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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 253 records · Page 14

Simulation-based inference for parameter estimation of complex watershed simulators

High-resolution, spatially distributed process-based (PB) simulators are widely employed in the study of complex catchment processes and their responses to a changing climate. However, calibrating these PB simulators using observed data remains a significant challenge due to several persistent issues, including the following: (1) intractability stemming from the computational demands and complex responses of simulators, which renders infeasible calculation of the conditional probability of parameters and data, and (2) uncertainty stemming from the choice of simplified representations of complex natural hydrologic processes. Here, we demonstrate how simulation-based inference (SBI) can help address both of these challenges with respect to parameter estimation. SBI uses a learned mapping between the parameter space and observed data to estimate parameters for the generation of calibrated simulations. To demonstrate the potential of SBI in hydrologic modeling, we conduct a set of synthetic experiments to infer two common physical parameters – Manning's coefficient and hydraulic conductivity – using a representation of a snowmelt-dominated catchment in Colorado, USA. We introduce novel deep-learning (DL) components to the SBI approach, including an “emulator” as a surrogate for the PB simulator to rapidly explore parameter responses. We also employ a density-based neural network to represent the joint probability of parameters and data without strong assumptions about its functional form. While addressing intractability, we also show that, if the simulator does not represent the system under study well enough, SBI can yield unreliable parameter estimates. Approaches to adopting the SBI framework for cases in which multiple simulator(s) may be adequate are introduced using a performance-weighting approach. The synthetic experiments presented here test the performance of SBI, using the relationship between the surrogate and PB simulators as a proxy for the real case.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Kinetics in a turbulent nebular cloud

Model calculations, which include the effects of turbulence during subsequent solar nebula evolution after the collapse of a cool interstellar cloud, can reconcile some of the apparent differences between physical parameters obtained from theory and the cosmochemical record. Two important aspects of turbulence in a protoplanetary cloud include the growth and transport of solid grains. While the physical effects of the process can be calculated and compared with the probable remains of the nebula formulation period, the more subtle effects on primitive grains and their survival in the cosmochemical record cannot be readily evaluated. The environment offered by the Space Station (or Space Shuttle) experimental facility can provide the vacuum and low gravity conditions for sufficiently long time periods required for experimental verification of these cosmochemical models.

Mackinnon, Ian D. R.↗

Differential surface models for tactile perception of shape and on-line tracking of features

Tactile perception of shape involves an on-line controller and a shape perceptor. The purpose of the on-line controller is to maintain gliding or rolling contact with the surface, and collect information, or track specific features of the surface such as edges of a certain sharpness. The shape perceptor uses the information to perceive, estimate the parameters of, or recognize the shape. The differential surface model depends on the information collected and on the a priori information known about the robot and its physical parameters. These differential models are certain functionals that are projections of the dynamics of the robot onto the surface gradient or onto the tangent plane. A number of differential properties may be directly measured from present day tactile sensors. Others may have to be indirectly computed from measurements. Others may constitute design objectives for distributed tactile sensors of the future. A parameterization of the surface leads to linear and nonlinear sequential parameter estimation techniques for identification of the surface. Many interesting compromises between measurement and computation are possible.

Hemami, H.↗

TOVS Pathfinder product validation and intercomparison

Validation and intercomparison is an essential part of the Pathfinder program. Since its organization within the International TOVS Working Group, the TOVS community has continuously emphasized this aspect of the product retrieval problem. In the previous sections of this report, the TOVS Pathfinder SWG has recommended a careful and coherent reorganization and archiving of TOVS radiance data, and three distinct pathways for deriving product variables from this TOVS radiance archive. The importance in taking this multiple path approach to creating climate datasets rests in our firm belief that there is now global 'absolute truth' data for any of the derived physical parameters. Each of the selected methods is based upon a different set of assumptions. The challenge in interpreting Pathfinder data is to determine what alterations in the physical attributes of the environment contribute to evidence of global change extracted from observed or derived Pathfinder datasets. The Pathfinder validation and intercomparison activity must include validation of the forward problem, by which one calculates an estimate of upwelling radiance information from given earth and atmospheric data, and validation of the inverse problem, by which one calculates estimates of earth and atmospheric information from given upwelling satellite spectral radiance data.

Source record↗

Spectral Power-law Formation by Sequential Particle Acceleration in Multiple Flare Magnetic Islands

We present a first-principles model of pitch-angle and energy distribution function evolution as particles are sequentially accelerated by multiple flare magnetic islands. Data from magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations of an eruptive flare/coronal mass ejection provide ambient conditions for the evolving particle distributions. Magnetic islands, which are created by sporadic reconnection at the self-consistently formed flare current sheet, contract and accelerate the particles. The particle distributions are evolved using rules derived in our previous work. In this investigation, we assume that a prescribed fraction of particles sequentially "hops" to another accelerator and receives an additional boost in energy and anisotropy. This sequential process generates particle number spectra that obey an approximate power law at mid-range energies and presents low- and high-energy breaks. We analyze these spectral regions as functions of the model parameters. We also present a fully analytic method for forming and interpreting such spectra, independent of the sequential acceleration model. The method requires only a few constrained physical parameters, such as the percentage of particles transferred between accelerators, the energy gain in each accelerator, and the number of accelerators visited. Our investigation seeks to bridge the gap between MHD and kinetic regimes by combining global simulations and analytic kinetic theory. The model reproduces and explains key characteristics of observed flare hard X-ray spectra as well as the underlying properties of the accelerated particles. Our analytic model provides tools to interpret high-energy observations for missions and telescopes, such as RHESSI, FOXSI, NuSTAR, Solar Orbiter, EOVSA, and future high-energy missions.

