Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “observability analysis”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 253 records · Page 14
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2017

Inter-Relationship Between Subtropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature, Arctic Sea Ice Concentration, and the North Atlantic Oscillation in Recent Summers and Winters

The inter-relationship between subtropical western-central Pacific sea surface temperatures (STWCPSST), sea ice concentration in the Beaufort Sea (SICBS), and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are investigated for the last 37 summers and winters (1980-2016). Lag-correlation of the STWCPSST×(-1) in spring with the NAO phase and SICBS in summer increases over the last two decades, reaching r = 0.4-0.5 with significance at 5 percent, while winter has strong correlations in approximately 1985-2005. Observational analysis and the atmospheric general circulation model experiments both suggest that STWCPSST warming acts to increase the Arctic geopotential height and temperature in the following season. This atmospheric response extends to Greenland, providing favorable conditions for developing the negative phase of the NAO. SIC and surface albedo tend to decrease over the Beaufort Sea in summer, linked to the positive surface net shortwave flux. Energy balance considering radiative and turbulent fluxes reveal that available energy that can heat surface is larger over the Arctic and Greenland and smaller over the south of Greenland, in response to the STWCPSST warming in spring. XXXX Arctic & Atlantic: Positive upper-level height/T anomaly over the Arctic and Greenland, and a negative anomaly over the central-eastern Atlantic, resembling the (-) phase of the NAO. Pacific: The negative height/T anomaly over the mid-latitudes, along with the positive anomaly over the STWCP, where 1degC warming above climatology is prescribed. Discussion: It is likely that the Arctic gets warm and the NAO is in the negative phase in response to the STWCP warming. But, there are other factors (e.g., internal variability) that contribute to determination of the NAO phase: not always the negative phase of the NAO in the event of STWCP warming (e.g.: recent winters and near neutral NAO in 2017 summer).

Lim, Young-Kwon↗
NASA NTRS2021

Physical Characteristics of Unstructured Coronal Clouds

Active regions in the inner solar corona, when observed in X-ray emission, consist of bright, hot loops surrounded by unstructured clouds. The emission from the clouds extends to a height of≈4–5×104km at temperatures of ≈2–3 MK. These “hot clouds” are variable, but persist for many days and do not appear to connect directly to the active region streamers or other large-scale structures observed higher in the corona. We present an observational analysis of these diffuse structures to establish basic plasma parameters such as magnetic field strength, particle density, and temperature. The values ofβ, the ratio of the plasma pressure to the magnetic field pressure, were found to be generally less than unity, though often approaching unity in the upper portions of the active region, where the hot clouds are located. The magnetic field may therefore only partially confine these regions and inhibit flare-like instabilities that could otherwise be driven by gradients of plasma pressure and current density.

The Sun↗
NASA NTRS2023

Deciphering Solar Magnetic Activity: The (Solar) Hale Cycle Terminator of 2021

McIntosh and colleagues identified an event in the solar timeline that appeared to play a role in how Sunspot Cycle 23 (SC23) transitioned into Sunspot Cycle 24 (SC24). The timeframe for this transition was rapid, taking place in as short as time as a solar rotation. M2014 inferred that the transition observed was a critical episode for the Sun’s global-scale magnetic field that was being manifest in the spatially and temporally overlapping and magnetic systems belonging to the Sun’s 22-year (Hale) magnetic cycle. These events have been dubbed as Hale Cycle terminations, or ‘terminators’ for short. Further exploration revealed a relationship between terminator separation (as a measure of overlap in the Hale Cycles) and the upcoming sunspot cycle amplitude. McIntosh and colleagues extrapolated upon this relationship to identify the termination of the SC24 carrying Hale Cycle band in Mid-2020 and inferred that this would result in a very large Sunspot Cycle 25 (SC25). This paper presents observational analysis of the end of SC24 and the initial months of SC25 growth following a terminator that occurred in mid-December 2021 (approximately 12/13/2021). We use the December 2021 terminator to finalize the forecast of SC25 amplitude 184 (±17 with 95% confidence, and ±63 with 68% confidence). Finally, we use other terminator-related superposed epoch analyses to project the timing of SC25 maxima in late 2023 to mid 2024.

