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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Role of Forest Carbon Change in Shaping Future Land Use and Land Cover Change

Global change, particularly the changes in atmospheric CO 2 concentration, climatic variables, and nitrogen deposition, has been widely recognized and examined to have worldwide impacts on forest carbon. However, its influence on forest area required to meet the demand for timber and carbon storage and subsequent land use and land cover change (LULCC) is rarely studied. This study explores the role of global change-driven forest carbon change in shaping future global LULCC projections and investigates underlying drivers. We incorporated the global change impacts on forest carbon from the Canadian Land Surface Scheme Including Biogeochemical Cycles model simulations (driven by meteorological forcing projections from two Earth system models [ESMs]) into the Global Change Analysis Model, under three combinations of shared socioeconomic pathways and representative concentration pathways (SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585). Including forest carbon change decreases the projected expansion of managed forest and managed pasture, reduces the loss of unmanaged pastures and forests, and provides more cropland. The relative change in managed forest by 2100 is -4.0%, -21.7%, and -31.9%, under SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585, respectively, when forest carbon change is considered. CO 2 fertilization is the dominant driver, increasing forest vegetation and soil carbon by 37% and 4.1%, and leading to 78.6% of the total area with a change in land use types by 2100 under SSP585. In comparison, climate change reduces forest vegetation and soil carbon by -3.5% and -0.8%, influencing 23.9% of the total area with a change in land use types by 2100 under SSP585, while nitrogen deposition has minor impacts. Using meteorological forcing data from two ESMs leads to similar impacts of forest carbon change on LULCC in terms of sign and trend but different magnitudes. This study highlights the large impact of forest carbon change on shaping future LULCC dynamics and the critical role of CO 2 fertilization.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Modeling Yield, Biogenic Emissions, and Carbon Sequestration in Southeastern Cropping Systems With Winter Carinata

Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production from lipids is a technologically mature approach for replacing conventional fossil fuel use in the aviation sector, and there is increasing demand for such feedstocks. The oilseed Brassica carinata (known as Ethiopian mustard or simply carinata) is a promising SAF feedstock that can be grown as a supplemental cash crop over the winter fallow season of various annual crop rotations in the Southeast US, avoiding land use changes and potentially achieving some of the soil carbon sequestration and ecosystem service benefits of winter cover crops. However, carinata may require more intensive management than traditional cover crops, potentially leading to additional soil greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through increased carbon losses from soil tillage and nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions from nitrogen fertilizer application. In this work, the 2017 version of the process-based DayCent ecosystem model was used to establish initial expectations for the total regional SAF production potential and associated soil GHG emissions when carinata is integrated as a winter crop into the existing crop rotations across its current suitability range in southern Alabama, southern Georgia, and northern Florida. Using data from academic and industry carinata field trials in the region, DayCent was calibrated to reproduce carinata yield, nitrogen response, harvest index, and biomass carbon-to-nitrogen ratio. The resulting model was then used to simulate the integration of carinata every third winter across all 2.1 Mha of actively cultivated cropland in the study area. The model predicted regional average yields of 2.9–3.0 Mg carinata seed per hectare depending on crop management assumptions. That results in the production of more than two million Mg of carinata seed annually across the study area, enough to supply approximately one billion liters of SAF. Conventional management of carinata led to only modest increases in soil carbon storage that were largely offset by additional N2O emissions. Climate-smart management via adopting no-till carinata establishment or using poultry litter as a nitrogen source resulted in a substantial net soil GHG sink (0.23–0.31 Mg CO 2 e ha -1 y -1 , or 0.24–0.32 Mg CO2e per Mg of seed produced) at the farms where carinata is cultivated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantifying soil organic matter stock distribution and origin following over a century of maize-based cropping in the former tallgrass prairie region of central USA

