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At least 253 records · Page 14

Multiple origins of life

There is some indication that life may have originated readily under primitive earth conditions. If there were multiple origins of life, the result could have been a polyphyletic biota today. Using simple stochastic models for diversification and extinction, we conclude: (1) the probability of survival of life is low unless there are multiple origins, and (2) given survival of life and given as many as 10 independent origins of life, the odds are that all but one would have gone extinct, yielding the monophyletic biota we have now. The fact of the survival of our particular form of life does not imply that it was unique or superior.

Raup, D. M.↗

Far Infrared Emission from Galaxies

The relationship between far infrared sources and star formation is discussed. It is argued that the relationship of star formation to compact nuclear sources and the relative importance of these fundamentally different types of activity in the most luminous galaxies is still unclear. Although there is evidence for a general correlation between far infrared emission and the amount of interstellar matter present, there are also indications of significant deviations from a simple stochastic model.

Harper, D. A.↗

Application of the Maximum Entropy/optimal Projection Control Design Approach for Large Space Structures

The underlying philosophy and motivation of the optimal projection/maximum entropy (OP/ME) stochastic modelling and reduced order control design method for high order systems with parameter uncertainties are discussed. The OP/ME design equations for reduced-order dynamic compensation including the effect of parameter uncertainties are reviewed and the application of the methodology to several large space structure (LSS) problems of representative complexity is illustrated.

Hyland, D. C.↗

A user's view of CARE III

The present computerized reliability predictor for digital fault-tolerant systems whose sizes are of the order of one million Markovian equivalent states, employs advanced stochastic modeling techniques and implements a mixed Markov model that enables it to drastically reduce the state size of hitherto computationally unobtainable models. Attention is given to the concepts of failure, fault, and error, in the context of the novel system's fault/error-handling models. Examples are drawn from the system's user-friendly interface dialog.

Bavuso, S. J.↗

Noise in remote-sensing systems - The effect on classification error

Several types of noise in remote-sensing systems are treated. The purpose is to provide enhanced understanding of the relationship of noise sources to both analysis results and sensor design. The context of optical sensors and spectral pattern recognition analysis methods is used to enable tractability for quantitative results. First, the concept of multispectral classification is reviewed. Next, stochastic models are discussed for both signals and noise, including thermal, shot and quantization noise along with atmospheric effects. A model enabling the study of the combined effect of these sources is presented, and a system performance index is defined. Theoretical results showing the interrelated effects of the noise sources on system performance are given. Results of simulations using the system model are presented for several values of system parameters, using some noise parameters of the Thematic Mapper scanner as an illustration. Results show the relative importance of each of the noise sources on system performance, including how sensor noise interacts with atmospheric effects to degrade accuracy.

Landgrebe, D. A.↗

The near and far acoustic fields of broadband shock associated noise

A stochastic model theory is presented which suggests that the broadband shock associated noise of supersonic jets is generated by the weak interaction between downstream propagating large turbulence structures and the quasiperiodic shock cells in the jet plume. The large turbulence structures are modelled by a superposition of the intrinsic instability waves of the mean flow of the jet, and the quasiperiodic shock cells are broken down into time-independent waveguide modes of the jet flow using multiple scales expansion. The observed broadband shock associated noise consists of a superposition of the spectra generated by the different waveguide modes. Starting from the equations of motion of a compressible fluid, formulas for calculating the far field and near field noise are developed. Good general agreement is found with previous results.

Tam, C. K. W.↗

CARE 3 user-friendly interface user's guide

CARE 3 predicts the unreliability of highly reliable reconfigurable fault-tolerant systems that include redundant computers or computer systems. CARE3MENU is a user-friendly interface used to create an input for the CARE 3 program. The CARE3MENU interface has been designed to minimize user input errors. Although a CARE3MENU session may be successfully completed and all parameters may be within specified limits or ranges, the CARE 3 program is not guaranteed to produce meaningful results if the user incorrectly interprets the CARE 3 stochastic model. The CARE3MENU User Guide provides complete information on how to create a CARE 3 model with the interface. The CARE3MENU interface runs under the VAX/VMS operating system.