Sun↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Martian B Storm Evolution: Modeling Dust Activity over the Receding South Polar CO 2 Ice Cap at Southern Hemisphere Summer Solstice

Observations of annually recurring, elevated (25 km) atmospheric warming and associated dust concentrations over the south polar cap near Southern Hemisphere (SH) summer solstice are the defining features of the regional dust storm known as the B storm [1]. Our observational analysis of MCS and TES temperature and dust retrievals include all Mars Years (MY) lacking a global dust storm (GDS) between MY 26 and MY 33 (Figure 1). The data indicate the B storm is initiated around perihelion (L s =252°) in the southern midlatitudes and reaches maximum height and intensity over the south pole near SH summer solstice at L s ~267°. At peak intensity, mid-level atmospheric temperatures are elevated by as much as 30 K and mid-level atmospheric dust mixing ratios are more than triple pre-B storm levels (1.5-2 ppm to 7-8 ppm). Cap edge lifting may contribute significantly to initial dust mobilization in the B storm since surface wind stress along the receding cap edge is likely strengthened by the combined effects of the sea breeze circulation and katabatic winds at this time of year [2, 3, 4]. We are investigating dust lifting and lofting near the south pole of Mars during SH summer using the NASA Ames Mars Global Climate Model (MGCM). The NASA Ames MGCM is a finite-volume numerical model with a cubed sphere grid ideal for modeling processes at high latitudes. Initial simulations at low resolution (4x4 degrees) capture some elevated dust and associated warming at the south pole around L s =265°, but the model fails to capture the intensity of the B storm. We will examine and present the model-predicted surface stress and vertical velocities near the receding seasonal CO 2 cap edge and at the south pole during solstice. Finally, we will present higher resolution simulations to better capture small-scale dynamics and features at the pole.

Courtney M. L. Batterson↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Evaluation of Water and Energy Cycles in Contemporary Atmospheric Reanalyses in US Basins

Global atmospheric reanalyses have become an important tool for climate studies, owing to the inclusion of observation driven model quantities that are not easily observed, if at all. This includes the study of regional water and energy budgets, despite the fact that the physical terms of the budgets do not balance, owing in large part to the influence of assimilated observations. Here, we focus on the regional water and energy budgets for key river basins in the US, related to the Humans and Hydroclimate in the US (H2US, a Global Energy and Watercycle EXchanges, GEWEX, regional hydroclimate project). Regional budgets and their residuals (related to the assimilated observations) from contemporary reanalyses will be evaluated and intercompared to assess the improvements over previous reanalyses and identify their strengths and weaknesses as contributions to H2US. When available, the observational analysis increments will be quantified directly, and as residuals when that information is missing. Early results show improvements over the Mississippi River basin water cycle closure, and reduced analysis increments. However, the energy analysis increments show non negligible seasonality. Results for the Colorado River basin and National Climate Assessment (NCA) regions will also be presented. The results will emphasize the need for reanalyses and models to produce complete budget equation terms.

Michael Bosilovich↗
DOE OSTI2023

Refining fast simulation using machine learning

At the CMS experiment, a growing reliance on the fast Monte Carlo application (FastSim) will accompany the high luminosity and detector granularity expected in Phase 2. The FastSim chain is roughly 10 times faster than the application based on the GEANT4 detector simulation and full reconstruction referred to as FullSim. However, this advantage comes at the price of decreased accuracy in some of the final analysis observables. In this contribution, a machine learning-based technique to refine those observables is presented. We employ a regression neural network trained with a sophisticated combination of multiple loss functions to provide post-hoc corrections to samples produced by the FastSim chain. The results show considerably improved agreement with the FullSim output and an improvement in correlations among output observables and external parameters. This technique is a promising replacement for existing correction factors, providing higher accuracy and thus contributing to the wider usage of FastSim.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
NASA NTRS1977

A photometric study of the Orion OB 1 association. I - Observational data. II - Photometric analysis

A catalog of observational data is presented for stars in the region of the young stellar association Orion OB 1. Photoelectric observations obtained in the uvby-beta and UBV systems are compiled along with previous photoelectric and spectroscopic data for all these stars as well as for several bright members of the association with available photometric indices. Mean weighted values are computed for the photometric data and summarized in tables expected to be reasonably complete for association members earlier than spectral type A0. Membership criteria are derived, and qualitative membership probabilities summarized, for the 526 stars in the final program. The analytical procedures are discussed for association stars of B, intermediate, and AF types. Effects of the nebular environment and various calibrations of Balmer-line and four-color indices are considered for the determination of absolute magnitudes for the B-type stars.

Warren, W. H., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Study for the analysis of the observations, and numerical data representing the planets as far-infrared calibration sources

The existing radiative transfer and inversion programs will be modified for application to the atmospheres of Uranus, Neptune, and Jupiter. The programs will be employed for analysis of KAO planetary observations in order to develop far infrared photometric calibration standards. This work will be carried out on MSFC computers. The expected end product of this task is a working program for analysis of the observations, and numerical data representing the planets as far-infrared calibration sources.