Tallgrass prairie conversion to maize-based agriculture in central North America has resulted in substantial loss of soil organic carbon (SOC) in less than two centuries. However, evaluations of how management practices may mitigate SOC losses are generally limited in soil depth and/or duration, missing long-term SOC stock outcomes that manifest over timescales of decades or longer. To address this, we sampled soils in year 145 of the Morrow Plots experiment to (i) evaluate effects of crop rotation and fertility management on SOC stocks and (ii) distinguish prairie- versus maize-derived SOC after continuous maize cropping since 1876 using stable carbon isotope ( 13 C) natural abundance. Soil organic carbon stock by equivalent soil mass (ESM) was + 30.7 Mg C ha −1 (+31.7 %) higher under maize-oat-alfalfa than continuous maize, but similar between maize-soybean and continuous maize. NPK fertilization and manuring did not influence SOC stocks by ESM. Response of SOC stocks at 15 cm depth intervals to NPK fertilization varied by depth and crop rotation, with lower SOC stocks at 30–45 cm under continuous maize and maize-soybean. Maize-derived C ranged 19.5–59.6 % of SOC stock across depths, indicating the majority of SOC was still derived from tallgrass prairie even after 145 years of continuous maize cropping. Our results confirm the potential of diversified crop rotation for minimizing SOC losses relative to tallgrass prairie at the supracentennial scale, and highlight the importance of relic prairie soil organic matter for future crop production in central North America.

crop rotation↗
DOE OSTI2023

Designing Iowa Agricultural Landscapes to Improve Environmental Co-Benefits of Bioenergy Production

Cellulosic bioenergy feedstocks are needed to improve carbon (C) management while provisioning biomass for bioproducts and biofuel. The transition to increased cellulosic biomass production can be guided by land management plans designed to improve economic, environmental, and ecological performance. We constructed a sustainability model to compare landscape designs for biofuel production from corn (Zea mays L.) stover and switchgrass (Panicum virgatum L.) in central Iowa, USA. We used the model to compare environmental and socioeconomic outcomes associated with four landscape management strategies, with and without cellulosic biomass markets. We evaluated (1) a fuelshed area containing over 1.2 million ha (3 million acres) of corn and soybean (Glycine max (L.) Merr.) within 80 km (50 miles) of a commercial-scale cellulosic biorefinery in Nevada, Iowa, and (2) the South Fork watershed containing over 72,000 ha (178,000 acres) of these row crops within eight north central Iowa HUC-12 (hydrologic unit code) watersheds. At both landscape scales, we found that it is possible to achieve multiple environmental and socioeconomic benefits concomitantly with cellulosic biomass production by strategically collecting corn stover and converting the 10% of the lowest-profitability row crop land to perennial switchgrass. Potential benefits from landscape design include increased biodiversity, soil and water quality improvements, increased soil carbon sequestration for climate change mitigation, and reduced fertilizer use and cost. Our model results showed that increasing benefits can accrue when complementary conservation practices (e.g., reduced tillage, use of a rye cover crop) are combined and integrated throughout a fuelshed or watershed area. We conclude that ecologically based landscape designs offer valuable insights about costs and benefits of land management alternatives, with relevance for achieving stakeholder goals.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Overcoming environmental constraints to high-yielding eastern cottonwood productivity in the southeastern United States