Martensen, A. L.↗

Maximum Entropy/Optimal Projection (MEOP) control design synthesis: Optimal quantification of the major design tradeoffs

The underlying philosophy and motivation of the optimal projection/maximum entropy (OP/ME) stochastic modeling and reduced control design methodology for high order systems with parameter uncertainties are discussed. The OP/ME design equations for reduced-order dynamic compensation including the effect of parameter uncertainties are reviewed. The application of the methodology to several Large Space Structures (LSS) problems of representative complexity is illustrated.

Hyland, D. C.↗

Probabilistic Structural Analysis Methods (PSAM) for select space propulsion system structural components

The objective is the development of several modular structural analysis packages capable of predicting the probabilistic response distribution for key structural variables such as maximum stress, natural frequencies, transient response, etc. The structural analysis packages are to include stochastic modeling of loads, material properties, geometry (tolerances), and boundary conditions. The solution is to be in terms of the cumulative probability of exceedance distribution (CDF) and confidence bounds. Two methods of probability modeling are to be included as well as three types of structural models - probabilistic finite-element method (PFEM); probabilistic approximate analysis methods (PAAM); and probabilistic boundary element methods (PBEM). The purpose in doing probabilistic structural analysis is to provide the designer with a more realistic ability to assess the importance of uncertainty in the response of a high performance structure. Probabilistic Structural Analysis Method (PSAM) tools will estimate structural safety and reliability, while providing the engineer with information on the confidence that should be given to the predicted behavior. Perhaps most critically, the PSAM results will directly provide information on the sensitivity of the design response to those variables which are seen to be uncertain.

Cruse, T. A.↗

Generating fractal-like surfaces on general purpose mesh-connected computers

Realistic images of natural surfaces are often generated using computationally expensive stochastic modeling techniques. Here a parallel procedure to generate such models is presented. The target machines are general-purpose mesh-connected computers. The complexity of the procedure is similar to that of a proposed special-purpose parallel fractal generator.

Wainer, Michael↗

Probabilistic Structural Analysis Methods for select space propulsion system structural components (PSAM)

The objective is the development of several modular structural analysis packages capable of predicting the probabilistic response distribution for key structural variables such as maximum stress, natural frequencies, transient response, etc. The structural analysis packages are to include stochastic modeling of loads, material properties, geometry (tolerances), and boundary conditions. The solution is to be in terms of the cumulative probability of exceedance distribution (CDF) and confidence bounds. Two methods of probability modeling are to be included as well as three types of structural models - probabilistic finite-element method (PFEM); probabilistic approximate analysis methods (PAAM); and probabilistic boundary element methods (PBEM). The purpose in doing probabilistic structural analysis is to provide the designer with a more realistic ability to assess the importance of uncertainty in the response of a high performance structure. Probabilistic Structural Analysis Method (PSAM) tools will estimate structural safety and reliability, while providing the engineer with information on the confidence that should be given to the predicted behavior. Perhaps most critically, the PSAM results will directly provide information on the sensitivity of the design response to those variables which are seen to be uncertain.

Cruse, T. A.↗

Forward flight effects on broadband shock associated noise of supersonic jets

The stochastic model theory of TAM (1987, 1989) for broadband shock associated noise was extended to include the effects of forward flight. The theory was applied to the forward flight simulation experiments of Norum and Shearin (1984, 1986, and 1988). Good agreement is found between calculated and measured far-field noise spectra over the flight Mach number range of 0.0 to 0.4.

Tam, Christopher K. W.↗

Broadband shock-associated noise of moderately imperfectly expanded supersonic jets

Recently a stochastic model theory of broadband shock-associated noise from supersonic jets was developed. The theory is capable of predicting the near and far field noise spectra of slightly imperfectly expanded jets. In this paper, the noise prediction formulas are extended to the moderately imperfectly expanded Mach number range. It is found that the shock noise intensity depends only on the amplitude of the quasi-periodic shock cell structure and not on the strong first shock. This makes it possible to extend the noise prediction formulas by simply modifying the shock cell strength in the original formulas. Here this step is implemented semiempirically, and a set of shock noise prediction formulas are developed.