magnetic reconnection↗

Parameter identification for a robotic manipulator arm

The development is described of a nonlinear dynamic model for large oscillations of a robotic manipulator arm about a single joint. Optimization routines are formulated and implemented for the identification of electrical and physical parameters from dynamic data taken from an industrial robot arm. Special attention is given to the role of sensitivity in the formulation of robust models of this motion. The importance of actuator effects in the reduction of sensitivity is established and used to develop an electromechanical model of the manipulator system.

Brewer, D. W.↗

Parameter extraction approaches for compact modeling of thermoelectric modules

Thermoelectric (TE) cooling has experienced rapid advancements with the foundational understanding of TE materials. TE modules, compact and lightweight devices, have become the prevalent approach for implementing TE technologies. Accurately quantifying TE physical parameters (Seebeck coefficient α, thermal conductivity κ, and thermal resistance ρ) is challenging due to the dynamic temperature changes in operation. Furthermore, extracting lumped property parameters is crucial for designing energy systems using TE modules. Existing research has several limitations, such as lack of comparative analysis between prevalent formulae, reliance on potentially inaccurate vendor-supplied data, disregard for fundamental assumptions, and absence of empirical measurements. Further, this study addresses these gaps by conducting TE material characterization, comparing three existing formulae using vendor datasheets, designing a laboratory test facility for model validation and refinement, and outlining a structured data extraction procedure. The study's novelty lies in multiple key contributions: (1) a detailed comparative analysis of existing formulae for extracting TE property parameter; (2) executing experimental work in a laboratory setting to validate the model and elucidate its limitations; (3) highlighting potential risks; (4) clarifying possible assumptions from both material and engineering perspectives; and (5) considering temperature differential impacts. This comprehensive approach addresses the current research gaps and provides valuable insights into the design and application of TE modules in various energy systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Recent developments in the NSWC composite electrode

A characterization of the physical parameters and life cycle data on nickel composite electrodes was conducted. Attempts to improve the nickel composite electrodes with respect to longevity, light weight, and low cost were made. The physical characteristics of a group of electrodes were examined with emphasis on the porosity of the plaques, the thickness of the electrodes, and the potential presence of electrolytes contamination. It was concluded that the nickel composite electrodes exhibit good life cycle characteristics and that their fabrication seems to present real possibilities for the future as a method of making electrodes that are durable, lightweight, and low cost.

Ferrando, W. A.↗

Parameter identification and sensitivity analysis for a robotic manipulator arm

The development of a nonlinear dynamic model for large oscillations of a robotic manipulator arm about a single joint is described. Optimization routines are formulated and implemented for the identification of electrical and physical parameters from dynamic data taken from an industrial robot arm. Special attention is given to difficulties caused by the large sensitivity of the model with respect to unknown parameters. Performance of the parameter identification algorithm is improved by choosing a control input that allows actuator emf to be included in an electro-mechanical model of the manipulator system.

Brewer, D. W.↗

Scientific achievements from ten years of lunar laser ranging

In the 10 years since lunar laser ranging became a reality the need to analyze the observations has motivated improvements in several aspects of the mathematical model of earth-moon dynamics. Application of the data to improved estimates of the physical parameters of the earth-moon system has yielded significant astronomical, selenophysical, geophysical, and cosmological results. The scientific impact, both in improved theories and in numerical applications, is surveyed. The underlying physics and major difficulties are discussed, as well as the scientific results.

Mulholland, J. D.↗

Selection principles and pattern formation in fluid mechanics and nonlinear shell theory

Research accomplishments are summarized and publications generated under the contract are listed. The general purpose of the research was to investigate various symmetry breaking problems in fluid mechanics by the use of structure parameters and selection principles. Although all of the nonlinear problems studied involved systems of partial differential equations, many of these problems led to the study of a single nonlinear operator equation of the form F(w, lambda, gamma) = 0, (w is an element of H), (lambda is an element of R1), (gamma is an element of R1). Instead of varying only the load parameter lambda, as is often done in the study of such equations, one of the main ideas used was to vary the structure parameter gamma in such a way that stable solutions were obtained. In this way one determines detailed stability results by making use of the structure of the model equations and the known physical parameters of the problem. The approach was carried out successfully for Benard-type convection problems, Taylor-like problems for short cylinders, rotating Couette-Poiseuille channel flows, and plane Couette flows. The main focus of the research was on wave theory of vortex breakdown in a tube. A number of preliminary results for inviscid axisymmetric flows were obtained.