The global demand for biomass is rising, and Populus species are among the most productive temperate woody plants. This 6-year study, conducted in Sumter County, South Carolina, USA evaluated the effects of supplemental irrigation and fertilization on crown and leaf traits, dry weight productivity, and clonal variation in Populus deltoides. Eight commercially available clones (‘ST148’, ‘S2C20’, ‘3167’, ‘ST72’, ‘20WV’, ‘S7C1’, ‘ST70’, and ‘S7C15’) were assessed. Drip irrigation was applied to maintain soil tension at either 33 kPa (15% volumetric soil moisture) or 1500 kPa (10%). Nutrient treatments via weekly fertigation applications consisted of two levels: a high annual rate (initially 85 kg elemental nitrogen ha−1 year−1, increasing to 182 kg ha−1 year−1 at Year 3, then reduced to 135 kg ha−1 year−1 thereafter) and a low rate at 50% of the high treatment. Dry weight yields were estimated using standing tree measurements. Results revealed significant clonal differences in leaf area index (LAI) that peaked in Year 3, with the fastest-growing clones exhibiting lower LAI values. At Ages 2 and 3, these clones also showed higher concentrations of K, Ca, B, Cu, and Mn in leaves, along with lower Mg and Zn concentrations. Both annual height and diameter growth varied significantly by treatment and clone, with the largest height increases observed in the low fertilizer treatments from Year 3 onward. Biomass production in all irrigated plots exceeded that of non-irrigated plots across all biomass components at Ages 4, 5, and 6. Furthermore, stem-to-root dry weight ratios increased more rapidly in the best-performing treatment–clone combinations compared to non-irrigated plots. Notably, P. deltoides plots receiving fertilizer had higher soil carbon concentrations (i.e., percent C) compared to adjacent sweetgum, sycamore, and agricultural plots. These findings highlight the potential of targeted irrigation strategies to enhance biomass productivity in P. deltoides plantations.

Tuskan, Gerald [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000301061289)↗
DOE OSTI2021

Arbuscular mycorrhizal fungal community responses to drought and nitrogen fertilization in switchgrass stands

Anthropogenic global change is increasing the severity and frequency of abiotic stresses such as drought that are likely to affect soil communities. Arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF) play important roles in many soil processes, so it is important to understand how drought affects AMF biodiversity. This is especially relevant in agricultural systems where crops rely on AMF associations for water and nutrient uptake, and where management decisions such as crop selection and fertilizer application may influence how the AMF community responds to drought. In this study, we examined the effects of reduced precipitation and nitrogen fertilization on AMF richness, community composition, and root and soil colonization in monocultures of two cultivars of switchgrass (Panicum virgatum) grown for bioenergy feedstock. We conducted a two-year field experiment using rain-out shelters to manipulate precipitation in mature stands of switchgrass growing in a long-term nitrogen fertilization (0 or 56 kg N ha –1 ) experiment at the W.K. Kellogg Biological Station Long-Term Ecological Research site in Michigan, USA. We expected that AMF richness and colonization would decrease due to drought, as predicted by the stress exclusion hypothesis. Contrary to our expectations, we found that drought stress increased AMF species richness in fertilized plots by 15%; there was no effect of drought on AMF richness in unfertilized plots. Drought also significantly altered AMF community composition, primarily due to increases in Rhizophagus taxa abundance, and reduced AMF root colonization in switchgrass by 6%. We also found variation in AMF richness and colonization across switchgrass cultivars as well as sampling dates. Furthermore, the changes in AMF richness and composition that we observed in this study may have implications for perennial bioenergy feedstock selection and management as changes in AMF communities may feedback to affect host plants.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Phosphorus and cover crop management practices affect phosphorus speciation in soils and eroded sediments

Abstract Agricultural runoff often contains P in dissolved and sediment‐bound forms, decreasing surface water quality. No‐till and cover cropping conservation practices have been recommended for reducing erosion and nutrient loss from cropping systems. The overall aims of this study were to characterize and evaluate the effects of fertilizer (placement and source) and cover crop management on P speciation in surface runoff sediments and source soil. In 2014, a field‐scale experiment was established in a no‐till, corn (Zea maysL.)–soybean (Glycine maxL.) cropping system with two cover crop treatments (with and without a winter crop; winter wheat [Triticum aestivumL.], rapeseed [Brassica napusL.], hairy vetch [Vicia villosaRoth], winter triticale [×Triticosecale Wittm.], and cereal rye [Secale cerealeL.]) and three P fertilizer management treatments (no P, fall broadcast diammonium phosphate, and spring subsurface injected ammonium polyphosphate). Phosphorus fractionation in the source soil collected in the fall of 2019 and sediment samples collected throughout 2020 were analyzed using a modified sequential P extraction method to evaluate the cumulative effects of imposing the treatment factors over 5 years. The direct P speciation was done using X‐ray absorption near edge structure spectroscopy. The indirect P speciation (fractionation) results showed that the management practices affected the exchangeable, organic matter‐associated, and Fe‐bound P fractions in sediments and the exchangeable and residual fractions in source soil. Direct P speciation results showed a depletion of Fe‐associated P in soil and sediment from cover crop treatment, suggesting that Fe‐associated P species were affected by cover crops. Changes in soil and runoff sediment P speciation would change the proportions and forms of soluble and particulate P in runoff sediments and may influence P bioavailability in aquatic ecosystems. Developing P fertilizer and cropping system management options with an understanding of soil P transformations helps maintain environmental sustainability.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗
NASA NTRS1982