Wu, Shi Tsan↗
NASA NTRS1991

Mars Observer orbit determination analysis

Results are presented of a simulated orbit determination analysis for three phases of the Mars Observer mission (interplanetary cruise, orbit insertion, and mapping), together with a summary of orbital accuracies throughout the Mars Observer mission. The plan for achieving the navigation objectives of the Mars Observer mission is described. These objectives are to navigate the Mars Observer spacecraft to Mars and achieve accurate targeting at Mars; to propulsively maneuver the spacecraft into a 3-day period, capture orbit; to navigate the spacecraft into a 1.96-hr period low-altitude, nearly circular mapping orbit; and to maintain Mars Observer in the mapping orbit throughout the 687 days devoted for scientific data acquisition. Factors that will affect the spacecraft during each of the three phases are discussed.

Esposito, Pasquale↗
NASA NTRS1986

Mars Observer orbital accuracy analysis

Attention is given to the orbital accuracy of the Mars Observer (MO) spacecraft throughout its 687 days of mapping (scheduled to commence in 1991). The MO's short period and near circular orbit necessitate a multiorbit analysis in which the spacecraft's motion is strongly perturbed by the local and global gravity field of Mars. This analysis attests to the feasibility of achieving an orbital position accuracy at the level of 2-3 km within the data interval. It is found that Very Long Baseline Interferometric data can rectify a situation in which the position accuracy degrades significantly.

Esposito, P. B.↗
NASA NTRS1989

Latitudinal variations of ammonia in the atmosphere of Uranus - An analysis of microwave observations

A 2-cm wavelength VLA map of Uranus is found upon analysis to display strong limb darkening and a lack of symmetry about the subearth point, perhaps due to a latitudinally varying NH3 mixing ratio. The change in NH3 abundance occurs near -45 deg latitude, and the calculated NH3 molar mixing ratios in the 5-20 bar region average 4.9 + or - 0.7 x 10 to the -7th at -90 to -45 deg latitudes, and 1.3 + or - 0.4 x 10 to the -6th at -45 to -15 deg latitudes. The model is in agreement both with previous work indicating the depletion of ammonia relative to solar abundance and a preliminary analysis of 6-cm data.

Hofstadter, Mark D.↗
NASA NTRS2002

Sources of Tropospheric Ozone along the Asian Pacific Rim: An Analysis of Ozonesonde Observations

The sources contributing to tropospheric ozone over the Asian Pacific Rim in different seasons are quantified by analysis of Hong Kong and Japanese ozonesonde observations with a global three-dimensional (3-D) chemical transport model (GEOS-CHEM) driven by assimilated meteorological observations. Particular focus is placed on the extensive observations available from Hong Kong in 1996. In the middle-upper troposphere (MT- UT), maximum Asian pollution influence along the Pacific Rim occurs in summer, reflecting rapid convective transport of surface pollution. In the lower troposphere (LT) the season of maximum Asian pollution influence shifts to summer at midlatitudes from fall at low latitudes due to monsoonal influence. The UT ozone minimum and high variability observed over Hong Kong in winter reflects frequent tropical intrusions alternating with stratospheric intrusions. Asian biomass burning makes a major contribution to ozone at less than 32 deg.N in spring. Maximum European pollution influence (less than 5 ppbv) occurs in spring in the LT. North American pollution influence exceeds European influence in the UT-MT, reflecting the uplift from convection and the warm conveyor belts over the eastern seaboard of North America. African outflow makes a major contribution to ozone in the low-latitude MT-UT over the Pacific Rim during November- April. Lightning influence over the Pacific Rim is minimum in summer due to westward UT transport at low latitudes associated with the Tibetan anticyclone. The Asian outflow flux of ozone to the Pacific is maximum in spring and fall and includes a major contribution from Asian anthropogenic sources year-round.

Liu, Hong-Yu↗
NASA NTRS2011

Analysis of Voyager Observed High-Energy Electron Fluxes in the Heliosheath Using MHD Simulations

