and improved via PG estimates produced from simulated episodes of designs and observations. The new PG-sOED algorithm is first validated on a linear-Gaussian benchmark, and then compared against other design baselines on a sensor movement problem for contaminant source inversion in a convection-diffusion field. As a result, we provide explanation for the policy behaviors using knowledge of the underlying physical process.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