Agricultural land cover mapping in the context of a geographically referenced digital information system

The introduction of soil map information to the land cover mapping process can improve discrimination of land cover types and reduce confusion among crop types that may be caused by soil-specific management practices and background reflectance characteristics. Multiple dates of LANDSAT MSS digital were analyzed for three study areas in northern Missouri to produce cover types for major agricultural land cover classes. Digital data bases were then developed by adding ancillary data such as digitized soil and transportation network information to the LANDSAT-derived cover type map. Procedures were developed to manipulate the data base parameters to extract information applicable to user requirements. An agricultural information system combining such data can be used to determine the productive capacity of land to grow crops, fertilizer needs, chemical weed control rates, irrigation suitability, and trafficability of soil for planting.

Stoner, E. R.↗
DOE OSTI2022

Metal (hydr)oxide surface precipitates and their effects on potassium sorption

Surface precipitation has been shown to occur on rapid time scales in clay and metal oxide mineral systems. The formation of surface precipitates is hypothesized to present new potential sorption sites for potassium (K), where K can become incorporated into newly formed interlayer spaces (e.g., between tetrahedral–octahedral–tetrahedral stacked sheets). The objective of this study is to determine the effects of newly formed mineral surface precipitates on K sorption. Potassium adsorption experiments were conducted by utilizing Al 2 O 3 and SiO 2 sorbents in the presence of various cations (magnesium, zinc, and nickel) that helped to catalyze the formation of surface precipitates. Dissolved concentrations of elements were monitored via inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectrometry (ICP-OES). Solids were characterized via X-ray diffraction (XRD), and K surface complexation was analyzed via X-ray absorption near edge structure (XANES) spectroscopy. X-ray diffraction analysis indicated bayerite, layered double hydroxides (LDH), and silicated LDH were formed as reaction products, thus creating new surface sites for potential K adsorption. The presence of Si increased K adsorption perhaps due to its role in the formation of LDH surface precipitates. When the differences between observed and theoretical surface area normalized K sorption densities were averaged, a 31% increase in K adsorption was observed in the presence of Si. XANES analysis indicated that the binding mechanism of K to Si is different than that of K to Al, perhaps due to the presence of inner-sphere complexation of K to Al-oxide. Samples reacted for one month versus one week yielded more intense XANES post-edge peaks which indicated that the K sorption complex changes over time. Altogether, our findings provide novel insights into the mechanisms of K fixation in soil and has high implication in providing improved K fertilizer recommendation to growers.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

NitroNet: Smart System to Quantify Nitrous Oxide Emissions

Agricultural croplands are the largest anthropogenic source of nitrous oxide (N 2 O), the third most important greenhouse gas. Emissions are characterized by “hot spots” and “hot moments”, meaning emissions are highly heterogeneous in space and time. Emissions are driven by nitrification and denitrification processes which depend upon complex factors such as soil characteristics (type, compaction, pH, moisture, topography), management practices (fertilizer type and application, tillage, crop type, field history, irrigation), biogeochemistry (organic carbon, microbial composition), and meteorology (precipitation, temperature, and wind). For these reasons, quantifying cropland emissions by either measurements or modeling is extremely challenging with large uncertainties.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Microbe to Microbiome: A Paradigm Shift in the Application of Microorganisms for Sustainable Agriculture