Sather, Duane P.↗

Pyrocumulonimbus Events Over British Columbia in 2017: An Ensemble Model Study of Parameter Sensitivities and Climate Impacts of Wildfire Smoke in the Stratosphere

Abstract The Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) events over British Columbia in 2017 were observed in the lower stratosphere for about 8–10 months after the smoke injections. Several previous studies used global climate models to investigate the physical parameters for the 2017 pyroCb events, but the conclusions show strong model dependency. In this study, we use the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) and complete an ensemble of runs exploring three injection parameters: smoke aerosol mass, the percentage of black carbon within the smoke aerosols, and plume injection height. Additionally, we consider the heterogeneous reaction of ozone and primary organic matter. According to the satellite daily observed aerosol optical depth (AOD), we find that the best ensemble member is the simulation with 0.4 Tg of smoke, 3% of which is black carbon, a 13.5 km smoke injection height, and a 10 −5 probability factor of the heterogeneous reaction. Besides AOD, we examine the ensemble score based on the metrics used in previous studies: the metrics of the extinction coefficient at 18 km altitude and the maximum plume height. The conclusion of the best estimate of the injection parameters for 2017 pyroCb events shows strong not only model but also evaluation metric dependency. We use the Random Forest machine learning technique to quantify the relative importance of each parameter in accurately simulating the 2017 pyroCb events and find that the injection height is the most critical feature, no matter which metric is used to score the ensemble members.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Speedup of UEDGE Parameter Scans Using Machine-Learning Optimized OpenMP Parallelization and a Continuation Solver

This article presents the OpenMP parallelization of the preconditioning Jacobian assembly and right‐hand side residual evaluation in UEDGE. A continuation algorithm, utilizing the internal NKSOL implicit Jacobian‐Free Newton‐Krylov solver to efficiently scan physical parameters, is also presented. The implemented parallelization reduces the computational time for a benchmark scan run on 32 threads by compared to the serial version when using trained random forest regression models to identify the optimal decomposition of the system of equations. Random forest regression models applied to the UEDGE time‐dependent and continuation solver algorithms did not yield meaningful improvement in computational performance. A benchmark DIII‐D gas injection rate scan in the 0.35–0.75 kA interval, performed on a test cluster using the parallelized code and continuation solver, produced 1066 steady‐state solutions with a 22 s average wall‐clock computational time per steady‐state solution.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

A Review of Online Monitoring within Used Nuclear Fuel Recycling Processes

The processing of used nuclear fuels and related materials is often complex and variable. The ability to quickly optimize conditions to the material being processed can aid in increasing efficiency and safety, but requires very quick determination of the conditions present in the feedstock, the process, and the product. Furthermore, accurate quantification of materials such as enriched uranium and plutonium aids in maintaining material accountancy and avoiding nuclear proliferation risks. Traditional analytical methods require process samples to be collected and analyzed in a laboratory, which often takes days to weeks. Online monitoring is suitable for collecting this information nearly instantaneously, enabling much faster optimization of the process or detection of material diversion. Online monitoring is also beneficial as it is typically based on robust and nondestructive analytical methods, so no material is removed as samples. This review examines online monitoring relevant to used nuclear fuel processing for the determination of both chemical and physical parameters. The chemical parameters include quantities such as concentration, isotopic composition, and speciation. These values are often well suited to spectroscopic or spectrometric measurements as they are fast, nondestructive, and easily implemented in an online manner. Physical quantities are often more varied and include temperature, pressure, tank fill levels, and others. Due to the specificity of these quantities, specialized instrumentation is often used. However, this instrumentation is often amendable to online monitoring.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

The thermal structure of solar coronal loops and implications for physical models of coronae

EUV spectra of three active region loops observed above the solar limb with the SO55 spectrometer on Skylab are analyzed. It is noted that the lengths, peak temperatures, and pressures of the loops are typical of the X-ray coronal loops to which static models have been applied. It is found that the physical parameters of the coronal loop plasma derived from EUV spectra and raster pictures are not well represented by the static models. Although the loops also contain a significant quantity of cool plasma, no physical reason is found to differentiate them from other active region loops of similar length, pressure, and temperature. Several line ratios in the loop spectrum suggest departures from ionization equilibrium caused by rapid cooling. The source of this cooling material is discussed with reference to several models of loop dynamics.

Raymond, J. C.↗

Variable polarization in X-ray binaries - HD 153919 (= 4U1700 - 37) and HD 152667 (= OAO1653 - 40?)

Variable linear polarization has been observed in the optical radiation from two presumed X-ray binary systems, HD 153919 (= 4U1700 - 37) and HD 152667 (probably not OAO1653 - 40). This intrinsic polarization appears correlated with the orbital phase of the binary, but the polarimetric light curve shows variations from year to year. The Stokes parameter q, u light curves are consistent with the polarization being caused by the Rayleigh scattering of light from the primary by gas streams in the vicinity of the secondary. Several orbital and physical parameters of the binary systems are derived from the polarimetric observations.

Dolan, J. F.↗