Tam, C. K. W.↗

Electron distribution functions in electric field environments

The amount of current carried by an electric discharge in its early stages of growth is strongly dependent on its geometrical shape. Discharges with a large number of branches, each funnelling current to a common stem, tend to carry more current than those with fewer branches. The fractal character of typical discharges was simulated using stochastic models based on solutions of the Laplace equation. Extension of these models requires the use of electron distribution functions to describe the behavior of electrons in the undisturbed medium ahead of the discharge. These electrons, interacting with the electric field, determine the propagation of branches in the discharge and the way in which further branching occurs. The first phase in the extension of the referenced models , the calculation of simple electron distribution functions in an air/electric field medium, is discussed. Two techniques are investigated: (1) the solution of the Boltzmann equation in homogeneous, steady state environments, and (2) the use of Monte Carlo simulations. Distribution functions calculated from both techniques are illustrated. Advantages and disadvantages of each technique are discussed.

Rudolph, Terence H.↗

Advances and trends in computational structures technology

The major goals of computational structures technology (CST) are outlined, and recent advances in CST are examined. These include computational material modeling, stochastic-based modeling, computational methods for articulated structural dynamics, strategies and numerical algorithms for new computing systems, multidisciplinary analysis and optimization. The role of CST in the future development of structures technology and the multidisciplinary design of future flight vehicles is addressed, and the future directions of CST research in the prediction of failures of structural components, the solution of large-scale structural problems, and quality assessment and control of numerical simulations are discussed.

Noor, A. K.↗

An information theory approach for evaluating earth radiation budget (ERB) measurements - Nonuniform sampling of diurnal longwave flux variations

Satellite measurements are subject to a wide range of uncertainties due to their temporal, spatial, and directional sampling characteristics. An information-theory approach is suggested to examine the nonuniform temporal sampling of ERB measurements. The information (i.e., its entropy or uncertainty) before and after the measurements is determined, and information gain (IG) is defined as a reduction in the uncertainties involved. A stochastic model for the diurnal outgoing flux variations that affect the ERB is developed. Using Gaussian distributions for the a priori and measured radiant exitance fields, the IG is obtained by computing the a posteriori covariance. The IG for the monthly outgoing flux measurements is examined for different orbital parameters and orbital tracks, using the Earth Observing System orbital parameters as specific examples. Variations in IG due to changes in the orbit's inclination angle and the initial ascending node local time are investigated.

Halyo, Nesim↗

Broadband shock-associated noise from supersonic jets in flight

The stochastic model theory of broadband shock-associated noise from supersonic jets, developed earlier (Tam, 1987, 1990), is extended to jets in flight. Forward flight affects broadband shock-associated noise generation through noise source modification. It also affects the intensity and characteristics of the noise radiated in a given direction through the mean flow convection effect. Noise source modification arises when the external flow associated with forward flight alters the mean velocity profile and shock cell structure of the jet. The mean flow convection effect arises because the radiated sound waves now have to propagate through a moving medium to reach the observation point. The present theory suggests that both the noise source modification effect and the mean flow convection effect would produce narrower broadband shock-associated noise spectral peaks with lower peak frequencies. The theory is further extended to the case of a supersonic jet embedded in an open wind tunnel bounded by a vortex sheet. Detalied comparisons between the calculated results and the measurements of Norum and Shearin (1984, 1986) are reported here. Very good agreements are found over a broad range of jet Mach numbers and wind tunnel Mach numbers.

Tam, C. K. W.↗

A stochastic regulator for integrated communication and control systems. I - Formulation of control law. II - Numerical analysis and simulation

A state feedback control law for integrated communication and control systems (ICCS) is formulated by using the dynamic programming and optimality principle on a finite-time horizon. The control law is derived on the basis of a stochastic model of the plant which is augmented in state space to allow for the effects of randomly varying delays in the feedback loop. A numerical procedure for synthesizing the control parameters is then presented, and the performance of the control law is evaluated by simulating the flight dynamics model of an advanced aircraft. Finally, recommendations for future work are made.

Liou, Luen-Woei↗