Light, water and healthy soil are three essential natural resources required for agricultural productivity. Industrialization of agriculture has resulted in intensification of cropping practices using enormous amounts of chemical pesticides and fertilizers that damage these natural resources. Therefore, there is a need to embrace agriculture practices that do not depend on greater use of fertilizers and water to meet the growing demand of global food requirements. Plants and soil harbor millions of microorganisms, which collectively form a microbial community known as the microbiome. An effective microbiome can offer benefits to its host, including plant growth promotion, nutrient use efficiency, and control of pests and phytopathogens. Therefore, there is an immediate need to bring functional potential of plant-associated microbiome and its innovation into crop production. In addition to that, new scientific methodologies that can track the nutrient flux through the plant, its resident microbiome and surrounding soil, will offer new opportunities for the design of more efficient microbial consortia design. It is now increasingly acknowledged that the diversity of a microbial inoculum is as important as its plant growth promoting ability. Not surprisingly, outcomes from such plant and soil microbiome studies have resulted in a paradigm shift away from single, specific soil microbes to a more holistic microbiome approach for enhancing crop productivity and the restoration of soil health. Herein, we have reviewed this paradigm shift and discussed various aspects of benign microbiome-based approaches for sustainable agriculture.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1987

Cross-system comparisons of soil nitrogen transformations and nitrous oxide flux in tropical forest ecosystems

Soil nitrogen transformations and nitrous oxide flux across the soil-air interface have been measured in a variety of tropical forest sites and correlated with patterns of nitrogen circulation. Nitrogen mineralizaton and nitrification potentials were found to be high in the relatively fertile Costa Rica sites and the Amazonian oxisol/ultisols, intermediate in Amazonian white sand soils, and low in the Hawaiian montane sites. Nitrous oxide fluxes ranged from 0 to 6.2 ng/sq cm per h, and the mean flux per site was shown to be highly correlated with mean nitrogen mineralization.

Matson, Pamela A.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Comparing the Recovery of Arbuscular and Ectomycorrhizal Stands from Long-Term Nitrogen Fertilization at the Fernow Experimental Forest, WV (2021 and 2022)

This data was generated to answer the research question: After the end of a 30-year nitrogen (N) fertilization experiment in an Eastern temperate forest, to what extent do plant microbial interactions and carbon cycling in arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) and ectomycorrhizal (ECM) dominated stands follow different recovery trajectories?The soil and the roots used in this dataset were sampled from two watersheds (N-fertilized watershed 3 and Reference watershed 7) with 6 AM and 6 ECM dominated stands each, over the course of three months (June, July, August) in 2021 and 2022. The "All_Roots.csv" data includes fine root biomass (in g) scaled to sampled soil (m2) (Scaled_Rt_Bm_gm2), and AM and ECM root colonization (%) in two soil fractions: the organic horizon (O) and the mineral horizon (B). The "All_Enzymes.csv" data includes extracellular soil enzyme activity (N-acetyl-glucosaminidase (NAG), acid phosphatase (AP), β-glucosidase (BG), phenol oxidase and peroxidase), and the ratios of BG to AP (BG:AP) and BG to NAG (BG:NAG) in three soil fractions: the organic horizon (O), the bulk soil (B), and the rhizosphere (R).The "All_Nmin" data includes inorganic N (NO3- and NH4+) pools (unit: μg of N per g of dry soil) measured pre- (I_Nitrate_ugNgsoil and I_Ammonia_ugNgsoil) and post-incubation (F_Nitrate_ugNgsoil and F_Ammonia_ugNgsoil), as well as calculated nitrification (Nitrification_day) and nitrogen mineralization (Mineralization_day) rates per day, in three soil fractions: the organic horizon (O), the bulk soil (B), and the rhizosphere (R).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

What regulates decomposition in agroecosystems? Insights from reading the tea leaves