The Voyager spacecraft (V1 and V2) observed electrons of 6-14 MeV in the heliosheath which showed several incidences of flux variation relative to a background of gradually increasing flux with distance from the Sun. The increasing flux of background electrons is thought to result from inward radial diffusion. We compare the temporal electron flux variation with dynamical phenomena in the heliosheath that are obtained from our MHD simulations. Because our simulation is based on V2 observed plasma data before V2 crossed the termination shock, this analysis is effective up to late 2008, i.e., about a year after the V2-crossing, during which disturbances, driven prior to the crossing time, survived in the heliosheath. Several electron flux variations correspond to times directly associated with interplanetary shock events. One noteworthy example corresponds to various times associated with the March 2006 interplanetary shock, these being the collision with the termination shock, the passage past the V1 spacecraft, and the collision with the region near the heliopause, as identified by W.R. Webber et al. for proton/helium of 7-200 MeV. Our simulations indicate that all other electron flux variations, except one, correspond well to the times when a shock-driven magneto-sonic pulse and its reflection in the heliosheath either passed across V1/V2, or collided with the termination shock or with the plasma sheet near the heliopause. This result suggests that variation in the electron flux should be due to either direct or indirect effects of magnetosonic pulses in the heliosheath driven by interplanetary shocks

Washimi, Haruichi↗
NASA NTRS1993

Analysis of IUE observations of hydrogen in comets

The large body of hydrogen Lyman-alpha observations of cometary comae obtained with the International Ultraviolet Explorer satellite has gone generally unanalyzed because of two main modeling complications. First, the inner comae of many bright (gas productive) comets are often optically thick to solar Lyman-alpha radiation. Second, even in the case of a small comet (low gas production) the large IUE aperture is quite small as compared with the immense size of the hydrogen coma, so an accurate model which properly accounts for the spatial distribution of the coma is required to invert the inferred brightnesses to column densities and finally to H atom production rates. Our Monte Carlo particle trajectory model (MPTM), which for the first time provides the realistic full phase space distribution of H atoms throughout the coma was used as the basis for the analysis of IUE observations of the inner coma. The MCPTM includes the effects of the vectorial ejection of the H atoms upon dissociation of their parent species (H2O and OH) and of their partial collisional thermalization. Both of these effects are crucial to characterize the velocity distribution of the H atoms. A new spherical radiative transfer calculation based on our MCPTM was developed to analyze IUE observations of optically thick H comae. The models were applied to observations of comets P/Giacobini-Zinner and P/Halley.

Combi, Michael R.↗
NASA NTRS1998

Analysis of IUE Observations of Hydrogen in Comets

The 15-years worth of hydrogen Lyman-alpha observations of cometary comae obtained with the International Ultraviolet Explorer (IUE) satellite had gone generally unanalyzed because of two main modeling complications. First, the inner comae of many bright (gas productive) comets are often optically thick to solar Lyman-alpha radiation. Second, even in the case of a small comet (low gas production) the large IUE aperture is quite small as compared with the immense size of the hydrogen coma, so an accurate model which properly accounts for the spatial distribution of the coma is required to invert the infrared brightnesses to column densities and finally to H atom production rates. Our Monte Carlo particle trajectory model (MCPTM), which for the first time provides the realistic full phase space distribution of H atoms throughout the coma has been used as the basis for the analysis of IUE observations of the inner coma. The MCPTM includes the effects of the vectorial ejection of the H atoms upon dissociation of their parent species (H2O and OH) and of their partial collisional thermalization. Both of these effects are crucial to characterize the velocity distribution of the H atoms. This combination of the MCPTM and spherical radiative transfer code had already been shown to be successful in understanding the moderately optically thick coma of comet P/Giacobini-Zinner and the coma of comet Halley that varied from being slightly to very optically thick. Both of these comets were observed during solar minimum conditions. Solar activity affects both the photochemistry of water and the solar Lyman-alpha radiation flux. The overall plan of this program here was to concentrate on comets observed by IUE at other time during the solar cycle, most importantly during the two solar maxima of 1980 and 1990. Described herein are the work performed and the results obtained.

Combi, Michael R.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Verification of the SMAP Level-4 Soil Moisture Analysis Using Rainfall Observations in Australia

Global, 3-hourly, 9-km resolution soil moisture estimates are available with a mean latency of ~2.5 days from the NASA Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission Level-4 Soil Moisture (L4_SM) product. These estimates are based on the assimilation of SMAP radiometer brightness temperature (Tb) observations into the NASA Catchment land surface model using a spatially distributed ensemble Kalman filter. Routine monitoring of the L4_SM system's assimilation diagnostics revealed occasionally large observation-minus-forecast Tb differences across eastern central Australia that resulted in large analysis increments (or adjustments) of the model forecast soil moisture. Because this region lacks in situ soil moisture measurements, we developed an alternative approach to assess the veracity of the soil moisture analysis increments in the L4_SM system. Using regional gauge-based precipitation data, we demonstrate that the L4_SM soil moisture increments are correlated with errors in the L4_SM precipitation forcing, suggesting that the SMAP Tb observations contribute valuable information to the L4_SM soil moisture estimates.

Reichle, R.↗