Litter decomposition is a critical Earth process, recycling nutrients and setting a portion of plant tissue on a path toward soil organic matter. Despite this importance, we still lack a good understanding of local factors that regulate decomposition, especially in agroecosystems where management plays an outsized role. Using a narrow range of climate and soils, we buried 1,308 pre-manufactured “litter bags” of differing residue quality (i.e., green and rooibos tea leaves) in 109 plots across several management practices to (1) explore the local controls on decomposition in agroecosystems and (2) test the robustness of the Tea Bag Index (TBI). We found that management practices intended to increase soil ecosystem services, that is, soil health, altered the decomposition of both teas. For example, adding nitrogen fertilizer and implementing perennial cropping decreased the extent of green tea decomposition (carbon-to-nitrogen ratio, or C:N = 12.8). No-tillage increased, but perennial cropping decreased, the rate of rooibos tea decomposition (C:N = 50.1). Cropped prairie accelerated green tea decomposition and increased the extent of red tea decomposition. A random forest regression model showed that soil temperature was the strongest predictor of green tea decomposition, but a soil health score also played a significant role in predicting the mass remaining. Soil texture and nutrient availability best predicted rooibos tea decomposition. Finer textured soils seemed to decelerate rooibos decomposition but increased the extent of decomposition. Furthermore, we demonstrated that the TBI metrics correlated somewhat well with empirically derived decomposition constants and were similarly sensitive to the effects of management. Still, the green tea stabilization factor had a substantial prediction bias. Our study increased our basic understanding of what regulates decomposition in agroecosystems. It also showed that the TBI can be a scientifically rigorous citizen science approach to monitoring changes in soil health.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Combined Nitrogen and Phosphorous Recovery via Electrochemical Technology Integration into Municipal Wastewater Treatment Plants

This project developed electroN-P, an electrochemical technology for recovering nitrogen and phosphorus as a fertilizer product from anaerobic digester centrate, targeting an advancement from TRL 4 to 6. The reactor was scaled 220× from a 250 mL batch cell to a continuous 4-channel system treating 55 L of wastewater, recovering >80% of phosphorus. Energy consumption under constant-voltage operation was lower than the embedded energy of conventional fertilizers, while constant-current operation produced a cost-competitive product with a smaller reactor footprint. TEA and LCA outcomes were highly sensitive to the magnesium source; alternative magnesium salt configurations projected reduced costs and embedded energy compared to sacrificial rods, but at the expense of significantly longer operation times. The recovered fertilizer performed comparably to diammonium phosphate and triple superphosphate in soil and plant trials. Integrating the technology into a whole-plant model reduced aeration energy by nearly 50%, lowering the levelized cost of water treatment from $0.668/m 3 to $0.648/m 3 . Results support targeting commercialization at smaller (≤1 MGD) facilities with high-strength digester streams. Further investigation into the transport and corrosion kinetics governing sacrificial anode wear is recommended to support continuous, longer-term operation.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
NASA NTRS2018

Amplification of Heat Extremes by Plant CO2 Physiological Forcing

Plants influence extreme heat events by regulating land-atmosphere water and energy exchanges. The contribution of plants to changes in future heat extremes will depend on the responses of vegetation growth and physiology to the direct and indirect effects of elevated CO2. Here we use a suite of earth system models to disentangle the radiative versus vegetation effects of elevated CO2 on heat wave characteristics. Vegetation responses to a quadrupling of CO2 increase summer heat wave occurrence by 20 days or more-30-50% of the radiative response alone-across tropical and mid-to-high latitude forests. These increases are caused by CO2 physiological forcing, which diminishes transpiration and its associated cooling effect, and reduces clouds and precipitation. In contrast to recent suggestions, our results indicate CO2-driven vegetation changes enhance future heat wave frequency and intensity in most vegetated regions despite transpiration-driven soil moisture savings and increases in aboveground biomass from CO2 fertilization.

Skinner, Christopher B.↗